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CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN SECRET SECRET//NOFORN UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

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### Viewing cable 90CAPETOWN97, ESSA MOOSA TALKS ABOUT MANDELA AND OTHER TOPICS

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Reference ID | Date | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | ---
90CAPETOWN97 | 1990-01-17 15:03 | CONFIDENTIAL | Consulate Cape Town

`

    CONFIDENTIAL

    PAGE 01        CAPE T  00097  01 OF 03  182017Z
    ACTION AF-00

    INFO  LOG-00   ADS-00   INR-05   EUR-00   SS-00    CIAE-00  DODE-00
          H-01     NSCE-00  NSAE-00  HA-09    L-03     TRSE-00  PM-10
          PA-01    OMB-01   INRE-00  USIE-00  SP-02    SNP-01   PRS-01
          P-02     T-01     /037 W
                        ------------------352654  200910Z /23
    R 171512Z JAN 90
    FM AMCONSUL CAPE TOWN
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC 5365
    INFO AMEMBASSY PRETORIA
    AMCONSUL JOHANNESBURG
    AMCONSUL DURBAN
    AMEMBASSY LUSAKA
    AMEMBASSY HARARE
    AMEMBASSY LONDON
    AMEMBASSY PARIS

` `

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 CAPE TOWN 00097

    LONDON FOR KOLKER, PARIS FOR FENDRICK

    E.O. 12356:  DECL:  OADR
    TAGS: PGOV PHUM SF
    SUBJ:  ESSA MOOSA TALKS ABOUT MANDELA AND OTHER TOPICS

    ¶1.  CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.

    --------
    SUMMARY
    --------
    ¶2.  ATTORNEY ESSA MOOSA WHO SPOKE WITH HIM LAST WEEK,
    SAYS MANDELA FULLY EXPECTS THAT ON FEBRUARY 2 DE KLERK
    WILL ANNOUNCE THE UNBANNING OF THE ANC, PAC AND OTHER
    ORGANIZATIONS, THE LIFTING OF THE STATE OF EMERGENCY,
    THE RETURN OF POLITICAL EXILES TO SOUTH AFRICA, AND THE
    CONFIDENTIAL

    CONFIDENTIAL

    PAGE 02        CAPE T  00097  01 OF 03  182017Z

    RELEASE OF SEVERAL POLITICAL PRISONERS INCLUDING MANDELA
    HIMSELF.  IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ANNOUNCEMENTS WOULD COME
    SWIFTLY AFTER DE KLERK'S SPEECH AT THE OPENING OF
    PARLIAMENT.
    -
    ¶3.  THE SAG IS CONCERNED OVER ANC RELATIONS WITH THE SACP
    AND OVER THE WORKING DEFINITION OF "ONE MAN ONE VOTE,"
    AMONG OTHER "WHITE FEARS" ISSUES.  MANDELA HAS PASSED
    DE KLERK'S "PROPOSALS" ON THESE TOPICS TO THE ANC.
    THE ORGANIZATION'S ANNOUNCEMENT THAT IT IS WILLING TO
    NEGOTIATE EVEN WHILE APARTHEID LAWS REMAIN IN PLACE MAY
    BE PART OF THE ANC'S REPLY TO THE SAG.

    ¶4.  TENSIONS IN THE COMMUNITY HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY
    REDUCED BY THE SAG'S TACTIC OF OPENING DIALOGUE AND A
    COMMITMENT SHARED BY THE MDM TO REDUCE CONFRONTATIONS.
    WHILE MAINLY OF BENEFIT TO THE SAG, THIS PERIOD OF CALM
    COULD ALSO FAVOR THE ANC'S NEW STRATEGY OF PRAGMATISM.

    ¶5.  RAISING THE PENDING VISIT OF JESSE JACKSON, MOOSA
    EXPRESSED CONCERN THAT IT WOULD BE BAD FOR THE STRUGGLE
    IF JACKSON ADVOCATED LIFTING SANCTIONS UPON HIS RETURN TO
    THE US.  END SUMMARY.
    -
    ¶6.  IN A HALF HOUR CONVERSATION WITH POLECONOFF. ESSA
    MOOSA. THE WESTERN CAPE UDF'S LAWYER AND ONE OF THE
    ATTORNEYS WHO MET WITH MANDELA LAST WEEK, MADE THE F0LLOW-
    ING REMARKS:

    --------------------------------------------- -------------
    MANDELA RELEASE WILL BE ANNOUNCED FEBRUARY 2 IN PARLIAMENT
    --------------------------------------------- -------------
    ¶7.  MANDELA MADE IT QUITE CLEAR THAT HE FULLY EXPECTS
    CONFIDENTIAL

