[HN Gopher] An industrial piping contractor on Claude Code [video]
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       An industrial piping contractor on Claude Code [video]
        
       Author : mighty-fine
       Score  : 122 points
       Date   : 2026-03-18 20:50 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (twitter.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (twitter.com)
        
       | bayarearefugee wrote:
       | For better or for worse, when everyone is a "potential software
       | founder" nobody is because your potential customers can just use
       | AI the same way you did.
        
         | c0wb0yc0d3r wrote:
         | I believe that it just changes the opportunity cost. There are
         | still only 24 hours in a day. You can't copy everything.
        
       | steve_adams_86 wrote:
       | I've more or less accepted this, and I think my future is in
       | making software more resilient, secure, and fault tolerant. These
       | people will likely want to scale these solutions up, tie
       | different solutions together, and generally make their lives
       | increasingly difficult. Often without realizing it.
       | 
       | My experience is that Claude starts to make quite a mess in this
       | context, and it'll often cause as many problems as it solves
       | unless you have the technical and domain knowledge to redirect
       | and correct it frequently. Perhaps training will solve this, and
       | it'll certainly get better, but I'm not sure how far it'll go and
       | how fast.
       | 
       | My gut feeling is that software will only become more ambitious
       | and interface with hardware and other systems in increasingly
       | sophisticated ways. Things that seemed infeasible due to time and
       | cost constraints will be on the table. It'll reveal new
       | challenges, I think. I have a feeling it'll be humans with deep
       | technical skills who are at the forefront of solving those
       | challenges for a while yet.
       | 
       | Not claiming I have the skills and to be one of those people,
       | just that it's where I'm pushing my career at the moment.
       | 
       | I'm stoked that people like this have the resources and newfound
       | capabilities to create solutions like this. The reality is that
       | previously, many people have been underserved due to the
       | economics of software and inherent risks of trying things like
       | this as a smaller business owner. So this is great. We can find
       | more ways that software can be valuable, and people can do their
       | jobs better in ways they've literally only imagined before. It's
       | great.
        
         | edg5000 wrote:
         | What could happen is a reduction in the amount of programs
         | used, with a smaller set of more sophisticated programs doing
         | more work. This maps to what we saw pre-industrial revolution:
         | lots of small family operations doing menial manufacturing work
         | (woodworking, textiles, cooking). This got replaced by large
         | factories. A smaller amount of companies producing the a larger
         | volume of goods. With AI, a smaller group of engineers could
         | handle more local complexity, thus allowing more sophisticated,
         | general purpose software to be created, deleting the sea of
         | small pieces of software we have today.
         | 
         | Will this means many will be jobless? No, they would do other
         | things. They'd be using this software to support society,
         | operating at a high level. Think low-code, but incredibly
         | complex stuff; just not raw code anymore. Instead of making
         | circuit boards out of descrete components, you now slap a few
         | ICs on a board with some supporting passives and the work is
         | then all done in software. Engineers use more high-level
         | components rather then welding and machinijng things from
         | scratch; you buy T-slot profiles and bolts rather than casting
         | and milling steel from billets.
         | 
         | So the job of programmer may disappear simmilar to how we don't
         | have bakers anymore, baking is done in factories, operated by a
         | small staff. Current-day programmers will then increasingly
         | shift to whatever high-level constructs we'll come up with,
         | this high level work will be supported by the base
         | infrastructure that those who still touch raw code will build.
        
           | georgeburdell wrote:
           | From what I have observed in my team, the opposite is
           | occurring. Everyone is just making their own software because
           | the barriers are so low. There is a lot less sharing and
           | coordination going on, and the bottleneck moved to having the
           | hardware available to run it all, so now we're spending a lot
           | more money on compute.
        
           | wild_egg wrote:
           | Factories benefit from economies of scale that favour
           | centralization.
           | 
           | I think smaller groups handling more complexity is on point.
           | But that's because each group will build their own bespoke
           | factory catered to their exact needs.
           | 
           | I very fully expect a mass proliferation of custom programs
           | rather than standardizing on a common set that groans under
           | the weight of being so general to support all use cases.
        
         | gzread wrote:
         | What were you doing before, if not making resilient software?
         | 
         | I find that scalability is usually overblown because computers
         | are fast now, which is not to say you shouldn't make it run
         | fast on _one_ computer.
        
