[HN Gopher] How have prices changed in a year? NPR checked 114 i...
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       How have prices changed in a year? NPR checked 114 items at Walmart
        
       Author : srameshc
       Score  : 165 points
       Date   : 2026-01-14 16:39 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.npr.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.npr.org)
        
       | kenjackson wrote:
       | It's disappointing, but not surprising, that people thought the
       | president would make any really impact on inflation. That said,
       | with global conditions improving it looks like we could've
       | actually seen a drastically larger reduction in inflation if not
       | for the tariffs. The goals of the tariffs seem so misaligned with
       | what the country needs - again not surprising that we're doing
       | something the opposite of what we need - and again also not
       | surprising that his supporters don't seem to care.
        
         | _factor wrote:
         | A weak economy bodes well for cash infused investors as fire
         | sale prices arise.
         | 
         | I think we've crossed a line where we can no longer assume
         | basic alignment with "our" leadership.
        
         | seiferteric wrote:
         | I think the real issue is that for the powers that be,
         | inflation is seen as either neutral or a good thing. The only
         | people it hurts is the working class and the blame is nebulous.
         | So it is used as a tool to increase taxes without changing
         | laws, lower the cost of debt, and cut labor wages since they
         | don't get pay raises commensurate with inflation. So I think it
         | is a trick played upon the working class to screw them over in
         | the long term while the wealthy are protected because all their
         | assets simply go up in value with inflation. I think the target
         | inflation rate should be 0%, not 2%. I simply don't believe the
         | justification for the 2% target.
        
           | trashface wrote:
           | We're well above 2% anyway, I doubt they will ever hit that
           | again - they are already having to cut rates because job
           | market is frozen, and that will increase inflation pressure.
           | 
           | I track my spend each year and my personal actual inflation
           | rate has averaged about 4.5% over past 5 years. And I'm
           | pretty low income, my spending is all core stuff.
        
         | NickC25 wrote:
         | >It's disappointing, but not surprising, that people thought
         | the president would make any really impact on inflation
         | 
         | Except that a president, in normal times, COULD make an impact
         | on inflation, both directly and indirectly.
         | 
         | What is surprising, is that after a completely failed
         | presidency that saw a marked decrease in middle class
         | prosperity, people thought that Donald Trump, of all people,
         | could bring inflation down.
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | man, i already can't wait for November to be over.
        
       | jrussino wrote:
       | Thanks to NPR for this important reporting; it sucks that the
       | Corporation for Public Broadcasting is shutting down after losing
       | all of its funding.
       | 
       | This "basked of goods" approach to understanding price inflation
       | seems outdated to me. 114 items! It seems to me like there must
       | be organizations out there with tons and tons of price and
       | consumer spending data for thousands and thousands of items,
       | right? It should be possible to get much more comprehensive
       | measurement of price changes over time vs and approach taken like
       | this one (or the CPI, for that matter).
        
         | bpt3 wrote:
         | 1. It sounds like you're just describing a larger "basket of
         | goods"? That data is available, but also valuable, and I'm not
         | sure why the basket of goods tracked by the CPI or NPR would be
         | inadequate.
         | 
         | 2. This specific exercise is designed to be relatable to
         | individuals (in general, and specifically ones such as the
         | people interviewed in the article who claimed that their
         | grocery bill went up about 50% in a year, which is implausible
         | to put it politely) so that they can understand the actual
         | level of inflation rather than the one they imagined in their
         | head.
        
         | darth_avocado wrote:
         | I've had a gripe with "basket of goods" approach. Does a
         | household really care that much if the game of clue is 10%
         | cheaper in 2025?
         | 
         | There needs to be an index that reflects what people really
         | need and the closest I've found is the ALICE index:
         | https://www.unitedforalice.org/essentials-index
        
           | eszed wrote:
           | I did not know about this, and it's _excellent_. Seems like a
           | one-shot explanation for the  "vibe-flation" phenomenon that
           | many people find mystifying.
        
           | bpt3 wrote:
           | Most households are able to afford more than the essentials
           | and do care about the cost of entertainment.
           | 
           | There's value in the index you described as well, but IMO it
           | doesn't make sense to use it as the basis for the overall
           | economy.
        
             | turtletontine wrote:
             | Thinking about the "overall economy" increasingly means
             | focusing on the spending of the rich, and ignoring the poor
             | and struggling. A consequence of increasing inequality is
             | the rich make up more and more consumer spending. Consumer
             | spending can therefore easily look great while most people
             | are struggling to get by. There really is no "overall
             | economy", there are many many different stories happening
             | all at once, and focusing on simple metrics lets you easily
             | fool yourself.
        
               | wasabi991011 wrote:
               | > Thinking about the "overall economy" increasingly means
               | focusing on the spending of the rich, and ignoring the
               | poor and struggling. A consequence of increasing
               | inequality is the rich make up more and more consumer
               | spending.
               | 
               | It means increasingly focusing on the spending of the
               | rich, _because the population is increasingly richer_.
               | Proportion of families making more that 150k (in 2024
               | dollars) has gone from 5% in 1967 to 33% in 2024, while
               | both middle class (50k-150k) and poor ( <50k) have
               | decreased. [1]
               | 
               | [1] https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dtoi!,f_auto,
               | q_auto:...
        
