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### Viewing cable 07DUBAI355, DUBAI RULER DISCUSSES IRAN AND IRAQ WITH SENATOR LIEBERMAN

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Reference ID | Date | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | ---
07DUBAI355 | 2007-06-03 11:11 | SECRET | Consulate Dubai

`

    VZCZCXRO3701
    RR RUEHBC RUEHDIR RUEHIHL RUEHKUK
    DE RUEHDE #0355/01 1541114
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    R 031114Z JUN 07
    FM AMCONSUL DUBAI
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5452
    INFO RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE
    RUEHZM/GCC C COLLECTIVE
    RUEHAD/AMEMBASSY ABU DHABI 2461
    RHEHAAA/NSC WASHINGTON DC
    RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC
    RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC
    RUEHDE/AMCONSUL DUBAI 8545

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 DUBAI 000355

    SIPDIS

    SIPDIS

    E.O. 12958: DECL:  6/3/2017
    TAGS: PREL PGOV PINS KNNP IR IZ AE
    SUBJECT: DUBAI RULER DISCUSSES IRAN AND IRAQ WITH SENATOR LIEBERMAN

    DUBAI 00000355  001.2 OF 003

    CLASSIFIED BY: Paul R Sutphin, Consul General, Dubai, UAE.
    REASON: 1.4 (b), (d)

    1.(S) SUMMARY.  Senator Joseph Lieberman met with Sheikh
    Mohammad bin Rashid Al Maktoum (MbR), Vice President and Prime
    Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, on 29 May.  MbR voiced
    support for US policy in Iraq, but expressed strong reservations
    about the al Maliki government and its links to Iran.  He called
    for new elections to produce leaders who would work for Iraq's
    interests. He voiced suspicion of Iran's goals in the region,
    and their claims that their nuclear program was for energy
    purposes alone.  He recommended, however, that the US seek to
    contain Iran through negotiations and diplomacy. Using force, he
    said, would only help the current leadership stay in power. MbR
    also talked about his ambitions for Dubai as a regional model,
    noting "we want to be number one." END SUMMARY

    2.(SBU) Senator Lieberman, along with the Ambassador, Consul
    General, codel staff members and ConGen staff met MbR at the
    Zabeel Palace in Dubai on 29 May.  Joining MbR were Mohammad
    al-Gergawi, his principal aide and UAE Minister for Cabinet
    Affairs; Major General Dhahi Khalfan al-Tamim, Commander of the
    Dubai Police; Brigadier Mohammad al-Qemzi, Director of the Dubai
    General Department of State Security; Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed
    al-Maktoum, head of Dubai Civil aviation and Emirates Airlines;
    and a number of MbR's sons, including Sheikh Rashid bin
    Mohammad, Sheikh Mohammad's eldest son; and Sheikh Hamdan bin
    Mohammad, Chairman of the Dubai Executive Council and Sheikh
    Mohammad's heir apparent.

    Iraq:  Any plan B?
    ------------------

    3.(C) MbR restated the UAE's support for the US in the region,
    noting "the UAE is the only country that is 100 percent with the
    US." MbR said UAE support for the US effort remained firm, but
    asked what is "plan B" should the current US approach not
    stabilize Iraq. Senator Lieberman quoted the Chairman of the
    Joint Chiefs of Staff as saying "plan B is to make plan A work."

    Alternative Approaches: New Elections in Iraq?
    --------------------------------------------- -

    4.(S) Asked by the Senator for his advice on steps to move the
    situation in Iraq forward, MbR commented that he has little
    confidence in Iraqi PM al Maliki, and believes his loyalties lie
    elsewhere, i.e. Iran.  MbR suggested the way ahead would be
    improved by new elections, which he believes would now yield a
    better leader who is loyal to Iraq. Senator Lieberman noted he
    thought that al Maliki and his allies would oppose new elections.

    The Problem of Al-Sadr
    ----------------------

    5.(S) MbR said that at the moment Muqtada al-Sadr is the single
    most powerful person in Iraq; the US should act against him,
    i.e. arrest and imprison him.  Asked if new elections might not
    yield a al-Sadr victory, MbR made clear he thought Sunnis would
    now turn out in large numbers and that al-Sadr would not be able
    to win - were the election fair.  (Comment: Reflecting
    commonly-held thinking by UAE seniors, he clearly implied that
    al-Maliki had been elected through rigging in the last Iraqi
    vote.  End comment.)

    Progress in Anbar Province: Look to the Tribes
    --------------------------------------------- -

    6.(C) Commenting on the improved security situation in western
    Iraq, MbR voiced strong support for closer cooperation with the
    tribal sheikhs.  As has been proven, if the tribal leaders can
    be co-opted to work with the US, they have the ability to defeat
    or suppress Al-Qaeda.  He stressed the importance of working
    with the tribes without regard to their being Sunni or Shia.

