[HN Gopher] Study: Field Drug Tests Generate Nearly 30k Bogus Ar...
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       Study: Field Drug Tests Generate Nearly 30k Bogus Arrests a Year
        
       Author : rntn
       Score  : 158 points
       Date   : 2024-01-18 12:21 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.techdirt.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.techdirt.com)
        
       | Euphorbium wrote:
       | All drug arrests are bogus, tests or no tests. Unless they are
       | aresting for nonpurity of drugs.
        
         | buro9 wrote:
         | then they would arrest you for selling cocaine that is 100%
         | impure (it's bird poop from your car bonnet)
        
           | InCityDreams wrote:
           | Reasonable suspicion: unknown white substance....
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | You can absolutely be arrested and convicted and serve time
           | on attempt to sell/distribute even if the thing is 100% not a
           | real drug.
        
             | fragmede wrote:
             | It surprised me to find out that selling fake drugs is a
             | crime.
        
         | dekken_ wrote:
         | any form of unjust parasitism is basically slavery
        
         | pelagicAustral wrote:
         | I think this Conor McGregor's take on the issue...
        
       | giantg2 wrote:
       | The real root of this sort of issue is how the courts treat the
       | standard of probable cause. It's supposed to be that the evidence
       | presented is proof of a crime (but not as far as beyond
       | reasonable doubt, but just that the 1 sided evidence supports
       | it). Instead they often use the lower standard of reasonable
       | suspicion.
       | 
       | As an example, a bag of white powder cannot meet the standard of
       | probable cause by itself. Maybe if the person holding it had a
       | record of trafficking, or something like that. If the instant
       | tests have a 90%+ accuracy rate, then that should be enough for a
       | warrant to seize and test the substance with an high accuracy
       | test. But I would contend that without other evidence it
       | shouldn't be enough for a custodial arrest.
       | 
       | But none of this really matters because the judges are not
       | impartial. They want to think of themselves as good guys, and
       | they think of the cops as good guys. So of course they
       | automatically side with the cops. Or as we in civil things like
       | red flag laws, they generally ignore the "more likely than not"
       | standard to "err on the side of caution" by issuing them almost
       | by default. Absolutely insane that they get away with this,
       | especially the ones who admit it.
        
         | pixl97 wrote:
         | >But none of this really matters because the judges are not
         | impartial.
         | 
         | Of course they are not impartial, in the US they are elected.
         | If you're not "tough on crime" you're getting replaced next
         | election.
        
           | devilbunny wrote:
           | Varies by jurisdiction, and not true in any federal court.
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | Appointed ones aren't really any better. They all have
           | biases. The system is just built in a way that they are
           | untouchable. How do you control someone who you have no
           | recourse against? Perhaps the elected ones have the most
           | accountability, even if it forces those biases to be more
           | present. Even things like judicial conduct complaints are
           | considered so secret that you can't subpoena them even if
           | they contain exculpatory evidence. Judges are able to be sued
           | (at the state level anyways) and investigated on civil rights
           | and color of law violations. It just doesn't seem to happen.
           | Even something like admitting in a red flag hearing that they
           | are erring on the side of caution is a violation. Yet nobody
           | cares to investigate or pursue it.
        
           | zo1 wrote:
           | Except in certain states, where "tough on crime" has been
           | replaced with "tough on some crimes, and everything else
           | small-ish gets a free pass, because hey, too many black
           | people in jail or something."
           | 
           | Low effort response, but seriously reading about this non-
           | sense in the USA I'm wondering why you guys even have laws in
           | the first place. Either have them and enforce them, or get
           | rid of them via democratic means. Right now it seems like you
           | have the worst of both, and _real_ people get stuck in the
           | middle.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | Some people do want to reduce the laws on the books. That's
             | very difficult to do, especially as more laws are passed
             | every year.
             | 
             | Most people are indifferent because the laws don't affect
             | them. Why should they care when they can benefit from
             | selective enforcement? Everyone speeds and then only a
             | couple people get upset that they got a ticket because
             | they're the only ones caught.
        
             | zopa wrote:
             | Nowhere anywhere ever has perfectly and strictly enforced
             | all its laws, or even come particularly close.
             | Prosecutorial discretion isn't something the US invented.
        
             | HideousKojima wrote:
             | >Right now it seems like you have the worst of both, and
             | real people get stuck in the middle.
             | 
             | Also commonly called "anarcho-tyranny."
        
             | digging wrote:
             | > I'm wondering why you guys even have laws in the first
             | place.
             | 
             | In many cases, we have them for the specific purpose of
             | criminalizing nonwhite people and political dissidents.
        
         | reaperman wrote:
         | Also absurd that smelling marijuana, either by human LEO's or
         | K-9's, is still considered strong enough evidence to search.
         | And finding anything that appears to be marijuana or a THC
         | product is enough to arrest someone.
         | 
         | The reason this is absurd is because Delta-8 THC, THC-A, and
         | CBD marijuana is legal as long as they have low enough levels
         | of delta-9 THC. The bud will look and smell exactly the same as
         | marijuana flower with high levels of illegal Delta-9 THC. So
         | the observation of marijuana (sight or smell) shouldn't be
         | considered to "probably" be the illegal version today. If
         | anything, in states where delta-9 THC is illegal, a bag of
         | marijuana flower is far more likely to be one of these legal
         | versions, because they're for sale at every fucking vape shop.
         | It blows my mind to see QP's of marijuana just sitting in jars
         | on the counter at every vape shop in Texas.
         | 
         | Which also means that K-9's should have to be replaced with new
         | K-9's that aren't trained to smell or "indicate" on marijuana
         | because they can't distinguish between legal THC-A weed vs.
         | illegal delta-9 weed. So their "indication" can't be considered
         | a reliable piece of evidence when they still indicate on legal
         | material.
         | 
         | But as you said, courts are very very hesitant to limit the
         | powers of the police.
         | 
         | Also the idea that due to the "Farm Bill", vape shops can
         | legally sell packages containing many grams of delta-9 THC in
         | the form of gummies/etc but still can't sell plain old delta-9
         | marijuana, is _completely and utterly_ absurd. I 'm glad that
         | prohibition is easing up, but the inconsistencies in the
         | current transitory phase are beyond ridiculous.
        
           | timcobb wrote:
           | Also absurd is arresting people for consuming marijuana
        
           | itsoktocry wrote:
           | > _If anything, in states where delta-9 THC is illegal, a bag
           | of marijuana flower is far more likely to be one of these
           | legal versions_
           | 
           | You don't actually believe this, do you? Marijuana is
           | incredibly abundant everywhere I've ever been, legal or not.
           | 
           | I'm Canadian, weed is legal here. I think it's insane people
           | can get locked up for it. I toke on occasion myself. But if
           | you get pulled over by the police and your car smells like
           | dope, I'm a-ok with that being the bar of suspicion for a
           | DUI. If you're the 1 in 1000 smoking pure CBD, I suppose you
           | have nothing to worry about.
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | In a non-legal state, he's probably right. There are 13
             | vape shops with a two mile radius of my house, in a city of
             | under 100k. They're always busy. One big advantage they
             | have is they can do credit card sales, whereas since
             | marijuana is still federally illegal the credit card
             | companies, banks, etc won't touch it.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | Driving is a actually a bit different since it's a
             | privilege. You can be compelled to give a blood test or
             | other sobriety test or lose your license.
             | 
             | I wouldn't be surprised if there's case law around the
             | smell of non-alcoholic beer on a driver.
        
