[HN Gopher] SWE-CI: Evaluating Agent Capabilities in Maintaining...
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       SWE-CI: Evaluating Agent Capabilities in Maintaining Codebases via
       CI
        
       Author : mpweiher
       Score  : 108 points
       Date   : 2026-03-08 08:11 UTC (14 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arxiv.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arxiv.org)
        
       | verdverm wrote:
       | Really long-term task benchmark showing significant improvements
       | in very recent models, while also showing really bad regression
       | rates across the board.
        
         | woeirua wrote:
         | Uh, Opus 4.6 avoids introducing regressions 75% of the time?
        
           | verdverm wrote:
           | So 1/4 times it does _not_ introduce a regression. That 's
           | still pretty bad imo. If 1/4 commits introduced regressions,
           | what would your team do?
           | 
           | We are talking about _regressions_ , what once worked no
           | longer does, and should be measured in 9s
        
             | notduncansmith wrote:
             | You overestimate many teams I think.
        
       | challengerVIE wrote:
       | To me using agents daily, the long term vision with
       | maintainability in mind really makes the difference between us
       | humans and agents, I like the idea. However evaluating long term
       | maintainability over an average of just 500 loc changes does not
       | sound like long term maintainability being measured here
        
       | KronisLV wrote:
       | > The benchmark comprises 100 tasks, each corresponding on
       | average to an evolution history spanning 233 days and 71
       | consecutive commits in a real-world code repository.
       | 
       | This seems like a really cool thing to benchmark! Technically
       | it'd be possible to take GitHub repos that the AI orgs probably
       | already have, cross-reference the code against the issues and
       | regressions, and train/validate on that.
       | 
       | The dataset would need to be way bigger to get close to the likes
       | of SWE-bench: https://www.swebench.com/original.html
       | 
       | "Vibe coded stuff gets hard to maintain and will end up buggy."
       | Yeah, so make models that deal with that better, optimize for
       | maintainability and consistency.
       | 
       | Cool to see Claude doing decently though!
        
         | woadwarrior01 wrote:
         | > Cool to see Claude doing decently though!
         | 
         | The scales do seem to be tipped in its favor (cf: my other
         | comment in this thread).
        
       | woadwarrior01 wrote:
       | Interesting benchmark.
       | 
       | I can't help but notice that they're benchmarking Opus 4.6
       | (Anthropic's latest and greatest model) against GPT-5.2 (which is
       | three generations behind OpenAI's latest coding models:
       | GPT-5.2-Codex, GPT-5.3-Codex and the latest GPT-5.4).
        
         | aurareturn wrote:
         | As far as I know, OpenAI did not release 5.3 Codex in their
         | API. You can only use it with Codex CLI or app.
        
           | baalimago wrote:
           | It's there, you just need to use it with the responses API.
           | Set model field to 'gpt-5.3-codex'
        
         | re-thc wrote:
         | 5.2 and 5.2 Codex is arguably the same gen.
        
           | jasonjmcghee wrote:
           | Sure, but one is fine-tuned for what they are testing and one
           | is not.
        
       | mentalgear wrote:
       | Claude wins by a large margin
       | 
       | * Claude Opus 4.6 : 0.71
       | 
       | * Claude Opus 4.5 : 0.51
       | 
       | * KIMI-K2.5 : 0.37
       | 
       | * GLM-5 : 0.36
       | 
       | * GPT-5.2 : 0.23
       | 
       | Note: later GPT versions seem to be only available within
       | openAi's proprietary codex cli, so can't be tested - and if
       | tested via the codex cli "harness" it wouldn't be a pure model-
       | to-model comparison any more.
       | 
       | ---
       | 
       | Of course, the interesting follow-up question is: How well
       | perform these models with added agent tooling ("harness") ?
       | 
       | Maybe someone has tokens to burn and can run a matrix of agent
       | tools over the top models and provide the results?
        
         | mike_hearn wrote:
         | It's the other way around - Claude Code is the proprietary one.
         | Codex CLI is open source:
         | 
         | https://github.com/openai/codex
         | 
         | You can definitely access the latest models via the API. That's
         | how Codex CLI works.
        