               | turtletontine wrote:
               | Great example. The population as a whole is richer like
               | you say, and also the richest 10% account for half of
               | consumer spending, compared to 36% 30 years ago. [1] So
               | yes, consuming spending has become more of a metric of
               | the wealthy's spending habits.
               | 
               | No single metric tells the whole story, and by taking
               | them in isolation it's quite easy to lose the forest for
               | the trees.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/us-economy-
               | strength-ri...
        
             | darth_avocado wrote:
             | > Most households are able to afford more than the
             | essentials and do care about the cost of entertainment.
             | 
             | 1/3 of the households make less than $50k. Mean survival
             | budget is $35k-40k. After taxes, if a third of the
             | population can barely meet a survival budget, an index like
             | this needs to be part of the overall economy.
             | 
             | And the point of the ALICE index is exactly to address what
             | you are pointing out. When wages, social security etc. were
             | increasing proportionally to the essential goods, it made
             | sense to have the CPI include other goods and services,
             | allowing policy makers to use it as a basis for policy
             | directions. However, when essentials become expensive
             | faster than non essentials, it creates a problem for policy
             | makers. It explains the "vibeflation" where policy makers
             | were pushing back hard on economic struggles that most
             | people are feeling by pointing to CPI numbers that show a
             | 2-3% inflation, meanwhile people are struggling and dipping
             | into savings to make things work.
             | 
             | We need to have both.
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Beyond just the monthly/yearly changes are the cumulative
               | affects of those changes and disparities of wage
               | stagnation with record inflation over time. Increased
               | rent/housing costs are also a massive factor.
               | 
               | Not even counting the number of households who are at
               | credit card and other debt limits at close to 30%
               | interest. Trump has given some lip service to trying to
               | get this down to 10%, but it'll really take congress to
               | make anything happen that has a chance of sticking.
               | 
               | A lot of people are very underwater.
        
             | t-3 wrote:
             | It doesn't make a lot of sense to measure the cost of
             | entertainment in terms of monetary inflation though. Hugely
             | price-tiered status-signaling goods like kids toys just
             | don't respond to market forces in the same way commodities
             | do.
        
           | boplicity wrote:
           | Toys for kids are absolutely a necessity in most households
           | with kids.
        
             | darth_avocado wrote:
             | Only when you can afford them.
        
             | baobabKoodaa wrote:
             | Why does your child need 34 or 35 toys? She can be happy
             | with just one or two toys.
        
               | queuebert wrote:
               | "Back in my day, we had a cardboard box and a stick and
               | didn't complain ..."
        
               | dpark wrote:
               | "Why don't you just live like you're destitute? So
               | ungrateful?!"
               | 
               | How many toys do _you_ have?
        
             | barbazoo wrote:
             | People could save so much money if they bought used instead
             | of new more often, especially toys. It's crazy how much
             | garbage we produce basically just because we literally
             | don't share our toys.
        
               | thatfrenchguy wrote:
               | I think you mean, spend $0 instead, given how many folks
               | are donating toys on local facebook groups
        
             | sudobash1 wrote:
             | I have come away from Christmas with almost the opposite
             | conclusion. I have 3 young kids, and I notice almost an
             | inverse correlation between the number of toys around and
             | how contently they play.
             | 
             | The ideal number of toys is non-zero, but my experience
             | suggests that it is pretty low.
        
             | elevation wrote:
             | Toys/gifts are important, but you'll find most of what you
             | need (baby toys to bicycles) for pennies on the dollar at
             | your local yard sale, estate sale, or free as hand-me-downs
             | from an older family.
             | 
             | I would hesitate to include the retail prices for these
             | kinds of goods to a CPI type metric because the price are
             | incredibly flexible.
        
           | naet wrote:
           | I think the ALICE index is great for tracking pure essentials
           | and survivability, which is definitely important, but it's
           | also not unreasonable to track things that aren't 100%
           | essential.
           | 
           | My household does care if basic games and toys are cheaper or
           | more expensive; we have kids and want to get some amount of
           | stuff for them. If the price changes we will get more or less
           | of those things since our budget for them is limited. I
           | probably won't fall into abject poverty if some non essential
           | things go up in price, but I also will be buying less which
           | has both personal and broader economic impacts.
        
             | darth_avocado wrote:
             | Absolutely. You need both. The point I'm trying to make is
             | that we only have CPI which drives most policy decisions.
             | However when you need about $40k to just survive and 1/3 of
             | the households make less than $50k before taxes, you also
             | need something like this to make effective policy
             | decisions. Social security payments are a great example. If
             | you adjust them only based on CPI, and essentials get more
             | expensive at a higher rate than non essentials, you create
             | a system where over a period of time, social security
             | payments would barely cover the essentials.
        
