[HN Gopher] DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market
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       DRAM pricing is killing the hobbyist SBC market
        
       Author : ingve
       Score  : 127 points
       Date   : 2026-04-01 21:36 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.jeffgeerling.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.jeffgeerling.com)
        
       | wpferrell wrote:
       | Totally agree. Just like graphics card prices. Is it worth
       | building a pc now?
        
       | fidotron wrote:
       | OTOH things which belong on microcontrollers are now being pushed
       | back to microcontrollers for cost reasons, so there is a win to
       | be found there.
        
       | a1o wrote:
       | Holy crap, it is super expensive now. I should have brought an
       | extra one in the past.
        
       | jokoon wrote:
       | it's probably time to call those old retired programmers to ask
       | them how to reduce software memory footprint
       | 
       | or to teach that again
        
         | rat9988 wrote:
         | The art is not lost, just not funded. Feel free to fund the
         | programmers for your own software projects.
        
           | tempest_ wrote:
           | It isnt lost but it also isnt a common skill set in
           | programmers any more.
           | 
           | Most programmers are JS web devs writing client side code or
           | server side CRUD.
           | 
           | I would guess < 10% of programmers writing code today get
           | perf / valgrind out on the regular. I know I dont.
        
             | siruwastaken wrote:
             | Most people don't have the chance to do that, but hopefully
             | we can see some other languages get first class access on
             | the web. At least there is the whole WASM project.
        
             | zozbot234 wrote:
             | You can still write JS or TypeScript code that tries its
             | best to keep memory use under check. JavaScript was around
             | in the late 90s when the memory footprint of software was
             | at least an order of magnitude lower, so it's absolutely
             | doable.
        
         | zozbot234 wrote:
         | Just rewrite your biggest memory hogs in Rust, it routinely
         | slashes RAM footprint and demand for RAM throughput. The effect
         | is even bigger than the typical reduction in CPU use. You can
         | even ask AI to help you with the task, it will use a lot less
         | RAM for it than the rewrite will save down the road.
        
           | IncreasePosts wrote:
           | Why would we need rust, if the AI can just write really good
           | code in C that doesn't exhibit any of the issues that rust
           | protects you from?
        
             | msy wrote:
             | 'rewrite in C, make sure there are no memory leaks'. You
             | first.
        
             | Aurornis wrote:
             | Rust's compile-time checks are actually a nice set of
             | guardrails for LLMs.
             | 
             | Nobody who works with LLM generated code believes that LLMs
             | produce fault-free code.
        
             | post-it wrote:
             | It can't, because there is no really good code to train off
             | of.
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | Because it can't?
        
               | maplethorpe wrote:
               | Have you tried asking Claude 4.6 Opus?
        
       | jonathantf2 wrote:
       | DRAM pricing is killing the _everything_ market.
       | 
       | We just had a vendor uplift our quote 50% per unit for some
       | machines because of a mix of memory + supply chain issues.
        
         | dangus wrote:
         | That's strange, there aren't wider market supply chain issues
         | outside of DRAM. Maybe your vendor is just throwing excuses
         | around.
        
           | ls612 wrote:
           | SSDs and HDDs are being squeezed as well.
        
             | mhitza wrote:
             | Don't forget SDCards
             | 
             | "Memory card prices have TRIPLED in the last few months:
             | when will this madness stop?!"
             | https://www.digitalcameraworld.com/cameras/memory-
             | cards/memo...
        
               | geerlingguy wrote:
               | Sony stopped making their cards entirely, which stinks
               | because I'd settled on their pro cards for all my camera
               | bodies.
        
             | tempest_ wrote:
             | We just had a vendor tell us none of the HDDs we were
             | looking for were available unless we also committed to a
             | full NAS offering.
        
           | cyanydeez wrote:
           | uh, prthspd you've heard of the third world war started in
           | Iran?
        
           | celsius1414 wrote:
           | They're throwing _something_ around.
        
           | OJFord wrote:
           | DRAM is up _more_ than that 50% though.
        
           | CTDOCodebases wrote:
           | Fuel price rises = logistics price rises.
        
             | michaelt wrote:
             | You're right that fuel prices have risen. But usually the
             | impact of fuel prices is mostly felt on bulkier, lower cost
             | items first.
             | 
             | After all, a truck can carry a 10kg sack of rice, or a 10kg
             | nvidia gpu. If shipping costs for 10kg rise by $15 the sack
             | of rice has doubled in price, but the GPU is only 0.5% more
             | expensive.
        
           | Analemma_ wrote:
           | This isn't true: NAND flash prices are up too, though not
           | nearly as dramatically. But the war means that fuel and
           | shipping prices are way up as well.
        