             | mustacheemperor wrote:
             | But as the upper commenter noted, 'suspicion' is not
             | probable cause.
             | 
             | In a state where marijuana is legal, pulling over a driver
             | and noting a scent of marijuana does not seem like
             | _probable cause_ for that driver to be intoxicated. What if
             | the driver just drove a friend or rideshare to the airport,
             | and they smelled like marijuana? What if the driver just
             | bought the legally permitted limit of marijuana at a
             | dispensary, and the bag is in the car? The smell of pot is
             | pretty notorious for being strong, and for lingering for a
             | long time.
             | 
             | >If you're the 1 in 1000 smoking pure CBD, I suppose you
             | have nothing to worry about.
             | 
             | I don't think anyone who has experienced being suspected
             | of, blood tested for, and then exonerated over a baseless
             | DUI would say they have nothing to worry about. It is a
             | dreadful, stressful, worrisome experience in which everyone
             | except you is hoping you will fail and is in fact furious
             | if you don't.
        
           | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote:
           | > Which also means that K-9's should have to be replaced with
           | new K-9's that aren't trained to smell or "indicate" on
           | marijuana because they can't distinguish between legal THC-A
           | weed vs. illegal delta-9 weed. So their "indication" can't be
           | considered a reliable piece of evidence when they still
           | indicate on legal material.
           | 
           | I'd agree with most dogs that have already been trained.
           | However, I'd be curious to see if a dog could be trained to
           | differentiate the two. I wouldn't discount it out of hand,
           | those noses are something else.
        
             | 0x457 wrote:
             | Didn't we already learn that K-9 mostly take cues from
             | their handler rather than actually working?
             | 
             | https://www.npr.org/2017/11/20/563889510/preventing-
             | police-b...
             | 
             | https://www.animallaw.info/article/cueing-and-probable-
             | cause...
        
               | Clubber wrote:
               | That's like the counting horse.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clever_Hans
        
             | ch4s3 wrote:
             | Even if you could train a dog to reliably do that, how do
             | you train people to reliably operate the dog? This is the
             | problem with drug dogs now, they are highly attuned to the
             | desires of their handlers.
        
               | AnthonyMouse wrote:
               | It's worse than that.
               | 
               | In principle you could easily avoid K9 detection just by
               | putting the drugs in an airtight container. In practice
               | it's hard to avoid any of the drugs getting on the
               | outside of the container or any person who walks into a
               | room with them, and the dog may be able to smell that.
               | 
               | But the same is true when you don't actually have any
               | drugs. Walking through a room (e.g. a club) where someone
               | else has drugs can cause the scent to get on you.
               | Infamously, the majority of cash has traces of drugs on
               | it. So the dog can't detect a kilo of drugs in an
               | airtight container, but it can detect traces of drugs
               | outside of it, which are commonly on people who don't
               | actually have any drugs. The whole thing is a pretext.
        
           | Terr_ wrote:
           | > The bud will look and smell exactly the same as marijuana
           | flower with high levels of illegal Delta-9 THC.
           | 
           | Leaving aside the broader issues of US drug policy, I'm not
           | sure about that logic: Isn't it like how guns and bags of
           | money and corpses _could_ be totally innocent movie props?
           | 
           | There's always some point where investigation has to happen
           | based on probabilities because nobody starts with perfect
           | knowledge.
        
         | bostonsre wrote:
         | Is it common for people to carry around baggies of white powder
         | that isn't drugs? The container might tip the scale one way or
         | the other. If there is a little white substance at the bottom
         | of a dunkin donuts bag, I'd err on the side of not being enough
         | for an arrest if it flags as positive since it is more than
         | likely powdered sugar, but if its in a little baggies that are
         | commonly used for distribution, I'd probably say that would be
         | enough.
        
           | reaperman wrote:
           | I carry around ziplock bags of unflavored protein powder
           | pretty much everywhere I go, as well as creatine powder. Both
           | of these can look very similar to large amounts of cocaine,
           | heroin, MDMA, 2C-B, MDA, or methamphetamine...especially the
           | bags of creatine crystals.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Ever buy a doughnut, or work with drywall?
           | https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-
           | way/2017/10/16/558147669...
        
             | reaperman wrote:
             | Or kitty litter: https://abc13.com/meth-drugs-arrest-
             | houston/1690696/
        
             | bostonsre wrote:
             | Right.. hence my dunkin donuts statement.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | This was a fragment of doughnut glaze on the floor of the
               | car; the other incident cited drywall dust on the floor.
               | It's very clear people are being detained just off
               | "tested positive"; no apparent extenuating "they had a
               | bunch of dime bags" in either scenario.
        
           | rpmisms wrote:
           | When I was a teenager, I would carry around small baggies of
           | baking powder, just in case I got arrested for something. I
           | enjoyed trouble a bit too much, although never enough to
           | actually get arrested.
        
             | hoten wrote:
             | I would be immensely paranoid that an arresting cop would
             | find this somehow personally offensive, and replace my joke
             | cocaine with real cocaine.
        
             | LorenPechtel wrote:
             | I've been tempted to put a folder of kitty porn on my
             | computer. Exactly as labeled--cats having sex.
        
               | rpmisms wrote:
               | Make sure to label everything by the age of the cats
               | involved, too.
        
           | mhluongo wrote:
           | Creatine and other supplements
           | 
           | Probably should default to "I don't know why someone would do
           | that, but they probably have a good reason I can't think of"
           | when we're discussing taking away their liberty.
        
             | bostonsre wrote:
             | Yea, makes sense, didn't think of that. It would indeed
             | sketch me out a little to carry that around, but could see
             | wanting to carry it around.
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | "but if its in a little baggies that are commonly used for
           | distribution, I'd probably say that would be enough."
           | 
           | I'd say possibly. Like in my original comment, if they have a
           | record of distribution that adds a lot of weight. Just having
           | a baggie of powder, or rock candy, etc isn't enough.
           | 
           | As a kid, I had little baggies of glow powder I would
           | sometimes have on me. I've had some unlabeled white pills in
           | my car (asprin) in case of an emergency. I'm sure there are
           | other examples too. It's not really about what's common, but
           | what's probable - those are two different things. But yes
           | they would require more details to differentiate.
        
             | bostonsre wrote:
             | Yea.. there is so much ambiguity in stuff like this.
             | Reasonable and probable mean different things to different
             | people and its not like we have statistics to show that
             | when a powder of a given texture of a given quantity in a
             | given container is found, what percentage of the time is it
             | drugs and what percentage of the time is it something
             | innocent.
        