           | throw0101d wrote:
           | > _I've had a gripe with "basket of goods" approach. Does a
           | household really care that much if the game of clue is 10%
           | cheaper in 2025?_
           | 
           | The game of Clue, and other games/toys, are in basket of
           | goods because _on average_ Americans spend some portion of
           | their income per surveys:
           | 
           | * https://www.bls.gov/respondents/cpi/
           | 
           | The CPI published (and in headlines) isn't about _your
           | personal_ spending, but the spending _on average_ spread over
           | millions of people /households. The CPI is a _model_ of
           | reality, and so pointing to a _particular_ instantiation of
           | consumer will not match _exactly_ :
           | 
           | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_models_are_wrong
        
           | joshuamorton wrote:
           | This isn't really indexing in the same way that the CPI is
           | indexing.
           | 
           | Alice pulls medians from other surveys (so it uses what I
           | assume to be CPI food and CPI housing data, though they may
           | also use other things), and then includes childcare and
           | healthcare costs with some (imo) pretty painful assumptions,
           | and then tacks on a random 10% "misc" category. It does a
           | good job of creating a very high estimate of costs. As one
           | example, I looked at the housing cost for an suburb I'm
           | familiar with, and it lists the housing cost for a single
           | individual as nearly $1800, you can pretty easily find 1BR
           | apartments for 1-1.2K in that area, and utilities aren't
           | going to run $600/mo, and you can pretty easily go cheaper.
           | 
           | And then again after doing that it tacks on a "misc" 10%
           | budget item. I wouldn't call it a good estimate of "what
           | people really need" and also it consumes the basket of goods,
           | it doesn't compare to it.
        
           | kjshsh123 wrote:
           | The CPI components are individually tracked and weighting is
           | public. You can just play with the weights.
        
         | tclancy wrote:
         | The Economist tried to solve this in the past with
         | https://www.economist.com/interactive/big-mac-index
         | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Mac_Index for non-
         | subscribers)
        
           | tracker1 wrote:
           | I often toyed with the thought of a TP index... literally the
           | spend on something you use to wipe crap off your rear and
           | throw away.
        
             | autoexec wrote:
             | Short of unrolling it all and weighing it by the pound the
             | math involved in the cost of TP is complicated. That said,
             | McDonald's use of discriminatory/surge pricing complicates
             | the actual cost of a big mac too.
        
               | tracker1 wrote:
               | Even by the pound would be hard... quality two-ply vs
               | low-grade gas station TP... The price per unit is also
               | difficult to compare... are you getting the costco packs
               | that still have the larger per-sheet area or the new,
               | smaller sheets.
               | 
               | Not to mention, in general it might be a counter-
               | intuitive index... If the spend per person on TP on
               | average goes down, is that an uptake in bidets, lowered
               | tp costs, or economic affects and people choosing cheaper
               | options?
               | 
               | That said, I still think it could be a "fun" index to
               | track over time.
        
         | hoofhearted wrote:
         | https://www.spins.com/
        
         | queuebert wrote:
         | Credit card companies have all of this data. They could track
         | classes of spending and regress out rising incomes, age, etc.
        
         | topspin wrote:
         | > Thanks to NPR for this important reporting
         | 
         | It's fascinating to see such work. By the grace of NPR,
         | apparently the "transient inflation" narrative is _officially_
         | inoperative, and plebian concerns about the price of eggs are
         | now worthy!
         | 
         | Will wonders never cease?
        
       | linuxftw wrote:
       | Wages and energy have not increased. Tariffs on food are
       | basically non existent for most items.
       | 
       | It's 100% purely supply side pricing, propped up by government
       | spending and credit (which is largely backstopped by the
       | government as well).
       | 
       | I listened to a podcast recently that some 'homeowners' have not
       | made a mortgage payment in years, have no ability to pay, but
       | here are essentially unlimited 'no doc' mortgage modifications
       | available since the Corona time period.
        
         | tomjakubowski wrote:
         | > listened to a podcast recently that some 'homeowners' have
         | not made a mortgage payment in years, have no ability to pay,
         | 
         | How? Somebody is holding the bag here on the mortgage - a bank,
         | probably. And they are fine with not receiving payments? Or is
         | somebody else making payments on the homeowner's behalf?
        
           | quietsegfault wrote:
           | Mortgage foreclosure is a legal process that takes a very
           | long time and is very expensive.
        
             | groby_b wrote:
             | Banks are perfectly well equipped to foreclose on you. Ask
             | anybody who was around in 2008.
             | 
             | You don't usually skate by on years of non-payments, so I'd
             | sticker the original claim with [citation needed]
        
               | Amezarak wrote:
               | Don't know if this is what the OP is referring to, but:
               | https://archive.is/2EObp
               | 
               | sounds like a very similar thing.
               | 
               | Here's another one on perpetual forbearances:
               | https://www.wsj.com/opinion/covid-housing-relief-forever-
               | rec...
               | 
               | This would seem to indicate that Covid forbearances are
               | extending into 2026: https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/SFH
               | /documents/SFH_FHA_INFO_...
        
               | linuxftw wrote:
               | Yeah, those are some of the programs I was referring to.
               | The 'loophole' aspect that was mentioned on the podcast
               | is that when the FHA does the 'loss mitigation' (aka,
               | refi's the loan), there is not any kind of qualification
               | as to whether the buyer will ever be able to make a
               | payment on the new loan. It's just approved anyway, and
               | the cycle can happen unlimited times.
               | 
               | I think they're looking at adding a means test, but I'm
               | unsure.
        
