Subj : Re: Pandemic
To   : Lee Lofaso
From : Dan Cross
Date : Wed Mar 18 2020 08:50 am

On 17 Mar 2020 at 09:02p, Lee Lofaso pondered and said...
 
 LL> Funny thing is the CDC used your math as its own basis to
 LL> determine how many people would likely die in the US as a result
 LL> of the coronavirus, at a kill rate of 1% of infected people.
 LL> So you know what the CDC's answer was?  1.7 million dead.
 LL> Just in the USA.

The IFR (Infection-Fatality Rate) varies across locations
in accordance to how developed healthcare infrastructure is
in the location, capacity, etc.  In Italy it went through
the roof once they ran out of hospital space and could no
longer effectively treat people.  1% is about right for the
US.

--- Mystic BBS v1.12 A46 2020/03/12 (Windows/32)
 * Origin: Agency BBS | Dunedin, New Zealand | agency.bbs.nz (3:770/100)

.