[HN Gopher] DARPA's new X-76
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       DARPA's new X-76
        
       Author : newer_vienna
       Score  : 121 points
       Date   : 2026-03-09 16:54 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.darpa.mil)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.darpa.mil)
        
       | dash2 wrote:
       | " With SPRINT, we're not just building an X-plane; we're building
       | options". Found the guy who couldn't be bothered to write his own
       | press release...
        
         | notahacker wrote:
         | Good to hear that the DoD's new contract with OpenAI is solving
         | all the most important problems...
        
         | O5vYtytb wrote:
         | It's a quote from someone...?
        
           | jdiez17 wrote:
           | ... who probably wrote their prepared PR statement with an
           | LLM.
        
             | esseph wrote:
             | I have always talked/written like this. now that LLMs do it
             | in a similar enough way, my own writing gets called AI
             | slop. I just wish my rotator cuffs knew I was a robot.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Skimping on the service again, are we?
        
               | irl_zebra wrote:
               | It's probably good signal at least, if not a bit of a
               | harsh thing to say that I don't mean in a bad way, that
               | your writing was bland or mediocre since LLMs are
               | basically regression to the mean.
        
         | bigyabai wrote:
         | It feels like DARPA has fallen so far. In a post-Salt Typhoon
         | era it's really hard to imagine them as dynamic, best-in-class
         | innovators anymore.
        
           | ambicapter wrote:
           | This administration doesn't really prioritize anything that
           | has to do with intelligence, so advanced research was
           | obviously going to fall by the wayside.
        
             | browsingonly wrote:
             | https://www.iarpa.gov/research-programs
        
               | bigyabai wrote:
               | No search results for "Salt Typhoon" as the query. This
               | nation really is fucked.
        
               | ambicapter wrote:
               | What are you saying? Do you think my claim was that all
               | US research programs have closed up shop?
        
         | irl_zebra wrote:
         | I think I'd rather have them working on airplane tech rather
         | than writing airplane tech press releases. With this approach,
         | it's not just a tactical thing; it's relieving the burden of
         | wordsmithing from technical people.
        
           | jdiez17 wrote:
           | You're absolutely right.
        
           | bigfishrunning wrote:
           | The technical people were never wordsmithing, they just
           | didn't hire a technical writer. Instead of freeing up someone
           | to do more design work, it freed someone to interview for a
           | new job. I hope they get it.
        
             | binkHN wrote:
             | It was a GPT.
        
               | irl_zebra wrote:
               | Or, at least, my take on GPT. :) I promise I am a human.
        
             | palmotea wrote:
             | > The technical people were never wordsmithing, they just
             | didn't hire a technical writer. Instead of freeing up
             | someone to do more design work, it freed someone to
             | interview for a new job. I hope they get it.
             | 
             | Do technical writers work on press releases? This sounds
             | more like a job for the public relations/corporate
             | communications department.
        
         | newer_vienna wrote:
         | I'm quite fond of the caption, which describes a "a proof-of-
         | concept technology demonstrator that aims to demonstrate
         | technologies and concepts"
        
           | NitpickLawyer wrote:
           | Brought to you by the Department of Redundancy Department.
        
       | PowerElectronix wrote:
       | It looks like a maintenance nightmare with those clutches to
       | decouple the blades and the mechanisms to have them folded during
       | cruising. Does it even improve substantially in anh metric over
       | the V280 to put money into it?
        
         | cucumber3732842 wrote:
         | The V280 is designed to be cheap (a very relative term here).
         | 
         | Reading between the lines, I suspect "fast, but also expensive"
         | was a design option that popped up and was not chosen earlier
         | in the V280 program and now Darpa wants to pay to see where it
         | goes.
        
           | Zigurd wrote:
           | Hard to be more expensive than F-35B.
        
             | XorNot wrote:
             | The F-35 is cheaper then some new production 4th generation
             | fighters at this point.
        
               | Zigurd wrote:
               | The sticker price is competitive but the cost per flight
               | hour and the availability factor is pretty horrifying.
               | Factoring in the cost of flying and the availability
               | makes the Grippen about half the cost.
               | 
               | I wonder if the flight hour cost of F 35 includes the
               | maintenance it's undergoing when it's not available.
        
