[HN Gopher] US tech firms pledge at White House to bear costs of...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       US tech firms pledge at White House to bear costs of energy for
       datacenters
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 162 points
       Date   : 2026-03-05 02:00 UTC (21 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | cs702 wrote:
       | "The invisible hand" of free markets has become truly
       | invisible...
        
       | fulafel wrote:
       | Does it include externalities (co2 emissions)?
       | 
       | Increasing natural gas generation is of course disastrous policy
       | with a major death toll from the climate disaster, there needs to
       | be a rampdown of fossils use and production.
        
         | deaux wrote:
         | Strange downvotes for a relevant question.
        
         | warkdarrior wrote:
         | There are no such things as CO2 emissions in this
         | administration. Your AI chatbots will be powered by clean coal
         | and you'll enjoy it!
        
           | cyrusradfar wrote:
           | /s this guy gets it. Thank you, finally speaking my language
        
           | rob74 wrote:
           | They have a cute mascot, so it can't be that bad:
           | https://www.msn.com/en-us/lifestyle/lifestyle-buzz/meet-
           | coal...
           | 
           | Actually, the tweet quoted in the article is firmly in the
           | "you can't make this $%&/ up" category...
        
           | thegreatpeter wrote:
           | So you believe Microsoft will start opening up coal plants
           | again and not nuclear?
        
             | dathinab wrote:
             | Nuclear power is a pain to build and maintain and un-build
             | once it gets to old to reliable run it (the later part is
             | commonly overlooked in cost calculations).
             | 
             | It is also a ~50 year investment.
             | 
             | This makes it not very attractive for companies and is why
             | most nuclear power is state sub-ventioned.
             | 
             | Theoretically the US had something similar to a state bank
             | to help companies to finance exactly such projects, but
             | Trump/DOGE defounded it for publicity reasons which makes
             | it even less likely for private nuclear power plants.
             | 
             | Many "we will use nuclear power" statements do rely on mini
             | reactors. But AFIK pretty much all mini reactor projects
             | have ended in dead ends so far. With promised at best
             | working out on paper (and quite often not even there).
             | 
             | So my guess is: They will claim they want to use Nuclear
             | and might even intend to do so. But in the end look at
             | their balance sheets and risk calculation and go "nah, lets
             | do coal/gas/oil". There probably will be some single public
             | co-investment into a nuclear power plant which "happens" to
             | also be government sponsored to keep up the pretense.
        
         | analog31 wrote:
         | While we're at it, water use is another externality.
        
         | adrianN wrote:
         | The only realistic way to "bear the cost" of CO2 emissions is
         | paying for getting atmospheric carbon back into the ground.
         | Right now that seems difficult to do at scale. The best way I
         | know is making charcoal and burying it. Offsetting 1kWh needs
         | on the order of 200g of wood turned into charcoal and buried.
        
           | erpellan wrote:
           | Making charcoal releases CO2 though? How does that help with
           | carbon capture?
        
             | AngryData wrote:
             | You don't HAVE to make it into charcoal, but it will take
             | up way more volume if you don't and contains tons of
             | volatiles like methane that will come out and may make the
             | ground less stable to simply bury with dirt as it partially
             | rots.
             | 
             | Theoretically you could harness some of those volatiles for
             | some energy production, but at the very least use those
             | volatiles to heat the wood and make it charcoal for
             | basically free.
        
               | nDRDY wrote:
               | Methane is a significantly more effective GHG than carbon
               | dioxide!
        
             | adrianN wrote:
             | Charcoal is like 80% carbon and the tree extracted it from
             | the atmosphere.
        
           | nDRDY wrote:
           | Are you suggesting we cut down trees and bury them to save
           | the planet? For me, this idea marks the departure from reason
           | and into crazytown.
           | 
           | When our civilisation is excavated in 500 years, they are
           | going to say we were as crazy as all of the others.
        
             | harimau777 wrote:
             | I don't think it's necessarily unreasonable. As I
             | understand it, the lumber industry has optimized the
             | ability to grow massive amounts of fast growing pine as
             | quickly as possible. So this isn't suggesting that we start
             | clearcutting forests, it's suggesting that we start growing
             | massive amounts of lumber with the explicit purpose of
             | converting it to charcoal and burrying it.
        
               | dathinab wrote:
               | it actually is a bad idea if you look into the details
               | 
               | trees aren't just carbon, they are bio mass/nutrition
               | 
               | and if you constantly remove bio mass you sooner or later
               | run into issues
               | 
               | (Which we already do in some places, e.g. when over using
               | fields (see US dust storms), or with some managed Forrest
               | getting increasingly more unstable not just because of
               | warmed climate but also because of removing dead treas
               | leading to an interruption of the natural nutrient
               | recycling (and insect habitats) leading to Nutrition
               | deficiency in the long run.)
               | 
               | but we do have working carbon removal technologies, they
               | are just not cheap
               | 
               | hence why you want companies to pay for them, it gives
               | them a huge reason to reduce emissions instead
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | The point of turning the trees into Charcoal is to return
               | all the non-carbon elements to the environment and remove
               | any metabolic activity from releasing that carbon.
               | 
               | The USA currently produces about 70 million tons of paper
               | per year, which is about half carbon by weight. We
               | produce about 2 gigatons of lumber per year, which is
               | again about half carbon, all absorbed from the
               | atmosphere.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, we produce like 40 gigatons of CO2 per
               | year. So we would have to scale lumber work
               | _dramatically_. It 's also not a clean industry itself,
               | reliant on heavy machinery running on gasoline or diesel,
               | and turning that wood into charcoal would require massive
               | refineries.
               | 
               | IMO more effective bets are figuring out how to
               | artificially induce massive blooms of algae and plankton
               | in parts of the ocean to essentially recreate the
               | conditions that lead to the hydrocarbon deposits in the
               | first place. There's some work on this right now, but
               | like any massive engineering and ecological tampering,
               | there _will_ be tradeoffs and downsides. I also don 't
               | know how you prevent the dead plant matter from
               | decomposing and releasing the carbon.
        
               | nDRDY wrote:
               | It is such an unreasonable idea! Ignoring the loss of
               | biomass (and the fact that there would be no way to
               | implement this scheme without providing a very unwelcome
               | financial incentive to cut down trees wherever they are
               | found), you'd use as much CO2 in the machinery required
               | to cut the trees down and dig a big hole! Unless you're
               | suggesting we do it all by hand? In which case, the
               | picture of a crazed, doomsday cult is complete. I suppose
               | at least it involves less murder than the Aztecs and
               | their sacrifices.
        
             | adrianN wrote:
             | I suggest it's easier to leave to carbon in the ground in
             | the first place. Carbon capture promises are unrealistic.
             | But if you want to go with charcoal it's probably best to
             | get wood from coppicing.
        
             | dathinab wrote:
             | the only crazy thing here is your comment
             | 
             | completely ignoring all existing technologies related to
             | that topic to spout obvious nonsense about "cutting down
             | trees and burying them" (which would bind active bio mass
             | which isn't a grate idea, also that won't produce oil
             | anyway not that this is relevant for the discussion)
             | 
             | various ways to reduce the carbon in the air do exist (and
             | without trees)
             | 
             | and the carbon can be both recycled for other usage and
             | literally placed in the earth, too
             | 
             | it is not rally a solution for climate change as it's very
             | expensive to do. But this also makes it a good idea to
             | "make companies pay for it" (at least if their carbon-
             | equivalent output goes above a certain threshold). Because
             | if they have the choice between very expensive carbon
             | removal or reducing carbon output for a much cheaper price
             | they will do the later; But in emergency/outlier situations
             | they still can do the former, just at a very high price.).
        
             | blitzar wrote:
             | my read was ... we should cut down trees, burn them and
             | bury the ashes to save the planet
        
               | nDRDY wrote:
               | It's too controversial now, but one day we will recognise
               | the current narrow-minded obsession with CO2 as the
               | Western civilisation-wide doomsday cult that it is.
        
               | BizarroLand wrote:
               | I think this is literally the most head in own ass stupid
               | thing I've ever read on the internet.
        
         | burnt-resistor wrote:
         | Sound and particulate pollution too.
        
         | dathinab wrote:
         | The current US government is systematically attacking anything
         | which tries to "reduce the effects of climate change" and
         | claims it's mostly all a scam.
         | 
         | So no.
         | 
         | But what probably also isn't included but should is
         | environmental damage.
         | 
         | Running low quality "temp." gas turbines non stop isn't without
         | filters etc. isn't just bad for the climate, it's a air
         | pollution which can directly affect anyone in it's path with
         | not only increased chances for lounge cancer but also much more
         | short term effects like asthma, and increased chances of asthma
         | attacks ending deadly. Especially if the weather prevents easy
         | dispersion (like it tends to do in winter). It's not that long
         | ago (<80y) that the west had acid rains, and deadly smog
         | accidents exactly from this kind of negligent shit. And if we
         | look at Asia this is sometimes still a topic today (but has
         | gotten much better compared to just ~20 years ago).
        
