(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . We Are Leading in the Early Vote, And Yes, Like 2022, the Polling Averages are Being Skewed [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2024-10-19 Simon Rosenberg Hopium Chronicles offers this: “Since late August more than 70 right-aligned polls have been dropped into the polling averages. The two states that have been worked the hardest are North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In October of the 27 Presidential polls released in Pennsylvania, 16 are from right-aligned pollsters, a majority. Since August 31st of the 41 Presidential polls released in North Carolina, 21, a majority have home come from right aligned pollsters.” And this as well: They are exploiting the “toss it in the averages and everything will work out philosophy” of these sites to once again launder these polls and game the averages - and thus our understanding of the election. Party leaders should expect them to keep these polls coming, and keep working the averages until it looks like Trump is winning in all polling averages. It is what they did in 2022, and it worked. They are doing it again this time, and once again it is working as the averages are moving and everyone is treating this movement like an organic rather than a deeply corrupt process. “At least 31 right-aligned pollsters and sponsoring organizations have released polls in the last 7 weeks” American Greatness, American Pulse Research and Polling, Daily Mail, co/efficent, Cygnal, Echelon, Emerson, Fabrizio, Fox News, Hunt Research, Insider Advantage, J.L. Partners, McLaughlin, Mitchell Communications, Napolitan Institute, Noble Predictive, On Message, Orbital Digital, Public Opinion Strategies, Quantus, Rasmussen, Redfield & Wilton, Remington, RMG, SoCal Data, The Telegraph, TIPP, Trafalgar, Victory Insights, University of Austin, and The Wall Street Journal. This is why I have been saying: ignore the polling averages, they are being skewed by nonsense, including a poll that showed Trump winning by a whisker in PA ( without counting Philadelphia at all!!). Hence: bullshit. Also, beware of the Polymarket betting market horseshit: “The red wave 2024 campaign also includes a major new entrant, Polymarket, an off-shore crypto-based betting market whose lead investor is Peter Thiel, former business partner to Elon Musk and primary political patron of JD Vance. Polymarket is buying product placement on sites and with influencers for their 2024 American election results even though NO AMERICAN CAN LEGALLY PARTICIPATE IN PROCESS THAT DETERMINES THE DATA. Polymarket is everywhere. Harry Enten highlights their data on CNN. Right wing influencers pump Polymarket maps showing Trump “winning” everyday. Nate Silver is an advisor to Polymarket. Elon and Twitter of course are pumping this stuff, hard.” The Wall Street journal adds: “But the surge might be a mirage manufactured by a group of four Polymarket accounts that have collectively pumped about $30 million of crypto into bets that Trump will win.“ Meanwhile, if you live or die by polling data, today’s swing state polls should cheer you up, C/O Newsweek. www.newsweek.com/… “A poll conducted by the Bullfinch Group between October 11 and 17 found that Harris is leading her opponent, former President Donald Trump, in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Harris' biggest lead is in Michigan, where she is ahead by 8 points in a head-to-head matchup, on 53 percent to Trump's 45 percent. She is also leading by 8 points when third-party candidates are included, 51 percent to 43 percent. However, the vice president's lead is much smaller in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and within the margin of error. In Wisconsin, she leads by 3 points in a head-to-head matchup and by 2 points when third-party candidates were included.” [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/10/19/2277924/-We-Are-Leading-in-the-Early-Vote-And-Yes-Like-2022-the-Polling-Averages-are-Being-Skewed?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/