               | bigyabai wrote:
               | The Gripen is a fantastic jet, but you're basically
               | describing the difference between a fourth and fifth
               | generation platform. When Saab and Embraer roll out their
               | own fifth-generation jets, they will also have to contend
               | with expensive RAM coating and complex internal
               | hardpoints.
               | 
               | Putting aside the export market, it's a small miracle
               | that the F-35 turned out as well as it did. Having a
               | mostly-common fighter airframe shared between the Navy,
               | Marines and Air Force was a pipe dream in the 90s.
               | America is lucky the program didn't collapse entirely.
        
               | jandrewrogers wrote:
               | 4th generation platforms like Grippen are not survivable
               | in a modern air defense environment without complementary
               | 5th generation platforms to establish air superiority.
               | You can't avoid having a fleet of something like F-35 to
               | gain control of the airspace.
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | > modern air defense environment
               | 
               | Wildly dependent on your definition of "modern", which
               | mostly depends on your potential adversary. The
               | Russia/Ukraine, and the new war in the Gulf have shown
               | numerous ways in which 4th generation jets, and more
               | importantly cheaper missiles and even more cheap drones
               | can perform supression of enemy air defences and/or air
               | support. Unless you're fighting the US or China, 4th gen
               | jets are plenty. And even against US and US defended
               | locations, cheap drones and missiles have been able to
               | influct some pretty serious damage to critical
               | infrastructure (like extremely expensive and rare radar
               | systems). An adversary not crippled by extreme sanctions
               | and corruption for decades might have been able to
               | achieve even more, even with the total lack of airpower.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Presuming that state of affairs will persist though is
               | fraught.
               | 
               | It's quite likely that in about 5 years most military
               | installations will have a mix of weapons to intercept
               | those systems - and depending on a number of factors you
               | could easily end up back at low performance drones being
               | so reliably intercepted as to be a waste of munitions to
               | deploy.
               | 
               | WW1 after all was based on exactly this thinking: surely
               | the volume of an army would overcome the machine gun.
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | > It's quite likely that in about 5 years most military
               | installations will have a mix of weapons to intercept
               | those systems - and depending on a number of factors you
               | could easily end up back at low performance drones being
               | so reliably intercepted as to be a waste of munitions to
               | deploy.
               | 
               | That's unlikely. Anti-drone defences will only improve,
               | yes, but autonomous drone swarms numbering in the
               | thousands to tens of thousands are doable today, and few
               | weapons systems can handle the rate of launch/fire
               | required to combat that. Especially if there are follow-
               | up waves mixing drones and heavy missiles against which
               | your anti-drone defences wouldn't be enough.
               | 
               | > WW1 after all was based on exactly this thinking:
               | surely the volume of an army would overcome the machine
               | gun.
               | 
               | But building a cheap kamikaze drone costs much less than
               | building a human.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Define cheap and multiply by thousands. Ukrainian front
               | line drones stopped being DJIs years ago.
               | 
               | They're now much closer to $3000 USD+ at the low end for
               | an ISR vehicle. $8000+ for the more capable FPV kamikazes
               | is the estimate for Russian models.
               | 
               | Which is comparable to a 155mm artillery shell. But with
               | a lot less payload.
               | 
               | There's already literally millions of drones being
               | produced and used per year in that conflict - and they've
               | made a big impact, but the stability of the frontline
               | also reveals that the impact of "swarms" is hardly
               | overpowering (the obsession with them is also weird - if
               | you had thousands of assets in the air, the last thing
               | you'd do is put them all close together).
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | > overpowering
               | 
               | As Iran shows, you don't need overpowering. You need to
               | hit the enemy where it hurts them, like strategic
               | infrastructure.
               | 
               | > "swarms" ... (the obsession with them is also weird -
               | if you had thousands of assets in the air, the last thing
               | you'd do is put them all close together)
               | 
               | On the contrary, a swarm allows you to overwhelm the
               | enemy air defences, which allows you to hit targets,
               | including those same air defences, without having to
               | disable them first. Cf. Iran destroying a THAAD radar.
        
