Post Acn9onrdFyptMJS3k0 by lysol@mastodon.social
 (DIR) More posts by lysol@mastodon.social
 (DIR) Post #AcmKuGPDTIcTfI0THk by kravietz@agora.echelon.pl
       2023-12-13T21:02:23.446269Z
       
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       Twitter #OSINT author Naalsio published a list of video-confirmed losses of both sides in Avdiivka.Over two months of siege #Russia has lost 311 vehicles, #Ukraine lost 23. That's 13½ higher losses on Russian side. While Russia certainly has advantage in both number of armoured vehicles and infantry, this disbalance doesn't seem sustainable even for Russia.At the same time it seems entirely feasible for Ukraine to win the attrition war by simply holding fortified defense lines.Source: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VIy...
       
 (DIR) Post #AcmMrNQx5KiyV9ZO08 by VoxClamans@mastodon.top
       2023-12-13T21:13:47Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @kravietz “At the same time it seems entirely feasible for Ukraine to win the attrition war by simply holding fortified defense lines.“After all, that's what Russia did to torpedo Ukraine's offensive. Then stalemate, then propaganda for a ceasefire, then new Russian offensives with maximum manpower and vehicles. Unless …
       
 (DIR) Post #AcmNPwsLoqySGhs1jM by kravietz@agora.echelon.pl
       2023-12-13T21:31:02.207049Z
       
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       @VoxClamansPrecisely! But as I wrote last week, I don't think Zaluzhnyi could in any way avoid the offensive even if he rationally realized it's not going to work. Just remember how much hate was poured on Arestovych when he mentioned "strategic defense" in September or so...
       
 (DIR) Post #AcmObPb9TAiYUPr6oa by jorgecandeias@mastodon.social
       2023-12-13T21:33:28Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @kravietz Ukraine's problem is people. Human resourses. Russia can and will send millions to die in Ukraine. For the nazi in charge, a million dead on his side is a medal of accomplishment. Ukraine can't afford to do the same.They need more and better weapons, and a LOT more ammo, and quickly.
       
 (DIR) Post #Acn9onrdFyptMJS3k0 by lysol@mastodon.social
       2023-12-14T06:19:30Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @jorgecandeias @kravietz this exactly. Pretty much every military defence expert in the west make the same conclusion; that in 5-7 years, Russia have increased their military capacity again to be able to start a new front. That future capacity needs to be destroyed by western weapons in *Ukraine* instead of somewhere else. Everything we sent them, we sent them too late. And now it looks like no one is even planning to send them anything anymore.