           | cbsks wrote:
           | My daughter drinks Miralax every morning, which is a white
           | powder. When we go on trips I usually put a few scoops in
           | clear plastic bag rather than take the entire container.
           | 
           | From my college days, I seem to recall cocaine being a
           | different consistency than Miralax. But I don't know about
           | other drugs and at first glance it definitely looks
           | suspicious.
           | 
           | I am aware that my willingness to do this is a sign of my
           | privilege, that many people in the US do not enjoy.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | Hehe if your privilege runs out, you better eat your stash.
             | The back of that police car would be some nasty evidence
             | that you were relling the truth.
        
               | LorenPechtel wrote:
               | It doesn't work that fast. I've had a whole bottle of it
               | before and it was some time before there was any
               | reaction. (Colonoscopy prep.)
        
             | NoZebra120vClip wrote:
             | Be careful with taking stuff like this every day. Miralax
             | in particular is indicated for occasional use. You're
             | supposed to stop and consult a doctor after 7 days of use.
             | 
             | I overused a popular fiber supplement for a few months and
             | wound up with a kidney stone. I kept my PCP in the loop for
             | all of this but it wasn't caught. An EMT is the only one
             | who blurted out "kidney stone" although EMTs aren't
             | supposed to diagnose anything. And nobody in health care
             | drew the connection to the habitual supplement usage.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | Miralax is frequently prescribed by doctors for long term
               | use. I believe the OTC directions are not because it is
               | known to be dangerous for long term use, but because the
               | symptoms it treats should be evaluated by a doctor.
        
             | bostonsre wrote:
             | Yea, didn't think of that. I would probably be too scared
             | to pack that for a flight.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | I'd say that being "scared" or "sketched" about doing
               | perfectly legitimate things is a direct symptom of the
               | overbearing totalitarian system created by this war on
               | drug users. I hope you won't be so quick to support it in
               | the future! The ideals of freedom would indicate a high
               | bar for locking someone in a cage, and private possession
               | of consciousness altering substances doesn't clear it.
               | It's essentially a false axiom from which so much of the
               | contemporary police state has crystalized.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | I'll give an even different example that what others are
           | saying here. I would love to carry my medicine around in
           | little bags so that I don't have to carry a whole bottle. It
           | keeps things organized, more comfortable, and reduces
           | problems if lost. But doing this can be illegal or suspicious
           | no matter what that medication is, including simply
           | ibuprofen. This is not dissimilar from the others saying they
           | just want to not carry around a giant tub because the item is
           | bought in bulk.
           | 
           | The important take away here (combined with the white powder
           | examples) is "just because you don't see a reason or
           | understand a reason doesn't mean it isn't a rational thing
           | that someone else might do." The law is supposed to be about
           | reasonable doubt. Even deeper, the law is about protecting
           | citizens. These activities might be "suspicious" but that's a
           | vague term. At worst, these would be drug __users__ and not
           | __distributors__ and I'd say those are the higher priority.
           | They're also easier to identify because having many small
           | bags is much more suspicious because it is harder to justify
           | the convenience of replacing a storage container and/or
           | taking a daily/lower quantity of whatever that substance is.
           | It might seem weird to carry a bag of creatine, but it much
           | weirder to be carrying 20. But maybe I'm falling trap to my
           | own critique, though I'm saying I'm placing this on a
           | sprecturm of suspicion instead of a binary condition to allow
           | for other context.
        
             | alan-hn wrote:
             | What if instead of having a large container that has powder
             | that needs to be measured someone wants to take premeasured
             | single dose bags? Or should people to carry a scale on road
             | trips to measure their creatine? I don't think it should be
             | suspicious at all
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | I fully agree with you. I was just suggesting that a
               | larger quantity is of higher suspicion but you're
               | pointing at a clear context I wanted to be open to.
               | 
               | I fully believe that there is no hard rule based system
               | that can adequately account for all reasonable scenarios.
               | In fact, I think a key part of what makes us different
               | from machines is being able to reject "rules" because we
               | understand they're more akin to guides. So I agree and
               | thank you for bringing this up.
               | 
               | Side note: in many countries medicine does in fact come
               | in pre-measured dose bags. It might be more plastic but
               | it sure is convenient and has other advantages.
        
               | bostonsre wrote:
               | Yea, I didn't think of something like creatine. That
               | being said, I would still be a little sketched to travel
               | with it like that as I would assume the first thoughts of
               | a police officer isn't going to be "that's probably
               | creatine" when most of the times they are exposed to
               | something like that in the past, it was drugs.
               | 
               | That probably sways my thoughts on should it be enough
               | for an arrest if it flags as positive some though.
        
               | alan-hn wrote:
               | Unfortunately police don't tend to be very bright and
               | seem to constantly try to find things to pin people for,
               | it's what they're trained to do. Drugs being illegal is a
               | bad idea partially because of this issue. This is just
               | another example of how drug prohibition causes more harm
               | than good.
        
               | bostonsre wrote:
               | Their job is to enforce the law. It doesn't seem quite
               | right to denigrate them and call them not bright for
               | doing their job. Shouldn't you be blaming someone else
               | and not the people in the trenches? Also, I'm not sure
               | its so black and white about how drug prohibition has
               | caused more harm than good. I definitely wouldn't want to
               | live in Portland or SF and some of the people stuck in
               | the throws of inescapable addiction might disagree with
               | you.
        
               | anigbrowl wrote:
               | A lot of them are not bright by design, departments
               | select for obedience rather than intelligence, and at
               | least one person sued and lost after learning that they
               | were rejected because of having too high an IQ:
               | https://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-
               | library/abstracts/jordan-v...
               | 
               | Here's you're equating cops' default behavior with doing
               | their job of law enforcement, while overlooking the fact
               | that they often don't perform that job well because they
               | discount reasonable possibilities that initially suspect
               | activity is not actually illegal, and reflexively waive
               | issues like presumption of innocence, 4th amendment
               | limitations and so on. Read up on police training, which
               | is _terrible_ in the US.
        
               | bostonsre wrote:
               | You cite one instance and equate that to a lot of them
               | are not bright by design. I am sure there are indeed some
               | cops that are not great and some that have lower
               | intelligence. The bad cases are usually highlighted,
               | while those that serve their country honorably and
               | professionally get zero recognition. It is an incredibly
               | hard and thankless job and we will be a lot worse off as
               | a country in the future if we keep shouting them down and
               | denigrating them instead of giving constructive criticism
               | about the system. The better ones will become more and
               | more discouraged and people will have more and more to
               | complain about in the future.
        
               | anigbrowl wrote:
               | No, I gave yo a general report on the topic that cited
               | one instance of a lawsuit. I don't give a shit about
               | police morale. They are generally well paid, have massive
               | benefits including all sorts of legal immunity,
               | incredibly powerful unions, and often net up to half of
               | municipal budgets. It's not a thankless job, politicians
               | fall over themselves to do photo ops with police and talk
               | about how great they are. If cops have a morale problem
               | maybe they should worker harder at treating everyone with
               | respect and upholding their constitutional rights instead
               | of thorwing money at concepts like 'killology'.
        