               | greedo wrote:
               | 4th generation aircraft are not sustainable in modern
               | combat without a wide array of assistance from EW etc.
               | The losses of aircraft in Ukraine on both sides are
               | horrifying. The only reasons the Ukrainians persist is
               | because they have no choice. The Russians can sit outside
               | of the Ukrainian engagement range and lob semi-smart
               | bombs, or air to air missiles at any Ukrainian aircraft
               | that show up on their radar.
               | 
               | The real reason stealth is needed is as a counter to
               | GBAD. Modern anti-aircraft missiles are incredible
               | lethal.
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | > "modern combat"
               | 
               | > have no choice
               | 
               | That's my point. Any battlefield today is "modern", but
               | militaries operate with what they have. From Russia to
               | the Houthis passing via the Houthis, we've seen insane
               | amounts of damage done on "a modern battlefield" with
               | anything from Cold War era equipment to cheap drones
               | assembled by a terrorist group living in the mountains
               | with no industrial base.
               | 
               | Yes, if the US wants to fight China, and vice versa, it
               | needs 5th gen jets. Everyone else doesn't _need_ them.
               | They 're nice to have to make your job easier (like
               | Israel vs Iran), but don't guarantee you anything (like
               | Israel vs Iran).
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | "4th generation aircraft are not sustainable in modern
               | combat without a wide array of assistance from EW etc. "
               | 
               | But isn't that true of the F35 as well?
               | 
               | On it's own, I doubt it would survive much longer on the
               | eastern front in Ukraine.
               | 
               | In Iran the F-35 also did not fly around freely while the
               | ground radars were active. They had to be taken out
               | first. For that stealth was probably useful (and in
               | general it is).
               | 
               | But it is not making them invisible - and cheap sensors
               | and AI is likely to counter it soon. Because sensors and
               | analysis will get better over time and sensors also
               | better and cheaper. But the stealth will remain largely
               | the same. It cannot really be upgraded for existing jets.
        
               | slaw wrote:
               | Russia/Ukraine war shows that 4th generation jets are not
               | survivable in any current as of 2026 air defense
               | environment.
        
               | UltraSane wrote:
               | The Grippen is incredibly vulnerable to anti air
               | missiles.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | I've had to eat some humble pie and moderate my
               | assessment of the F-35. It still does have a lot of
               | issues, for sure, but it turns out if you divide an eye
               | wateringly large number by another impressively large
               | number, the result can be a lot better than I thought it
               | would be.
               | 
               | It's lot more about operational costs and project
               | deliverables than plain sticker shock, and it is turning
               | out to be a capable platform.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | > I've had to eat some humble pie and moderate my
               | assessment of the F-35
               | 
               | Same for me. I was surprised to hear that it actually
               | competes favorably on price. And aside from early griping
               | that it couldn't beat an ancient F-16 in a dogfight, it
               | seems pretty capable in that regard too. Saw a demo at
               | the last airshow I went to and that plane was defying
               | physics. I love the 16, always will, but I definitely
               | don't think it would hang with an F-35.
        
               | esseph wrote:
               | In a real fight, the F-35 smokes the F-16 beyond visual
               | range before the F-16 even knows there is a problem. The
               | radar and electronic warfare capabilities are incredible.
        
               | budman1 wrote:
               | all these cost assessments are numbers on a spreadsheet.
               | let's see what the numbers look like after 20 years on
               | the line, with SrA mechanics and most flight hours by new
               | Lt's and Captains. if they over-estimate the engine
               | rebuild time, or if it really takes 2 hours instead of 30
               | minutes to remove and replace an avionics box (as was
               | forecast), the calculation can veer in the other
               | direction quickly. i predict the F35 will be the most
               | expensive by flying hour of any (line) aircraft that has
               | come before it.
        
         | rluna828 wrote:
         | it also has stealth. This is a complete disaster. The only
         | purpose of this stealth ship is to steal leaders and or go
         | inside cave lairs and blow them up.
        