             | mbrameld wrote:
             | It doesn't take years, and it's less expensive than writing
             | off the mortgage.
        
               | quietsegfault wrote:
               | In judicial foreclosure states, the process can take 12
               | to 24 months, and longer if contested or if other periods
               | apply. In nonjudicial states, timelines are shorter but
               | still typically 4 to 9 months from default to sale.
               | 
               | Lenders incur legal fees, court costs, property taxes,
               | insurance, maintenance, HOA dues, servicing advances, and
               | loss of interest during the process. Industry estimates
               | often put foreclosure costs in the tens of thousands of
               | dollars per loan, excluding the loss from selling the
               | property below the outstanding balance.
               | 
               | "Writing off the mortgage" is not the realistic
               | alternative. Lenders generally compare foreclosure
               | against loan modification, repayment plans, short sales,
               | or deeds-in-lieu, because charge-offs are accounting
               | outcomes after losses are realized, not an operational
               | substitute for foreclosure.
        
           | linuxftw wrote:
           | So, the basic process is 1) Borrow stops making payments. 2)
           | Borrow goes into forbearance for 12 months just prior to
           | foreclosure start. 3) Forbearance ends, borrower cannot make
           | current. 4) FHA steps in to do loan modification.
           | Essentially, they roll the forebeared balance into the loan,
           | payoff the existing mortgage, and issue a new FHA-backed
           | loan, without any income or payment ability qualifications.
           | 5) Repeat the process again.
           | 
           | So, the government is making everyone whole.
        
       | zeroonetwothree wrote:
       | > swai fish fillets from Vietnam (up 34%)
       | 
       | Swai is perhaps the worst possible fish to buy (low nutritional
       | value, bad for environment, contains toxins) so (a) it's
       | unfortunate they picked this fish and (b) it's good it's more
       | expensive since perhaps people will buy less of it.
        
       | dsr_ wrote:
       | The article text cites a comment about ice cream becoming
       | unaffordable.
       | 
       | The numbers show reduced prices for milk and butter (e.g. cream),
       | and sugar remaining constant.
       | 
       | Thus: ice cream is being priced too high.
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | Maybe the milk and butter were local while the ice cream was
         | imported and hit with tariffs?
        
           | giancarlostoro wrote:
           | Less than .2% of ice cream is imported.
        
         | quietsegfault wrote:
         | First, I think you're probably right that ice cream is priced
         | too high compared to its inputs.
         | 
         | But maybe there are other factors? What about energy? One would
         | assume that ice cream has a higher energy requirement than
         | other "treat" style products? Are there specific tariff impacts
         | on ice cream manufacturing equipment?
        
         | fwip wrote:
         | Could be. But also, ice cream manufacturers buy their
         | ingredients more cheaply than consumers do. It is very possible
         | that the cost of milk/butter/sugar at Walmart reflect Walmart
         | deciding to lower their profit margins on these items, even if
         | the cost to Walmart has increased.
         | 
         | Or - Walmart is a big enough supplier that they have stable
         | contracts with manufacturers, and are able to purchase their
         | ingredients for the same cost as always, while Turkey Hill et
         | al is competing over what's left. (Like Apple, buying up TSMC
         | runs.)
        
         | lm28469 wrote:
         | If you try it at home you'll realise combining milk, butter and
         | sugar in a bowl doesn't create ice cream. And when you figure
         | out how to create ice cream you'll realise moving said ice
         | cream to a place where you can sell it requires extra steps too
        
           | Loudergood wrote:
           | How does the cost of chilling, packaging, and moving 1/2
           | Gallon of ice cream differ from 1/2 Gallon of frozen dairy
           | dessert?
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | You also have to learn how to do it without adding things
           | like listeria which seems like a difficult task for at least
           | one brand after multiple rounds of recalls.
        
         | infecto wrote:
         | Labor costs have risen. There are other inputs than a handful
         | of raw materials.
        
         | binary132 wrote:
         | it may be that the costs of labor, distribution, and
         | manufacture (for various reasons) have been increased
        
         | bpt3 wrote:
         | Does ice cream need to be affordable to 100% of US households,
         | regardless of their other budgeting decisions?
         | 
         | That's the implication of your comment.
        
           | VLM wrote:
           | The implication is economic decline.
           | 
           | Healthy economies "should" have a reward for specialization
           | where both supplier and purchaser win. There is no reward
           | anymore for economic specialization in the context of ice
           | cream; its cheaper to make your own, now. This is a troubling
           | long term implication for any *-as-a-service
           | 
           | There's a second even worse economic implication in that ice
           | cream has long been affordable to 100% of US households...
           | Now due to permanent long term economic decline its seen as
           | acceptable losses for some not to afford it anymore. Again,
           | troubling long term implications.
        