               | alan-hn wrote:
               | Portland and SF don't have fully legal and regulated drug
               | supply so I'm not sure what your point is.
               | 
               | Drug prohibition is the entire reason that fentanyl is
               | now in the drug supply and prohibition where supply is
               | unregulated is a large reason for overdose deaths. Most
               | overdose deaths are due to inconsistency in potency which
               | would not be a problem if the supply were regulated.
               | Compound that issue with the harm that the legal system
               | does to someone with an addiction, essentially barring
               | them from normal life if they have a conviction, and we
               | have the recipe for disaster which is the current state
               | of affairs. People with drug convictions are generally
               | seen as having a scarlet letter of unemployability which
               | generally keeps them in a state of addiction and/or
               | homelessness and there is a massive stigma attached not
               | only to drug addiction but mental health issues which
               | usually go hand in hand. That makes it incredibly
               | difficult to get proper treatment.
        
               | anigbrowl wrote:
               | As a purely practical matter, a measuring spoon works
               | just as well. I keep a 7.5ml spoon in the creatine jar
               | because it's a quantity I don't seem to ever need for
               | anything else. I agree with all the points about
               | reasonability and probable cause described above, but
               | it's _also_ smart to assume that cops are low IQ jerks
               | and (for example) if you 're traveling, to keep your
               | creatine in a labeled container, ideally the one you
               | bought it in. Failing that, print out a fact sheet on
               | creatine and keep it with the creatine.
               | 
               |  _Of course_ we shouldn 't have to engage in pre-emptive
               | defensive strategies like this. Cops should operate to
               | far higher standards and exemplify the principle of
               | innocent until proven guilty. But the reality is that a
               | lot of them are stupid and/or corrupt. Having been
               | arrested on false pretences a few times, your post-
               | contact explanations, no matter how reasonable, don't
               | carry much weight if the cop finds you suspicious for
               | some reason. For all practical purposes, cops are trained
               | to maximize confirmation bias.
        
               | LorenPechtel wrote:
               | And the flip side of this is I've seen security doing the
               | same thing in the other direction. My wife set off a nuke
               | scanner in Shanghai. To compound the problem the card
               | from the lab (it was a nuclear heart scan) was sitting in
               | the pocket of the jacket she planned to wear--and changed
               | at the last minute. Despite that it was resolved with a
               | little bit of conversation (admittedly, my wife speaks
               | native-level Mandarin with a Shanghai accent), nobody did
               | the simple test of waving around a geiger counter to see
               | if it was her or something she had that was hot. (And to
               | say something of the state of security--she passed
               | through one US airport when 8x as hot and another when 4x
               | as hot. A sufficiently sensitive detector could figure
               | out that it's 140keV gamma rays and thus medical, but
               | that's not the sort of thing that could be determined
               | from a distance.)
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | > nobody did the simple test of waving around a geiger
               | counter to see if it was her or something she had that
               | was hot.
               | 
               | Not to justify the experience, but I don't think the
               | purpose of the test is to explicitly discriminate the
               | difference between a person being hot or an item the
               | person has being hot. The test is often used to identify
               | people who work with nuclear materials, where then you
               | want to determine if they are a nuclear worker, spy,
               | terrorist, or simply a member of the public.
               | 
               | I'll also add that despite being really good at detecting
               | radiation there's really high variance in how people
               | respond to sources. I had a tritium keychain shipped from
               | China a decade ago and it sat in customs for several
               | weeks. The general public does not know the difference
               | between radiation types or even understand levels. I
               | highly doubt they are using sensitive detectors and just
               | using a cheap Geiger Counter (which beta emitters will
               | set off). I very highly doubt they are using neutron
               | detectors.
               | 
               | Interestingly I bought the tritium on Amazon but it no
               | longer seems like you can buy them there. There are
               | several listings that __look__ like they sell them, but
               | here's an illustrative example[0]. Note the last picture
               | specifies the vial is not included. When you search
               | Amazon you will come across a lot of phosphorous and
               | certainly there are many sellers trying to pass this off
               | as tritium. It looks like you can still buy uranium ore
               | though...
               | 
               | [0] https://www.amazon.com/TEC-SCR-Isotope-Chain-
               | Reaction-Aqua/d...
               | 
               | [Note] For those reading, tritium is perfectly safe.
               | Radiation levels are not high enough to pass through skin
               | and even light clothing will block it. A keychain is
               | typically a very small quantity which is contained in a
               | glass vial that is coated with phosphorous (to emit
               | light, like a CRT monitor), and then contained in
               | acrylic. I have personally tested that keychain and even
               | let students use it as an extra credit in a radiation
               | detection lab (they were asking about the safety). There
               | is danger if you consume it or rub it in your eyes or
               | genitals (or other soft body parts), but the amount you'd
               | have for a keychain is very insignificant and poses zero
               | risk. It's worth mentioning that tritium is going to be a
               | gas, so if you break the vial it still will not represent
               | danger unless you break it inside your mouth or right in
               | front of your eyes (still likely low risk) due to the
               | fact that it will quickly disperse (it is lighter than
               | air). Tritium is fucking awesome and I wish production
               | was a bit higher so we could have more access. It is
               | commonly used in watch hands and gun sights but can
               | essentially be used in anything you want to "permanently"
               | glow in the dark. Half life is about 10 years but worth
               | mentioning that you won't get a bright glow, but it will
               | be easily identifiable at night or very low light
               | conditions.
        
               | worik wrote:
               | I had to look up "creatine"
               | 
               | It is (?) an unproven performance enhancing drug
               | 
               | Much more serious and dangerous than even the most
               | dangerous recreational drugs is it not?
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | "The law is supposed to be about reasonable doubt."
             | 
             | That's what you'll be evaluated in court with (or should
             | be).
             | 
             | To arrest or get a warrant, it's only that the law has been
             | broken by a preponderance of the evidence to meet probable
             | cause. Although it seems that the courts aren't even
             | holding it up to this standard very often.
             | 
             | "It might seem weird to carry a bag of creatine, but it
             | much weirder to be carrying 20"
             | 
             | Very true, and it's absolutely a spectrum. One thing to
             | point out is that most departments require police to make a
             | "thorough investigation". If there's a valid reason then
             | they should be able to confirm it. If stuff sounds fishy,
             | they can investigate further. A lot of the failures talked
             | about in the article are not strictly test failures -
             | they're failures of judgement or knowledge by not relying
             | on other facts or by relying too heavily on the tests.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | > they're failures of judgement or knowledge by not
               | relying on other facts or by relying too heavily on the
               | tests.
               | 
               | I think this is well put and I really appreciate your
               | response. I generally agree and I'm generally one that is
               | quite critical of metrics. But I do not see this article
               | as solely about a failure of test, but the
               | interconnectedness and reliance on poor metrics rather
               | than using them to update priors.
               | 
               | Particularly why I like the last sentence is I find this
               | being one of the key points that distinguishes us humans
               | from machines. Because we are able to do such things as
               | "I see the rules, I understand the rules" and more
               | importantly "I understand why the rules were made, and
               | while this violates the rules it was clearly not
               | something the rules were intended to prevent." Because
               | rules __are__ made to be broken. Because rules are
               | imperfect. Tests are imperfect. Literally everything is
               | imperfect. We have a strong desire for order and
               | perfection which helps us decrease the noise but I think
               | we all could do a bit better at embracing the chaos a bit
               | more.
        