           | budman1 wrote:
           | without stealth, an aircraft will survive about 5 minutes in
           | contested airspace.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | All military aircraft are maintenance nightmares. They're also
         | extraordinarily loud and devour fuel. These are not intended to
         | entire commercial service where they need to turn a profit for
         | the operators.
        
           | giancarlostoro wrote:
           | > They're also extraordinarily loud and devour fuel.
           | 
           | Steal helicopters have entered the chat.
        
             | greedo wrote:
             | Comanche was cancelled, and even it was loud and gulped
             | fuel. The "stealth" Blackhawk derivative used in the Bin
             | Laden raid might be quieter, but it definitely gulped a ton
             | of fuel. Fuel consumption is just an accepted issue with
             | helicopter technology.
        
           | jjk166 wrote:
           | Maintenance is an issue for more than just profitability.
           | More maintenance means fewer sorties in a given time period,
           | heavier reliance on and utilization of supply chains, and
           | fewer platforms that can be serviced by a given set of
           | mechanics and facilities.
           | 
           | Just look at WW2: Germany had some fantastic equipment, but
           | they couldn't field it because they didn't have the fuel,
           | spare parts and the maintenance capabilities available. A
           | tiger could kill 10 Shermans, but the Americans could always
           | bring up an 11th Sherman.
           | 
           | For decades we have been able to afford complacency - we
           | strike when we're ready against people who mostly can't
           | strike back. We can afford to be wasteful because we have so
           | much more than anyone we would go up against. No one is
           | seriously threatening our ability to keep our military going.
           | But militaries need to be prepared for peer conflicts where
           | someone could give us a run for our money.
        
             | greedo wrote:
             | The comparison in tech is apt, but the countervailing
             | argument is that the discrepancy in economies doomed the
             | Nazis in WW2. German was a little powerhouse considering
             | the size of its population, but it only had half the GDP of
             | the US, not to mention the other Allies. Combine this with
             | a smaller population, and it really didn't matter what the
             | Germans did in terms of equipment. They were destined to
             | lose unless they struck gold with a wunderwaffe like the
             | atomic bomb.
             | 
             | In today's world, the US outspends the next 10 countries
             | _combined._ In normal times, it values the lives of its
             | servicemen, and is willing to spend quite a bit to ensure
             | dominance. So it will often have boutique gear that other
             | countries could never afford.
        
             | KaiserPro wrote:
             | > A tiger could kill 10 Shermans, but the Americans could
             | always bring up an 11th Sherman.
             | 
             | Supply is one part, being able to repair is another. The
             | tiger was a massive pain in the dick to fix. It had a weak
             | gearbox that took _hours_ to get to.
             | 
             | Plus most of the parts were bespoke, which means lots more
             | tooling needed to service everything. The other thing is
             | that germany wasn't actually that mechanised compared to
             | the french, or english
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | > The tiger was a massive pain in the dick to fix. It had
               | a weak gearbox that took _hours_ to get to.
               | 
               | Which is exactly the topic under discussion.
        
           | jcgrillo wrote:
           | The F-35s train over my house. When the business end of the
           | engine points downward it rattles the windows and sounds like
           | freedom.
        
       | ceejayoz wrote:
       | So it's an Osprey with a jet in the back?
        
         | torginus wrote:
         | Usually with these programs, they just commission an artist
         | with some vague description, like they tell him to draw a
         | futuristic VTOL aircraft, these pics have zero bearing on what
         | gets delivered.
         | 
         | Sometimes they even take the piss with this, like in this video
         | for a next-gen engine, where you can see their engine doesn't
         | even fit in their fantasy aircraft:
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCHun6rxQm0
        
       | porphyra wrote:
       | Cool, I guess this should be able to hover in much more "austere"
       | environments than the F-35B STOVL and the Harrier Jet. Tiltrotor
       | with folding rotor blades sounds very mechanically complex and
       | challenging though.
        
       | idontwantthis wrote:
       | Isn't this need already met by the Bell V280 that the army
       | already selected for it's Blackhawk replacement? What is the big
       | innovation they are going for here?
        
