[HN Gopher] Brazil Hits 92% Renewable Energy Milestone
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       Brazil Hits 92% Renewable Energy Milestone
        
       Author : thelastgallon
       Score  : 83 points
       Date   : 2024-02-12 20:05 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (old.reddit.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (old.reddit.com)
        
       | Qem wrote:
       | Most of it is hydropower. But most good hydropower sites are
       | already tapped, so we shouldn't expect this source growth to keep
       | pace in the future. So, to keep these numbers good, it's
       | necessary to crank up the deployment of solar panels and wind
       | turbines a lot.
       | 
       | Also solve the deforestation problem for good, otherwise Brazil
       | will shoot its own feet by causing deforestation-induced droughts
       | to decrease available hydropower.
        
         | soperj wrote:
         | Not to mention some of it's hydropower is dirtier than coal in
         | terms of methane & co2 produced.
         | 
         | https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7046-hydroelectric-po...
        
           | krunck wrote:
           | Uh, no. Nowhere in that article do they mention coal. Not do
           | they do not do a comparison of hydro plant and fossil fuel
           | plant emissions per megawatt-hour generated.
        
             | timbit42 wrote:
             | If scientists can't agree on the impact of methane, they
             | probably can't say whether it is worse than coal or not.
        
             | soperj wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balbina_Dam
             | 
             | "As a result of the methane released from its vast
             | reservoir, proportional to its output, the Balbina Dam
             | emits ten times more greenhouse gases than a coal plant."
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | This is going to depend very heavily on where the dam is
               | placed. Balbina is particularly bad because it sunk a ton
               | of organic material with a bunch of acreage taken up.
               | 
               | Almost a worst case for a dam really.
        
               | feedforward wrote:
               | Yes he is using as an example what is probably the most
               | inefficient dam in the world.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | That's extremely misleading to the point of being false.
               | The dam is creating zero carbon and Methane breaks down
               | to CO2 which is then counted as part of its global
               | warming impact on some timescale.
               | 
               | When you remove the dam the total global warming impact
               | from all the methane produced over a ~100 year lifespan
               | quickly goes to 0. That doesn't happen from a coal power
               | plant.
        
               | Qem wrote:
               | ~100 years still too late. In 2050 we already risk
               | catastrophic impacts if we keep business as usual.
        
           | DavidKarlas wrote:
           | Isn't this just cycling carbon in ecosystem? Same as planting
           | tree on 100 year scale is pointless... I would imagine that
           | hydro is ~neutral on 100 year scale, while coal is not, since
           | we introduce carbon into ecosystem. What am I missing?
        
             | soperj wrote:
             | Produces methane, not CO2 because the plants decompose in
             | an oxygen free environment. Because of the cycling of water
             | throughout the year, during the dry seasons plants grow
             | along the shoreline (which varies considerably because of
             | the use of hydro), and then are covered up during the rainy
             | season. This can be hundreds of kms every year.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | Methane isn't great, but unlike CO2 is has a pretty short
               | lifetime in the atmosphere (just 12 years). So the impact
               | of the methane release from hydro is basically static
               | rather than an ever increasing problem.
        
               | TSiege wrote:
               | This is not true! Methane is not only 84x more warming
               | than CO2, it is at a record high at <1900ppb and rising,
               | the current level is higher than the RCP 4.5 warming
               | scenario by the IPCC (which is in the middle level of a
               | warming scenario), and there is evidence that the
               | atmospheric lifespan might be increasing
        
           | feedforward wrote:
           | It is not dirtier. In the first week of operation it is
           | dirtier, but then at some point it crosses a threshold and
           | becomes permanently less dirty. As that article you link to
           | attests.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | Brazil is sitting in a pretty optimal position, though. Solar &
         | wind is currently by far the cheapest energy source, if you can
         | deal with the intermittency. And with so much hydropower,
         | Brazil can slow down hydro power when the sun is shining and
         | speed it up when it isn't.
         | 
         | You usually need to maintain flow in your rivers so you can't
         | shut dams down completely and use hydro as pure storage, but
         | the ratio of storage:generation on a dam can be adjusted.
        
           | TSiege wrote:
           | Given the projected savannization of much of the Amazon
           | Rainforest, and the current drought being a preview of that,
           | I don't think it's safe to assume the staying power of it's
           | hydro. Damming of rivers also has drammatic impacts on
           | riverine ecosystems which again coupled with the projected
           | drier future gives me a lot of pause
        
       | dheera wrote:
       | While it's good for the power grid to be mostly renewable energy
       | and it may be a great milestone, let's not forget that without
       | conversion of vehicles to renewable energy Brazil is still
       | running its total energy requirements _mostly_ on fossil fuels.
        
         | gchamonlive wrote:
         | That is untrue. 27% of gas is ethanol, and virtually all cars
         | run on both gas and ethanol. Trucks use diesel, sure, but the
         | amount of cars running on ethanol is not negligible. So while
         | you would still need to renew the automotive fleet to electric
         | vehicles to tap into that, Brazil is already using renewable
         | fuel sources for cars.
         | 
         | Not to mention that converting all cars to electricity will put
         | more pressure on the electric distribution infrastructure which
         | in itself will require more investments and will cause
         | environmental impact invariably.
        
           | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
           | ethanol produces more emissions than regular gas. the only
           | thing ethanol is good for is as a farming subsidy.
        
             | cma wrote:
             | Corn ethanol end to end does, but does sugarcane ethanol in
             | the tropics?
        
             | kurthr wrote:
             | Generally, that is true BUT...
             | 
             | In Brazil there is a huge manufacture of sugar with excess
             | baggasse that is used to power sugar extraction/drying and
             | provide heat for alcohol distillation. There is a related
             | industry of extracting leftover sugars, fermenting them,
             | and making alcohol in rural agricultural regions, where the
             | infrastructure for gasoline and diesel didn't exist 20-30
             | years ago. As a result, there is a lot of infrastructure
             | for distributing locally produced 95% alcohol for transport
             | (and you need to have specific gravity measured at the
             | pump!). Unlike fertilized corn/grain alcohol from the
             | midwest, this is not subsidized and still less expensive
             | that gasoline in many parts of rural Brazil.
        
         | cassianoleal wrote:
         | I don't know the numbers but I don't doubt diesel for trucks
         | makes up a lot and perhaps most of the energy consumption in
         | the country.
         | 
         | Thankfully, the federal government seems to be taking notice
         | and railways are a priority for the new PAC [0] (_Programa de
         | Aceleracao do Crescimento_, or program for growth
         | acceleration).
         | 
         | It's not much but it's a start.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.gov.br/transportes/pt-
         | br/assuntos/noticias/2024/...
        
       | alex201 wrote:
       | Brazil is truly "samba"-rific, hitting a high note with 92.4% of
       | its electricity by renewables. It seems they're not just good at
       | producing great music and football talent. Obrigado, Brazil, for
       | showing us how it's done!
        
       | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
       | The power went out every now and then while I was in Brazil last
       | year. Costa Rica was quite a bit while I was living there.
       | 
       | I'm not sure I can agree to be excited about an arbitrary
       | milestone without equivalence to expectations.
        
       | skohan wrote:
       | This is no doubt a milestone we should celebrate. At the same
       | time, the Brazilian beef industry is the driving force behind
       | slash-and-burn expansion of agricultural land into the
       | rainforest, so Brazil is still a massive contributor to climate
       | change.
        
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       (page generated 2024-02-12 23:01 UTC)