Post B290ElYaxpUUaI3C3E by liilliil@mastodon.online
 (DIR) More posts by liilliil@mastodon.online
 (DIR) Post #B28m8QFRsV8VOtAxc0 by kravietz@agora.echelon.pl
       2026-01-10T09:32:30.171467Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       #Germany military analyst C Schmidt ran some simulations on the recent launch of #Russia “Oreshnik” rocket and came to a conclusion that:German Arrow 3 would launch to intercept approximately with Oreshnik surrogate SS-X-31/RS-26 Rubezh approximately 1500km over Warsaw. Launch site Kaputsin Yar. Intercept happens about 590km Alt Exo-Atmospheric east of Poznan.So downing the Russian rocket that they advertise as “impossible to intercept” seems to be entirely doable - that’s in the context of the periodic Russian threats to military bases in Poland. I think EU could also intercept the Russian rockets over Ukraine, but not sure where that would need to happen geographically (launch site).The Arrow 3 system is jointly produced by #Israel and US, and is one of the few systems specialised in intercepting exoatmospheric ballistic missiles such as “Oreshnik”.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arrow_3
       
 (DIR) Post #B290EkIbdn6ggPYuUS by Scubyw@mastodon.nz
       2026-01-10T10:18:37Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @kravietz https://agora.echelon.pl/objects/44eb4a98-7f18-4495-858d-acbf2cec417dThe problem is that Europe to cowardice. Every missile launched by Russia towards the EU should be considered an attack on Europe and be targeted with whatever defense system they have against it. If they can shoot it down over Russia in the earlier part of the trajectory, any fallout will land in Russia. No separation of warheads yet.
       
 (DIR) Post #B290ElYaxpUUaI3C3E by liilliil@mastodon.online
       2026-01-10T13:59:17Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @Scubyw Are you going to intercept a hypersonic missile during its launch phase? Over Russia? Good luck to you with that! @kravietz
       
 (DIR) Post #B290EmhqguUG9HO676 by kravietz@agora.echelon.pl
       2026-01-10T14:10:43.818440Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @liilliil I think ballistic can be only intercepted at the peak point of of the ballistic curve -  in case of Kapustin Yar to Lviv launch that probably means somewhere over central Ukraine?@Scubyw