    CONFIDENTIAL

    PAGE 03        CAPE T  00097  01 OF 03  182017Z

    PRESIDENT FW DE KLERK TO MAKE SEVERAL MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENTS
    IN HIS FEBRUARY 2 SPEECH AT THE OPENING OF PARLIAMENT.
    DE KLERK WILL ANNOUNCE:

    -- THE UNBANNING OF THE ANC, PAC AND OTHER POLITICAL
    -  ORGANIZATIONS;

    -- THE END OF THE STATE OF EMERGENCY;

    -- THE RETURN OF POLITICAL EXILES TO SOUTH AFRICA;

    -- THE RELEASE OF A NUMBER OF POLITICAL PRISONERS,
    -  INCLUDING NELSON MANDELA.
    -
    ¶8.  THESE ANNOUNCEMENTS WILL NOT NECESSARILY MEAN THAT ALL
    THE ITEMS LISTED WILL TAKE EFFECT AS OF THE TIME OF THE
    SPEECH.  BUT FIRM PLANS AND A COMMITMENT TO CARRY THEM OUT
    SWIFTLY WILL BE PART OF THE ANNOUNCEMENT.

    -------------------------------
    WHERE WILL MANDELA BE RELEASED?
    -------------------------------
    ¶9.  MOOSA SIDESTEPPED A QUESTION ABOUT WHERE MANDELA'S
    HOME BASE WOULD BE UPON HIS RELEASE.  HE ONLY REMARKED
    THAT MANDELA CAN TELL THE SAG WHERE HE WANTS TO BE
    RELEASED AND WHERE HIS FIRST PUBLIC APPEARANCE WOULD THUS
    TAKE PLACE.  SENTIMENTALLY, SAID MOOSA, PAARL (WHERE
    MANDELA IS NOW IN PRISON) SEEMED TO APPEAL TO MANDELA.
    (COMMENT:  BUT POLITICALLY AND PRACTICALLY THIS MAKES
    LITTLE SENSE.  JOHANNESBURG SEEMS BY FAR THE MOST
    SUITABLE VENUE. END COMMENT.)
    -
    --------------------------------------------

    CONFIDENTIAL

    R 171512Z JAN 90
    FM AMCONSUL CAPE TOWN
    TO SECSTATE WASHDC 5366
    INFO AMEMBASSY PRETORIA
    AMCONSUL JOHANNESBURG
    AMCONSUL DURBAN
    AMEMBASSY LUSAKA
    AMEMBASSY HARARE
    AMEMBASSY LONDON
    AMEMBASSY PARIS

    C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 02 OF 03 CAPE TOWN 00097

    LONDON FOR KOLKER, PARIS FOR FENDRICK

    E.O. 12356:  DECL:  OADR
    TAGS: PGOV PHUM SF
    SUBJECT:  ESSA MOOSA TALKS ABOUT MANDELA AND OTHER TOPICS

    --------------------------------------------
    DE KLERK-ANC COMMUNICATION THROUGH MANDELA
    --------------------------------------------

    ¶10.  WHEN HE MET SEVERAL WEEKS AGO WITH MANDELA, DE KLERK
    PROVIDED A SET OF PROPOSALS AND ASKED FOR THE ANC'S
    RESPONSE.  MANDELA HAS NOT DISCUSSED THOSE PROPOSALS
    IN ANY DETAIL WITH PEOPLE HERE (AT LEAST HE DID NOT DO SO
    WITH THE LAWYERS' GROUP OF WHICH MOOSA WAS A MEMBER) BUT
    HE DID TRANSMIT THEM TO ALFRED NZO AND THABO MBEKI.
    MOOSA BELIEVES (PIECING TOGETHER STRAY REMARKS WHERE AND
    THERE) THAT THE PROPOSALS RELATED PRINCIPALLY TO THE NEED
    TO ALLAY WHITE FEARS.  SPECIFICALLY, HE THINKS ONE ISSUE
    WAS THE RELATIONSHIP OF THE ANC TO THE SACP (SOUTH AFRICAN
    COMMUNIST PARTY) AND ANOTHER WAS THE DEFINITION OF ONE MAN
    ONE VOTE.

    ¶11.  ASIDE FROM BEING AN EFFORT TO SEIZE THE MORAL HIGH
    GROUND BY PUBLICLY DEMONSTRATING FLEXIBILITY, THE ANC'S
    RECENT ANNOUNCEMENT THAT IT IS PREPARED TO NEGOTIATE
    EVEN WHILE APARTHEID LAWS LIKE THE GROUP AREAS ACT REMAIN
    IN PLACE MAY BE PART OF THE ORGANIZATION'S REPLY TO DE
    KLERK.

