Post ATLsqyLIPdiKnsTWHA by artsrc@aus.social
 (DIR) More posts by artsrc@aus.social
 (DIR) Post #ATKyKO6a0naliQTfl2 by johnquiggin@mstdn.social
       2023-03-06T11:23:54Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       VoiceReferendum probably wouldn't win a majority of states on latest Newspoll, and v. likely to slide further  (referendums always do).Only chance is to present a preferred model, noting that Parliament can amend it. #auspol
       
 (DIR) Post #ATLsqyLIPdiKnsTWHA by artsrc@aus.social
       2023-03-06T21:57:12Z
       
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       @johnquiggin For proposals more popular in a majority of smaller states, a majority of states can be a lower bar, than an overall majority.Tasmania and Western Australia are much stronger supporters of the voice than the nation overall:https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/53-of-australians-would-vote-yes-to-establish-an-aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-voice-to-parliamentThe easiest path to victory is probably to add South Australia and Victoria to Tasmania and Western Australia.I don't know how much recent data there is on referendums.  The internet age is newer than the most recent referendum.