Post 9wZ5IZyG2b3okFCISW by meowbarkchirp@social.quodverum.com
(DIR) More posts by meowbarkchirp@social.quodverum.com
(DIR) Post #9wYuYZ6JwavrBUOAca by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:08:15Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is a new ongoing thread that will report on and discuss the issue of Republican turnout during this Presidential election season. I’ll address primary and special election turnout and related topics. Please add comments and any information you may have from your own regions. Local news is always better.
(DIR) Post #9wYuZWl88VdID8w5vE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:08:25Z
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Republican turnout is the single most under-reported and under-rated topic in political news this year. That lack of attention really isn’t surprising, as the numbers have been consistently outstanding for Republican across the country. They have ranged from good to record-setting and the virus and riots have only increased the numbers.
(DIR) Post #9wYubXU6PVHj2WvlEe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:08:48Z
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This is the direct result of the polls showing the highest enthusiasm from GOP voters for our candidate since Reagan. In this case, the polls are accurate.
(DIR) Post #9wYufmJZDM7yC11YpM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:09:34Z
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The most pertinent comparison is between Trump’s numbers and the votes received by the three most recent Presidents who were re-elected.I will start with the primary numbers in New Hampshire.
(DIR) Post #9wYvJfzw7QQsBYrohs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:16:47Z
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Here are the numbers for the NH primary results for Trump and his three incumbent predecessors.2020Trump Total votes: 129,69685.6% of the electorate2012ObamaTotal votes: 49,080 80.9% of the electorate2004Bush Total votes: 53,962 79.6% of the electorate1996ClintonTotal votes: 76,797about 93% of the electorate
(DIR) Post #9wYvPdsysuiTN8SUEa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:17:51Z
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Here are the numbers for the NH primary results for Trump and his three incumbent predecessors.2020Trump Total votes: 129,69685.6% of the electorate2012ObamaTotal votes: 49,080 80.9% of the electorate2004Bush Total votes: 53,962 79.6% of the electorate1996ClintonTotal votes: 76,797about 93% of the electorate
(DIR) Post #9wYvf5YCJHJnW66PqK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:20:39Z
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The sources are:http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P04/NH-R.phtmlhttps://sos.nh.gov/1996PresPrimElectResults.aspxAP, and the wiki 2012 data pageThese are extraordinary numbers for Trump in a state that he lost by by only 0.4% in 2016.In each case, the incumbent was running without any real opposition and all were re-elected.
(DIR) Post #9wYviYEo6kYbMDgSy8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:21:16Z
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The sources are:http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P04/NH-R.phtmlhttps://sos.nh.gov/1996PresPrimElectResults.aspxAP, and the wiki 2012 data pageThese are extraordinary numbers for Trump in a state that he lost by only 0.4% in 2016.In each case, the incumbent was running without any real opposition and all were re-elected.
(DIR) Post #9wYw2Rx5BjbHeasjfE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:24:52Z
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The Trump campaign is now working aggressively in NH to win the vote.This week, the Trump field office opened in Manchester, NH.It looks like Corey Lewandowski will be the point man for the NH operation."The campaign to re-elect President Donald Trump is officially underway in New Hampshire."https://www.wmur.com/article/trump-campaign-opens-field-office-in-manchester/32988693
(DIR) Post #9wYwYChZQK8ZcfleLo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:30:36Z
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This is the first time I can recall a campaign as active and enthusiastic by a Republican running for the White House in any NH state. Even Romney, our former governor in MA, barely noticed this region.Lewandowski is from Lowell, MA, and knows the area. He is involved with Republican Corky Messner's campaign for the Senate seat, as well.The excellent primary numbers suggest solid turnout in November, and I like seeing Trump pushing to expand the map,
(DIR) Post #9wYwdPCCOlxpouZenQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:31:33Z
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More from Lewandowski on NH:“We're going to see the president and the vice president coming up here on a very regular basis,” said Lewandowski, now a 2020 Trump campaign senior adviser. “There are only a few real battleground states in the country. New Hampshire is one of those, and it's a place where we know the core principles of what Donald Trump has talked about – smaller government, lower taxes, less regulation, strong military.”
(DIR) Post #9wYxuSQVjuV6iXxn28 by Mongo3804@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:45:50Z
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@timr Thank you for this and all your threads, you help get rid of the gloom we hear daily!👍👍👍👍👍
(DIR) Post #9wYy266Mcw1lnKBORE by spinmaven@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:47:13Z
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@timr We have a Republican Primary coming up in OK on June 30. I’ll watch for the tally numbers and report.
(DIR) Post #9wYySXogCsLDHOWQYy by Victoria99654@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:52:00Z
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@timr Thanks for sharing amazing numbers.
(DIR) Post #9wYyY7Tj2lAPKbNZwG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:53:00Z
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@Mongo3804 Cheers! 👍
(DIR) Post #9wYyaaScGABnnT2Lx2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:53:27Z
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@spinmaven Very good - thanks! 👍
(DIR) Post #9wYyonenzYPkmOW1lQ by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T03:56:01Z
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@timr Thank you for you time and energy put into these threads. Much appreciated. Have a good night. 😴
(DIR) Post #9wYzWaZ02DyYubgE9Q by AliceInWonderland@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T04:03:56Z
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@timr Echoing Jaime’s gratitude for your toots about the primaries. Pretty much debunks the doom & gloom that passes for political commentary these days.
(DIR) Post #9wYzlBVlSc7hYe7vFo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T04:06:34Z
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@AliceInWonderland Yes, strong numbers for primaries and special elections, too. Solid and reliable indicator for November.
(DIR) Post #9wZ4rGH99xcnqH0SiO by Mongo3804@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T05:03:41Z
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@timr 👍👍👍
(DIR) Post #9wZ5IZyG2b3okFCISW by meowbarkchirp@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T05:08:38Z
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@timr What are the Democrat numbers for their turn out?
(DIR) Post #9wZ5gOQIcuVLsdfX5U by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T05:12:55Z
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@Jaime @timr Yes, thank you!!
(DIR) Post #9wZ5hQPSj5rYKZllfU by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T05:13:07Z
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@timr Honestly, this is a revelation. I did not know New Hampshire was conservative and so pragmatic.
(DIR) Post #9wZdYjxq3DN8oTsZ4S by IndiaMaria@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T11:32:31Z
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@timr And I'm sure you noticed Rasmussen's latest showing a 50% INCREASE in Trump approval from BLACK LIKELY voters SINCE George Floyd's death.
(DIR) Post #9wZnX5IyjYSNxncH20 by AmareVita@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T13:24:14Z
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@timr Thank you!
(DIR) Post #9waB3gwUdGlquEcGMy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T17:47:53Z
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@IndiaMaria Yes, that is the other under-rated and under-reported story of this election season - Trump and the GOP's rising approval ratings among both black and Hispanic voters across the country.That has been developing slowly since 2018 and continues
(DIR) Post #9waCKcQokzMXnDR4SG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T18:02:08Z
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@barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis NH isn't really conservative, but it certainly is pragmatic.The Dems still lead in registration.It is generally perceived to be a blue-leaning state, but in fact the current governor Chris Sununu is a popular Republican and more conservative than our Baker here in MA.NH also had a Republican senator, Kelly Ayotte, who lost in 2016 by .02%
(DIR) Post #9waCLpZFP3fYp4xMVU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T18:02:21Z
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@barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis The NH state motto is Live Free or Die. Extreme government over-reach is not popular in norther New England. This offers an opening for Trump and the GOP.
(DIR) Post #9waCSec2X2F4sEW45Q by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T18:03:35Z
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@timr Thanks, Tim
(DIR) Post #9waCZyhkEEZ3DOg20e by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T18:04:55Z
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@IndiaMaria Yes, that is the other under-rated and under-reported story of this election season - Trump and the GOP's rising approval ratings among both black and Hispanic voters across the country.That has been developing slowly since 2018 and , and certainly contributes to the surging GOP turnout.
(DIR) Post #9waFXxFSyGmfyyB17Y by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-29T18:38:10Z
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@timr @barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis Her nemesis was the "True and principled" conservatives. I think Don Saul called them the Jihadists and I think that's an accurate description. Kick in a loserdopian or two and , en voila, Communist magic.
(DIR) Post #9wbTykuYXeRS3Q1v1c by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T08:54:35Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:New Mexico is considered a safe blue state. But the Trump campaign is aggressively targeting NM as a pickup in November.There is data to support this agenda, based on primary results this year and rising support for Trump from Hispanic voters, who make up more than 48% of New Mexico's population.
(DIR) Post #9wbUJ49ehjazWpmFqy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T08:58:16Z
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This is from an article by the NM chapter of the Trump Victory team in a Santa Fe New Mexican:"During our most recent National Week of Action, Trump Victory made an unprecedented voter contact push, connecting with over 200,000 voters in New Mexico.""The Trump Victory team has made over 500,000 contacts in New Mexico since going all virtual, along with hosting virtual TVLIs to encourage volunteers and help train them"https://www.santafenewmexican.com/opinion/my_view/trump-is-here-to-win-new-mexico/article_50760774-a766-11ea-9e77-d3eefe3bf25a.html
(DIR) Post #9wbUsdNjis20v2K8Qq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:04:41Z
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This GOP voter outreach across the country is happening while Biden is not campaigning at all.The New Mexico primary was held on June 2nd. The results are important because of the enormous increase in GOP turnout between 2016 and 2020, and the disappointingly small increase in turnout for the Democrats.
(DIR) Post #9wbVdNkzdKZk4NUd1c by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:13:08Z
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NM has a much higher number of registered Democrat than Republicans, with a ratio of 45.6 to 30.5, with independents making up about 22%.https://www.sos.state.nm.us/voting-and-elections/data-and-maps/voter-registration-statistics/2020-voter-registration-statistics/
(DIR) Post #9wbVt38e3nRikv1jCS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:15:58Z
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Despite these odds, GOP turnout rose more than 50% in the primary between 2016 and 2020.Democrat turnout rose by only 15%.https://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTYhttp://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?eid=78&type=FED&map=CTY
(DIR) Post #9wbWVmTvvI6gOES8Dw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:22:58Z
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The total number of Dem votes was still substantially higher, by 90,000.But the following factors should be taken into consideration:1) New Mexico has a closed primary. Voters must vote only for the candidates of the party they have registered for.Independent voters make up between 1/5 and 1/4 of New Mexican voters.They can only vote for independent candidates.2) The GOP primary was uncontested.The Dem primary had 6 candidates on the ballot.
(DIR) Post #9wbWotAPIBascpQlo8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:26:25Z
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This sharp 50% increase in GOP Primary voting in New Mexico in only four years shows a vitalized Republican party in a state that has been considered a lost cause.The disappointing 15% increase for the Democrats indicates that the Dems have a great deal of work to do, and a candidate who is not working at all.
(DIR) Post #9wbWrNh0ljB7sXrz0a by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:26:52Z
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This sharp 50% increase in GOP Primary voting in New Mexico in only four years shows a vitalized Republican party in a state that has been considered a lost cause.The disappointing 15% increase for the Democrats during the same period indicates that the Dems have a great deal of work to do, and a candidate who is not working at all.
(DIR) Post #9wbXQMEeBCGtUgHSQi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:33:12Z
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This sharp 50% increase in GOP Primary voting in New Mexico in only four years shows a vitalized Republican party in a state that has been considered a lost cause.The disappointing 15% increase for the Democrats during the same period indicates that the Dems have a great deal of work to do, and a candidate who is not working at all.This is supposed to be solid Democrat state and Biden's name should have resulted in a surge in primary voters. It didn't happen
(DIR) Post #9wbZLSY7TbI7XMBGwC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T09:54:43Z
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This sharp 50% increase in GOP Primary voting in New Mexico in only four years shows a vitalized Republican party in a state that has been considered a lost causeThe disappointing 15% increase for the Dems during the same period indicates that the Dems have plenty of work to do, and a candidate who is not working at allNM is supposed to be solid Democrat state. Biden's name should have resulted in a surge in primary voters for the supposedly most important election ever. It didn't happen
(DIR) Post #9wbclIy81E5ZDPMUvw by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T10:32:59Z
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@timr I have long thought that the GOP and DJT need to reach out to the Native American (NA) voters for the upcoming election. NM has the second highest NA population in the US after Alaska, almost 9% of the population. Even the NYTs ran a piece on the neglected American Indian vote Last year . NA turnout has been 5-14% lower than other minorities. If any group of Americans has been screwed by Democrat policies, it’s them.
(DIR) Post #9wboPkOkYUPbMhIiTg by Meeka@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T12:43:33Z
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@timr Thank you for all of these threads!
(DIR) Post #9wcJSDxghtQsDGItmq by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T18:31:22Z
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@timr What happened in 2018, the year we lost the House?Did Republicans not show up? If not, why not?
(DIR) Post #9wcQsZqoe55nJEbQhM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T19:54:34Z
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@Meeka You're welcome!
(DIR) Post #9wcQv286TbEjarrNkO by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T10:36:22Z
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@timr Given DJT’s prowess in reaching out to the “forgotten Man” I would not be surprised if he does not launch a separate recovery plan for the NA population or some other stimulus like energy development on Indian land. Calvin Coolidge (Our Vermont neighbor) did it in the 1920’s
(DIR) Post #9wcQvUrRec8uhbHzJA by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T10:48:49Z
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@timr Two “quick-fix” proposals he might make would be to call for a reprogramming of agency budgets to plus-up the Dept of Interior/Indian Affairs i.e, cut the EPA budget and give it to the Indians. The other would be to open a VA Clinic on all reservations that have Veterans
(DIR) Post #9wcQvwAs6Uj1PfaNpw by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-06-30T11:24:12Z
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@timr
(DIR) Post #9wdLz9JrNlISRBSin2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T06:34:26Z
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@RangerJohn Outstanding and informative posts on a topic that gets very little coverage. I agree that Trump is the candidate of the forgotten man.Good pragmatic ideas.I will look for information on the Trump campaign's outreach to the NA voters.I do recall reading about the GOP reaching out to North Carolina NA voters when Dan Bishop was running for the special election in 2019.When he won, that outreach contributed to his victory.I'll keep that in mind when researching. 👍
(DIR) Post #9wdNXDNKuN1ooitb6m by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T06:51:49Z
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@rarity The 2018 midterms in New Mexico were good for the Democrats and mediocre at best for the GOP.The general turnout was substantially higher, but the gains were mostly due to the large Democratic counties.NM midterms:2018 55 percent2014 40.35 2010 52.71%https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2018/11/12/turnout-in-nm-jumped-up-from-past-midterms-especially-in-dem-leaning-counties/
(DIR) Post #9wdNcXKEA8cc8dym4u by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T06:52:46Z
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@rarity That is one of the reasons why the Republican surge in New Mexico is so impressive. All of the gains have happened since the midterms.
(DIR) Post #9wdO1SLNouYfvdP0sa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T06:57:16Z
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@rarity There were several reasons:The most important was the strong turnout of Democrats across the country, following the usual pattern of the opposing party doing well in the midterms. Trump voters turned out in significant numbers for competitive Senate seats, and the GOP had an outstanding year in the Senate.But elsewhere, in House, Legislature and Governor races, the results were somewhat disappointing.
(DIR) Post #9wdOVQ8sZQXzmtqGLQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T07:02:41Z
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@rarity It was a status quo midterm in New Mexico, a blue state. It was also the end of the status quo, which was just starting to be felt across the country.2018 was the end of the NeverTrumpers as a factor in elections. Many lukewarm Republicans ran against Trump and lost. The economy was stronger but not yet in a full-throttle boom.The Russia collusion hoax and the Mueller witch hunt, combined with constant staff changes, still had some effect.
(DIR) Post #9wdOy9w3uD7zvBYBlo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T07:07:53Z
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@rarity Paul Ryan made it clear that he had no interest in providing leadership, unity or enthusiasm for House races.He did a fine job on the tax bill and Obamacare. But his heart wasn't in it beyond that. He is a true NeverTrumper and was on the way out.He was complaining about Trump's immigration policies just before the midterms.Since then, Trump supporting candidates have done extremely well in special elections
(DIR) Post #9wdPbIBt99H4onc5Fg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T07:14:57Z
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Another encouraging development in New Mexico is the Republican Senate candidate, Mark Ronchetti.He is a strong Trump supporter and won the primary.https://www.markronchetti.com/In 2018, the GOP ran a perfunctory senate campaign, with GOP Marc Rich - and libertarian Gary Johnson taking votes away - against incumbent Heinrich.This year is different.
(DIR) Post #9wdSd9hpxmH2wf8YYi by Dawnz@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T07:48:54Z
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@timr A great thread, very interesting 🙂
(DIR) Post #9wdVIpwu0dldjzBd9U by Victoria99654@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T08:18:51Z
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@timr Very informative thread. Thanks for putting info together.
(DIR) Post #9wda9zFwXHynlqgyW0 by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T09:13:16Z
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@timr Excellent. If the GOP peels away and secures a good portion of the 3.3% Libertarian vote Johnson got in 2016...they win NM, NH, maybe ME(1), and those states that had slim HRC wins. Many states like NH had large Libertarian votes.
(DIR) Post #9wePflYc6BMsDIKsqm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T18:50:29Z
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@Dawnz Thanks 👍
(DIR) Post #9wePhqgtyzeCiMCpBA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T18:50:51Z
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@Victoria99654 Thank you 👍
(DIR) Post #9weYZavxaBoD7DO7hA by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:30:12Z
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@timr It’s odd to me that Paul Ryan could have such an impact on those midterms. Speaking personally, and living in a pathetically blue state — my husband and I couldn’t have cared less what that creep said or did.The belt person we cared about was our POTUS, and we voted the only way we knew to help him.
(DIR) Post #9weYqDIai5v4jftjyC by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:33:13Z
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@timr It’s odd to me that Paul Ryan could have such an impact on those midterms. Speaking personally, and living in a pathetically blue state — my husband and I couldn’t have cared less what that creep said or did.The only person we cared about was our POTUS, and we voted the only way we knew to help him.Sadly, our votes have made no difference in CT for the past 30 years.😏
(DIR) Post #9weZm5V3rdozLNKMXw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:43:40Z
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@rarity Ryan was a lethargic, conflicted and bored leader, and that had a significant impact on fund-raising, marketing, and fielding strong candidates. Fund-raising was far behind the Dems for the Midterms. NeverTrump incumbents ran on an uncertain message and they were the ones who lost.That discrepancy between Trump and NeverTrump was a problem in 2016 and 2018. Ryan was a major part of that.It is now almost goneNeverTrump
(DIR) Post #9weZruOU4M3mdW1hui by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:44:43Z
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@rarity Paul Ryan was a lethargic, conflicted and bored leader, and that had a significant impact on fund-raising, marketing, and fielding strong candidates. Fund-raising was far behind the Dems for the Midterms. NeverTrump incumbents ran on an uncertain message and they were the ones who lost.That discrepancy between Trump and NeverTrump was a problem in 2016 and 2018. Ryan was a major part of that.It is now almost gone
(DIR) Post #9wea1tmfByCTdl6G2a by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:46:31Z
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@timr Let’s hope that lethargy had passed.We have to pray, but keep rowing to shore.
(DIR) Post #9weaUXZypLK5AipCqG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-01T20:51:42Z
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@rarity The lethargy is gone in the House. The new leadership is already hereWe saw the new leadership during the impeachment fiasco. Strong, unified, clear, dynamic - this is the new conservative leadership and we have it now.
(DIR) Post #9wfHVL8CtEQisrSgm8 by MrHobbit@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T04:53:39Z
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@timr @rarity There have been an increasing number of stories in the past week or two where the House Repubs are splitting off enough Dems to override Pelosi on motions to recommitt, including today where they forced a provision in the infrastructure bill which will ban Chinese companies that violate human rights from getting contracts.Says these overrides are embarrassing House Dem leadership.
(DIR) Post #9wfI9mrFDt4USWoYXA by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T05:00:58Z
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@timr The thing that gets me is even if they don't like Trump that shouldn't prevent them from offering their own solutions to long-standing problems:- What should our foreign policy be?- What to do with entitlement spending?- What is the proper role of the federal government in domestic affairs?Instead of presenting a viable alternative to what Trump was offering, they commenced to give in to personal emotions to the point of pettiness.
(DIR) Post #9wfRyUnF2sJimzCFv6 by Donjanusgjrdrm@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T06:50:58Z
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@timr I am so counting on the other states to save the reelection of PDJT. keep me posted. I am not sure about how to follow these threads. I will add you to my tab.
(DIR) Post #9wfWk5yF2PhNWIIJzU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T07:44:24Z
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@MrHobbit @rarity That's interesting - the Democrats have been absolutely united, even though their unity never leads to anything but defeat and failure.But in the last six weeks, the Democratic party have thrown off all restraint and any shred of sanity.They are now - openly - the part of violence, crime, looting, riots and destruction of the country.There are always a very people who reach a point where they say no - and some Democrats are doing this as an attempt at self-preservation.
(DIR) Post #9wfWla1cmV4N1QaK2K by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T07:44:40Z
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@MrHobbit @rarity That's interesting - the Democrats has been absolutely united, even though their unity never leads to anything but defeat and failure.But in the last six weeks, the Democratic party have thrown off all restraint and any shred of sanity.They are now - openly - the part of violence, crime, looting, riots and destruction of the country.There are always a very people who reach a point where they say no - and some Democrats are doing this as an attempt at self-preservation.
(DIR) Post #9wfWnMOoPgyfLCHOS0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T07:44:59Z
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@MrHobbit @rarity That's interesting - the Democrats has been absolutely united, even though their unity never leads to anything but defeat and failure.But in the last six weeks, the Democratic party have thrown off all restraint and any shred of sanity.They are now - openly - the party of violence, crime, looting, riots and destruction of the country.There are always a very people who reach a point where they say no - and some Democrats are doing this as an attempt at self-preservation.
(DIR) Post #9wfZkjIB8nvrKtc81Y by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T08:18:08Z
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@Movietime_Blues NeverTrumpers are globalists and focus on membership in international organizations, free trade, more or less unlimited immigration, lax border control, low taxes and a generally conservative view on social issues among at least some of them.They are also neo-cons and military expansionists. Their insular, isolated world doesn't exist anymore.I agree that their hatred of Trump is essentially emotional. Policy is secondary. He reminds them that their world view failed
(DIR) Post #9wfaIvwuaaBKR8yaqO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T08:24:19Z
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@Donjanusgjrdrm Thanks for the interest. There is a lot of good news now. The strong Republican voter turnout across the country in the last year and the high levels of enthusiasm among Republicans are powerful evidence for November.I pinned this thread to my profile. I reply to my own posts to keep the thread continuous.There are tangents because I try to respond to most comments. I know that can be a bit confusing. But the main thread is where I update every two days or so.
(DIR) Post #9wfbuajm0E7rbjLqj2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T08:42:19Z
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@RangerJohn Yes, a major issue that is too 'dull' for much coverage. The Libertarian vote does usually go to Republicans if there is no viable Libertarian candidate, and if they vote at all.Jo Jorgensen is their candidate after Amash threw himself under the bus. She is an unknown without the appeal of Gary Johnson, who was well known.Johnson probably gave MN and NH to Hillary. I posted about that on a separate thread. I'll add some data to this main thread in a couple of days
(DIR) Post #9wfdYgl38aK1okdFXU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T09:00:46Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is the headline from an article in WAPO today:"Trump is beating Biden on the most important factor in this campaign"The factor is voter enthusiasm and turnout
(DIR) Post #9wfdlivcNYsKJVn6Bs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T09:03:08Z
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I have not seen an article like this before. This is from the hard-left cesspool WAPO. This is the most significant factor in the panic of the Democrats, and the flood of fraudulent polls based on false samples.It is behind a paywall but here is a screenshot that sums up the article and makes specific reference to primary turnout and Biden's non-existent campaign and the absence of enthusiasm:
(DIR) Post #9wfjuZicaZuW58Jdjs by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T10:11:58Z
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@timr @RangerJohn As a registered Libertarian, I will be voting for the President.The only negative, and it's a huge one, is the pace of spending. President G. Bush and Ohio Governor Taft took one of the most appealing parts of Republicans and threw it away. They spent like drunken sailors. Then Paul Ryan went from budget wunderkind over to the dark side and got swallowed by the machine.President Obama went crazy doubling the debt.President Trump seems that he will do the same.
(DIR) Post #9wfnEOBBV8WjwnocnA by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T10:49:09Z
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@timr If you give me the WaPo link, I can create an archive link - I have WaPo subscription since I live in the area and need access to local news.
(DIR) Post #9wfnpC2Zb1Yz0vKyBs by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T10:55:49Z
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@timr @MrHobbit @rarity In the Senate to. With regards to the 2nd round of PPP, I think, the Republicans pulled off a procedural move that ends up leaving the House Dems holding the bag and apparently the Dems are stunned by this. There was an article about that yesterday but I can't remember exactly what it was.
(DIR) Post #9wfoUCAxzugnJ4oZBw by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T11:03:13Z
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@timr @Donjanusgjrdrm I love your thread, Tim. It has been very enlightening. Thanks. ☕
(DIR) Post #9wfouoZpqUyzw18j20 by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T11:08:02Z
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@timr We already knew that, but this is news to them!I hope this makes them feel a certain kind of way.
(DIR) Post #9wg66VCfOus2XnSgeO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:20:37Z
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@lolajl Thank you.Here is the link:https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/07/01/trump-is-beating-biden-most-important-factor-this-campaign/
(DIR) Post #9wg6C2upUF08Y5lIbg by KittyDugre@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:21:37Z
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@timr where would I be able to get the voter numbers for Florida? Although Trump was the primary Republican candidate, my husband and I still cast our vote for him in the primary.
(DIR) Post #9wg6C5pycjtzbuVxxY by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:21:38Z
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@timr Looks like someone already archived the link. Here it is. http://archive.is/QlUrf
(DIR) Post #9wg6MnYuuWnE7HdiYS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:23:34Z
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@lolajl Much appreciated
(DIR) Post #9wg6OWyTYRobFXQ8kS by KittyDugre@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:23:53Z
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@timr. Oops. I just answered my own question.
(DIR) Post #9wg6jFRxuAKmyp5oye by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:25:13Z
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@KittyDugre What's the number for Biden? And Sanders? It will be interesting to see how large of a percentage is for Sanders. @timr
(DIR) Post #9wg6jFxW0rZUYfr19c by KittyDugre@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:26:50Z
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@lolajl @timr Here you go.
(DIR) Post #9wg6jGhFGq9QqVFXQu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:27:37Z
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@KittyDugre @lolajlThanks!
(DIR) Post #9wgAxodAIgzRxgX81g by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T15:15:04Z
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@BennettVarsho @RangerJohn The flooding of the economy with liquidity was necessary to respond to the shock of the shutdown.Deficits are sustainable with high growth, low inflation and low interest rates. In the long term, the House has relinquished it most important job, which is the management of the budget.I agree that it is out of control, and the Republicans show little interest in reigning in spending.But Dems will always spend. That is their identity
(DIR) Post #9wgBSdBEvH8RQTAJJQ by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T10:22:43Z
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@timr @RangerJohn President Trump's policies might help us grow out of the debt, if they were allowed to work, but it seems with so many forces arrayed against him, including members of his own party and particularly the press, we are in deep trouble. The Left has shown a desire to scare us into recession (remember the 2019 news). This year, Governors & bureaucrats are more than happy to manipulate us into a shutdown. President Trump will win again, but what will the Left sacrifice next?
(DIR) Post #9wgBSdcXHmyAn7w6rI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T15:20:38Z
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@BennettVarsho @RangerJohn The Left's ability to scare is limited to their own districts.They have attempted to destroy Trump in every possible way. They have thrown everything at him. 24 hours a day.Their only achievement is self-destruction. Their madness and violence are symptoms of a collapsing ideology and party. I'm not concerned about what they will attempt to do after Trump is re-elected
(DIR) Post #9wgBs1J8M4h1Ukxq8u by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T15:25:14Z
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@lolajl @MrHobbit @rarity Pelosi's hold on her members is getting weak.Many of them know they are headed for defeat in November. They represent swing, moderate districts. There is a limit to what moderates will tolerate.The riots, destruction and the Democrats' war on police is the last straw
(DIR) Post #9wgFbflP5SxHrQeD9U by LAPatriot@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T16:07:05Z
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@timr @BennettVarsho @RangerJohn I live in L.A.. I'm not scared.
(DIR) Post #9wgHOroHBhXzMj0qky by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T16:27:11Z
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@LAPatriot @BennettVarsho @RangerJohn 👍
(DIR) Post #9wgHREf9C0acoys8R6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T16:27:38Z
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@barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis @Donjanusgjrdrm Thanks for the comment! 👍
(DIR) Post #9wgILP6rXPhdRGcR3g by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T16:37:47Z
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@mrbungle There have been so many articles proclaiming Biden's inevitable landslide and so many fraudulent polls that it appears that there are at least a few Democrats who realize that the Left are doing exactly the wrong thing.They have a candidate who has no excited base at all. Assurance is good, within reason. But their confidence about a Biden landslide is hallucinatory.
(DIR) Post #9wgKRqfuADt4ZoD6w4 by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T17:01:20Z
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@timr @RangerJohn I agree with everything you just said.
(DIR) Post #9wgKZKWNaty7AdK3VY by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T17:02:42Z
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@timr @RangerJohn I EXPECT the Democrats to spend. That's why Bush and Taft and Ryan were so disappointing. They are supposed to serve as a CHECK against such foolishness.
(DIR) Post #9wgRWWxhaChOZ5iMhk by SandyisGettingSteamed@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T18:20:38Z
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@timr I’m really looking forward to following this thread. Thanks for stepping up and doing this. 😊
(DIR) Post #9wgTO6s8tqADF0E6vg by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:52:07Z
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@KittyDugre @timr 22% Hanging on to Sanders at this late stage? Oooooh, this is going to be interesting.
(DIR) Post #9wgTO8k3wqtB2WSgc4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T18:41:31Z
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@lolajl @KittyDugre You make an important point.Biden is still not doing well with Sanders voters, even in these primaries that have taken place since Sanders dropped out.Biden should be winning his own primaries with landslides at this point. These numbers are more evidence that his entire campaign is smoke and mirrors
(DIR) Post #9wgUNcsMWeYGA9f8mu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T18:52:38Z
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@BennettVarsho @RangerJohn Agreed. The last time Republicans were serious about a balanced budget was in the 90s when Gingrich was speaker.We have a good chance of flipping the House, especially after the riots and violent mobs.In that case, we will have a much stronger GOP leadership than we have had in my memory and there will likely be support for lower spending.At the same time, Trump will very likely be promoting a massive infrastructure bill which does address a serious need.
(DIR) Post #9wgUPirTF559J2FGRk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T18:53:01Z
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@SandyisGettingSteamed Thanks for the comment!
(DIR) Post #9wgVirJ2AZrsx7pIkS by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T19:07:41Z
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@timr @KittyDugre okay ... Two or three days ago I saw some posts that said Iden had settled on Harris and was going to announce on Sunday. But then ... Nothing. Not even confirmation from MSM hacks. Was it a trial balloon or that something funky is going on like you said with smoke and mirrors?
(DIR) Post #9wgXeAKuBjX6Qyak7s by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T19:29:14Z
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@lolajl @KittyDugre The Biden 'campaign' (caregivers) tried to make the VP choice a major story, but they have been dragging it out for so long and so many have dropped out that it now seems just foolish.The person they choose will not have an easy time of it, even though the media will worship her. Biden has announced he will not be campaigning at all because of his 'doctors'. The focus will be on the VP, which is another smoke and mirrors game. The VP is not running for President
(DIR) Post #9wgZp0BkSPZe3UbTVo by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T19:53:37Z
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@timr Their chance at staking their own reputation came during shampeachment. Instead, they fell straight behind Pelosi, Schiff, Waters, Nadler and the Squad.So I can't exactly feel any sympathy for the so-called moderate Dems.