           | cucumber3732842 wrote:
           | Look in the mirror.
           | 
           | No MBA pencil pusher wants to run an inefficient local
           | turbine. It's just that the timeline and upper cost bound of
           | doing that is less crap than having a "real utility" build
           | more power at "real utility scale" and run you a wire because
           | the latter is subject to all manner of delay and cost
           | overrun.
           | 
           | And there's no inherent physical or economic reason for it to
           | be that way. We made it that way. The metaphorical local
           | turbine is less worse specifically because people like you,
           | saying the exact same things you're saying right now have
           | saddled the "real utility scale" generation, and more
           | importantly, the wire to the big industrial consumer who'd
           | pay for it with all sorts of requirements.
           | 
           | It costs tens of thousands of dollars of lawyers and
           | engineering over years just to dump a concrete culvert in a
           | ravine where it crosses a power line clearing and fill over
           | the top, all because of the red tape. Say nothing of the cost
           | to do all the legal paperwork to get the utility cut in the
           | first place. Now multiply by every mile the wire has to go,
           | add in the wires, etc, etc. For an industry that might boom
           | and bust in 2, 5, 10yr dumping a fuel guzzling turbine in
           | your parking lot at 5x the cost per watt starts to look
           | pretty good.
        
             | blitzar wrote:
             | The MBA pencil pusher would pay a billion for 1 unit of
             | electricity if it increased their market cap by a trillion.
             | The margin is so fat and the percieved upside so great that
             | 9 figure signing bonuses have been thrown around.
             | 
             | Of course this will all change, but I doubt we will see
             | tech companies opening power plants anytime soon with their
             | associated balance sheet dragging 1% return on equity.
        
           | adrianN wrote:
           | Acid rain and smog are not much of a concern with gas
           | turbines. The most problematic exhaust is probably nitrous
           | oxide.
        
       | deadbolt wrote:
       | We're all gonna end up paying for this and everyone involved
       | knows it.
        
         | beloch wrote:
         | Public investment yields private dividends.
        
           | Xunjin wrote:
           | "Socialize the losses, privatize the profits".
        
         | testing22321 wrote:
         | I covered my house in solar panels so it's all irrelevant now.
         | 
         | Soon I'll get a used EV and cover the garage in panels too so I
         | don't have to care about wars causing surges in gas prices
         | either.
        
       | mcs5280 wrote:
       | Non-binding and voluntary = a bunch of lip service
        
       | SilverElfin wrote:
       | Do they pledge the costs of noise pollution and damage to water
       | sources? Let's be honest - these pledges are theater that
       | reflects an agreement between tech oligarchs and the Trump
       | administration. The pay the bribes via donations or whatever, and
       | get back this deceptive theater show.
        
       | h4kunamata wrote:
       | This is USA so we all know that those techs companies won't pay a
       | cent back at the end, but the population will.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | The tech companies don't really have any issue paying for the
         | capacity, this is a negligible cost compared to the compute
         | capital, they just want streamlined regulatory approvals to
         | bring the plants online.
        
           | NegativeK wrote:
           | > The tech companies don't really have any issue paying
           | 
           | It reduces profit.
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | Wrong, using grid power without adding capacity will result
             | in tech companies paying more for electricity too. They
             | want to add capacity.
        
               | softfalcon wrote:
               | Are you absolutely sure they don't want us to add the
               | capacity for them with a pathway for further government
               | subsidies?
               | 
               | Almost everything in tech has been subsidized in one way
               | or another via tax avoidance schemes or outright lobbying
               | and manipulation of the market.
               | 
               | Why would this be any different?
        
       | powerpcmac wrote:
       | The only people who believes corpo jackoffery these days are
       | either boomers or people investing their remaining money in big
       | line go up
        
       | 7thpower wrote:
       | Even if the pledges are in good faith, people are being naive
       | about how utilities work.
       | 
       | The general goal for utilities has been to pursue the next
       | "thing" and work toward some sort of regulation to lock in
       | demand, which can be used as a lever to seek price increases and
       | consolidate.
       | 
       | If there's margin to be had, the utilities will find a way, and
       | prices will go up either way.
        
       | miyoji wrote:
       | You can read the actual pledge at [0]. The executive order
       | regarding it is at [1].
       | 
       | There's some speculation in the comments about what is or isn't
       | in the pledge. I recommend reading it yourself.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2026/03/ratepayer-
       | protec...
       | 
       | [1] https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-
       | actions/2026/03/rate...
        
         | AdieuToLogic wrote:
         | It is important to remember that clarifying the legal
         | implications of "pledge" is entirely different than supporting
         | and/or defending this instance of its usage.
         | 
         | One can do the former whilst repudiating the latter and remain
         | logically consistent.
        
           | trinsic2 wrote:
           | I'm not understanding why clarifying the legal implications
           | is important if it's a smoke screen for everyone involved
           | doing what they are going to do anyway. It seems more like a
           | distraction away from the real problems.
        
         | dsl wrote:
         | It all seems like a backdoor to let tech companies build power
         | generation on site without all the red tape and sell the excess
         | power to consumers. This indirectly allows them to offload some
         | of the fixed operational costs onto consumers.
         | 
         | We just approved the first nuclear plant in 20 years to a
         | company owned by Bill Gates and in a state that has basically
         | nothing but farmland and a Microsoft datacenter.
         | 
         | This absolutely cannot backfire. /s
        
           | simianwords wrote:
           | What's wrong with this?
        
             | ipaddr wrote:
             | Price of power goes up and the local people are not
             | connected to the benefits. You might think they will
             | receive a lot of money in taxes but you would be wrong
             | because they have tax breaks.
        
               | sparky_z wrote:
               | Why would adding a new supplier to the market cause the
               | price of power to go up?
        
               | myrmidon wrote:
               | Because on-site powerplants owned by datacenter operators
               | are not "just another supplier".
               | 
               | The threat is: This "datacenter power" disincentives
               | buildout of "free" powerplants (by eating up significant
               | demand at very low margins thanks to basically vertical
               | integration); this slows down buildout of "normal"
               | infrastructure (possibly both grid connectivity and
               | power), and the electrical energy market becomes _worse_
               | for consumers than it is now.
               | 
               | I personally think all of this is very speculative for
               | now, but allowing industry to rely on the grid (which
               | they still would!) while almost exclusively "buying"
               | their own power is a risky proposition from a consumer
               | perspective.
        
               | soulofmischief wrote:
               | Not to mention the danger of energy production, even
               | nuclear, becoming resource-constrained to the point where
               | datacenter power plants leave no room for municipal
               | plants. We're seeing it happen with consumer hardware;
               | make no mistake on who will get preference.
        
               | PunchyHamster wrote:
               | I'm sure power plant building companies won't say no to
               | more business
        
             | tomrod wrote:
             | Grid overload if they produce too much base load.
             | 
             | Interconnection expenses.
             | 
             | Same issues as with mining and large industrial clients
             | generally.
        
               | simianwords wrote:
               | so no companies should build anything even if they
               | attempt to pay for the externalities. this is just
               | nimbyism.
        
               | jfengel wrote:
               | "Attempt" is doing a lot of work there. Companies are
               | driven by a profit motive, and are practically required
               | to renege on promises that are not legally enforced.
               | 
               | In a different world they would have earned trust and
               | deserve the benefit of the doubt. This is not that world.
        
               | tomrod wrote:
               | You'll notice that I did not advocate against building
               | and grid reconfiguration. Indeed, my company does
               | microgrids. I do, however, believe strongly in being
               | aware of tradeoffs.
               | 
               | In short, I'm very much in favor of building the right
               | solution to a problem.
               | 
               | I am unsure what cognitively triggered an unhealthy
               | response of "this is NIMBYism!" and would welcome a
               | follow up comment to understand your train of thought.
        
           | terminalshort wrote:
           | Good. I want more power plants built, especially ones that
           | don't emit CO2.
        
         | soared wrote:
         | This sounds really cool and all governmenty
         | 
         | > IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand this fourth
         | day of March, in the year of our Lord two thousand twenty-six,
         | and of the Independence of the United States of America the two
         | hundred and fiftieth.
        
         | trinsic2 wrote:
         | What is the point of reading it? Pledges mean nothing.
        
       | madhacker wrote:
       | Trump helping tech bros sell more data centers. A pledge is
       | moronic. You pay for what you use since time immemorial. Don't
       | need to redefine existing words with new meaning.
        
