Post A05wcldnFd2l7xMalk by jeroenpraat@todon.nl
(DIR) More posts by jeroenpraat@todon.nl
(DIR) Post #A05qZFwa2mJYE95qhU by jeroenpraat@todon.nl
2020-10-12T16:37:50Z
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#coronacrisis #Covid19 #netherlands Source: https://nitter.net/bencoates1/status/1315646068315639808
(DIR) Post #A05qZGBT9QDwyK3juK by shellkr@mstdn.io
2020-10-12T18:05:18Z
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@jeroenpraat Tests is not a good metric... as it differs in different areas how many are done. It also a question of quality as that too differ. There is many false positive/negatives out there. ICU and fatalities is better if you intend to compare.
(DIR) Post #A05wcldnFd2l7xMalk by jeroenpraat@todon.nl
2020-10-12T19:13:08Z
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@shellkr Correct, but those are also very high and tend to be behind the positive tests. About false positive/negative. In the Netherlands that's not so bad afaik. There was a local case were the negative and positive result where actually reversed by accident.
(DIR) Post #A05yjJDlVtXKv7R5vc by shellkr@mstdn.io
2020-10-12T19:32:26Z
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@jeroenpraat The problem is that no one knows... you have test with everything from 50% to 98% accuracy. Common is about 70% accuracy... This also differ between countries..My guess is that Netherlands are better at testing right now but also that there is a raise in infections.
(DIR) Post #A05yjJREhoJPatjqvQ by jeroenpraat@todon.nl
2020-10-12T19:34:02Z
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@shellkr The only thing we know is that there are currently not enough tests. So the only assumption I make that there are even more infections than reported. Everything else is speculation.
(DIR) Post #A05yqKdKf1SPKNk9fk by shellkr@mstdn.io
2020-10-12T19:38:04Z
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@jeroenpraat hmm... it looks like in August Netherlands where testing 17k ppl/day and now they are almost testing 30k ppl/day. It hasn't changed a lot the last weeks though so the rise may indeed be higher infection. According to Our World in Data.But yes, it is super hard to know for sure.. A lot of complexities are involved.