Post 9me1lowC76nc45eYeu by mpjgregoire@mastodon.club
 (DIR) More posts by mpjgregoire@mastodon.club
 (DIR) Post #9mblWCO8lJvcHGkday by fitheach@mstdn.io
       2019-09-05T09:30:04Z
       
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       Boris Johnson failed in his attempt to get a General Election, last night, because Labour abstained in the vote.  A minimum ⅔rds majority of all MPs is required to get a GE. Labour don't want a GE, at this time.The only other route to a GE is a Vote of No-Confidence, where a majority of 1 vote is sufficient.So, we could have the ludicrous situation where BoJo has a VoNC in his own government & Labour then vote in support of Johnson's government.Sound ridiculous? Remember, this is #Brexit.
       
 (DIR) Post #9mdhDpIQHBICFQYz1U by mpjgregoire@mastodon.club
       2019-09-05T16:52:10Z
       
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       @fitheach Indeed.  It's already sufficiently bizarre that the HoC rejects the main policy of the government, but does not want that goverment replaced at this time.I gather that the current polls point to inconclusive results in a General Election; is that your read?Is it true that the government doesn't plan to prevent the bill from passing the Lords, and will not advise the Queen to refuse assent to it?#Brexit
       
 (DIR) Post #9mdhDpVBVjV6t0XAum by fitheach@mstdn.io
       2019-09-06T07:51:10Z
       
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       @mpjgregoire The opposition (Labour) tactic is quite clever, they really have BoJo hanging by the strings.Recent(ish) polls had the Tories well ahead. However, that lead is probably predicated on the UK Brexiting on Oct 31, hence BoJo's rush to have an election.I suspect the Tories will want to allow the Benn bill to pass, it is the only way to progress to an election. I'm not sure what effect the prorogue will have (if it goes ahead) , we don't know the timing.
       
 (DIR) Post #9me1lowC76nc45eYeu by mpjgregoire@mastodon.club
       2019-09-06T10:59:39Z
       
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       @fitheach Well, it's possible (again I'm not very familiar with the polls) that a major part of public sentiment is desire to bring the #Brexit argument to an end in the near future, one way or another.If that is a major factor, then parties imposing delay will lose support to parties pledging speedy resolution.The recent behaviour of PM Johnson suggests that this may be the #Tory theory of the electorate.
       
 (DIR) Post #9me1lpCr7A7utlRrd2 by fitheach@mstdn.io
       2019-09-06T11:41:22Z
       
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       @mpjgregoire I'm sure there will be people sick of the Brexit process, although I've not seen any polling to support that contention.The major difference will be the way the vote splits in a General Election. This is why BoJo is being so adamant about leaving on Oct 31, he is appealing to the Leave vote. The danger for BoJo is The Brexit Party. Although, Remainers may be in the majority, they likely will split their vote between Labour, LibDems, and, in Scotland, the SNP