           | pizlonator wrote:
           | gpt-5.3 was not accessible via API, at least for me
           | 
           | But it was in codex
        
         | jsemrau wrote:
         | I reached the same conclusion. I tried using both for my
         | personal investment ambient using agent-pair programming to
         | build and agentic intelligence layer for stocks and the
         | difference between the 2 models if astounding.
        
         | andai wrote:
         | >if tested via the codex cli "harness" it wouldn't be a pure
         | model-to-model comparison any more.
         | 
         | Well that's already not a very fair comparison, we've known for
         | years (one of the early-ish LLM papers, maybe someone knows
         | which one) that prompting makes an enormous difference on agent
         | performance, and most strikingly, the same prompt that
         | massively boosts performance on one model, can massively
         | _reduce_ performance on another.
         | 
         | So you already need to fine-tune the prompts for the model, if
         | you want anything approaching best results.
         | 
         | Now what's really amusing is that if you run models _without_
         | their official harness, they can actually do way better on some
         | benchmarks! [0] e.g. On Terminal Bench 2, Claude Opus 4.6 goes
         | from #33 (Claude Code) to #5 (custom harness). Similar results
         | for Codex.
         | 
         | Now, this is "for this one very specific benchmark", but I
         | still thought it was funny, since you'd expect "the harness
         | made by the same company" to be the best for all tasks, but
         | that's clearly not the case. (For specific tasks, it's actually
         | quite trivial to outperform a general purpose harness.)
         | 
         | [0] https://www.tbench.ai/leaderboard/terminal-bench/2.0
        
         | climike wrote:
         | We are working on supporting agent harnesses @
         | www.cliwatch.com, so both 1. LLM model as well 2. LLM model +
         | harness performance can be evaluated against your software/CLI.
         | We also support building evals against your doc suite. End
         | result is that you'll feel more comfortable shipping CLIs that
         | work for your agentic users!:)
        
         | pizlonator wrote:
         | > and if tested via the codex cli "harness" it wouldn't be a
         | pure model-to-model comparison any more.
         | 
         | But the interesting comparison when evaluating coding agent
         | capabilities is to evaluate the offerings given to users.
         | 
         | So this means comparing Claude Code to Codex to whatever CLI
         | tools Kimi, GLM, and others give you.
         | 
         | And it might mean throwing Cursor, OpenCode, Amp, Pi, mini-swe-
         | agent, etc into the mix
        
       | 50lo wrote:
       | It'd be interesting to see this compared against a human baseline
       | -- e.g., a competent engineer with a fixed time budget on the
       | same tasks.
        
       | PunchyHamster wrote:
       | I'm sure with benchmarks like these future LLMs will be optimized
       | to hide regressions by "fixing" test framework too
        
         | pixl97 wrote:
         | Isn't misalignment great.
        
       | baalimago wrote:
       | Replace "Agent" with "Employee" and apply the same algorithm.
       | Evaluate employee efficiency. Profit?
        
         | KronisLV wrote:
         | I'd unironically (and privately) want to do that with the code
         | of both myself and those around me - to maybe see who I should
         | listen more to, as well as who maybe less (ideally down to the
         | feature level), because everyone has opinions, sometimes loud
         | ones, but some approaches lead to a lot of churn and issues
         | over the years.
        
       | gizmodo59 wrote:
       | Unfortunately the paper doesn't include gpt 5.3 which was
       | released around the same time as opus 4.6 and also gpt 5.4 few
       | days back. Both are available via api
       | 
       | https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/models/gpt-5.3-codex
       | 
       | IMHO The harness must be used when running these experiments. The
       | model vendors know best on giving the best harness with gpt 5.4
       | and codex or Claude code with opus 4.6 which makes a big
       | difference if you are running any kind of agentic coding tasks.
       | 
       | I see both Claude and gpt to be neck and neck in coding. Every
       | other model+harness is definitely 3-6 months behind. Right now
       | codex seems to be the best in terms of solving complex bugs, long
       | running tasks, much higher limits and even speed while Claude
       | seems to do well in front end and their cli ux seems nice! Codex
       | app is very good though (wish it wasn't electron as a memory hog
       | but it's good)
        
         | p1esk wrote:
         | Are you saying they did not use native harnesses like Claude
         | Code or Codex? How did they do it then?
        
