Post AR6RuRfTnS8mBfF4HQ by hans@social.gerwitz.com
(DIR) More posts by hans@social.gerwitz.com
(DIR) Post #AR6MYDXp7x2sF5F6cy by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T10:35:31Z
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Year 2022 is soon over, and it is time for predictions for 2023. Here are my predictions for social media. Thank you for boosting!1. The chaos on Twitter after Elon's purchase has made it obvious that eccentric billionaires owning the public town squares of the internet is not a good idea. Single individuals or corporations owning the main messaging or social media platforms makes our societies vulnerable to changes in the algorithms or moderation models.The rapid growth of Mastodon has made both investors and entrepreneurs realize the Web3 might not be solely about blockchain-based finance, but about bringing back open protocols of the early internet, and decentralizing critical services through these protocols.My prediction: massive growth of interest in Web3 innovations OUTSIDE the blockchain space, and specifically in the social media space.2. EU:s Digital Markets Act (DMA) regulation will kick off from May 2023. It forces gatekeeper platforms like Google, Apple, Meta, LinkedIn, Twitter and others to make their communication interfaces interoperable, further accelerating Web3 innovations in the social media space.It will also end Apple's lock on iOS, enabling people to sideload apps and use 3rd party App Stores. Currently, Apple is still planning to exert their iOS tax, now at a new rate of 27% on all commercial activity on iOS devices - there are over 1.8 billion of them in use. It remains to be seen how sustainable it is in the long term.My prediction: the mobile app stores will be in flux during 2023 as entrepreneurs and platform owners adjust to the new reality. New Web3 entrants to the social apps category will have to come up with new business models as the decentralization will make ad funding unsustainable.3. With a lot of people and non-profit communities hosting their own social media content, regulators will have to re-assess the content moderation regulations as the counterparties are not anymore large corporations with big lawyer teams. We might see some lawsuits that establish the new rules and limits for "free speech" on the internet.My prediction: As all other approaches are too costly, we will see free and paid AI-powered auto-moderation tools enter all public forums and chat groups for compliance reasons.What do you think, do these make sense? What are your predictions for 2023?✨ Happy New Year! ✨#socialmedia #predictions #web3 #newyear #mastodon #twitter #apple
(DIR) Post #AR6MYDwHf0bxSwgdkm by osma@mas.to
2022-12-29T13:21:53Z
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@alasaarelaCould we perhaps agree that 2022 is the year Web3 is buried? That term is cringe and doesn't deserve to be dragged into another year.
(DIR) Post #AR6MYEIyIel8bJIl7I by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T13:26:39Z
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@osma I think the web has to evolve, and I have no problem with the term itself as an umbrella term for decentralized applications on the web. There's a lot to work on, and moving the goalpost from blockchain applications to generally decentralized architectures is a meaningful shift, in my opinion.
(DIR) Post #AR6MYEjYho1hvljzYe by osma@mas.to
2022-12-29T14:10:07Z
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@alasaarela the term doesn't mean "decentralization" - that was part of the web from the get-go. It specifically refers to the crypto shite, and, along with crypto, deserves to die, lonely, starving and withering.
(DIR) Post #AR6MYF3PVzuEvL1qV6 by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T14:27:16Z
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@osma web1.0 was decentralized, but web2.0 centralized the control to a few American giants who became gatekeepers to everything. There's no real freedom left in the internet, as you will have to work with the tech MAGA: Apple, Google, Microsoft & Amazon to be able to build something meaningful. You will also have to give them a significant cut of your business due to their gatekeeper status.
(DIR) Post #AR6MYHADfeXbT2EJOK by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T14:30:09.883617Z
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@alasaarela @osma "web" is a toxic brand that needs to die imo. google purchased control a decade ago and now suddenly people care. make something less insane, there is a lot of desire from devs to do this.
(DIR) Post #AR6OkYOXdFFGI8uYEK by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T14:52:55Z
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@jeff @osma maybe we should start talking about the "internet" again.
(DIR) Post #AR6OkabjPAz59d674C by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T14:54:55.147856Z
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@alasaarela @osma we absolutely should. i always make a distinction between the internet and the web for this exact reason.
(DIR) Post #AR6PYfpaG609pkSWEy by hans@social.gerwitz.com
2022-12-29T15:03:21.603229Z
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@alasaarela @jeff @osma I am trying to make “social web” happen. Wish me luck.
(DIR) Post #AR6PYi5xqAICr88d3A by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:04:06.223434Z
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@hans @alasaarela @osma advice: dont use "web" in your branding. you will be forgotten.
(DIR) Post #AR6PuznIiUWY7S2EpU by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:07:57Z
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@hans @jeff @osma social internet sounds actually pretty refreshing after all the web lingo. Many people today are of an opinion that we need standard protocols, and then everyone connecting to those protocols to have a truly functional and fair social internet. Interested in hearing what you do in this space Hans!
(DIR) Post #AR6Q3CWZGoZtux7Yum by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:09:36.556846Z
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@alasaarela @hans @osma we could call it "the common internet etiquette" and see where it goes from there.
(DIR) Post #AR6QGo3L3Egg4hw8X2 by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:11:22Z
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@jeff @osma @hans I'm still trying to figure out how to force the gatekeepers to end their monopolistic practices to enable a true level playing field for innovation. EU regulations try to get that done, but often end up making it harder for the little guys in the process.
