[HN Gopher] Online astroturfing: A problem beyond disinformation...
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       Online astroturfing: A problem beyond disinformation (2022)
        
       Author : xyzal
       Score  : 74 points
       Date   : 2026-03-14 15:53 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (journals.sagepub.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (journals.sagepub.com)
        
       | dluan wrote:
       | We have a massive poisoning of the commons catastrophe coming,
       | driven by further authoritarian government overreach and control.
       | I've seen no one working on this, and in fact most people on HN
       | seem to be working on ways to further exacerbate this problem. I
       | don't just mean half solutions like tor or social protocols that
       | let you in and out of walled gardens.
       | 
       | There's still a tiny window of opportunity for engineers to come
       | up with or design technical safeguards, but eventually this
       | problem will move past the realm of what's easily solvable and
       | out of our hands, and into policy makers hands. A big part of me
       | feels like that window is already slammed shut.
        
         | mmooss wrote:
         | There were many disinformation research organizations in the
         | US, including at major institutions such as Harvard and
         | Stanford, that were forced to close by conservatives through
         | lawfare or apparently through donor pressure.
         | 
         | (It's interesting that conservatives saw it as a partisan
         | cause.)
        
         | Mistletoe wrote:
         | To quote The Cable Guy, there's only one answer, someone has to
         | kill the babysitter (tv, social media, Big Tech). It's hard to
         | kill the babysitter when everyone in Congress is invested balls
         | deep in the babysitter. Eisenhower warned of the coming
         | overreaching powers of the Military Industrial Complex, but no
         | one is attacking the Government Stock Market Tech Complex
         | (GSMTC).
        
           | mannanj wrote:
           | It's beyond that. It's the CIA deeply embedded in all the
           | scary uncomfortable ways you would have hoped never possible.
           | Presidents win and turn their stance and run around in the
           | other direction, they don't what to be another assassinated
           | Kennedy (and imo today they would have other fears worse than
           | dying). Congressmen and women are definitely also aware of
           | the deep presence and power of that agency and its perversion
           | into American life and politics. They don't want to be the
           | ones to be the sacrificial pawn sparking an outright violent
           | American revolution and tear down of the agency.
           | 
           | I was surveilled, experimented on and followed by them for
           | being American-Pakistani and speaking out against them from
           | 2022-2023. It was a scary time and I wish I were making this
           | up. I wonder sometimes if they really are the good guys, and
           | I just got things backwards. I also heard when you are
           | kidnapped and in hostile territories for long enough, you
           | fall in love with the kidnappers.
           | 
           | Happy to share more details if anyone's curious.
        
             | redeeman wrote:
             | so what you're saying is that the US government is an
             | illegitimate regime and everyone can fully justify
             | destroying it as an enemy of the people?
        
               | mannanj wrote:
               | The CIA is not the US government.
        
         | kubb wrote:
         | It feels like "Autonomous Coding Agents" are being astroturfed
         | on the daily on HN. The same arguments and tropes are echoing
         | through every thread.
         | 
         | It's hard to distinguish who's a bot, who's a narrative pusher
         | and who's an enthusiast. Which is exactly what you'd want from
         | an astroturfing campaign. There's a clear benefit: people in
         | the industry are reading this, and in doing so they're granting
         | mindshare.
         | 
         | There's one way that can prevent inauthentic support campaigns
         | - personal key signature. But judging by how afraid people,
         | especially in the US, need to be of their government
         | surveilling them, this isn't going to catch on.
        