             | bpt3 wrote:
             | 1. Ice cream has never been affordable to 100% of US
             | households.
             | 
             | 2. I strongly suspect the couple in the article could
             | afford ice cream if they brought less beef, less name brand
             | items, or were just more savvy shoppers.
             | 
             | 3. I don't know how you determined that it's cheaper to
             | make your own ice cream, but I would say that's generally
             | inaccurate based on personal experience and a basic
             | assessment of input costs and a reasonable value on your
             | time.
             | 
             | 4. If you really feel like ice cream is overpriced, you
             | have identified an opportunity!
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | I've reduced my ice cream intake close to 0 solely based on
           | price. Specifically, I remember the prices from long ago to
           | the current just under $10. To me, ice cream should not be
           | the same price of a cheap bottle of wine or other alcohol as
           | an example comparison. We all have our own individual red
           | lines, but ice cream prices crossed mine some time ago
        
         | kbelder wrote:
         | Ice cream is being priced too high if the ice cream sellers
         | would make more money by decreasing the price of ice cream. If
         | they wouldn't, it is appropriately priced.
         | 
         | Or, from the buyer's perspective, it is priced appropriately if
         | the total amount buyers would spend on it would go down if the
         | price is lowered or raised.
         | 
         | There isn't a correct intrinsic price that an object should be
         | sold at that can be calculated based on the ingredients and
         | labor. That idea is one of the fundamental flaws of Marxism.
         | Price is a compromise between the buyers and sellers, based on
         | the values of each.
        
           | Edman274 wrote:
           | Is it completely insane and incoherent to imagine a situation
           | where ice cream has two equilibrium prices, one higher and
           | one lower, and the market just settles on the higher one?
           | Like, imagine a case where Jeni's would start losing money on
           | every pint if they reduced the price by a dollar, but they'd
           | make the same amount of money overall if they reduced it by
           | 3. But they're in a local optimum, the "price reduced by 3"
           | is identical for revenue purposes, and they choose their
           | current local optimum. Then ice cream could _still_ be priced
           | too high and be  "appropriately priced". Is this impossible?
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > Is it completely insane and incoherent to imagine a
             | situation where ice cream has two equilibrium prices, one
             | higher and one lower, and the market just settles on the
             | higher one?
             | 
             | It it completely insane? No. But draw a set of supply and
             | demand curves that supports it, and then try to come up
             | with a narrative that explains them. In the static, same
             | time, all other things being equal case, it is hard to do.
        
           | heisenbit wrote:
           | This story is a fiction pitting the seller and buyer against
           | each other in a context free vacuum. The reality is that
           | between buyer and seller there are channels which are either
           | under control of the seller or another powerfull third party.
           | The playing field is very difficult to enter for new sellers
           | and the number of sellers has been going down for a long time
           | tilting the playing field more and more against the buyer.
        
         | snake42 wrote:
         | Even if ice cream is lower, if the price of staples is going up
         | you have to make cuts elsewhere.
        
       | smallerize wrote:
       | At least Walmart is likely to honor the price on the shelf.
       | Dollar stores often just change prices without updating the
       | shelf, so you don't know what you're going to pay until you get
       | to the register. https://www.theguardian.com/us-
       | news/2025/dec/03/customers-pa...
        
         | lavezzi wrote:
         | This is illegal in the UK (and we aren't even talking about the
         | hidden tax surprise at US registers either), unsurprising to
         | see it's normalised in the US.
        
       | thegreatpeter wrote:
       | would be interesting to reveal the holding company behind each
       | brand and what impact they had on products
        
       | instagib wrote:
       | The physical size of charmin changed during the pandemic.
       | 
       | Good to track this yearly since some standard metrics are useless
       | versus the shrinkflation, reduction in quality ingredients, and
       | other manipulation we'll learn about sooner or later.
       | 
       | Many ice creams are now dairy desserts due to not having enough
       | ingredients to make the cut. Same with milk chocolates and now
       | declared chocolate candy due to not using enough real cocoa.
        
         | Supermancho wrote:
         | I'm not sure if it's a national thing, but Hardees/Carl's Jr
         | Large Cup sizes slowly decreased in volume until they matched
         | the McDonald's Large Cups.
         | 
         | There's been plenty of volume gaming as costs and prices have
         | risen.
        
         | snake42 wrote:
         | In the article it says:
         | 
         | To account for possible changes in package sizes, we focused on
         | the price per unit, whether it was an ounce of salsa or a
         | square foot of aluminum foil.
        
           | LeifCarrotson wrote:
           | It doesn't say that they accounted for possible changes in
           | item quality. Tide detergent claims that their new 80-oz
           | bottle of laundry detergent can wash 64 loads just like the
           | previous 100-oz bottle because it's more concentrated, and I
           | suppose NPR (if they'd retained a sample of the previous
           | product) could have brought that to a chemistry lab to test
           | and verify that claim, but I have no idea how you'd
           | objectively prove that an ounce of salsa had truly remained
           | the same product.
        
