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I created a midterm spreadsheet. Feedback welcome! [1]

['Thom Hartmann', 'News Corpse']

Date: 2026-08-25  

While I don’t have any particular statistical expertise, I thought it would be interesting to look at which seats could conceivably be won in different scenarios involving the 2-party vote and other expected factors such as incumbency advantage, local strength, and recent polls. I’ve made it interactive so that you can input your own estimate of the 2-party vote for the House, as well as the support for independents in four Senate races, and see how things play out in five different scenarios.

Link is here:

FlyingSquirrel’s 2026 Election Scenario Projector

(FlyingSquirrel is my username on most other websites.)

If that sounds interesting, please give it a whirl and tell me what you think!

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[1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/8/25/800089383/community/i-created-a-midterm-spreadsheet-what-do-you-think/

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