           | coffeefirst wrote:
           | Yes. I've also been asking every engineer I know what they're
           | doing with AI and there's a lot of people doing a lot of
           | different things, but it's a deep mismatch with the online
           | rhetoric.
           | 
           | This phenomenon appears to be incrementally coming for every
           | single topic and public platform.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | I feel the same way. Most people I've talked to are using
             | AI for better search. I don't know anyone using it heavily
             | to do their main job (writing code). I think a lot of the
             | accounts bragging about how much they are doing with AI are
             | bots.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | I'm even shocked when I hear people are using it for
               | better search. I've found it to be terrible for search,
               | and constantly fabricating things. It's distilled
               | everything that is bad about new Google, where it prefers
               | popular results to accurate ones - but with actual
               | fabrication that becomes infinitely worse.
               | 
               | I literally ask it to look for something, and immediately
               | afterwards (before reading the long-winded result), ask
               | it if the results were real or fabricated. It's just how
               | the cost-benefit analysis works out, and I didn't learn
               | until a ton of times reading the results, getting
               | suspicious of a few, doing websearches to verify them,
               | not finding them, then coming back to ask if they were
               | real.
               | 
               | " _Sorry! It 's absolutely fair that you called me out on
               | that... It's important that you hold me to a high
               | standard... You're absolutely right..._"
               | 
               | I'm finding it valuable for compressing all of the docs
               | in the world, so I don't have to look up what a function
               | does or how to accomplish something in some framework or
               | CLI. I find it capable of writing code if I move an inch
               | at a time; build copious verbose debugging output that I
               | feed back into it every time it screws up; and when it
               | goes into a stupid loop being stupid, just debugging by
               | hand before wasting hours trying to get it to see
               | something that it doesn't want to see.
        
             | ryandrake wrote:
             | There's a lot of money wrapped up in people thinking a
             | certain way: AI is useful. Work should be done in a
             | corporate office. The American Dream is attainable.
             | Recession is not coming. War is good. The world is
             | dangerous. Others want to harm you. Lots of investment in
             | astroturfing these themes because a population who believes
             | them will more easily be separated from their money.
        
           | mannanj wrote:
           | I hate to sound like I'm turfing for cryptocurrencies, isn't
           | there like an identity solution there that the crypto nerds
           | solved for to keep identity verification anonymous and
           | surveillance proof?
           | 
           | Need to double check what is available, though I feel like
           | that angle could work.
           | 
           | I've been wondering also if a simple lie & deception
           | detection type system could be a useful angles. It's
           | complicated in practice; though the human intuition would say
           | it's figured this out millennia ago- I can't tell you how
           | many times my body has figured out someone's toxic negative
           | vibe by feeling. And I think we probably understand this
           | better than we think and can represent it in the computer
           | space with analysis of signals and some follow on questions.
           | Hope I'm not too naive here.
        
           | arikrahman wrote:
           | It feels the same way on GitHub trending. I used to check it
           | frequently to see what the hottest newest tech was and stay
           | up to date. Now it's oversaturated by whatever the newest AI
           | bubble is. It also doesn't help that MCP enabled products
           | like OpenClaw star their own repo and artificially inflate
           | their perceived value.
        
             | mentalgear wrote:
             | Interesting - claw faking the benchmarks .. they match well
             | with openA ideologically .
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | >It feels like "Autonomous Coding Agents" are being
           | astroturfed on the daily on HN. The same arguments and tropes
           | are echoing through every thread.
           | 
           | Isn't this what exactly you'd expect in a connected world?
           | The best arguments from both sides proliferate, thereby
           | causing "The same arguments and tropes are echoing through
           | every thread".
        