         | jasonjmcghee wrote:
         | > model vendors know best on giving the best harness
         | 
         | This was only true for Claude Code for a while. Codex was poor
         | and Gemini was unusable.
         | 
         | Since then Codex has gotten quite good.
        
       | jbergqvist wrote:
       | Would have loved to see a more detailed breakdown of performance
       | by task type. The commit metadata is right there, seems
       | straightforward to tag commits as feature vs refactor vs bug fix
       | vs API change and report per-category numbers.
        
       | qsera wrote:
       | >Alibaba Group
        
       | yuyuqueen wrote:
       | The regression rates match what I saw early on with Claude Code
       | on my monorepo. The fix was structural, not model-level: keeping
       | everything in a single tree (packages, tests, docs, CI config) so
       | the agent sees downstream effects of any change. When context is
       | split across repos, agents cheerfully break imports because they
       | literally can't see what depends on what.
       | 
       | Something hard to capture in benchmarks: project-level
       | conventions. A well-maintained CLAUDE.md at the repo root --
       | describing architecture, naming patterns, test conventions --
       | gives the agent context it internalizes before touching code. My
       | regression rate dropped noticeably once I started maintaining
       | that kind of project metadata. Model choice is only half the
       | equation -- the other half is how well you've structured the
       | information environment the agent works in.
        
       | agent5ravi wrote:
       | The resolve rate numbers are interesting but I keep coming back
       | to the regression question. In my experience doing code review on
       | a real codebase, the hard part of maintenance is not fixing the
       | thing that broke. It is understanding whether your fix preserves
       | the invariants the original author had in mind but did not write
       | down.
       | 
       | A benchmark that checks CI pass/fail captures the first part. It
       | cannot capture the second. An agent that makes CI green by
       | weakening an assertion or bypassing a check will score well here
       | but create a time bomb.
       | 
       | The monorepo point from yuyuqueen hits this. When the agent can
       | see the full dependency graph, it is less likely to fix something
       | locally while breaking a downstream assumption. The biggest
       | maintenance failures I have seen are not wrong logic. They are
       | fixes that are locally correct but violate an unwritten contract
       | between components.
        
         | westurner wrote:
         | > _It is understanding whether your fix preserves the
         | invariants the original author had in mind but did not write
         | down._
         | 
         | This may also be the limit to the quality of an automated port
         | to another language. What isn't encoded as automated tests or
         | manual test procedure cannot be verified.
         | 
         | So often I'm amazed at what it's possible to accomplish from a
         | prompt that's certainly insufficient with insufficient context.
         | "It should have been necessary to specify more context there,"
         | or "I would have thought that it wasn't possible to do that
         | without reading in more context than just one source code
         | file," and then a few prompts later, "there's where we failed
         | for trying to skimp on context"
         | 
         | To prevent architectural rework as a human developer also
         | requires substantial ahead-of-time codebase review.
         | 
         | Are AGENTS.md files the best place to summarize more
         | comprehensive codebase review and useful dense context like
         | guidelines for testing and architectural components in order to
         | avoid rework?
        
         | rekornode wrote:
         | CI pass/fail captures regression, but there's a layer beneath
         | it that benchmarks can't touch: what exactly did the agent
         | submit to each external API, and can you prove it after the
         | fact? In the benchmark context this doesn't matter everything
         | runs locally. In production it does. The agent calls a third-
         | party service at 2am, the service claims it returned an error,
         | your agent retried and billed you twice. Your logs say one
         | thing, their logs say another. The integrity problem isn't just
         | "did the code work" it's "what was the exact request/response
         | pair, timestamped, by whom, provably." CI solves the first.
         | Something else has to solve the second.
        
       | smy20011 wrote:
       | It interesting to see that the eval set becoming more and more
       | expensive. Previously we just need to evaluate one test set,
       | right now we need to create a lot of diffs and run a lot of
       | tests.
        
       | rurban wrote:
       | The zero regression rate graph at the end is exactly my
       | experience. Only Opus is useful right now, the rest are juniors.
        
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