         | Tuna-Fish wrote:
         | +50% top speed over the V280. Bell offered it as an alternative
         | to the V280 in the early stage of the contract, but it was
         | judged too experimental (and probably too expensive).
         | Apparently DARPA is funding further development of the concept.
        
       | mrDmrTmrJ wrote:
       | To be clear, this is not a power-point program but a continuation
       | of a long-standing design work with Bell.
       | 
       | Two articles that cover this in depth are: 1. Revised Fold-Away
       | Rotor Aircraft Concepts Emerge From Special Operations X-Plane
       | Program. December 2024: https://www.twz.com/air/revised-fold-
       | away-rotor-aircraft-con...
       | 
       | 2. Bell's Plan To Finally Realize A Rotorcraft That Flies Like A
       | Jet But Hovers Like A Helicopter. September 2021:
       | https://www.twz.com/41997/bells-plan-to-finally-realize-a-ro...
       | 
       | The second article covers decades of prior wind tunnel testing on
       | the folding rotor concept.
        
         | moralestapia wrote:
         | >decades of prior wind tunnel testing on the folding rotor
         | concept
         | 
         | Oof, I wish I had a job like that.
        
       | phplovesong wrote:
       | The swedish gripen can do mach2 (2300km/h) and does not need a
       | traditional runway (500 meters of something "flat enough" will
       | do). I assume its way cheaper than something like this.
        
         | RandallBrown wrote:
         | Can it hover?
        
         | Zigurd wrote:
         | I suppose the argument is that X-76 could work in environments
         | without roads. But that also implies without fuel or any other
         | support on the ground.
        
       | bilsbie wrote:
       | I'd go for simplicity and do a tail lander.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | These days my vote would go to a quad. Impeller fore, impeller
         | aft and one in each wing. Behind doors, obviously, like the
         | bays for retractable landing gear - this is a solved problem.
         | 
         | They don't have to be efficient, because how much hovering time
         | would you really need? Battery could even exist only in mission
         | specific pods (internal perhaps, when it's a cargo carrier),
         | trade-off as needed.
        
           | bilsbie wrote:
           | Electric motors are very light too.
        
           | KaiserPro wrote:
           | > They don't have to be efficient
           | 
           | Thats the point, the more efficient the less supply line you
           | need, which means more autonomy.
           | 
           | I cant find the source but in Afghanistan a large proportion
           | of the Allied casualties were from protecting supply lines.
           | 
           | The thing about quad copters is that they work at small scale
           | because the rotor have almost no inertia. When you scale that
           | up to 2m, then inertia is a bitch. That means you need
           | tilting blades to make up for that lack of control.
           | 
           | BUT
           | 
           | You also need something to be powerful enough to alter the
           | speed of the rotors to get yaw.
           | 
           | Plus you then also need to get them all to rotate so that you
           | can get the efficiency of normal flight.
           | 
           | The reason why the osprey exists is because it has longer
           | range than a helicopter (~1200 miles vs 400) its also faster.
        
       | bilsbie wrote:
       | So it has jet engines that blades unfold and attach to during
       | takeoff and landing? Why not always use the blades?
        
         | rluna828 wrote:
         | stealth
        
         | KaiserPro wrote:
         | Speed and efficiency I suspect
         | 
         | Targeting a propeller for both raw lifting capacity as well as
         | speed is quite difficult. I suspect they have different
         | geometry as well.
         | 
         | If you spin a propeller fast enough the tips break the speed of
         | sound, from what I recall that knackers the efficency. To
         | generate lots of lift a bigger rotor is more efficient (hence
         | why helicopters have long rotoblades that don't spin at high
         | RPM)
         | 
         | The longer the blades the faster the tips, which means there is
         | a tradeoff between thrust and speed of the air being yeeted out
         | the back
        
       | greatgib wrote:
       | I can't access darpa.mil. Was it slashdotted because of the
       | article being posted here, or now it is unavailable outside of
       | US?
        
