(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . WE CAN WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! GNR [1] ['Greg Dworkin', 'Crimson Quillfeather'] Date: 2026-09-26 We can win. With hard work, we can win. How do I know? Here is how: LOL LOL LOL LOL 🤣😂😆😹 Also, they grossly miscalculated on Hispanic voters Hispanic Voters, Abandoning Trump, Are Transforming the Midterm Map President Trump’s enormous gains among Hispanic voters in the last election propelled him to victory in the national popular vote and prompted talk of a political realignment. Two years later, that talk is over. In an average of high-quality national polls over the last month, Democrats led Republicans among Hispanic likely voters by 35 percentage points, 64-29, on the generic congressional ballot, which asks voters which party they will support for Congress. A shift toward Democrats on anything like this scale could remake the electoral map — threatening longtime Republican incumbents, new Republican gerrymanders and the party’s crown jewel, Texas — and represent a final unraveling of his winning 2024 coalition. Nonetheless, the national, state and district polls leave no doubt that many Republicans in these districts are in jeopardy. The reason is simple: Mr. Trump. His approval rating among Hispanic voters has fallen to the 20s, including just 26 percent in the most recent New York Times/Siena poll. Just two years after concerns about rising prices propelled him to victory, only 8 percent of Hispanic voters approved of his handling of the cost of living in the last Times/Siena poll, while 18 percent approved on the economy. His approval rating on immigration, at 26 percent, was not much better. Republicans may have gerrymandered a Latino problem From the outskirts of San Antonio through sprawling ranchlands to the border city of McAllen, Reuters traveled more than 360 miles and spoke to more than 30 Latino voters, who shared a similar refrain: Trump had a chance to lower prices across this expanse, where trucks and beef barbacoa are king, and failed. Many are no longer convinced the Republican Party is looking out for people like them. Frustration over economic pressures and Trump’s immigration agenda is rising, exposing cracks in what Republican officials hoped was a durable political realignment among Latino Americans. Trump’s approval rating nationwide fell to 32%, the lowest since returning to office, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll. That poses a problem for Texas Republicans, who redrew congressional maps last year betting the Latino contingent who helped power Trump’s 2024 win would remain in their column. Also this: No way this is right but holy f–k — Greg Sargent (@gregsargent.bsky.social) 2026-09-22T18:38:16.168Z and this: The Midterms Are a Referendum on Trump, and He’s Losing rump is an anvil around the neck of Republican candidates Everyone (except Trump himself) knows this, but a brand-new NBC News poll shows the problem is even bigger than people think. During midterm elections, the incumbent president is almost always a drag on their party. Voters quickly grow impatient with the lack of progress and tend to want to check the recently elected President. However, the President usually has something to offer his party—a popular accomplishment or at least some progress on solving a problem. In 2010, the Democrats lost more than 60 seats in the House, but Obama was still pretty popular and could at least argue that the worst of the financial crisis was behind us. In 2018, Trump was unpopular, but voters still liked his economy and gave him credit for managing it well. The NBC poll shows that Trump really offers Republicans nothing. His political problems are historic, and voters are rejecting not just him, but every element of his agenda. and this: and this: Republicans hit the panic button before Election Day Over the past few weeks, the electoral climate for President Donald Trump and Republican leaders has worsened dramatically, according to lawmakers, aides and political advisers who see daily polling. Gas prices are sky-high. Diesel sets a new record almost daily. Trump said at the United Nations Tuesday that the Iran war won’t end until “after the midterm elections.” That’s a frightening prospect for GOP lawmakers who are now publicly calling for an end to the seven-month conflict. Rep. Ashley Hinson, the GOP Senate candidate in Iowa, is demanding the House return to session to enact a ban on diesel exports. This won’t happen, but it shows a suddenly vulnerable Republican desperately scrambling for a message. and this: Trump's super power was always projecting the image that he was "not a fucking loser." He's come close many times to forfeiting that image. But he may have finally crossed the line, and, if so, we'll see how he fares without his super power. — James Goodwin (@jamesgoodwin.bsky.social) 2026-09-23T12:05:52.524Z and this: No president has gone into a midterm election this unpopular. Not even George W. Bush in 2006 Our historical polling averages show