               | LorenPechtel wrote:
               | Depends on the stuff.
               | 
               | 20 small bags of creatine for a 20 day trip makes
               | perfectly good sense. Leave your measuring equipment at
               | home.
               | 
               | And they are test "failures"--the problem is the field
               | tests are not specific enough and will react to innocent
               | materials. (Same as fertilizer or glycerin setting off
               | the bomb sniffer at the airport. Lots of skin products
               | contain glycerin.) And expect any competent drug smuggler
               | to know the cross reactions of the stuff they are
               | carrying--thus what they say isn't really relevant.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | > 20 small bags of creatine for a 20 day trip makes
               | perfectly good sense. Leave your measuring equipment at
               | home.
               | 
               | It's also worth noting that in high likelihood you'd have
               | additional context around this. Namely luggage or other
               | such travel accessories. Because it is unlikely that you
               | would create such daily allocations and then carry them
               | on your person. It's more likely to leave them wherever
               | you're staying. Everything is still likelihood based
               | (dependent on model we use, which is why I specify
               | likelihood).
        
           | evancox100 wrote:
           | Protein powder supplements come to mind.
        
           | rurp wrote:
           | A friend of mine went through an ordeal because a cop spotted
           | a ziplock bag filled with climbing chalk in his car.
        
           | LorenPechtel wrote:
           | People carry powdered supplements. Most are optional, some
           | are required. Some are hygroscopic and the original container
           | becomes problematic in humid climates--measuring out daily
           | amounts is essential.
           | 
           | People on the road often have one-load baggies of laundry
           | detergent. Yes, pods exist--but if you're in a humid climate
           | and don't have airtight storage you have a problem. Pods are
           | hygroscopic and will fail if not adequately protected. (Think
           | about it--the pod goes somewhere when you toss it in the
           | wash. Where it goes is it dissolves in the water.)
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | Also poor people exist, and sometimes they gotta make do
             | with what they've got, even when it might be something that
             | looks sus, that a middle class person wouldn't ever do.
             | 
             | And those people are often the same people to be targeted
             | by police for drugs.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | > But none of this really matters because the judges are not
         | impartial.
         | 
         | I was lingering around in court waiting for a small claims case
         | related to my stepdaughter in a car accident. I present this
         | not as a counterargument to your point, but an agreement. That
         | to me, this exchange was so notable that it stood out in my
         | mind because it _should_ be the norm. It was at a hearing to
         | revoke bond and other conditions of pre-trial release:
         | 
         | Prosecutor: _waffles on about other details before..._ In
         | addition, Mr Defendant has also done or said nothing that
         | indicates him taking any responsibility for his actions in this
         | matter...
         | 
         | Judge, interrupting: I'm going to stop you there. Mr Defendant
         | has plead not guilty in this matter and has not been found
         | guilty by a jury of his peers. In the eyes of this court, he
         | has zero obligation at this point in time to "take
         | responsibility" for his _alleged_ actions, and the court will
         | not be considering that in reviewing this order.
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | Haha I wonder how many other judges this prosecutor has
           | gotten away with that.
           | 
           | If we're sharing chuckles, I once had a magistrate say "I'm
           | not prejudiced" in response to a request to dismiss with
           | prejudice.
        
             | Two4 wrote:
             | Does that mean the judge grants the dismissal, but not with
             | prejudice?
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | With prejudice just means it can't be refiled.
        
         | tantalor wrote:
         | > red flag laws... issuing them almost by default
         | 
         | Do you have any evidence of that, or are you just making stuff
         | up.
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | I should have made it more generic and said orders of
           | protection to include the more traditional orders as well.
           | The process is well known to be abused, especially during
           | divorce proceedings. These processes do not include the
           | protections found in criminal law and result in lower burden
           | of proof, ex-parte hearings, and no right to an attorney.
           | 
           | It's hard to find data on a lot of this. If you talk to
           | divorce attorneys, they will tell you it's common. Here are
           | some stats on my state. The initial order is granted,
           | typically ex-parte, 89% of the time. Only 18% are granted a
           | final PFA. Almost half of all cases are either withdrawn or
           | an no-show. These are some abysmal numbers. They are granted
           | readily and the vast majority don't stand up when challenged,
           | even considering the lower burden of proof. I can't did the
           | article, but there was a retired judge that openly admitted
           | to approving most orders because the cost for being wrong was
           | too high.
           | 
           | https://www.pacourts.us/news-and-statistics/news/news-
           | detail...
           | 
           | One estimate that every 10-20 seizures saves one suicide. So
           | clearly not living up to the more likely than not standard,
           | or we would expect to see a closer to 50% result. This study
           | also notes that the rate of firearm assault was too low to
           | assess crime against others. You can also see some of how the
           | process works without the protections on the criminal justice
           | side (prosecutor statements).
           | 
           | https://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer.
           | ..
        
             | tantalor wrote:
             | Thanks! Great resources and well explained
        
             | jcranmer wrote:
             | > One estimate that every 10-20 seizures saves one suicide.
             | So clearly not living up to the more likely than not
             | standard, or we would expect to see a closer to 50% result.
             | 
             | But that's not the standard. The thing you're trying to
             | prove generally isn't "is going to kill themself with 100%
             | probability," but "is _at risk_ to kill themself or other
             | people ", an unquantified metric but one for which a 10%
             | chance isn't entirely unjustifiable for an intervention.
             | It's that level of risk for which you would want a "more
             | likely than not" scenario to reach 50% probability of
             | demonstrating; if you multiply the two numbers together,
             | your expected avoidance should be far lower than 1 suicide
             | per 2 seizures.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | 'But that's not the standard. The thing you're trying to
               | prove generally isn't "is going to kill themself with
               | 100% probability," but "is at risk to kill themself or
               | other people",'
               | 
               | Can you please link to that standard in law? The ones I
               | have seen are all using the more likely than not
               | standard. Yes, they are evaluating the risk - the risk of
               | it being more likely than not that they would do
               | something to harm themselves or others. I understand you
               | multiplying those numbers, but that's not how any of the
               | laws are written or work.
               | 
               | What we can see from the numbers I posted earlier about
               | PFAs, is that the vast majority are rubber stamped at
               | first and then rejected or abandoned when met with a 2
               | party hearing at which evidence for both sides can be
               | presented. To me, this seems to support that a large
               | number of individuals have been subject to restrictions
               | in liberties without any real risk of being a threat at
               | all.
               | 
               | It would be far better to have these take place in a
               | criminal court with protections such as the right to an
               | attorney, the right to be present, and proof beyond a
               | reasonable doubt. Otherwise it's just a slippery slope of
               | "for the children" mentality resulting in farces like
               | civil asset forfeiture to get around the protections in
               | the system.
        