             | kubb wrote:
             | > Isn't this what exactly you'd expect in a connected
             | world?
             | 
             | I would expect a figurative war for human attention. With
             | so much information being available, everyone would try to
             | make people focus on what they want to communicate.
             | 
             | > The best arguments
             | 
             | Some of these tropes and arguments aren't really the best.
             | There's a lot of rhetorical gotchas, e.g. "that's exactly
             | what I'd expect from a human" when an automated solution
             | isn't up to par.
             | 
             | > from both sides
             | 
             | The only real "side" is the one actively pushing for
             | something. Everyone else isn't a camp - they're just random
             | people.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | >I would expect a figurative war for human attention.
               | With so much information being available, everyone would
               | try to make people focus on what they want to
               | communicate.
               | 
               | How does this relate to online commenting? Are you
               | expecting the "figurative war for human attention" to
               | make comments more diverse?
               | 
               | >Some of these tropes and arguments aren't really the
               | best. There's a lot of rhetorical gotchas, e.g. "that's
               | exactly what I'd expect from a human" when an automated
               | solution isn't up to par.
               | 
               | I think you're overestimating the epistemic rigor of the
               | average internet commenter, eternal September, etc.
               | 
               | >The only real "side" is the one actively pushing for
               | something
               | 
               | Are you implying the "astroturfing" is only on one side?
               | If you might just be experiencing motivated reasoning
               | and/or confirmation bias. Most of the astroturfing
               | behavior can be applied to the anti-AI side as well, eg.
               | people complaining about electricity or water consumption
               | in every thread about the impacts of AI, or "ai slop".
        
               | kubb wrote:
               | > How does this relate to online commenting?
               | 
               | A viable strategy is to disseminate messaging reinforcing
               | a belief beneficial for the disseminating entity, in a
               | way that invokes emotion (like fear or anger), especially
               | in influential spaces allowing for anonymity.
               | 
               | But in general this line of questioning won't lead to a
               | satisfying conclusion. The assumptions you requested
               | (connected world) aren't specific enough to determine
               | what we should expect from comments in online spaces (and
               | by extension, to demonstrate that the current situation
               | is a natural outcome).
               | 
               | > I think you're overestimating the epistemic rigor of
               | the average internet commenter, eternal September, etc.
               | 
               | Yeah, but this place, quite frankly, is above average.
               | Not to the point of being immune to manipulation,
               | obviously.
               | 
               | > Are you implying the "astroturfing" is only on one
               | side?
               | 
               | No. I'm pointing out the "two sides" framing that you
               | insist on is a mistake. There is only one organized camp
               | with a clear financial incentive to have people believe
               | in "Autonomous Coding Agents" which justifies capital
               | investements in that area.
               | 
               | People who are concerned about power consumption, people
               | who don't like hardware unavailability, and people who
               | think that LLMs are useful tools, but they're not even
               | close to autonomous delivery of software systems are all
               | distinct groups without financial incentives. But they do
               | have the right to push back against the relentless
               | messaging barrage from the camp.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | What's interesting about that is that indeed, there are a lot
           | of people pushing the 'autonomous coding agents are great'
           | narrative but there is one crucial bit missing: they
           | absolutely never show their code.
        
           | iamnothere wrote:
           | > There's one way that can prevent inauthentic support
           | campaigns - personal key signature.
           | 
           | You would be surprised at how cheaply opinions can be
           | purchased, especially globally.
        
         | RobRivera wrote:
         | Its already here.
        
         | calibas wrote:
         | > I've seen no one working on this, and in fact most people on
         | HN seem to be working on ways to further exacerbate this
         | problem.
         | 
         | It's against the HN guidelines to insinuate that astroturfing
         | happens on HN.
        
           | cwillu wrote:
           | Discussion of astroturfing on a post that is specifically
           | about astroturfing is such an obvious exception that I'm
           | having a hard time taking your reply in good faith, but this
           | is me trying to do so anyway instead of just downvoting and
           | flagging like the guidelines suggest I do in such cases.
        
         | mhitza wrote:
         | If you can point me at someone that would fund such projects
         | (not VCs), would be happy to apply. Projects like NLNet aren't
         | keen on funding larger scope projects. At least if you do not
         | have the thought leader influencer clout.
        
           | slopinthebag wrote:
           | What are your ideas for this?
        
             | mhitza wrote:
             | Decentralized platform, with traceable decisions, mixing
             | direct web of trust, delegated, and community moderated
             | content labeling. Content servers with pay to post
             | submissions, to allow sustainable hosting and hosting
             | delegated moderation.
        