         | zie wrote:
         | At work we just got a quote to upgrade a couple servers,
         | original price a few years ago was ~ $150k. Essentially the
         | same hardware, just newer, is now quoted at ~ $450k.
         | 
         | We decided to just keep our current hardware for now and extend
         | a support contract for ~ normal price.
        
       | dangus wrote:
       | "Killing" is strong phrasing.
       | 
       | Yes, a $250 mini PC I bought last year is now $350.
       | 
       | Is this pricing bad? Yeah, compared to what it was.
       | 
       | Is this the end of the world? Not really, and we've seen price
       | spikes for all kinds of PC components in the past. It's rarely
       | permanent.
        
         | SSchick wrote:
         | Not everyone earns tech bro salaries and can sustain a thousand
         | cuts. Many hobbiests are scraping and saving money to acquire
         | hardware. For some it very well msy be the end of their world.
        
           | dangus wrote:
           | We are talking about brand new latest gen hardware here.
           | People with low budgets are always scraping and saving for
           | deals and don't need to buy something brand new from a pricey
           | brand name like raspberry pi.
           | 
           | You can still jump on eBay and buy all kinds of dirt cheap
           | used pieces of hardware.
           | 
           | My buddy just bought a used ThinkPad T14 with 32GB of RAM and
           | 1TB of storage for about $500. You can get by with a whole
           | lot less.
           | 
           | In this context, I will also present the idea that Rasperry
           | Pi has represented quite poor cost value for many years now.
        
             | ciupicri wrote:
             | That cheap stuff from eBay that people talk about all the
             | time seems to be available only in North America, or in the
             | best case Western Europe.
             | 
             | ThinkPad T14 which generation?
        
               | homebrewer wrote:
               | Yes, 90%+ of sellers refuse to ship here (and we're not
               | even under any sanctions and/or political pressure of any
               | sort). I hear about these magical 100$ Thinkpads all the
               | time; I'm yet to see anything cheaper than 300$ (add
               | another 100$+ for shipping).
        
             | homebrewer wrote:
             | Have you looked at how expensive international shipping is?
             | eBay covers just a few countries, the rest of us can't buy
             | there because we'll be paying 10 times the cost of hardware
             | to get it over here.
             | 
             | I already moaned about this recently, but to briefly
             | reiterate: the only hardware that's becoming available for
             | most people in my region are Frankenstein desktops built
             | from heavily used 10+ year old Xeons running on suspicious
             | motherboards made by obscure Chinese manufacturers you've
             | never heard of. This is pushing ever more people towards
             | smartphones and away from actual computers.
             | 
             | But at least we got the bullshit machine in return, that's
             | something, I guess.
        
               | SkyeCA wrote:
               | > Have you looked at how expensive international shipping
               | is?
               | 
               | It really shocks me how bad shipping has gotten. It's
               | nearly unaffordable to buy things on eBay from the US as
               | a Canadian due to shipping costs, so I can only imagine
               | just how bad it is for people from other countries.
        
         | doubled112 wrote:
         | That sounds pretty nice. The same mini PC I paid $195 for in
         | 2023 is now $450. Seems to be life in Canada sometimes.
         | 
         | It had caused me to look around though. I have found the Pi
         | Zero 2W to be surprisingly capable for Pi sized jobs.
        
       | einpoklum wrote:
       | The title should say: "Collusion of large corporations promoting
       | LLMs with RAM manufacturers is killing the hobbyist SBC market
       | (and bankrupting anybody trying to get a PC or laptop)".
       | 
       | Because we all know that DRAM prices have spiked since production
       | is going to those infernal chatbot training data centers. Same as
       | a lot of the electricity in some parts of the world, BTW.
        
         | Permit wrote:
         | Can you elaborate on the collusion aspect? Is the implication
         | that OpenAI and Anthropic are coordinating their purchases in
         | such a way that they target the hobbyist market? What's the
         | collusion angle here?
        
         | neonstatic wrote:
         | > Collusion of large corporations promoting LLMs
         | 
         | > We all know that DRAM prices have spiked since production is
         | going to those infernal chatbot training data centers
         | 
         | I know it's very fashionable here to talk about capitalism as
         | some hand-washes-hand big corp organized scam, but if you put
         | that ideology aside for a moment, you contradicted yourself
         | here, I think.
         | 
         | I personally don't like conspiracy-theory-thinking. If I was a
         | DRAM manufacturer and had to choose between servicing a single
         | customer, who orders hundreds of millions worth of my product,
         | or service a very large number of customers who order tiny
         | amounts of the product a piece, then of course I would focus on
         | the large client, because they are easier to service for the
         | expected profit margin. I wouldn't even need to think about
         | advertisement, sales, all that jazz. Looking at it from that
         | perspective, it seems pretty logical to me that a spike in
         | demand from datacenter operators would rise prices
         | dramatically. I struggle to see room for collusion / conspiracy
         | here.
        
