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Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Revisiting election predictions [1]

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Date: 2024-04-03  

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup is a long-running series published every morning that collects essential political discussion and analysis around the internet.

This prediction was from 2023, by David Frum/The Atlantic:

The Coming Biden Blowout Republicans thought about running without Trump in 2024—but lost their nerve. They’re heading for electoral disaster again. ‘The Republican plan for 2024 is already failing, and the party leadership can see it and knows it. There was no secret to a more intelligent and intentional Republican plan for 2024. It would have gone like this: (1) Replace Donald Trump at the head of the ticket with somebody less obnoxious and impulsive. (2) Capitalize on inflation and other economic troubles.

This one is from the last few days, from a podcast with Greg Sargent/The New Republic:

Why Trump’s Lunacy Is Suddenly Raising GOP Fears of Down-Ballot Losses Republicans facing tough races seem to have realized that having Donald Trump at the top of the ticket might pose a problem. What took them so long? GOP members of Congress facing tough races are suddenly worried that having Donald Trump at the top of the ticket might present them with a problem, according to new reports. They fear having to answer for Trump’s degeneracy and extremism, even as the GOP’s small-donor base is not delivering at the very moment that Trump is siphoning off party money for legal fees. What explains this sudden GOP epiphany about Trump? How likely is it that these fears will materialize? We chatted with Tim Persico, a top Democratic operative involved in House races in 2022, who provided insights into how this Trump effect really works.

x House Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good endorsed Derrick Evans, a convicted Capitol rioter, in his primary challenge against a sitting House Republican.



https://t.co/1ezbnWrCvz — Mike Walker (@New_Narrative) April 3, 2024

x Rep. Carol Miller's spokeswoman responds to Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good endorsing her opponent in her West Virginia district primary. The GOP member v member tensions continue on the campaign trail: https://t.co/3STihhHsPw https://t.co/ZFXKXrFie5 — Marianna Sotomayor (@MariannaReports) April 3, 2024

Tom Nichols/The Atlantic:

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