         | logotype wrote:
         | I can access it from the UK
        
         | newer_vienna wrote:
         | Still up here in the US
        
         | dang wrote:
         | https://web.archive.org/web/20260309171633/https://www.darpa...
         | might work
        
         | rcMgD2BwE72F wrote:
         | Inaccessible from France. With family.dns.mullvad.net private
         | DNS.
        
       | HumblyTossed wrote:
       | Hmmm... that just looks like problems. It's a lot of mechanical
       | parts that always have to work correctly.
        
         | 01100011 wrote:
         | The Osprey killed a lot of Marines over the past decades. It
         | took a while to work out the issues. Hopefully we will remember
         | what the Osprey taught us.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | " _Please don 't post shallow dismissals, especially of other
         | people's work. A good critical comment teaches us something._"
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
       | crimsoneer wrote:
       | Someone has played the new Deus Ex games
        
       | rluna828 wrote:
       | I wonder is Iran would have gone different if we had captured the
       | Ayatollah instead of killing him. A stealth drop ship like this
       | would have allowed that to happen. The reason why regimes are
       | more likely to negotiate when you capture their leaders is
       | because you might release them. (not a good day for the usurper.)
        
         | ivell wrote:
         | I don't think whatever is negotiated with Iran's current regime
         | would actually be honored by them. They may commit something to
         | get their leader back, but won't be keeping the promises.
         | 
         | Their self stated goal is destruction of Israel and US. They
         | could have chosen peace and not have funded proxies across the
         | middle east. Their choice of aggression by whatever means they
         | have at their disposal just shows what their long term strategy
         | would be.
         | 
         | They have shown the intend. They just didn't have the capacity
         | to follow through. Once they gain the capacity, they could go
         | extreme lengths. Just see how they attacked their neighbors who
         | were not party to the war.
        
           | jrapdx3 wrote:
           | A very good response to the parent comment and summary of the
           | current situation.
           | 
           | AIUI the Iranian attack on Arab countries is strategic,
           | increasing energy costs pressures the US to stop military
           | action. However the US and allies were prepared with set
           | aside oil reserves, increasing supplies from other sources,
           | and reducing Iran's ability to interfere with shipping.
           | 
           | Major warfare always has tragic effects, but against regimes
           | actively pursuing destruction of other nations, return of
           | fire is a rational response.
        
         | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
         | > A stealth drop ship like this would have allowed that to
         | happen.
         | 
         | Yeah, I saw that Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. episode too.
         | 
         | Sadly, we might need some more intensive vibranium research
         | before it becomes reality.
        
       | trelliumD wrote:
       | that already exists in the form of Saab Gripen :)
        
         | FrankBooth wrote:
         | Where do the 14 soldiers sit in the Gripen?
        
           | rkomorn wrote:
           | On the wings, obviously, for quick deployment. Maybe I mean
           | early deployment.
        
             | adolph wrote:
             | Shades of: _Being strapped to the sponsons of an AH-64 is
             | one wild, but potentially life-saving ride._
             | 
             | https://www.twz.com/38435/this-is-all-the-survival-gear-
             | that...
        
               | rkomorn wrote:
               | The straps just need to be a little stronger!
        
       | radicalethics wrote:
       | I wonder what the motivation behind this is. Tactically, why ever
       | show your latest weapon? What is the strategic purpose of this?
       | It's like if I message my opponent in SC2 and tell them exactly
       | what I'm going to tech to. That's ... insane right? Why would
       | anyone do that?
        
         | benjcpalm wrote:
         | It's not a tactical choice- it's strategic deterrence, and it's
         | not insane at all!
         | 
         | The US has always had a policy of messaging programs, with a
         | lean toward classifying some percentage of the specific
         | capabilities.
         | 
         | There's a reason that F-35 program was publicized by the US
         | government as the program was under development. It makes the
         | US air force even scarier, which discourages adversaries from
         | thinking about conventional warfare with America.
         | 
         | That said- you won't see any detailed pics of the inside of an
         | F35 cockpit, or a detailed look at the heads up display in the
         | fancy helmet. That's top secret, because those making those
         | details public don't offer enough additional deterrence to
         | justify the risk to the program.
        