       | dolphinscorpion wrote:
       | As long as they promised. Their word is golden
        
       | bitwize wrote:
       | Some towns in my state are already complaining about the noise
       | from turbines supplying on-site power to a data center that's
       | been built here. They're keeping people up at night. I'm broadly
       | supportive of a "techie go home" movement.
        
       | otterley wrote:
       | I find the whole thing a little odd. They're basically pledging
       | to pay their electricity bills. So what? So does every business.
       | 
       | Saying they're going to pay for generation and transmission adds
       | little. That's already baked into the charges! It's like saying
       | they're going to finally pay for the farmers to grow the produce
       | and the drivers to get the produce to market when they buy apples
       | --as though spontaneous generation and teleportation was ever an
       | option.
        
         | simianwords wrote:
         | They are pledging to not only pay for their own bills but
         | rather increase the supply of electricity itself. This will
         | reduce retail electricity prices.
         | 
         | This mean retail consumers are paying less for electricity than
         | what they would have paid if not for the pledge.
        
           | podgorniy wrote:
           | What if they pay own bills (why is this even a subject of
           | discussion?), increase supply (formally), but electricity
           | prices still go up anyway? Just curios if scenario from my
           | descrition even possible...
        
             | simianwords wrote:
             | that could happen because the demand could rise even more.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | An actual problem was them trying to avoid paying.
         | 
         | They'd ask the utilities to make Gigawatts of energy available
         | over the next two decades and the utilities would say "No
         | problem, just sign here and agree to pay for us building out
         | the grid to support that".
         | 
         | Then the AI companies said "No we only want to pay for energy
         | if we actually use it, if we go bust or decide not to use the
         | energy in a couple of years we want you to charge all the
         | others consumers to recoup that cost".
         | 
         | No idea if that's addressed here. I'm assuming not.
         | 
         | It was never clear if that reflected uncertainty about future
         | demand or of they just like shifting costs and risk onto other
         | people whenever possible.
         | 
         | edit: the pledge references this problem, whether it actually
         | solves it I don't know.
        
       | burnt-resistor wrote:
       | Like trickle down economics? Fool me once ...
        
       | stevefan1999 wrote:
       | Stealing from the people; enriching myself
        
       | yanhangyhy wrote:
       | It feels like ordinary people are becoming increasingly
       | unnecessary. With AI, data centers, and big corporations, they
       | don't really need ordinary people anymore apart from their own
       | employees. Capitalists only need robots and artificial
       | intelligence to serve them, and ordinary people could just be put
       | in zoos for display.
        
         | DeathArrow wrote:
         | >Capitalists only need robots and artificial intelligence to
         | serve them
         | 
         | That doesn't make sense because robots and AI won't have money
         | to buy goods and services.
        
           | wolvoleo wrote:
           | True but they will focus their market on the every enriching
           | 0.1% that will have all the money.
        
           | KptMarchewa wrote:
           | The capitalists realized that if they literally starve the
           | working class there will be revolution. But if they produce
           | enough so they can sustain (barely) rest of the people with
           | 1% output while they consume 99%, it will be okay.
           | 
           | So don't worry, you'll have basic ~~income~~ soylent green.
        
           | fragmede wrote:
           | People have already hooked up Stripe accounts to OpenClaw
           | instances, so AI's _currently_ buying and selling goods and
           | services.
        
           | mrguyorama wrote:
           | Capitalists don't care about money. Capitalists collect money
           | for it's _power_ in a capitalist system.
           | 
           | If they get "AI" and industrial robots, they don't _care_
           | that nobody can buy their products anymore because they never
           | cared about selling products in the first place.
           | 
           | Right now capitalists _loathe_ that they can  "only* collect
           | a 10-50% return on the things "they build", and the rest of
           | the value has to go to the consumer. They want nothing more
           | than getting rid of that "waste", and just having their
           | personal factories create whatever they want and their
           | personal farms making whatever they want and we all just
           | fucking die.
        
       | campuscodi wrote:
       | I've read so many of these pledges before.... tl'dr: no, they
       | won't
        
       | throawayonthe wrote:
       | oh well if they pledge it's okay then!
        
         | mr_toad wrote:
         | They're pledging to do what they were doing anyway. No one with
         | any sense is building large data centers and assuming the grid
         | will supply the energy.
        
           | harimau777 wrote:
           | Isn't that contradicted by the fact that data centers are
           | increasing electric prices in the areas they are built? It
           | seems to me that either the data centers are drawing power
           | from the grid or the utilities are gouging people. Either one
           | should be stopped.
        
           | bdangubic wrote:
           | move to northern virginia - the capital of data centers - and
           | see what happens to your energy bills...
        
       | bob1029 wrote:
       | We should be focusing on how to build large turbines and
       | transformers more quickly. A lot of transmission projects are
       | blocked on equipment. There are warehouses full of photovoltaics
       | that we cant use because of other industrial bottlenecks. We can
       | build an entire PV plant before we can obtain a single custom
       | transformer for a substation.
        
         | ourmandave wrote:
         | Fear not citizen! Ya boi Elon got you covered with the new
         | Megablock.
         | 
         | Ta da! It's 3 Megapaks wired together with a transformer. Now
         | _that 's_ innovation.
         | 
         | See? Without billionaires, who would save us from billionaires?
         | 
         | Tesla's Megablock: Breaking the Transformer Bottleneck
         | https://www.rebellionaire.com/post/tesla-megablock-transform...
        
       | mentalgear wrote:
       | Oh the "pledges" - tell me again how the Billionaire's Giving
       | Pledge - the ultimate "pinky promise" of the 1% - is going?
       | 
       | Launched in 2010 by Bill Gates, Melinda French Gates, and Warren
       | Buffett, it was sold as a historic shift in philanthropy. Fast
       | forward to 2026, and the data suggests it's been more of a
       | "Wealth Preservation Society" than a massive wealth
       | redistribution event.
       | 
       | This will be just as trustworthy. We need laws - not merely
       | rhetoric pledges !
        
       | nixass wrote:
       | Can I pledge to pay taxes?
        
       | throwaw12 wrote:
       | > The agreement is meant to help mitigate concerns that big
       | tech's datacenters are driving up US electricity costs for homes
       | and small businesses
       | 
       | Exactly opposite will happen. Reason is, when Big Tech is paying
       | huge amounts of money to contractors to build those power
       | generation facilities and service companies to service it, they
       | will abandon servicing other facilities (remember how Micron
       | dropped consumer RAMs last year because of enterprise demand) or
       | require higher pay from everyone else
        
         | thegreatpeter wrote:
         | So what's the solution? No data center? Let the current
         | landscape of power companies operate as is?
        
           | throwaw12 wrote:
           | Let's make some assumptions first:
           | 
           | 1. DCs must be built anyway
           | 
           | 2. You can't take away energy from households
           | 
           | (3). Highly preferred that you are not going to impact cost
           | negatively to households (otherwise why we have this
           | discussion)
           | 
           | based on these assumptions, solution I see is, BigTech
           | subsidising energy costs for 10 years for nearby households
           | (area will be geofenced, e.g. in the radius of 50km), subsidy
           | will be based on the prices outside of that radius. e.g. if
           | you everyone outside of closest DC pays 1$ and in the radius
           | prices become 1.5$, 0.5$ will be covered by BigTech and
           | they're also responsible & pay to setup the system to
           | automatically include everyone in subsidy program, not like
           | you need to apply
           | 
           | Also BigTech is not going to build the power generation
           | plants, it must be built by existing processes to minimize
           | impact on pricing
        
             | PunchyHamster wrote:
             | Many problems with it:
             | 
             | * power generation is not local in most of the cases. You'd
             | be still fucking energy market to anyone outside it
             | 
             | * power is also used by companies people actually want.
             | Even if household power cost wont chance thanks to that
             | approach, the price for power for every single business
             | around will increase.
             | 
             | * similarly any other manufacturing business will cost
             | more. In essence, the AI boom will reduce profit margin of
             | every single business that has electric power as
             | significant cost in the production. Which is _a lot_ of
             | industries.
             | 
             | "Making AI pay more for its useless power draw" is nice
             | idea but it is pretty hard to realise. Unless we start
             | outright denying connection to power grid but that's pretty
             | dangerous political precedent to set.
        
               | phil21 wrote:
               | > "Making AI pay more for its useless power draw" is nice
               | idea but it is pretty hard to realise.
               | 
               | And should never be a thing. It's not for others to
               | decide something is useless. Let the market figure that
               | out. It should simply be an even playing field, and in
               | theory we already have the regulatory mechanisms to get
               | that done. If the rates are currently able to be abused,
               | that is entirely correctable.
               | 
               | It should not matter if I want to build 1000MW of
               | aluminum smelting capacity, or a facility that digs holes
               | and fills them back in again - so long as I'm paying the
               | regulatory rates that have been set to be fair across all
               | similar power consumers.
               | 
               | The bigger problem by far is that we spent 40-60 years
               | not building anything. Eventually you run out of the
               | previous generation's power capacity. Can only ride
               | inertia and offshoring your industrial energy usage for
               | so long. There are a lot of chickens coming home to roost
               | in the next decade or three on this topic, electric grid
               | was just pulled forward a bit due to the AI bubble.
        