         | alwa wrote:
         | I agree that it feels like the tiny window of opportunity
         | hasn't quite shut yet, and it's a problem space I know I should
         | take more interest in. What do you see as the viable technical
         | directions? Something along the lines of what Altman was trying
         | to do with his Orb? Something along the lines of the C2PA's
         | Content Credentials?
         | 
         | [0] e.g. https://www.businessinsider.com/sam-altman-tools-for-
         | humanit... and the feature piece at
         | https://time.com/7288387/sam-altman-orb-tools-for-humanity/
         | 
         | [1] https://contentcredentials.org and https://c2pa.org
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | Instead of collecting biometric info from humans and IDing
           | all of their online movements, you could mandate that LLM
           | output be watermarked (using a technology that Scott Arronson
           | was hired by OpenAI to help develop, after which the project
           | was shut down under Altman right after proving that it could
           | work) so that _their_ online movement would be IDed. The
           | implication in this story that it was shut down to keep the
           | Orb around in principle (telling humans they had to be tagged
           | to distinguish them from machines that could more easily be
           | tagged) is very easy to pick up.
        
             | alwa wrote:
             | Is that viable given the proliferation of open-weight LLMs
             | that don't apply that sort of watermarking? If somebody
             | with malign intent _can_ skip the attestation, presumably
             | they will, right?
        
               | whatshisface wrote:
               | If every major LLM producer did it, it would not be easy
               | for malicious actors to remove it. That's on top of the
               | fact that most of the issue is coming from careless
               | actors.
        
       | ajkjk wrote:
       | strong agree, I feel like it poisons the fabric of society
       | somehow when everything you interact with is fake or even just
       | has a good chance of being fake, regardless of the also-shitty
       | fact that it is also often trying to influence you.
        
         | apsurd wrote:
         | Also how the being fake doesn't even have to be malicious. now
         | every tom, dick, and harry wants to create content. All the
         | world's a stage, follower count go up.
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | I held a hope that it would create an evolutionary pressure
         | that would weed out people who fall for foolish arguments i.e.
         | arguments without any sort of structure that should be capable
         | of convincing anyone of anything. But that's just wishful
         | thinking. People fall for anything as long as it's flattering
         | and it allows them to do what they want to do when they want to
         | do it.
         | 
         | Every propagandistic argument is going to be like that for 80%
         | of people, and 40% of people are going to be within that 80%
         | about 99% of the time. They think the biggest issue of our time
         | is how much people complain.
        
       | walterbell wrote:
       | My browser highlights a few hundred accounts. For HN and other
       | comment-oriented sites, local userscripts are supported by
       | browser plugins, including mobile Safari. These can highlight
       | known usernames and implement blocklists. Most LLMs can generate
       | a userscript on demand for non-obfuscated sites, including userid
       | list for manual edit.
        
       | Bridged7756 wrote:
       | This is notorious in platforms like reddit, with people jumping
       | in to suggest no name products in response to questions. It
       | doesn't help that reddit allows private profiles, thus allowing
       | astroturfers to get away with it. Also, another case is LLM
       | astroturfing, we're bombarded with doomerism and obituaries about
       | programming, some of said opinions are subtler, short comments,
       | the most dangerous ones, because little by little they jab you,
       | though the most conspicuous ones are easy to identify. And then
       | there's the political astroturfing. In my country smokescreens
       | are the defacto tool, but it is suspicious of the amount of high
       | quality edits and memes that came out about the Epstein files,
       | essentially cementing him as a "meme" and not a monster that
       | abused minors.
        
         | plun9 wrote:
         | Here is an example:
         | https://www.reddit.com/r/whatisthisthing/comments/dty9nd/com...
         | Here, PM_ME_UR_LIDAR uses the pronoun "their" referring to
         | Ouster, the lidar company. But PM_ME_UR_LIDAR was working at
         | Ouster, Inc. at the time the comment was written.
        
       | cwillu wrote:
       | (2022)
        
         | dang wrote:
         | It's there now. Thanks!
        
