(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Questions Polling Isn't Asking (and Maybe Can't) [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2024-09-05 Before I begin, since I’m seeing more freaking out on here of late, everyone watch this from Simon Rosenberg and Tom Bonier — and then remember to breathe. (Also, follow Christopher Bouzy, founder of social media network Spoutible and Bot Sentinel; he offers similar thoughts and predictions, and his track record’s pretty damn strong.) Anyway… some questions I have, not reflected in polling (to my knowledge): Is there anyone who didn’t vote for The Felon in 2016 and/or 2020 who is going to this time around? I have a hard time imagining him adding voters, outside of first timers who for whatever reason have drunk his Kool-Aid. Why is there such a disparity in some polls between a down-ballot race (i.e., Senate or Governor) and the presidential race? I can’t fathom one Democrat doing 8-9 points better than another on the exact same ballot. Ballot-splitting can’t be that big a thing, can it? What is it that has more people enthusiastic for Vice President Kamala Harris, instead of President Joe Biden? Age? The media narrative determined to tear him down? Both? How many Republicans are going to actually vote for Vice President Harris? Do public, high-profile Republican endorsements (i.e., Adam Kinzinger, Liz Cheney, etc.) have any measurable effect? In the Republican primary, we saw exit poll after exit poll where respondents said they could never vote for a convicted felon. Is there a way to re-poll them to see if that’s still the case? Given how badly The Felon underperformed in the primary, compared to his polling, how big is the MAGA/non-MAGA split in the party among the rank-and-file? I think it’s bigger than the media will let on. Is there polling on what kinds of ads are more effective than others? Who’s still planning to vote for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. in states where he’s still on the ballot, even though he’s, in essence, dropped out? Does the Harris campaign have any strategies in place to reach out to potential Jill Stein or Cornel West voters? Does the recent news about Russian interference and all the American outlets that had tentacles in, does that have any effect on Stein and West (Stein, especially)? How popular are Republicans’ voter suppression efforts with their constituents? Do they suppress or energize the vote? Anecdotally, it seems like every suppression attempt is greeted with increased turnout. Of those who don’t respond to pollsters: is there anything that would compel them to participate? Just some thoughts as we continue arguing over whether or not polls are actually worth anything. I think these are salient questions, questions that could have a large impact on the race, that are being completely ignored (either on purpose or otherwise). [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/9/5/2268194/-Questions-Polling-Isn-t-Asking-and-Maybe-Can-t?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=latest_community&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/