             | queuebert wrote:
             | Laundry detergent is usually priced as cents per load by
             | savvy shoppers. That would factor out smaller doses.
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | The amount of detergent per load is set by the
               | manufacturer, who can injection mold that measuring cup
               | in whatever size they want. FTA:
               | 
               | > _The amount of liquid had shrunk to 92 ounces from 100
               | ounces before the pandemic, and the price had risen by a
               | dollar. After that, the cost stayed the same, but the
               | contents shrank to 84 ounces in 2024 and then to 80
               | ounces in December._
               | 
               | > _The label continuously promised enough detergent for
               | 64 loads of laundry._
               | 
               | > _...Tide specifically got the "most significant upgrade
               | to its liquid formula in over 20 years," according to the
               | company, with a "boosted" level of active cleaning
               | ingredients and updated dosage instructions._
               | 
               | > _" The result is superior cleaning performance in a
               | smaller dose," a Procter & Gamble representative said._
               | 
               | Do you take them at their word for that? I'm specifically
               | wondering whether the 84 ounce, 64-load bottle with a cap
               | that measures out 1.3125 ounces per load contains the
               | exact same liquid as the 80 ounce, 64-load bottle with a
               | cap that measures out 1.25 ounces per load. I prefer
               | powder detergent with a prewash dose, I know my clothes
               | get clean, but I don't know that anyone outside a lab
               | would be able to inspect clothes post-wash and notice the
               | difference in cleanliness caused by the removal of 0.0625
               | ounces of detergent.
               | 
               | They have three ways to protect or boost profits: Raise
               | prices, decrease quantities, or decrease quality. NPR and
               | the
        
             | snake42 wrote:
             | Sure, but they are accounting for size shrinkage which the
             | original poster was saying they didn't.
             | 
             | I don't really know how you can account for quality either.
             | User surveys? Ingredient sourcing? But then again I think
             | this kind of reporting is just a general barometer. Some
             | other comments are pointing to data sources that might do
             | more of this.
        
         | yard2010 wrote:
         | In other words: enshitification ensues!
        
           | _DeadFred_ wrote:
           | When every company at once throws it at you it seems like
           | something different. Someone called it baffleware. It's all
           | too much to track/account for/adjust to, so you just comply.
           | Kind of like Trump and Project 2025, but it's being done on a
           | corporate level on everything in our lives.
        
         | apercu wrote:
         | I rarely eat pork, but saw some ridiculously cheap bacon at the
         | store last week.
         | 
         | When I got home I noticed it was 12oz instead of the
         | (historical) norm 16oz.
        
         | Kye wrote:
         | "Pack contains 6 Mega Rolls (224 Sheets Per Roll) of Charmin
         | Ultra Soft Toilet Paper"
         | 
         | to
         | 
         | "MEGA ROLLS, MEGA VALUE: Pack contains 6 Mega Rolls (208 Sheets
         | Per Roll) of Charmin Ultra Soft Toilet Paper"
         | 
         | Everyone saw that coming when they changed roll sizes and
         | reframed it, right?
        
           | autoexec wrote:
           | They can keep the sheets per roll the same and still give us
           | less for the same price if they reduce the dimensions or
           | thickness of the sheet too. They should just give us a weight
           | assuming the paper is less expensive than the cardboard roll
           | inside.
        
           | buildsjets wrote:
           | Toilet paper math is the hardest kind of math. According to
           | the print on various different packages of Charmin, and I
           | could not make this up:
           | 
           | 12 Mega Plus rolls = 54 Regular rolls
           | 
           | 30 Double Plus rolls = 68 Regular rolls
           | 
           | 12 Super Mega rolls = 72 Regular rolls
           | 
           | 18 Mega rolls = 72 Regular rolls usually, but sometimes are
           | sold as "Bonus Mega = 82 Regular rolls"
        
         | throw0101d wrote:
         | > _The physical size of charmin changed during the pandemic._
         | 
         | This is generlly taken into account. From StatCan, who
         | publishes Canada's CPI numbers:
         | 
         | > _7.10 Quantity adjustment entails accounting for changes in
         | the quantity (e.g. package size, number of tissue ply, etc.) of
         | observed POs. This is another implicit method of quality
         | adjustment because it is assumed that the quality per
         | standardized unit is the same over time._
         | 
         | > _7.11 Quantity adjustment is the default treatment for nearly
         | all of the POs in the food major aggregate as well as some of
         | the products in the household operations, and personal care
         | supplies and equipment aggregates._
         | 
         | *
         | https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/62-553-x/2023001/chap-7-...
         | 
         | * https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/en/catalogue/62-553-X
        
       | jimt1234 wrote:
       | > As affordability became Americans' top concern, big brands
       | began to worry about shoppers switching to store-label
       | competitors or skipping some purchases altogether.
       | 
       | I think, at least in the last year-or-so, big brands also became
       | worried about getting flamed by the president for raising prices.
        
         | NickC25 wrote:
         | The companies that got flamed by 1600 Penn were the ones that
         | raised prices without paying the occupant of 1600 Penn a bribe
         | beforehand.
        
           | arcanemachiner wrote:
           | For the other 96% of the world population: 1600 Penn is a
           | cute slang term referring to the address of the White House,
           | a.k.a the president.
        
       | dwa3592 wrote:
       | For the love of god- I can't understand why people buy paper
       | towels. It makes zero sense. It's expensive, you throw it after a
       | use. I started using cloth towels and life is so much better.
        