               | jcranmer wrote:
               | The exact wording in my state for the red flag law is:
               | 
               | > If after the hearing pursuant to subsection (a) or
               | subsection (b), the court finds by a preponderance of the
               | evidence that the respondent poses a risk of causing
               | bodily injury to self or others by having in the
               | respondent's control, ownership or possession a firearm,
               | rifle, shotgun, machine gun, weapon or ammunition, the
               | court shall grant the petition. If the respondent does
               | not appear at the hearing pursuant to subsection (a) or
               | subsection (b), the court shall grant the petition upon a
               | determination that the petitioner has demonstrated by a
               | preponderance of the evidence that the respondent poses
               | such a risk.
               | 
               | The key operative words are "a preponderance of the
               | evidence that the respondent poses a risk". It doesn't
               | give any specific wording as to how likely the risk is,
               | but a plain reading would expect that it could be less
               | than 100% and perhaps as low as 10%.
               | 
               | Also note that, at least in my state, the respondent is
               | afforded the opportunity to be present at the hearing
               | determining whether or not they pose a risk.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | "and perhaps as low as 10%."
               | 
               | And why stop there? Why not .01%?
               | 
               | "a preponderance of the evidence that the respondent
               | poses a risk"
               | 
               | Preponderance of the evidence is more likely than not. I
               | would assume there is case law on what a risk is, or a
               | definition somewhere in the text. If not, this is overly
               | vague as the general definition is just a possibility of
               | loss, which would include any level of risk, even .01%.
               | 
               | "Also note that, at least in my state, the respondent is
               | afforded the opportunity to be present at the hearing
               | determining whether or not they pose a risk."
               | 
               | Really, I thought that all states that had red flag laws
               | had ex-parte initial hearings and that respondants were
               | only allowed at the final hearings, after things likes
               | having property seized and being forced out of thier
               | home, etc.
               | 
               | I wasn't able to find that text in a Google search, so
               | I'm not sure which state that is for me to look into it
               | further.
        
             | zopa wrote:
             | Thanks for the link to the paper. But I don't think that
             | 10-20 seizures per prevented suicide estimate you mention
             | can tell us anything about probable cause or the lack
             | thereof. It's a guess at the rate of prevented deaths from
             | suicide attempts, when the subject used a something other
             | than a gun, but would have used a gun if the cops hadn't
             | taken it from them. It's not an estimate of how many
             | suicide attempts were prevented: it's just a measure of how
             | much less deadly the suicide attempts that happened anyway
             | were. A gun seizure is a big dramatic intervention; it's
             | pretty plausible that it sometimes interrupts a bad moment
             | that's essentially a one-off, and sometimes leads to people
             | getting the help they need. Neither of those effects play
             | into the estimate you cited.
             | 
             | Just on the legal standard: it's probable cause that
             | there's a risk, not probable cause that the risky event
             | will happen. If you have 51% certainty that the subject has
             | a 25% chance of harming themselves or someone else, that is
             | likely to be good enough. And while it gives me no joy to
             | defend the US criminal justice system, to me that's
             | appropriate here. Living with someone who's making violent
             | threats towards you or themselves is no fun at all, even if
             | there's only a 1 in 4 chance that they'll follow through.
        
               | LorenPechtel wrote:
               | If it's a one-off then it's unlikely a red flag will
               | matter. It will either have already been done or will not
               | be done, the flag comes too late to intervene.
        
               | zopa wrote:
               | I don't know what the response time usually is in urgent
               | cases, do you? There's a quote on pg 16 of the study that
               | makes same-day sound unremarkable. It starts:
               | 
               | > A lot of times the people who have their weapons seized
               | are not having a bad life--they're having a bad moment.
               | 
               | It's an ex-prosecutor's illustrative hypothetical, so
               | take it for what it's worth. Still the same logic applies
               | if we're talking about bad weeks instead of bad evenings.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | "Just on the legal standard: it's probable cause that
               | there's a risk, not probable cause that the risky event
               | will happen. If you have 51% certainty that the subject
               | has a 25% chance of harming themselves or someone else,
               | that is likely to be good enough."
               | 
               | Do you have some citation on that? Frankly, if it's so
               | ill defined that we don't know what level of risk
               | justifies restrictions under the law, then we should all
               | be opposing it as it can be used against anyone. Perhaps
               | you play violent videos and that's enough risk?
               | 
               | "Living with someone who's making violent threats towards
               | you or themselves is no fun at all, even if there's only
               | a 1 in 4 chance that they'll follow through."
               | 
               | There are criminal charges that can be filed against this
               | type of behavior. This does not require a hookie
               | workaround. That's how we end up with things like civil
               | assest forfeiture.
        
           | Clubber wrote:
           | The Baker Act is similar, it's seen widespread abuse, even
           | against high school kids.
           | 
           | https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2021/03/16/misuse-of-
           | florida...
           | 
           | I remember seeing a video where a police said something to
           | the effect of, "I've had enough of this, I'm about to Baker
           | Act him," referring to the person arguing about his rights. I
           | wish I could find it.
        
         | mindslight wrote:
         | I'd say the real root is that police and their departments are
         | allowed to harm people and then just wring their hands of the
         | damage rather than ever having to make their victims whole. The
         | harshest repercussion they worry about is having to do extra
         | paperwork. This applies to everything from simple detainment
         | through wrongful arrest and outright homicide. We'd be a lot
         | less outraged if the people arrested with flimsy tests, dog
         | shows, profiling, etc and then later acquitted were ultimately
         | compensated for their time, emotional distress, and legal
         | representation - out of the overall budget for the criminal
         | justice system. This would be a proper accounting for the
         | externalities of law enforcement, rather than the current
         | perverse reverse lottery for those who unluckily fall into
         | their sights.
        
         | LorenPechtel wrote:
         | The real problem with red flag laws is that they are engineered
         | without any checks. They are the equivalent of a temporary
         | restraining order, but without the short term limit of such.
        
         | alfalfasprout wrote:
         | Worse, this low standard is used for civil asset forfeiture. So
         | the police can legally steal your assets with next to no legal
         | recourse for you.
        
       | TuringNYC wrote:
       | Why hasnt this triggerred a Class Action Lawsuit?
        
         | ta988 wrote:
         | Because it mostly targets poor people.
        
           | boringuser2 wrote:
           | That doesn't even make any sense.
           | 
           | Lawyers make money on these lawsuits.
           | 
           | There have been massive class action lawsuits that don't even
           | target people per se, such as the oil spill payout.
        
             | tehwebguy wrote:
             | Only if they win!
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sovereign_immunity
        
         | dmoy wrote:
         | What's the class? A class action lawsuit might be possible to
         | bring if the class is everyone affected by a single
         | manufacturer's field drug test, if there aren't many
         | manufacturers. But if the lawyers think that the manufacturer
         | won't end up losing that case, then your class is reduced to
         | the people affected by each individual police department,
         | separately, no? That might not be as enticing for local lawyers
         | if it's say, a class of a thousand people. If the lawyers don't
         | think there's a significant chance of winning (say, because of
         | qualified immunity), a small class action likely won't get
         | taken up, especially if it's a small class action representing
         | poor people and the lawyers foot the bill on their own time.
         | 
         | Really feels like something that should be picked apart by
         | federal prosecutors. But the feds also largely dgaf about poor
         | people, so here we are.
         | 
         | At best I think you might get local legislative changes to
         | eliminate that type of testing, on a piecemeal basis, only in a
         | few cities.
        