(DIR) Post #9wgnAXDAAnQXxWrZPk by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T22:23:10Z
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@timr @RangerJohn Yeah. It's all very tricky. I like the thought of flipping the house. Everybody knows who supports these riots. Let's see who has a self-preservation instinct.
(DIR) Post #9wnTS6OTyq5L1QybfU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T03:45:12Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:The news about Kanye West's possible run brings up the impact of potential third and fourth candidates on the race.Biden's non-existent campaign and radicalized views - or rather, his caregivers' views that he parrots - make him vulnerable to any additional candidate.Trump's base is solid, loyal and reliable. Biden has no solid base to rely on at all.
(DIR) Post #9wnUY4t0bAO82PfUIa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T03:57:31Z
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The situation was different in 2016, when there was a viable Libertarian candidate. Gary Johnson appealed to voters who are likely to consider voting for Trump in 2020.Here is the final voter results from several states that the Trump campaign is targeting this year. I posed some of this before but it's worth looking at again.Johnson's results are noteworthy.@RangerJohn @Argentum47
(DIR) Post #9wnVD3qjMFNqhB931k by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:04:55Z
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Here are the 2016 results for Minnesota, a top target state for Trump.Note that Johnson won more than enough votes to give the state to Hillary. But also, spoiler McMullin siphoned off almost 2% of the vote - many of whom would likely have vote for Trump.Hillary Clinton 46.44%Donald Trump 44.92%Gary Johnson 3.84%Evan McMullin 1.80%Jill Stein 1.26%@RangerJohn @Argentum47
(DIR) Post #9wnVM2osYXrW6jYvyK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:06:32Z
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Here are the 2016 results for Minnesota, a top target state for Trump.Note that Johnson won more than enough votes to give the state to Hillary. But also, spoiler McMullin siphoned off almost 2% of the vote - many of whom would likely have vote for Trump.Hillary Clinton 46.44%Donald Trump 44.92%Gary Johnson 3.84%Evan McMullin 1.80%Jill Stein 1.26%https://www.sos.state.mn.us/elections-voting/election-results/2016/2016-general-election-results/@RangerJohn @Argentum47
(DIR) Post #9wnWPHe5zPhkuecwFc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:18:20Z
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Hillary won MN by only 1.52%.This year, MN is well-known as the home of a radicalized, criminal Democratic Party - the Governor Wenz, mayor Frey of Minneapolis, Ilhan Omar, Tom Perez. Senators Klobuchar Smith, who encouraged the riots and 'protesters'.The riots, looting and destruction in what was once of the safest and most beautiful cities in the country.MN Dems are now nationally know for their terrible policies and extreme, destructive radicalism.
(DIR) Post #9wnWWB7yccK4iytKbo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:19:34Z
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Hillary Clinton won NH by an even smaller margin - only 0.3%Here are the 2016 results for New Hampshire. McMullin was not on the ballot. But again, Johnson won more than enough votes to give the state to Hillary.Hillary Clinton 46.8%Donald Trump 46.5%Gary Johnson 4.1%Jill Stein 0.9%https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_New_Hampshire,_2016
(DIR) Post #9wnXAItTAR2oOTEsPw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:26:50Z
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Biden has no cushion of support of enthusiastic voters who are loyal to himIf Kanye West does run he will certainly take voters from BidenIf he does not continue with his campaign, the Green Party will still be on the ballot. They have not yet had their conventionAt this point, they are on the ballot in 20-25 states, and petitioning for the rest. In 2016 they were listed in 44 statesAny other option for Leftists will take voters away from Biden, with his frail, smoke and mirrors campaign
(DIR) Post #9wnXv1UTgnOs1spKAS by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:35:16Z
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@timr Wow. I hadn’t realized how close that was!We have friends who live in NH in the Dartmouth area — the entire family are solid Republicans.💪🏻
(DIR) Post #9wnY4CFx22s01bPG1Q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:36:55Z
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Maine is another possible win for Trump, although I have not seen references to it among conservatives on twitter.Clinton won by less than three points. It may be a long shot, but Johnson topped 5% there.Libertarians are popular in northern New England.Maine election results, 2016:Hillary Clinton 47.8%Donald Trump 44.9%Gary Johnson 5.1%Jill Stein 1.9Trump won the 2nd district.https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_Maine,_2016
(DIR) Post #9wnZIThR4hkC8HdTua by bwa_aptos@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:50:43Z
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@timr Kanye will also take votes from Trump. Don't underestimate how many people that really like Kanye prefer Trump to Biden.
(DIR) Post #9wnZazVlXQWy0X0N6W by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:54:04Z
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The state where Gary Johnson won the most votes was New Mexico, as he had been the governor.New Mexico 2016 election results:Hillary Clinton 48.4%Donald Trump 40.04%Gary Johnson 9.34%Jill Stein 1.24%
(DIR) Post #9wnZdc0XNfP1yseEYi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:54:32Z
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Even here, Johnson's results were enough to make up all of Trump's deficit.Of course, some Johnson voters would have voted for Hillary or stayed home.But these numbers, combined with the surging GOP NM primary numbers and enthusiasm, strongly suggest that Trump has a chance at winning that has been considered solid blue.http://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?eid=84&type=FED&map=CTY
(DIR) Post #9wnZfPMLNTnfKehiSW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:54:52Z
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Even in New Mexico, Johnson's results were enough to make up all of Trump's deficit.Of course, some Johnson voters would have voted for Hillary or stayed home.But these numbers, combined with the surging GOP NM primary numbers and enthusiasm, strongly suggest that Trump has a chance at winning that has been considered solid blue.http://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?eid=84&type=FED&map=CTY
(DIR) Post #9wna0Ur28twgSK7BFg by bwa_aptos@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T04:58:40Z
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@timr My guess is the play isn't Biden. It's someone else. Harris? But maybe they're fooling us anyway.
(DIR) Post #9woagEOxtjZ4kVqY1g by RockyRoad@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T16:40:54Z
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@timr That's why Team Trump opened a NH office. They're not taking any chances this time.
(DIR) Post #9wob1VnMQNo0m8P9fs by amerika@freespeechextremist.com
2020-07-06T16:44:47.617147Z
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@RockyRoad @timr He just needs to write an XO to send all Leftists to Venezuela.
(DIR) Post #9wp2lXPBT5HDqtGebw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-06T21:55:38Z
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@RockyRoad The rally is only 50 miles from me. I can't go, but having it take place so close is in itself encouraging.We have a sense of being marooned here because the national GOP has perceived New England to be hopeless territory for so many years. Trump and Parscale clearly don't agree. They are tossing all of those dusty, loser playbooks and going for it. Exhilarating for all New England conservatives
(DIR) Post #9wpXjKVjXFHBrQl4PQ by stephanieanne@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-07T03:42:35Z
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@timr @RockyRoad. How exciting for New Englanders!
(DIR) Post #9wqKDFpQIw2JpGIppA by RockyRoad@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-07T12:45:50Z
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@timr If Team Trump hasn’t open an office in Maine yet, I predict they will.
(DIR) Post #9wsutsOZHzz6GdHhMO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-08T18:46:20Z
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@RockyRoad Trump did visit Maine during the Floyd protests, despite the tantrums of the leftist governor.Northern NE has many libertarian types, even if they are not registered with them.Strongly independent. I was part of a NE Christian men's prayer group for several years. At the annual event, all the six states would be represented.We always knew the guys from northern NH, VT and especially ME. Mountain men.They are Trump voters - they oppose too much government
(DIR) Post #9wsuyKDRnL5Di4CiLQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-08T18:47:09Z
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@RockyRoad Trump did visit Maine during the Floyd protests, despite the tantrums of the leftist governor.Northern NE has many libertarian types, even if they are not registered with them.Strongly independent. I was part of a NE Christian men's prayer group for several years. At the annual event, all the six states would be represented.We always knew the guys from northern NH, VT and especially ME. Different attitudesThey are Trump voters - they oppose too much government
(DIR) Post #9wupy1EYG88xNnfuxk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-09T17:00:29Z
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@RockyRoad Video of the President in Guilford, Maine, last month.https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1268999195295469570
(DIR) Post #9wx7sTLN1MWqJmHzWq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:30:35Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:These are excerpts from an informative article about Trump's exceptionally strong showing in the primaries, with data from various states."Trump topped Biden in 2020 primary vote turnout in key swing states like Florida, OhioThe Trump campaign sees an enthusiasm and base intensity gap favorable for the president."https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/all-things-trump/trump-defeated-biden-2020-primary-vote-turnout-key-swing-states
(DIR) Post #9wx8WKkeNzyXFk7ZUe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:37:48Z
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The most impressive aspect of Trump's extremely strong primary results is that he ran as an uncontested incumbent - that is, he had no serious opposition, and after William Weld dropped out early, no opposition at all.So Trump voters voted to show their support for the President, not to assure his nomination.
(DIR) Post #9wx8Z9h9wwAHpapkqe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:38:19Z
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As a result, his numbers were extraordinary and far head of comparable incumbents.More from the article:"Trump received more votes than former President Barack Obama did in 2012 (the year Obama ran for re-election) in 23 of the 27 states which have held primaries in both 2020 and 2012."
(DIR) Post #9wx8fxn6bhfMwErShk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:39:31Z
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"In many cases, Trump received two or three times Obama's totals. "Trump has also received more votes than former President George W. Bush when the Texan was seeking re-election in 2004."https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/all-things-trump/trump-defeated-biden-2020-primary-vote-turnout-key-swing-states
(DIR) Post #9wx8t63vAMmWM6zNvU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:41:55Z
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Trump's primary strength is in sharp contrast to Joe Biden, who has consistently done poorly against other Democrat candidates in many states - even after he was the only candidate left standing.Trump's support from GOP voters is well over 90%, a number that has been consistent.
(DIR) Post #9wx8vYJn59n8ZLaClU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:42:21Z
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More from the article:"Trump also has historic support within his own party, so far winning more than two million more votes than his total in the 2016 primaries — a new record for the most votes ever cast for an incumbent president"
(DIR) Post #9wx8zMkC3Z8dpZkcgS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T19:43:02Z
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"Trump has also set dozens of records for votes cast for incumbent presidents in their respective state party primaries and has won more than 94% of all votes cast in the Republican primaries."https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/all-things-trump/trump-defeated-biden-2020-primary-vote-turnout-key-swing-states
(DIR) Post #9wxLHyHIRaA0u1sB1s by IndiaMaria@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T22:00:52Z
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@timr I think in the PA primary, Biden didn't event get 60% in some counties, though he ran uncontested.ELECTRIC JOE!
(DIR) Post #9wxU7k5BGa5xZHP3Fg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-10T23:39:52Z
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@IndiaMaria Yes, that will be the data in the next installment of the thread - Biden's pathetic showing in his own primaries
(DIR) Post #9wz0XFo7qHyetMauJc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:17:45Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More information about the comparison between vote results for Trump and Biden in their primaries.Trump received 94% of all votes cast so far in Republican primaries. These were uncontested primaries - that is, there were no significant opponents on the ballots.
(DIR) Post #9wz0ZpAzJTjxAJVuWe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:18:13Z
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For comparison, here is a list of Biden's primary vote totals for states that have held their primaries since April 8th.April 8th was the date when Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race.Since that date, Biden has been running as an uncontested candidate.
(DIR) Post #9wz0iMDmKvILy9t6oq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:19:44Z
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StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary Vote:Alaska 55%4/10Wyoming 72%4/18 Ohio 72%4/20 Kansas 77%5/2These are states where Biden ran as an uncontested candidate, although the names of other candidates were still on the ballot.Trump won 94% on average
(DIR) Post #9wz19w7Aze496rwyw4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:24:44Z
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StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary Vote:Alaska 55%4/10Wyoming 72%4/18 Ohio 72%4/20 Kansas 77%5/2These are states where Biden ran as an uncontested candidate, although the names of other candidates were still on the ballot.Trump won 94% on average
(DIR) Post #9wz1AnfNtBv9CJMY76 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:24:54Z
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More data from the Democrat primaries.Trump averaged 94% of the primary votes. These are for uncontested primaries.StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary Vote:Nebraska 77%5/12Oregon 66%5/19Hawaii 63% 5/24D.C. 76%6/2
(DIR) Post #9wz1WDbkdQ5ZjbsOp6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:28:46Z
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StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary Vote:These are states where Biden ran as an uncontested candidate, although the names of other candidates were still on the ballot.Trump won 94% of GOP primaries, on averageIndiana 77%6/2Maryland 84%6/2Montana 74%6/2New Mexico 73%6/2
(DIR) Post #9wz2pf8ya5h2alFj5U by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:43:29Z
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StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary Vote:These are states where Biden ran as an uncontested candidate, although the names of other candidates were still on the ballot.Trump won 94% of GOP primaries, on averageIndiana 77%6/2Maryland 84%6/2Montana 74%6/2New Mexico 73%6/2@IndiaMaria
(DIR) Post #9wz2rAjibdLIre9slk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:43:46Z
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@IndiaMaria More voter results for Biden in the Dem primaries.Trump averaged 94% of the primary votes. These are for uncontested primaries.StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary 'Pennsylvania 79%6/2Rhode Island 77%6/2South Dakota 77%6/2Georgia 85%6/9
(DIR) Post #9wz35qB7K4N3Rqy6Ay by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:46:25Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria These people should be embarrassed to vote for a man who has truly lost his mind & would want him in any office much less the Presidency. They are dangerous fools.
(DIR) Post #9wz3F1TYgkDD5oyMPw by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:48:04Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria These people should be embarrassed to vote for Biden, man who has truly lost his mind, & these useful idiots would want him in any office much less the Presidency. They truly are dangerous fools who do not value their freedom.
(DIR) Post #9wz3GZRPtJXYiyi0PI by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:48:21Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria These people should be embarrassed to vote for Biden, a man who has truly lost his mind, & these useful idiots would want him in any office much less the Presidency. They truly are dangerous fools who do not value their freedom.
(DIR) Post #9wz3InGXSkpuBCgGbw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:48:45Z
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@IndiaMaria More voter results for Biden in the Dem primaries.Trump averaged 94% of the primary votes. These are for uncontested primaries.StateDate of PrimaryBiden's Percentage of the Primary West Virginia 65%6/9Kentucky 59%6/23New York 68%6/23KY and NY are still counting votes.The numbers for these three states are exceptionally bad for the Democrats.
(DIR) Post #9wz3s7ssnOleGJSoQS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T17:55:08Z
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@IndiaMaria Biden's primary results in all of these states are bad for the Democrats.There is no silver lining. It is only bad news.In the three most recent primaries, he was unable to break 70%.He ran as an uncontested candidate in his own party primaries.In New York, he is at 68% - a center for the Left.These primary numbers are not a canary in the coal mine.They are whole flock, expiring all at once
(DIR) Post #9wz4S1IgkeSwGfeL3Y by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:01:37Z
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@HunDriverWidow @IndiaMaria They are indeed fools, and they do not value freedom.They want and demand a radical leftist government who will have control over every aspect of life, destroy individuals and remove all personal responsibility.They are revealing themselves for what they are now - which is pure self-destruction.
(DIR) Post #9wz4e7CadRDy2wZ3g0 by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:03:49Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria Thank you Tim!
(DIR) Post #9wz6UDRklMbIQU43Qe by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:24:26Z
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@timr All elections are important, but this one is especially important.
(DIR) Post #9wz7RQvoGot3KlMORM by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:35:08Z
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@timr It's all about November 3.WH.Senate.HOUSE.
(DIR) Post #9wz7eQ2MuFRyKDcUvQ by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:37:29Z
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@timr Thanks for this info.Very much appreciated!
(DIR) Post #9wz7spCAAMtEPC4Qfg by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:40:05Z
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@JaimeTim, many of us appreciate all your hard work in the analysis you bring to us! Thank you, so very much!!! 💕 @timr @IndiaMaria
(DIR) Post #9wz80V9oYBqGZkdH60 by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T18:41:28Z
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@JM @Jaime @timr @IndiaMaria Yes, I very much appreciate it too, Tim!!
(DIR) Post #9wzAUVo0u7FhBMsCLg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:09:18Z
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@Jaime You're welcome!
(DIR) Post #9wzAXhnUmAUBF69a1w by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:09:53Z
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@karnage Yes, straight GOP ticket - down ballot all the way
(DIR) Post #9wzAZDt4x2nz3dUMme by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:10:09Z
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@karnage Thanks for the comment!
(DIR) Post #9wzAeVrJYqHmF9BaZU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:11:06Z
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@JM @Jaime You're welcome! 👍 I enjoy working through and interpreting the data
(DIR) Post #9wzAigTs0kQSLRD1UG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:11:52Z
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@Lisa22 @JM @Jaime Thanks for the comment! 👍
(DIR) Post #9wzAl9uPZLZAC3nsbA by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:12:19Z
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@timr👍🏻👍🏻 @Jaime
(DIR) Post #9wzArzZUOylQ9xH9qy by PRooney@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:13:33Z
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@timr Thanks! Love reading your data and analysis.
(DIR) Post #9wzBV7DjtcqvB1l2lU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:20:37Z
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@PRooney You're welcome!There is so much positive news and data for the President and the GOP right now.I appreciate the opportunity to spread the news.
(DIR) Post #9wzC1c9UQfjONMGbOS by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T19:26:29Z
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@timr @JM @Jaime You are welcome! Thanks for keeping up the hope about Trump and how awful Biden is doing :)
(DIR) Post #9wzHzmWjU4oNhNeDse by WarriorPoet@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T20:33:23Z
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@timr New Jersey is not going to count the votes in the Trump primary. I'm sure it's because they do not want to expose how badly they got slaughtered.But you can bet your last dollar that while they may not tell us how many votes he got you can be sure they counted them
(DIR) Post #9wzIE0tarHAQJh7vxw by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T20:35:57Z
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@Lisa22 @timr @JM It’s not hope. There is just no way Trump doesn’t win. My all in chip is in the middle of the pot.
(DIR) Post #9wzIIbMpCTIUaazHxQ by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T20:36:47Z
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@Jaime Us too!!!@Lisa22 @timr
(DIR) Post #9wzINJ4UeO8RIIelvM by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T20:37:39Z
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@timr Thank you!!
(DIR) Post #9wzJ1BihP17C4qTmnA by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-11T20:44:51Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria Amazing he couldn't break 70%. When's the Delaware primary?
(DIR) Post #9x0Z45Gbe0WXMAha6q by jlagrayfox@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T11:19:21Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria Your comments are right on the money....Luv 'Em, Biden is a terrible leading candidate. He actually bores the overwhelming majority of the American voters. Trump has not yet really started his campaign for re-election. Stay tuned for the long haul. Trump will make garbage bin material out of Joe Biden...but, :We" have to do our part too!!! What's that? Simply get out and vote.....period, for Donald J. Trump...Support our great POTUS....American voters..."ALL"!!!
(DIR) Post #9x0wIXg36s7uTBSwpE by IndiaMaria@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T15:39:41Z
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@jlagrayfox @timr Vote GOP .... and vote often (heh, heh)
(DIR) Post #9x1B7VEPMU9t0kjNzc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:25:46Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Moving from primary results to data on voter registration.A report has been released showing Democrats trailing both the GOP and their own previous numbers in voter registration in key swing states.
(DIR) Post #9x1B864QOZ9pGVLR4K by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:25:53Z
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"GOP voter registrations outpace Dems in swing states"https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/
(DIR) Post #9x1Bf8zIZNXLrxhm3E by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:31:51Z
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The most significant factor is the virus, which is having a much stronger effect on Democrat voters than on Republicans. The result is depressed numbers for the Democrats."The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says.""New registrations cratered in the last three months, says TargetSmart, a Democratic data firm."
(DIR) Post #9x1DTOBeQvKlRU0OxM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:52:08Z
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The most significant factor is the virus, which is having a much stronger effect on Democrat voters than on Republicans. The result is depressed numbers for the Democrats."The Republican Party has edged out the Democrats in the race to sign up new voters — and coronavirus lockdowns are to blame, a new report says."
(DIR) Post #9x1DUngV7ShkoM6lcW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:52:23Z
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The virus hysteria is backfiring on the Democrats regarding voting plans and registration, and not only in swing states.The combination of rigidity, panic and constantly changing rules are having a strong negative impact on swing state registrations - but for Democrats, not Republicans."New registrations cratered in the last three months, says TargetSmart, a Democratic data firm."
(DIR) Post #9x1DVZfQikMvcvyacC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:52:32Z
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Here are the numbers for Democrat voter registrations in May, 2016 and May, 2020.These are nationwide numbers for Dems only:2016 1,490,631 2020 194,596 The 2020 number is only 13% of the 2020 number.https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/
(DIR) Post #9x1E2gsAx3Q9WyjG0e by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:58:31Z
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More on the collapse of Democrat voter registration:"In at least five battleground states, Democrats appear to have borne the brunt of the damage during the COVID-shutdown period."Here is a reference to Maine, which is not usually listed as a sing state as it trends Dem.I wrote about GOP hopes for Maine, so this is encouraging:"In Maine, for example, 59 percent of new voters registered as Dems pre-coronavirus — but only 40 percent have done so in the months since."
(DIR) Post #9x1E4iPUCtL4sUH7mi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T18:58:53Z
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More on the collapse of Democrat voter registration:"In at least five battleground states, Democrats appear to have borne the brunt of the damage during the COVID-shutdown period."Here is a reference to Maine, which is not usually listed as a swing state as it trends Dem.I wrote about GOP hopes for Maine, so this is encouraging:"In Maine, for example, 59 percent of new voters registered as Dems pre-coronavirus — but only 40 percent have done so in the months since."
(DIR) Post #9x1EklfEUzy78Gh0ls by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:06:29Z
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"Dem declines were also seen in Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania"
(DIR) Post #9x1FUd5QipBVqnoZoO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:14:46Z
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While the numbers showed a sharp decline for the Democrats, they increased for the Republicans.The Dems rely on group recruiting and door-to-door, get-out-the-vote drives more than Republicans do. They rely far more on young voters who are usually recruited at public events.All of that has been shut down since March.
(DIR) Post #9x1FyeclZMclJ6iye0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:20:12Z
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In addition, voter enthusiasm among Democrats has been much lower than GOP enthusiasm in general this year, so the Dems are especially reliant on recruiting and voter drives.Their candidate is not campaigning at all, and they have to try and make up the deficit.So far, it has not worked.
(DIR) Post #9x1FzuNCV6WGRQ2eDA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:20:25Z
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The opposite is true for Republicans. In addition to Maine, there is good news from Iowa."Additionally, in the swing state of Iowa, the new voters helped the GOP retake the statewide lead in voter registrations last month"
(DIR) Post #9x1G93Aj9kRYKvZBzM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:22:05Z
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"The new voters who did manage to send in applications were older and whiter than those who had been recruited before the pandemic hit. Voters in those demographic groups are expected to break for President Trump, rather than for Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden, in November."
(DIR) Post #9x1GHBnSyOtnP1ZFLM by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:23:33Z
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@timr Larry Schweikart had a really interesting article about the youth vote. https://uncoverdc.com/2020/07/08/back-to-school-the-pending-democrat-student-deficit-iceberg/Also has been tweeting about this past two days.
(DIR) Post #9x1GLl61fmtm2XQZ3w by venuso@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:24:22Z
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@timr Dems will say because of covid people couldn't register so just let everyone vote. They will come up with something. Voter suppression anyone.
(DIR) Post #9x1GPl5ZdrtVAx7hmy by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:25:06Z
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@timr Any chance this will pick up once the VP choice is revealed? Or is the clock starting to run out such that it won't make any real difference post convention?
(DIR) Post #9x1GSW0AC0AhFguIb2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:25:35Z
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@lolajl Interesting - thanks. I was reading about student voters and Dems a few days ago.I'll add some of the data to the thread
(DIR) Post #9x1GVj7TsPGco0rS88 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:26:10Z
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@venuso Yes, they probably will. It doesn't matter if they do
(DIR) Post #9x1Gj1KPUNDR2jFPgO by AliceInWonderland@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:28:34Z
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@timr Thank you for this ongoing thread. It’s very heartening to see the story that’s being totally denied & obscured by the MSM.
(DIR) Post #9x1H8zHvhDriFGTALA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:33:16Z
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@lolajl Good question - I don't think it will make much difference. They have dragged this on for too long. Whoever it is, there may be some voters who are more likely to vote for Biden and some who are less. There are no outstanding choices.Biden is not campaigning at all. No VP choice will change thatThe factors that are depressing voter registration for the Dems are not related to the VP choice.
(DIR) Post #9x1HbSuFAeFGDCyBbU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:38:25Z
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@AliceInWonderland You're welcome. Yes, this issue is receiving almost no coverage in the leftist media.The data and the polls tell two completely different stories. The data is based on real voting and registration results. Polls are what people say they will doThere have been a few warning comments from Democrats in the last two weeks, because they know very well that Biden's entire campaign is a weird, surreal smoke-and-mirrors fraud.But almost no one is listening.
(DIR) Post #9x1JkuJooxNHkFYvY0 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T19:57:38Z
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@venuso @timr Not in Maryland, though. Hogan is more or less holding the line against all-out mail in voting. Especially since the state election board has neglected to issue any kind of guideline. So he's encouraging as many polling places open as possible, absentee voting, etc. While this state will likely vote blue as always, I think it will be a factor in ticking up the popular vote in favor of Trump. Found out earlier today that a friend's mom, a Democrat, is going to be voting for Trump.
(DIR) Post #9x1JkvGJJUA8fevdia by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T20:02:32Z
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@lolajl @venuso Good news.And so many of us know people who are voting for Trump for the first time.
(DIR) Post #9x1R34MGvqeJm2JjSy by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T21:24:15Z
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@timr That's okay. They have a other insurance policy. Cheat-by-mail.
(DIR) Post #9x1TRaFaD2WzXm0PQm by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T21:51:00Z
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@timr @lolajl The guy at the top of the Dem ticket is a corpse.That tends to dampen voter enthusiasm.
(DIR) Post #9x1Y1juUAhxjkDdKXQ by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T22:42:27Z
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@timr wow thank u for this thread!
(DIR) Post #9x1a1VXRnxI551sI2y by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T23:04:49Z
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@timr @lolajl @venuso that would be me and I CANNOT wait . Their brainwashing worked well enough on me the last time and I had not quite had my red pill moment . I am ALL IN NOW !
(DIR) Post #9x1aHcAGw7LCGRiO7U by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-12T23:07:43Z
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@bwa_aptos @timr those won't be the people voting for Kanye. Trump supporters already love Kanye but they won't abandon Trump for him. I won't .. catch me 2024 and depending on his policies and debates maybe I go all in for Kanye. Just don't see it . Yes maybe a few votes but very very very few.
(DIR) Post #9x1i2TCukyojlzExou by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T00:34:37Z
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@BennettVarsho That insurance policy is being rendered null and void by Barr and the work being done to end the Democrats' vote by mail rackets. Every week we hear about another criminal voting scam being prosecuted.Also. all of the talk from Pelosi about forcing through mail-in ballots for everyone across the country came to nothing.Her grand scheme was supposed to be a part of the next stimulus bill - which never happened.
(DIR) Post #9x1iRMSsxhPs6La0R6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T00:39:07Z
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@karnage @lolajl Trump will be playing with pathetic Biden like a Cheshire cat playing with a dusty, fossilized mouse.It will be interesting to see how the debates work out. If Biden refuses to appear, the President will have the playing field all to himself - standing at a podium fielding questions next to an empty podium, while Joe hides in his dungeon
(DIR) Post #9x1ioULLptRnCF5EmW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T00:43:18Z
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@inverness01 You're welcome! Plenty of good political news to talk about
(DIR) Post #9x1k5Qw5rElbVPugVc by GasBag@noagendasocial.com
2020-07-13T00:57:35Z
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@timr @karnage @lolajl Biden's team already has a bunch of restrictions. I expect they will be held on days when no one will be watching like Labor Day or Halloween. They'll want friendly moderators who will do the debating for Biden like Lemon, Stetler and Cuomo. They'll keep Trump so busy that anyone barely notices Biden. They definitely won't be on the same stage or even in the same building, expect "technical difficulties." Any mention of Hunter or Burisma will trigger a walk out.
(DIR) Post #9x1kHnnQgoZfsel5zU by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T00:59:48Z
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@timr I hope you are right, but I think you are selling them short.I'd be in favor of 10 years in prison for voter fraud. Republicans, Democrats or what have you.Maybe $10K fine...per vote.
(DIR) Post #9x1kgMvvhbJVo3RtBY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T01:04:15Z
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@BennettVarsho Disagree about their power.Agree about the punishment
(DIR) Post #9x1nAFaXm6Incdp1yS by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T01:32:03Z
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@timr @BennettVarsho Notice that nobody seems to be in firm control of DNC - that's where the national vote by mail scheme would be run out of.
(DIR) Post #9x1oBM0hU3fPmc99rk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T01:43:27Z
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@lolajl @BennettVarsho Good point - the voter scams that are being reported on do not seem to be the work of sophisticated strategists.Also, most of the rackets are being uncovered in blue states, where Leftist power should be able to protect them and keep the fraud going.The massive NJ fraud scheme is an example. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/06/26/1_in_5_ballots_rejected_as_fraud_is_charged_in_nj_mail-in_election_143551.html
(DIR) Post #9x1t3jXAdfmOC8WIiG by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T02:38:07Z
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@timr @lolajl Holy Fong! That's immensely bad. Thanks for the tip, although I was assured by President Obama that election fraud isn't really a thing.
(DIR) Post #9x1t83rezbPUPIARrE by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T02:38:53Z
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@lolajl @timr They'll all be locally run.
(DIR) Post #9x1wERRsWICD9TqHh2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T03:13:39Z
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@BennettVarsho @lolajl And we never heard about it. Now, the voter cheating rackets are being taken down constantly
(DIR) Post #9x24OBmyOeFx74rssS by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-13T04:45:03Z
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@timr @lolajl Biden's in a tough spot on the debates. If he shows, he'll get creamed. If he's a no-show, he's a pussy.
(DIR) Post #9x5Blj38BOKy5CTYY4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T16:51:52Z
0 likes, 6 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:New York has finally finished counting the votes for the Democrats' primary.The candidates listed as 'withdrawn' received almost one third of the votes. Biden only received two thirds of the total vote in his own uncontested primary in the state with the second highest population among blue states, after CA.Biden has to win over his own base. He is failing
(DIR) Post #9x5D0NMFDLBJ6Zxv5E by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T17:05:44Z
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There are four areas of strength for Trump and the Republican party in this campaign season:1) Turnout in the Presidential Primaries2) Victories in Special Elections, which indicates support for the GOP that remains even when Trump is not on the ballot3) Voter Enthusiasm, with exceptionally strong and united Republican support for Trump, with no competition for the nomination4) Strong Numbers for Republican Voter Registration
(DIR) Post #9x5DIBY7r8f9h80zsO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T17:08:58Z
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While Democrats experience a collapse in new voter registration, Republicans are seeing the opposite results.RNC press secretary Mandi Merritt: "Over the entire pre-election period Republicans “have doubled the amount of new voter registrations" compared to the entire 2016 cycle"https://nypost.com/2020/07/11/gop-voter-registrations-outpace-dems-in-swing-states-report/
(DIR) Post #9x5E4yH20HOIi6HYhs by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-02T14:52:44Z
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@KittyDugre @timr Trump needs to find a way to peel off these Bernie folks.
(DIR) Post #9x5Efkml7DVRakf5hg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T17:24:25Z
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@SpiceOfOurLife @inverness01 You're welcome! I enjoy doing this - I appreciate having this forum to post it and spread the news
(DIR) Post #9x5Fb2CP2oxe6ayDB2 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T17:34:46Z
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@timr Interesting ... Kamala Harris doesn't even show up and yet she's supposed to be the primary VP choice?
