(C) Daily Kos This story was originally published by Daily Kos and is unaltered. . . . . . . . . . . Ukraine Invasion Day 899: Incursion operations continue as the fog of war rolls in [1] ['This Content Is Not Subject To Review Daily Kos Staff Prior To Publication.'] Date: 2024-08-09 Confusion among the RU milbloggers isn’t helping the tactical situation on the fourth day of the incursion. Could the UFA even hold RU territory. Is the Kursk NPP a target, since RU reports a drone strike disabled Kursk NPP substation. Russian sources confirm the attack on Rylsk, reportedly with cluster ammunition. Highly likely, a Russian column was completely destroyed. Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes targeting Ukraine on the night of August 8 to 9. Russian sources claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces advanced further east in Kursk Oblast but are likely no longer operating as far north or as far west as Russian sources previously claimed on August 8. Russian sources claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces advanced further east in Kursk Oblast but are likely no longer operating as far north or as far west as Russian sources previously claimed on August 8. A Russian milblogger claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces conducted another cross-border incursion northeast of Sumy City and advanced towards Kucherov (roughly one kilometer from the international border) but have not entered the settlement.[1] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast advanced as far east as Plekhovo (southeast of Sudzha) on the left bank of the Psyol River.[2] ISW is recessing the claimed limit of Ukrainian advances up to Snagost (south of Korenevo), given that a Russian milblogger claimed on August 8 that Russian forces began clearing the settlement.[3] ISW is also recessing the claimed limit of Ukrainian advances to the northern outskirts of Malaya Loknya (northwest of Sudzha and roughly 13 kilometers from the international border) as Russian milbloggers claimed on August 9 that Russian forces counterattacked near the settlement.[4] understandingwar.org/... A Russian milblogger claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces conducted another cross-border incursion northeast of Sumy City and advanced towards Kucherov (roughly one kilometer from the international border) but have not entered the settlement. The vast majority of Russian reporting about Kursk Oblast on August 9 is not consistent with previous claims that mobile Ukrainian groups were operating beyond 20 kilometers into Kursk Oblast. Sudzha FIRES A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast advanced as far east as Plekhovo (southeast of Sudzha) on the left bank of the Psyol River. ISW is recessing the claimed limit of Ukrainian advances up to Snagost (south of Korenevo), given that a Russian milblogger claimed on August 8 that Russian forces began clearing the settlement. ISW is also recessing the claimed limit of Ukrainian advances to the northern outskirts of Malaya Loknya (northwest of Sudzha and roughly 13 km from the international border) as Russian milbloggers claimed on August 9 that Russian forces counterattacked near the settlement Geolocated footage published on August 9 indicates that Ukrainian forces were recently operating west of Sudzha, within the settlement, north of Sudzha near Kazachya Loknya, and northeast of Leonidovo (northwest of Sudzha and roughly 10 kilometers from the international border) and in Dmitriukov.[5] Russian milbloggers continued to issue contradictory statements about Ukrainian positions in Sudzha. One source claimed that Ukrainian forces are not operating within Sudzha, while another claimed that Ukrainian troops are located in the settlement but cannot operate freely. Ukrainian forces reportedly struck a Russian military convoy east of Rylsk near Oktyabrskoye, Kursk Oblast. Geolocated footage published on August 9 shows the aftermath of the strike and destroyed Russian trucks along the 38K-017 highway.[13] Russian and Ukrainian sources stated that there were 14 Ural and KAMAZ covered trucks carrying Russian reserves intended to reinforce Russian forces in Kursk Oblast and that the strike likely killed several Russian personnel traveling in the trucks.[14] Russian sources suggested that the column may have been transporting personnel from the Russian Northern Grouping of Forces' 44th Army Corps (Leningrad Military District) or the "Pyatnashka" Brigade.[15] Russian milbloggers theorized about which weapons system Ukraine may have used to conduct this strike, although ISW is not prepared to comment on which system Ukraine may have used during the strike. understandingwar.org/... We will remind you that RU is the same country that had tanks fire at the ZNPP in Zaporizhzhia, set up a military base on the territory of the power station, shelled the opposite coast from it, and regularly staged provocations to blame Ukraine for the attack. Unlikely claims make the attacking force less than 30 km away from the Kursk NPP. Ukrainian forced are apparently advancing towards Kursk NPP located 40 km west of Kursk. Kurchatov raion and four more raions in Kursk oblast lost power after the electrical substation got destroyed (likely by an UAV attack) last night. Fierce fighting is allegedly ongoing near the city of #Kurchatov, a satellite city of #KurskNPP. x ⚡️ The Kursk NPP is being prepared for defence, — according to russian media. All power has been cut off at the nuclear power plant's under-construction units, and construction workers have left the site. Security at the plant has been reinforced and the russian Guard has… pic.twitter.com/tc8KK3lBP0 — BLYSKAVKA (@blyskavka_ua) August 9, 2024 Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes targeting Ukraine on the night of August 8 to 9. Ukrainian Air Force Commander Lieutenant General Mykola Oleshchuk reported that Russian forces launched 27 Shahed-136/131 drones from Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai and that Ukrainian forces shot down all the drones over Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Donetsk, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.