Subj : Pandemic
To   : Ryan Fantus
From : Lee Lofaso
Date : Wed Mar 18 2020 02:09 pm

Hello Ryan,

>LL>Not gonna happen, my man.  We gonna die.  Some of us fast,
>LL>some of us slow.  But we all gonna die.
>
>They're going to have to be abstemious when it comes to triage. "Nobody over
> 80 gets a bed, sorry." Sad reality.

That is what they are doing in Italy now.  Many with beds in ICU
are merely sedated, nothing else being done for them, except waiting
for them to die so as to have another bed open for somebody else.
Once a day, doctors call next of kin to let them know, as no visitors
are allowed.

Without an ICU bed, a patient has no respirator, and cannot breathe.
There are only so many ICU beds available in Italy.  And the US has
only a few more ICU beds available than Italy.  Do the math.

The normal mortality rate in ICU in Italy was 12 to 16%.
Now it is 50%.  Hospitals (and ICU beds) in the USA are in
dire straits here as in Italy.  The mortality rate will be
roughly the same ratio of 50%.  For those who are lucky
enough to get an ICU bed.

We may be better off taking our chances by staying at home
and hope never to get sick, or hope to recover without the need
for an ICU bed.  Just be sure to have a quick exit available
if things really go south fast.

--Lee

-- 
Our Nuts, Your Mouth

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