Post A5czEQXGR0won5bPCi by Ravenhelm@fosstodon.org
 (DIR) More posts by Ravenhelm@fosstodon.org
 (DIR) Post #A5czEQ5c5opVPKfK6a by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T01:32:39Z
       
       0 likes, 1 repeats
       
       By our best estimates there is a 1 in 500 chance betelgeuse will go supernova in my life time. I really hope I beat the odds on this one!
       
 (DIR) Post #A5czEQXGR0won5bPCi by Ravenhelm@fosstodon.org
       2021-03-27T07:09:12Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @freemo Well Acktschually technically it's already hopefully happened :D
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dCx1avJIHFsBuU8e by trinsec@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T09:43:32Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @freemo You know that only works if it is a one-in-a-million chance!
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dc4FDnXcuZ19dIJc by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T14:24:48Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @trinsec The way it works is simple really.. 1)  Our current best estimates state that Betelgeuse will go supernova at some point in the next 100,000 years (other than that we can pin down when it will start and when it does start it will all happen rather fast)... Next we know on average our galaxy experiences 2 supernova a year. So if you have a life span of ~ 100 years that works out to ~1 in 500.
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dfm1CdK8hg8weWLA by trinsec@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T15:06:27Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @freemo Well, I was referring to http://wiki.lspace.org/mediawiki/Million-to-one_chance ;)Don't forget to utter that phrase as well! Then you have actually got a chance of 9 in 10 of witnessing that supernova!
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dh1B5cwjfV6aATbc by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T15:20:11Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @trinsec brownie points for discworld reference :)
       
 (DIR) Post #A5diIGL4mcIqGK6XtQ by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T15:34:38Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @trinsec Man... now i need to reread some discworld stuff! It really is one of my favorites series and writer.
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dwLDbomvxK1SEtQe by trinsec@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T18:11:05Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @freemo He is one of my faves too. I particularly like The Watch series, but The Witches (especially when some Wizards get involved as well) can amuse me a lot too.
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dwahS678ayvJ4gYi by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T18:14:47Z
       
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       @trinsec I dont even think I have favorites, but I do really like the rincewind character. The guy is the hero everywhere he turns but is convinced it is all just coincidence, which in discworld is the best way to invoke luck in the first place and why he gets into the scenarios he is in,a nd out of it.. it is a take on the stereotype of the fool that is just so perfect.. him being the fool and oblivious to his extreme luck is why he is lucky at all and why he doesn't just die :)
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dyAueMcdNuEcdxXk by trinsec@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T18:32:37Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       @freemo Hehe, Rincewind is very cool indeed. He's the natural million-to-one type guy. :D But of the wizards, I really like Mustrum Ridcully.. he truly lives up to his name. :P
       
 (DIR) Post #A5dyH80JsuhvOCsQiW by freemo@qoto.org
       2021-03-27T18:33:48Z
       
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       @trinsec hahaha well all of his characters are fun and priceless really.