           | bityard wrote:
           | Yes, but even if the US didn't release the specifications of
           | the F35, other countries around the world would rapidly
           | figure out most of the capabilities anyway from photos,
           | videos, and casual observation. (In other words, they'd know
           | soon enough WHAT it can do but not necessarily HOW it does
           | it.)
        
         | bityard wrote:
         | This isn't a new weapon, this is a test platform for various
         | ideas, none of which are new or secret. Also, there are not
         | many groundbreaking advancements left in military aviation.
         | Most are just fairly incremental engineering or manufacturing
         | improvements. (Military space technology might be a different
         | story, though.)
         | 
         | The only other nation with the potential to develop a high-tech
         | military plane that could rival US technology would be China.
         | But if we ever got into a war with China, they wouldn't need
         | superior technology to win. They could win via superior
         | manufacturing capacity and the sheer number of people they can
         | draft into service at a moment's notice.
        
           | foobarian wrote:
           | They could just cease all shipping. The consequences would be
           | legendary.
        
           | logicchains wrote:
           | >They could win via superior manufacturing capacity and the
           | sheer number of people they can draft into service at a
           | moment's notice.
           | 
           | Even with their manufacturing capacity they don't have
           | remotely enough boats to get a nontrivial fraction of those
           | people to the US mainland, and the majority of those people
           | can't swim, so they wouldn't help in taking the US mainland,
           | a requirement to "win" a serious war. Their entire armed
           | forces is also almost completely lacking in combat
           | experience, and in their last skirmish (against some unarmed
           | Indian soldiers in the mountains) 30+ soldiers Chinese
           | tragically drowned, due to the aforementioned lack of
           | swimming ability.
        
             | wewtyflakes wrote:
             | How China frames victory and how the US frames victory
             | needn't agree, and likely wouldn't. That being said,
             | framing victory as only counting if there is a wholesale
             | land invasion seems odd, as I suspect neither side would
             | want to actually do that... so who 'wins'?
        
         | Alan_Writer wrote:
         | I think they just show what it can be seen, like any country
         | with advance military developments.
         | 
         | They won't show you everything.
         | 
         | Have you ever heard about those sound/sonic (or something
         | similar) weapons the US used in Maduro's kidnap operation?
         | Venezuelan soldiers said (pero some publications on the
         | internet) that they never saw anything alike, leaving them
         | completely disoriented and helpless?
         | 
         | Soldiers now can even see thermal figures through walls or
         | solid materiales, and the same time, bacome invisibles.
         | 
         | It's more than sci-fi.
        
       | kuprel wrote:
       | From the image it doesn't look balanced for VTOL when the
       | propellors are vertical. Also are the jets enabled during VTOL?
        
         | gorkish wrote:
         | I'm betting the person who created the "artist rendering" isnt
         | an aeronautical engineer.
        
           | doublerabbit wrote:
           | Wager $10 it's a LLM prompt.
        
       | dmbche wrote:
       | Design remings me of something...
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accidents_and_incidents_involv...
        
         | yabones wrote:
         | The next generations of accidents are going to be even more
         | looney-tunes in nature.
        
         | conorbergin wrote:
         | The Osprey's accident rate is not that bad, and the US Army
         | have ordered a new smaller tiltrotor, the v280.
        
           | owlninja wrote:
           | They officially named it recently to the 'MV-75'.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | The Osprey has a reputation, for sure, but it's mid-pack. They
         | called the F-104 the widow maker for a reason, for example. And
         | the F-16 has a fairly high accident rate, too, slightly higher
         | than the Osprey. Though I think the F-16's history is a bit
         | more lopsided, they made some changes after early production
         | airframes proved pretty accident prone.
        
           | sedatk wrote:
           | In Turkey, F-104 was called "flying coffin".
        
         | burnt-resistor wrote:
         | L PRGB CHIP BURN
         | 
         | Any time there are planetaries or splines attached to jet
         | engines, it's a really weak spot. This holds for ordinary
         | turboprops too.
        