the president’s updated rating is worse than George W. Bush’s second-term approval rating on the eve of the 2006 midterm that cost Republicans both chambers of Congress. And public mood is approaching where it was toward Richard Nixon during Watergate, in the months before he resigned in disgrace. and this: Nate Silver's latest Senate polling averages show Democrats ahead in TEN key races:🔵 NC: Cooper +8.9🔵 GA: Ossoff +9.1🔵 NH: Pappas +5.0🔵 OH: Brown +4.5🔵 ME: Jackson +3.5🔵 MN: Flanagan +2.8🔵 MI: El-Sayed +2.8🔵 TX: Talarico +2.7🔵 IA: Turek +1.9🔵 AK: Peltola +1.7 — Jon Cooper (@joncooper-us.bsky.social) 2026-09-23T12:36:38.840Z and this: The Pod Bros Forget About Trump The manosphere podcast army that carried Trump across the finish line in 2024 on Zyn, Monster Energy, and UFC clips, has moved on. Sad! The Wall Street Journal built a tool to analyze political podcasts, and Mediaite summarized the findings: across nearly 70,000 hours of content, conservative podcasters’ references to Trump are down nearly 70 percent from their pre-2024-election peak. Trump mentions on conservative shows peaked at roughly 39 per hour around the 2024 election and had fallen to about 11 per hour by September 20. Since the Iran war began in late February, monthly mentions dropped another 30 percent. Trump mentions on left-leaning shows have held steady in the mid-30s per hour the entire time. The only people still talking about Trump are the people who can’t stand him. (”It’s me. Hi. I’m the problem. It’s me.”) The airtime has gone elsewhere. A big chunk went to the Lindsay Clancy murder trial, and right-wing podcasts have talked about James Talarico more than any Democrat except former presidents. The bros would rather discuss a Texas Democrat than the Republican president, and that tells you most of what you need to know about the relationship. Some of them have dropped the subtlety. Joe Rogan has said supporters feel betrayed, and Theo Von called Trump’s Iran messaging “diabolical” and “insane.” Republicans haven’t absorbed what this means for November. Trump’s coalition with young men was never ideological. It was built on attention and transgression, and given his transgressions seem more desperate than threatening these days, attention is the one currency Trump can’t counterfeit. He’s been telling supporters to “pretend I’m on the ballot.” The pod bros have decided to pretend he isn’t anywhere at all. and they no longer like him: interactive polls and this: Democrats Have the Edge in Both Chambers 1. Trump Is a Massive Drag on Republicans It’s hard to overstate how unpopular Trump is. His approval rating is at an all-time low, and his disapproval is at an all-time high. an NBC poll found that only 30% of voters say a Trump endorsement would make them more likely to vote for a candidate; 52% said it would make them less likely. 2. Battle for the House Let’s start with the best news possible. Democrats are overwhelming favorites to win the House, and their odds keep going up. 3. Can Dems Win the Senate? The fact that I’m even asking this question shows how much things have changed in the last nine months. as we sit here 40 days from the election, Democrats are a slight favorite to take the Senate. Nate Silver’s model gives Democrats a 64.2% chance of taking the Senate. oh! and this: EXCLUSIVE: At least 550k voters registered or updated their registration on National Voter Registration Day last week, despite Trump’s attempts to restrict voter registration initiatives.“This is just the beginning of the momentum and the election cycle,” the nonprofit’s campaign director said. — Democracy Docket (@democracydocket.com) 2026-09-22T19:19:40.135077786Z and this important predictor: Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate In midterms over the past 80 years, there’s been a surprisingly tight relationship between voting behavior in a given cycle’s primaries and the House popular vote in the general election that follows. Based on that relationship, this year’s primary turnout suggests that Democrats would win the House vote by an enormous 13-point spread. That’s much larger than what the generic congressional ballot forecasts. That metric, according to a polling aggregate calculated by FiftyPlusOne, currently gives Democrats a smaller 7-point edge. Either would be more than enough for Democrats to take back the House, and neither outcome would be surprising. Both measures have great predictive power, but like any other forecasting tool, they both come with uncertainty attached to them. and this: Trump and GOP really cratering:*Trump dropping into low 30s *CNN finds 76% say war not worth cost*El-Sayed + 7 in Michigan*GOP operatives admit bottom falling outOn the pod, veteran NC Dem operative Morgan Jackson explains why Trump now sinking in red areas:newrepublic.com/article/2157… — Greg Sargent (@gregsargent.bsky.social) 2026-09-23T11:17:40.765Z and this: MAGA Smells the Danger Anyone who has watched a nature documentary with David Attenborough’s rich voice describing the impending horror knows the scene. A