         | leptons wrote:
         | Same here.
         | 
         | We stopped using toilet paper during covid, got a bidet, and
         | bought a couple hundred shop towels to dry our butts. Now we
         | only buy toilet paper for guests, which happens maybe once a
         | year after throwing several parties.
         | 
         | Then we also bought shop towels for the kitchen to replace
         | paper towels. I love the shop towels so much.
         | 
         | The butt-towels are white, and we wash them with bleach,
         | there's been zero problems doing this over the last ~6 years.
         | If there happens to be a bit of excess poop on a towel
         | (typically there is none at all), we just throw it out, we have
         | hundreds. The kitchen towels are blue, so we don't mix them up
         | with the butt-towels.
         | 
         | We have laundry baskets for each kind of shop towel. A small
         | one in the bathrooms, a larger one in the kitchen for the
         | kitchen towels. We have to wash the butt-towels maybe once a
         | month, and about the same for the kitchen towels. It's a simple
         | chore that takes practically none of our time, less than it
         | would to go out and buy paper. No, the butt-towels do not smell
         | at all, they dry quickly and there's never been any problem
         | whatsoever.
         | 
         | It's so much better than spending multiple $100s of dollars a
         | year on paper that literally gets flushed down the toilet or
         | goes into the trash.
         | 
         | A few of our friends took notice and started doing this too.
         | 
         | Honestly, I don't know why we ever wiped our butts with toilet
         | paper for so many years, it's just so... shitty. It's just not
         | a good experience. When we travel we miss our bidet and shop
         | towels so much, to the point that I've ordered a cheap bidet if
         | I'm staying in an Airbnb for a week or more, and install it
         | there, and leave it behind. $30 well spent.
        
           | amitav1 wrote:
           | Take my upvote and leave this platform forever
        
         | steve_adams_86 wrote:
         | I don't use them frequently, but I love them for some things.
         | In particular, my wife likes our cloths to look nice. This
         | means wiping up something staining will make the cloths look
         | worse. In those cases I pull out a paper towel. I could get
         | black cloths to get around this, but she doesn't like those.
         | So, here we are.
         | 
         | They're also useful when I need to use a harsh chemical that I
         | don't want lingering on a household cloth my young kids might
         | use on their bodies.
         | 
         | I've had the same roll for around a year, but it's almost
         | exhausted. I think they're fine.
         | 
         | They're also very useful in a lab setting, but that's another
         | matter.
        
       | amatecha wrote:
       | What a poorly-built site. There is a cookie banner covering a
       | popover solicitation for donations, covering an inset
       | photo/caption which itself is covered by a cookie banner (wtf?)
       | ... closed the tab.
        
       | steviedotboston wrote:
       | the price of name brand soda is outrageous. I remember when it
       | was around a dollar a bottle not long ago, now it's basically 3
       | dollars a bottle. I can't think of a good explanation for this.
       | It's water and subsidized corn syrup.
        
         | blell wrote:
         | >I can't think of a good explanation for this.
         | 
         | Supply and demand.
        
         | ComputerGuru wrote:
         | It was intentional price gouging, but prices have become to
         | come down after shareholders pressured CEOs to lower the prices
         | in response to tepid sales numbers.
         | 
         | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pepsico-cut-prices-eliminate-...
         | 
         | (The link is for PepsiCo but we all know that they all raised
         | their prices together and will lower their prices together.)
        
         | reincarnate0x14 wrote:
         | They're pricing at the point of pain, not maximizing
         | efficiency. There are few enough companies (what, like, 3?)
         | that own the majority of the brands so they don't even need to
         | collude to figure out that they can all hover around "as high
         | as we can get away with" together.
         | 
         | I've been nursing a minor Coke Zero addiction for years but
         | usually get the store brand which is close enough at half the
         | cost. For whatever reason Coke Zero itself dropped in price by
         | about 30% recently but that's apparently not nationwide.
         | 
         | It really kind of blows my mind how much of that people drink.
         | I'll get a 2 liter bottle that will last days and then I read
         | about people going through entire cases of Mountain Dew Insane
         | Flavor Combo Super Bacinator Blast in a day and it's like my
         | god that's like 4000 kcals of corn syrup.
        
           | barbazoo wrote:
           | It's sad to see, when I go to my local Walmart, how much
           | sugar water people buy, cases and cases. It must be a
           | significant source of liquid for them.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | More importantly it is a significant source of calories. My
             | brother quit soda years ago when he realized he was getting
             | 1/3 of his daily calories from sugar - a little sugar is
             | okay but you can't meet your daily nutrient needs when that
             | much is from sugar. If it is just liquid soda is just as
             | others (and probably better than alcohol), but there are
             | other considerations.
        
             | ricree wrote:
             | > how much sugar water people buy, cases and cases
             | 
             | One confounding factor here is that oftentimes the price is
             | only reasonable in bulk. I don't know about walmart, but
             | around me the best deal typically is "buy 2 get 3 free". I
             | rarely buy/drink soda, but on the occasions I buy at all
             | I'll be getting many cases at a time.
        
