Post AnjTc8rGLb6ERlvcLA by evilroda@wandering.shop
(DIR) More posts by evilroda@wandering.shop
(DIR) Post #AnjP0ojToLmlUuEcDo by ChrisWere@toot.wales
2024-11-05T11:37:57Z
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I think pollsters are hedging their bets by saying this race is closer than it is. I reckon Kamala will win this. Whether or not it'll be a smooth transition of power is perhaps another question.Pollsters have proven to be wrong for a number of the past elections, so I think they're just leaning into it being close to save face.
(DIR) Post #AnjPExnMuezhevnbXc by Sbectol@toot.wales
2024-11-05T11:40:31Z
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@ChrisWere I think there are things that make it hard to call - including that some of those charged with certifying election results in some areas clearly having an interest in making sure one of the candidates wins. And obviously the impact of the SC.
(DIR) Post #AnjSWfgJIXsCYTdJ1U by gardiner_bryant@mastodon.online
2024-11-05T12:17:16Z
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@ChrisWere I have to agree with you. They have been so catastrophically wrong over the last few cycles. I think the most realistic poll is the Selzer poll from Iowa. 11+ point swing away from MAGA.
(DIR) Post #AnjTc8rGLb6ERlvcLA by evilroda@wandering.shop
2024-11-05T12:29:30Z
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@ChrisWere A streamer I follow has a pet conspiracy theory that media outlets are just saying it's close because that makes them more money.
(DIR) Post #Anjnt5KAjkrnUeo5nU by ChrisWere@toot.wales
2024-11-05T16:16:40Z
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@evilroda That's very possible.