           | steve_adams_86 wrote:
           | I had to strike more of a balance between moving quickly and
           | focusing strictly on resilience. The difference moving
           | forward would be that the features already exist, and my job
           | will increasingly be focused on ensuring they work properly,
           | and the underlying systems supporting features are
           | consistent, cohesive, and not duct taped together like an LLM
           | built it.
           | 
           | It reminds me a lot of my early career spent remediating
           | offshored PHP applications.
        
         | robotswantdata wrote:
         | Are we sure Claude Scale(tm) won't appear next month? A
         | specialist agent that turns your vibe coded mess into a
         | production grade scaled solution on their infrastructure.
         | 
         | Expect anthropic to want to capture more of the supply chain
         | over time
        
           | edgyquant wrote:
           | Yeah which is why the solution has to be legislative. These
           | companies are trying to take over the entire industry and
           | even if they won't have as good a solution as someone who
           | only focuses on one thing they have the capital, distribution
           | and name recognition to kill any upstarts
        
           | pron wrote:
           | If they could they would, and if they can they will. Maybe it
           | will appear next month, and maybe 5 years from now, and we
           | don't know which of these is more likely. But I think that if
           | agents could actually produce good, reliable software than
           | can evolve over time, there's little they couldn't do even
           | beyond software. So it won't be (just) the software
           | developers being replaced, but also software users.
        
         | kaycey2022 wrote:
         | scaling these solutions will prove to be counter productive. If
         | you are thinking of scaling you are still trapped in the
         | current paradigm. This plumber guy is only unique in that he
         | read the news and pushed a little harder to see what the actual
         | f is going on. In the days that come, every single person who
         | is serious about their job will do and experience the same
         | thing.
         | 
         | I'm not saying this particular individual is wrong in trying to
         | build his solution to the market. Maybe there is some VC money
         | to be made in this moment. But as AI in the workplace gets
         | normalised, most people will either come up with solutions for
         | their problems, or they will ask someone they know to help them
         | with this.
         | 
         | scale will only matter if you are explicitly building a
         | platform. That will still require real software engineering
         | skills.
         | 
         | As for hardware interfacing, if I am not mistaken, almost all
         | companies selling hardware right now still behave like babies
         | when it comes to users getting access to the software inside
         | it. They void warrantees, sue them, so on etc. For ambitious
         | user driven software innovations in the hardware space the
         | companies should open up their interfaces. I don't see this
         | happening at all not only because of the companies' greed but
         | also for regulatory and safety reasons.
        
         | pron wrote:
         | You assume that the agents can produce okayish software that
         | isn't very resilient, but that's not quite what we're seeing.
         | Remember Anthropic's attempt to have agents write a C compiler
         | (which isn't a super-complicated task by any means). Despite
         | preparation work that is well beyond what most software can
         | have (specs available to the agent and that the model trained
         | on, thousands of human-written tests available to the agent and
         | that the model trained on, and a human-written reference
         | implementation available to the agent and that the model
         | trained on) the agents still failed to converge. In other
         | words, under conditions that are so favourable as to be
         | unrealistic for almost any kind of real software, the AI agents
         | couldn't even produce so much a workable C compiler. And this
         | is what I also see: the agents take the code in a direction
         | that doesn't converge, let alone make it resilient.
        
       | herewulf wrote:
       | "Mechanical engineer uses code to improve engineering process".
       | Okay, this has been going on forever. Other engineering
       | disciplines and various fields using software to solve problems.
       | Programming doesn't exist in a vacuum of theory.
        
       | bob1029 wrote:
       | I think there are many moats that non-experts won't attempt to
       | cross even with AI assistance.
       | 
       | For example, we've built in a lot of complexity to areas like
       | authentication. And for good reason. It's like electrical code.
       | I'd pay good money to watch a muggle attempt to configure OIDC
       | infrastructure. Even with the AI explaining everything to you,
       | it's too much information to digest at once. You'd need an entire
       | afternoon just to wrap your head around the idea of asymmetric
       | cryptography. That's a lot of time not spent doing the thing your
       | business is actually about.
        
