Subj : Fat Lady Singing To : All From : Lee Lofaso Date : Sat Dec 28 2019 08:29 pm Hello Everybody, "It's STILL the economy, stupid!" ~Lee Lofaso Although "The Trump Base" may not have heard her yet, The Fat Lady is singing. And the closer it gets to Election Day, the louder and louder she will be singing. Oh, what a beautiful song that is. The sound of Sweet Liberty ... Where The Orange One is now: a job approval rating in the low 40s. Fact #1: Since WWII, only two presidents have had an approval rating at or below 45% in mid-March of an election year - * George HW Bush, at 39% * Jimmy Carter, at 45% Both went on to glorious defeat (by greater than 5 points). Jimmy Carter made is special by getting a mere 49 electoral votes. Fact #2: There have been five presidents with a job approval rating of 55% or above - * Bill Clinton, at 55% * Ronald Reagan, at 55% * Richard Nixon, at 58% * Dwight Eisenhower, at 72% * Lyndon Johnson, at 80% All of these presidents won their elections by 9 points or greater. Fact #3: There have been four presidents with a job approval rating between 46% and 54% - * Barack Obama, at 47% * George W. Bush, at 49% * Harry Truman, at 51% * Gerald Ford, at 47% All of their elections were decided by less than 5 points, with only Ford not winning. What does this say about the prospects for Donald J. Trump to win a second term in office? Fact #4: No president since WWII has won a second term with a job approval rating of below 45% in mid-March of an election year. This means time is almost up for Donald J. Trump. If it turns out that economic performance is really going to boost his job approval ratings to a second term, we should all start seeing lots of evidence of that in his job approval rating. IOW, if his job approval rating stays where it is or declines, he is in trouble. Big trouble. Even if the economy keeps on going like his supporters claim it is. --Lee -- We Put Big Loads In Tight Places --- MesNews/1.08.05.00-gb * Origin: nntp://rbb.fidonet.fi - Lake Ylo - Finland (2:221/360.0) .