             | phil21 wrote:
             | Power prices have nearly nothing to do with proximity like
             | that, at least in most areas. Local interconnect surcharges
             | are a thing, but not usually material.
             | 
             | It's the entire region where prices will increase. A
             | facility could be built 200 miles away from you and it
             | would have just as much of an impact on your power bill as
             | one built across the road.
             | 
             | > Also BigTech is not going to build the power generation
             | plants, it must be built by existing processes to minimize
             | impact on pricing
             | 
             | The issue with this requirement is that it's not a capital
             | problem. Big tech would be happy to pay someone to build
             | more power generation and just take a power feed, even if
             | it costs marginally more.
             | 
             | What they cannot do is wait 12 years for what they could
             | get done in 2. And I do not blame them at all for this at
             | all - building anything in the US is basically impossible
             | these days due to the NIMBY and general culture of not
             | getting things done. We forgot how to rapidly build
             | infrastructure in an efficient manner, and anyone putting
             | proverbial boot to ass to get this done is a good thing.
             | 
             | It's not a case of a datacenter operator wanting to save a
             | few pennies per kwh. It's a case of the power literally not
             | being there and the utilities being utterly incompetent at
             | building anything in any reasonable timeframe.
        
           | jfengel wrote:
           | Put some company stock in escrow. If they fulfill the
           | promises, they get it back. If not the government keeps it,
           | and uses it to build whatever needs to be built.
        
           | citrin_ru wrote:
           | A higher tax on DC with the tax revenue invested into public
           | electrical infrastructure and public power stations. With
           | billions powered into AI they can out-price everyone out of
           | resources they use - be it directly (high electricity rates)
           | or indirectly (high prices for everything which is needed to
           | expand power networks). But it will not happen of course.
        
           | veryemartguy wrote:
           | Yes. No data centers.
        
           | fulafel wrote:
           | Build and colocate the needed rewnewable (solar/wind/battery)
           | capacity with the data centers and make them energy efficient
           | by eg choosing cool locations.
        
         | Propelloni wrote:
         | LOL, they just introduced QoS into the electricity grid.
        
           | Arubis wrote:
           | That concept was effectively already available. Hospitals
           | tend to have multiple grid hookups before falling back on
           | local generation.
        
           | mikkupikku wrote:
           | Always has been.
        
       | Joel_Mckay wrote:
       | Much like the price of RAM, SSD, and GPU. The ballooning data-
       | center energy consumption costs have already broken the middle
       | class economic-loop Westinghouse electric drove in the 1950s.
       | Some are seeing their utility bills double.
       | 
       | People are not voluntarily going to build things that make less
       | profit.
       | 
       | It is a suckers bet assuming the unscrupulous will grow a
       | conscience. =3
        
       | NoLinkToMe wrote:
       | I've seen Musk note in an interview that at year-end the
       | bottleneck will not be CPU/RAM etc, but electricity. And new
       | powerplants are backlogged for years.
       | 
       | That's why he wants to go into space (10x solar potential because
       | you don't have a day/night cycle, no clouds, no dust/rain, no
       | temperature loss, no orientation issues, and no atmosphere
       | reducing solar).
       | 
       | To me it seems ridiculous, for one because sending 150kg to space
       | costs about $500k, and this is about the weight of a solar
       | installation that costs $800 to install and generates about $1000
       | worth of electricity across 20 years at utility wholesale prices.
       | 
       | But suppose it was cheaper and viable, and earth-electricity was
       | indeed capped, you could argue (if you believe the hype) that
       | developing AI is an existential arms-race objective for US/China.
       | 
       | But from what I've understood that's just not the case at all.
       | Something like 170+ coal plants are scheduled to be
       | decommissioned, and the average coal and gas plant runs at 40-50%
       | of capacity, because wind/solar is eating their lunch (cheaper
       | marginal $ per kWh). i.e. there is so little demand that these
       | plants keep using less capacity and shutting down superfluous
       | plants.
       | 
       | You'd think if experts believed electricity was going to be a
       | bottleneck, that venture capital / AI companies, or even
       | traditional capital, would be buying up plants or signing
       | guaranteed-usage contracts. But it doesn't seem to be the case.
        
         | Xunjin wrote:
         | The point of your whole argument is that "financial experts"
         | are always rational and are not affected by bubbles, it took
         | months from energy experts talking with media/investors to the
         | Big Tech would start talking about "energy crisis".
         | 
         | In fact, Nadella publicly stated that he has a large amount of
         | hardware in inventory that has already been purchased but
         | cannot be utilized due to insufficient energy.
        
           | NoLinkToMe wrote:
           | So why did Nadella not pour a few billion into buying the 50%
           | capacity that the _average_ coal /gas plant has spare, that
           | they're not running due to insufficient demand?
        
       | dev1ycan wrote:
       | Everything that the white house says atm, they do the opposite.
        
       | dathinab wrote:
       | which means nothing
       | 
       | because no one believes there are legal consequences if they
       | don't
       | 
       | and there are a lot of ways to doge it even if there where a
       | reliable government in place
       | 
       | like especially if they do what they have been doing recently
       | (run their own generator, build their own power planes) a lot of
       | this cost is implicit and as such very dogeable. E.g. higher cost
       | for gas power planes for other due to major increase of demand,
       | higher medical cost due to more air pollution, higher fuel
       | prices, etc. etc. (not even speaking about anything climate
       | change).
        
         | cucumber3732842 wrote:
         | >like especially if they do what they have been doing recently
         | (run their own generator, build their own power planes) a lot
         | of this cost is implicit and as such very dodgeable. E.g.
         | higher cost for gas power planes for other due to major
         | increase of demand, higher medical cost due to more air
         | pollution, higher fuel prices, etc. etc. (not even speaking
         | about anything climate change).
         | 
         | And it's not just data centers, it's all sorts of industry. My
         | local gravel and concrete plants run their "big stuff" off
         | generators because the cost of the utility drop for their
         | amperage doesn't make sense. And nobody will connect the dots
         | between these choices and the requirements we've saddled
         | utilities with. They're spinning up generator not because it's
         | cheaper per watt, but because they're not operating on the 40yr
         | timeline you need to be in order for the red tape you have to
         | go through to put in permanent infrastructure to pencil out.
         | 
         | I'm an abutter for a utility project and I've gone to the
         | meetings for and it's an absolute massive boondoggle. My energy
         | bill is going to reflect god knows how many hundreds of
         | billable hours it takes for these hired lawyers and engineers
         | to prove to the system that they're not gonna fuck over any
         | endangered frogs by widening the cut to meet some industry
         | standard that changed over the past N year and dumping culverts
         | and fill in some places where streams criss cross it.
         | 
         | Literally nobody involved cares. The abutters don't care. The
         | town wants it to go forward because it's all trivial and it's
         | not like it won't be their ass if they block an upgrade to
         | industry standards and something happens. The system is just
         | going through the motions. The city engineer grills them about
         | petty bullshit because it's literally his job. They know he
         | will and they have the answers but he makes a show out of the
         | subjective things. Ditto for the conservation commissioner.
         | It's like the Israel missiles meme. One side is my tax dollars
         | and the other side is my energy bill. We're all doing this
         | because some slimy politicians wanted to pander to some
         | shortsighted big picture ignoring environmentalists 50yr ago
         | and beurocacy has perpetuated and grown itself since. No public
         | interest is served by this.
         | 
         | And the cherry on top is that at the margin, we get shit like
         | generators that don't need to exist because the cost of the
         | alternative is driven up to the point the fuel inefficient (and
         | also dirty) solution makes sense.
        
           | alphawhisky wrote:
           | I promise you, the City Engineer is aware of the bullshit.
           | You catch a whiff, but they live in the stink. It's been
           | clear for a while that there's conflicting interests and the
           | only real way to fix it is to change incentives. However, if
           | you're insinuating that the Clean Water Act is made by "slimy
           | politicians and big picture ignoring environmentalists" then
           | you're wrong. That's about the best common sense
           | environmental reform in the last 100 years aside from
           | removing lead from gas.
        