       | mrweasel wrote:
       | I absolutely love this, because to me, this is what software
       | development should be about, solving actual problems and
       | providing faster calculations, improving the workflow for people.
       | 
       | It does strike me as a little odd that they didn't hire a
       | developer earlier and got the code written. Sitting back and
       | waiting for someone to drop by and present a solution is a little
       | naive, but it's also the world we built in the IT industry over
       | the past 20 years. When I started my first job, we frequently had
       | customers ask for bespoke solution, most of which was small one
       | week to a few months of work. Multiple co-workers in the mid
       | 2000s has side businesses, where they did contract development,
       | most of which was these types of small one off solutions. Most of
       | the software companies, in my area, that did these types of jobs
       | are all gone now.
       | 
       | If AI accidentally created an environment where people can once
       | again solve small programming problems on their own and massively
       | improve the workflows I'm all for it. Serves the industry right
       | for abandoning these customers.
        
         | phil21 wrote:
         | Yeah the whole tech world did a weird side quest over the past
         | 20 or so years huffing its own farts due to how the
         | internet/adtech/etc sucked all the air out of everything else
         | tech related. And the economy as a whole.
         | 
         | It also coincided with the hollowing out and offshoring of
         | practically all US industrial and manufacturing capability.
         | 
         | I will be very happy if the result of AI means we go back to
         | how things should actually be - where technology/IT is used to
         | support real world things and acts as a backstage enabler to
         | get shit done. Not the main event.
         | 
         | I often said since the early 00's my dream would be to have
         | made enough money in the insanely stupid "tech for tech sake"
         | world to go back to just being one of a few "IT guys"
         | supporting a factory and keeping the machines running. These
         | jobs of course exist, but due to tech salaries very few small
         | manufacturing businesses could support hiring such a person.
         | 
         | There is now a generation or two of technologists who don't
         | understand that the job isn't to learn the latest hot web
         | framework or yammer on about best practices or whatever. It's
         | to support a business in shipping actual products to customers.
        
         | crispyambulance wrote:
         | I love it too. It's a really positive aspect of AI. And it's
         | NOT because it "takes jobs away from developers". In this case,
         | there was NO (professional/career) developer and NO software
         | product focused on what this guy did.
         | 
         | We've long made fun of excel-jockeys getting carried away with
         | VBA, but they came into being because engaging with turgid and
         | expensive software companies to do important but small jobs was
         | such a pain in the ass. This is the start of a new era, and
         | while I am sure we're going to see some wild fiascos, it is a
         | move in the right direction for people that need to solve
         | problems with computers.
        
         | jakeydus wrote:
         | You're telling me that salesforce CAN'T actually solve every
         | problem in the world more simply and efficiently than just
         | building a tool to fit the job??
         | 
         | The software industry has just abstracted every problem to the
         | point of being unable to solve anything.
        
         | sroerick wrote:
         | In my experience, I've worked with a number of people in non-
         | tech industries who tried to pivot their company into software,
         | and a huge obstacle was that ultimately the code became
         | unmaintainable.
         | 
         | Maybe they didn't have the expertise to pick a software stack
         | that would serve them in the long run, or they just didn't have
         | the budget to hire a SWE or team full time, or their contractor
         | team just wasn't super invested in the project.
         | 
         | So tech people look at "vibeslop" as unmaintainable technical
         | debt, but they ignore that in a lot of situations their own
         | salary is what makes the tech debt unmaintainable. Maybe that's
         | uncharitable, but I do think many techs are very far removed
         | from the "solve a problem and then dogfood it" cycle
        
       | f-serif wrote:
       | >10 minutes per drawing now takes 60 seconds. It can do 100
       | drawings in five minutes
       | 
       | bullshit story always leave something like this.
        
         | zupa-hu wrote:
         | I also caught this but then figured 10m may not be the typical
         | drawing time. 10m -> 1m means 10x faster. 5m = 300s alas
         | 3s/drawing. So maybe it only tool 30s/drawing previously.
         | (Unlikely.)
         | 
         | But even then, it also says 5m can save days of work. Days is
         | minimum 2days, or 16h, or 960s. That's not 10x faster as
         | previously stated, but 192x faster.
         | 
         | So yeah, it doesn't add up.
        