           | ninju wrote:
           | Late stage capitalism
        
         | Aloisius wrote:
         | I buy soda syrup to make soda, but even that's gotten
         | expensive. Funny thing is that I do it to reduce how much I was
         | putting in recycling, but even with the extra state tax for
         | bottles/cans, it actually costs me slightly more to make it
         | myself.
         | 
         | I've had great results making my own mineral water clones
         | though, so maybe I'll try making LabCoatz's coca cola clone
         | syrup and see how it works with sucrolose or allulose.
        
         | scythe wrote:
         | If you're buying individual bottles, you're paying for the
         | refrigerator. Otherwise you buy boxes and it's still very
         | cheap. Spindrift is $6.49 for an eight-pack and LaCroix is
         | cheaper. I haven't bought Coke in a long time, sorry.
        
           | sejje wrote:
           | Pepsi, coke ,Dr p, A&W root beer are now all .50c per can or
           | more, in bulk cases from Sam's. Root beer is like 75c/can.
           | 
           | 5 years ago I think they were about 30c.
        
         | Rebelgecko wrote:
         | It's totally "because they can". Even if you take marketing
         | budgets into account I can't imagine it costs that much more to
         | make a 2l of Diet Coke vs the store brands which still sell for
         | $1 where I live
        
         | vinyl7 wrote:
         | The thing with inflation is that a product's individual
         | components may cost the same or less over time, but the cost of
         | everything else...like housing...doubles every couple of years.
         | So you need to increase prices to support higher salaries,
         | increasing minimum wage, etc. It's rides the line of becoming
         | run away inflation since everyone needs to raise prices to
         | support COL, then everything gets more expensive, then they
         | need to raise prices again to support everything else getting
         | more expensive. It's a loop that will never be closed
        
         | thatfrenchguy wrote:
         | That stuff is so bad for you though that raising the price
         | probably decreases the country's total healthcare costs by
         | quite a bit.
        
       | jmward01 wrote:
       | It would be interesting to see inflation indexes based on
       | different typical buyers, to include the ultra rich. Basically,
       | inflation isn't uniform and impacts people differently. Of course
       | that brings up how you actually measure the impact of inflation
       | to the ultra rich when the price of corn flakes is meaningless
       | and their personal purchase are negligible. Maybe you look at how
       | much the cost to buy a politician has gone up?
        
       | maerF0x0 wrote:
       | FWIW, a frugal person can't simply think to eat whatever has
       | declined in price... It's worth realizing that, for example, a
       | 20% rise on the 0.33 ramen is still one of your cheapest options.
       | 
       | From my perspective (ie, in the USA) it can still be hella cheap
       | if you're willing to cook food yourself from scratch. Rice,
       | Beans, Lentils, and frozen veggies can give you the baseline of
       | very nutritious meals (but boring af) for like $2 a day.
       | 
       | you can eat (all dry/unprepared weight) 100g white rice, 100g
       | black beans, 100g black lentils, 225g frozen mixed veggies for
       | about $1 if you buy in small bulk (like 2-5lbs at a time)
        
         | morcus wrote:
         | If you add a few cents of spices a day, I would argue it's not
         | even too boring af and can even arguably be fairly tasty!
        
       | RickS wrote:
       | We're really sorely missing something like "semver for food".
       | 
       | I don't have deep food industry knowledge, IIRC there are some
       | rules around SKUs needing to rotate in response to certain
       | changes, but these are completely opaque to customers. People
       | should know they're eating snickers 12.2.2, and while a sub-1%
       | change to one ingredient's amount might be a patch bump, a 10%
       | total weight reduction should absolutely trigger a major version
       | bump. SKU and nutrition labels should be tied to a public
       | changelog, and inaccuracies in that changelog should
       | proportionally imperil manufacturer solvency.
        
       | Night_Thastus wrote:
       | This was really informative!
       | 
       | A recent job loss forced me to look harder at my own financials,
       | and I was surprised just how much things like groceries accounts
       | for in overall spending. I'm making a habit this year of, at the
       | end of each day, recording what I spent and on what - so I can
       | get better data.
       | 
       | I appreciate what NPR did here. Taking into account price per
       | ounce/square foot/etc is essential so I'm glad they did.
       | 
       | It's useful to see these kinds of changes, can help make
       | decisions. If company X is shrinking product Y, maybe it's time
       | to look for an off-brand instead? That's what I'll be doing for a
       | lot of things.
        
       | throw0101d wrote:
       | Going out and checking prices independently of official numbers
       | has been thing for a while:
       | 
       | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIT_Billion_Prices_project
       | 
       | Generally peer-reviewed papers have shown the official CPI
       | numbers are fairly accurate.
        
       | trebligdivad wrote:
       | I'm surprised the US doesn't try doing chocolate growing in some
       | of it's big empty, hot states.
        
         | watersb wrote:
         | In general, if there's enough water to grow chocolate, then a
         | relatively hot, empty state chooses to build single-family
         | housing developments and five-lane roads.
         | 
         | The really empty states lack the water.
        
       | bradhe wrote:
       | Cue outrage from the conservative administration for _checks
       | notes_ quality journalism.
        
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