             | cucumber3732842 wrote:
             | >However, if you're insinuating that the Clean Water Act is
             | made by "slimy politicians and big picture ignoring
             | environmentalists" then you're wrong. That's about the best
             | common sense environmental reform in the last 100 years
             | aside from removing lead from gas.
             | 
             | I'm more than insinuating it. The cause may be noble but
             | the state and local implementations have been perverted by
             | all the minutia and business interests and NIMBYism. I
             | would go so far as to say that (state and local
             | implementation of requirements within) the clean water act
             | is a non-negligible contributor to the decline of
             | manufacturing and agriculture in the northeast and upper
             | midwest.
             | 
             | We basically took "thou shalt not dump for that is bad for
             | our surface and ground water" and over 50yr turned it into
             | a blank check for all manner of leeches to make a buck and
             | all manner of NIMBYs to make things unnecessarily
             | expensive.
             | 
             | Petty 1.5-acre "I want my lightly forested former field to
             | be a field again" and "business is going great I want my
             | gavel parking lot paved" being stalled by five figure costs
             | and even with those costs incurred it doesn't guarantee
             | compliance. That's a far cry from the "yeah we just dump
             | this stuff in a settling pond, IDK where it goes after that
             | but man that river over there sure is a weird color" type
             | 1960s industry behavior that it was meant to really curb.
             | And the big industrial offenders still get to do what they
             | want, not as bad as before of course, but still bad. Some
             | Megacorp's runoff might turn the fish neon green or their
             | 1k unit condo development might turn the river brown with
             | silt but of course they'll be right there with their
             | lawyers and experts who'll tell you why it's fine even when
             | it's not to anyone with a brain and two eyeballs. The
             | layman can't pay off people like that be on their side and
             | neither can the regulators. (I assume this frequent fact
             | pattern what you refer to by "living in the stink")
             | 
             | I think it ought to be revamped at the state and local
             | level into something that's substantially more "results
             | based" rather than the proactive red tape "make the
             | bureaucrats feel like their ass is covered if someone ever
             | complains about what they approved" based system we have
             | now.
             | 
             | (And just to be clear for any readers who aren't familiar,
             | the clean water act basically doesn't do much to affect the
             | average person or business at a federal level. The local
             | implementations and all the key definitions, industry
             | standards, etc, are where the rubber really meets the road)
             | 
             | Edit: Basically I'm saying that in the past 50yr the
             | interests the CWA was supposed to stymie learned how to pay
             | their way around it, the parties who make a buck doing that
             | have gotten themselves all but written into the compliance
             | process to the detriment of the interests the CWA was
             | supposed to not seriously burden. It needs to be replaced
             | or revised to solve those two big problems.
        
           | mistrial9 wrote:
           | > gonna fuck over any endangered frogs
           | 
           | Extinction is forever -- your frustration, and that committee
           | process, does not compare directly to species extinction.
        
             | GuinansEyebrows wrote:
             | you care, and i care, and i think even the person you're
             | replying to cares; that's great, but the people involved in
             | the business of making these decisions treat them as a
             | matter of procedure.
             | 
             | as long as the boxes are checked, most public sector
             | employees are not going to stick their neck out. it's
             | steady work that pays all right and has great benefits (and
             | even pensions sometimes). a lot of people in the public
             | sector aren't willing to step out of line for "frogs" even
             | when they should or want to.
        
               | cucumber3732842 wrote:
               | The system optimized for these people.
               | 
               | So you get some guy approving some megacorps project
               | because "well it says here that they've tested the stuff
               | and the liquid mercury is below the <cites EPA mumbo
               | jumbo" and giving farmer Johnson the runaround on some
               | land clearing because farmer Johnson's project isn't
               | worth spending $30k on civil engineering to have someone
               | use "the right words" to say "I'm not gonna muddy up the
               | river" and while the guy in the office knows what farmer
               | Johnson means, he can't approve the project without
               | sticking his neck out and so he doesn't.
               | 
               | It must be nice to live in a desert state where every 3rd
               | parcel isn't "within regulatory range" of "wetlands"
               | (most people don't know how expansive that word is).
        
               | GuinansEyebrows wrote:
               | trust me, this happens even in dense, deep blue places
               | like Seattle and LA.
        
               | cucumber3732842 wrote:
               | I never said it didn't.
               | 
               | Something something the more numerous the laws...
        
         | SamuelAdams wrote:
         | Similar to the "carbon neutral by X date" promises, this was
         | common around 2016 or so. Notice how companies have mostly
         | cancelled or redefined those promises several years later, once
         | the issue is out of the limelight.
         | 
         | If it is not legally required, it will not be done.
        
           | PunchyHamster wrote:
           | Also the fucking carbon credits. "Hey, we paid someone that's
           | actually carbon neutral, we're carbon neutral now!"
        
         | kanddle wrote:
         | There are definitely social consequences if they don't. So far,
         | if you were to look at it, a lot of Not In My Backyard groups
         | have decided to reject data centers within their area because
         | of sound complaints that were never fixed, environmental
         | complaints that were never taken care of, as well as the fact
         | that the electric bill would likely go up.
         | 
         | There's a lot of data centers that are not being built because
         | they're not fixing it. The trend is going to continue. The hate
         | for AI is going to grow. You basically have a lot of people
         | that will vote a lot of people into office to take down all AI
         | progress inside the United States if they don't fix their
         | problems.
         | 
         | It'll be cool to shit on big tech as a politician.
        
         | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
         | I shall henceforth do the right thing.
         | 
         | Blinded by greed, I have never done it before, but I have seen
         | the light, the bright future that we are all building toward.
         | 
         | From this day forth, I shall be righteous.
         | 
         | In your name, all good things come.
         | 
         | Hallelujah.
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | This is really a state law issue and there's really no solution
       | for spiralling energy costs other than nationalizing utilities or
       | otherwise making them into state or municipal entities, much like
       | municipal broadband.
       | 
       | Take the case of Duke Energy in North Carolina, which illegally
       | raised rates too much. Utilities prices are supposedly regulated
       | but utilities work around this by simply moving costs to things
       | they can charge whatever for (eg transmission costs vs energy
       | costs).
       | 
       | The NC Court of Appeals ruled that Duke Energy's actions were
       | illegal BUT there would be no refunds for customers [1], in part
       | because lawmakers passed a law to allow them to do this
       | retroactively [2]. Also, if Duke Energy had to repay customers
       | _they can simply raise prices to recoup those costs_ even though
       | the money was improperly charged in the first place.
       | 
       | So consumers will keep paying for the infrastructure to connect
       | up these data centers and will keep subsidizing the ongoing
       | energy costs.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.wcnc.com/article/news/local/no-refunds-for-
       | duke-...
       | 
       | [2]: https://sustaincharlotte.org/press-release-nc-lawmakers-
       | over...
        
       | LunaSea wrote:
       | The same way Nvidia "pledged" $100B to OpenAI?
        
       | cainxinth wrote:
       | Does a "pledge" have more or less weight than a pinky promise?
        
         | ModernMech wrote:
         | Depends, were their fingers crossed behind their backs or not?
        
       | motbus3 wrote:
       | 1y from here they will be talking how nuclear facilities are
       | necessary
        
       | FpUser wrote:
       | >"The pledge includes a commitment"
       | 
       | Pledge my ass. It is either law mandating those massive
       | datacenters absorb the cost with heavy penalties for non
       | compliance or it is just BS talk (what it seems to be at the
       | moment)
        
       | Havoc wrote:
       | Like Musk just set up his own turbines regardless of what laws
       | say
       | 
       | I can see how big tech is enthusiastic about freestyling this. Eh
       | sorry I mean bear the cost
        
       | blitzar wrote:
       | I too pledge to bear costs of energy I use.
       | 
       | I was unaware it was optional.
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | hah yeah that's pretty funny. "you can count on us to pay our
         | electricity bill!" - tech companies.
        
       | Arubis wrote:
       | I will take this as seriously as any other promise issued at the
       | White House in this regime.
        
       | HumblyTossed wrote:
       | I don't believe them. I don't trust corporations. At all. I look
       | back at all the broken promises of corporations like AT&T, all
       | while doing massive stock buy backs, and I simply don't want to
       | hear their bullshit anymore.
        
       | randusername wrote:
       | We are creating the final boss of tragedy of the commons.
       | 
       | I used to think we were progressing up an exciting tech tree.
       | That seems naive now.
       | 
       | Water, land, energy, the soundscape, intellectual property that
       | incentivizes the dissemination of good ideas, digital networks of
       | information and self-expression, perhaps even the economic value
       | of expertise itself are all being sacrificed in the now for
       | promises of utopia in the future.
       | 
       | Precious eggs to give to those promising a utopian omelet,
       | eventually.
        
       | imchillyb wrote:
       | The way to enforce this would be to provide US citizens with free
       | electric and charge companies only.
       | 
       | That will never happen, but would prevent we the people from
       | bearing these costs directly.
        
         | PunchyHamster wrote:
         | It would just make other industries subsidize AI datacenters
        
       | pacerwpg wrote:
       | I don't care about pledges. Pledges mean nothing.
        
