[HN Gopher] Tech valuations are back to pre-AI boom levels
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Tech valuations are back to pre-AI boom levels
Author : akyuu
Score : 36 points
Date : 2026-04-12 22:13 UTC (47 minutes ago)
(HTM) web link (www.apollo.com)
(TXT) w3m dump (www.apollo.com)
| sfblah wrote:
| Must be using some strange definition for tech or valuations,
| because last I'd heard tech was some huge percentage of the S&P
| 500, and the index has dropped like 10% from its ATH.
| jjmarr wrote:
| The definition is the first sentence of the post:
|
| > The chart below compares the forward P/E ratios for the S&P
| 500 and the S&P 500 Information Technology sector.
|
| > Tech valuations have compressed from 40x to 20x, and we are
| back at levels last seen before the AI boom began
|
| Forward PE is the ratio of stock price to anticipated earnings.
|
| If it's higher, then investors are predicting future growth in
| a company.
| m101 wrote:
| Except they are fundamentally different companies now. Now they
| have no free cash flow and they are extremely capital intensive
| industrial businesses.
|
| Another note is that this is on forward earnings. What may have
| just happened is analyst expectations on forward earnings have
| caught up what markets prices earlier. Forward earnings generally
| lag pricing, this happens on the way up, and on the way down..
| kaycebasques wrote:
| Aside: why are Alphabet and Meta bucketed into the Communications
| sector rather than the IT one? Meta kinda makes sense, but
| Alphabet much less so.
|
| Are there any other notable IT companies that aren't actually
| part of the S&P500 IT sector?
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