[63] Russian forces struck a supermarket in Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast on August 9, reportedly with a Kh-38ML air-to-surface missile, and Ukrainian officials stated that the strike killed at least 11 people.[64] A Russian news outlet claimed that a Russian Iskander missile strike against a Ukrainian headquarters in northern Kharkiv Oblast killed several Ukrainian generals on the night of August 6 to 7, although ISW has not observed wider reporting or confirmation of this claim.[65] understandingwar.org/... Key Takeaways: Russian sources claimed on August 9 that Ukrainian forces advanced further east in Kursk Oblast but are likely no longer operating as far north or as far west as Russian sources previously claimed on August 8. Ukrainian forces reportedly struck a Russian military convoy east of Rylsk near Oktyabrskoye, Kursk Oblast. The Russian military command appears to be relying on existing units deployed to the international border area and readily available forces in the rear, most of which are units staffed with conscripts and irregular forces, to address the ongoing Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast. These units would likely be the first to respond even if the Russian military command has decided to transfer additional, more experienced units from elsewhere in the theater. The Russian military command may currently be resisting operational pressures to redeploy forces from other operational directions to prevent the Ukrainian incursion from disrupting Russian offensive operations in eastern Ukraine. The Russian military command may currently be transferring more experienced and better-provisioned frontline units from eastern or southern Ukraine to Kursk Oblast, but it would likely take additional time for such units to arrive in Kursk Oblast. Ukrainian forces conducted strikes against a Russian military airfield in Lipetsk Oblast and other Russian military targets in occupied Crimea and Donetsk Oblast on August 9. Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues to posture itself as providing sufficient medical care to Russian servicemembers. Russian forces reportedly seized border settlements northwest of Kharkiv City in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts on August 9, but ISW has yet to observe confirmation of Russian gains in these areas. ...Russian forces have recently conducted small sabotage and reconnaissance activities in border areas northwest of Kharkiv City in Kharkiv and Sumy oblasts, but Russian sources may be amplifying these reports to distract from the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast.[42] understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... Russian forces recently advanced east of Pokrovsk amid continued offensive operations in the area on August 9. Geolocated footage published on August 9 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced west of Novooleksandrivka and within Ivanivka (both east of Pokrovsk).[51] understandingwar.org/... understandingwar.org/... Ukrainian forces landed on the Kinburn Spit and conducted a raid in the area on August 9. Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that GUR units landed on the Kinburn Spit and destroyed six Russian armored vehicles and wounded and killed several dozen Russian personnel in the area.[60] GUR posted geolocated footage of GUR personnel raising a Ukrainian flag at a position on the Kinburn Spit, but it is unlikely that the GUR personnel have maintained an enduring presence at these positions given the GUR's description of the landing as a raid.[61] Russian sources, including the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD), claimed that up to 16 Ukrainian personnel conducted an unsuccessful landing near the Kinburn Spit with four watercraft and that Russian forces destroyed several of the watercraft and repelled Ukrainian forces from the Kinburn Spit following small arms engagements on land.[62] understandingwar.org/... x I'm obsessed with ending Russia's invasion of Ukraine because I believe in freedom and democracy and I'm against colonialism and annexation. Arent those conservative values too? Oh & the U.S. of course is not going to war with Russia. https://t.co/JPPGd0fTwX — Michael McFaul (@McFaul) August 9, 2024 [END] --- [1] Url: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/8/9/2213580/-Ukraine-Invasion-Day-899-Incursion-operations-continue?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web Published and (C) by Daily Kos Content appears here under this condition or license: Site content may be used for any purpose without permission unless otherwise specified. via Magical.Fish Gopher News Feeds: gopher://magical.fish/1/feeds/news/dailykos/