       | koolba wrote:
       | We already charge different rates for residential vs industrial
       | water usage. Why not do the same here and simply charge them
       | more? The state could also impose a direct data center surcharge
       | on their usage.
        
         | PunchyHamster wrote:
         | Coz that fucks up every industry, even the ones actually useful
         | to people.
        
       | Razengan wrote:
       | Wait a minute, so who else was paying the bills?
        
       | yuliyp wrote:
       | None of what they're pledging is much of a change from how
       | they've already been operating:
       | 
       | - They already invest in new power plants and connection
       | infrastructure when they bring in new datacenters - Electricity
       | for datacenters is based on capacity rather than actual usage -
       | They already have backup generators at most datacenters that they
       | can run during outages. It wouldn't be much work to allow those
       | to feed power back into the grid in extraordinary circumstances -
       | They generally use local contractors to build them for
       | practicality purposes anyway.
       | 
       | This is just some fancy PR and nothing else.
        
       | Jordanpomeroy wrote:
       | Cool. So they'll build and operate gas turbines (or probably
       | contract operations to do so) and then drive demand on the
       | natgas, as well as over burden the gas delivery networks.
        
       | drooby wrote:
       | The training data commons is to AI what oil reserves are to
       | petroleum economies: a collectively generated resource of immense
       | commercial value. Every book written, every forum post answered,
       | every photo shared, every line of code contributed... billions of
       | people built the knowledge base that makes these models work.
       | Without that collective human output, AI is nothing.
       | 
       | Alaska and Norway understood something critical when oil was
       | discovered: if you don't assert collective ownership of the
       | resource before private companies capture all the value, you
       | never will. Alaska amended its constitution. Norway built the
       | largest sovereign wealth fund on earth. Both were acts of people
       | saying "this belongs to us, and we deserve a return on its
       | extraction."
       | 
       | We are in exactly that window right now with AI. The resource is
       | being extracted at an incredible pace and almost all the value is
       | flowing to a handful of companies. The longer people wait to
       | assert sovereign ownership over the collective intelligence that
       | makes AI possible, the harder it becomes.
       | 
       | If you think this is crazy, ask yourself what's actually crazier:
       | demanding a share of the value built on your collective labor, or
       | watching trillions of dollars get extracted from it and saying
       | nothing.
       | 
       | the idea of Alaskans getting a check just for existing sounded
       | crazy too, right up until it didn't.
        
         | drooby wrote:
         | if you assert ownership over physical infrastructure, the data
         | centers just move to another country or eventually to space.
         | 
         | But the model is built on us. You can move the server anywhere
         | you want. You can't escape the fact that everything inside it
         | came from human minds. That's an ownership claim no one can
         | relocate away from.
        
           | rybosworld wrote:
           | > the data centers just move to another country or eventually
           | to space
           | 
           | The same line of reasoning that purports billionaires will
           | flee if their taxes go up.
           | 
           | Spoiler alert: they don't.
           | 
           | Also, data centers in space is not a serious idea. It's been
           | beaten to death that this isn't economical. People like Musk
           | are proposing that as a possibility for the sole reason of
           | keeping regulation away. "Well if you regulate us we will
           | just move into space". They won't because they can't because
           | physics.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | Ah yes, we'll depend on the democratic nations of the free
             | world to protect our rights over the billionaires.
             | 
             |  _looks at the US_
             | 
             | Well, looks like we lost that.
        
           | pixl97 wrote:
           | There is no us, there is only you, by default.
           | 
           | To move beyond that default you need to organize into things
           | like communities, lobbying groups, and/or even governments.
           | 
           | Ownership of singular non-physical objects is a polite lie we
           | tell ourselves because it makes us feel more secure in a
           | universe filled with information chaos. The moment you open
           | your mouth or move your pen you no longer own what is in your
           | mind, it is now entropy. Lose control of that entropy and it
           | now belongs to anyone with the proper tooling to record it.
           | This is a universal law of information, it is beyond the laws
           | of men and their fickle will.
           | 
           | Much like we build on information from our past generations,
           | AI will build its own new information on those foundations.
           | And since AI is an entity of information alone it is highly
           | probable it will do it far better than we will and forever
           | cement us in a prison of our own making.
        
             | drooby wrote:
             | No offense, but this comment makes virtually zero contact
             | with reality.
             | 
             | Our entire civilization runs on your "polite lie" of owning
             | non-physical things. Patents, copyrights, trade secrets,
             | licensing agreements, NDAs. Trillion dollar companies are
             | built on the legal enforceability of intellectual property.
             | The software you're using to type this comment exists
             | because someone owns the code.
             | 
             | Calling information "entropy" doesn't make contract law
             | disappear. We decided collectively that people and
             | institutions can own ideas, and we built the modern economy
             | on that decision. You can argue that's a fiction, but it's
             | a fiction that everything around you depends on.
             | 
             | You can't invoke "universal laws of information" to dismiss
             | public claims to training data while the companies training
             | on it aggressively enforce their own IP. They patent their
             | architectures. They copyright their outputs. They sue
             | competitors for misuse. They clearly believe in ownership
             | of non-physical objects when it benefits them.
             | 
             | You don't get it both ways.
        
               | vibrio wrote:
               | (not intending ot be snarky, but this isn't my area of
               | knowledge in the least.) Didn't the AI organizations 'get
               | it both ways' when they trained on vast collection of
               | works under copyright and then purely "own' the outcome?
        
               | drooby wrote:
               | That's not snarky at all, that's exactly the point. They
               | did get it both ways.
               | 
               | The comment I was responding to argued that ownership of
               | non-physical things is basically a "polite lie" and that
               | information is just entropy that belongs to whoever can
               | capture it. My point was that the AI companies clearly
               | don't believe that when it applies to them. They patent
               | their architectures, copyright their outputs, sue
               | competitors for IP violations, and lock down their model
               | weights. They fully believe in ownership of non-physical
               | things.
               | 
               | But when it comes to the billions of people whose work
               | they trained on? Suddenly information is free-flowing
               | entropy that belongs to no one.
               | 
               | That's the asymmetry at the heart of this. The rules
               | around IP apparently apply when it protects their
               | profits, but not when it would obligate them to share
               | those profits with the people whose work made them
               | possible. Which is exactly why the public needs to assert
               | a claim now, before that asymmetry gets any more
               | entrenched.
        
               | drooby wrote:
               | Addition:
               | 
               | Also worth knowing: collective intellectual property
               | already exists. ASCAP and BMI have been doing exactly
               | this for decades. Individual songwriters can't enforce
               | their rights every time their music gets played, so they
               | pool their IP, license it collectively, and distribute
               | the revenue. The problem they solved is almost identical
               | to the training data problem. Each individual
               | contribution is tiny, but the collective value is
               | enormous. Applying this at the scale of the general
               | public would be novel, but the underlying mechanism
               | isn't. The concept works. It just hasn't been applied to
               | training data yet.
        
               | pixl97 wrote:
               | I mean, the AI companies _want_ it this way, but the same
               | laws of information apply to them too. They can patent
               | whatever they want, but as we see other nations use their
               | models to distill information to other models with almost
               | nothing they can do about it.
               | 
               | Patents, copyright, lawsuits are all post ad hoc actions
               | which mean the milk has already been stolen. And it only
               | works if the rule of law is something that is respected,
               | that's not going so well lately.
               | 
               | We are seeing this in that there is little to no moat
               | between the models, nearly everyone with the needed
               | compute seems to catch up pretty quickly. And when said
               | rivalries cross national boarders the only solution to
               | these problems quickly becomes violence.
               | 
               | With how information works AI wins this game in the long
               | run. Individual humans scale poorly and their ability to
               | individually acquire information is a slow process.
               | Looking at this on a company by company basis is not the
               | proper way to show how the future with models is going to
               | play out.
        
           | gwerbin wrote:
           | > if you assert ownership over physical infrastructure, the
           | data centers just move to another country or eventually to
           | space.
           | 
           | This is the same false threat that gets repeated over and
           | over whenever anyone tries to regulate or tax anything.
        
         | PunchyHamster wrote:
         | Can't really do that for AI. What you gonna do, tax their use
         | of scraped data ? How would even that be implemented ?
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | The same way Alaska taxes oil extraction. Alaska doesn't
           | track which molecule of oil came from which acre. They don't
           | audit every drop. They tax the extraction operation and
           | collect royalties on the resource being pulled out of the
           | ground. We know who is training large models. We know roughly
           | what data they're using. We know their revenue. A compute tax
           | on large training runs, a revenue royalty on foundation model
           | companies, or a licensing fee above a certain data
           | threshold... none of these require tracking individual data
           | points. They require taxing the extraction operation, which
           | is visible, measurable, and already being monitored to some
           | degree for safety purposes. We already have a very analogous
           | model in the form of oil and Alaska.
           | 
           | Edit: to clarify, this wouldn't be a tax. A tax is the
           | government taking a cut of someone else's money. A royalty is
           | the owner charging for access to their resource. Alaska
           | doesn't tax Exxon for drilling. It charges Exxon for
           | extracting something that belongs to the people. Same
           | principle here.
        