         | AndrewKemendo wrote:
         | I believe that's called a revolution
        
       | SubiculumCode wrote:
       | I am not denying that there are major problems with the tools
       | used by police and that juries fail to understand their limits,
       | however, I take issue with 30k bogus arrests as indicative of a
       | bad test without further context. For example, how many tests
       | were given? What is the false positive rate, false negative rate,
       | etc. i.e. the ROC characteristics.
       | 
       | The tests may be quite accurate, we do not know from just that
       | number.
       | 
       | The question of whether the tests should favor reducing false
       | positives of false negatives is a policy decision that must take
       | into account public safety risk (false negative) vs harm to the
       | individual (false positive and arrest) vs lasting harm from the
       | false arrest (imprisonment). A moderate false positive rate might
       | be good for public safety if used as an initial screener, but
       | once arrested, further tests should be used that emphasize
       | reduction of false positives. Then the harm would be limited to
       | the disruption of an evening, not a life.
        
         | yieldcrv wrote:
         | The article said 4%, and contends that 4% is too high
         | 
         | and goes further to notice that convictions are mostly plea
         | deals, and that prosecutors in many places don't have to verify
         | if the plea deal is based on any lab based evidence
         | 
         | and further finds a bunch of departments that arrest people no
         | matter what the test result is, making your standard about "bad
         | tests" completely moot
         | 
         | its a system based on total apathy and the article is saying
         | thats the problem that should be fixed
        
         | godelski wrote:
         | > The tests may be quite accurate, we do not know from just
         | that number.
         | 
         | Be careful as this might go against exactly what your prior
         | concern was. It's the Bayesian Trap.
         | 
         | FWIW, the article says there's 773k arrests each year and gives
         | around a 4% bogus rate. I'd say that's too high for something
         | we all can admit comes at a great cost.
         | 
         | > The question of whether the tests should favor reducing false
         | positives [or] false negatives is a policy decision that must
         | take into account public safety risk
         | 
         | We have a written code that says innocent until proven guilty.
         | Clearly false positive rates is of grave concern. There are
         | many references to Blackstone's Ratio[0] by the founders and
         | the premise is that it is better to err on the side that a
         | guilty person go free than a free man lose his freedom. But
         | Bayes is critical here too.
         | 
         | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackstone%27s_ratio
        
           | Closi wrote:
           | Depends - I would say 4% is probably accurate enough evidence
           | to support an arrest (i.e. they are detained someone in order
           | to investigate a crime they are suspected of committing), but
           | not enough to support a conviction. Arrest != conviction.
           | 
           | However 4% probably isn't accurate enough to support jailing
           | someone (in my view, depending on other evidence), so there
           | is nuance here.
           | 
           | Besides, while you are innocent until proven guilty, this
           | doesn't mean that you can't be arrested (i.e. detained for
           | investigation) if you are a suspect.
        
             | godelski wrote:
             | > Besides, while you are innocent until proven guilty, this
             | doesn't mean that you can't be arrested (i.e. detained for
             | investigation) if you are a suspect.
             | 
             | I was with you till here. While I disagree with a bit
             | prior, like you say, nuance. But this sentence is
             | egregious. An arrest record is still particularly damming
             | to one's life. Even if one is never convicted it can still
             | greatly impact one's ability to get a job, credit, or other
             | things. You may say that that is a different problem, and
             | in part I will agree, but this aspect is likely easier to
             | address and I do not think it is wrong to suggest we should
             | have a high bar for detaining someone and placing them on
             | record.
        
               | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
               | > An arrest record is still particularly damming to one's
               | life.
               | 
               | The solution then, IMO, is that if you're arrested for
               | being suspected of a crime, and later found innocent or
               | the charges are dropped, then the arrest should be
               | removed from your record.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | I'm perfectly fine with this solution and will even
               | advocate for it. But many others have been trying to
               | unsuccessfully. So I think let them continue their
               | efforts, do bring attention to is, but also not be
               | reliant on them fixing the problem.
               | 
               | I should also add that arrests are public. So even if you
               | are not convicted the arrest record may be found by a
               | third party who is going to be less incentivized to
               | expunge that data. So there's extra complexity to this
               | too and why we should also not be reliant upon that
               | solution.
        
               | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
               | > I should also add that arrests are public.
               | 
               | That's a good point.
               | 
               | My knee-jerk reaction is to think that maybe they
               | shouldn't be, but there's a million reasons why they
               | should.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | Yeah it is quite a tough call really. But I think this is
               | why it is so important to consider nuance. I think it is
               | easy not to and we forget that what explicitly makes an
               | expert is consideration of nuance. By definition this
               | needs be true because if it was obvious you wouldn't
               | require significant education lol.
               | 
               | I want to also add that there are no globally optimal
               | solutions. So everything has a downside and I think we
               | often fall for this trap in an effort to support our
               | priors and do not accurately compare. So it is easy to
               | get into polarizing arguments because while we argue
               | about the same problem we often do not have similar
               | optimization criteria. I've found clarifying optimization
               | criteria helps defuse these types of arguments.
               | 
               | I hate to say it, but CS people also have a bad
               | reputation around this. My hypothesis is that programmers
               | often work in many different domains and are exposed to
               | domain knowledge, but as we all know, it is exceptionally
               | easy to deceive one's self into thinking they know more
               | than they do (just go on any social media platform,
               | including HN, if you doubt this lol. My personal favorite
               | is to watch people who can't do calculus argue with Judea
               | Pearl on Twitter)
        
             | shkkmo wrote:
             | > this doesn't mean that you can't be arrested (i.e.
             | detained for investigation) if you are a suspect.
             | 
             | Being arrested and being detained for investigation are
             | legally different things.
             | 
             | You need only "reasonable suspicion" to detain but you need
             | "probable cause" to arrest.
        
             | hedora wrote:
             | Accepting that a four percent false positive rate is enough
             | to establish probable cause means the police could decide
             | to screen everyone attempting to attend a political rally,
             | and then toss 4% in jail. Most people would think twice
             | about attending, given the 1 in 25 chance of being
             | arrested, especially since that creates a _de facto_
             | criminal record in the US (commercial arrest databases
             | exist and are often used in background checks).
             | 
             | Of course, the police could also run an assay of a few
             | dozen tests for different substances, each with a 4% false
             | positive rate, and lock up 99% of potential attendees, or
             | they could run the test every day on every person that
             | takes a common commute route in an neighborhood they don't
             | like.
        
               | SubiculumCode wrote:
               | There is supposed to be probable cause before asking for
               | a test; so blatant testing could and would be contested.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | I've been stopped when there was no probable cause, and
               | contested. I was visiting the Golden gate Park a decade
               | back and asked a ranger for some directions. They stopped
               | me and my friend because "they smelled weed". We still
               | got searched. We did not smoke and there was no way we
               | could have smelled. We did have a still sealed container
               | from a local dispensary that was not know in it's
               | container, but a ziplock bag. The bar for probable cause
               | is so low that it can be normal things (any given
               | location in SF has high likelihood of smelling like
               | weed). And remember, this is because I walked up to a
               | fucking park ranger and said "hey do you have a map?"
               | Even the second ranger protested and asked to be off
               | record. Couldn't contest without going back to SF and
               | that's technically federal property.
               | 
               | I'm just saying, I wouldn't rely on this being a
               | sufficient safety mechanism. Abuse is rampant and
               | difficult to prove.
        