       | bpavuk wrote:
       | related: https://doublespeed.ai/ - basically astroturfing as a
       | service.
       | 
       | their landing page stops short of saying that Doublespeed would
       | be "a good fit for your political campaign." I'd prefer fighting
       | an AI-powered drone over becoming a victim of "Dead Internet-aaS"
       | startup. at least, flying lawnmowers are honest
        
         | droidjj wrote:
         | Wow... that's one of the most dystopian things I've seen in a
         | while.
        
           | bpavuk wrote:
           | right???? especially that "never pay a human again" at the
           | end... Palantir is a sweetheart on Doublespeed backdrop
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I have one of those 'flying lawnmowers' here and I'm not sure
         | you would like to get up close and personal with them. They are
         | super dangerous even when they are nominally under your
         | control. But I agree with you that on the larger canvas the
         | astroturfing will in spite of being more bloodless will do far
         | more damage.
         | 
         | People are just not ready for being skeptical against this,
         | they've barely gotten used to phone scams and now they have
         | astroturfing and deepfakes to contend with.
        
           | bpavuk wrote:
           | well, I had one fly above my head in 2025, too. I know what
           | compare against
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Ugh, that sucks, I hope it was not a combat situation.
             | 
             | I've got a couple of them here mostly smaller ones (3", 5")
             | and one large one (9") and I'm _super_ respectful of those
             | props and the ones here obviously don 't have any kind of
             | payload. Even so I'd hate to see one come at me, I've seen
             | what they can do to pieces of hardwood.
        
               | bpavuk wrote:
               | no, it was not, I'm too young to get drafted :) although
               | I'd argue that nowadays, the line between a civilian and
               | a combatant is blurred more than ever. at least in
               | Ukraine it's like that
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | > no, it was not, I'm too young to get drafted :)
               | 
               | Good for you.
               | 
               | > although I'd argue that nowadays, the line between a
               | civilian and a combatant is blurred more than ever. at
               | least in Ukraine it's like that
               | 
               | This is very true and very few people outside of Ukraine
               | realize this.
        
       | SilverElfin wrote:
       | > Recent events in the world have highlighted just how
       | influential social media can be, both in a national context and
       | internationally. To list a few examples: platforms like Twitter
       | and Facebook played a prominent role in the events surrounding
       | the recent US presidential elections; social media and messaging
       | platforms made possible the many decentralized mass protests that
       | have popped up around the globe, from the pro-democracy movements
       | in Hong Kong, Thailand and Belarus to the Black Lives Matter
       | protests in the United States; and of course, the whole of the
       | internet, for better or worse, played a role in shaping how the
       | world responds to the COVID-19 pandemic. But with great power
       | comes the great potential for manipulation and misuse.
       | 
       | I think everyone would agree with this but is there any formal
       | evidence of how Twitter and TikTok affect elections or
       | legislation?
        
       | Lerc wrote:
       | I recently did some looking into how public perception campaigns
       | work.
       | 
       | I found it amazing that I could not find any organisation that
       | tracks these campaigns. These are often very well funded and
       | those funds go to people.
       | 
       | Part of the problem is a successful public opinion campaign
       | results in something that most people believe, we probably only
       | get to see the failures. Challenging something that is widely
       | held is not well received, whether or not you are right or wrong.
       | 
       | Some things I did find out. Fake news stories don't change
       | people's opinions very much. They enable media to shape
       | narratives because people will reject genuine stories outside the
       | narrative because they know that fake news stories exist. Fake
       | news exists to be seen as fake to establish that the things you
       | disagree with could also be fake.
       | 
       | There are companies that specialise in this.
       | 
       | Reputation management companies might tell you who their clients
       | are or what they do, but never at the same time. I suspect the
       | best ones do neither.
        
       | rrhjm53270 wrote:
       | As an individual, this paper suggests that I must move beyond "Is
       | this news true?" to "Why does it look like everyone agrees with
       | this?"
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | It is much worse than that: it is: is _anybody_ I interact with
         | real?
        
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