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Late Deciders [1]

['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.']

Date: 2024-11-04  

Personally, I find the premise of the Undecided voter ridiculous. But I also know the dangers of projecting my own framework and thought processes upon others.



There was a blurb on CNN yesterday and while they run everything else multiple times a day, I haven’t seen it since.



Talking about when people made up their minds as to who they were going to vote for, according to a poll, 70 percent—which I think includes everyone on DKos—knew who they were going to vote for months ago. But 8 percent had made up their minds in the past week and Harris was leading those 53-45.



Assuming 5 percent undecided, 5 x .08 = .4 percent shift in the aggregate. If only 2 percent undecided, .16 percent shift.



I’ll take it. What’s gloomy is that those people may determine the margin in one or more states.



In PA, that would be 11K — 27K votes, approx.

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