Post B4ADOHdQHqmIEUs1fU by linear@nya.social
 (DIR) More posts by linear@nya.social
 (DIR) Post #B4ACi8lCtLPCXxPqWe by linear@nya.social
       1 likes, 2 repeats
       
       i keep being right about private predictions about where AI stuff will be in ~2 years time so here's a public onethe AI bubble pops, many of the big name companies go under, less (but not none, not even close) of them get deployed in commercial productsmeanwhile the "open source" models continue incrementally improving. more and more open source software devs start turning the way of Cory Doctorow and champion this as a victory, begin integrating it as an indispensible tool in their lives. their skills atrophy. the models get incrementally better, but not that much better. already large and complex codebases inflate in size by comical amounts. open source software goes to shit, and the reputation of open source software follows. the people who actually know what they are doing are hired by companies doing whatever the next hype thing is, since at least that way they aren't constantly flooded by poor-quality AI code that looks fine at first glance but has deeper structural problems.successful open source projects in this future probably look a lot more cathedral than bazaar, with teams of devs who know and trust each other doing everything privately.
       
 (DIR) Post #B4ADOHdQHqmIEUs1fU by linear@nya.social
       0 likes, 1 repeats
       
       the thing that LLMs are becoming is indistinguishable in my eyes from a weapon designed to destroy open source software and allow the elites to wrest control of personal computers and their capabilities back from the people. whether that's intentional doesn't really matter, a system is what it does.and what it does is to act as an infohazardous poison pill that makes its own propaganda to tell you to take it, and convinces you that everything is okay
       
 (DIR) Post #B4AFjCqBVSiRLywaUS by lynne@mk.pars.ee
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       @linear@nya.social Optimistic.I don't doubt the AI industry will get bailed out if a bubble were to burst. Their billionaire founders gave money to the people who decide it.
       
 (DIR) Post #B4AFjDJbk4FepEi5Ls by linear@nya.social
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       @lynne@mk.pars.ee oh absolutely, i'm sure that will happen.in the grander scheme the AI bubble popping will make AI about as irrelevant as the .com bubble popping made websites ending in .com
       
 (DIR) Post #B4AGOOpnonx6QOPLTk by mirabilos@toot.mirbsd.org
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       @linear this bears resemblance to my sudden epiphany some days ago: https://toot.mirbsd.org/@mirabilos/statuses/01KK4RZ3EJCC9K308W2TW230B7
       
 (DIR) Post #B4AGVkJIN2tf3chp7Q by mirabilos@toot.mirbsd.org
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       @linear @lynne 🤬
       
 (DIR) Post #B4ANRguVlhC92B7vuK by whitequark@social.treehouse.systems
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       @linear i'm already preparing for this outcome yeah
       
 (DIR) Post #B4C1UqcQJv0xKxgcNs by the_art_of_giving_up@mastodon.social
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       @linear the difficulty gap of managing the risk of a cathedral vs bazaar burning down is massive, and the summers get hotter and drier...