       | i_cannot_hack wrote:
       | It's a really interesting case study, but the summary seems to
       | lean into the AI hype to an extent that borders on lying.
       | 
       | > His fabrication shop uses it daily, and he built the entire
       | thing in 8 weeks. During those 8 weeks he also had to learn
       | everything about Claude Code, the terminal, VS Code, everything.
       | 
       | I don't see how he can give this summary with a straight face
       | after posting the interview that CLEARLY contradicts it.
       | 
       | In the interview the engineer says "When Claud Code came out
       | almost a year ago, I started dabbling with web based tools ..."
       | and "When it first came out I had so many ideas and tried all
       | these different things", so he had clearly already used
       | extensively it for a year. I would also guess the engineer was
       | somewhat technically minded from the get-go, since he claims he
       | was "really good with excel" before starting with Claude Code,
       | but that is beside the point.
       | 
       | The interviewer later asks "How much of those 8 weeks was
       | learning Claude Code versus actually building the thing?", and
       | the interviewee answers "Well, I started Claude Code when it
       | first came out so the learning curve has really gone down for me
       | now..." and then trails off to a different subject. Which further
       | confirms that the summary in the post is false.
       | 
       | It really seems like the engineer has spent the year prior
       | learning Claude Code and then spent 8 weeks on solely building
       | this specific application.
       | 
       | The interviewer also claims "This would normally have taken a
       | developer a year to build", which seems really unsubstantiated.
       | It's of course hard to judge without all the details, but looking
       | at the short demo in the video, 8 weeks of regular development
       | time from a somewhat experienced developer doesn't seem too far
       | fetched if the objective is "don't make it pretty, just make it
       | work".
       | 
       | As I said, it's a really interesting case study about a paradigm
       | shift in how software is developed, and it's clear this app would
       | never have existed without Claude Code. So I don't really see the
       | need for the blatant lying.
        
         | mirsadm wrote:
         | I've noticed even experienced engineers have started
         | overestimating how long things would take to build without AI.
         | Believe it or not we coded before AI and not everything took
         | years all the time.
        
           | le-mark wrote:
           | We've all worked on projects where it took months to get
           | requirements from the business. Sometimes to see the project
           | cancelled after months of sitting around waiting for them to
           | decide on things.
           | 
           | Coding has never been the roadblock in software. Indeed don't
           | we experience this now with ai? Vibe code a basics idea then
           | discover the things we didn't consider. Try to vibe that and
           | the code base quickly gets out of hand. Then we all discover
           | "spec driven development" SDD and in turn discover thinking
           | of specifying everything our selves is an even bigger of
           | PITA?
        
         | abelitoo wrote:
         | > So I don't really see the need for the blatant lying.
         | 
         | Because this is an advert
        
         | sumedh wrote:
         | He might be a bit nervous to speak to the camera and might have
         | messed up the timeline.
        
       | slopinthebag wrote:
       | I don't get it - it's an app that uses an image model to parse a
       | pdf file and structure the data with a csv export?
        
         | fdghrtbrt wrote:
         | Yes that phrase shows how simple it is, doesn't it?
         | 
         | But before LLMs, computers couldn't understand that phrase. Now
         | they can.
        
           | madaxe_again wrote:
           | I had a similar "oh wow this has normalised fast" a few weeks
           | back when someone was like "oh it just takes all the human
           | written recipe data and normalises it?" and I smiled at the
           | "just". Literally a nightmare problem only a few short years
           | ago.
        
       | shortercode wrote:
       | I feel both great and awful about this. For over a decade I've
       | said that nearly anyone that uses a computer could benefit from
       | some programming understanding. A little bit can go a long way to
       | solving problems like this. Problems that collectively slow down
       | and block the ambitions of a huge number of people worldwide.
       | 
       | But instead we've found a way to circumvent the process. Losing
       | the understanding of your own problem and the new ideas that come
       | off the back of it.
       | 
       | I'm reminded of the story that NASA had a research project to
       | make pens that would work in space, and Roscosmos just used
       | pencils. I always thought NASA came off worse in that anecdote,
       | but I wonder what they learnt while making the pen...
        
         | ash_091 wrote:
         | That story is a classic urban legend.
         | 
         | Both agencies used pencils, but they were problematic because
         | the graphite could break off / float around / cause shorts.
         | 
         | The space pen was developed by Fisher independently of NASA.
         | NASA bought 400 of them for $2.39 each. The Roscosmos later
         | bought 100 for the same price.
        