       | sandworm101 wrote:
       | Different engines for different phases of flight? It has been
       | tried many times and never really works. Such craft can be made
       | to fly, but never well. The answer has to come from using one set
       | to power all phases.
       | 
       | Id be interested in seeing a turboprop that can transition to a
       | turbofan/jet once the prop is folded away. The f-35 was a step in
       | this direction.
        
       | ocdtrekkie wrote:
       | I'm confident with the stellar service and safety record of the
       | V-22 that an even more complex tiltrotor will be a standout
       | success for the military.
        
         | wartywhoa23 wrote:
         | 16 hull losses per ~400 units built is not exactly a stellar
         | safety record.
         | 
         | Or I guess you mean /stellar?
        
           | jdkee wrote:
           | He is being sarcastic.
        
         | cpgxiii wrote:
         | If you look at the V-22 safety record in the context of the
         | level of technical development, it is pretty good (e.g. compare
         | to helicopters and aircraft from the 60s). The first
         | _production_ generation of a brand new type of vehicle is
         | always going to be complicated, and virtually all of the V-22
         | mishaps come from the  "new" components and procedures.
         | 
         | The fundamental tradeoff with tiltrotor platforms is that you
         | trade significantly increased speed for significantly increased
         | complexity. What that means is your battlefield survivability
         | goes up when dealing with any opponent with meaningful air
         | defenses, but at the cost of increasing your "resting" accident
         | rate when most peacetime accidents are consequences of
         | maintenance and/or procedural issues.
        
         | greedo wrote:
         | Flying military aircraft is inherently dangerous. The US Army
         | had 15 Class A mishaps in 2025, the USN 12, the USAF 14, and 6
         | for the USMC. The Apache (AH-64) led the Army, and this is a
         | mature airframe, but shit happens.
        
       | mikkupikku wrote:
       | Why won't they adopt one of Sikorsky's compound helicopters
       | already? They're beautiful and elegant solutions to this problem.
        
         | cpgxiii wrote:
         | Because Sikorski can't make them work. Sure, they can take off
         | and fly fast in a straight line, but they haven't been able to
         | demonstrate sufficient maneuverability due to vibration
         | problems in the rotor head. They are also _very_ tall,
         | prohibitively so for existing shipboard hangar, which would
         | otherwise seem to be their advantage over tiltrotor platforms.
        
       | brk wrote:
       | I don't understand the purpose of the Xenon taillight.
        
       | tamimio wrote:
       | I think the blades are added there for deception, most likely it
       | won't have blades.
        
         | EA wrote:
         | It will need blades to VTOL.
        
           | tamimio wrote:
           | They do exist, WIP, a bladless VTOL
           | 
           | https://newatlas.com/aircraft/jetoptera-bladeless-hsvtol/
           | 
           | > Jetoptera is developing VTOL (Vertical Take-Off and
           | Landing) aircraft that use a "Fluidic Propulsion System"
           | (FPS) instead of traditional rotors or propellers, acting
           | like "bladeless fans on steroids". These systems use
           | compressed air and the Coanda effect to generate high-speed
           | thrust, promising quieter, more efficient, and faster flight
           | (up to Mach 0.8) for aerial mobility.
        
         | bigyabai wrote:
         | Running exclusively off jet power would require an extremely
         | (impossibly?) strong compressor stage coupled a powerful APU to
         | generate lift. It's definitely not light enough to take off
         | without tiltrotors.
        
           | tamimio wrote:
           | The concept is the compressed air sent through slits in a
           | thruster, creating negative pressure that draws in
           | surrounding air, resulting in increased thrust, there's a
           | concept already of this, check the above reply.
        
             | bigyabai wrote:
             | From that link, "the system delivers 10% more thrust [...]
             | than a small turbojet."
             | 
             | They are still very deeply limited by compressor
             | technology, regardless of whether they use combustion or
             | electric propulsion.
        
       | 0xWTF wrote:
       | So ... we're going to try even harder to put humans in harm's
       | way?
        
       | rozab wrote:
       | It's cool they actually still commission concept paintings like
       | this
        
         | smlacy wrote:
         | That background looks like AI for sure though?
        
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