           | ozborn wrote:
           | A couple of issues, first there is a history of price
           | collusion (see DRAM price fixing scandal on Wikipedia) and
           | while it may be "logical" from a seller point of view to
           | prefer large orders, this upsets a lot of people and used to
           | be illegal in the United States (it may still be illegal, but
           | it's not enforced)
        
       | throwaway81523 wrote:
       | Yikes. First, home taping killed music. And now this. We are
       | doomed.
        
       | elwebmaster wrote:
       | It's terrible. Fake money is fueling the exhaustion of real
       | resources in search of questionable outcomes ("AGI"). Imagine if
       | all of these money were invested in curing cancer.
        
         | mhb wrote:
         | Imagine if AI cures cancer.
        
           | squidsoup wrote:
           | You can imagine all you want, but my understanding is there
           | is no credible evidence that scaling LLMs will result in true
           | AGI.
        
             | mhb wrote:
             | Obviously there's no "evidence". Why would you even think
             | we need AGI? But I'm happy to hear your reasoning if you
             | were one of the few/only? people who imagined that software
             | that could predict the next word could do what it now is
             | doing.
        
           | elwebmaster wrote:
           | You don't have to imagine, it will hallucinate you a slop
           | with full confidence every time.
        
           | AlotOfReading wrote:
           | Let's also imagine an alternative reality where some
           | reasonable percentage of the $2.5T in current year AI
           | spending was instead invested in the "general intelligence"
           | researchers we already have for the same purpose. I think
           | it's a pretty reasonable expectation that 1) they'd probably
           | make more progress and 2) that money would help a lot more
           | people in the process (through jobs and economic activity).
        
       | michaelt wrote:
       | _> The price increases bring the 16GB Pi 5 up to $299.99._
       | 
       | Meanwhile, a refurbished corporate laptop with 16GB RAM and a
       | 512GB SSD can be yours for $199 [1]
       | 
       | I'm sure there will still be people who want the Pi 5 but at
       | these prices, I ain't one of them.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.ebay.com/itm/327079631563
        
         | tempest_ wrote:
         | Those will dry up soon enough. Corporate laptop refreshes will
         | be drawn out as they try and cost save on the increased price.
         | 
         | You also better hope the aliexpress dont figure out a way to
         | get the RAM out of those things because they will start
         | harvesting it for sure if there is money to made.
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | For most older laptops it's easy enough, you just open them
           | up and take the RAM sticks out. There are SO-DIMM to DIMM
           | adaptors to fit a laptop memory stick in a DIMM socket.
        
           | tredre3 wrote:
           | > Those will dry up soon enough.
           | 
           | We're talking about a pi replacement. The Pi 5 is slower than
           | a 10yo laptop. That's gives us a very vast pool of used
           | laptops.
           | 
           | > You also better hope the aliexpress dont figure out a way
           | to get the RAM
           | 
           | That is a real worry and I can see used machines being gutted
           | because selling DDR3/4/5 sticks is way easier and profitable
           | than the whole machine. Adapters for SODIMM to regular DIMM
           | are readily available and cheap, too.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | The EDU Neo is $500, too bad it's not as versatile.
        
       | Venn1 wrote:
       | Is there anything (technically) preventing SBC manufacturers
       | adding SODIMM slots?
       | 
       | I was expecting the Milk V Titan to avoid this memory nonsense
       | since it has two unpopulated DDR4 slots, but it has fallen off
       | the radar like several other SBCs.
        
         | tempest_ wrote:
         | DDR4 is also crazy expensive right now so this just depends on
         | you having some around from a previous build
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | It actually seems to be slightly less expensive than DDR5,
           | perhaps due to the lower throughput that makes it
           | uncompetitive for AI-adjacent workloads.
        
         | murderfs wrote:
         | SODIMMs are huge compared to a BGA memory package which is a
         | problem if your goal is to minimize your board size (e.g. I
         | don't think there's a reasonable way to fit it into a Raspberry
         | Pi form factor without something weird and expensive like a
         | mezzanine connector). Routing the signals is also somewhat more
         | annoying because they all come out of one edge of the connector
         | compared to a BGA package which has them fan out in every
         | direction, giving more space for length matching traces, etc.
         | You'll likely need additional PCB layers compared to a BGA
         | chip.
        
       | Lwrless wrote:
       | Got my RPi 5 16GB quite a while ago for around $160 and already
       | thought that was expensive... It's still powerful enough for
       | almost everything I throw at it, honestly a bit overkill in most
       | scenarios.
       | 
       | With prices steadily going up, for me it's starting to feel more
       | sensible to repurpose the RAM sticks I've collected from old PC
       | builds / laptops and just throw together small amd64 boxes
       | instead of buying more RPis.
        