         | Tuna-Fish wrote:
         | The story is BS, btw.
         | 
         | Firstly, pencils in space pose serious risks. Pencils produce
         | dust, graphite dust is conductive, and won't settle down in
         | microgravity. They were used early on, but both space agencies
         | phased them out when they realized the risks. After that, they
         | first moved to grease pencils, which kind of suck for normal
         | writing.
         | 
         | NASA didn't research how to make pens that work in space, an
         | American private company did it on their own initiative and
         | money. Then they sold pens to NASA for cheap, and marketed the
         | same pens to people not in space for a lot of money and made a
         | nice profit.
         | 
         | Today, both Roscosmos and NASA use the same pens, bought from
         | Fisher.
        
           | iwontberude wrote:
           | Space pen is also an incredibly reliable pen here on earth
           | too. Highly suggest people grab one.
        
             | k1musab1 wrote:
             | Overpriced for what it is - there are pressurized tank pens
             | starting at $4, a lot more ergonomic too.
        
               | iwontberude wrote:
               | Oh neat had no clue
        
       | fdghrtbrt wrote:
       | Waiting for the "jUsT sToChAsTiC pArRoTs" crowd.
        
       | mromanuk wrote:
       | The guy from the story, it's just another developer starting from
       | a different trade, pretty normal across our history, musicians,
       | lawyers that discovered that they were good at computers. The
       | conclusion is flawed, not anyone can endure what this person did,
       | sit at a terminal, going back and forward until something is
       | finished. That's what a SW dev does. My conclusion, many more
       | people will discover that they are good at software, not
       | everybody, but some of them will discover this new powers, thanks
       | to a new lower barrier provided by LLM.
        
         | tariky wrote:
         | You are 100% correct. That guy just did not know that he has
         | developer soul.
        
         | pbiggar wrote:
         | Let's take the metaphor of writing. Would we say this guy is
         | just a writer who started from another trade? No. Writing is
         | something that used to require experts (scribes) and that now
         | anyone can do and is just a normal part of doing any work.
         | 
         | Developers are scribes - we have sacred knowledge that is now
         | being democratized because everyone can do it due to good
         | enough tools. As a result, we won't be needed much going
         | forward.
        
           | joshstrange wrote:
           | > Developers are scribes - we have sacred knowledge that is
           | now being democratized because everyone can do it due to good
           | enough tools. As a result, we won't be needed much going
           | forward.
           | 
           | The ability to solve problems is what's important. Not your
           | ability to remember things or to hold sacred knowledge.
        
             | vunderba wrote:
             | This. Software development probably requires some of the
             | _least_ boilerplate memorization in all of STEM. Deductive
             | reasoning and imagination are far more important than being
             | flexing that you've committed quicksort to memory.
        
             | 0x20cowboy wrote:
             | If that were true, industry interview processes would be
             | very different.
        
           | nkrisc wrote:
           | Writing is a tool, a technology. Much like hammers or saws,
           | which are also commodified. And even though anyone can go buy
           | a saw, not everyone is a carpenter.
        
             | andyferris wrote:
             | I am not a carpenter; I use a saw at least once a month.
        
             | mmooss wrote:
             | > Writing is a tool, a technology.
             | 
             | Like paint, it can be used as a tool, to paint your house,
             | or as a craft and artform, to paint the Rouen Cathedral.
        
           | AndrewKemendo wrote:
           | What is this "sacred knowledge?"
           | 
           | Is it knowing how to write a regex without a reference, or
           | maybe implementing a distributed ec postgres cluster using
           | bash, ooh how about writing a minimum cnn in C for edge
           | classification ooohhh wooowee...
           | 
           | Ever worked construction? There's hammer swingers that need
           | one swing per nail and never miss. Or plasterers that make
           | chalk look like marble. How about a high voltage lineman that
           | can switch a 20kv oil-cooled transformer in less than 15
           | minutes to get the power to the school back on
           | 
           | No different from any tradesman - we're not special
        
         | coldtea wrote:
         | > _thanks to a new lower barrier provided by LLM._
         | 
         | New lower barrier means commodification.
        
           | mathisfun123 wrote:
           | Lol no it doesn't you literally have it backwards - think
           | about the trades, specifically construction, as low barrier
           | to entry jobs and consider that houses/buildings are all
           | different (not commodities).
        