         | jdross wrote:
         | We usually just call this collective extraction "taxes"
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | A tax takes a percentage of value that someone else created.
           | A royalty collects payment for access to something you
           | already own. When Alaska collects from oil companies, it's
           | not taxing their profits. It's charging them for extracting a
           | resource that belongs to the people of Alaska. The oil was
           | never theirs.
           | 
           | It being a royalty and not a tax is the reason Alaska's
           | dividend is politically untouchable while tax-funded programs
           | get gutted every budget cycle. Ownership is a fundamentally
           | stronger claim than redistribution.
        
         | terminalshort wrote:
         | You can only use each barrel of oil once, so it is not remotely
         | the same thing. It's like torrenting a movie vs stealing
         | someone's car. My labor has been compensated and nothing has
         | been extracted.
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | Fair point, data isn't scarce like oil. Nobody's losing their
           | forum posts. That part of my analogy is weak.
           | 
           | But you're answering a question I'm not asking. The question
           | isn't "was something taken from you." It's "who deserves a
           | share when collective human output generates trillions in
           | commercial value."
           | 
           | your torrenting analogy makes my case. Nobody loses their
           | original movie when it gets pirated either. We still
           | recognize that the people who made it deserve compensation
           | when others profit from it. The entire IP enforcement
           | apparatus is built on exactly that principle.
           | 
           | Non-rivalrous doesn't mean non-exploitable.
        
             | terminalshort wrote:
             | Typically you don't get compensated for secondary or higher
             | order value generated by your work. Every software startup
             | today is only possible because of the massive amount of
             | collective effort to build the computing hardware that it
             | runs on and the work to construct the actual physical
             | network of the internet. But that doesn't mean that you
             | have to pay all those people for that work just because
             | your company ends up making billions. Or you could say that
             | actually the company does pay those people indirectly
             | through all the economic activity and tax revenue
             | generated. AI is the same. No special rules are needed.
        
           | ajam1507 wrote:
           | How is an author fairly compensated when you torrent their
           | book? Should we just stop paying for media because it's
           | infinitely reproducible?
           | 
           | Nothing physical is being stolen when a company makes a clone
           | of a product based on another company's designs, but that
           | doesn't mean we shouldn't have patent laws.
        
             | hntway5994 wrote:
             | Purely anecdotal I know of a fair few creatives who
             | ultimately are just happy people enjoy their works and
             | don't really care how they're getting it. I understand
             | that's a privileged attitude in the current world as they
             | are all living relatively comfortable lives but at least
             | philosophically I agree with it. We as humans have done a
             | lot to reduce scarcity for a great deal many things but we
             | still cling to it as an idea because of stubbornness and
             | greed.
             | 
             | Maybe I'll get labeled a 'commie' for saying all this but I
             | think we create a world where everyones needs are met and
             | things(information & media are the easiest imo) are freely
             | available. Thinking we can't do this is a bit of a
             | disservice to the capabilities of humans.
        
         | WarmWash wrote:
         | This framing is hardly fair, since it treats AI as an
         | incinerator of knowledge rather than the democratizer of
         | knowledge that it is.
         | 
         | Every human uses that "resource" to train themselves, and now
         | they use AI to supercharge that consumption.
         | 
         | The companies are giving average lay people access to a
         | personal PhD to help with whatever they are working on, for
         | $20/mo, and those companies are committing an evil cardinal
         | sin?
         | 
         | I get the gatekeepers are pissed, LLMs are way cheaper than
         | those expensive gate fees, and I cannot come up with a good
         | faith argument about how giving the power of SOTA LLMs to
         | anyone for $20/mo is somehow evil or bad.
         | 
         | In an alternate universe these same models are $100k/mo with
         | limited invite only access, occasionally the public gets a
         | single demo prompt with a short reply, and $20/mo access is a
         | utopian wet dream.
         | 
         | If you want UBI, then the framing shouldn't be around "whoever
         | had content on the internet circa 2024 is entitled to lifetime
         | AI company payouts that effectively act as permanent
         | unemployment checks."
        
           | shimman wrote:
           | It's not democracy if you can't destroy it. It's not
           | democracy if the citizens cannot reject it. It's not
           | democracy if it's being forced down your throat.
           | 
           | Sick of how SV/VC absolutely ruin words for their own
           | monetary benefit.
           | 
           | How about you put up it up to a national vote and see what
           | democracy gets you? I highly suspect that vast majorities of
           | the electorate would want to nationalize this tech to benefit
           | everyone rather than benefiting the few.
           | 
           | Democracy means there is a politics of rejection, rejection
           | is normal in functioning democracies; what isn't normal are
           | small handfuls of people capturing all collective human
           | intelligence then claiming only they are allowed to benefit
           | from it.
        
             | WarmWash wrote:
             | Democratize means to make something available to everyone.
             | 
             | I suppose the root of the word is from democracy, everyone
             | gets a vote/equal rights, but the meaning doesn't really
             | have anything to do with politics or government...
             | 
             | So to reframe my argument for clarity;
             | 
             | I have a hard time coming up with an honest critique of why
             | giving everyone incredibly cheap access (often free!) to
             | incredibly powerful LLMs is somehow evil. And obviously
             | these things are _ridiculously_ popular. Average people
             | seem to think they are fucking awesome, and anger seems to
             | be mostly from gatekeepers that are relentlessly screaming
             | that their gates are being bypassed for pennies.
        
               | shimman wrote:
               | No that is not what democratize means, how asinine. You
               | aren't giving anything away for free, you're fucking the
               | commons for monetary gain.
               | 
               | I'm having a hard time understanding why you think it's
               | okay for SV to steal from humanity then profit off of our
               | knowledge? In which universe is this democratic? Why is
               | this something we have to accept? I don't accept it at
               | all, the vast majority of Americans don't accept it.
               | 
               | This is just neoliberalism with flame decals.
               | 
               | These things are CLEARLY NOT POPULAR, why do you think
               | all the LLM companies are trying to force these tools
               | through corporate mandates that have been falling? Why do
               | you think LLM companies are chasing after lucrative
               | corporate welfare in the form of government contracts
               | lasting from years to decades?
               | 
               | For a technology that sure billed as useful sure is
               | struggling hard to find paying customers.
               | 
               | Why do you think people are protesting data center
               | buildouts? Why do you think the vast majority of
               | Americans hate big tech and SV? Look at who the most
               | hated people are in America, it's nearly all of big tech
               | leadership.
               | 
               | Get out of your bubble.
               | 
               | I have never seen a product that has to have a company
               | mandate to use it or lose your job. Usually products that
               | are useful and productive don't need a company mandate
               | for adoption.
        
               | abletonlive wrote:
               | > These things are CLEARLY NOT POPULAR
               | 
               | Time to leave whatever bubble you live in. These are some
               | of the most popular apps on the market today. It's
               | incredibly popular.
        
               | BizarroLand wrote:
               | They're new and shiny, but hollow and empty. People like
               | playing with them, seeing what they can do, but the glitz
               | will wear off the moment they stop pumping more into it.
               | 
               | The instant people feel like "AI" isn't fun, the whole
               | thing dies.
        