    ¶12.  MOOSA UNDERSTANDS MANDELA TO HAVE WORKED OUT A
    GAME PLAN FOR "NEXT STEPS" IN A NEGOTIATION WITH DE KLERK
    SO AS TO ENSURE THAT HE IS NOT RELEASED FROM PRISON
    INTO A VACUUM.

    ¶13.  MANDELA HAS TOLD VARIOUS VISITORS THAT HE HAS A GOOD
    OPINION OF DE KLERK AS A SINCERE INDIVIDUAL EVEN THOUGH
    HE REGARDS HIM AS STILL THE LEADER OF THE NATIONAL PARTY
    AND NOT MORE THAN THAT.

    --------------------------------------------- ---------
    COMMITMENT ON SAG AND MDM SIDE TO REDUCE CONFRONTATION
    --------------------------------------------- ---------

    ¶14.  MOOSA AGREED THAT THE ATMOSPHERE IS MUCH LESS TENSE
    THAN EVEN SIX MONTHS AGO.  FOR EXAMPLE, LAST YEAR THE
    RETURN TO SCHOOL RESULTED IN THE USUAL ACCUSATIONS AND
    PHYSICAL CONFRONTATIONS BETWEEN THE DEPARTMENT OF
    EDUCATION AND TRAINING (DET), AIDED BY THE POLICE,
    AND STUDENTS SUPPORTED BY PARENTS, TEACHERS AND THE MDM.
    THIS YEAR THERE IS AN EVEN WORSE CRISIS DUE TO LACK OF
    SPACE IN BLACK SCHOOLS AND THE FAILURE OF OVER 100,000
    STUDENTS TO PASS THEIR "MATRIC EXAMS." YET THERE IS A NEW
    SPIRIT OF DIALOGUE AT THE DET AND ACTIVISTS ARE
    THEREFORE ABLE TO CHANNEL STUDENT FRUSTRATIONS IN A CON-
    STRUCTIVE MANNER.

    ¶15.  THE SAG'S NEW "TACTIC" OF ALLOWING DISSENT AND
    ENGAGING IN DIALOGUE INSTEAD OF STONEWALLING "IS WORKING
    FOR THEM," MOOSA SAID.  HE ACKNOWLEDGED, HOWEVER, THAT IT
    COULD ALSO, IF DEALT WITH POSITIVELY, WORK FOR THE MDM
    AND ANC.  THOUGH AN ABSENCE OF DIRECT CONFRONTATION IS
    "DEMOBILIZING FOR THE MASSES," FEWER RAW NERVES AMONG
    ACTIVISTS COULD MAKE THEM MORE AMENABLE TO THE ANC'S
    INCREASINGLY PRAGMATIC STRATEGY FOR DEALING WITH THE SAG.
    THAT STRATEGY, MOOSA SAID, IS NOT UNDERSTOOD BY MANY
    ACTIVISTS, ESPECIALLY YOUTH, WHO FEAR A SELL-OUT OF THEIR
    CAUSE.  THERE REMAINS A LOT TO DO TO EXPLAIN THE VIRTUES
    OF FLEXIBILITY TO THEM.

    --------------------------------
    PAC AND BC -- A THORN IN THE SIDE
    --------------------------------

    ¶16.  MOOSA DESCRIBED THE CONFERENCE ON A DEMOCRATIC
    FUTURE AS "NOT A POSITIVE EXPERIENCE IN COOPERATION."
    HE OPINED THAT THE PAC AND BC COULD TURN OUT TO BE A
    REAL PROBLEM.  HE EXPECTS THEM TO REMAIN ALOOF, SNIPING
    AT THE ANC'S POSITIONS FROM THE SIDELINES AND STIRRING
    UP YOUNG PEOPLE IN PARTICULAR.

    ----------------------
    JESSE JACKSON VISIT
    ----------------------

    ¶17.  MOOSA INQUIRED ABOUT THE DATES FOR JESSE JACKSON'S
    VISIT AND EXPRESSED CONCERN THAT JACKSON HAD MET WITH
    THE PRESS AT SOUTH AFRICAN AMBASSADOR KOORNHOF'S
    RESIDENCE.  MOOSA FEARED THAT THE SAG WAS GOING TOO GOOD
    A JOB OF CULTIVATING JACKSON AND THAT HE MIGHT RETURN
    TO THE US AND ANNOUNCE THAT SANCTIONS SHOULD BE LIFTED.
    MOOSA APPEARED TO HAVE GREATER CONFIDENCE IN KOORNHOF'S
    PERSUASIVE ABILITY THAN IN THAT OF THE SACC LEADERSHIP
    WHICH IS HOSTING THE JACKSON VISIT.

    BAQUET

`