             | knollimar wrote:
             | Apprentices are considered commodities here
        
               | mathisfun123 wrote:
               | Lol you think developers aren't already commodities? You
               | joking?
               | 
               | edit: i love how this is getting downvotes but no further
               | responses. y'all are in denial. let me ask you this: why
               | is the most common interview loop round a _generic_ LC
               | round? lolol
        
               | coldtea wrote:
               | "Lol", do you think in lols or do you ever sit and
               | consider something more deeply? Or maybe you think adding
               | a lol makes the other side's argument ridiculous and
               | yours stronger?
               | 
               | Skipping the lols, here's the answer to your question:
               | doesn't matter if developers "are already commodities" to
               | some degree.
               | 
               | First, because that degree is small, else developers
               | wouldn't command such high salaries relative to other
               | trades. So they might be commoditized compared to
               | surgeons, but not at all compared to most office or blue
               | collar trades.
               | 
               | Second, even if they are commoditized to some degree, the
               | argument is that AI will bring further commodification.
               | Not that it will introduce the first and foremost case of
               | commodification in the developing world.
        
               | mathisfun123 wrote:
               | > developers wouldn't command such high salaries relative
               | to other trades.
               | 
               | lololol something can be a commodity and still expensive.
               | to wit: have you heard of this thing called oil which is
               | recently very expensive?
               | 
               | > do you think in lols or do you ever sit and consider
               | something more deeply?
               | 
               | i think deeply enough to recognize when someone's
               | reasoning is so flawed they should've almost immediately
               | reconsidered their claim upon conceiving of it. and then
               | i laugh out loud (at them) when they didn't. occasionally
               | many many times.
        
               | coldtea wrote:
               | > _lololol_
               | 
               | Go to Reddit, it would be a better fit. Or maybe 9gag.
               | 
               | > _something can be a commodity and still expensive. to
               | wit: have you heard of this thing called oil which is
               | recently very expensive?_
               | 
               | Which is irrelevant. That coding services are already a
               | product for sale is a given.
               | 
               | We're not talking about commodification in the "something
               | becoming an object that can be sold" sense. We're talking
               | about commodification in the sense of a product being
               | made generic and cheapened. If you didn't pick this up by
               | now, further discussion is pointless.
        
               | knollimar wrote:
               | I was pointing out the reference wasn't pointing at the
               | house but the apprentice.
               | 
               | Lower barrier to entry means the developers are _even
               | more_ interchangeable than now.
        
               | phil21 wrote:
               | Like all things it's a spectrum. Many developers (most
               | these days) are a commodity. The truly talented are not,
               | and are uniquely good at their specializations.
               | 
               | Just like tradesman. A generic electrician journeyman for
               | residential break/fix work is more or less a commodity
               | these days. A specialized electrician who is known to be
               | an expert at rehabbing 150 year old knob and tube wiring
               | on a historical mansion is not.
               | 
               | It's interesting to me how developers fought so hard to
               | commodify themselves though? When I started my career in
               | my early teens no one at all put jobs up for a
               | "programmer" - it was nearly always a "C programmer" or
               | "COBOl programmer" and most developers focused on one or
               | two languages as experts. Then there was usually even
               | further specialization on top of that as well!
               | 
               | Sometime after the dot com boom devs decided that if you
               | were a developer worth anything at all you could pick up
               | any language and be productive in it within weeks or
               | months in nearly any role or industry. I've always
               | thought this was insane.
        
             | coldtea wrote:
             | Lol,no.
             | 
             | Houses/buildings are each isolated physical structures.
             | 
             | Software is trivially and instantly replicated, and the
             | same software can serve millions.
             | 
             | Also, even in your example you're just the commodified
             | roofer or construction worker. Not the non-commodified
             | house.
        
             | dahart wrote:
             | > consider that houses/building are all different (not
             | commodities)
             | 
             | The vast majority of US housing construction is tract
             | housing, which is a commodity. In the EU, flats, which are
             | also commodities.
        
               | mathisfun123 wrote:
               | Citation please. Certainly I'm aware of cookie cutter
               | developments but "vast majority" seems like an
               | exaggeration to me.
        
               | williamcotton wrote:
               | _"The current market share of custom-built homes is
               | approximately 19% of total single-family starts"_
               | 
               | https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/08/custom-home-building-
               | grows...
        
               | xvedejas wrote:
               | New multifamily construction in the US that has to
               | undergo design review is arguably fairly custom in that
               | each site will have different requirements. I think it's
               | fair to say that commoditization is a spectrum?
        