herd of wildebeest, gazelles, or some other doe-eyed ungulates crowds the watering hole. One head comes up, then another. Ears swivel. Nostrils flare. Something is out there in the tall grass or lurking just under the water, and the herd doesn’t know exactly where, but it knows enough to be afraid. In a few moments, one of them is going down. Oh, the whole herd won’t fall, but the predators always get the slow ones, the dumb ones. And MAGA has a lot of slow, dumb candidates this year. Welcome to the Republican Party, six weeks before the midterms. Mike Rogers, who spent the spring sounding like a man ready to fly a B-2 into Tehran personally, filmed an ad in a Michigan grocery store announcing that “the war with Iran needs to end and end quickly.” Ashley Hinson said the same in Iowa. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn voted to curb Trump’s war powers. John James, Tom Tiffany and Jon Husted all wandered over to the same patch of grass. Jon Husted. In Red Ohio. Then came the sanewashing. Byron Donalds, who lovingly refers to Trump as “Daddy,” quietly scrubbed at least eight mentions of Trump from his campaign website, like a man trying to get out of a DNA test with a pregnant mistress. One day he’s all on the Trump-Is-God train and the next he couldn’t pick Donnie out of a well-deserved lineup. Maria Elvira Salazar cut an ad telling Trump his immigration crackdown went too far. Scandal-plagued Susan Collins called the Canada trade war a mistake, which is the Collins equivalent of setting herself on fire in the Senate chamber. Rogers, meanwhile, decided tariffs are “necessary, but not a one-size-fits-all solution,” a sentence engineered in a focus to mean nothing at all. Farm-state senators begged for a diesel export ban until Trump caved at the UN. And in the first half of September, out of more than 500 Republican TV ads, exactly twelve mentioned Donald Trump. He told the listless crowd in Dallas that soaring energy costs were “a very inexpensive price to pay.” He invited Xi Jinping to Washington. He has forty-one more days of Truth Social, rally riffs, and whatever brain weather rolls through at 2 a.m. that he dictates to First Lady Natalie Trump. You cannot run a disciplined campaign when the most important variable in your race is the least disciplined human in public life. Almost everything he does between now and November will hurt them, and they’ll find out about it the same way you do, from their phones. I like our odds. Lots of work to do still, but I like our odds a lot. Everything Trump Touches Dies. It doesn’t expire, and it doesn’t wash out. The wildebeest can sniff the wind all they want. The lion was never out in the grass. He’s been standing right next to them at the watering hole the whole time, and they’re lunch. and this: "These are not great numbers" — we've you've lost Fox News … — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) 2026-09-22T18:36:01.762Z What Can you Do? We have just 37 days until the midterms!! Lock in on the prize and ignore the noise. What can you do? You can donate. One way to do it: I set up a fundraiser for down ballot races. Amanda Nelson has an amazing checklist that recommends one thing to do a day from right now until the midterms. You can find it here Vote Save America has all kinds of opportunities — big and small — to make a difference in the midterms. Sign up here to learn more. Here is an Opportunity for engagement from Robert Hubbell Rideshare2Vote, based in Dallas, Texas, is gearing up to serve 17 states this election cycle, offering rides to polling places or ballot boxes for those who might otherwise not be able to vote. Volunteers and donors help ensure any eligible Democrat or progressive voter can exercise their right to participate in our democracy. Rideshare2Vote also operates year-round to help democratic voters in districts for local, state, run offs and special elections in must-win states and districts to help Turn America Bluer. We finished the primary season, and we’re scaling up for the November midterms, as well as looking for volunteers and donors for 2027. Volunteers can contribute in three ways: Dispatchers receive the request for a ride and arrange a round trip from a volunteer driver. receive the request for a ride and arrange a round trip from a volunteer driver. Drivers not only provide the transportation but can help the person, if they need it, to cast their vote. not only provide the transportation but can help the person, if they need it, to cast their vote. Operators are trained volunteers and staff who are available to answer questions and help with any problems that come up. You can read more about Rideshare2Vote here Questions? Contact Sarah Kovich, sarah@rideshare2vote.com Time commitment: 3-4 hours per day you volunteer That is it for today. Take care of yourselves. I am so lucky and grateful to be in this with all of you ✊🏻✊🏽✊🏿✊🏾✊🏼❤️💙💚💛💜 ✊🏻✊🏽✊🏿✊🏾✊🏼 [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/9/26/800102850/community/gnr/ Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/