(DIR) Post #9x5G0cV1DaE1vbsTNw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-14T17:39:24Z
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@lolajl Good point - I think the ballots were printed around the time of the Iowa caucus in February. Harris withdrew in December
(DIR) Post #9x7c1xT3KYRwYcvAlU by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-15T20:55:34Z
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@timr it was very informative and though I have little doubt, it only makes me best the more so confident .
(DIR) Post #9x7crYSzWqBs4oUnIm by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-15T21:04:53Z
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@timr it was very informative and though I have little doubt about his re-election , it only makes me ever more so confident .
(DIR) Post #9x86skxLZjZFj8BQJs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:41:16Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Thoughts on Fraudulent polls measuring GOP-Dem elections are standard, but the deliberate use of misleading data and false systems of measurement in the Trump-Biden polls is on a different level - much worse than the Trump-Hillary polls.
(DIR) Post #9x86uuzRF0rRQQBzBQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:41:39Z
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Extreme over-sampling of Dems, equally extreme under-sampling of Republicans, and registered voter polls that ignore voter enthusiasm – as opposed to likely voter polls - all make the current polls worthless.There is no attempt to measure or address the obvious and dangerous bias against Trump voters and the resulting 'shy Trump voter' phenomenon.
(DIR) Post #9x875WmlZZhFXfK9mi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:43:34Z
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Over-sampling and under-sampling can result in advantages for Bdien of up to 8-9 points, which appeared today in both Quinnipiac and NBC polls.This obviously hurts the Democrats, because it gives a false sense of security and take away urgency.Lies that involve a slight tipping of the scales can benefit Dems because it can increase confidence, but when the lies are this blatant, it will only hurt.
(DIR) Post #9x877vcIDqqt8KZOe8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:44:00Z
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Over-sampling and under-sampling can result in advantages for Biden of up to 8-9 points, which appeared today in both Quinnipiac and NBC polls.This obviously hurts the Democrats, because it gives a false sense of security and take away urgency.Lies that involve a slight tipping of the scales can benefit Dems because it can increase confidence, but when the lies are this blatant, it will only hurt.
(DIR) Post #9x87E9hyk6kqZkCO6C by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:45:07Z
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There is something strange going on - strange even for the Democrats.Biden has no reliable constituency - except the ludicrous ragtag band of decadent NeverTrumpers - and Biden voters are less enthusiastic than any voters since the question was asked.Trump voters are overwhelmingly enthusiastic and have turned out in record numbers in the primaries while Biden voters are not showing up.
(DIR) Post #9x87GiXAEVZxAFMUoi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:45:35Z
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The last thing the Dems need is an excuse for voters to stay home. If they are assured of a landslide, there is no urgency. At the same time, these lies give Trump voters yet another incentive to voteStrange situation.
(DIR) Post #9x87LelFggfSuYJ4G8 by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:46:29Z
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@timr In 2016 I knew many that were closet supporters. I’m finding in 2020 it’s more, hell yeah Im voting for Trump. Although it was before the chaos began. So yes they went back into the closets. I for one shout it to the moon.
(DIR) Post #9x87P9aRXDxXNrv02S by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T02:47:07Z
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The Dems' panic and frenzied self-destruction are now driving them to ignore reality to such an extent that the break is complete.It's increasingly likely that the Dems are concerned that even slightly realistic polls for Biden would push voters to replace him as his worsening dementia becomes obvious in the coming weeks. That would be chaos.
(DIR) Post #9x89W2dtx3W5mYwqZc by jacksabbath@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T03:10:45Z
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@timr I just caught-up on the last several days of your posts. Great stuff, as usual. As if to prove your point, I talked today with a lifelong Dem with influence in Dem politics. Friend confided that Biden is not instilling confidence and wishes they had a better candidate. I bit my tongue and said nothing about my belief (and fervent hope) that it will be a Trump landslide!
(DIR) Post #9x8LrHsZhDF6ZLhzxg by BigEd@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T05:29:03Z
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@timr Any thoughts about the claim that Pelosi is PAYING these pollsters to produce bogus polls favoring Biden? TheDNC has been caught paying for some other bogus things ...
(DIR) Post #9x9ckAGJViZHISxgOW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T20:12:59Z
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@jacksabbath The Biden campaign is unlike anything that I know of in our political history.He is clearly suffering from rapidly advancing dementia. He can no longer function in public at all.He does not allow real interviews. There are no campaign events. He clearly does not contribute to his own platform. He is surrounded by caregivers and protectors. He is trying to back out of the debates he has already agreed to.
(DIR) Post #9x9cl5DRl38vw53hL6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T20:13:09Z
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@jacksabbath A smoke-and-mirrors campaign based on hatred of Trump and Trump voters alone.No candidate in American history has ever won the White House on hatred, without a positive agenda.Biden is a train wreck in slow motion
(DIR) Post #9x9eJpziRVf0ohlwJ6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T20:30:38Z
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@BigEd The leftist media and pollsters are all using the same playbook. They don't need any convincing.These false polls favoring Biden don't help him now because they can suppress turnout for a candidate that no one likes anyway. He will supposedly win in a landslide, so there's no urgency to vote.These polls do keep the pressure off the DNC to replace Biden. But it is foolish and typically self-destructive idea.November will be a shock that will make Hillary's loss look like a picnic
(DIR) Post #9x9fWgsljShkH7DQJM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T20:44:09Z
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Good comment on a twitter thread, regarding the extreme bias of political polls and fraudulent samples."NBC/WSJ over-sampled Democrats by 200%. Let that sink in. Not 50%, not 100%, not even 150%, but two hundred-percent.Who takes this nonsense seriously?"https://twitter.com/CottoGottfried/status/1283547436473102336
(DIR) Post #9x9mc8h8SAUlf1Jqs4 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T22:03:35Z
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@timr @BigEd trying to keep the DNC convention from turning into a disaster and hoping the VP choice can be switched in? What could go wrong?
(DIR) Post #9x9n7qoYT2apTLuXNw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-16T22:09:17Z
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@lolajl @BigEd Everything 👍
(DIR) Post #9xWubYjOmNfmIs19Ps by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:51:28Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This discussion addresses a new turnout topic that is entirely new.There are four main topics that address the issue of voter turnout. Trump and the GOP are leading in all of them. 1)Primary voting2)Voter enthusiasm3)Voter registration4)Special election results.
(DIR) Post #9xWufc9zyL5e63ORE0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:52:13Z
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Now, there is an additional topic that is unique to this election cycle: the sharp anticipated decline of voting participation in the 18/24 age range – and specifically the college student vote. The reason is the Virus Shutdown.
(DIR) Post #9xWulXIAz6hEjh2eQK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:53:17Z
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This will hurt Democrats far more than Republicans, as the majority of 18/24 voters vote Democrat. In 2016, Clinton won that age demographic with 55% of the vote, compared to 37% for Trump.So it is a significant plus for Trump and down-ballot GOP as well.https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/election-night-2016-24-million-youth-voted-most-rejected-trump
(DIR) Post #9xWv3jPydjArYXMoBk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:56:34Z
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Universities and colleges are still working out their fall semester plans. Some schools will offer online only. Some will combine online with on-campus classes. Many students are taking a year off. There is uncertainty, stress and chaos.
(DIR) Post #9xWv4pFMSD5RvIvI5A by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:56:46Z
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This will have a significant effect on voter turnout. The Democrats have created this extreme over-reaction to the virus, and Leftist control of academia and education in general means that they are entirely responsible for the situation.The policies that were intended to hurt Trump are now backfiring on them, in many ways.
(DIR) Post #9xWvFWojJaJzwzZOl6 by Beemer4Trump@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:58:42Z
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@timr I love good news! TY!!
(DIR) Post #9xWvIo3zeO9MJ7GxEW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T01:59:17Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
One thing is certain - there will be plunge in the number of students on campus. And Democrats depend on left-wing campus activism, voter and registration drives, group voting and enthusiasm to convince the group that had the lowest voter participation rate, until Obama in 2008.
(DIR) Post #9xWvTjVMwHJFM4HsOW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T02:01:16Z
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This is not only the case on campuses. It is also true for Democrat voter registration for all Demographics.Dems are far more reliant on group events, group recruiting and group voting.The difference is that college age voters are especially reliant on this - for example, buses that transport students who often don't have cars to the polls.The virus frenzy has crushed that and they are seeing the results
(DIR) Post #9xWvherWzqoh0iIGFk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T02:03:47Z
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This issue has been under the news radar for several weeks. Historian Larry Schweikart has written about it at length and Fox news has covered it.It is also appearing on leftist sites. "Could coronavirus deflate college student vote in key battleground states?How college student turnout in key battlegrounds could be impacted by coronavirus"https://www.foxnews.com/politics/coronavirus-college-student-vote-key-battleground-states
(DIR) Post #9xWxRzs9JXR1RlF6Gm by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T02:23:22Z
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@timr We can always PRAY that this happens!
(DIR) Post #9xWyElEgWMfuF42Haq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T02:32:11Z
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@rarity There is considerable evidence that it will, as campus plans are becoming finalized.
(DIR) Post #9xX3cM0eSlvUizXcjw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T03:32:27Z
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Schweikart provides data and speculates on a variety of potential outcomes, based on the potential percentage decline in the 18/24 vote."In 2018, students turned out at a slightly higher rate than they had in 2016 when 40% turned out for the general election"
(DIR) Post #9xX3gncPksX7VkKAHQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T03:33:16Z
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"The 18-24-year-old group turned out stronger in 2016 than in 2014 when only 19% showed up. The highest turnout increases in the 2016 election were in Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, and New York. (It should be just a tad terrifying to Democrats that Donald Trump won Pennsylvania despite a higher student turnout!)"https://uncoverdc.com/2020/07/08/back-to-school-the-pending-democrat-student-deficit-iceberg/
(DIR) Post #9xX7umunZDXrCSqhWq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T04:20:37Z
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Here is the most significant data:About 14.56 million college students in the US1.38 million in CA alone 2016 - voter turnout of 4.72 millionParty breakdown for President:60% Democrat37% Republican3% otherhat tip to @lolajl for referencing Schweikart
(DIR) Post #9xX8JOTxXqnaf81oYa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T04:25:00Z
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The open question now is: how sharp will the drop be in college student voting?"At a 40% turnout rate of 14.56 million students of whom 60% are Democrats, the party could expect about 3.49 million student voters."re: Schweikart
(DIR) Post #9xX8VzjYs0KrfgKno0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T04:27:21Z
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"Come November, due to the absence of students in massive numbers across the country, it is entirely possible that the 18-24-year-old vote will come up short between 1 and 1.5 million Democratic voters"And that is a conservative estimate, based on a 30% drop in the student population from last year.At this point, it is likely to be much higher as draconian rules are put into effect.
(DIR) Post #9xXAf7AAokPXE9G5aa by Linnie@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T04:51:24Z
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@timr Fascinating. Thank you
(DIR) Post #9xXAzApyrlQCPlNWpE by AmareVita@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T04:55:01Z
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@timr That is such good news!
(DIR) Post #9xXF30WhXlZ7PWRbXc by athena12@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-28T05:40:32Z
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@timr Aww, isn't that too bad? 😖 Poor widdle Yuts.
(DIR) Post #9xb5HCmSYdz4YqmnLc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-30T02:09:54Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More good news regarding Republican turnout and voter registration. These articles are starting to appear in leftist media sources - the grudging acknowledgment that voters are registering as Republicans at a much higher rate than Democrats.And this is happening across the countryhttps://www.inquirer.com/politics/pennsylvania/pennsylvania-party-voter-registration-trump-biden-20200729.html
(DIR) Post #9xb5I4Bnz8kYCo3HiC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-30T02:10:03Z
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"Since 2016, Democrats added a net 30,506 registered voters, Republicans added 164,778, and third-party and unaffiliated registrations increased by 130,307."“Registration shifts across [Pennsylvania] show Republicans are gaining voters at five times the rate of democrats.”
(DIR) Post #9xb5bs2MsOrCJ955UW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-30T02:13:38Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
More on the strong gains for Republicans in PA."Since 2016, 57 Pennsylvania counties — including every county with fewer than 100,000 voters — shifted more Republican. Only 10 became more Democratic.That includes areas that were already Republican, Democratic areas that are less so today, and politically mixed areas that became more Republican."https://www.inquirer.com/politics/pennsylvania/pennsylvania-party-voter-registration-trump-biden-20200729.html
(DIR) Post #9xbDAFRb3WVGQbDlwG by kwinther78@social.quodverum.com
2020-07-30T03:38:16Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr I'm in PA and people are pissed @ Wolf & Levine. Unfortunately we still have too many numb nut democrats in my area of Chester County.
(DIR) Post #9xlWs3VoQHeFn2XPn7 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T03:06:08Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Positive report today on Trump voter enthusiasm. This continues the same pattern we have seen since the primary season began: 1) Exceptionally strong enthusiasm on the part of Trump voters.2) Exceptionally low enthusiasm on the part of Biden voters.https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/trump-approval-back-to-51-supporters-70-more-enthusiastic-than-bidensNothing has changed that basic pattern.
(DIR) Post #9xlWsfuFfrmCrqGTA0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T03:06:19Z
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As I have mentioned, there are four main topics that address the issue of voter turnout. Trump and the GOP are leading in all of them. The purpose of this thread is to address all four of them, alternating between them.Trump and Republicans continue to lead in categories.1)Primary voting2)Voter enthusiasm3)Voter registration4)Special election results.
(DIR) Post #9xlXAouUw7Qe0O23EW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T03:09:36Z
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The article in the above link comments on the new YouGov/Emerson poll results.Voter enthusiasm is one issue that is measured with reasonable accuracy, as the results are then reflected in election and registration data.https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/0nx7ztz02j/econTabReport.pdf
(DIR) Post #9xlXerYbexsatz7NGC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T03:15:02Z
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Here is the response to the following question:"How do you feel about the presidential candidates listed below?”40% of Biden’s supporters said “enthusiastic” compared to 68% of Trump’s supporters.That is a gap of 28%, consistent with extremely wide gulf that we have seen for the last year
(DIR) Post #9xlXilysKmgUlXGlns by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T03:15:44Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Here is the response to the following question:"How do you feel about the presidential candidates listed below?”40% of Biden’s supporters said “enthusiastic” compared to 68% of Trump’s supporters.That is a gap of 28%, consistent with extremely wide gulf that we have seen for the last year"Trump approval back to 51% and supporters 70% more enthusiastic than Biden’s"
(DIR) Post #9xluCNG314ZTlep0oS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-04T07:27:36Z
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This illustrates the importance of the enthusiasm gap in Presidential elections. The candidate who trails in enthusiasm loses.
(DIR) Post #9xnay9hT7KNSqt4ebQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:01:33Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:The media is starting to catch up with the the surge in Republican registrations. Reports have been appearing in the last two days."On New Voter Registration in Key States, Trump Is Blowing Biden Out of the Water""The RNC continues to register more voters than the Democratic Party in places where it will matter most."https://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2020/08/04/on-voter-registrations-in-key-states-trump-is-blowing-biden-out-of-the-water-n2573700
(DIR) Post #9xnb0fK8VoPFVhMDtQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:02:00Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:The media is starting to catch up with the the surge in Republican voter registrations. Reports have been appearing in the last two days."On New Voter Registration in Key States, Trump Is Blowing Biden Out of the Water""The RNC continues to register more voters than the Democratic Party in places where it will matter most."https://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2020/08/04/on-voter-registrations-in-key-states-trump-is-blowing-biden-out-of-the-water-n2573700
(DIR) Post #9xnbCZ5nVPRXewKC0G by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:04:05Z
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Ronna McDaniel:"Big news: Our volunteers are beating Biden and the DNC at registering new voters in key states.In 2016, we registered 46,000. With 3 months left, the RNC and TeamTrump already surpassed 100,000"https://twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/status/1290612431912394754
(DIR) Post #9xnbZ4lsPCzGHPjzlY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:08:14Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Far-left Axios ran a story on the GOP registration surge. "The Trump campaign and RNC have now registered 100,000 new voters in the 2020 cycle, more than doubling their numbers from 2016 and shrinking Democrats' registration advantage in key swing states, according to new Trump Victory data provided exclusively to Axios."The tone is grudging and there is plenty of pro-Biden filler, but they did report the data in detail.https://www.axios.com/the-2020-voter-registration-race-c9fb2839-6c87-4ce1-8d79-f24189a41257.html
(DIR) Post #9xnbhou6ljcPftlDqS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:09:49Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
More on GOP Voter Registration:"The Trump campaign and RNC have now registered 100,000 new voters in the 2020 cycle, more than doubling their numbers from 2016 and shrinking Democrats' registration advantage in key swing states""Democrats still have more active registered voters in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Florida, but Republicans have managed to narrow the margins in those states by tens of thousands of voters since 2016."
(DIR) Post #9xnc5hfRKGryBHHv60 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T03:14:07Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
The Axios Report goes on to address specific states:"Republicans have narrowed the voter registration gap in key swing states, according to Axios' reviews of those states records.""Republicans have lessened the margin by 133,000 registered voters in Pennsylvania and 87,000 voters in Florida.""Republicans have also chipped away at Democrats' advantage in the tossup state of North Carolina — gaining a net 216,410 voters since Election Day 2016."
(DIR) Post #9xnhGBxY3TlEnSZwy8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:12:02Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
In other election news, this is significant and has received little coverage."Kanye West files to run as independent presidential candidate in Wisconsin""Kanye West could appear on Wisconsin ballots this fall as a presidential candidate after the rapper's campaign filed enough signatures with the Elections Commission Tuesday, the state's filing deadline."https://madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/kanye-west-files-to-run-as-independent-presidential-candidate-in-wisconsin/article_be3c415c-9365-5df5-a8e8-d7bf34be32a7.html
(DIR) Post #9xniBJo7Y6oXdvPR1k by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:22:22Z
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If the 2,000 collected signatures are accepted, West will be on the ballot in November. This is bad news for Biden. West has continued the work necessary to be on the ballot in the states where it is still possible. He also has the option of running as a write-in in most other states.
(DIR) Post #9xniEMXJrKfuyY0BZw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:22:54Z
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Adding to the unusual situation: West hired a Republican lawyer to assist with the collection of signatures and paperwork"West's nominating petitions were dropped off with state regulators by Lane Ruhland, a top Republican lawyer and former general counsel for the state GOP"https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/investigations/daniel-bice/2020/08/04/kanye-west-gets-helping-hand-gop-get-wisconsin-ballot/3296285001/
(DIR) Post #9xnjKiTdIVs6iMs5DM by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:35:16Z
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@timr That he is sticking it out is a win for him, regardless.
(DIR) Post #9xnjzqk7TCE0DwCFwO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:42:42Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
In another election story, Roger Marshall easily defeated Kris Kobach in the GOP primary race in Kansas to replace retiring Pat Roberts.The results, with 92% of the votes counted:Roger Marshall 40.1%151,796Kris Kobach 26.3%99,432Bob Hamilton 18.7%70,874David Lindstrom 6.5%24,692
(DIR) Post #9xnkCvme2X7vcccDyK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:45:04Z
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This is good news for a safe seat, as Kobach is eccentric and abrasive. He lost the governor's race in 2018. He might have struggled in the race.Marshall is a physician and a congressman for Kansas District #1. Solid conservative without Kobach's controversyhttps://www.npr.org/2020/08/04/899128589/conservative-kris-kobach-projected-to-lose-kansas-gop-senate-primary
(DIR) Post #9xnkN5oXbKyjcwLdOS by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:46:55Z
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@timr You give such awesome info brother! Thank you man. Seriously, you are teaching me so much.Clay
(DIR) Post #9xnkWYPKf2bCuk4I64 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:48:37Z
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@Movietime_Blues It really is. 👍 This is what I was looking for when he announced. Would he do the hard, slogging administrative work to get on the ballot? And he has followed through.If his signatures are accepted in WI, we will hear the cries of the Democrats throughout the land.
(DIR) Post #9xnkas2vaRv0yreBNo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-05T04:49:24Z
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@Clayrjr Thank you, sir! 👍
(DIR) Post #9xpp0bNAzNdmvmYy36 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T04:48:16Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More news regarding Kanye West's independent bid for the Presidency.Yesterday, he filed in time for the deadline in Wisconsin.Today he filed in Colorado.https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/kanye-west-files-to-make-colorados-november-ballot-as-unaffiliated-presidential-candidate
(DIR) Post #9xpp5kh3lK5dHpJqpU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T04:49:08Z
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"DENVER – Hip hop musician and entrepreneur Kanye West has filed paperwork in an attempt to make Colorado’s November ballot as an unaffiliated candidate for president of the United States."https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics/kanye-west-files-to-make-colorados-november-ballot-as-unaffiliated-presidential-candidate
(DIR) Post #9xppTmgC1ujEOcNCLI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T04:53:34Z
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The Democrats mocked, insulted and dismissed Kanye West a month ago.They aren't laughing now.They are angry. Several leftist pundits denounced him today."Kanye West's bizarre 'campaign' is designed to help Trump""He could be a spoiler for President Donald Trump's reelection by siphoning off key portions of the Black vote in select states like Wisconsin and Ohio, with filing deadlines this week."https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/05/opinions/kanye-west-republican-operatives-2020-avlon/index.html
(DIR) Post #9xppsrpA2Ur7ajWoi0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T04:58:06Z
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Republicans are helping West with the necessary paperwork, collection of signatures and elector requirements.This is making the Left even angrier.https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/05/politics/kanye-west-ballot/index.html
(DIR) Post #9xppwBYd7y2Bf7NWXg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T04:58:41Z
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Republicans are helping West with the necessary paperwork, collection of signatures and elector requirements.This is making the Left even angrier."Republican operatives are helping Kanye West get on general election ballots"https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/05/politics/kanye-west-ballot/index.html
(DIR) Post #9xprXNjauv1k63o7Sy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T05:16:37Z
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More on Kanye West, as the leftist media acknowledge that his campaign is real, and a real problem for the Democrats.MSNBC's Chris Hayes had a tantrum on his show, in this case focusing his fury at the Republicans for supporting West as a 'spoiler'."This not the first time the Republican Party has used a third party candidate like Kanye West to their advantage"https://twitter.com/allinwithchris/status/1291169730020155392
(DIR) Post #9xpyvSvdxJ2gpssGnI by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T06:39:20Z
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@timr Hey, Dems want to play dirty!All the GOP is doing is playing by the rules set for them by others.When nothing is sacred in politics can you really blame them?
(DIR) Post #9xq9nY6JwNFi3YIQG8 by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T08:41:14Z
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@Movietime_Blues @timr Cry me an Evan McMullan and a Gary Johnson for good measure.Kaanye! Kaanye! Kanye!
(DIR) Post #9xqzBODzPJVE2P0b8i by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:17:00Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:The Democrats have fallen far behind in voter registration, primary turnout, voter enthusiasm and special election results.They are doing almost nothing to address those deficits.The Biden 'campaign' barely exists. There are no campaign events. Biden is hidden away with his caregivers in his bunker. His 'interviews' last a few minutes and are humiliating and pathetic.
(DIR) Post #9xqzCglPxrmDpFGQLo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:17:14Z
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There are no speeches or real interviews at all.He does not appear in public now at all. He has refused to travel to Milwaukee for the virtual 'convention'.He goes back and forth on the debates.His campaign is doing nothing at all to improve turnout or enthusiasm.There is virtually no ground game. The Leftist media are finally starting to notice, but there is no indication the Biden 'campaign' they are doing anything about it
(DIR) Post #9xqzGiiucYJn3s0x9c by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:17:58Z
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The Leftist media are finally starting to notice, but there is no indication the Biden 'campaign' they are doing anything about it"Trump’s campaign knocks on a million doors a week. Biden’s knocks on zero.The diverging responses to Covid-19 could be a wild card in November — especially in close races up and down the ballot."https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/04/trump-joe-biden-campaign-door-knockers-391454
(DIR) Post #9xqzZbjQq7WOsaGP2W by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:21:19Z
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The Biden 'campaign' are blaming the virus for their policy decision to avoid all direct contact with voters, either through knocking on doors or through events.They are using texts, emails and calls.The Trump team have been doing exactly the opposite, and the results are already showing up in new voter registrations and sustained voter enthusiasm, in the midst of all the crises, leftist violence and hysterics.
(DIR) Post #9xqzcIh44zrAhbRN2G by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:21:51Z
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"Trump and the Republican National Committee, in contrast, started deploying mask-wearing field staffers and volunteers to the streets in June. The GOP quickly ramped up and now claims more than a million doors a week despite Covid-19 surges across the country, including in swing states like Arizona."
(DIR) Post #9xqzrD4PGnYJbZT3hY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:24:34Z
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The attitude of the Biden 'campaign' is the same as the attitude of the Hillary campaign, except it is taken to much greater extremes - hide their candidate and wait until November. Hillary did have campaign events and while she became lazy, her campaign was far better than Biden's at contacting voters.
(DIR) Post #9xqzsj6ndXJtGDJITw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:24:50Z
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Now it is Trump who is leading the way."Republicans say their door-knocking dominance could make a difference in November, since in-person conversations have long been considered the most effective type of voter contact."https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/04/trump-joe-biden-campaign-door-knockers-391454
(DIR) Post #9xr04u5UdvsmmnVPlY by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:27:02Z
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@timr will ye make the new york ballot?
(DIR) Post #9xr0ZTxZpq7WjINreq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:32:34Z
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@watch4thedrop No, the deadline was in July. However, he can run as a write-in. He needs to register for that.Most states allow write-in candidates. He has already talked about that as an option. The following states do not allow write-ins:Nevada, New Mexico, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Hawaii.
(DIR) Post #9xr0cB0sjczapuDMUi by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T14:45:41Z
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@mrbungle @Movietime_Blues @timr Someone noticed that he is targeting getting on the ballot in swing states. Interesting ... I wonder who's advising him on political campaigning.
(DIR) Post #9xr0zmPxpdLRVMCYCm by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:37:19Z
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@timr I hope he spoils biden's run this time around and then tries again in 2024.
(DIR) Post #9xr1a4h7MBycc7X1Jw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:43:52Z
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@lolajl @mrbungle @Movietime_Blues West is apparently submitting the forms to register in all states that are still possibilities.Submitting the signatures and forms in Wisconsin turned this into a major news story. Then he followed up with Colorado the next day.If his petition is accepted in WI, he might have a significant impact there.
(DIR) Post #9xr1bUcYRscBJS4cQS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:44:08Z
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@lolajl @mrbungle @Movietime_Blues CO was a clear win for Hillary, who won by 4.9%. However, the addition of a famous candidate with money will at least ensure that the Dems cannot just assume CO is completely safe.He has already filed in NJ, IL and MO, and has stated that he is working on filing in AK and OH.
(DIR) Post #9xr1se9GHLORmiYFUG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T18:47:14Z
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@watch4thedrop He will certainly make it harder for Biden. The question is whether his petitions to run will be accepted. Even if he is only a write-in, he can make an impact.He does look like he is testing the waters for 2024
(DIR) Post #9xr3o83NreOazim9oW by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T19:08:50Z
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@watch4thedrop @timr 😂😂Your funny Drop!
(DIR) Post #9xr4CtWX1UmVAdDbrE by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T19:13:18Z
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@timr @mrbungle @Movietime_Blues wow. He’s now going after the big guns.
(DIR) Post #9xr4g6oYggGWmya4sy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T19:18:35Z
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@lolajl @mrbungle @Movietime_Blues Yes, he is.He has succeeded in music and business by aiming high. It makes sense he would do the same thing in politics.At the same time, he has serious mental health issues. Complex situation. But that didn't stop him from contacting the lawyers and GOP ops to do the necessary filing work.He was dismissed with contempt a month ago. He is not being dismissed now. The Left are angry and frightened
(DIR) Post #9xrNaUVhZX7TfinO7M by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-06T22:50:26Z
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@BennettVarsho @timr @RangerJohn I think we will also be recovering billions of looted dollars, as well as paying off our China debt with wheat that they will be desperately needing after this year's monsoon.
(DIR) Post #9xrXs1feXCKaywRxqq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T00:45:41Z
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And Kanye West is officially on the CO ballot."Kanye West will appear on Colorado ballots in November""Rapper Kanye West successfully earned a spot on the Colorado ballot for November’s election, the Colorado Secretary of State’s Office said Thursday."https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/in-the-know/510919-kanye-west-will-appear-on-colorado-ballots-in-november
(DIR) Post #9xrXzmXoeqreNvTzuq by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T00:47:05Z
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@timr Whoah.
(DIR) Post #9xrcOdOAEdvf2s4f2W by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:36:23Z
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@lolajl Stealing Biden votes! 😂@timr
(DIR) Post #9xrcr2KV6CM0VSu6Jk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:41:31Z
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@JM @lolajl 😎 👍
(DIR) Post #9xrd01m4X6MtOH5U7k by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:43:09Z
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@timr @JM And then there's this. "He does, however, appear to have a continuing relationship with the Trump White House. West says that he’s “designing a school within the next month” and that “I’m meeting with Betsy DeVos about the post-Covid curriculum.”"This is one busy man covering all the bases. Really smart, isn't he?https://twitter.com/Forbes/status/1291496180904534018
(DIR) Post #9xrdQJKnrp4bNirivA by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:47:54Z
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@timr 👍🏻@lolajl
(DIR) Post #9xrdZ4xuf1zxQGL7lg by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:49:29Z
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@lolajl I wonder if he is doing this to mess with the left, not sure he is really that political. Good for him, school choice is very important.@timr
(DIR) Post #9xrdZOk782qOlG2O2K by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:49:32Z
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@lolajl @JM Intelligent, imaginative, ambitious, resilient. He also has courage.His bipolar condition is a serious issue. When he has episodes, they are in public. He is open about his medications and how he has been helped.If he maintains control over his bipolar episodes, he has a political career. If he does not, it won't happen. This is testing period for him
(DIR) Post #9xrdkpNcQt7qYnxvuK by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T01:51:36Z
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@timr I read even with his meds, summertime is always difficult for him. I agree on the descriptions!@lolajl
(DIR) Post #9xrowT5WEq3mOUFjQO by Victoria99654@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T03:56:58Z
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@timr Excellent thread on the election intricacies. Really appreciate the time you take. Thanks!
(DIR) Post #9xrsg1QphBC1nqdSl6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T04:38:49Z
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@Victoria99654 You're welcome! Thanks for the comment
(DIR) Post #9xsUjlUggrYLmzeNqy by AmareVita@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T11:45:17Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr Trump and his perfect timing. Gotta love it!
(DIR) Post #9xtQp0jHGfVfpWgFiC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T22:36:07Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Positive news on party affiliation from Gallup.July numbers:Democrats 29%Republicans 28%Independent 38%June: Democrats 33%Republicans 26%Independent 38% The Democrats dropped 4% since June Republicans gained 2%The gap narrowed from Dems +7 to GOP +1
(DIR) Post #9xtQtBZIuUQQbb0Rcm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T22:36:53Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Positive news on party affiliation from Gallup.July numbers:Democrats 29%Republicans 28%Independent 38%June: Democrats 33%Republicans 26%Independent 38%
(DIR) Post #9xtQtzyXUwJuwLCIts by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T22:37:00Z
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The Democrats dropped 4% since June Republicans gained 2%The gap narrowed from Dems +7 to GOP +1https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
(DIR) Post #9xtQwjJzsCtw9pXKJE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T22:37:30Z
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The Democrats dropped 4% since June Republicans gained 2%The gap narrowed from Dems +7 to +1https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
(DIR) Post #9xtTxAcQgMnigI3lKa by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-07T23:11:13Z
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@timr Perhaps tangible evidence of the success of #Walkaway and #Blexit?
(DIR) Post #9xtf5WKyur2lqv5CXg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-08T01:15:58Z
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@Movietime_Blues Yes. There is an exodus from the Democratic party.We have heard so many narratives and personal experiences.There is plenty of data evidence to support it as well
(DIR) Post #9xtqhF1ip8qMfGGPFQ by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-08T03:26:02Z
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@timr @Movietime_Blues Just before I click off the computer, I agree. You know the job killing bill, AB5 in California? Well, now you CAN'T HIRE TUTORS FOR YOUR KIDS. You can be fined by the state or sued by the tutor if it's in your home.Democrats just alienated EVERY PARENT IN CALIFORNIA.
