			Foreign Correspondent

		      Inside Track On World News
	    By International Syndicated Columnist & Broadcaster
		 Eric Margolis <emargolis@lglobal.com>

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FOREIGN CORRESPONDENT
INSIDE TRACK ON WORLD NEWS
by international syndicated columnist
& broadcaster Eric Margolis

Jan. 21, 2001

    SADDAM HUSSEIN: WINNER OF THE GULF WAR
    By Eric S. Margolis

 To mark the tenth anniversary of the 1991 Gulf War, a jaunty-looking, cigar-puffing, rifle-firing Saddam Hussein presided over a six-hour
military parade in Baghdad. The beaming Iraqi strongman proclaimed himself victor of the Mother of All Battles.

 Saddam has a point. It's hard to discern winners from losers in the black comedy and tragic-farce of the 1991 oil war and its aftermath.
Iraq, a smallish nation of only 22 million with a World War I quality army, provoked the fury of the US and Britain by invading their
protectorate, Kuwait, yet managed to survive the biggest military assault since World War II. More important, at least for Saddam, he
managed to take on the world's great powers, survive, and cling to power to this day - in spite of umpteen plots to overthrow or kill
him by his enemies, whose number is legion. By not losing, in a sense he won the war.

 Iraq's invasion of Kuwait was not part of a nefarious plot to seize Mideast oil, as President George Bush Sr. claimed, but a typical
Arab tribal raid provoked by an intolerable insult to honor. Arguing over repayment of money Kuwait had loaned Iraq to fight Iran,
Kuwait's boorish Crown Prince reportedly told Saddam to `kiss my ass.,' Worse, the prince then offered to cancel the debt if Saddam
sent Iraqi war widows to Kuwait's harems.

 An enraged Saddam ordered his army to invade Kuwait and loot it. Just previously, the US Ambassador to Iraq had advised Saddam the US
would `take no position' in squabble with Kuwait. Saddam saw this as a green light from Washington to punish Kuwait. After all, Saddam 
had been a close American ally in the long war against Iran.

 President George Bush Sr. seized on the invasion as an ideal way to cut Iraq down to size and eradicate its primitive but still
dangerous nuclear/chemical/biowar weapons programs. It should be noted most of these biowarfare programs were supplied by the west
and run by British and European technical advisors. Just before the war began, this writer discovered in Baghdad the principal British
scientific team that had been seconded to Iraq by Her Majesty's Government to produce anthrax germs for the Iraq armed forces to use
against Iran. So long as Muslims were being killed or maimed by Iraq's gas and germ weapons, that was fine with the west. The United
States supplied numerous other biowarfare agents to Saddam.

 Some Mideast specialists believe the US actually lured Saddam into war. Whatever the case, Saddam could not pull out of Kuwait under
US pressure without losing his grip on power. Hitler faced the same dilemma at Stalingrad. So he hunkered down, wrongly believing Russia
would prevent the US-led coalition from attacking Iraq.

 Bush Sr.'s US $85 billion crusade against Saddam Hussein bombed Iraq, then the Arab World's most modern nation, with a living standard
equal to Greece, back to the 17th century. Subsequent US-British air attacks, which continue to this day, made the rubble bounce.

 Kuwait was liberated and made safe for its disco-dancing oil sheiks. But the Saudis and Gulf emirates were forced to accept permanent
US military bases and garrisons, and to nearly bankrupt themselves buying US and British arms they couldn't use.

 The Americans and British didn't overthrow Saddam in 1991 because they needed him to keep running Iraq, an artificial, unstable,
eternally rebellious nation created to serve Britain's colonial interests. If Saddam fell, Iraq, with the Mideast's second largest
oil reserves, would splinter into Sunni, Shia and Kurdish regions, then be carved up by neighboring Iran, and Turkey.

 Better Saddam, the Arab Stalin, running Iraq than some unknown general...or worse, the wild Iranians with their subversive ideas that
the region's vast oil wealth should serve all its people, not just a tiny oligarchy of western-backed oil sheiks and generals. Shias
and Kurds, who were urged to rebel against Baghdad by Bush Sr. and promised American support, were quickly abandoned to Saddam's vengeance.

 Iraq's people have suffered horribly from US-British sanctions, and from Saddam's stubborn refusal to allow Washington to control
Iraq through so-called `UN arms inspectors' -who turned out to be a front for US and Israeli intelligence. Comically inept attempts
by the US to stage coups against Saddam were mercilessly crushed by his secret police.

 According to the UN, 500,000 Iraqi children have died as a direct result of decade-long sanctions. When asked about this, US Secretary
of State Madeleine Albright memorably replied `it is a price worth paying.'

 Sanctions against Iraq are crumbling as the world begin normalizing relations with oil-rich Iraq. Intense efforts by the US, Britain,
and Israel to keep Iraq isolated are faltering. Though Arab leaders and Iran detest Saddam, and despite his brutality and blunders,
he remains a hero across the Mideast because of his defiance of America's Mideast oil Raj.

 America's ferocious punishment of Iraq - which went as far as denying Iraqi schools lead pencils - has brought hatred of the US in
the Muslim world and provoked attacks against US interests. Thanks to the Gulf oil war, and the Clinton Administration's total policy
alignment with Israel, the US is increasingly seen by many of the world's 1.2 billion Muslims as an determined enemy.

 Meanwhile, Saddam keeps thumbing his nose at the US and now faces the son of Bush, who, in turn, may end up facing the sons of Saddam.
No matter who rules in Baghdad, Iraq will remain, to paraphrase Churchill's assessment of Germany, `either at your feet or at your throat.
So long as nuclear-armed Israel and populous Iran are enemies, Iraq will strive for weapons of mass destruction and dominance in the Gulf.
But Iraq, however aggressive, will also remain the stopped that keeps Iran bottled up.

 The Clinton Administration used data gleaned by UN `arms inspectors' to attempt to assassinate Saddam with missile strikes. Then,
in frustration, it even resorted to dropping concrete-filled bombs on Iraq. Washington couldn't decide whether to kill or keep Saddam.
The ongoing US war against Iraq costs some $27 billion a year ..and for what? Meanwhile, Iraq has become America's sixth largest source
of imported oil.

 In 1942, Hitler observed that once he conquered the Soviet Union, he would put Stalin - `the only man who knows how to deal with
Russians' - back into power. Saddam, the Arab Stalin, no doubt knows this story and that's why he's smiling in Baghdad's winter sunshine.

Copyright Eric S. Margolis 2001