         | jorvi wrote:
         | I wonder if there are low power Intel or AMD boards that accept
         | DDR3. So many sticks of 2 / 4 / 8GB DDR3 inside laptops going
         | into recycling or landfills which would do perfectly fine for
         | low power purposes. Hell, performance for standard workloads
         | scales with access times, not bandwidth, and DDR3 sits nicely
         | at CAS8 1600MHz and CAS10 2133MHz..
        
           | w-ll wrote:
           | [delayed]
        
       | JollySharp0 wrote:
       | There are ups and downs in the prices of components. Often people
       | forget that during COVID prices were high for SBCs because of
       | supply chain issues. Video cards just were not available in the
       | UK and afterwards (every supplier had long lead times) and are
       | still relatively expensive (at least there are now lower priced
       | options). Raspberry Pis you couldn't get hold of and many people
       | (Jeff Included) was using a website checking for availability
       | which was non-existent for anything other than low end models.
       | 
       | I remember 15-20 years ago when hard drive prices went up through
       | the roof because there was a flood in Thailand and it too years
       | for prices to come down.
       | 
       | There is going to be supply chain issues due to the current
       | Geopolitical situation (Helium comes out of the Gulf and that is
       | need in chip manufacture) is also going to affect the price of
       | components.
       | 
       | Eventually in a few years (as the article states) the situation
       | will change. It just sucks at the moment.
       | 
       | TBH I am more worried about my ability to fill up the tank on my
       | car as both Petrol and Diesel is unavailable locally. I can make
       | do with whatever computer equipment I have.
        
         | zozbot234 wrote:
         | > People are quick to forget that during COVID prices were high
         | for SBCs because of supply chain issues.
         | 
         | inb4 AI has the same supply chain effects as a worldwide
         | pandemic. I guess those AI doomers that talked about it being
         | the end of the world had it right!
        
           | JollySharp0 wrote:
           | Doomers IMO are just click baiting.
           | 
           | There is a saying that is often trotted out my economists
           | "That the cure for high prices, is high prices".
           | 
           | There is a consumer market and business need for DRAM outside
           | of AI. Someone will fulfil the need as there is a high
           | incentive to. It just going to take a bit of time for this to
           | happen. My equipment is going to be fine for another few
           | years. So I am going to just hang tight and make do with what
           | I got for now.
        
             | dwattttt wrote:
             | > Someone will fulfil the need as there is a high incentive
             | to
             | 
             | And those uses which fall short of the new threshold, e.g.
             | hobbyist SBCs, slowly fall away.
        
       | contextfree wrote:
       | what are the barriers to new DRAM supply coming online?
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | Huge capital outlays and no guarantee the prices stay high.
        
       | esskay wrote:
       | The SBC markets been on life support for a long time. Youtubers
       | making videos about them don't seem to grasp that and keep
       | pumping out reviews and projects like its still 2019. The pi
       | specifically has plummeted in popularity and for most use cases
       | they just aren't a cost effective option when second hand micro
       | pcs are dirt cheap and vastly more capable.
        
         | msgilligan wrote:
         | I don't think comparing new Pis to used micro pcs is fair.
         | Compare a _used_ Pi with a used micro pc. If you have any geek
         | friends, it's probably not hard to find a used Pi for free.
        
         | throwaway85825 wrote:
         | PCs don't have GPIO. They're different markets and the desktop
         | replacement never materialized.
        
       | Havoc wrote:
       | Bought a couple of 32gb SBCs before this all hit the fan. And
       | also built a SSD NAS before the wave hit.
       | 
       | So timed that all pretty great. What worries me is my desktop is
       | up for a full new buy somewhere around early '28. That could be a
       | train wreck depending on how taiwan situation goes
        
       | rtpg wrote:
       | am I crazy for thinking that the 16GB Pi 5 is just there to
       | absorb money from people who purchase the most expensive version
       | of things? Like really nobody needs that much RAM on a Pi?
        
       | Aurornis wrote:
       | The extreme DRAM market has had an unexpected side effect of
       | triggering a lot of panic buying. I know several people who
       | delayed PC upgrades for years but then panic bought new systems
       | in this market. The trigger was seeing all of the "It's only
       | going to get worse" and "This is the end of personal computing"
       | headlines.
       | 
       | They're already regretting spending so much now that prices have
       | started to tick downward.
       | 
       | I keep telling everyone: If you don't have a pressing need to buy
       | right now, please wait 6 months and check again.
        
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       (page generated 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC)