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SOME GREAT NUMBERS FROM THE OTHER SIDE! [1]

['Chitown Kev', 'Belinda Ridgewood', 'Thom Hartmann', 'Bill In Portland Maine']

Date: 2026-09-22  

A LITTLE PICK-YOU-UPFound on Substack, by Democratic Wins Media!

THE GOP POLLED ITS OWN FORT WORTH STRONGHOLD. IT FOUND A 28-POINT COLLAPSE.

The most terrifying poll of the cycle for Republicans wasn’t commissioned by Democrats — it was commissioned by Republicans, about their own turf, and it leaked. An internal GOP survey — conducted September 10–15 by what Quorum Report’s Scott Braddock describes as a reputable Republican pollster working for D.C. trade groups, 600 likely voters, ±3 — measured Texas Senate District 9 in Tarrant County, which Trump carried by 17 points in 2024. The results, published by Braddock (who noted the judgment call of releasing an internal poll without its full memo): James Talarico crushing Ken Paxton 52–41. Gina Hinojosa over Greg Abbott 49–40. Democrat Vikki Goodwin leading Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick himself. And Democratic state Sen. Taylor Rehmet — whose January special-election upset flipped the seat for the first time since 1991 — up 14 on his rematch. Three things make an internal district poll credible: it’s the GOP’s own data, it matches the actual votes cast in January, and it matches every public statewide survey. Braddock’s verdict on what was once America’s biggest Republican urban county: it is collapsing for the GOP before our eyes — driven, he said, by state-level overreach and Trump pushing people over the edge. The emblem of the panic: the Republican challenger has redesigned her yard signs, deleting “TRUMP ENDORSED.” Even a longtime GOP consultant conceded it could get worse — this poll closed before the party’s Railroad Commission nominee’s racist tirade, the one that has Karl Rove publicly voting for a Democrat.

Why it matters: Blue wave inbound — and this time that’s not our characterization, it’s the Republicans’ own numbers in a Trump+17 district, matching real January votes. If Tarrant County swings 28 points, the five congressional seats Texas gerrymandered on 2024’s margins don’t just fail — they drown, and they take the majority with them.

By the numbers: 28 points — the swing from Trump+17 in 2024 to Talarico+11 today, in the GOP’s own internal poll.

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/9/22/800101639/community/some-great-numbers-from-the-other-side/

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