    Sheikh Mohammad on Iran
    -----------------------

    7.(C) Senator Lieberman asked MbR for his views on Iran and US
    policies vis-`-vis Iran.  MbR stated Iran is a large country
    with great ambitions, a historic sense of its importance, and a
    desire to dominate the region culturally and politically. Iran
    has a long-term strategy for the region, and would like to
    recreate the Persian Empire and spread Shi'a Islam throughout
    area. Rehearsing themes often heard by US senior visitors, MbR
    said Iran "can make trouble throughout the region" if it is

    DUBAI 00000355  002.2 OF 003

    provoked.  While he suggested that Iran is the cause of the
    deteriorating situations in Afghanistan and Iraq, he also noted
    that Iran could make the situation in Afghanistan, for example,
    "explode" should chose to do so.

    Iran Promises a Peaceful Nuclear Program
    ----------------------------------------

    8.(C) MbR told the Senator that the UAE does not want Iran to
    acquire nuclear weapons. He said that during the recent visit of
    Iranian President Ahmadinejad to the UAE that the Iranians had
    promised their nuclear program is only to help meet domestic
    energy needs -- quipping "how much can we believe what the
    Iranians say is another question."  MbR seemed perplexed about
    the work of the IAEA inspectors and believed that they could
    provide an objective view of the program.  Senator Lieberman
    reminded MbR that Iran has blocked the inspectors and they have
    only been able to conclude that Iran will have the capacity to
    produce enriched uranium on a sufficient scale to either
    generate power or create a nuclear weapon within the next three
    to eight years.

    Negotiations - the Best Course of Action
    ----------------------------------------

    9.(C) MbR and the Senator briefly discussed the recent meeting
    in Baghdad between the US and Iran.  MbR saw this as a very
    positive move, recommending negotiations as the best way forward
    with Iran.  He said that threatening Iran encourages the Iranian
    leaders to be defiant.  Iranians are proud and the current
    extremist leadership would not only endure, but benefit from an
    attack by the US. Such attacks would ensure the continuing power
    of the current government (note: presumable by rallying all
    Iranians behind it in the face of a foreign enemy).

    10.(C) Senator Lieberman commented would maintain the stick even
    while it considered the carrot, and that the two carrier battle
    groups now in the Gulf were sending a message to Iran.  MbR
    responded that everyone in the region knows the US is powerful
    and can fight two wars simultaneously.  He said that part of the
    problem "is the way you (the US) talk."  After making a demand,
    "you (the US) should take two steps back before your next
    action."  Everyone in the region needs to avoid the dangerous
    cycle of action and reaction.  The Israeli-Palestinian problem
    has worsened because actions are followed immediately by
    reactions without thought.

    11.(S) Brigadier Mohammad al-Qemzi, who heads State Security in
    Dubai added that the Iranians are traditionally great game
    players.  He said that the US should play the game of
    negotiation and diplomacy (to contain Iran) rather than engaging
    in hostilities.  Al-Qemzi recommended working for the longer
    term, and believes that there will be a cultural and leadership
    change in Iran -- over time, Iran would change for the better.

    UAE Support for Counter Proliferation
    -------------------------------------

    12.(S) MbR reiterated the UAE's continued support of the US'
    counter proliferation efforts in the region.  Brigadier al-Qemzi
    added that the previous day and in the previous week the UAE had
    stopped Iranian vessels at US request suspected of carrying
    goods proscribed by the UN sanctions regime.  The UAE, he said,
    would continue to work with us to stringently enforce UN
    sanctions.

    Dubai, the Region, and Transformation via Education
    --------------------------------------------- ------

    13.(C) Noting Dubai appeared to be a model of tolerance and
    opportunity for the region, Senator Lieberman asked MbR to talk
    about his goals for the emirate. MbR said bluntly "we want to be
    number one."  But, he said that Dubai has only taken the first
    step on a journey of 1000 miles. He said that if Dubai plays it
    right, the whole region can develop like Dubai.

    14.(SBU) MbR indicated that Dubai has succeeded because it is a
    place where all people can enjoy health, wealth, security, and
    the opportunity to succeed. Commenting on his recent
    announcement at the World Economic Forum in Jordan of a new $10
    billion Mohammed Bin Rashid Foundation for education and job
    creation (septel), he said "God gave us wealth and we must give
    it back to the people in the region."  MbR sees Dubai as the
    leading city of a wide region and he commented "I am serving 1.5
    billion [people] in the region."  MbR underscored that education
    is the key to regional modernization and moderation. In Dubai,
    he noted, "we are trying to teach people how to fish and not
    just giving a fish to our neighbor."

    DUBAI 00000355  003.2 OF 003

    15 (SBU) He also called for more US universities in Dubai, and
    asked for Senator Lieberman's help in resurrecting the
    possibility of the University of Connecticut building a sizeable
    campus here (note: this deal was put on hold by UCONN leadership
    after Connecticut state legislators and others objected to the
    UAE regulation which prevents the entry of Israeli passport
    holders).

    16.(U) Senator Lieberman has cleared this cable.
    SUTPHIN

`