               | zeckalpha wrote:
               | tract != multifamily
        
             | PepperdineG wrote:
             | Both can be true in homes being unique while also
             | functionally being like commodities. Whether a home or a
             | spec home or tract home the pricing is based similarly to
             | sports stats and no matter how one-of-a-kind a home is a
             | mortgage on such a home can then be packaged with a bunch
             | of other homes into a bond where bond investors will look
             | at the stats of the combined homes and who the borrowers
             | are.
        
             | gopher_space wrote:
             | It's difficult to appreciate just how quickly and obviously
             | low-barrier jobs sort people by ability and aptitude.
        
           | mikkupikku wrote:
           | It means specialization. When people with no software
           | development experience but lots of experience in some other
           | domain have the ability to create software that fits their
           | individual needs, that's a recipe for an explosion in highly
           | specialized tooling.
        
         | unkiep wrote:
         | This sounds like "no true Scotsman..."
        
           | smugtrain wrote:
           | More like the inverse. No true Scotsman seeks to remove
           | someone from belonging to a group to keep the group pure,
           | because no true member of that group could act in such a way.
           | This is adding people to a group that they would otherwise be
           | excluded from. It seeks to expand the definition of the group
           | to include the outsiders.
        
       | sltr wrote:
       | People like this will create a net increase in software jobs.
       | Once his software makes enough money so he doesn't have to sit in
       | front of a computer, he will employ someone. It will initially be
       | a gig fixing slop. https://www.slater.dev/2025/09/about-that-gig-
       | fixing-vibe-co...
       | 
       | People in the trades have a ruthless pragmatism that SV has
       | forgotten.
       | 
       | https://www.slater.dev/2025/08/oil-spills-can-create-jobs/
        
       | tonfreed wrote:
       | I think it's awesome that AI is enabling this. I think the the
       | future of software engineering is in helping make this kind of
       | thing resilient and removing the fragility that AI generated code
       | always seems to inject
        
       | steveBK123 wrote:
       | Trades / SWE overlap is interesting as I think they are analogous
       | to each other.
       | 
       | I went to college with a lot of actual engineers - mechanical,
       | electrical, chemical, etc. In those fields you are designing
       | products and then engineering processes to output a cog of some
       | sort (drug, car, GPU, iPhone, etc) in the thousands to millions.
       | 
       | In our fields as SWEs, a lot of our job it's like the trades
       | going into a house to install HVAC, fix a burst pipe, upgrade a
       | circuit breaker, replace a furnace, etc. No two setups are
       | exactly alike, no requirements are exactly alike, etc.
       | 
       | Even in the age of LLMs I think the industry remains more
       | artisanal than engineering. And that's not a knock on us, I think
       | it's because what we do is essentially automate business
       | processes.. and no two businesses are alike. I don't think LLMs
       | replace the role, it just makes parts of our job faster. The
       | mindset of how you automate something doesn't generally exist in
       | the minds of people who want the automation.
        
       | knollimar wrote:
       | I do this wirh conduit. Not as far along but definitely certain
       | tasks in trades are prime for automation.
       | 
       | Tbh this is nothing new; we knew technical people with Claude
       | code would be able to program well enough that tbey would be
       | business developers.
        
       | pragmatic wrote:
       | How is a mechanical engineer a "trade worker."
       | 
       | Most engineers have to take at least one programming class in
       | college.
        
         | btrettel wrote:
         | I agree, my immediate reaction was that mechanical engineer is
         | not a trades worker.
         | 
         | I majored in mechanical engineering at college. We had a
         | required programming class. A lot of people like myself already
         | knew how to program before we took the class too. We also had a
         | required electronics class. My experience is that most folks
         | with CS degrees would be surprised by the breadth of what
         | mechanical/aerospace/chemical/etc. engineers learn.
        
         | dinkumthinkum wrote:
         | I didn't read the article but if he is really an actual
         | mechanical engineer then this is not that interesting.
         | Mechanical engineers build a lot of technical software. Most
         | fluid dynamics code or vibration code is probably written by
         | mechanical engineers. Now, some times people say "mechanical
         | engineer" but they don't mean someone that studied FFTs.
        