(DIR) Post #AR6QGqIIiZqP1gx78C by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:12:02.899894Z
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@alasaarela @osma @hans get the USA's regulators to enforce antitrust (lol)
(DIR) Post #AR6Qv3t1bLW6lWJ8zI by hans@social.gerwitz.com
2022-12-29T15:15:19.065502Z
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@jeff @alasaarela @osma I think we need to name the “functionality” of an internet presence that plugs in to the world of ActivityPub services. E.g. if Flickr federated, how will it be explained to the public? They wouldn’t become Mastodon.I hope we have a lot of interesting experiments ahead for how we manage this diversity. A lot of Twitter users loved it because it gave them a central online identity, I hope we can somehow offer that to people without the centralization. :-/
(DIR) Post #AR6Qv4UxKJrGfA3R6u by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:18:40Z
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@hans @jeff @osma one of the core principles of blockchain social platforms like Lens Protocol is that your identity and data are owned by you, and you can link them into any services that you find valuable. The idea is good, but the blockchain approach makes it extremely hard to bring into mainstream. We could try to have something similar in terms of the identity as it would enable a level playing field.
(DIR) Post #AR6Qv6fJGnKRNqujWi by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:19:15.744619Z
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@alasaarela @hans @osma blockchain does not scale by any metric or meaning of the term.
(DIR) Post #AR6RWXprDNraMghQhc by hans@social.gerwitz.com
2022-12-29T15:24:58.553460Z
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@alasaarela @jeff @osma indeed. I set up a personal server with this in mind (I will pipe feeds from other sites into accounts on it). My personal identity, then, is the second half of @account@server.But I don’t think this scales, without a Big Tech player enabling it…altruistically?
(DIR) Post #AR6RWa9QbahrXxs5U8 by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:26:06.022041Z
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@hans @alasaarela @osma altruism doesn't scale and this is the lesson we needed to learn from web 2
(DIR) Post #AR6RuRfTnS8mBfF4HQ by hans@social.gerwitz.com
2022-12-29T15:27:39.937464Z
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@jeff @alasaarela @osma “that’s the joke”…we haven’t solved central identity without central control, though DNS is promising to me.
(DIR) Post #AR6RuTv9Q9rfAqabz6 by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:30:23.652904Z
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@hans @alasaarela @osma i could tell you about my solution for all this we made at work but i am on vacation rn.tl;drip packet onion router with pubkey based tld for mapping addressessolution to zooko's trilema mapping to pubkeysall atop incentived routing infra
(DIR) Post #AR6SOYVmusj86G4BsW by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:35:45.713417Z
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@alasaarela @osma @hans i agree this is mostly a social problem, but it isnt solving itself without some technical backing.
(DIR) Post #AR6Sv0zoY2Exi1aa12 by osma@mas.to
2022-12-29T15:35:45Z
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@hans @alasaarela @jeff@federated.fun it seems I may be missing some part of the conversation here. Can't see jeff? Am I blocked or defederated? First time for me that I can't see a profile here.
(DIR) Post #AR6Sv1SWpHD1951Vlw by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:40:31Z
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@osma @hans @jeff Osma, looks like you can't tag Jeff, so there may be federation issue between your and his server. This could be a major obstacle for conversations over time if servers actively block other servers, leaving those who do no harm hanging.
(DIR) Post #AR6Sv3wjZwYirLAf8C by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:41:41.648219Z
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@alasaarela @osma @hans mas.to is a server with lots of uptight twitter users that love to send reports for the smallest infractions. they likely have blocked my domain, i am okay with this as those who isolate themselves are doomed to be irrelevant.
(DIR) Post #AR6TjhCXu5LV5Ni74y by osma@mas.to
2022-12-29T15:30:35Z
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@hans @alasaarela @jeff@federated.fun I think this is more of a social than a technical question. Who would I prefer to have my identity be associated with?1. just myself -- and accept all the costs & complexities of that, including that it'll be hard to disassociate2. some org/institution I currently associate with3. some institution I hope to forever associate with4. a large third party I have no meaningful relationship to other than their serviceThere is no one obvious right answer
(DIR) Post #AR6TjheCFHSoT8eCB6 by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:34:07Z
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@osma @hans @jeff We should have public utilities that are identity providers with them having no interest beyond providing infrastructure to your identity. That combined with GDPR rights to your data could enable a new paradigm.
(DIR) Post #AR6Tji44h4ADlOkrVw by hans@social.gerwitz.com
2022-12-29T15:44:25.020138Z
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@alasaarela @osma @jeff this could happen long term in the EU, hard to see it in the US or ROTW though 😞
(DIR) Post #AR6TjiVj2GHX99gwc4 by alasaarela@equel.social
2022-12-29T15:50:15Z
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@hans @jeff @osma I like the public utility concept as it doesn't attribute any other commercial interest to the identity, and we could find some ways to make it free. We already have such one in Finland, Mobiilivarmenne, that is a public utility style verified identity. The problem is that it is only available for free for Telia mobile subscribers.
(DIR) Post #AR6TnJuESPO5zjsAGu by jeff@federated.fun
2022-12-29T15:51:34.920902Z
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@alasaarela @hans @osma i think that the future of the internet needs to explicitly bar minors from participating.