(DIR) Post #9xtr5GtlW5oLQ405i4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-08T03:30:24Z
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@Lisa22 @Movietime_Blues Leftist death wish is being taken to its inevitable conclusion across the country: the extinction of the Left as an ideology and the Democrats as a national party. Regional, certainly, based in urban enclaves. But its future as a national party is being destroyed.
(DIR) Post #9xtxlT2XMfQyxlbhey by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-08T04:45:14Z
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@timr @Movietime_Blues I never thought I'd see this day in California. Thousands of parents are all over Facebook exclaiming, "WTF??"
(DIR) Post #9y6Q30GyBipZZL1kH2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T04:58:41Z
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This is a scene from Pompano Beach, FL.This is happening around the country. This cannot be measured in polls. This is the enthusiasm and commitment that leads to massive turnout."Vietnamese for Trump Rally in Pompano Beach FL Flag of United StatesIt’s going to be a Landslide!"https://twitter.com/Pismo_B/status/1293965896327675904
(DIR) Post #9y6TgKU7H24nPacVHs by RonOgletree@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-08T10:31:04Z
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@Lisa22 @timr @Movietime_Blues Proof positive they do not have a smelling problem. The shit finally made it up to their upturned noses.
(DIR) Post #9y7rUSgV1OYalLS5YW by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T21:40:53Z
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@timr I have 3 18-25 year olds in my household now & ALL are voting for Trump.The reason the Dem’s are hurting so bad is COVID 19. None of my Republican friends care about COVID & are out & about, maskless, living life.All the Democrats I know are still in quarentine, hiding in their rooms & wearing masks. It’s crazy. It’s August of God’s sake & they’re still afraid.I’m furloughed & have been on 5 vacations this summer, all involving an airplane. I’m ready for #6 come the end of Oct.
(DIR) Post #9y7tMOG7n6RYd4OWOG by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T22:01:51Z
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@timr I don’t get this poll. Are these numbers real or are they skewed by over sampling D’s? Are they +1 with an over sampled D base?
(DIR) Post #9y7tkyWScF2q33l5RA by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T22:06:18Z
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@timr I have 3 18-25 year olds in my household now & ALL are voting for Trump.The reason the Dem’s are hurting so bad is COVID 19. None of my Republican friends care about COVID & are out & about, maskless, living life.All the Democrats I know are still in quarentine, hiding in their rooms & wearing masks. It’s crazy. It’s August of God’s sake & they’re still afraid.I’m furloughed & have been on 5 vacations this summer, all involving an airplane. I’m ready for #6 come the end of August
(DIR) Post #9y7tn9XWcp6wnSILL6 by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T22:06:41Z
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@timr I have 3 18-25 year olds in my household now & ALL are voting for Trump.The reason the Dem’s are hurting so bad is COVID 19. None of my Republican friends care about COVID & are out & about, maskless, living life.All the Democrats I know are still in quarentine, hiding in their rooms & wearing masks. It’s crazy. It’s August of God’s sake & they’re still afraid.I’m furloughed & have been on 5 vacations this summer, all involving an airplane. I’m ready for #6 come the end of August
(DIR) Post #9y8F5obYmbb0PKvF3o by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T02:05:22Z
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@Dancemom There is no Dem/Rep sample because this poll is intended to measure only party affiliation. The question is: "In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?"The average difference between Dems and Reps in this poll is an advantage of 3-4% for the Dems.
(DIR) Post #9y8F6mIUqbzvXaSrg0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T02:05:33Z
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@Dancemom This poll is a sharp improvement for the GOP. It coincides with the riots, looting and violence.When one party shows a sharp increase and moves away from trend, the result is often a strong showing on election day.For example, Democrat affiliation rose sharply in 2008 when Obama was running, and for the GOP at the time of the 2010 midterms.The full data is on their site, going back to 2004.
(DIR) Post #9y8JXpp4FRe66rrAUi by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-14T22:04:02Z
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@Lisa22 @timr @Movietime_Blues I live in CA. What exactly is going on with AB5? Can you supply more detailed info? Thanks!
(DIR) Post #9y8K2owxXiNoNdK5zs by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:00:51Z
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@SpiceOfOurLife @timr @Movietime_Blues Lorena is drunk with power. But we all think it will backfire on her and Newsom when Uber and Lyft pull out of California in about 2 weeks. Nobody to blame but them.
(DIR) Post #9y8K4OeaHbulP1Tnxg by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T02:56:32Z
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@Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues To answer your question:1. So AB5 has about 11 rules on working as an independent contractor, which affects about 400 professions in California. Several million people are affected by this law, which was passed in secrecy in 2019, and enacted in 2020. It means that any person/company hiring a freelancer can get fined per rule, up to $25,000. The only safe way is to hire that person as a full-time employee, with a 1099.
(DIR) Post #9y8KCswVYKn9evuXvU by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T02:58:09Z
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@Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues 2. Businesses are also fined RETROACTIVELY, going back FOUR YEARS, because of a tie-ine with another decision called Dynamex. Result is that people are getting fined hundreds of thousands of $, going bankrupt and losing their homes. It's the reason that Uber and Lyft, and other app services, are threatening to leave California or at least suspend services until :
(DIR) Post #9y8KCteSutxBrGTeRU by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T02:58:47Z
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@Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues 3. A vote on Prop 22, which will kill off the AB5 bill in November. Vote YES on Prop 22, everyone!
(DIR) Post #9y8KCulwkZX3Kkz8k4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:02:39Z
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@Lisa22 @Dancemom @Movietime_Blues Outstanding work on these AB5 threads. They are an invaluable resource, especially for people who are outside CA.
(DIR) Post #9y8KWmIRyLyEq2eyoK by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:06:16Z
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@timr @Dancemom @Movietime_Blues Aww, thank you!! That really means a lot :)
(DIR) Post #9y8Kli0OD3jjsBKdDk by TenniSommelier@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:08:25Z
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@Lisa22 @Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues That will be a guaranteed YES from me
(DIR) Post #9y8KrOwhz7XSUzKAzY by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:09:59Z
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@Lisa22 @timr @Movietime_Blues Hopefully it’ll wake up every parent
(DIR) Post #9y8Kv2dMskLySS0vDs by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-15T03:10:39Z
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@masterblaster @timr @Movietime_Blues I hope so!!
(DIR) Post #9yCMkhy5q4Ra0ckRH6 by Dancemom@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-16T05:17:51Z
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@Lisa22 @timr @Movietime_Blues It’s a great resource for those of us in CA. I didn’t know about this & we have 6 voters in my house that are all voting. I will be sure to let them know.
(DIR) Post #9yCMl3gT6HPxMKffrE by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-16T18:07:33Z
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@Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues You are welcome!! I will be posting a few other things about California corruption as well, that I've just found.Voting yes on Prop 22 will destroy the bill as far as app-based services and severely damage it as far as freelancers go because it was expanded for freelancers.
(DIR) Post #9yCMlZT6vTkLwAfSTo by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-16T18:08:37Z
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@Dancemom @timr @Movietime_Blues Also, don't forget to vote no on Prop 15 as it's a way to destroy Prop 13 which would hike up property taxes for those who bought property some time ago and will have to pay today's taxes.
(DIR) Post #9yGmwwki4Y0UmDp9sG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T05:02:25Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Interesting developments in the Michigan Senate race. A Republican funding group associated with the GOP SuperPac Leadership Fund is spending 4.5 million to support Republican challenger John James in his battle against human wallpaper Dem incumbent Gary Peters.
(DIR) Post #9yGmzB044SHpXo4My0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T05:02:50Z
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"GOP-aligned group to spend $4.5 million in Michigan Senate raceOne Nation will air TV, cable and radio spots against Sen. Gary Peters"https://www.rollcall.com/2020/08/18/gop-aligned-group-to-spend-4-5-million-in-michigan-senate-race/
(DIR) Post #9yGnUS0StJj7GYAZI8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T05:08:29Z
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"Politico reported an internal poll of the James’ campaign showing James down by fewer than 5 points, coming after a story about how national GOP groups had retrenched in the state."This is the second poll showing a significant tightening of the race, which the left had assumed would be an easy hold.James is down by only 3 points in the CNBC poll and 4.6 in Politico's internal poll.https://www.rollcall.com/2020/08/18/gop-aligned-group-to-spend-4-5-million-in-michigan-senate-race/
(DIR) Post #9yGnhlsYJkByfCoudU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T05:10:53Z
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Considering the leftist slant of polls in general, these numbers bode well for James. He closed a gap with incumbent Stabenow from almost 20 points to lose by only 6. He was little known and underfunded.This time, he has a real chance and the money is coming in.He has been actively campaigning for a year.
(DIR) Post #9yHLsZDD9KV90NnoMy by Gmajv@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T11:33:47Z
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@timr John James a stellar man. He’ll be a great senator. He’s running some good ads against incumbent Gary Peters. Peters is running on ads to lower drug costs (same promise as 6 years ago) and Trump already did EO to address this!
(DIR) Post #9yI03Zbg1Enza536Qa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-19T19:04:00Z
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@Gmajv John James is an effective and disciplined campaigner. Those ads will give him a significant boost at the right time.I would like to see Trump and James together at a campaign event in MI.The same for Jason Lewis in MN. He is also looking much stronger in what had seemed to be a highly unlikely run against Dem Tina Smith in the Senate race.He is gaining at the same time as Trump, partly in response to the violent crime and destruction in Minneapolis
(DIR) Post #9yVUHzLYdcUL97mJhw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:13:59Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More good news in a week of good news for Republicans.Kanye West is now on the ballot in Minnesota in November.He is running as an independent candidate.
(DIR) Post #9yVUJ7KaRDIwCNrWue by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:14:12Z
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"Kanye West qualifies for Minnesota's presidential ballot.The Minnesota Secretary of State's office says West has qualified to appear on the ballot this November as an independent candidate."https://www.kare11.com/article/news/politics/elections/kanye-west-qualifies-for-minnesotas-presidential-ballot/89-aa871a1e-84ec-451b-84b6-3fa93415354f
(DIR) Post #9yVUTdhUwZ2RUFb292 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:16:06Z
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"Rapper Kanye West has qualified to appear on Minnesota's presidential ballot this November as an independent candidate, the state Secretary of State’s office said Tuesday"This is another blow to the Democrats, as West will siphon off votes from Biden in a state where Trump is surging, especially in the wake of the riots, looting, destruction and general violence in Minneapolis.
(DIR) Post #9yVWz6wKTzE93XfTzU by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:44:12Z
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@timr I think that's up to 10 states, if I remember correctly. I would assume that rest would be write-ins.
(DIR) Post #9yVXzreSuPtxsuEequ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:55:32Z
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West is now on the ballot in the following nine states.Arkansas ColoradoIdahoLouisianaMinnesotaOklahomaTennesseeUtahVermontMN is now a swing state, and West can make a significant impact there.CO is lean blue and becoming bluer. But it is possible that he might make a difference. Uncertain at this point. The GOP is gaining strength and CO may well be in play.AK, ID, LA, OK, TN and UT are all solid red. VT is solid blue.
(DIR) Post #9yVYF5UVjiqb9Oq2Oe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:58:17Z
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There are five categories of evidence/data that are considered in this thread.1)Primary voting2)Voter enthusiasm3)Voter registration4)Special election results.As we move into the final stretch, especially after Labor Day, there is another category that needs to be factored in:5) Third, fourth and even fifth party candidates
(DIR) Post #9yVYIFUH1l7L1QEcEq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T07:58:52Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm.There are five categories of evidence/data that are considered in this thread.1)Primary voting2)Voter enthusiasm3)Voter registration4)Special election results.As we move into the final stretch, especially after Labor Day, there is another category that needs to be factored in:5) Third, fourth and even fifth party candidates
(DIR) Post #9yVYqJeE45zXlt8NyC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T08:05:00Z
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Kanye West is now looking at the following states that have not yet passed their deadlines for ballot access.North DakotaAugust 31Arizona September 4thKentuckySeptember 4Mississippi September 4Rhode Island September 4West has a significant chance to take to help Trump in Arizona, especially.Democrats have made gains there in recent years and it would be a severe blow to Dem morale
(DIR) Post #9yVZ2DwV6R7HYHMOum by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T08:07:11Z
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West missed the WI ballot by 17 seconds. 🤔 The WI election board also threw out the Green Party's petition.The Dems in WI are in a panic.I have seen references to both West and the Greens suing the board. No confirmation that I know of.
(DIR) Post #9yVZ7rgelGPGGUdgoK by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T08:08:12Z
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@timr I live in AZ...but I’m not voting for Kanye...TRUMP...TRUMP... TRUMP...TRUMP... TRUMP...TRUMP...
(DIR) Post #9yVZQ7CJpcknaD9RgW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T08:11:30Z
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@Clayrjr No Trump voter will.👍 His base is rock solidBiden is a default candidate, running a purely negative campaign in every sense. He is a candidate with a shallow 'base'. Many of his potential voters are looking for another alternative, and some don't care that much about party loyalty.West only has to win 1-2 points to make a difference
(DIR) Post #9yVfeDmqjHW1nYLd3I by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T09:21:15Z
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@timr @Clayrjr On a side-note, I cheered when last night’s RNC opened with an endorsement by the Vice President of the Navajo Nation coming from NM. Additionally, the NM policeman who adopted the baby from the drug addicted in Albuquerque. We have talked about the Native American vote and its potential impact in New Mexico (they are 9% of the vote). The Maine lobsterman may have served Maine 1 to the GOP; the lifting of the lobster tariffs by the EU is huge.
(DIR) Post #9yVrymPSuXqMQ8ynI0 by tomhend@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T11:39:27Z
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@timr Thanks for your posts Tim!
(DIR) Post #9yW2YKNfbAMRSOjGIC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T13:37:55Z
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@RangerJohn @Clayrjr Your comments are not a side-note. They are part of the main topic. 👍 Yes, seeing the Navajo nation openly endorsed and acknowledged was powerful. I don't recall any campaign, of either party, doing it.The focus on NM is evident. Maine is generally ignored by GOP Presidential candidates, like most of New England.Maine is now benefiting from Trump policies. Also, there is a respect there that can't be measured.We are actually acknowledged up here by Trump.
(DIR) Post #9yW2cfAAGyOR4PTm5Y by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T13:38:43Z
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@tomhend You're welcome!
(DIR) Post #9yW2dxzJlcqTkE1kvY by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T13:30:07Z
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@RangerJohn @timr Big in AZ...BIG. The awesome thing is that Trump doesn't pander or condescend. I had no idea growing up the DJT was this caring, authentic, really awesome human being.I fell for for the character he created like Thomas Wictor-Osweda implies...the tan, the gold, the jet set he has genuine concern for "the little guy".Natives in AZ are UBER PATRIOTIC. It's amazing that sovereign people cherish the USA. Long tradition soldering for U.S. Codetalkers anyone?
(DIR) Post #9yW5PT14QFBpUncnOC by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T14:09:57Z
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@timr 17 seconds - wow, they must be very precise timekeepers.
(DIR) Post #9yWBlVeRuAZFlRwCVE by PRooney@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T15:21:09Z
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@timr Go Minnesota!
(DIR) Post #9yWFQGB8dXjXVnLoC8 by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T16:02:08Z
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@timr @Clayrjr As they used to say, “As goes Maine, so the Nation”
(DIR) Post #9yWpBi8a095MELW2Ua by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-26T22:42:53Z
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@timr An interesting comment from the Navajo VP was when he alluded to Trump coming to visit soon, as if it was already planned; which I have no doubt it is. I predict a NM flip all the way down ticket. I think CO is also ripe for a gain. I would love to see Maine 1 flip as well. Full disclosure, I am from MA but went to UMO (a Masshole) I love the Mainers and the “flatlanders” from MA who moved to Portland are just like the Californians in Oregon and Washington.
(DIR) Post #9yYYkVB4rpkdGdbkDQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T18:48:05Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm.I mentioned in a previous post that there was good news for the GOP Primary race in Kansas, with Roger Marshall winning easily and defeating eccentric Kris Kobach. Now, it's been revealed that a Super Pac run by Chuck Schumer spent $5.3 million in an attempt to to elect Kobach.
(DIR) Post #9yYYlSfxeeVnnVVk2q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T18:48:17Z
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"Top Democrats funded super PAC that meddled in Kansas GOP primarySenate Majority PAC and the super PAC arm of EMILY's List spent $5.3 million on a group that attacked the now-Republican nominee Roger Marshall and elevated controversial candidate Kris Kobach."https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/20/democrats-super-pac-kansas-gop-primary-399415Kobach lost the Kansas Governor race, and is known for an abrasive style and controversy. If he had won the Senate primary, a safe senate seat might have become a problem for the GOP in November.
(DIR) Post #9yYYzvbist6Ta7QWTQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T18:50:53Z
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More on the Kansas Senate primary:"Two top national Democratic groups funded a mystery super PAC that meddled in the Kansas Republican Senate primary by bashing the ultimate victor and elevating a candidate Washington Republicans opposed"Schumer wasted more than $5 million in a pointless attempt to interfere with the GOP race.
(DIR) Post #9yYZ8bTV6eCFkPiYLo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T18:52:28Z
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Newt Gingrich on the Kansas Senate Race:https://www.newsweek.com/chuck-schumers-attempt-steal-kansas-senate-seat-opinion-1522064"No Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat from Kansas since 1932. This 82-year record of Republican senators (since the election of Sen. Clyde Reed in 1938) is the longest of any state in the country."Schumer's expensive schemes resulted in Kobach winning only 26.3% of the vote.
(DIR) Post #9yYZlwQJ9br00nywUa by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T18:59:35Z
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@timr That is stellar work, pissing away dollars.
(DIR) Post #9yYZsqV3ZjxjfTUmJc by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:00:49Z
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@timr They did this with Akin and in VA with Cuccinelli
(DIR) Post #9yYaeP44sjcsTmYNBg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:09:25Z
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@lolajl They were looking for anything they could find to stop him.It will be interesting to see if West pursues a lawsuit
(DIR) Post #9yYakY8s2sqMMyj53Q by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:10:32Z
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@timr I saw that he is pursuing a lawsuit in one of the states - I can't remember which one, though.
(DIR) Post #9yYapdNI1CXq2utXlI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:11:27Z
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@RangerJohn @Clayrjr It would be nice if that were true again. Maine has a strong libertarian tradition. The extreme radicalism of the Democrats does not work well there, or in "Live Free Or Die" New Hampshire
(DIR) Post #9yYbibWKc6keDrKt0K by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:21:23Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Last time I was in ME, 2010, the Radical left seemed to be doing well there
(DIR) Post #9yYbvCExuputaADXrk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:23:39Z
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@RangerJohn Yes, it is evident that the Trump campaign have been working with the Navajos, and now we are starting to see results.A NM flip would be a major achievement, as would a Mark Ronchetti senate win.I can't see it happening yet. But the Biden campaign is sinking so quickly and Trump is doing so well that the election landscape is changing by the day.Maine looks far more promising than it did even a few months ago
(DIR) Post #9yYcPwAxh3E4jh0GFE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:29:12Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr The Left are far more openly radical now. The southeastern coast is bluer than inland and the rest of the coast. Trump lost by less than 3 points in 2016, and Gary Johnson took 5 points. It will be difficult, but possible
(DIR) Post #9yYcSPpgOvi1IIERSS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:29:39Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr The left are far more openly radical now. The southeastern coast of Maine is bluer than inland and the rest of the coast. Trump lost by less than 3 points in 2016, and Gary Johnson took 5 points. It will be difficult, but possible
(DIR) Post #9yYcXtqUF0NFpFDsum by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:30:39Z
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@lolajl No one is better at burning money than Schumer. Except Hillary
(DIR) Post #9yYceUL5TJHIkIg5Fw by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:31:51Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr When I saw the Communist ads , Chellie something or another was running ads that all but said women would have to use coat hangers on themselves. I think her daddy is a media biggie too. Too bad , I liked Camden and Owls Head Museum enough to consider going back
(DIR) Post #9yYdJsBZiQLEZrxigC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:39:19Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr All of New England has more than its share of bonkers radical leftists. Vermont is by far the worst.There is still a streak of pragmatism and the focus on independence and freedom from government over-reach has a long history, especially in northern NE.Political labels also have less importance there than anywhere else in the country.
(DIR) Post #9yYde4P00KzoG3s7QO by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:42:58Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr I encountered that .Oddly though the Naturalist on a whale watching tour was one of the most conservative people I met.
(DIR) Post #9yYdnbyCZNJgyNt4qW by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:44:41Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Did get that most Maine natives are okay, but the Masssholes are wicked unpopular. They do not, however, understand salt and pepper aren't spices
(DIR) Post #9yYdoemlaRn7zk2MXw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:44:53Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Interesting. Whale watching and respect for nature and the environment goes back far in New England, and is less politicized
(DIR) Post #9yYdxaj23Hyu0aYCdk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:46:29Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Ha - yes, the food is bland. As a Massachusetts resident, it's true that we are not always popular in the far reaches of northern NE, and not just Maine
(DIR) Post #9yYdybGVWvb7yMgoQS by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:46:40Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr I loved the Maine Maritime Museum. Right done from Bath. Saw a tall ship come in but totally outshined by a brand new Destroyer. Something about sleek, gray death gliding by..
(DIR) Post #9yYeDzX9aBlNaFoZou by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:49:27Z
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@masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr I have never been there. Planned to, but never got' round to it
(DIR) Post #9yYeIdJdcG4o7jhqjo by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:50:18Z
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@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Owls Head Transportation museum is great too as is Kennebunkport Trolley museum
(DIR) Post #9yYeNBOgqNg2z4ErlQ by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:51:07Z
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@masterblaster "...sleek, gray death gliding by..."When is your next novel being released, MB? You have a way with words.@timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr
(DIR) Post #9yYefdfEUGedremENM by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:54:27Z
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@LawrenceRoberts @timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr I'm lucky to have a cogent sentence but thank you
(DIR) Post #9yYel8GY8aWiDqqpkG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T19:55:27Z
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@redwhitebluedude @RangerJohn @Clayrjr The political landscape is changing so rapidly, thanks to Trump and his campaign. Many surprises are coming in November
(DIR) Post #9yYg8TdAy9Rf6D875U by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:10:52Z
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@redwhitebluedude @RangerJohn @Clayrjr The hard-line anti-Trump people here are as opposed to him as they were four years ago, but I am noticing more an increase in fear and anxiety an less arrogance and anger.The Trump Boat Parade stunned them. How can that happen here?Their views have not changed at all, but their attitudes are changing.Biden's refusal/inability to campaign gives them nothing hopeful to focus on. The most common phrase I hear about Biden is: "Where is he?"
(DIR) Post #9yYgAJJcIDXJgYr6Qa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:11:12Z
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@redwhitebluedude @RangerJohn @Clayrjr The hard-line anti-Trump people here are as opposed to him as they were four years ago, but I am noticing more an increase in fear and anxiety and less arrogance and anger.The Trump Boat Parade stunned them. How can that happen here?Their views have not changed at all, but their attitudes are changing.Biden's refusal/inability to campaign gives them nothing hopeful to focus on. The most common phrase I hear about Biden is: "Where is he?"
(DIR) Post #9yYgQgKQUyHNh02a6i by dl46g@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:14:10Z
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@masterblaster @LawrenceRoberts @timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr https://www.militaryfactory.com/ships/detail.asp?ship_id=USS-Zumwalt-DDG1000
(DIR) Post #9yYgijGYJd4S11pmvQ by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:17:26Z
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@dl46g @LawrenceRoberts @timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr When I was there , they were Burke class cans
(DIR) Post #9yYhXD6rdD713NNFNQ by dl46g@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:15:52Z
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@masterblaster @LawrenceRoberts @timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr There are two more being built at Bath.
(DIR) Post #9yYiPykyhHRuSvFikK by BlueDouche@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-27T01:27:21Z
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@RangerJohn @timr @Clayrjr Who catea?Natives matter about as much as ADOS Blacks niw, which is NOT, because shrinking numbers & real demographics.
(DIR) Post #9yYiPyzVpF4jC03KOu by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T01:51:42Z
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@BlueDouche @RangerJohn @timr 1) They are people.2) Politically in a layer cake federalist republic, local politics matter. This is incredibly important in the vast southwest where tribes have been gerrymandered for Dems forever.3) At the state level those gerrymandered areas turn into Dem Governors and national congressional Dems.So yes...small demographic. If you've studied how Trump won the last election...by knowing all the small stuff that mattered.
(DIR) Post #9yYiQY8FAlr8BDPIMy by BlueDouche@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-27T01:56:40Z
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@Clayrjr @RangerJohn @timr To wit: look at the last time NM voted GOP in a POTUS race... Reagan?Irrelevant.
(DIR) Post #9yYiQYOCDScGygs2Ea by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T02:06:29Z
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@BlueDouche @RangerJohn @timr To wit: How long have AZ and NM mattered in national elections? To wit: Why is Trump so focused on Arizona...Too witty: I care more about sunburned salamanders then macro political strategery...but having spent the last decade in Navajo and Apache counties...like the starfish story goes...it matters to this one.
(DIR) Post #9yYiR8wqI7ikMZMDEe by BlueDouche@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-27T02:11:56Z
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@Clayrjr @RangerJohn @timr I respect your convictions; mine are different in this regard.
(DIR) Post #9yYiR9wAc6mFQm3BpI by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T02:17:30Z
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@BlueDouche @RangerJohn @timr And not disputed...Good convo
(DIR) Post #9yYiRfSVPw3vC2Px20 by BlueDouche@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-27T02:17:12Z
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@Clayrjr @RangerJohn @timr Trump only cares about AZ due to so many Dem retirees & Cali fleers moving tgere, making Goldwater's State a purple mess now.
(DIR) Post #9yYiRg7GyMfjETUVZg by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T02:20:43Z
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@BlueDouche @RangerJohn @timr Yep...lifelong resident.I shined Goldwaters shoes, lay the super bowl to Evan Mecham, hunf with Fife Simington when he was abducted by aliens.I've stayed at the Babbitt Oak Creek retreat.Like I said...or matters here...
(DIR) Post #9yYiSJ5W4pRM6Jy9ke by BlueDouche@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-27T02:25:52Z
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@Clayrjr @RangerJohn @timr I hurt for the Xronkite School at ASU; and my friends- who really wanted to be legit Journos.Ugh...
(DIR) Post #9yYiSJHDNKnWgbRUzA by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T02:26:57Z
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@BlueDouche @RangerJohn @timr Amen...
(DIR) Post #9yYkQe0TWxHYJAwjSK by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T20:58:58Z
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@masterblaster @timr @Clayrjr I've got some leftover G.I. Bill and there is a woodworking school in Bath that takes it, 12 weeks of heaven. I'd take the 9 month course, but I don't think my wife would let me.
(DIR) Post #9yYmS7ryBdDb7knnKi by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T21:21:40Z
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@timr @masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Heh. Lobster with melted butter is my kind of bland.😋
(DIR) Post #9yYmgOD8E7P3rNVB32 by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T21:24:14Z
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@timr @redwhitebluedude @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Instead of, “Where’s Hunter?” it should be, “Where’s Joe?” 🤣
(DIR) Post #9yYmn68Zp0wJpiZPhg by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T21:25:27Z
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@rarity @timr @redwhitebluedude @Clayrjr The answer would be "Depends"
(DIR) Post #9yYo4CkkZtLVEE993A by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T21:39:45Z
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@rarity @timr @RangerJohn @Clayrjr Agreed. Tried a baked lobster up there alleged to be Cajun style. Complete miss
(DIR) Post #9yYpiVmVLmeHmUkbui by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T21:58:14Z
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@RangerJohn @timr @Clayrjr It’s pretty neat to see.
(DIR) Post #9yaXPphhe2itD1MtqC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:42:35Z
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@rarity @masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr My favorite is scallops. Also, salmon. Just lemon juice and pepper. Nothing else added. New England is the very best for seafood.
(DIR) Post #9yaXTWU92cwglHmo08 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:43:15Z
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@rarity @masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr My favorite is scallops. Also, salmon. Just lemon juice and pepper. Nothing else added. With boiled potatoes and spinach on the side. No butter for meNew England is the very best for seafood.
(DIR) Post #9yaXWmY1mG4nRp9l68 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-27T23:14:05Z
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@timr Okay, here's the article. https://freebeacon.com/2020-election/kanye-west-brings-legal-challenge-to-ballot-ban-in-ohio/
(DIR) Post #9yaXf8m71N84hVjJy4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:45:21Z
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@lolajl Thanks for the article and info.I didn't know West was challenging the decision in Ohio. The article is dismissive of him. That is a mistake. He will make a difference in at least a few states.
(DIR) Post #9yaXzpQW9XBwm4Ugvw by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:49:04Z
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@timr @rarity @masterblaster @Clayrjr One technique for "Plank Grilled Salmon" is instead of buying expensive cedar "planks" from William Sonoma for $10 each, just go to Home Depot and get a bundle of grade B cedar shakes for about $16.98 probably 50 or 60 individual shakes. Use them once and toss.
(DIR) Post #9yaYITm6sTL37nUG5A by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:52:28Z
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@timr Oh, yes, absolutely. I'm just so tired of ADOS folks who don't toe the line politically being dismissed.
(DIR) Post #9yaYJ5YcP57qIxT1KS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:52:34Z
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@RangerJohn @rarity @masterblaster @Clayrjr Sounds good - I usually bake it in the oven. Sometimes I'll make it on the grill.I am the only one in the family who likes it. No one in my family growing up liked it very much either. So I got used to keeping it simple
(DIR) Post #9yaYZ014lxkjkkMfZo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T17:55:27Z
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@lolajl He is making it difficult to ignore him.Just two days after he made the MN ballot, Biden announced he will 'campaign' there (whatever that means for Biden).Not a coincidence. West is not the only reason, but his name is a true wild card.There is no way to know how many votes he will get in any state
(DIR) Post #9yaZZ6gg4OdIOfRFw0 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:06:40Z
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@timr I take that to mean he'll "send" Kamala Harris out there along with a video of him addressing people in MN.
(DIR) Post #9yaaAcYyWGXXyLiwrI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:13:27Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm.The Democrats are now openly panicking about Trump's surge, the GOP convention and Biden's rapid decline.Just a week after claiming that he would remain stuffed in his basement until election day, Biden's weird 'campaign' announced that he will, in fact, be visiting several states after Labor Day.
(DIR) Post #9yaaJjBnFki584DufQ by Synclair@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-28T18:15:06Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr
(DIR) Post #9yaaTp4gE6yiHHi4US by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:16:56Z
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This is clear and obvious evidence that the Democrats know that Biden is going the way of McCain in 2008.It has the sense of failure and pointless exhaustion that doomed campaigns have. "Biden will begin traveling to battlegrounds after Labor Day. He lists Wisconsin, Minnesota, Arizona and Pennsylvania as among the states on his itinerary. He said he will “get out safely without jeopardizing peoples’ health.”https://twitter.com/jeneps/status/1299118741003874308
(DIR) Post #9yaazXBOHcVc3PyBto by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:22:39Z
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The list of states on Biden's itinerary is interesting.He is not going to FL or NC. He is only going to states where a potential victory is perceived to be possible.Yet we are told he is leading in all of those states by double digits.PA is his birth state. That is where his campaign began. He should be running away with it. This is another indication of how much trouble they are in.If they add NH, OR, CO, NV and/or NM to the visit list, they are cratering
(DIR) Post #9yab7QjK9rCwMGbhBI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:24:05Z
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The list of states on Biden's itinerary is interesting.He is not going to FL or NC. He is only going to states where a potential victory is perceived to be possible - but they are also states that are not his already.He has to fight for them.Yet we are told he is leading in all of those states by double digits.PA is his birth state. That is where his campaign began. He should be running away with it.
(DIR) Post #9yab9y05Qku27ienbc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:24:33Z
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This is another indication of how much trouble the Dems are in.If they add NH, OR, CO, NV and/or NM to the visit list, they are cratering.
(DIR) Post #9yabUz56bg8ZYc1hpY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:28:21Z
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It's not clear what a Biden visit will entail.He has no appeal to voters, and he is extremely frail and confused, so there is no possibility of even a small rally.He can't be on the loose, so any contact with the public has to be limited to a few words.He may trundle and toddle around the Dem cities. But he won't call attention to the riots. No real interviews or speeches.The whole thing is macabre.
(DIR) Post #9yabqvm1aMYZfYZBXk by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:32:19Z
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@timr Every event so far has had little attendance and appears to have mainly reporters.
(DIR) Post #9yabrNnlNUaIb3ay8m by RockyRoad@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:32:23Z
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@timr I've been calling this "Elder Abuse" from the beginning.
(DIR) Post #9yabu1qbSYInNMBYKu by Gmajv@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:32:51Z
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@timr I don’t think birth state means much, Mittens lost Michigan. His dad was governor here & he was raised here
(DIR) Post #9yacFYFYBQtfx27JQW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:36:45Z
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@Gmajv I agree.I mention it because Biden boasted so loudly and so often about how loved he is in PA, and all the regular folks think he is great. Dems like Axelrod and the Clinton crowd said the same.He started his campaign in the Scranton area, and his first 'event' was in Philadelphia.Now it turns out to be false. He has no special appeal thereNow it turns out he has no
(DIR) Post #9yacHdUDgWHSlsyLhY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:37:08Z
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@Gmajv I agree.I mention it because Biden boasted so loudly and so often about how loved he is in PA, and all the regular folks think he is great. Dems like Axelrod and the Clinton crowd said the same.He started his campaign in the Scranton area, and his first 'event' was in Philadelphia.Now it turns out to be false. He has no special appeal there
(DIR) Post #9yacQQzFWjvmbwgKES by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:38:44Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@RockyRoad @timr He deserves all the abuse he gets
(DIR) Post #9yacToJhFBTFpsr6cS by EarlThePearls@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:39:20Z
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@timr this graphic sums it up nicely
(DIR) Post #9yacoAqzA5xPWa8ViS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T18:43:00Z
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@RockyRoad He is definitely being manipulated now.But Biden started this himself. He is a cruel, vicious and destructive man with a long history of treating people badly - especially as a bully abusing people who are in a less powerful position. It is painful to watch this happen. But he made a series of selfish decisions when he was still capable of thinking clearly.Now we see the results
(DIR) Post #9yafvznyQKq5RA9Hto by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T19:18:02Z
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@timr @masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr However, boiled lobster requires melted butter.🦞Additional butter is needed for the baked potato with sour cream that’s eaten with the lobster.And then there’s the corn on the cob that also needs butter & salt.That’s unless you get French fries instead.😃There’s nothing like it, especially if eating outdoors near the water.Heart attack on a plate!
(DIR) Post #9yakIC6zkPndnFt1JA by KenLarkin@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:06:52Z
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@rarity Make mine a double.😁@timr @masterblaster @RangerJohn @Clayrjr
(DIR) Post #9yakcyvXxlXkz1RZvE by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:10:38Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr @RockyRoad It's not painful at all for me...is that bad? Lol
(DIR) Post #9yalLiVvpjJf6snI7k by curt@goneaway.social
2020-08-28T20:18:43Z
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@timr My wife likes to challenge waiters here in Arizona to tell her where the scallops came from before she orders them. Usually they have to run back to the kitchen to find out.One time a waiter came back and answered, almost in the form of a question, "Some place called George's Bank?"Jackpot!@kathryn
(DIR) Post #9yamHSwHtlZVbKetEW by RockyRoad@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:29:08Z
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@Lisa22 @timr I believe in Karma.
(DIR) Post #9yamIfvV66VQAbrov2 by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:29:22Z
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@timr It really is macabre.Like the fable of the naked emperor's new clothes.A non-candidate parading as though he were a credible candidate.What is the plan for Kamala's tour? I can't imagine her having much drawing power for crowds, either.
(DIR) Post #9yamfO41fxvzQmgVge by Argentum47@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:33:29Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@EarlThePearls @timr The Dopemobile!
(DIR) Post #9yamjEoM1GPLtOBrwO by KenLarkin@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:34:10Z
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@masterblaster The idiot is a Slave to the Paradox he created. If he denounces the rioters, he inflames his base and they will turn on him. If he doesn't denounce them he will never garner the support of the centrists he needs to win. His backing by Bernie and his choice of camel toe drove a double death nail in this funeral he calls a campaign. The events of the last four nights left no doubt of the contrast between Good and Evil.As Thomas Wictor says:"All will be well."@RockyRoad @timr
(DIR) Post #9yanIxQA9YAgNmuKFk by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:40:38Z
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@KenLarkin @RockyRoad @timr For what this piece of shit did to betray intelligence assets while sitting on said committee is enough for me to despise him, his thug family and every thing about him
(DIR) Post #9yaoB1YD0yJ6pQS5AW by KenLarkin@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:50:24Z
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@masterblaster That's one of many good reasons. But, as we look across the span of his career, it would be best to have a barf bag at the ready.@RockyRoad @timr
(DIR) Post #9yaoWy0wqNNsEOMEmO by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:54:22Z
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@KenLarkin @RockyRoad @timr Decade by decade, he’s a piece of infected raccoon shit
(DIR) Post #9yaolkiuXcozLzyHTc by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:57:00Z
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@KenLarkin @RockyRoad @timr I can think of about 15 reasons I personally knew
(DIR) Post #9yaouAzckuLz8zo000 by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T20:58:34Z
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@masterblaster @RockyRoad @timr This is correct.Biden has been a boil on the hindquarter of American politics for half a century.As Nobama himself said, "You don't have to do this, Joe."NO ONE wants Biden.He is inflicting himself on us.He deserves to make Mondale look like Reagan beat him in a split decision.
(DIR) Post #9yapDTzKM8LvYhsADo by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:02:02Z
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@masterblaster @RockyRoad @timr I agree. He’s asked for it.He’s a corrupt fraud.How much is he being paid to be the Dimm stooge, I wonder.🤔
(DIR) Post #9yarpAnwKQvIySe7n6 by KenLarkin@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:31:16Z
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@masterblaster What really burns my ass, is that someone with his record and his low moral ethics could ever be considered as a candidate to run for president of the United States. People for far less are in jail.@RockyRoad @timr
(DIR) Post #9yas74knYzx9Q9iI08 by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:34:30Z
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@KenLarkin @RockyRoad @timr In our recent memory we have Clinton and Obama who flouted their contempt for the rule of law. LBJ a bit furthe back.
(DIR) Post #9yasW0XSN9t3aTMSqO by EarlThePearls@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:39:00Z
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@karnage @masterblaster @RockyRoad @timr There is a curehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HU0WDCzn1xs
(DIR) Post #9yasYNwiJcR2lNJD7Y by KenLarkin@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:39:26Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@masterblaster He's had 47 years of lying, plagiarizing, and conniving, while he and his family enrich themselves by sucking on the tit of the American taxpayer without common knowledge.@RockyRoad @timr
(DIR) Post #9yatC8lGBuvvFfuMzo by RangerJohn@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T21:46:37Z
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@rarity @timr @masterblaster @Clayrjr But I heard many Down-East restaurants will give you a coupon for a free angioplasty If you get the Lobstah Special, wicked good...Don’t forget the Narragansett Beer
(DIR) Post #9yaxJAvwuchHpiWAue by masterblaster@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-28T22:32:43Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@KenLarkin @RockyRoad @timr They have run at least two traitors si this to then is small taters
(DIR) Post #9ybINLKoHWfeHqyVma by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T02:28:47Z
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@LawrenceRoberts Kamala was chosen to give a 'pre-rebuttal' to Trump, which flopped immediately.It is obvious why her Presidential campaign ran out of steam before Christmas. She is an exceptionally bad campaignerHer speech was bitter, condescending, haughty, angry and divisive.Then she left without taking questions.Her VP nomination is already a flop as well. If she starts a campaign tour, everyone - including the left - will ask Where's Joe? Why is he hiding away in his bunker?
(DIR) Post #9ybMY7ide0nN3pW5OC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:15:33Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm.There will be as many as five candidates on the ballot in some states, and at least four in most in November:Donald Trump, RJoe Biden, DJo Jorgenson, LibertarianHowie Hawkins, GreenKanye West, independentThe three additional candidates will all potentially take votes away from Biden.
(DIR) Post #9ybMvkkkgNxmmclxZo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:19:48Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
In 2016, Gary Johnson, Libertarian, and Evan McMullin, Independent, were on the ballot and both took votes from Trump.This year, there is no challenge to Trump from a NeverTrumper and his base is rock solid and larger than in 2016.Jo Jorgenson is very far left for a Libertarian, and does not present the same challenge as Johnson.Biden is an extremely weak candidate, and leftist voters who are looking for another option and don't care about party loyalty have other choices
(DIR) Post #9ybNDsVMbHW02ODXdo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:23:05Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Kanye West's appeal would primarily be to younger voters who would not vote for Trump, and don't mind a risk candidate.Although the percentage will be small for all three additional candidates, together they get 2-6% of the vote, more than enough to make a significant difference.
(DIR) Post #9ybNPgObRn35xOgTjM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:25:14Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
Here is a map graphic showing the Green Party's ballot standing in each state, as of today.From candidate Howie Hawkins' site:
(DIR) Post #9ybNxl0Yo0KC6igc76 by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:31:23Z
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@timr Real leftists should abandon Biden and vote Green.Real centrists should ignore Biden and vote Trump.
(DIR) Post #9ybOP0XFBT2i5By436 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:36:19Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts We are seeing that trend. Many of the most radical leftists won't vote at all
(DIR) Post #9ybOhc2IUlyVbOMe1o by HectorHeathcote@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:39:40Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr @LawrenceRoberts My prayer is that Biden performs so poorly in the general that any post-election convulsions are a moot point.
(DIR) Post #9ybQ0chkKl7B8ENerY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T03:54:18Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@HectorHeathcote @LawrenceRoberts The Left will go into convulsions of paranoid rage and hysteria no matter what happens.But there is nothing they can do to stop Trump's reelection.After the events of the last two weeks, and with Biden disintegrating and the mobs still on a rampage, even close swing states will no longer be close
(DIR) Post #9ybQNCzu4vUi3xdvX6 by Agent_Zer0@noagendasocial.com
2020-08-29T03:58:24Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@timr I say write in Kanye West.
(DIR) Post #9ybdItMqQ35lQYe4w4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T06:23:17Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm.Immediately after the Convention triumph, both the President and VP campaigned today in what are now swing states that Trump has a good chance of winning.Mike Pence visited Duluth, MN"In Duluth, Vice President Mike Pence promises a 'more prosperous Minnesota'The vice president spoke on jobs, tax cuts and gun rights."https://www.startribune.com/in-duluth-mike-pence-promises-a-more-prosperous-minnesota/572250622/
(DIR) Post #9ybduKo3MgxDF4E556 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T06:30:02Z
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Pence's MN visit coincided with Mayoral endorsements for Trump from an area that is traditionally strongly Democrat."As the Vice President lands in Duluth, Mayors from historically Democrat strongholds on the Iron Range of Minnesota announce their endorsement of President Trump"https://www.donaldjtrump.com/media/mayors-from-historically-democrat-strongholds
(DIR) Post #9ybdwFV24BRlMXF4SG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T06:30:23Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
From the MN Mayors' endorsement letter:"Lifelong politicians like Joe Biden are out of touch with the working class, out of touch with what the country needs""President Trump delivered the best economy in our nation’s history, and President Trump will deliver for us again. He will continue to fight for every American, regardless of party affiliation and continue to stand up for the working class."
(DIR) Post #9ybgm7vzddykrliZKi by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T07:02:10Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr @HectorHeathcote @LawrenceRoberts Many a confident man went to bed expectant pope and woke up a cardinal.
(DIR) Post #9ybrVcs4SiPDO6DYBM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T09:02:26Z
0 likes, 6 repeats
While Pence was in Minnesota, Trump was in New Hampshire for a speech and rally in Manchester.This is from Dan Scavino:"Wheels up, departing Manchester, New Hampshire — for Washington, D.C. What an evening, with Great American Patriots who are READY to VOTE and WIN, WIN, WIN! THANK YOU for joining President"https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1299510227264442369
(DIR) Post #9ybrdADqrSJMqt02T2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T09:03:49Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
The President posted photos from the NH event.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1299520690454966272
(DIR) Post #9ybrgFhCy2HahFCgF6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T09:04:22Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
From NH:
(DIR) Post #9ycJP13kvfBl62JsXY by BRKogz@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-29T14:14:59Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr TRUMP 2020!!
(DIR) Post #9yed483Q7BrI6kOrmi by MaureenQueen@social.quodverum.com
2020-08-30T17:04:43Z
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@timr OMG! I love the use of the word MACABRE. So apropos for Biden & for 2020!
(DIR) Post #9yl5my3o570ZoDVejY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T19:54:51Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Follow the money - the Biden 'campaign' is increasing spending and ad buys in swing states now. The panic is palpable. They are not canvassing at all. There are no campaign events. Whether or not Joe shows up for a weird fake speech doesn't matter. There are no crowds and no interviews and no rallies.So spending on ads is all they have.
(DIR) Post #9yl5pY6V2mEQAu0492 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T19:55:18Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
From 8/31:"NEW: The Biden campaign is going up on TV in MINNESOTA beginning tomorrow, 9/1Original start date was 9/8, but can't wait with Trump going back up there and state tightening"https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1300436297077739522
(DIR) Post #9yl6AyFd1YblLmU6kK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T19:59:11Z
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It is not only Minnesota. Biden's 'campaign' is ramping up spending in swing states and in states that according to the Democrats/media, should be solidly blue and pro-Biden, such as CO and VA
(DIR) Post #9yl6CQBUecmEH1F4nQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T19:59:26Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
It is not only Minnesota. Biden's 'campaign' is ramping up spending in swing states and in states that according to the Democrats/media, should be solidly blue and pro-Biden, such as CO and VA
(DIR) Post #9yl6DpBVBpTg6EuoO8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T19:59:43Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
"Topping the list of the 15 jurisdictions being targeted were not only swing states, such as Pennsylvania and Florida, but also states like Colorado and Virginia. Biden’s investment in both was surprising given that Clinton won them handily in 2016 and Democrats have performed strongly in state and local races since."https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/09/01/biden-spending-heavily-to-defend-battlegrounds-democrats-won-in-2016/
(DIR) Post #9yl6lISFNwniR3hz4S by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T20:05:45Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
I've seen two - poor quality - Biden commercials here. We get the Manchester and Portsmouth, NH affiliate stations. NH is definitely in play and now slightly favoring Trump.The Dems are playing defense on their own turf now.I don't recall seeing any Hillary ads in 2016. Biden has - of course - not campaigned in NE since his ice cream shop visitations last winter.His absence is noticed. Those foolish ads won't help.
(DIR) Post #9yl6mgRVgRJL7g1brU by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T20:06:00Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr Biden ads suck....when I change iHeart Radio stations on my tablet, a short ad plays before the newly selected channel.I've seen the same Biden ad five or six times, and it the editing is horrible. So many micro clips of people and Bien and Harris that fly by too quickly to fathom what it is, plus awful graphics of silly words popping up, but gone before one can read them.Nothing at all of substance, perhaps only attractive to an 18-year-old zombie.
(DIR) Post #9yl7MRaiNWybUENlVQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T20:12:29Z
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@LawrenceRoberts That's the one that is playing here - there is no way to know what or who the ad because it is such a mess. Then the fleeting glimpses of Joe and Kamala Being Real.This 'campaign' is now the standard for terrible campaigns. They make Dukakis look like Reagan
(DIR) Post #9yl7SgwkCVXwqcfK4W by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T20:13:36Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts That's the one that is playing here - there is no way to know what or who the ad because it is such a mess. Then the fleeting glimpses of Joe and Kamala Being Real.Th Biden 'campaign' is now the standard for terrible campaigns. They make Dukakis look like Reagan
(DIR) Post #9yl7UYntRjOMAlPtNg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T20:13:56Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts That's the one that is playing here - there is no way to know what or who the ad is about because it is such a mess. Then the fleeting glimpses of Joe and Kamala Being Real.Th Biden 'campaign' is now the standard for terrible campaigns. They make Dukakis look like Reagan
(DIR) Post #9ylLAzrEY8qVe4XpDM by Lonestar@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-02T22:47:17Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr @LawrenceRoberts From what I'm seeing here, it looks like those who supported Cankles in last election aren't willing to back Gropin' Joe. So, they're not even going to bother voting. ...Works for me!
(DIR) Post #9ylih3ZWZamJNTW9HE by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-03T03:10:44Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts @timr I caught a clip of Biden and Camel Toe have a discussion 6’ from each other. When Camel is talking, the camera shoots back to Joe. He looks... he looks... like he’s not there or something. I’m watching this and I’m thinking, ‘what the hell is going on? Why would they show him in this light?’ It ain’t pretty.
(DIR) Post #9yn7YXeS3qFy4bootc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-03T19:24:05Z
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@Ballerina @LawrenceRoberts True. But there is no other way to show him. It is either that or stuff him back in his dungeon, and that isn't working anymore either
(DIR) Post #9yn8yeoGAZ7Zl1QI8e by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-03T19:40:00Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@Lonestar @LawrenceRoberts Joe is underperforming with Hillary voters, and the enthusiasm factor is the major problem throughout his 'campaign'.Hillary did have one demographic that was excited about her candidacy and they were strongly committed to voting for her, vocal and intense about campaigning for her and bringing friends - middle and upper-middle class feminist women.Joe voters care only about defeating Trump. His only genuine fans are the storm-tossed, ragtag NeverTrump orphans.
(DIR) Post #9ynBLTvmyuzGaRxLBg by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-03T20:06:32Z
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@Ballerina @timr Trump's ads need to show all of the "Biden ain't pretty" moments from the last year.I wouldn't let him near my home, my car or my family for any reason. His mind is gone.
(DIR) Post #9ypsxJ8MUEboXCK144 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T03:24:37Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is a release of Jason Lewis' internal poll numbers regarding the MN Senate race and the White House race in MN as well.Lewis is the GOP nominee and is running against Dem incumbent Tina Smith.This is the second poll released within the last week indicating that Lewis is surging, reflecting Trump's surge in Minnesota
(DIR) Post #9yptJPVRTX6KfVenFA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T03:28:37Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is a release of Jason Lewis' internal poll numbers regarding the MN Senate race and the White House race in MN as well.Lewis is the GOP nominee and is running against Dem incumbent Tina Smith.This is the second poll released within the last week indicating that Lewis is surging, reflecting Trump's surge in Minnesota
(DIR) Post #9yptKA944Y7zJiY5OC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T03:28:45Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
MN Senate race, according to Harper Polling, which conducts internal polling for the Lewis campaign:September 2nd:Tina Smith 43%Jason Lewis 41%Undecided 10%Poll results for May:Tina Smith 46%Jason Lewis 35%Undecided 20%
(DIR) Post #9yptZMjTYUyOhQpSvQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T03:31:30Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
Link for the MN Jason Lewis internal Harper Poll Results:https://www.scribd.com/document/474637138/MN-SEN-General-Election-Key-Findings-Memo-Harper-Polling"Since May, Lewis has narrowed the race from a 11% Smith advantage to just 2%A similar trend is seen up-ballot with the Presidential race"
(DIR) Post #9ypzO9SDBRQq3Zn26y by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T04:36:42Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
More on the MN senate race:"Tina Smith's recent comments about the role police play in our society are unpopular with her constituents, particularly with voters in the outer Metro counties"
(DIR) Post #9ypzThZBmVPbIphSkK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T04:37:42Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
More on MN Senate race:"Among voters extremely enthusiastic about voting, Jason Lewis leads Tina Smith: 44% - 43%"There had been concerns in articles about this election that Lewis might not have trouble attracting GOP support among MN voters outside the strongly conservative base.However, his support is now widespread among Republicans, with 84% support, competitive with Smith at 87% among Democrats.https://www.scribd.com/document/474637138/MN-SEN-General-Election-Key-Findings-Memo-Harper-Polling
(DIR) Post #9ypzmGJjJlwyICJrwu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T04:41:03Z
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The Jason Lewis internal polls also released new results on the MN White House:September 2nd:Joe Biden 48%Donald Trump 45%Undecided 4%Poll results for May:Joe Biden 50%Donald Trump 42%Undecided 8%
(DIR) Post #9yq0APHLeOXJ2JibZY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T04:45:25Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
The destruction of large parts of downtown Minneapolis, the ongoing violence, the riots and leftist hatred, the Democrats' war on the police and the refusal of the Democrats to do anything to help those who lost everything have combined to to transform the November races in Minnesota.
(DIR) Post #9yq0CQLaeJCavffG2S by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T04:45:47Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
In addition, Kanye West is on the ballot in MN, as are the Green Party and the Libertarian Party, all of which will take votes from Biden.Trump came extremely close to winning MN in 2016. This year MN looks increasingly likely to be a winner for the GOP.
(DIR) Post #9yrYke0RxkkajmE24G by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-05T22:47:38Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr ye bout to perot the dems 😂
(DIR) Post #9yvVdfdvxLFSYZW4pc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-07T20:31:37Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@watch4thedrop Not quite on that scale. But he will definitely take votes from Biden in MN and CO, two states where the Dems can't afford to lose any. We still don't know about AZ and WI, where he has been shut out of the ballot- but he has taken his case to courtAlso, the Green and Libertarian candidates will take anywhere from 2-4 points between them. All taken from Biden. They are never mentioned in the media, but they will be on the ballot in most states
(DIR) Post #9yvdUqsVc9BoQddiYS by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-07T21:59:40Z
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@timr dont the libertarians usually siphon our votes?
(DIR) Post #9yxzlXbNwE1sxxxR0S by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:18:37Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:There are six main topics that address the issue of voter turnout.
(DIR) Post #9yxzmbJbcN1Wlw9ASO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:18:48Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Trump and the GOP are leading in all of them:1)Primary voting2)Voter enthusiasm3)Voter registration4)Special election results.5) 3rd and 4th parties and other independent candidates6) Virus effects: Drop in college age voters due to school shutdown. No national canvassing by Democrats.Almost no major public Democrat campaign events.Impact on conventions.Differing responses by the two parties to the shutdown.
(DIR) Post #9yy08BaByHJ7KqCJ4S by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:22:43Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
A local current PA article provides more positive news for Republicans in two of those areas.Registration:"GOP sees voter reg surge as fall campaign begins"https://www.penncapital-star.com/government-politics/gop-sees-voter-reg-surge-as-fall-campaign-begins-analysis/
(DIR) Post #9yy0l7c6f7CAJpevCa by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:29:45Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Republicans have been consistently out-performing Democrats in voter registration.PA has been a consistent standout, along with FL.PA still has more registered Democrats. This is true of many states where Trump won in 2016 and the GOP was, until recently, in decline.
(DIR) Post #9yy0ufN0WesDcR9DrE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:31:28Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
"The gains in GOP registration are closing the gap.The GOP made impressive voter registration gains throughout the commonwealth. It now seems quite likely that the differing partisan responses to the COVID-19 pandemic are responsible for this dynamic."https://www.penncapital-star.com/government-politics/gop-sees-voter-reg-surge-as-fall-campaign-begins-analysis/This article provides a breakdown of registration in PA counties.Republican gains are extraordinary and continuing.
(DIR) Post #9yy1hevOyBuyQZb4bo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:40:20Z
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This article provides a leftist perspective on the strong showing of Trump and the Republican party in PA.There is a grudging admission that Democrats are in serious trouble, while at the same time, Republicans are admonished for canvassing for votes. The decision by Democrats across the country to avoid all public campaigning, including canvassing and events, has proven to be highly damaging.Not surprising, but they maintain that policehttps://www.penncapital-star.com/government-politics/gop-sees-voter-reg-surge-as-fall-campaign-begins-analysis/
(DIR) Post #9yy1lYZoVwRRthMFYe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:41:02Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
This article provides a leftist perspective on the strong showing of Trump and the Republican party in PA.There is a grudging admission that Democrats are in serious trouble, while at the same time, Republicans are admonished for canvassing for votes. The decision by Democrats across the country to avoid all public campaigning, including canvassing and events, has proven to be highly damaging.Not surprising, but they maintain that policyhttps://www.penncapital-star.com/government-politics/gop-sees-voter-reg-surge-as-fall-campaign-begins-analysis/
(DIR) Post #9yy1xwUjPghzYKt2GG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:43:16Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More news from a leftist article in PA regarding GOP gains:"It appears then that Republicans are coming home in two ways. First, disaffected Democrats are finally officially joining the GOP. Second, soft Trump voters are now resolved to show up and vote. They underscore just how challenging flipping Pennsylvania will ultimately prove for the Democratic Party."
(DIR) Post #9yy2yEnjRydkHdTk3c by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:54:31Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
This article on PA also mentions the issue of college age voter turnout.This has been addressed for several months by Larry Schweikart, who is the go-to man on this.The college campus shutdowns across the country will result in a much lower Democrat voter turnout in that age group.Schweikart estimated that there would be a 30% drop in college voter turnout, with the caveat that the number would likely be higher.
(DIR) Post #9yy3670iIcz8RDJ02i by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T01:55:57Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
This issue is starting to appear in articles about the presidential election."With COVID cases growing on campus at Penn State, Democrats may not get their usual bump from new and returning students in Centre County."
(DIR) Post #9yyHksLl6uqOCTTsiO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:40:11Z
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There is plenty of information coming out of both PA and FL regarding voter registration.Susquehanna polling has released an in-depth discussion of Trump's momentum in PA as their polls show Trump rising against Biden and now tied.I mention this article because it refers to the law and order issue that is now central to the November election and one of the top two issues for voters in this PA poll
(DIR) Post #9yyHojrwaHbB3VNSYy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:40:53Z
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"Momentum for Donald Trump in the current poll seems to be the result of a surge in voters who believe “restoring law and order” to U.S. cities facing looting, rioting and violent protests should be a top priority for federal lawmakers"https://susquehannapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Toplines-PAStatewide-FallOmnibus-Sept2020.pdf
(DIR) Post #9yyI0qYPYVCnGP0xsm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:43:04Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
There is plenty of information coming out of both PA and FL regarding voter registration.Susquehanna polling has released an in-depth discussion of Trump's momentum in PA as their polls show Trump rising against Biden and now tied.I mention this article because it refers to the law and order issue that is now central to the November election and one of the top three issues for voters in this PA poll.All three issues rank between 37 and 40%.
(DIR) Post #9yyI1yOvrjDRtH7NpI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:43:17Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
"Momentum for Donald Trump in the current poll seems to be the result of a surge in voters who believe “restoring law and order” to U.S. cities facing looting, rioting and violent protests should be a top priority for federal lawmakers"https://susquehannapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Toplines-PAStatewide-FallOmnibus-Sept2020.pdf
(DIR) Post #9yyIGI91G07ZB4VDJA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:45:52Z
1 likes, 7 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:More from the PA poll discussing the centrality of law and order as an issue in the November election."Law and order” voters prefer Donald Trump over Joe Biden by a 74% to 16% margin.""This is the clearest evidence yet that violent protests and rioting across the USA are hurting Biden’s chances in a must-win state likePennsylvania."https://susquehannapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Toplines-PAStatewide-FallOmnibus-Sept2020.pdf
(DIR) Post #9yyITEeHZ7fA6HIVNo by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:48:12Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr Heh. I wonder how many of those "17%" just said they're law & order because if you are, how do you support Hiden Biden?
(DIR) Post #9yyJBowG0AMTOQxt8i by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T04:56:16Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr The law & order preference for Trump is not surprising and is quite comforting.
(DIR) Post #9yzPid1U7Pf8sPOgz2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T17:43:20Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts Law and order has now moved to the top of the list across the country, along with the economy and health care.This issue destroyed the Dems in 1968. 1964 was a landslide victory for the DemsHere is the electoral map for 1964Dem LBJ - 486 electoral votesGoldwater - 52 electoral votes
(DIR) Post #9yzPvb4ofM3AbZ8hnc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T17:46:29Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts Here is the electoral map for 1968Nixon, GOP - 301Humphrey, Dem - 191Wallace, Ind - 46
(DIR) Post #9yzQLySQMLQGeFl95k by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-09T17:51:14Z
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@LawrenceRoberts The Dems went from 486 in 1964 to 191 electoral votes in 1968.The Dems were in control. LBJ did not run again and there was a new Dem without LBJ's problemsThe economy was in the 8th year of what is still the strongest economic boom in US history.Unemployment was at 3% and living standards were rising.None of the was enough.Riots, destruction, soaring crime and the Dem Chicago convention were the issues that Nixon ran on.The Dems were and are the party of crime
(DIR) Post #9z6RJwevXCsqYIvJJ2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:05:03Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:There is news coming out of several states in the last few days that point to strong turnout for Trump and problems for Biden.Some of the news has to do with registration in key states. At the same time, there are an increasing number of articles from leftist sites that, for the first time, are admitting that Trump is doing well.
(DIR) Post #9z6RpvYn9jEwPWIuYK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:10:51Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
There is registration information coming out of Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina as well as articles about Florida, Nevada, Wisconsin and Minnesota.All of it is good news for Trump and Republicans.First from Nevada: a surprisingly blunt acknowledgment in Bloomberg that Trump's chances in Nevada are much better than had been assumed two months ago.
(DIR) Post #9z6RrxqBeE1O3xPa9w by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:11:11Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr Boat rallies, and now car rallies ... points out a huge enthusiasm gap between the two camps.
(DIR) Post #9z6S4N4zdVn7oZFlVA by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:13:27Z
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@timr Biden is shot out. Plus, if his plagiarism was sufficient cause for dropping out in 1988, how can he now be their nominee in 2020?The lack of consistent ethical standards is monumental.He should have never run again and the voters should never have tacitly approved his candidacy ever again.
(DIR) Post #9z6Ts1M0mkKsrqS62i by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:33:37Z
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@lolajl One of the largest enthusiasm gaps on record, and growing wider.A vital factor.
(DIR) Post #9z6U4bReQSJEHD5c7k by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:35:54Z
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@timr Here in Maryland I'm not seeing one Biden/Harris sign, in yards or on cars. This is a very blue state, so it's just so very strange.
(DIR) Post #9z6U5Cx8yKU8bb6mqe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:36:00Z
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@LawrenceRoberts The decaying leftist establishment bulldozed Biden through the process, despite the fact that he is a terrible candidate in every way.He is one of them and they are panicking. Panicking cowards never make wise decisions. Now they are stuck with him and there is nothing they can do
(DIR) Post #9z6UA0vh6OOMlOipxg by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:36:53Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr @lolajl I do not see anybody enthusiastically touting Biden/Harris. Tons of enthusiasm for Trump and Pence.
(DIR) Post #9z6UMLI7DwHZOB5Wym by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:39:07Z
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@lolajl The same in Massachusetts. I have been on the look-out in my blue county. Only two Biden signs in five towns.Hillary and Obama signs were everywhere when they ran.
(DIR) Post #9z6W7GiAAYdGkWDBdA by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T03:45:42Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@lolajl @timr Lola, no one is excited for Biden/Harris. The D's are in deep denial of how bad it is, but they are not inclined to celebrate their candidates, or elevate. Trump outsider supporters are, and have been for 5 years. We stormed the GOPe, and they had to go with an outsider (at least in my state, GA). Showing up to vote in person is so important.
(DIR) Post #9z6WPuVMxLH1Nb7IBM by DonnaLea@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T04:02:10Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@timr Scott Presler is doing a great job getting people registered. Heading back to PA. https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottPresler/status/1304919976525074433
(DIR) Post #9z6XEVBIruAnbmr3vk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T04:11:18Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@DonnaLea He does remarkable work. 👍
(DIR) Post #9z6XUojzujdyu9rXs0 by DonnaLea@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T04:14:15Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr Yes he does. It would be great if our President would give him some kind of recognition.
(DIR) Post #9z6eDuqAgM8qZvdclE by BennettVarsho@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-13T05:29:38Z
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@LawrenceRoberts @timr I guess the Democrats aren't concerned with honesty or honor.
(DIR) Post #9zAgucLuH0iAEOoMSm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:18:14Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:After spending several days focusing on Nevada, with highly successful rallies, there are more indications now that the Trump campaign and the GOP are looking at Maine as a good possibility for a Trump flip.Trump had a rally there. Now they are buying ad time in a state that is usually described as safe blue.
(DIR) Post #9zAgvwUEtq6ExzLAps by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:18:51Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
"The Trump campaign is going up on TV in MAINE. Start date is tomorrow, 9/15"https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1305521083047649280
(DIR) Post #9zAhI5WVywjTMdxsVE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:22:51Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
At the same time, the Biden 'campaign' is just now starting to buy ad time in New Hampshire, which is looking increasingly good for Trump.Biden's primary performance in NH was so bad it almost ended his campaign.The NH ad buy also covers the Portland area in southern ME."The Biden campaign is set to go up on TV in New Hampshire markets (including Portland, ME DMA) this coming Tuesday, 9/15"https://twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/1304535773249785857
(DIR) Post #9zAhXknQoSDPiILbBA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:25:41Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
There has been no evident campaigning from Biden's team in New England, with the exception of pitiful NH ads that ran for a few days.There is almost no indication at all here in blue country that Biden is running for President.
(DIR) Post #9zAi5OfPazGUvUdeHw by Elaines2cents@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:31:46Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@timr I can tell Biden's not got the swiftest of people running his campaign or maybe they just feel they've got an endless stream of campaign donations to spend so it doesn't matter.Biden ads are plentiful here in CA. To spend that kind of money, in a deep Blue state like CA, seems a huge waste. He should be concentrating his spending in those areas which are potentially teetering towards Trump.
(DIR) Post #9zAiFMofKbs859ilVo by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:32:48Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
@timr After watching that young Biden proxy indignantly filibustering on Brett Baier. I'm now convinced they are just incompetent. They have a sense of themselves that far exceeds the reality. I hope they all have a psychotic break after the election.
(DIR) Post #9zAiTNLe9O0JmnpMQa by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:36:05Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@Elaines2cents @timr On YouTube I'm seeing these shitty low quality ads with Camel-a and Michael Obama. They look like they were shot in a high school media lab, by high schoolers.
(DIR) Post #9zAj4Xu1s6VHEddLtY by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:42:11Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr My God, I feel bad for the people in NH. If they are the same ads I'm seeing, they're going to wonder why the hell every Biden commercial talks about poor people and then show blacks.And then there was that weird one where he's standing at a podium, looking like he called a press conference, where he says he's going to start making PPE. 🤷♀️
(DIR) Post #9zAj94LLCUin0QZ7L6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:43:38Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Turning to another topic: early voting by mail.There is a major problem for the Democrats in their scheme to push the widespread use of a type of voting that is highly susceptible for fraud.
(DIR) Post #9zAjCfqaDbDOBttiUq by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:44:17Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@Elaines2cents @timr Which begs the question, are they doing so because these states aren't safe?Btw, are you seeing the same ones I am? Where Biden keeps talking about poor people and then showing blacks?
(DIR) Post #9zAjFNuHNPzhQ0v2a8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:44:46Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
The number of mailed ballots rejected is extremely high - about five times higher than in-person ballots.But this year, at the very beginning of November election voting, it is clear that the number will be even higher - and this is, plainly, terrible news for the Democrats.Early data from North Carolina is already providing evidence.The best laid plans of the Democrats - their latest not-so-secret weapon - is already backfiring on them.
(DIR) Post #9zAjXi2NGpSd45RXuq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:48:05Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
First, Democrats have always been far more likely to vote by mail, so the total number of Dem ballots is much higher anyway.This year, of course, it will be even higher.Second, the percentage of Democrat mailed ballots rejected in relation to other parties is far higher than any other group, including Republican ballots.
(DIR) Post #9zAjiJbWS6xCTLwOPo by Elaines2cents@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:49:59Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@umad80 @timr I honestly haven't paid attention to what he's saying. I don't watch much TV but I can see the ads come up on my husband's tv shows. Now I'll have to actually watch one to see what he's going on about 😂
(DIR) Post #9zAjpbb7x1CyJ1ESYK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:51:19Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Here is the updated data from the North Carolina State Board of Elections:"North Carolina is the first state to begin general election voting. Election officials sent ballots to voters on September 4."https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NC.htmlDetailed data on the next post.
(DIR) Post #9zAk7W1PQBm2Dy47cm by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:54:33Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@Elaines2cents @timr I've been bombarded with them! It's like I can't escape. 😂It's usually on cable channels, so I guess they are national ads. But I couldn't really say what would matter because Delaware's local networks are either from NJ or PA.
(DIR) Post #9zAk7uy4fixdarhJOi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:54:38Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
"Mail Ballots Rejected by Party Registration"for North CarolinaDemocratsNumber of ballots rejected:338Percentage of total rejected: 74.1RepublicansNumber of ballots rejected:48Percentage of total: 10.5No Party AffiliationNumber of ballots rejected:70Percentage of total: 10.515.4TOTAL456100.0
(DIR) Post #9zAkCRHaT6wMySyqga by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:55:27Z
0 likes, 6 repeats
"Mail Ballots Rejected by Party Registration"for North CarolinaDemocratsNumber of ballots rejected:338Percentage of total rejected: 74.1RepublicansNumber of ballots rejected:48Percentage of total: 10.5No Party AffiliationNumber of ballots rejected:70Percentage of total: 15.4TOTAL456100.0
(DIR) Post #9zAkFQPSAg9l8R5F8C by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:55:59Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
This is only the beginning.The Democrats have created another debacle for themselves.
(DIR) Post #9zAkWpYHwfLY2IW2Cm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T04:59:08Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
@Elaines2cents Biden's 'campaign' is as complete a fiasco as I have ever seen.They are now having to follow Trump around the country, trying to keep up as their candidate crumbles.They have to buy ads in Maine and especially in NH now because NH is moving into likely Trump territory and Maine is moving into toss-up.The Democrats are reeling
(DIR) Post #9zAkmrKV6Uw2BNi3iS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:01:25Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@mrbungle That Baier interview with that pompous, preening simp is one of many indications that the psychotic breaks are happening already
(DIR) Post #9zAknpD8T0h7tuj1ZA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:02:12Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@mrbungle That Baier interview with that pompous, preening simp is one of many indications that the psychotic breaks are happening already in Biden/DNC world.Many have been in that territory for four years anyway
(DIR) Post #9zAl7rDQisu9uUPnSS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:05:49Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@umad80 They are the same ones. We get the NH ads here in northeastern MA, on the NH affiliates.They look like they were filmed underwater. Sentimental rubbish. Idiot leftist platitudes. Condescending racism.And Biden himself is an afterthought - a transparent phantasm hovering in the background of his own ads
(DIR) Post #9zAlFuhpd6ij3HTcci by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:07:17Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@umad80 @Elaines2cents Biden is as much a fraud as he was half a century ago, and just as insulting
(DIR) Post #9zAlHBm9eO7QHZ6gpU by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:07:31Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr Yep. A strange voice over with only a glimpse here and there of him speaking.The only one where he speaks at any length of time, and I imagine it was rehearsed for weeks, is the add with him at a podium.
(DIR) Post #9zAn7Bkn4qi3E6pOzI by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:27:33Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr It's a spectacle unfolding all right.
(DIR) Post #9zAnjDl04pxYRb3rge by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:34:59Z
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More news from North Carolina:Tonight was the debate between GOP incumbent Thom Tillis and Dem challenger Cal Cunningham.Six months ago, the Dems had high, smug hopes of defeating Tillis.Now Tillis is heading for re-election and the debate did not help Cunningham.
(DIR) Post #9zAnlJSjpqayibW7Gq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:35:21Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
More news from North Carolina:Tonight was the NC Senate debate between GOP incumbent Thom Tillis and Dem challenger Cal Cunningham.Six months ago, the Dems had high, smug hopes of defeating Tillis.Now Tillis is heading for re-election and the debate did not help Cunningham.
(DIR) Post #9zAo4jtHnfE8BbCJo8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:38:53Z
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Thom Tillis was talking about the shootings of the police officers in CA - and Cunningham is on film smirking, laughing and shaking his head while Tillis is talking."Here’s the moment when Thom Tillis was telling the story of two law enforcement officers ambushed and shot this weekend. And Cal Cunningham laughed."https://twitter.com/joannamrod/status/1305661805155450881
(DIR) Post #9zAo6v3DHINlNTseWW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:39:16Z
0 likes, 5 repeats
Senator Thom Tillis was talking about the shootings of the police officers in CA - and Cunningham is on film smirking, laughing and shaking his head while Tillis is talking."Here’s the moment when Thom Tillis was telling the story of two law enforcement officers ambushed and shot this weekend. And Cal Cunningham laughed."https://twitter.com/joannamrod/status/1305661805155450881
(DIR) Post #9zAo8Et70f1dBtmkAC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:38:08Z
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Thom Tillis was talking about the attempted execution of the police officer in CA - and Cunningham is on film smirking, laughing and shaking his head while Tillis is talking."Here’s the moment when Thom Tillis was telling the story of two law enforcement officers ambushed and shot this weekend. And Cal Cunningham laughed."https://twitter.com/joannamrod/status/1305661805155450881
(DIR) Post #9zAqSCadSlv1lPn1bU by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T06:05:09Z
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@timr Do Dems actually recruit sociopaths or do these simply rise to the top of their party?Not that I'm a big fan of Tillis but they may be doing the Senate GOP some huge favors and possibly help them keep control of that chamber.
(DIR) Post #9zArlCvAYWKQFO1Kq0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T06:20:09Z
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@Movietime_Blues The Democrats maintain an allegiance to a fanatical left-wing fascism. Even those who may not agree with the ideology are far too cowardly and corrupt to admit it.Dems would never express support for the police now.Cunningham was irritated by Tillis' commenting on the shooting and relating it to the riots. He smirked and grinned like a fool.https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eh62_RuUcAAw9u9?format=jpg&name=medium
(DIR) Post #9zArrCUn3CGOfIXWMq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T06:21:15Z
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@Movietime_Blues The Dem senate candidates are destroying themselves, and the GOP incumbents are doing extremely well in their debates.Susan Collins in ME crushed her opposition last week.Tillis has a solid voting record and he will also benefit from Trump on the ballot. He is in good shape.So is Collins.
(DIR) Post #9zB672ybbo7r8Lw5i4 by wtawtaw_gal@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T09:00:58Z
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@timwr Any info on the NC Govenors race?Cooper - democrapvsDan Forest - republicanbtw, NC is in PHASE 2.5 😂 @Movietime_Blues
(DIR) Post #9zBGC2SrwFJMXH6u5g by Dogstar_K9@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T10:53:54Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr Cunningham is a Bronze Star recipient and is using it in his political ads.
(DIR) Post #9zBJMvs75fgr8VnvhA by UserXOS@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T11:29:31Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr @umad80 @Elaines2cents Biden has been propped up and protected by a compliant media for decades and now he believes his own press coverage.
(DIR) Post #9zBM6quW4IKCyix6Z6 by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T12:00:14Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr They (the Trump team) are focusing on an electoral BLOWOUT. Take that nutzy nancy 😂
(DIR) Post #9zBWiW6krKuF0RH888 by dl46g@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T13:59:04Z
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@timr @Elaines2cents Vacationing in NH Lakes Region. Yard signs from southern Maine to Winnipesaukee are 98% Trump!
(DIR) Post #9zCGhLDWSffepYonMu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T22:34:18Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@dl46g @Elaines2cents Outstanding 👍 Claiming NH and ME for the GOP.
(DIR) Post #9zCHABy7vRLeXsNGFM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T22:39:30Z
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@UserXOS @umad80 @Elaines2cents Yes, and now the whole vast evil Biden house of cards is collapsing on the Democrats in real time. Timing is excellent. 👍
(DIR) Post #9zCQRWzDw0JGF0EJpg by SandyisGettingSteamed@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-16T00:23:29Z
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@timr @UserXOS @umad80 @Elaines2cents Joe Biden doesn’t know the meaning of and probably can’t even spell Truth.https://blackrepublican.blogspot.com/2020/09/biden-says-we-need-president-who-tells.html
(DIR) Post #9zCgPjYLq8Sbu2pEvo by MrHobbit@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-16T03:22:27Z
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@umad80 @timr I'm getting stuck with Biden ads on Youtube.The message of the most recent one I saw?Biden literally saying, "I'm prepared to lose!"
(DIR) Post #9zCiGgRiDqt9ZJX4Yi by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-16T03:43:14Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@MrHobbit @timr Holy shit. 😂
(DIR) Post #9zHAng3KHRRFFnUEYC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:21:46Z
0 likes, 6 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:There is more news regarding the unexpected problems that the Democrats have caused for themselves with their attempts to turn voting by mail into a way to voting by mail schemes.Pelosi and company have failed completely in their goal to make Universal VBM and ballot harvesting the law in every state.
(DIR) Post #9zHAtHIDFYWmCS7WQi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:22:47Z
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That was the main goal in the Democrats' fraudulent stimulus bills and the main reason why those creatures kept stalling.Now, in the end, they have nothing.Attempts to make universal VBM the law in new states have failed, with the exception of Nevada.
(DIR) Post #9zHAvrcd9JvfS6u5T6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:23:15Z
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Now there are four states with Universal VBM - CA, NV, NJ and VT.I believe CA is the only state where ballot harvesting is legal.Voter fraud crime is being prosecuted across the country.Anyone who attempts it is committing a felony.At the same time, the Democrats are realizing that VBM is a debacle for them, because of the enormous and growing number of ballots that are thrown out.
(DIR) Post #9zHB8hVO4h6Xq9dXgu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:25:34Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
Democrats have always voted by mail in far greater numbers than Republicans, and at the same time, they represent the vast majority of rejected ballots.The leftist media have been pushing VBM since March.Now they are finally waking up to how bad this is for their own side, but it is much too late.
(DIR) Post #9zHBISbgK0cUWsEbzs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:27:20Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Here is a headline in WAPO:"More than 500,000 mail ballots were rejected in the primaries. That could make the difference in battleground states this fall."The total was about 534,000.About one quarter of those ballots were rejected in swing states.
(DIR) Post #9zHCGgKQQxUgSesYVc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:38:12Z
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CNN has responded with paranoia and panic, as usual.Trust CNN to come up with a lunatic 'article' about voting by mail, as they become 'enlightened' about the dangers- and change their views completely on the topic.CNN is now begging leftists to vote in person. 🤔
(DIR) Post #9zHCKuU3kKsNWPOwts by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:38:59Z
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CNN's 'article' about the problems with voting by mailhttps://www.cnn.com/2020/09/14/opinions/election-2020-vote-by-mail-absentee-pildes/index.html"The most important thing most voters need to know for this fall's election can be expressed in three words: Vote in person. That includes early in-person voting, as well as Election Day voting."
(DIR) Post #9zHDSu4xEfXwXL2BJQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:51:38Z
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On the campaign trail, Mike Pence is coming to New Hampshire next.This is after three visits from the President.NH has only four electoral votes, but it is by far the most likely NE state to flip and the attention that they are giving to NH is going over extremely well here, over the border.NE states are so small, with the partial exception of Maine. It is clear that the Trump campaign have NE on their map.
(DIR) Post #9zHDg10Sn41ZmqBZgW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:54:00Z
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-campaign-battleground-new-hampshire"Trump campaign makes full-court press in battleground New Hampshire""It's game on in the smallest of the crucial battleground states""The mission of Pence’s trip – and those of the president and other well-known surrogates – is much more than just keeping the base energized, and it’s much more than about nostalgia in a state that boosted Trump toward the presidency."
(DIR) Post #9zHDiL5P6bXSdrbYNU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:54:25Z
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"Then-candidate Donald Trump crushed a large field of GOP rivals by double digits in New Hampshire’s February 2016 Republican presidential primary."“I want to thank New Hampshire. You were my first victory,” Trump highlighted during his most recent trip to the Granite State."👍
(DIR) Post #9zHDitE6AmhCWfvyeO by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:54:31Z
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@timr Rejected ballots are not a bad thing if there is fraud, deceit or improper balloting.Yes, if everything is legit and it is rejected, that is not good, but the same Dindus that tell us George Floyd and gentle giant Mike Brown were great guys and did nothing wrong will be telling us erroneous ballots dindu nothin' wrong and should be counted even though the signature or address don't match.
(DIR) Post #9zHDyrIF80FfADUGYa by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:57:24Z
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@timr People who want to get around the laws for whatever reason spend more time researching how to do so compared to the time spent by those who must uphold the laws.Crooks thing things through twenty ways to Sunday while officials don't learn of their tactics until evidence of the fraudsters becomes obvious.
(DIR) Post #9zHE6UuuCtE656DJzM by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T07:58:47Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr People who want to get around the laws for whatever reason spend more time researching how to do so compared to the time spent by those who must uphold the laws.Crooks think things through twenty ways to Sunday while officials don't learn of their tactics until evidence of the fraudsters becomes obvious.
(DIR) Post #9zHFch0UtJj0nbkFV2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T08:15:49Z
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@LawrenceRoberts Fortunately it is far more difficult now to commit voter fraud on the scale necessary to have an effect on a Presidential or state election.Republicans leaders were lazy, passive and cowardly before Trump and Barr. The days of the disgraced Al Franken openly stealing the MN Senate seat from Norm Coleman with sacks of 'discovered' votes are over.
(DIR) Post #9zHFeuWpabzZJYvVQ0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T08:16:13Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts So are the days of the vicious railroading of Ted Stevens out of his Senate seat. The GOP cowards sat back and allowed that to happen, just as they did not stop Dem voter fraud.I am sure the Dems will try everything possible. But there is now a national awareness about the issue and criminals are being prosecuted.None of that happened prior to 2017.
(DIR) Post #9zHFqr7c576qDvpKUK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T08:18:22Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts Any recount will involve scrutiny of every vote. Every cheater will be revealed. How many Democrats are willing to go to prison - now that the risk is real? It was not a risk before.
(DIR) Post #9zHFrqYff7zwlVxIdE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T08:18:33Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts The Democrats finally know now that the rules have changed.That is why they are indulging in insane, cowardly, nihilistic fantasies of revolution and threats of violence.That is why they are begging their own voters to vote in person.But it is far too late.
(DIR) Post #9zHVdJIS87GcopSZeq by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T11:15:12Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr @LawrenceRoberts Something big happened in Florida too. In 2018 if l remember correctly. I think Rick Scott put the hammer down. They got rid of some entrenched Dem operation in Broward county elections. Rick Scott has become quite the firebrand as a Senator. We need more like that. Passionate about America. We needed a leader. Donald Trump is a pivotal historical figure to be sure, but we need hundreds, thousands, of patriotic leaders in every level of government.
(DIR) Post #9zHVlhZRlNpsQ7PULA by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T11:16:43Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr Oh that's awesome. Who stalled them until it was too late? Cocaine Mitch?
(DIR) Post #9zHhmG2Gp3XolFvK9w by Dawnz@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T13:31:15Z
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@mrbungle @timr @mrbungle Before slamming him with the moniker "Cocaine Mitch" on an assumption of the if or why things were stalled,remember, It was so called "Cocaine Mitch" as you call him who got 2 Supreme Court Justice's appointed, It was "Cocaine Mitch" who got a lot of other judges appointed, and it was "Cocaine Mitch" who played a vital role in keeping our POTUS from being impeached.
(DIR) Post #9zHpIgYOSnoFx3MJ3Q by bjssunshine@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T14:55:35Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr I am so far behind with your wonderful analysis, will eventually get caught up. Was trying to this AM, but have appts. to take care of now. Love your threads and toots.
(DIR) Post #9zHrQaYqpNOragT99s by BRKogz@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T15:19:25Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr @LawrenceRoberts What about PA Supreme Court voting to count ballots for three days after the election?
(DIR) Post #9zISemSx3iwys4L9Ki by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:16:34Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@mrbungle The remarkable Mitch, our remarkable President and our outstanding Republican Senators who stood firm and together.All the best laid plans of evil Nancy and her cowardly vermin came to nothing. 😎 This is what happens in the Trump era.Conservatives operating at their best, united and sharp. 👍
(DIR) Post #9zITKhsgUooYoVMtm4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:24:09Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@BRKogz @LawrenceRoberts Minor issue. They were wrong to change it at a late date, but it will likely hurt Dems more.The important news: The PA state supreme court said No to ballot harvesting, and PA does not have Universal VBM.Those are the two issues that allow for widespread fraud.I'll post on this tomorrow in greater detail. When I saw the news, I started to investigate
(DIR) Post #9zITQCzCH9dkjS2Plg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:25:08Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@bjssunshine Thank you for the comments! 👍
(DIR) Post #9zIUm0J0CbGDjGG5Nw by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:40:17Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr @LawrenceRoberts Good! I really hate that Franken guy -- he's still whining even now that he shouldn't have resigned. Can't even admit any wrongdoing.
(DIR) Post #9zIV84dAnkElVyDVke by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:44:16Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@Lisa22 He was never funny. Or bright. @timr
(DIR) Post #9zIVIZPtCBQLtI0avY by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:46:10Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts @timr Exactly!!
(DIR) Post #9zIVP5jhwdKJrkO7uK by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:47:20Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@timr @umad80 @Elaines2cents Kamel is equally as much a fraud. She crawled out of the gutter, IMO. Power is her game; she doesn't give a damn about the American people. It's all about her, feeding her ego, & the acquisition of power to be used against people who she considers beneath her.
(DIR) Post #9zIVikrfFr02vQUC36 by bjssunshine@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:50:54Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@dl46g @timr @Elaines2cents For the last few weeks been traveling north for fittings etc. For the FIRST time I spotted a Biden sign in a yard. I pointed it out to my driver (my daughter) and she laughed and said, " You notice they live behind a gate, bet they were pranked!"
(DIR) Post #9zIVmkJXF93aNOQRHc by barrsniffsatjejuneanalysis@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:51:37Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@HunDriverWidow @timr @umad80 @Elaines2cents A vacuous and superficial human being.
(DIR) Post #9zIW6dPAdnBwjvXqka by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T22:55:13Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@LawrenceRoberts @Lisa22 @timr ...or sexy.
(DIR) Post #9zIX15emmvJyZtlk0m by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-15T05:34:17Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@Elaines2cents @timr To clarify they are in separate ads. The Michelle O, one was her telling people to vote by mail ASAP! Possibly telling them to vote in person too, but maybe not. Panicky GOTV. The Camel a one was a GOTV one as well, both from some votey vote vote PAC. Really lackluster and as I said cheap looking. Neither memorable nor persuasive.
(DIR) Post #9zIXQHvSJGlhrva6r2 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T23:09:59Z
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@timr @BRKogz @LawrenceRoberts South Carolina now required to vote mail in. https://www.scvotes.gov/new-absentee-rules-2020-general-election
(DIR) Post #9zIXj5mDhgCJgwECLA by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-18T23:13:22Z
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@timr @BRKogz @LawrenceRoberts South Carolina now allows all to vote absentee.https://www.scvotes.gov/new-absentee-rules-2020-general-election
(DIR) Post #9zIhi8PzOeFiavZoiO by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T01:05:15Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@Dawnz THANK YOU @mrbungle @timr
(DIR) Post #9zIi1rALFZQAsYf5cW by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T01:08:13Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@Ballerina @Dawnz @timr Cocaine Mitch is a affectionate moniker. It means he is a Scarface level badass. He is our badass. Thanks be.
(DIR) Post #9zIiFx5y09ElK5Kw8u by Dawnz@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T01:11:22Z
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@mrbungle @Ballerina @timr @mrbungle rofl,I like it.."unruffles fearthers" and watches as "Cocaine Mitch" works his magic 😂 😂 😂 💞
(DIR) Post #9zIiHoWWqDobJleH0i by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T01:11:11Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@Ballerina @Dawnz @timr "Cocaine Mitch is a nickname for American politician Mitch McConnell. While the nickname was originally intended to insult McConnell, supporters of the politician have adopted it as term of endearment."https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/cocaine-mitch
(DIR) Post #9zIiKn4EiE6jfapn60 by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T01:12:13Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@Dawnz @Ballerina @timr There are thousands of memes about it. I just grabbed the first one and it was appropriate!Mitch is the best.
(DIR) Post #9zIrKgRwDSFGjUwchE by Elaines2cents@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T02:53:04Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@HunDriverWidow @timr @umad80 That bitch would slide into the WH and then file for Biden's dismissal swearing she never realized he was mentally deficient until she started to work with him.
(DIR) Post #9zIrMkrul14z185AxM by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T02:53:26Z
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@lolajl @timr it amazes me to see this. I live in a small rural red county and I have been shocked to see them here. Obviously the Trump signs far outweigh the Biden ones but I was really.surprised to see as many Biden signs as I have. I can think of four. One is my dermatologist which makes me think how smart is he to advertise that in such a red area. The other is a local attorney. I don't know the other two. Honestly if not for the rioting I could totally overlook it.
(DIR) Post #9zIrSnZRck7j8RKDjM by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T02:54:32Z
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@lolajl @timr It makes me question if I can give my business to someone who literally overlooks the domestic terrorism his side is committing.
(DIR) Post #9zIsCf8rIIiEJYl98a by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:02:49Z
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@Elaines2cents @HunDriverWidow @umad80 She is the distilled essence of corruption - in a race with Pelosi.Fortunately, she will never get close to the White House and will soon join the gruesome parade of leftist losers
(DIR) Post #9zIvIcKMyEHnBafsqu by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:37:30Z
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@rarity @LawrenceRoberts @timr Ewww!! His wife must be blind, lol.
(DIR) Post #9zIvnSAulcnefwxKZE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:43:04Z
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@Lisa22 @LawrenceRoberts Franken is a reptile. He openly stole that seat. That was significant - I stopped hoping Republicans would ever fight. Then came Trump
(DIR) Post #9zIvzsXuXwiPwFdZJY by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:45:19Z
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@timr @LawrenceRoberts There's an article on him, maybe the New Yorker, where Franken just whines the whole time and talks about how depressed he is. Slimey evil rodent.
(DIR) Post #9zIwsp8su24nJF8Boe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:55:15Z
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@Lisa22 @LawrenceRoberts That was by Kavanaugh hoaxer Jane Mayer. It was intended to rehabilitate his career. It didn't work
(DIR) Post #9zIx2LdnRXN2hy8CuW by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-09-19T03:56:59Z
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@timr @LawrenceRoberts That makes sense. She asked one woman who was sexually assaulted, "Don't you feel bad about hurting Franken's career?" and the woman replied, "He hurt his OWN career." Total burn!
(DIR) Post #A00U8Q7iv02zCMIvy4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:00:23Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:News from Nevada, in leftist Politico. This is not good news for Biden."Biden moves to stave off surprise loss in Nevada.The Trump campaign is making a run at the Western state after barely losing it in 2016."https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/09/biden-nevada-surprise-loss-428366
(DIR) Post #A00UP3IL348lJqCT9U by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:03:25Z
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Nevada is not supposed to be a swing state anymore.The crazed media polls tells us Biden will win in a Reagan 1984 landslide, double digits, etc.Yet the left are carrying in in a panic.Politico continues the warning alarm on Nevada:"Could Nevada be the Michigan of 2020 — a state Democrats figured they had in the bag but that unexpectedly goes for Donald Trump?"
(DIR) Post #A00UYFVV0rLrnik1nk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:05:03Z
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Biden's 'rallies' are pathetic failures. But that is all they have. So he has to go to Nevada."One particular stat about the state has troubled Democrats all cycle: Hillary Clinton won it by less than she lost Arizona, the neighboring battleground. Guarding against any overconfidence, Joe Biden is visiting Nevada during his Western swing on Friday.""Many Latinos within the party have warned that Biden can’t take the state for granted."
(DIR) Post #A00VXKU17tKqtmAol6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:16:07Z
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The same themes are brought up in these articles on leftist sites.The same complaints about Biden and the same frustration with the DNC:1) Biden's 'campaign' has had no ground game at all, and is only now trying to make it up.2) Trump's appeal to hispanic voters is much higher than expected.3) The enthusiasm level among Democrats is much lower than Republicans.
(DIR) Post #A00VY0ujMxewUmzkEC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:16:15Z
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4) There is no way to know the extent of support from silent Trump voters.5) The Democrats were stunned in 2016. They fear the same will happen again this year. The same fraudulent polls are predicting a Biden landslide but the Democrats on the ground are not seeing any signs of it.These articles in leftist sites are acknowledging that there will be no Biden landslide.When they admit that Nevada is in play, they are telling the truth. But it is too late for the Dems
(DIR) Post #A00Wqch3kERopj2Ooa by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:30:49Z
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@timr If this election goes as we think it would, this would go down in history as one the biggest self-owns in the history of politics.To think that the Fake News for four years has ginned up anti-Trump hate and carried water for the Dimm Party.And the Dimm Party offers up Dementia Joe as the alternative and Kameltoe as the supposed heir apparent, who couldn't get a delegate in their primaries.
(DIR) Post #A00WvCvkxSx4NY699U by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:31:39Z
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@timr If I'm a leftist then I would be downright pissed at what the Dimm Party has been doing.
(DIR) Post #A00XwIx69gT1IYoSMi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:43:03Z
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@Movietime_Blues The Democrats started by refusing to acknowledge reality in 2016, and went from there. Descent further into the abyssNow they are seeing the results of that decision.
(DIR) Post #A00Y6Vhjb7ILkDUcng by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:44:54Z
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@Movietime_Blues The Dem campaign workers on the ground have been left to go it alone by the Biden 'campaign', the DNC and the leftist establishment.They talk about it, but no one has listened. Now it is too late
(DIR) Post #A00Yhuw6kVhYiL3Lf6 by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T04:51:39Z
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@timr The Dimms are in the same position the GOP was in 2012. The GOP in 2012 thought a ham sandwich was sufficient to take out Obummer. It ended up much of the GOP base pissed at their party.
(DIR) Post #A00ZV24D1gT31FGJXc by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:00:32Z
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@timr Aw yeah.
(DIR) Post #A00ak0r7uX2HYqqlJA by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:14:27Z
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@timr The Dimms are in the same position the GOP was in 2012. The GOP in 2012 thought a ham sandwich was sufficient to take out Obummer. It ended up much of the GOP base pissed at their party.The only one really excited about that campaign was Karl Rove and he ended trying to explain that his candidate still had a chance. LOLWhen Fake News is doing more "campaign" than a major party candidate then there's a real problem.
(DIR) Post #A00b1Oq004f8rWc5DM by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:17:35Z
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@timr The Dimms are in the same position the GOP was in 2012. The GOP in 2012 thought a ham sandwich was sufficient to take out Obummer. It ended up with much of the GOP base pissed at their party.The only one really excited about that campaign was Karl Rove and he ended trying to explain that his candidate still had a chance. LOLWhen Fake News is doing more "campaigning" than a major party candidate then there's a real problem.
(DIR) Post #A00beogxoBcKLFBNRY by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:24:43Z
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@timr Because I'm in Australia I obviously can't judge the mood on the ground there, but I have noticed that all the arguments are for or against Trump. Nobody seems fired up by Biden (or Kamela) and the most anyone can say for him is that he's not Trump.
(DIR) Post #A00bwupFk4v8Zrgq8W by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:27:59Z
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@Movietime_Blues Romney was the ideal GOP choice for the establishment - on paper. No enthusiasm at all.I remember conversations with family and friends, all Republicans. We voted for him, but no one really liked Romney. He was our governor here. I knew Romneycare would be a deciding issue against him.He won the first debate, but his campaign did nothing to capitalize on it. He was too weak. Wily and sneaky - and weak
(DIR) Post #A00cK5cVm5ZKiTmSHY by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:32:10Z
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@cmclark63 @timr Which is what Hillary ran on, the "I'm not Trump" argument.It's not a persuasive argument. Not for her, nor for him.Not that Biden could make one. As POTUS says, he's done more in 47 months than Joe Biden has done in 47 years.Oh, he *is* running on ObamaCare because *someone* told him that was a good idea. 😂
(DIR) Post #A00cd5bW3gigAWNIHI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:35:36Z
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@cmclark63 That is accurate.Voting for Biden is a purely defensive move. He was perceived as being the safest choice to be the anti-Trump. They forced out every candidate who has an enthusiastic following.
