Posts by johnlray@mastodon.social
(DIR) Post #AQ4XBtC4m4ma8MBt0S by johnlray@mastodon.social
2022-11-28T18:47:35Z
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Interesting set of results from YouGov's profile survey data on the SVOD market. Young people - and, correspondingly, more progressive and Democratic people - are driving the shift toward streaming TV.Pretty clear these are good venues on which to reach young people interested in politics and, typically, are also less sure how they currently feel about various political issues. https://business.yougov.com/product/profiles/SVOD-subscribers-in-the-us?utm_medium=organic_social&utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=WP-2022-11-US-Global-ABM-SVOD-US
(DIR) Post #ARwGrsyrKIYU5MTH5k by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-20T16:38:48Z
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I keep seeing this back-patting about how election deniers got clobbered in 2022 and we should celebrate. In a report by my friends at Rural Organizing (with me looking over their shoulder), using my No More Election Deniers dataset, they find reason to be cautious about this. Hundreds of election deniers, from Senate to statewide to state leg, won their elections handily, in very safe, very red seats. Large swaths of the country are now represented by election deniers.https://ruralorganizing.org/report-election-deniers-2022-midterm-elections
(DIR) Post #ARwGruZlOZfZ26kGFk by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-22T01:07:48Z
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Delighted to see this report getting some attention and just want to reiterate my DMs are open if you are also working on fighting election deniers this cycle and want to connect! I'm a pollster by trade but a political everything by character.
(DIR) Post #ARwGrx9do9YZ1xXwS8 by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-20T16:41:19Z
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And there were important statewide wins by election deniers -- two of Georgia's most important statewide commissioners, Idaho's Lt Gov and SoS, and a dozen Senate seats are now held by people who took some concrete action to overturn the 2020 election results. Kevin McCarthy voted against certifying the 2020 election! We are far from safe on the question of election denial in the GOP. The high-profile losses distract from an alarming number of wins.
(DIR) Post #ARwGryfECCPviDKgKG by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-20T16:45:38Z
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Ultimately, the fact their wins were in safe areas tells us this element of the GOP is here to stay. Hundreds of election deniers ran unopposed, and hudnreds more ran in R+20 or higher districts. These folks are in safe enough areas their role in senior leaderships of the state and national parties is inevitable. Going in 2024 it should be assumed that election denial will be a ubiquitous part of campaign rhetoric on the right.
(DIR) Post #ARwGs0CaTehCTxwpxg by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-22T23:47:50Z
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And in case I wasn't sufficiently explicit in this thread or if the report was: The "election denier/non-election denier" distinction is rapidly going away, I think.I don't think we need an exact dataset like this next next cycle. Election denial is the Republican platform. Louder election deniers are less competent candidates, yes, and we should note that, but we should also not go into this thinking there's a GOP we can "save."There are plenty of Republican voters we can persuade, however!
(DIR) Post #AS2jrmIyD2X905wF28 by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-01-26T18:24:55Z
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@kairyssdal 5 but in black, 6 specifically for sticky-notes, I can't explain why
(DIR) Post #ATgCgWQg7ng5hUWeZc by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-03-16T16:46:41Z
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@MattHodges Does this suggest one might be able to somewhat circuitously 'opt out' of training data collection for LLMs by liberally sprinkling "Trademarked," "Copyright," "™", etc. on ones' written work?(This post is a Copyright DMCA Warning Copyright-strike strike copyright notice Digital Millennial Copyright Act private ™ ™ ™ ™ ™ trademark notice post by John's Well-Lawyered Post Factory LLC Copyright, TM)
(DIR) Post #AXMlmJmTnHHCRIepHM by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-07-04T23:23:38Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
Well, Democrats' long odds in the Senate run straight through Texas and Florida so I guess we better get started
(DIR) Post #AXOwP4vSLYJ5WBtgdk by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-07-06T00:27:10Z
1 likes, 0 repeats
Zuck watching Millennials crawling back to check out Threads
(DIR) Post #AbEe1ZpgIpbmRfNKFM by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-10-27T12:46:13Z
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The new Speaker of the House supports a national abortion ban to force women produce more "able-bodied workers," led Donald Trump's January 6 war room, wants to ban gay marriage, among an endless list of abhorrent views.Join me at http://flipthe.house/ to support key swing races that will help us flip back the House. Every dollar supports candidates directly, and *only* supports general election funds - not primaries. We need to flip four seats and these are the best bets I've found so far!
(DIR) Post #AbH1BRcJkpfxVhGVzk by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-10-29T14:47:03Z
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Great episode of Offline on the appeal of Joe Rogan to young men (and not just young white men). If you survey these types of guys, this type of content *is* their current news source.https://crooked.com/podcast/why-do-people-love-joe-rogan/There is a "politics without politics" ecosphere out there that onramps young men to a conservative worldview and the left doesn't really have its own version of that yet. Its perfectly tailored for a population that is disengaged, disaffected, and low social trust.
(DIR) Post #AbH1BSXkJJc4No8NVY by johnlray@mastodon.social
2023-10-29T14:47:54Z
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This type of content helps get people into a particular worldview because the young guys listening to it think they're just talking about interesting ideas, or general "bro"-ey interests -- crypto, entrepreneurship, fitness, history, philosophy, masculinity.Ask around. You will simply not believe the number of guys in your life -- aged anywhere from 15-45 -- whose news diet is some combo of Rogan, Shapiro, Carolla, Barstool, etc. Its something for which we currently have no answer on the left.