Subj : Re: President Trump
To   : Ron L.
From : Aaron Thomas
Date : Sun Jun 01 2025 04:18 pm

 RL> But we have to beware of confirmational bias here.
 RL> 
 RL> Example:
 RL> A teacher hears a child in her class sneeze.  The next day, 5 kids in
 RL> the class are sick.  To the teacher, that's confirmation that viruses
 RL> exist and are contageous.
 RL> 
 RL> But that confirmation is biased because the teacher has ignored the
 RL> hundred other times that a child sneezed and **no** kids got sick. 
 RL> Because it was a non-event, while 5 children out sick at once was
 RL> something that stuck in the teacher's head.

Whenever possible, it's good to use the pychology to your advantage. A kid sneezed? Just say to yourself "It's allergies."

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