(DIR) Post #A00cddtmYHX6X1BMTA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:35:43Z
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@cmclark63 Harris was supposed to be the secret weapon who would bridge the gap. She has turned out to be a total failure.It is understood by voters that she is intended to replace Biden shortly after his victory (which won't happen).There is no precedent for this, as far as I know.As a result, she is far more important to the Biden campaign than the typical VP candidate.Her car crash debate performance hit the Democrats hard.
(DIR) Post #A00ceSHxCgZqoSsN5U by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:35:51Z
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@umad80 @timr I would imagine that someone who disliked Trump but did not see Biden as an alternative would probably not vote at all rather than gamble on a guy who would probably be replaced by Harris within two years. Better the devil you know than the one you don't.
(DIR) Post #A00cvAkpeHFZM2M3vs by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:38:51Z
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@cmclark63 @timr Excellent point. Considering what we know of the enthusiasm gap, I'm betting that will be the case.And I don't know how Bernie Bros will go. Many of them voted in for Trump in 2016 but most either didn't vote or did vote for Hillary. I'm curious as to how that will go this year.Twice they were swindled out of their choice. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice...
(DIR) Post #A00cz8Cz3YLMcIPVKK by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:39:35Z
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@umad80 @cmclark63 "Which is what Hillary ran on, the "I'm not Trump" argument.It's not a persuasive argument. Not for her, nor for him"Well said. And it has never worked. 👍
(DIR) Post #A00d0VBV7KfAAJN1Jg by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:39:50Z
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@timr Yes, to have any hope the Dems needed a JFK, Obama or even Bill Clinton (in his heyday) with some charisma and popular support. Biden is like the middle management guy who fills in while the boss is away.
(DIR) Post #A00dSWQS61iY7gizHE by BigEd@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:44:53Z
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@timr While I agree that there is no way to *know* the extent of the silent Trump supporters, in 2016 Group initiated the “Who do you think your neighbor is voting for?” Question as a measure of that silent Trump support. Fortunately the seriously flawed recent Foxnews D+8 poll showing Biden +10 ALSO had a buried “neighbor” question with a Trump +9 advantage.
(DIR) Post #A00da1WCtNcEaBzeIy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:46:16Z
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@cmclark63 @umad80 True. Biden has hidden himself away in his dungeon, while the polls tell us he will win in a landslide comparable to Reagan in 1984.The same polls that predicted a Hillary landslide.He just emerged last month. Meanwhile Harris, their insurance policy, is already cancelled.So today, a panicking Pelosi gave a more than usually bonkers press conference about replacing an incapacitated president
(DIR) Post #A00dmeQc3JNyjaOjnE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:48:32Z
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@cmclark63 @umad80 And they would not wait two years to force Joe out - for his 'own good', as they trundle him off to a rest home. It would be a matter of months before the Harris regime is supposed to begin.Now Harris is an albatross.It is all collapsing in on them. 😎
(DIR) Post #A00dxtTuQRASbeIiCO by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:50:34Z
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@timr @umad80 That is hilarious - the article 25 move is real bottom-of-the-barrel stuff!
(DIR) Post #A00eBtAQOHKfgZrPKy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:53:06Z
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@cmclark63 The retired and exhausted middle management guy who has waited all his life to be the boss, and at the last minute is dragged in off the golf course.Yes, Democrats tend to be emotional and dramatic. They are swept up by personalities and image, and then turn their leaders into cult figures and a replacement for God. That is one of the reasons I never trusted the left.Biden is a phantasm. He is barely there
(DIR) Post #A00eHRk7GaHUMtCljE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:54:06Z
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@cmclark63 @umad80 Sheer panic. 😎
(DIR) Post #A00eKlTaM3SYRH3TYu by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T05:54:42Z
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@timr @cmclark63 You love to see it! 👍
(DIR) Post #A00fJtzXJEy8Vt9VY0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T06:05:45Z
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@BigEd Good find, and that's true - it is one of the few ways we have to measure silent Trump voters. 👍 That question is a way for Trump voters to indicate their own support for Trump without openly acknowledging it.It is also a way for Dems and undecideds to report on what they see and hear around them.
(DIR) Post #A00rvp7Z45lRrUkx8K by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T08:27:04Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is information from the New Mexico political report, which provides detailed data on voting.
(DIR) Post #A00s2b6hZCdAQRaC6C by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T08:28:18Z
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Here are the latest results from early voting in New Mexico as of today:"Statewide, 44.87 percent of voters who have cast ballots are Democrats, 44.08 percent are Republicans, 10.15 percent are Decline to State (or voters who are not registered to a political party) and 0.9 percent are either Libertarians or members of minor parties"https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2020/10/09/voting-passes-31000-through-first-three-days-of-early-voting/
(DIR) Post #A00sNLdoGREUXWxnFI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T08:32:03Z
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These NM early voting numbers seem to be extraordinarily positive for Republicans, for two reasons:1) NM Democrats have a significant advantage over Republicans in total registration and NM has trended blue for several decades.2) Democrats usually outnumber Republicans in early voting across the country, and especially this year because of the emphasis by Dem leaders
(DIR) Post #A00si0DX72MUAzWOdU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T08:35:46Z
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So based on those two factors, the two parties certainly should not be tied.I posted a few months ago on the strong gains made by the NM GOP in enthusiasm and registration, but I did not expect to see results yet.I say 'seems' to be exceptionally positive because there are unknown factors.
(DIR) Post #A00sxhyIiWuYDnsz7Q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T08:38:37Z
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These numbers represent only the first day of early voting, with only 31,000 votes counted.It is a small sample and early.I don't know NM's early voting patterns broken down by party.However, this is statewide and not limited to one county, so there is no potential imbalance there.We'll see if this holds but it looks like a good start for NM
(DIR) Post #A010Ebp1XASLkcYJvM by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T10:00:05Z
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@umad80 @cmclark63 @timr For professing to “not be Trump”, I’ve noticed his plagiarism of Trumpisms of late. Even mannerisms. And his pseudo “chest puffing”... he’s trying so hard it’s embarrassing.
(DIR) Post #A0137JikjcyxRkplRI by 1TruePatriot@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T10:32:23Z
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@timr You are the freakin man!!!!!Thank you thank you thank you thank you...
(DIR) Post #A019urwwrPtJWKU99U by Gmajv@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T11:48:35Z
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@timr still is!
(DIR) Post #A01A4pOxBpu4VrKixs by EarlThePearls@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T11:50:23Z
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@timrGot rich by destroying companies not by building them up. Bain Capital @Movietime_Blues
(DIR) Post #A01H8qu8FA3c0lmaOm by campers@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T13:09:32Z
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@timr @cmclark63 They had to get rid of Bernie and he was a likely winner until they put all the forces against him..
(DIR) Post #A01JDx6GppbUaF1IYK by richme4@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T13:32:53Z
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@timr Sizeable minorities of Trump rallygoers are democrats, independents and People that didn't vote in prior elections. People that never voted are not polled.There is an enormous Trump ground game and virtually no Biden ground game.Yesterday alone Trump probably reached 100 million people between Rush, Levin, and Tucker.No one goes to Biden appearances and no one watches online.The media has yet to bring out a 2016 Trump voter that has switched to Biden because they don't exist.
(DIR) Post #A01JW83Oqdx1lhLQ2q by richme4@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T13:36:10Z
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@timr Trump's praetorian guard strikes again. Perfect timing of sexting drop. Cunningham is imploding.
(DIR) Post #A01LeF52o7DPmm6tIu by inverness01@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T14:00:00Z
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@richme4 @timr threads like this bring me such hope. I know Thomas old ridicule my fear as I have read his threads that talk about this but for me ... i know of quite a few people seriously brainwashed over this covid nonsense and cannot fathom how anyone can take this stance but if all I did was get my info from the msm I would probably think this way too.
(DIR) Post #A01WCt7vQACPNJcIoy by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T15:58:21Z
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@Ballerina @cmclark63 @timr Right? Every single thing, aside from a few Dem talking points, is everything Trump is doing.It'd be hilarious if it weren't so pathetic.
(DIR) Post #A01X3VXZqQwRZUhqgS by Clayrjr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T16:07:52Z
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@umad80 @cmclark63 @timr Well...Hillary couldn't have run on the "I'm a total C@&T" platform...openly...at least.But we managed to see through her clever ruse.
(DIR) Post #A01XPSOQEDIiBDtFrs by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T16:11:49Z
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@umad80 I believe they’ve figured out that the American people like what Trump is doing so they are having Joe mimic. Anyone that follows politics can clearly see this. @cmclark63 @timr
(DIR) Post #A01sA9zGTagFmzfcLA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:04:22Z
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@1TruePatriot Thanks for the comment! Glad the info is helpful. 👍
(DIR) Post #A01tReqr4ngAOGe036 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:18:44Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Data on Florida registration since 2008, showing the steady increase in GOP registration and the decline of the Democrats.The voter registration numbers are followed by the Presidential election results.The Democrats have had a significant edge over the GOP for many years in total registration, even as FL remained a swing state.FL is similar to NC in that way.
(DIR) Post #A01tSX1hegRUPY8QSG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:18:54Z
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In the last dozen years, the advantage has moved sharply in favor of the Republicans.Florida Voter Registration Edge:2008: Democrat edge over Republican: 694,147Result: Obama wins by 236,1482012: Democrat edge: 558,272Result: Obama wins by 74,3092016: Democrat edge: 330,428Result: Trump wins by 112,9912020: Democrat edge as of10/9: 136,294https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1314915916421820416
(DIR) Post #A01tqeGGPLONndRfCy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:23:15Z
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Moving to voter registration in Pennsylvania:Here is yet another article from a local source about the surge in GOP registration in PA."Republicans Gain Statewide And Locally In Voter Registration"https://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2020/10/09/republicans-gain-statewide-and-locally-in-voter-registration/
(DIR) Post #A01ty1KJ3BARMVqqSO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:24:35Z
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More on PA registration surge:"A record number of Pennsylvanians have registered to vote in the presidential election, but voters may not be registering in the political party you think.""When you dig into the numbers, one thing is clear in this state: in the last four years, the number of registered Democrats has dropped by nearly 50,000, while Republicans have picked up 150,000 registered voters statewide."
(DIR) Post #A01uXirTBFcYWDO4tE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:31:03Z
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More on PA:A graph with a detailed breakdown of registration changes in PA between 2016 and 2020, by county.Only good news for Republicans
(DIR) Post #A01uaAL7zI4AJvQOa8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T20:31:29Z
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More on PA:A graph with a detailed breakdown of registration changes in PA between 2016 and 2020, by region.Only good news for Republicans
(DIR) Post #A01xiN0D5ksxlvFDBg by stephanieanne@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T21:06:34Z
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@timr Scott Pressler @ThePersistance on twitter, works his tail off in PA registering voters to help Trump win. Quite a guy.
(DIR) Post #A020Fbw2nDEpY9H2h6 by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T21:35:00Z
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Y@stephanieanne @timr Yes. He plans to be in PS all month - he voted early before leaving. He says that there is a drive to register the Amish to vote, and that there is even an operation dedicated to the Amish community GOTV.
(DIR) Post #A025XQrBDj6gAqJeQi by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-10T22:10:49Z
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@Clayrjr @umad80 @timr That would have made for interesting lawn signs, at least!
(DIR) Post #A02Fuu8HXShJAo98Ou by Dawnz@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T00:30:32Z
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@cmclark63 @Clayrjr @umad80 @timr @cmclark63 😂
(DIR) Post #A02c2nftd9y0S92VAO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T04:38:29Z
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@campers @cmclark63 Yes, they panicked when Bernie was headed for victory.One of many ironies: Sanders had genuine enthusiasm and a committed base - which Biden does not have. He would be campaigning every day now, all over the country with Warren and other leftists. He would not win, but he would probably be doing better than Biden/Harris.
(DIR) Post #A02cEbYQWIvwKxAs9Q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T04:40:37Z
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@richme4 True. Every indicator points to a Trump victory, except the same skewed leftist polls.
(DIR) Post #A02ckZF8eFAsR5OSG0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T04:46:23Z
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@richme4 Cunningham's self-destruction cannot be stopped. It is too late for the Democrats to replace him.NC is one of the races that Schumer has focused on - pouring in money while telling the candidates to hide in the basement.Cunningham emerges finally, flops in his debate and then at least a decade of scandals and juggling lies comes pouring out.All of that money for nothing.In KY, Schumer's handpicked candidate McGrath is burning money, waiting to lose to McConnell in a landslide
(DIR) Post #A030f8QLKdnYi2ZomG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T09:14:19Z
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Data on North Carolina voter registration. Since 2008, the Democrat registration advantage has collapsed by more than 50%.This is follow-up to my earlier posts on Florida registration changes since 2008. I am planning on posting as much information and data that I can find on registration and early voting as it becomes available, focusing on swing states and the states that gave Trump his 2016 victory.
(DIR) Post #A030jJOsSpWFuUsnx2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T09:15:04Z
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Both NC and PA started with significant Democrat advantages. The advantage was much larger in NC. Voters in both states have crossed party lines often.Both states have shown a consistent move towards the GOP in official registration.
(DIR) Post #A030mUVlbr5HEucaXY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T09:15:38Z
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North Carolina Voter Registration Edge:2008: Democrat edge over Republican: 864,253Result: Obama wins by 14,1772012: Democrat edge: 818,443Result: Romney wins: 92,004
(DIR) Post #A0319ZwVa9kYkF8eOW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-11T09:19:48Z
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2016: Democrat edge: 646,246Result: Trump wins by 173,3152020: Democrat edge as of10/9,2020: 399,834So the Democrat edge over the GOP in NC registration has dropped by more than 50% since 2008, and continues to drop.Again, both FL and NC are states with high levels of historic Dem advantage, and a high level of cross-party voting which has benefited Republicans.Many of those voters are now making the official switch.https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1315085392383680512
(DIR) Post #A0GYjiSu0sCsJ2ZMQq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:07:22Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:A lot of information coming in each day from early voting, and now early in-person voting where it is an option.In short, the numbers are excellent for Trump and bad for Biden in the states where data is being released.
(DIR) Post #A0GYmW80L2sUuc8812 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:07:49Z
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It is early in the game and of course these numbers are changing every day. But the Democrats were supposed to be winning by a wide margin in this early game. There is no evidence of that
(DIR) Post #A0GYoMXowPGVlh5M5A by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:08:12Z
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A few points to make:The Democrats have bet everything on overwhelming VBM numbers that will sweep Biden to victory.We should be seeing outstanding early numbers for Dems, with Dems winning 60-70% of early voting, at least.That is not happening.
(DIR) Post #A0GYrd7blPuu3BNmuO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:08:48Z
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And at this point, it is likely too late for that trend to change because we are now moving into early in-person voting as well and the Dems are rapidly running out of time for that VBM landslide to develop.It just isn’t there, and there is no indication that it will be.
(DIR) Post #A0GYuigzVai0CEPF4q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:09:21Z
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All comparisons between early voting in 2016 and 2020 have to be understood in light of an unprecedented change in voting plans and patterns.The majority of Democrats plan to vote by mail. The majority of Republicans are waiting for in-person voting, and most are waiting for election day.
(DIR) Post #A0GYxFdC0vxOvupvSC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:09:48Z
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Target Smart is a data site that provides regular updates on voting stats, in most cases on a daily basis.Here are some numbers from that site, as of today.At this point – Republicans are looking very strong in Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin and Georgia.Michigan and Wisconsin are looking especially impressive, considering how close they were in 2016.
(DIR) Post #A0GYz7V3DWMyIFv3rs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:10:09Z
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What is equally intriguing is how well Republicans are doing in Nevada, Minnesota and New Mexico, which are now competitive based on the early voting so far
(DIR) Post #A0GZ7tWGZ6ZpXYfiHw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:11:43Z
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What is equally intriguing is how well Republicans are doing in Nevada, Minnesota and New Mexico, which are now highly competitive based on the early voting so far.We are now seeing the promise of outstanding primary results for Trump, extremely high enthusiasm from Trump voters and surging GOP registration.It is now turning into votes
(DIR) Post #A0GZBzSUQSTj7OrHfM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:12:29Z
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Early voting in Texas:
(DIR) Post #A0GZIw2rVz4UYjBP3g by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:13:43Z
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Early voting in Michigan.These numbers are remarkable:👍
(DIR) Post #A0GZMqjnBrChFx86ZU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:14:26Z
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Early voting in Ohio.
(DIR) Post #A0GZQnDKEVo9UCp8To by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:15:09Z
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Early voting in Georgia:
(DIR) Post #A0GZVfcxrnlBPB8sN6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:16:02Z
1 likes, 3 repeats
Early voting in Wisconsin:
(DIR) Post #A0GZcwf0w8NMG8ZNgG by SQ@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:17:21Z
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@timr A big, big Thank you!! #VoteRed #Winning
(DIR) Post #A0GZkHCMyWodz3fQhc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:18:40Z
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Early voting in Minnesota.Reminder for all of these states: the Democrats should be dominating these VBM early voting numbers with blowouts of 60-70%.So 50% for the Dems is bad.As in Panic Bad
(DIR) Post #A0GZp2CEBGzCu2rywC by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:19:32Z
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Early voting in Nevada
(DIR) Post #A0Ga43qUKZNIMVrmRk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:22:15Z
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Early voting in New Mexico - one of the three states that I am most interested in this cycle, along with NH and MN.It looks like the hard work by the GOP and increased registration is producing concrete results.Maybe not enough to flip red, but good news for down ballot and the future:
(DIR) Post #A0GaFYbEKRp0vfDA9Y by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:24:20Z
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@SQ Thanks for the comment 👍
(DIR) Post #A0GaHb04NGYexBnmMa by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:24:41Z
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@timr HOLY COW! Texas is doing good!
(DIR) Post #A0GaLfSTjz15wH21dA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:25:26Z
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@Ballerina Texas is knocking it out of the park and over the fence. And it is just beginning
(DIR) Post #A0GaitIKSoWLVnMFjU by Ballerina@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:29:36Z
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@timr I just texted an acquaintance of mine (met her last school year as she was my sons online pre-algebra teacher) your screen shot of Texas. She says she hasn’t voted yet but will on Monday. I remember last we spoke (summer) she was extremely disappointed with Abbott and shut downs.
(DIR) Post #A0Gam3QFGXJRn6ZLHc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:29:55Z
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Trump is already running well ahead of the RCP (RealClearPolitics) prediction in the early vote.Two states:RCP average Texas - Trump +4.4Texas early vote - GOP +8.3RCP average Michigan Biden +7.2Michigan Early vote GOP +2.3
(DIR) Post #A0GbAEb3N5dbOi9dk8 by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:33:22Z
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@timr Why did Sasse open his mouth to play Cassandra? Is he trying for a play to take over the GOP or is he just plain dumb?
(DIR) Post #A0GbPu6rJF1wUXVFcu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:37:24Z
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@Movietime_Blues He was caught on tape. It's nothing. That's part of his persona - snooty, self-righteous, clucking about Trump's vulgarity.Then Trump lets him have it.It doesn't matter. In the current news cycle, those GOP family squabbles vanish in hours
(DIR) Post #A0GcYPD1fM8RDR0OaO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:50:07Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Early voter information is now coming in from Arizona. This is more good news, as AZ has been trending somewhat blue in recent registration trends and state elections.First, the GOP turned it around with registration numbers in recent months.
(DIR) Post #A0Gcyg2NimXmw9YOem by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:54:54Z
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There is new data from Maricopa county, by way of MarketSight and pundit Richard Baris.Trump is ahead by a 5-7% lead in Arizona.Regarding the senate - Martha McSally is running about 5 points behind.
(DIR) Post #A0Gd0AH6mgzN0T9SNs by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:55:10Z
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There is new data from Maricopa county, by way of MarketSight and pundit Richard Baris.Trump is ahead by a 5-7% lead in Arizona.Regarding the senate - Martha McSally is running about 5 points behind Trump.
(DIR) Post #A0GdF9pGjhJFxRHM6i by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T22:57:52Z
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Caveat: This is all early voting. It changes literally every few hours.But so far, the trends and concrete results are looking highly positive for Trump and at the high end of what I had been expecting at this point
(DIR) Post #A0GdcbuWU3SBimv5A8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:02:06Z
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McSally looked to be a goner three months ago.But she has shown in leadership on the Supreme Court issue, won the debate with Kelly and has come back.It remains to be seen if that is enough, but at least the trend is in the right direction.
(DIR) Post #A0GdeV6yjXw7DIeBJw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:02:27Z
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McSally looked to be a goner three months ago.But she has shown leadership on the Supreme Court issue, won the debate with Kelly and has come back.It remains to be seen if that is enough, but at least the trend is in the right direction.
(DIR) Post #A0GdsUxm5AKAo715U0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:04:57Z
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In Michigan, John James has been running slightly ahead of Trump and has been surging in recent months.The outstanding showing of the GOP in Michigan in the past week will only help.Based on those early numbers, MI is looking good for Trump and an increasingly likely Senate pickup for the GOP
(DIR) Post #A0GeAu29bon1m6qCDg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:08:18Z
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Comments from Richard Baris regarding Arizona.AZ has seen an influx from CA and other blue states.There has been a real concern that these newcomers will do to AZ what they have done to CO.However, there is good news on this, at least as of now:
(DIR) Post #A0GeEBM1fUIwMWhQsS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:08:54Z
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"Interesting tidbit in Arizona... w/ the caveat that it's still early at this point in collection...Very surprising, "first generation" is Trump's best group. If that turns out true, it would mean movers from Calf., Ill. and N.Y. (top 3 so far), are NOT voting D in AZ."https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1317552462195286018
(DIR) Post #A0GeJbFwnD5U8yRK3E by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:09:52Z
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"I've always found the voting patterns of movers an extremely interesting topic to study. Prior to 2014, we found that movers from Blue to Red states did vote Democrat by majority.But there's evidence from Texas in 2018, as well, that it's no longer the case.Worth watching it."https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1317552884704313352
(DIR) Post #A0GeLsIIPvkJZ5cgmu by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:10:17Z
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@timr Read this earlier, sounds refreshing. You can teach and old dog new tricks.
(DIR) Post #A0GeS3znp77RavvLH6 by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:11:24Z
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@timr I would bet that D's with brain cells functioning, still living in NY, NJ, CA, won't be voting D either. I believe the pissed off royally factor is at play.Huge rally in Beverly Hills, CAhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJL-YG-fWdc
(DIR) Post #A0GewAycQuVjvujG8O by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:16:50Z
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This is a MI poll from Trafalgar, run by Robert Cahaly for both the the White House and Senate.I rarely quote polls. But Trafalgar was only one of three polls that called the 2016 race correctly.They also called the 2018 senate races correctly.In include them here because of their track record, and because these numbers reflect the early voting results we are seeing from TargetSmart data.
(DIR) Post #A0Gf07eCkkkwlY3upU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:17:34Z
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This is a MI poll from Trafalgar, run by Robert Cahaly for the Senate.I rarely quote polls. But Trafalgar was only one of three polls that called the 2016 race correctly.They also called the 2018 senate races correctly.In include them here because of their track record, and because these numbers reflect the early voting results we are seeing from TargetSmart data.
(DIR) Post #A0Gf7UChHtIIkZhttw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:18:53Z
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MI Senate Race:48.0% John James46.6% Gary Peters2.8% Other2.5% Undecided
(DIR) Post #A0GfP2bSe1ZcMRf2YK by ArdanianRight@freespeechextremist.com
2020-10-17T23:22:05.191990Z
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@timr Party registration for early voting seems evenish in a number of swing states. Either the polls are wrong, or there's a large number of voters who are breaking against Trump but might vote GOP down ballot. I lean more towards the former. Mind you a few states breaking one way or the other could mean a Biden landslide in both the EC and popular vote, but if conventionally red states hold for Trump and he gets a few breaks I think it might be winnable.
(DIR) Post #A0Gfm5a7jkagG71eMa by Jaime@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:26:14Z
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@timr 🎼🎼🎼🎼🎼
(DIR) Post #A0GgcwZNyQ8Vemspfs by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-17T23:35:47Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@HunDriverWidow @timr Earlier today someone in one of my FB group said that a relative's ex-husband, who is a self-described socialist and a registered Democrat, told her that he'd voted for Trump and many of his friends did so. They're outside of San Francisco.
(DIR) Post #A0GnZ1SyWdsvMdxjDE by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T00:53:30Z
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@timr McSally finally fighting hard. Still has a shot. Kelly is a turd.
(DIR) Post #A0GncvqPN0QB5OmrKq by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T00:54:13Z
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@timr James running hard and well. Legit shot.
(DIR) Post #A0GrcQoBA1Mue8lFmS by MaureenQueen@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T01:38:55Z
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@timr So the expected deluge of VBM in blue Harris Co (Houston), the 3rd largest in US has not developed. Very meager #s of VBM right now.
(DIR) Post #A0GvSGCo7tI2gQgcmu by SirSpencer@noagendasocial.com
2020-10-18T02:21:56Z
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@timr praise be!
(DIR) Post #A0GwXBOzVrIbBhIRIu by karnage@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T02:34:01Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr Big.
(DIR) Post #A0GxEwjLQIb4QSgVBg by Beemer4Trump@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T02:41:56Z
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@timr Lookin’ Good!!@athena12
(DIR) Post #A0HAu7e92asDYhDVse by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T05:15:01Z
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The strong showing for Republicans in early voting and the disappointing showing for Democrats in the VBM numbers follows the same pattern as the primary vote.I will boost earlier posts with the primary voting data. The chasm between Trump and Biden's is evident in those numbers. What we are seeing now is directly connected to those primary numbers
(DIR) Post #A0HDHlYf15dJuX3OE4 by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T05:41:43Z
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@timr @IndiaMaria Might be a silly question but how is it possible to win less than 100% of an uncontested vote? Does it mean the remainder didn’t vote at all?
(DIR) Post #A0HFPb7Jv4bxkn7yRk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T06:05:31Z
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@cmclark63 Good question. Not silly at all.Most states print have their ballots printed before the primaries begin.As candidates drop out, their names are marked as no longer running but it is not feasible to print out new ballots each time the list changes.
(DIR) Post #A0HFRHh36izC5idyZk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T06:05:50Z
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@cmclark63 For example, Buttigieg and Klobuchar dropped out suddenly just before Super Tuesday to clear the path for Biden. Warren stayed in a few weeks longer, enough to knock out Sanders. Then Sanders dropped out.Although Biden was the only candidate by that time, voters either chose another candidate who - knowing they were no longer running - or wrote in their own choice.
(DIR) Post #A0HFSZ3S2mqWE4jTxg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T06:06:05Z
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@cmclark63 Most states offer the option of write-in candidates. So these primary numbers were extremely bad for Biden - he lost up to one third of his primary voters in later states to protest votes.
(DIR) Post #A0HFlyoAW817bKqHIW by cmclark63@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T06:09:35Z
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@timr Thanks very much for the explanation!
(DIR) Post #A0HHRWMUloX5UdGpU0 by Debradelai@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T06:28:18Z
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@timr Yuup.
(DIR) Post #A0HUHW82573hHI48iO by Wow@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T08:52:09Z
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@timr @cmclark63 well, "Pop" didn't keep all the money, he had to favors as well like kick-backs
(DIR) Post #A0HfstFcAvG1CVdTCi by DaJavoo@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T11:02:09Z
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@timr
(DIR) Post #A0HnHzMtGdt75lxCL2 by Meeka@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T12:25:07Z
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@timr Great info, as always. Thank you!
(DIR) Post #A0IAFKlbY7TpXHDV7A by MEMA@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T16:42:22Z
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@timr You are a gem my friend ..Thank You 😊👍
(DIR) Post #A0IAa0FL2TPbyRypo8 by MEMA@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T16:46:06Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@karnage @timr 🎵👂😎
(DIR) Post #A0IKiwPte7PUFCorzM by LawrenceRoberts@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-18T18:39:46Z
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@timr Could be that many of the Dem voters are #walkaways and will not all give a nod to a senile pedophile..... and I'd bet many of the gray 'others' are independents who end up breaking for Trump.
(DIR) Post #A0JTdvrnMCbHptW092 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T07:54:25Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Here are summations from the Cotto/Gottfried twitter feed regarding today's TargetSmart voter data for Texas, Michigan and Wisconsin.Cotto provides occasional helpful data summations.This follows up on my posts from yesterday with another day of data.The trends continue to favor the GOP.
(DIR) Post #A0JThhd0Eno4pmOUZk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T07:55:07Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Here are summations from the Cotto/Gottfried twitter feed regarding today's TargetSmart voter data for Texas and Wisconsin.Cotto provides occasional helpful data summations.This follows up on my posts from yesterday with another day of data.The trends continue to favor the GOP.
(DIR) Post #A0JTqK92uujQbnUceu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T07:56:40Z
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Update on early voting election data from Wisconsin:"In Wisconsin, per TargetSmart, Democrats and GOPers are, for the first time, tied in VBM returns. Democrats have declined by two points within 24 hours. 1,384,035 ballots have been cast and in-person early voting (counted as VBM, oddly) begins this week."All great news for GOPers.”
(DIR) Post #A0JTvlL5ElbGOiiUi0 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T07:57:39Z
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Update on early voting election data from Texas:“In Texas, per TargetSmart, GOPers have attained a 13-point lead (52%-39%) in combined VBM and in-person early voting returns, with 3,635,507 ballots cast thus far. This unexpectedly huge GOP margin means, bizarrely enough, that TX may go for DJT by more than it did in 2016.”
(DIR) Post #A0JUVlwUTHjmh5NstU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:04:09Z
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Excellent news from Wisconsin, where there has not been that much data until now.And Texas continues to impress with its numbers, which are far better than expected at this point.
(DIR) Post #A0JUWTm3VRXCdSqAjo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:04:17Z
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Trump won TX in 2016 with 52.6% of the vote.2016: Clinton 43.5%. Johnson 3.2%. Stein 0.8%Trump defeated Hillary by a 9 point margin. Now, the GOP is leading in TX by a 13% margin.Again, it is early. Patterns can change quickly. Every day brings new dataBut these numbers - and the margin- are especially impressive because it is early and the Democrats should be doing far better than they are.
(DIR) Post #A0JVG0VgdoonCBtSee by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:12:30Z
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More data from Texas early and VBM voting.Statewide Republicans UP 13.3% and Democrats are DOWN 15.5%. In the bell-weather Tarrant County, Republicans are UP 4.1% and Democrats are DOWN 5.6%. Black vote is up 0.3%https://twitter.com/Wizard_Predicts/status/1317968522299977728Hispanic vote is up 0.1%
(DIR) Post #A0JVI4cWKYL8WS4j4q by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:12:53Z
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More data from Texas early and VBM voting.Statewide Republicans UP 13.3% and Democrats are DOWN 15.5%. In the bell-weather Tarrant County, Republicans are UP 4.1% and Democrats are DOWN 5.6%. Black vote is up 0.3%Hispanic vote is up 0.1%https://twitter.com/Wizard_Predicts/status/1317968522299977728
(DIR) Post #A0JVP3eGLI0xXFDjPM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:14:09Z
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Texas 2020 General Election Early Voting, with comparisons to 206 General and 2018 midterms, by party:
(DIR) Post #A0JVQRTFG0Ijhyj9Au by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:14:24Z
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Texas 2020 General Election Early Voting, with comparisons to 2016 General and 2018 midterms, by party:
(DIR) Post #A0JVd4GuoygRWTyrAG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:16:41Z
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In Texas, voters have cast 35.7% of the total votes counted statewide in the 2016 General Election. Updated October 18th
(DIR) Post #A0JVpBBCxnLiQG5P28 by REX@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:18:51Z
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@timr This is superb, Tim.Based on your analysis and not holding you to anything (things can change fast as you say), are we looking at a tight race, easy win Trump or landslide?I am assuming Biden's done.