       | jvanderbot wrote:
       | As part of my "well shit what's next" arc I've been checking out
       | machine shops in my area. By and large they are dumb manual 30
       | year contracts or highly automated job shops..
       | 
       | And the owners of those job shops aim for 3 shifts per worker via
       | automation, and mash their own software with AI already. They are
       | ruthless at cost cutting and automation and AI tools are perfect
       | for them.
       | 
       | Unfortunately the vibe I get talking to them is essentially a
       | triumphant "why would I need you, I have AI" or "yeah you're
       | screwed".
       | 
       | I can't blame them for being served expensive barely functional
       | crap SaaS or ERP software for ages, but I was not expecting to be
       | viewed as part of the problem coming from a robotics, automation,
       | and optimization background myself. It's just all a block of
       | overpaid swindlers to them.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | I have always wanted to get back to the metal, and the rapidly
         | changing software landscape seemed like a good kick into it,
         | but it might also mean a complete lack of opportunity
        
         | georgemcbay wrote:
         | The general approval the average person has for tech/software
         | workers has declined precipitously over the last decade (IMO
         | for some pretty good reasons, as an overall industry we've done
         | a lot of societal harm) which just adds to how cosmically funny
         | it is that as a group we are likely to experience one of the
         | quickest mass career disruptions from AI.
        
       | w10-1 wrote:
       | Software development usability has always been measured in mean
       | time before black-box failure: something misbehaves that the
       | person can't fix or understand.
       | 
       | LLM's shorten that time for every application and every user, but
       | particularly for users from professions that haven't built
       | modeling or debugging skills because they rely on physical
       | reality - like pipes fitting or process supervision - to weed out
       | non-performers.
       | 
       | Hiring for LLM-enhanced work should focus on debugging skills in
       | unknown situations.
        
         | pron wrote:
         | Except I find that agents are much better at debugging than
         | writing code. When the code gets to the state where the agents
         | can no longer debug it and keep it running (as happened in
         | Anthropic's failed C compiler attempt) humans will likely not
         | be able to save the situation (in an efficient way). And
         | without careful human supervision from the start, the code
         | ultimately gets to that place.
        
       | pron wrote:
       | Here's what I find difficult to reconcile with my own experience.
       | I've been using Codex in anger for the past 2 months or so (with
       | gpt5.3-codex and then gpt5.4) on projects of different
       | complexity. It is quite good at debugging, but the (non-trivial)
       | code it produces is _really_ bad. And I don 't mean bad
       | stylistically, but bad in the sense that Codex clearly won't be
       | able to maintain it for long (which is how Anthropic's C compiler
       | experiment failed) because it uses an approach of "success at all
       | costs" where it always prefers fixes that treat the symptom
       | rather than going back and rethinking the architecture as
       | features are added.
       | 
       | So the options are: 1. the program involved here is really
       | trivial, 2. it hasn't evolved long enough for the agent to fail
       | at evolution, or 3. others are not seeing what I'm seeing.
        
         | BobbyJo wrote:
         | This tracks with my own experience. I have to watch what the
         | LLM does in response to any given ask, especially when adding
         | new features to an existing system, because it will do things a
         | different way every time until it no longer knows what patterns
         | to follow.
        
         | sroerick wrote:
         | It is weird. I've had maintainable solutions on non-trivial
         | code, but it does kind of require babysitting. Planning
         | documents and detailed specs help. You get a feel for where the
         | agent will want to take a shortcut and can devise ways to
         | navigate around that.
         | 
         | I also find Go works really well, and generally stays, if not
         | exceptional, than at least maintainable.
         | 
         | I've also enjoyed using OCaml, but I will say that I found the
         | single worst function I've ever seen in a codebase in vibecoded
         | OCAML.
         | 
         | You might just try asking - "hey I'm having trouble keeping
         | maintainable codebases - how can I structure this project in a
         | way where the code will be stable long term".
         | 
         | Sometimes getting the "software architect" role into the agent
         | context is all it takes.
        
         | tintor wrote:
         | He used Claude Code, you are using Codex.
        
       | Beretta_Vexee wrote:
       | For decades, employees have been developing tools using whatever
       | was available to them, and in most cases, this was limited to
       | Excel macros.
       | 
       | AI provides access to much better tools for testing and quickly
       | experimenting with new ideas.
       | 
       | The only ones who should be worried are companies that charge
       | millions for four junior developers and an agile coach, and
       | deliver more PowerPoints than code (I'm looking at you,
       | Capgemini).
        
       | mikkupikku wrote:
       | Seems like a really slick application, nice work.
        
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