             | PH95VuimJjqBqy wrote:
             | the next time you take a drug test for employment go see if
             | you're ok with a 4% chance of losing that job.
             | 
             | And then consider how mild that is compared to being
             | arrested, where you'll often lose your job on top of
             | everything else.
        
           | SubiculumCode wrote:
           | Innocent until proven guilty for a prison sentence. Obviously
           | arresting someone has a lower bar. If you had read carefully,
           | you'd have noticed that I suggested a policy of arresting
           | based on tests that reduce false negatives, and then
           | subsequent tests after arrest which are designed to reduce
           | false positives, potentially balancing the issue you mention.
        
             | godelski wrote:
             | I did read carefully and responded to that point. I'll also
             | point to other comments in this thread which demonstrate an
             | over confidence in being reliant on this as a system that
             | cannot easily be abused.
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackstone%27s_ratio
        
         | standardUser wrote:
         | > A moderate false positive rate might be good for public
         | safety
         | 
         | Do you really think the ~0.5% of drug users who actual get
         | arrested is improving public safety in any meaningful way? If
         | we actually care about public safety, let's stop forcing people
         | to buy their drugs from criminals. It's the prohibition of
         | drugs in the first place that brings the violence.
        
         | forgotmypw17 wrote:
         | > Then the harm would be limited to the disruption of an
         | evening, not a life.
         | 
         | It's not just an evening, because even if your charges are
         | immediately thrown out, your arrest remains public record
         | forever.
        
       | standardUser wrote:
       | Our obsession with pretending we can stop the sale and use of
       | drugs has been the primary force suppressing civil liberties in
       | this nation for a generation at least. Everything form asset
       | forfeiture to mandatory minimums to letting some dog provide
       | probable cause - the list of violations we allow when it comes to
       | drugs is long and embarrassing. Aside from terrorism or child
       | abuse, where else do Americans so eagerly and willingly forfeit
       | basic rights? And at least those crimes have victims.
        
         | libraryatnight wrote:
         | And it's a very different situation for different income
         | brackets. Celebrity or wealthy person is on drugs and manages
         | to get to rehab - because they have the means to dip in and out
         | of rehab - and they're a heart warming story, if you're poor
         | you're not a person, you're just a drug addict.
         | 
         | Nothing drove that home for me more than hearing someone,
         | during the George Floyd trial, cut someone off who referred to
         | him as a man with "He was a drug addict"
        
           | exoverito wrote:
           | The whole social phenomenon surrounding George Floyd's
           | veneration and martyrdom is very interesting. He was
           | literally a convicted felon for multiple crimes, one of which
           | was home invasion where he held a gun up to a pregnant
           | woman's stomach. The day of the incident he was passing
           | counterfeit bills and acting erratic which prompted the call.
           | The toxicology report showed he had fentanyl and meth in his
           | system. The body cam footage started with him in the driver's
           | seat of an SUV without ID, acting erratic and resisting
           | arrest, and when first put into the back seat of the police
           | car Floyd said he couldn't breath. Odds are he was probably
           | already having a heart attack from the drugs, and then
           | Chauvin's maximum restraint technique pushed him over the
           | edge.
           | 
           | Objectively speaking, Floyd was a miscreant at best and
           | almost certainly a net-negative in terms of benefiting
           | society. A fair trial would have classified the incident as
           | manslaughter, but since cities were literally burning and the
           | jurors were publicly known, they were not at liberty to judge
           | the case impartially. The transformation of Floyd into a
           | martyr and the violent quasi-religious movement that followed
           | will be a good case study for future historians.
        
             | standardUser wrote:
             | You have that entirely backwards. People don't generally
             | sit around waiting for the perfect martyr. A martyr is a
             | symptom of social unrest, not a cause. Dwelling on the
             | specifics of the individual, instead of what they
             | represent, is an obstacle to actually understanding the
             | issue.
        
               | l3mure wrote:
               | No such thing as a true innocent for avowed racists
               | anyways, these are people that celebrate the murder of
               | children like Emmett Till, George Stinney, and Tamir
               | Rice.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | Sometimes they do. Rosa Parks wasn't the first to resist
               | racial segregation on the bus, but a sex worker did the
               | same but that wouldn't have played as well in the media
               | so she went un-rallied around.
        
             | anigbrowl wrote:
             | Jury selection for the trial of Derek Chauvin started in
             | December 2020 and the trial itself took place the following
             | March - many months after rioting had ended. Get your facts
             | straight.
        
             | LorenPechtel wrote:
             | Manslaughter??? No, that requires a lack of intent. Once
             | you engage in felony violence against the person an
             | inadvertent kill carries the intent of the original felony.
             | Murder, not manslaughter.
             | 
             | The cops engaged in a bit of street justice. Usually they
             | get away with it, but since it resulted in death on camera
             | they were caught. This is not to say that Floyd wasn't a
             | criminal--he certainly was.
        
             | PH95VuimJjqBqy wrote:
             | his past isn't relevant to the case, there is clear
             | evidence of misconduct by the police that resulted in an
             | unnecessary death.
             | 
             | Had the police been better they would have taken him in and
             | no one would have batted an eye but that isn't what
             | happened.
        
             | mrWiz wrote:
             | According to the toxicology report on Floyd, fentanyl and
             | methamphetamine were present in his system but not at
             | levels that indicated use the day he was killed.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | The war on drugs has also helped the US balance powers in
         | foreign countries. The illegal drug trade funnels money into
         | foreign government corruption and crime syndicates, which
         | destabilizes their governments and economies. There have even
         | been recent examples of the US intervening in foreign elections
         | with the result that drug lords end up seizing control of the
         | government.
         | 
         | In addition to keeping potential rival countries from getting
         | back on their feet, this creates humanitarian crises that are a
         | root cause of a lot of the legal and illegal immigration into
         | the US. That creates a cycle where they can take away even more
         | rights domestically.
        
       | dukeofdoom wrote:
       | I fail to believe that these judges did not know this.
       | 
       | Just remember that judges where the ones that allowed the Nazis
       | to rise to power, and rubber stamped everything. And then were
       | also some of the people that they later hanged for their crimes
       | against humanity. Judges are not people to be trusted with
       | justice. Very often they're the worst of people, totally
       | deferential to authority. They have proven to be easily corrupted
       | and tools of a totalitarian state many times over and over.
       | Currently sending grandma's to long prison sentences for
       | protesting somewhere. Even the Bible warned us ....when Pontius
       | just caved to the mob and Romans.
       | 
       | Who judges the judges in our system...doesn't seem like they have
       | faced scrutiny for a long time.
        
       | worik wrote:
       | The root of this problem is vice law
       | 
       | Criminalising life style choice is evil
        
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