(DIR) Post #A0JXe68RZw0fV3dYCu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:39:16Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@REX Thanks.At this point, my ballpark estimate for the General is the same as I wrote on October 7th:Trump Electoral Vote: 320-330Low end at 306Trump holds all of his 2016 states, with likely flips in MN and NH.I would add NV and ME as possible, but not likely – yet.My call on House - flip at 50-50
(DIR) Post #A0JXjmHqHsgDg8k1j6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:40:18Z
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@REX My call on Senate is 52-48, worst case, and 55-45, best case.Pickups: Certain in AL and increasingly likely in MI. John James is a strong candidate. The scale of Tuberville's landslide is the only question in AL.Losses: CO and possibly AZ, although McSally is rising in AZ. Collins, ME, has a slight edge to win
(DIR) Post #A0JXo4ZQFenLXh0p3g by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:41:05Z
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@REX However, these new numbers are changing the landscape so quickly that I am certain that I am under-estimating the GOP, but I don’t have enough data yet to know by how much or if it will continue.I am very conservative with data and estimates, so I will wait.
(DIR) Post #A0JXsAyiMvwsZgnbkG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:41:49Z
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@REX Regarding the Senate, MI is looking stronger than expected for Republicans. So, I would give John James a better than even chance of winning. He has been surging anyway.I am waiting for MN data. GOP Senate candidate Jason Lewis is my wild card for the Senate race, and Dem incumbent Tina Smith is not running a strong race.
(DIR) Post #A0JXyuHaqBp8ozq4Z6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:43:02Z
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@REX Florida starts early in person voting this week, so there should be plenty of data coming from there. I would like to look at NH data, but they do not have early voting. There is plenty of pro-Trump enthusiasm there. I am just south of the NH border, so I am hopeful.
(DIR) Post #A0JYQXZCtKkQTgFpLM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:48:00Z
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@REX My estimates are based on:Outstanding primary voting results for Trump, often setting records.Increase in GOP party registration.Trump's extremely high popularity and approval with Republicans and his voter base.The absence of a GOP challenger.Rally attendance, and the rallies in general, which have no precedence.Economic comeback.The absence of any of these strengths on the Democrat side
(DIR) Post #A0JYUTGsnv4SJVYdeq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:48:44Z
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@REX My estimates are based on:Outstanding primary voting results for Trump, often setting records.Increase in GOP party registration.Traditional incumbent advantageTrump's extremely high popularity and approval with Republicans and his voter base.The absence of a GOP challenger.Rally attendance, and the rallies in general, which have no precedence.Economic comeback.The absence of any of these strengths on the Democrat side
(DIR) Post #A0JYag93quZfyjrKPw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:49:52Z
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@Meeka You are welcome 👍
(DIR) Post #A0JYc8IkeZnnar5L16 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:50:08Z
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@MEMA Thanks for the comment. 👍
(DIR) Post #A0JYqDbNk8QU5RW2l6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:52:40Z
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@LawrenceRoberts Definitely yes. Important point. 👍 Most of this early voting information only measures voting by party affiliation. We already know there will be a significant cross-over from registered Democrats to vote for Trump. It happened in 2016 and will certainly happen on a wider scale this year.
(DIR) Post #A0JYtQzMQaqiTRGVGK by REX@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T08:53:15Z
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@timr Excellent.What about the impact of Biden scandal. Surely independents and perhaps some Dems will either not vote or maybe vote Trump.Possible? If so, what impact might that have.
(DIR) Post #A0JaArbCqOsPsiqFsG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:07:35Z
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@REX It is already hurting him. The Democrats are in a full throttle panic. Their wild response - which I admit has surprised me - indicates that they are terrified.
(DIR) Post #A0JaC9UDpCpBeEBo5w by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:07:51Z
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@REX Biden's return to his basement for five days, three weeks before the election, is a sign that they really are stunned. More Democrat self-destruction.And it is all just beginning. Giuliani is delivering the goods.The China connection especially is so serious that even the leftist media cannot shut it down.That is the one foreign policy issue where there are strong sentiments among a majority.
(DIR) Post #A0JaDSh7tYH9VhqkxE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:08:05Z
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@REX Biden's fraudulent nice-guy image has been collapsing in real time for months. He is cruel, hot-tempered and malicious and his temperament is on display.I don't know if it will result in many Trump votes, but will only further depress the Democrats' already passive and disinterested far-left and some moderates as well.
(DIR) Post #A0JaL3EMSA7sqt0w0e by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:09:27Z
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@REX Biden's return to his basement for five days, three weeks before the election, is a sign that they really are stunned. More Democrat self-destruction.The China connection especially is so serious that even the leftist media cannot shut it down.That is the one foreign policy issue where there are strong sentiments among a majority.
(DIR) Post #A0JaOxve6iXfZD7v4i by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:10:09Z
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@REXBiden's fraudulent nice-guy image has been collapsing in real time for months. He is cruel, hot-tempered and malicious and his temperament is on display.I don't know if it will result in many Trump votes, but will only further depress the Democrats' already passive and disinterested far-left and some moderates as well.
(DIR) Post #A0JaRMgD3RjAuU3CCW by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:10:36Z
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@REX And it is all just beginning. Giuliani is delivering the goods on Biden.
(DIR) Post #A0JcvLMohRsLQzP0vg by MEMA@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T09:38:25Z
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@timr Thank you for the information...
(DIR) Post #A0Jlq0CcrOO3vxACie by bwa_aptos@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T11:18:18Z
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@timr How do you count computer-controlled anti-USA-government-schooled youth? Those people are programmed at filling out ballots & turning them in by computer programs, unlike our generations. Furthermore, they're programmed to vote against human interests by those computers, not unlike our generation experienced TV, newspapers, & rock, but on a scale & thoroughness we've never experienced at that age (however we have been subject to similar computer programs on far less scale while older).
(DIR) Post #A0Js9eICd8mtUuWWbA by vmax71@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T12:29:04Z
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ToAt the very least the scandal is forcing the main@timr @REX At the very least the scandal is forcing the MSM/DNC to drain valuable resources fighting off the scandal rather that on the election...
(DIR) Post #A0JzkqF7rSm2xFlZiq by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T13:54:14Z
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@timr @REX I think the House flipping is dependent on the CA GOP finally playing the ballot harvesting game well and succeeding.
(DIR) Post #A0JzxStvxO4EKGsCtk by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T13:56:30Z
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@timr @REX What is Kamala Harris' schedule this week? Obama is supposedly going to campaign, but I haven't heard anything about where he's going to show up other than that it is in PA, and how many appearances.
(DIR) Post #A0KChj6nEGv3MZiJI8 by Martin@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T16:19:20Z
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@timr Can you expand on the "excellent news from Wisconsin", Tim? Thanks
(DIR) Post #A0KIUtyy5ZVh32K0J6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T17:24:15Z
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@Martin The post you reference t is part of a thread. The data is in the posts directly above. I will boost the posts with that information
(DIR) Post #A0KIWQ727DoYzGolvc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T17:24:32Z
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@Martin The post you reference is part of a thread. The data is in the posts directly above. I will boost the posts with that information
(DIR) Post #A0KIdySUod3nXMSWMC by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T13:57:57Z
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@vmax71Seems to me that is the game - death by a thousand cuts. @REX @timr
(DIR) Post #A0KIqNGiOlYxxVrTG4 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T17:28:08Z
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@lolajl @REX Harris is in Florida today. I thought she was in quarantine after staff members tested positive last week for covid.Apparently she changed her mind.Panic does have that effect.https://www.floridatoday.com/story/news/2020/10/19/democratic-vp-nominee-kamala-harris-campaigns-orlando/3708455001/
(DIR) Post #A0KJexvwLxta9VGftw by lolajl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T17:37:16Z
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@timr @REX Hmmm, so the rally is full of cars driven in. Who are they trying to fool?
(DIR) Post #A0KJiCvX4403WRcgfg by Martin@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T17:37:51Z
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@timr Thank you very much. Didn't realize it was on another part of the thread. Fantastic information.
(DIR) Post #A0KMx9crv4zTUTiCp6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T18:14:10Z
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@lolajl @REX It is pathetic. The Democrats' 'campaign' is a parody - beyond jokes.Biden did the same thing. He addressed a row of cars in a used car parking lot. Apparently those were empty.
(DIR) Post #A0KN0dWHES3r4aHzXM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T18:14:47Z
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@SpiceOfOurLife 👍
(DIR) Post #A0KN8U0uSVKxuKMJl2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T18:16:12Z
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@Martin You're welcome.I am updating that thread every couple of days as new data comes in.
(DIR) Post #A0KNMD7O4ZATYqw0VE by Martin@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T18:18:42Z
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@timr Fantastic. Hope the good news keep coming. It looks like it's going pretty well for GOP in the battlgrounds.
(DIR) Post #A0KNlKt4KBS0tcDZUO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T18:23:12Z
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@Martin So far, the news is very good for the GOP.
(DIR) Post #A0KUIwhZLqknSOFTyy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T19:36:33Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 early voting, VBM, the primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Florida looking good for the GOP.Data coming in fast. I will be catching up with details.But it is enough to say at this point that the Republicans are having a good day in Florida on the first day of early in person voting. A good day indeed.
(DIR) Post #A0KYNZ0ZGq2NElao1g by Martin@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T20:22:13Z
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@timr Agreed. I'd love to see NH and ME turnover. I have some personal reasons, but regardless of that, it would be a big one for the GOP.
(DIR) Post #A0KdWYhyFqu2gT0Dui by wziminer@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T21:19:52Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
@timr I voted in Texas yesterday.
(DIR) Post #A0KfgIraDjYMLVGz7A by SandyisGettingSteamed@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-19T21:44:01Z
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@timr @Martin I spoke with my niece who lives in Maryland. She has been anti-trump but she is voting for him.She said she still doesn’t like Trump, but she thinks Joe Biden is a pedophile and possibly corrupt.
(DIR) Post #A0L7OpdSQunzUV7hJ2 by Brildor61@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T02:54:36Z
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@timr I voted in Smith County, (Tyler), Texas today. Spoke with a R Volunteer canvasser outside the “zone”. He said they expected record early vote turnout. It’s running about 6,000 a day county wide. Very busy at my location....
(DIR) Post #A0LFIqubZbNdLVnsTQ by oystergirl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T04:23:10Z
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@timr of course they should have learned their lesson. Let's hope they FINALLY HAVE! GREAT thread by the way! Thanks for all the data! I can't wait for October 24 and early voting IN PERSON in NY! I would LOVE to flip this state RED!
(DIR) Post #A0LGkhQ4Yk9Dy5Mepc by oystergirl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T04:39:24Z
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@wziminer @timr Thank you Wzi! Hope your trip went well! ❤️
(DIR) Post #A0LHQa26Pf49Dn7gWW by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T04:46:58Z
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@REX @timr Yes, thank you Tim!!
(DIR) Post #A0LJ6hJJqRHluRp52O by Mongo3804@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T05:05:48Z
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@wziminer @timr Me and my wife voted thursday in texas. Trump 2020 landslide. My 88 year old dad has been a dem his whole life. He hasn't voted in the last 3 presidential elections but he voted for trump too
(DIR) Post #A0LKwfEKvNnGTBpsHI by MEMA@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T05:26:23Z
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@Mongo3804 @wziminer @timr I bet you feel pretty proud of your father for making a decision because he's man enough to change his mind and life long habits for the Country he loves, instead of stick with old habits at the expense of the Country he loves... I'm damn proud of him too Mike... I'd feel real privileged if you'd give him a handshake for me, and a "GOD bless" to boot brother.. ❤
(DIR) Post #A0LP6o33OTewWyeMF6 by BigEd@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T06:13:01Z
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@timr Since your such of fan of primary voting and voter enthusiasm, could you comment on Helmut Norpoth’s projection/model. He claims 25/27 on presidential races. https://news.stonybrook.edu/facultystaff/maverick-modeller-helmut-norpoth-predicts-another-win-for-trump/
(DIR) Post #A0LwkGW4mTU2bWeFXc by RattlerGator@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T12:29:56Z
1 likes, 3 repeats
@timr Well, that's good news but it certainly doesn't strike me as bizarre. I expect *most* places that voted for Trump to do so again by higher margins.
(DIR) Post #A0Mjc420DBQDJtIgVM by Mongo3804@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T21:37:29Z
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@MEMA I certainly will and thank you!@wziminer @timr
(DIR) Post #A0Ml6Q8MhOngVmJcOG by MEMA@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T21:54:10Z
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@Mongo3804 @wziminer @timr ❤🙏🏻
(DIR) Post #A0MvilV0i8f5JvpY0W by SalvajeUnitario@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T23:53:10Z
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@timr we are waiting for the news from Florida.
(DIR) Post #A0MvmX4AJYE7iR4PeS by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-20T23:53:51Z
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@SalvajeUnitario It's been a busy day. I am catching up
(DIR) Post #A0MwVRmknM66MvLKfQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:01:58Z
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@Martin There's no way to know about ME and NH until election day as neither state has early voting.I think NH has a better than even chance of going for Trump. The whole state of Maine is a hard job. Those last two or three points are an obstacle.I don't yet know if the GOP's strong early voting performance is being repeated here.
(DIR) Post #A0MwYTVCrrleYwZyPw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:02:31Z
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@Martin One of many local encouraging anecdotes: Just heard from family friends that there is a Trump car parade in Gloucester, MA this Saturday. 160 cars, so far. Two towns north of me.
(DIR) Post #A0MwZGltgbEXMtlUjg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:02:40Z
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@Martin Plenty of opposition from the mayor, who has taken over the town park that day for free covid testing. That is where the parade is starting. Those Democrats sure are a miserable bunch. That is their idea of a good time.Still - a Trump parade in Gloucester after the boat parade.I have to keep reminding myself that this is Massachusetts.
(DIR) Post #A0MwbJ6TzEZDBEMiJc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:03:01Z
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@Martin Plenty of opposition from the mayor of Gloucester, who has taken over the town park that day for free covid testing. That is where the parade is starting. Those Democrats sure are a miserable bunch. That is their idea of a good time.Still - a Trump parade in Gloucester after the boat parade.I have to keep reminding myself that this is Massachusetts.
(DIR) Post #A0Mwlm8isyz287PAPY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:04:56Z
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@SandyisGettingSteamed @Martin So many voters are switching to Trump who would never consider him in 2016.I know four of them myself
(DIR) Post #A0MwpH2AThg4od0Uoy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:05:33Z
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@Brildor61 Texas is on a roll.
(DIR) Post #A0Mx71jo5UBYaVssYi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:08:45Z
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@oystergirl Thanks. Flipping NY and MA would stun the world. I am looking to the future as the political landscape changes. The ground is shifting every day. I can't see it happening this year but I am hopeful for House flips.Would like to see Max Rose get tossed out of NY #11 and flip it back to the GOP. One of the top House races to watch
(DIR) Post #A0MxQDDLdtIZgRqlBA by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:12:14Z
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@Mongo3804 @wziminer Outstanding Mike. Good for you and your Dad. 👍
(DIR) Post #A0Mxc5hbOiojrPfJWC by MaureenQueen@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:14:22Z
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@Mongo3804 @wziminer @timr I voted in Uber-corrupt Harris County on Thursday @ NRG where I am working on verifying signatures on mail-in ballots. 🇺🇸
(DIR) Post #A0MyD0skHYoZcpU2BE by Movietime_Blues@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:21:03Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
@timr I'm also early voting in NY.It can't be a coincidence that the so-called debate commission wants to strike foreign policy from the list of topics when we see rapid changes in the Middle East, when it can only help us by allowing us to withdraw most of our armed forces over time.These ppl are so insane to even want troops in harms way in perpetuity.
(DIR) Post #A0MyROtHobG48ob3rc by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:23:39Z
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@BigEd Norptuth is the Man. The best in his fieldI started becoming interested in political stats and following elections in 2008. Data and research are central to my work - my hobbies often involve themBut polls are too speculative for me. They seem more like corrupt leftist fortune tellers who tell their audience what they want to hear and pay no price for being wrong. They are too emotional and dramatic as well.
(DIR) Post #A0MyT4ABqkyqR4IW0m by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:23:57Z
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@BigEd (However, Senate and House polls are sometimes exceptions and there are three national pollsters who are excellent)Norputh focuses on what voters actually do. That allowed me an open door to looking at election data as a hobby. His model can be tested against any election where data is available and he only missed in 1960 and 2000, by a very small margin in two exceptional years.
(DIR) Post #A0MydAtBhMvsBuAI3k by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:25:47Z
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@BigEd I focus also on registration as well, which is a major story and I think the biggest untold story of the election year.Also - the absence of a challenger is vital. Ted Kennedy crushed what was left of Carter in 1980 and Buchanan hobbled George Bush Sr in 1992 well before Clinton and Perot and Bush's own failings.Trump has no GOP competition.Norputh is more optimistic than I am about the electoral total. He is the Man, though, and a professional - and he really knows his work.
(DIR) Post #A0MzwekgzbwmGX2qDA by saramangas@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:40:30Z
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@Mongo3804 @wziminer @timr Congratulations Mike!🇺🇸👍🇺🇸
(DIR) Post #A0N0Fi6Uku7IA9KQeu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:43:57Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@RattlerGator Texas is vital. If the GOP loses Texas, the White House is blocked. It was reasonable to expect Trump will do well, but this is the first genuine evidence.
(DIR) Post #A0N0H1efYAa75awMfg by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:44:12Z
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@RattlerGator Also, the GOP is not just doing well. These early numbers suggest a far stronger showing than in 2016.Trump won over Hillary by 6. The GOP spread in the last two days has averaged 9, and of course that is only official party affiliation and does not include Dem crossovers.
(DIR) Post #A0N0IR5GUWY8FH3Khk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:44:27Z
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@RattlerGator Texas is red but their booming economy has attracted many Californians and other blue state people. There is the concern that they will turn the state purple eventually. As of now, that looks unlikely which is good news.
(DIR) Post #A0N1TyDNkev88eugnw by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T00:57:44Z
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@MaureenQueen @Mongo3804 @wziminer Outstanding 👍
(DIR) Post #A0OLHhibS3nbk4uB9c by RonOgletree@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T16:14:19Z
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@timr @RattlerGator You are making a HUGE cause and effect ASSUMPTION.How many of those people were and are those who are republicans or center right independents who had enough?
(DIR) Post #A0OLqvmLASU1U7S0C8 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T16:20:41Z
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@RonOgletree @RattlerGator Precisely the opposite.It is because I did not make assumptions that I waited to comment on that issue. I waited for what appears to be evidence.In past years and in other states, that has been the pattern.It is possible that that might be the case in Texas. Now, it appears that is not the case.Considering possibilities based on previous patterns of behavior are not the same as making assumptions. No assumptions were made
(DIR) Post #A0OLw0J9ktJ2ypDdwG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T16:21:37Z
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@RonOgletree @RattlerGator Precisely the opposite.It is because I did not make assumptions that I waited to comment on that issue. I waited for what appears to be evidence.In past years and in other states, that has been the pattern.I considered the possibility that that this might be the case in Texas ow, it appears that is not the case.Considering possibilities based on previous patterns of behavior are not the same as making assumptions. No assumptions were made
(DIR) Post #A0OLyuNeFZqtSshlvk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-21T16:22:08Z
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@RonOgletree @RattlerGator Precisely the opposite.It is because I did not make assumptions that I waited to comment on that issue. I waited for what appears to be evidence.In past years and in other states, that has been the pattern.I considered the possibility that that this might be the case in Texas as well. It appears that is not the case.Considering possibilities based on previous patterns of behavior are not the same as making assumptions. No assumptions were made
(DIR) Post #A0PZpObcbxJYpNYjYG by oystergirl@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-22T06:31:59Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr I live one district over from Lee Zeldin. I wish he was my guy!
(DIR) Post #A0TmloGhKgStISESqe by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T07:15:51Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Note - I have divided this thread into two parts now, because there are so many posts.A new thread starting with today's Florida numbers is pinned on my tweets.This earlier thread will continue. I will add to both.
(DIR) Post #A0TmwivrVp3lvsgsrY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T07:17:49Z
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Updated information today from Wisconsin's early numbers continue to show steady strength with a GOP lead.Wisconsin:
(DIR) Post #A0TnbAcPzhiTNqslkm by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T07:25:09Z
0 likes, 3 repeats
Updated information today from Wisconsin's early voting and VBM numbers continue to show steady strength, with a consistent GOP lead.Wisconsin:
(DIR) Post #A0Tp5ZqgqyCiH8cYsq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T07:41:50Z
0 likes, 4 repeats
Also, good news from Georgia in early voting, with the GOP maintaining a solid lead.It should be pointed out again that the Dems almost always lead in early voting in the majority of states.Georgia:
(DIR) Post #A0TpPB9qMcSNUNvVvE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T07:45:23Z
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Michigan is the source for continued good news. During the last two days, we have seen John James continue to surge in the Senate race.Now, last week's strong early voting showing is continuing for the GOP:Michigan:
(DIR) Post #A0U5QzVp1znHtgQKGW by Brildor61@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T10:44:59Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@timr You’re damn right it will!
(DIR) Post #A0UFEZUuvTvPHTiVlI by Gmajv@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T12:34:47Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr going to knock on doors for John James soon. So excited he’s surging. He’s a phenomenal man. Solid. Don’t detect any BS when I’ve interacted with him a few times. If he wins I see a big future for JJ & America will benefit!
(DIR) Post #A0UH0f5PYDPcT4HWgy by Bunniesmommy@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-24T12:54:41Z
0 likes, 2 repeats
@timr Carlos linked this story to explain "lead"...A majority of Joe Biden (D) supporters say they have already cast their ballots, while just a quarter of President Trump supporters have done the same, a Change Research/CNBC Poll released this week found.Fifty-three percent of Biden supporters have already cast their ballot, either via mail or in early voting. In comparison, 25 percent of Trump voters say they have already cast their ballots...https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/23/poll-majority-biden-voters-say-already-cast-ballot/
(DIR) Post #A0WpPjIonVQVXdb6vo by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-25T18:29:37Z
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@Gmajv 👍 Yes, the combination of James' strong campaign and good numbers for Trump and the GOP in MI look good
(DIR) Post #A0WpUnElb0l7C07JD6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-25T18:30:32Z
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@Bunniesmommy Thanks for posting this - important information
(DIR) Post #A0WtJGUHPzTgFh8DLc by HunDriverWidow@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-25T19:13:16Z
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@Bunniesmommy @timr There's no guarantee that a RAT voted, indeed, voted RAT.
(DIR) Post #A0fuGu05nYebT8MNkG by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T03:36:27Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 early voting, VBM, the primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Numbers from Wisconsin, based on party affiliation, as of today.Excellent numbers for the GOP again.Also, take note of the percentage of voters in the 18-29.Only 5%. This reflects the absence of college activism that brings De, students to the polls. College campuses are either shut down or partially open.Also - no enthusiasm for Biden in that group
(DIR) Post #A0fuJKXy4QsWNdMYN6 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T03:36:53Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 early voting, VBM, the primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:Numbers from Wisconsin, based on party affiliation, as of today.Excellent numbers for the GOP again.Also, take note of the percentage of voters in the 18-29.Only 5%. This reflects the absence of college activism that brings Dem students to the polls. College campuses are either shut down or partially open.Also - no enthusiasm for Biden in that group
(DIR) Post #A0fx7enxE5afb1xvoe by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T04:08:24Z
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@timr It's going to be glorious to see that Dems shutting down schools actually backfires on them.Much like the whole COVID bullshit. 😂
(DIR) Post #A0hBfOi9A4pM2qBxxY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:26:05Z
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Ongoing thread on Republican voter turnout in the 2020 early voting, VBM, the primary season and special elections, and voter enthusiasm:This is a follow-up to a series of posts I made on this thread several months ago about the effects of the shutdown on the college and university voting population - and the negative impact on the Democrats.
(DIR) Post #A0hBgTmjmXJG4Tr4uu by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:26:16Z
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Larry Schweikart, historian and pundit, pioneered this theme during the summer. It has since been picked up by the media. He turned out to be right.
(DIR) Post #A0hBn6sdL9Ed3mm5fU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:27:28Z
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Democrats turned covid into a plague and responded with paranoid hysteria – including the shutdown of campuses across the country. They also made it impossible for voters to gather in large groups, either in recruiting events or in planned groups of voters going to the polls together.Democrats focus on group events and collective activity far more than Republicans do.This includes voting and party recruitment
(DIR) Post #A0hBsD7nYB7vsKIfB2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:28:22Z
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Students are overwhelmingly leftist. The result has been collapse of the college age vote, and this is showing up now, in early turnout across the country.
(DIR) Post #A0hBz4LIbJSCfGswj2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:29:38Z
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Schweikart’s initial estimate was for a drop of 30-40% in that voter group. He has since update his estimate sharply higher to a drop of two thirds of the college age vote. They vote @70% Democrat.His initial estimate was of a loss of 1-1.5 million. He has now updated that to a potential total loss of 2.5 million college age voters.@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude
(DIR) Post #A0hCGrFm0LPvHXmbkO by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:32:51Z
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@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude Here are some specifics for a few keys states where large state schools have an outsized impact on voting results.Many thanks to TopTradeGuru for sifting through and collating the pertinent data on their site:
(DIR) Post #A0hCLuEsKdg5zOloIq by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:33:45Z
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@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude “As Democratic strategists pore over early numbers, a clear and unexpected trend is emerging: The lock-downs is suppressing the college vote. On college campuses across America, during a normal election year, many of the social events are tied to campaign events for mostly Democratic candidates. Not this year with COVID-19 lock-downs.”@redwhitebluedude @mrbungle @umad80
(DIR) Post #A0hCVFwqzDt7vSnbjk by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:35:27Z
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@timr @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude college students need people to tell them what to do and organize for them.
(DIR) Post #A0hCZsByjpvHhC4j1E by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:36:17Z
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@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude More from TopTradeGuru on the devastating impact of campus shutdowns on Democrat turnout.Also - note that most of this data includes the college age group within the larger 18-29 groups, so the impact is much larger for the smaller 18-24 age bracket, as a percentage
(DIR) Post #A0hCaiQeWWYfhlLB6u by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:36:26Z
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@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude “In, Philadelphia, home to Temple U, Drexel, UPenn and LaSalle Univ, the 18-29 vote has gone from 23.1% in 2016 to 12.5% in 2018, to 11.7% in 2020.”
(DIR) Post #A0hChsAihJd9wvIiv2 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:37:43Z
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Consider these numbers in light of what we have been seeing in WI early voter turnout, which has been strong for the GOP overall.“In Dane county, WI, home to UW Madison and one of America’s most liberal college towns, the 18-29 vote has declined from 8.0% in 2016 to 7.3% in 2020. This came as a big surprise. WI youth vote was expected to be energized.”
(DIR) Post #A0hCltMMDvtIn7f280 by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:38:27Z
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Now here are numbers from North Carolina:“In Durham county, NC, home to Duke & North Carolina State University, the 18-29 vote has actually declined from 15.8% in 2016 to 14.5% in 2020. In the entire NC state, the youth vote declined from 12.4% in 2016 to 9.4% now”
(DIR) Post #A0hCpXIcBZBNWxeEfg by Mongo3804@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:39:06Z
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@timr Thank you so much for all the work you put into this thread. I thoroughly enjoy this thread! 👍👍@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude
(DIR) Post #A0hD54fyNF43OGyzHE by JM@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:41:55Z
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@timr Thank you Tim. 💕
(DIR) Post #A0hE2x31rd736iJoZM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:52:45Z
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@redwhitebluedude 😎
(DIR) Post #A0hE6NTy2OcxxeYJzU by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:53:22Z
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@Mongo3804 @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude Thanks 👍
(DIR) Post #A0hEN1li1S11XWn3vE by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:56:22Z
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@redwhitebluedude @mrbungle @umad80 The vast majority will not even think about voting.And no MA college voters trundling over the border to Nashua to vote as 'temporary residents'. The new law stops them, and they aren't there anyway. 👍
(DIR) Post #A0hEXDvTfxLw8qDmtM by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T18:58:12Z
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@JM 👍
(DIR) Post #A0hFEufWdREV9qandA by strangeorbits@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:06:06Z
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@timr .....and riots
(DIR) Post #A0hFaqY6dHO0kfa4si by Wow@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:10:03Z
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@timr @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude ah a shot in the foot 😂
(DIR) Post #A0hFi3npkoZBstNRxI by Wow@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:11:21Z
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@redwhitebluedude @timr @mrbungle @umad80 😂
(DIR) Post #A0hGATS7yw9ZXolzkW by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:16:30Z
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@timr When hiden loses, will this be the largest error in history for the polls?
(DIR) Post #A0hGAjxCdAW8ipR2PI by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:16:33Z
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@strangeorbits Riots and looting are the exceptions. Those are collective activities that still unite Democrats
(DIR) Post #A0hGiwgBp8Aa2GmtrE by Lucia@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:22:44Z
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@timr So the Dem hysteria had the unitended consequence of suppressing young leftist voters. Quite remarkable!@mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude
(DIR) Post #A0hGopzHcLJr1BWnnE by rarity@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:23:48Z
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@timr Thank you!
(DIR) Post #A0hHHO2KcJScjCZEHY by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:28:57Z
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@watch4thedrop The Hillary polls were similar. These late polls for Biden are more extreme because the left are openly afraid. In 2016, they still had their insolent confidence.
(DIR) Post #A0hHKrpiI5i80cKCbQ by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:29:36Z
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@watch4thedrop The 2014 midterms were an under-rated fiasco for leftist pollsters. The GOP had a net gain of 9 seats.Nate Silver, leftist wunderkind, predicted we would not even flip the senate. We ended up with 54https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-republicans-win-the-senate-in-2014/
(DIR) Post #A0hHQtV50NQiuvY0Mi by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:30:41Z
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@rarity You're welcome 👍
(DIR) Post #A0hHcHGyxXe7peNiPQ by mrbungle@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:32:44Z
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@Lucia @timr @umad80 @redwhitebluedude So dumb.
(DIR) Post #A0hI26GeV1fVEFXYfY by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:37:25Z
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@timr jeebuz. how does this clown still have a job?
(DIR) Post #A0hI4mVGRHzUndeZUW by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:37:54Z
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@timr incredible how many stupid people in this country that will fall for the same trick twice.
(DIR) Post #A0hIHglD6O5mklGbPk by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:40:13Z
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@watch4thedrop Two reasons:1) He called Obama's electoral wins in 2008 and 2012.2) He tells leftists what they want to hear. He is one of their most reliable suppliers.Most of his 2018 Senate calls were also flops
(DIR) Post #A0hIvQBc8xgUvtYy1I by watch4thedrop@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-30T19:47:24Z
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@timr I never heard of him till 2016 but sounds like he just predicts democrats win every cycle
(DIR) Post #A0hhE7nT8YWUIiijmC by Momma_Voke@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-31T00:19:41Z
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@timr @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude Great thread. I wonder what the data is for the college vote in Virginia.
(DIR) Post #A0i2lqDP6rtkehlnfM by umad80@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-31T04:21:06Z
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@Wow @timr @mrbungle @redwhitebluedude Right? How effin' funny is this! They did these shutdowns to hurt Trump's chances, and instead it boomeranged and they are the ones being hurt by it. 😂
(DIR) Post #A0i5KWPcvbF7HX9TZg by Lisa22@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-31T04:49:47Z
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@Mongo3804 @timr @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude Yes, thank you! I always enjoy your threads!!
(DIR) Post #A0jYKKeHkxFmcuEJiy by timr@social.quodverum.com
2020-10-31T21:49:24Z
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@Lisa22 @Mongo3804 @mrbungle @umad80 @redwhitebluedude You're welcome 👍