Subj : Biggest Crash Ever!
To   : Gerhard Strangar
From : Lee Lofaso
Date : Sun Apr 19 2020 02:26 am

Hello Gerhard,

>DC>I think you're really reaching to try and support your
>DC>unsupportable position that COVID-19 hasn't killed anyone
>DC>who was young and otherwise healthy.
>
>Here's some other numbers:
>
>Country    population    Mortality of those
>            tested        tested positive
>
>France      0.51%        12.8%
>Germany     2.09%         2.8%
>Iceland    10.27%         0.5%
>
>Which could extrapolate to
>           50.00%         0.1%
>          100.00%         0.05%
>
>That would sum up to just as many victims as in the flu season of 2017/2018.

The director of WHO says the coronavirus is 10x more contagious
than the seasonal flu.  That is an understatement, as evidence shows
it to be up to 50x more contagious than the seasonal flu.

But I am not going to quibble about the numbers, or about who
is right about what.

During the 2018-19 flu season, about 35 million people in the USA
contracted flu and about 34,000 died.  That is about 1 ouf of 1,000.
Or about 0.01% - as claimed by the CDC.

Broken down by age groups -
Children          1 out of 10,000
Adult age 50-64   6 out of 10,000
Adult age 65+    83 out of 10,000

About 10% of US COVID-19 patients over age 85 have died.

Both groups (flu and COVID-19) most fatal in people over 65 years.

Coronavirus is 5x to 10x more deadly than the flu for those between
the ages of 0 and 45.

Coronavirus is 12.5x more deadly than the flu for those over age 85.

Overall, the coronavirus is 4.7x more deadly than the seasonal flu.

Global -
0.1% of people who get the seasonal flu die
4.7% of people who get COVID-19 die

Broken down by country the numbers of deaths due to COVID-19
will differ.  That is why there is wide disparagy between some
countries/regions.

Let's look at Spanish Flu -

Beginning of pandemic March 1918
Global cases          500 million
Global deaths         50 million (675,000 in USA)
Transmission          Respiratory droplets
Most affected         age 20-40
Treatments            None
Vaccines              None
End of pandemic       Summer 1919

Let's look at seasonal flu -

Global cases          9% of population (1 billion, 5 million severe)
Global deaths         between 291,000 and 646,000 (death rate ~0.1%)
Transmission          Respiratory droplets
Most affected         Older adults
Treatments            antiviral medications
Vaccines              many
End of pandemic       seasonal

One-third of the world population was infected by the Spanish Flu.
Over 50 million people died as a result of having been infected.
How many people do you think will become infected, and die, as a
result of COVID-19?

That is a number too high for me to even contemplate.
I find that number too high as it is.  But it is the reality
we live in.  So we must deal with it, or learn how, the best
way we can.

--Lee

-- 
Get Her Wet Here

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