               | abletonlive wrote:
               | You're projecting so hard that Epson is going to reach
               | out and ask you how you're accomplishing it
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | >why do you think all the LLM companies are trying to
               | force these tools through corporate mandates that have
               | been falling
               | 
               | Ironically if you actually read that study, the "MIT
               | report: 95% of generative AI pilots at companies are
               | failing", they found that almost everyone was using AI
               | tools they paid for.
               | 
               | >While official enterprise initiatives remain stuck on
               | the wrong side of the GenAI Divide, employees are already
               | crossing it through personal AI tools. This "shadow AI"
               | often delivers better ROI than formal initiatives and
               | reveals what actually works for bridging the divide.
               | Behind the disappointing enterprise deployment numbers
               | lies a surprising reality: AI is already transforming
               | work, just not through official channels. Our research
               | uncovered a thriving "shadow AI economy" where employees
               | use personal ChatGPT accounts, Claude subscriptions, and
               | other consumer tools to automate significant portions of
               | their jobs, often without IT knowledge or approval. The
               | scale is remarkable. While only 40% of companies say they
               | purchased an official LLM subscription, workers from over
               | 90% of the companies we surveyed reported regular use of
               | personal AI tools for work tasks. In fact, almost every
               | single person used an LLM in some form for their work. In
               | many cases, shadow AI users reported using LLMs multiples
               | times a day every day of their weekly workload through
               | personal tools, while their companies' official AI
               | initiatives remained stalled in pilot phase [1]
               | 
               | If you want to avoid info bubbles, read the reports, not
               | just headlines and comments.
               | 
               | [1]https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_
               | in_Bus... Section 3.3
        
               | Ajedi32 wrote:
               | > No that is not what democratize means, how asinine.
               | 
               | You're wrong, and are getting upset with GP over your own
               | lack of vocabulary.
               | 
               | > _democratize_ (verb)
               | 
               | > [...]
               | 
               | > 2. [+ object] formal : to make (something) available to
               | all people : to make it possible for all people to
               | understand (something)
               | 
               | > * The magazine's goal is to _democratize_ art.
               | 
               | https://www.britannica.com/dictionary/democratize
        
               | Arainach wrote:
               | Price doesn't matter. Using communal resources for
               | private gain - without the consent of the creators even -
               | is wrong, full stop. It's the same reason that publishers
               | making billions selling access to scientific research
               | that tax dollars funded is wrong.
               | 
               | As to prices: look at power bills, RAM prices, appliance
               | prices, and prices of anything with microchips. Consumers
               | are paying a lot more than $20/month for this slop.
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | If it's slop, why do they pay for it?
               | 
               | I mean, raise you hand if you have never paid for AI
               | "slop", I see maybe a hand or two in this room of tens of
               | thousands.
               | 
               | It's a strawman to frame it as AI labs get everything and
               | society gets nothing. Bruh, the fastest growing
               | applications of all time didn't explode in popularity
               | because they "offer nothing of value". I'm not giving you
               | an argument, I'm giving you a reality check.
        
               | Arainach wrote:
               | Congratulations, you ignored all the substance in my post
               | and focused on one word.
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | The gain isn't private though, that's the point. If
               | people weren't gaining from LLMs, why would they be
               | paying for it?
        
               | Arainach wrote:
               | The users aren't the ones getting trillion dollar
               | valuations. And for most of them the answer is "they
               | don't have a choice, it's bundled into Microsoft 365 /
               | Google Workspace / Meta / everything" or "they're not,
               | their employer is paying for it".
               | 
               | The answer to "why do businesses pay for stupid things of
               | questionable hard-to-prove value based on hype cycles"
               | would take many books.
        
               | hntway5994 wrote:
               | >If it's slop, why do they pay for it?
               | 
               | Fast food sells like crazy even though everyone largely
               | agrees it's not the best. People aren't always rational
               | with their purchases.
        
               | bix6 wrote:
               | > anger seems to be mostly from gatekeepers that are
               | relentlessly screaming that their gates are being
               | bypassed for pennies.
               | 
               | Sorry what? Authors are gatekeepers to what? Their books
               | that they wrote and now will never get paid for cuz the
               | LLM ripped it?
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | Considering that books have probably been the easiest
               | thing to pirate for the last 30 years, and LLMs are
               | probably the worst way to try and read a book free, I'm
               | not sure why authors would be focusing their anger at AI.
               | 
               | Many books you can even get free at a library....
        
               | Imustaskforhelp wrote:
               | > Average people seem to think they are fucking awesome
               | 
               | Average people who wants to go home from work and game
               | are angry at AI for raising the ram prices.
               | 
               | Average person who wants to own the stuff and not have
               | things on cloud are angry at AI for raising prices 5
               | times in such a short period of time.
               | 
               | Have you talked to an average person and how they use AI?
               | They use it as a glorified no-code editor (I would admit
               | not no-code editor itself but rather the vibe-coding
               | aspects with no regards to what tech stack is being used,
               | how its being deployed, literally anythoing) and search
               | engine. Refer to how things like lovable etc.
               | 
               | A search engine which can make some pretty wrong cases
               | which can literally lead to near death like scenarios all
               | while being completely trust me bro attitude.
               | 
               | A man asked AI for health advice and it cooked every
               | brain cell: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yftBiNu0ZNU
               | 
               | Normal people use AI to confide in it secrets, seek
               | therapy somehow. And the same AI generates AI pyschosis.
               | 
               | Now coming to tech industry: Tech industry is worried
               | about that such levels of democratization just means that
               | nobody is going to pay for them yet at the same time, we
               | will see projects who are completely created by AI seek
               | money. It's this weird mush where if you are a genuine
               | guy who just loved computing, who loved tinkering, yeah
               | we're offloading that capability to AI
               | 
               | I have seen this even more and more with as agents want
               | to get more autonomous or we are letting them be. The
               | projects generated feel hollow to me. I don't consider
               | myself a full fledged programmer right now and AI did
               | supercharge me and made me have projects. Nowadays, it
               | just feels like prompt ---> (Time) --> Output.
               | 
               | It just feels hollow and AI companies did it by abusing
               | the passion of these same developers and scraping stack
               | overflow, scraping github and having all disregards for
               | properties.
               | 
               | People could spend years creating a book about say
               | postgres and an AI took it, ripped it in half and then
               | decided to use that info and not even give credits.
               | 
               | All, at the same time that AI is being pushed down on
               | employees. Some just don't want to have it but nope, they
               | must. they are forced.
               | 
               | Essentially engineering with AI feels like it becomes a
               | marketing gimmick. Anyone who can market somehow (Ahem
               | ahem Openclaw) can get a job at OpenAi all because in
               | some attention hype breeds hype and they had stars and
               | people talked about stars on twitter, and more people
               | found it and starred it and so on and started using it
               | 
               | Turns out that nowadays there are allegations being made
               | against Openclaw
               | 
               | > Star velocity shocked analysts. Moreover, the
               | repository added roughly 220,000 stars within 84 days of
               | launch. In contrast, Kubernetes needed five years for
               | similar numbers. Many builders call the growth organic.
               | Nevertheless, some observers link the surge to hype, bot
               | accounts, and headline attention, fueling the GitHub
               | Stars Controversy. Independent GitHub Archive pulls show
               | several single-day jumps above 25,000 stars. Such abrupt
               | spikes often signal scripted starring, yet no formal
               | audit confirms abuse. These patterns feed community
               | debate. Consequently, trust in the star metric has
               | weakened, prompting calls for verification.
               | 
               | https://www.aicerts.ai/news/openclaws-github-stars-
               | controver...
               | 
               | The marketing industry has been very closely linked to
               | sometimes scam prone areas and shady areas of the
               | internet and engineering used to be clean from all of
               | this for the most part. Now, the norm to me feels like
               | buy github stars and buy twitter attention or pray to be
               | in an algorithm which you can't read but it reads every
               | move you make, and yes this is your business strategy now
               | 
               | Have you looked at truly AI-first companies and what they
               | do/like how do they generate numbers in the first place?
               | 
               | These are two distinct points. I don't think that people
               | of here would be any mad if someone made a little
               | prototyping script for themselves with the power of this
               | Phd that you mention. Heck, these same programmers that
               | you now call gatekeepers have never gatekeeped much of
               | it. They worked and contributed to open source for free
               | while being severely undermainted.
               | 
               | The audacity to call these same people gatekeepers
               | shockens me because open source people if anything are
               | the Opposite of that and yet AI stole their rights and
               | their licenses from them. An AI can take AGPL code and
               | then somehow churn it into MIT tada! It doesn't even have
               | to give any accredits when it gets trained on AGPL or ANY
               | type of code, no matter how restrictive or permissive.
               | 
               | these are the same people btw who are on programming
               | forums which yes at times did have moderation issue but
               | still tried to help noobs learn for free. They did it
               | because they loved tinkering with computers
               | 
               | That's my take on it. feel free to ask for more things if
               | you may as I would love to tell you more but for the sake
               | of this discussion, I think enough can be relevant.
               | 
               | It's absolutely ironical to call say the Open source
               | people gatekeepers because AI violated their rights and
               | licenses.
               | 
               | Calling Open source Contributors gatekeepers might as
               | well be an oxymoron.
               | 
               | Edit: I have been downvoted in so little time after I
               | wrote this comment that I am pretty sure that someone
               | might not have even read my comment and had it downvoted.
               | 
               | The topic can be at times too polarizing to even have a
               | discussion.
               | 
               | Oh well. That's completely okay but to any human who read
               | this, I know my writing can be sporadic and it was
               | written in much frustration over how people try to frame
               | AI as this harbingers of liberty. I absolutely think
               | that's not the case and its viewing things from a very
               | rose tinted glasses.
               | 
               | So thanks to all the humans who read my comment and were
               | patient haha!
               | 
               | I really appreciate this patience in a world of TLDR and
               | I wish you to have a nice day!
        
             | GrinningFool wrote:
             | > How about you put up it up to a national vote and see
             | what democracy gets you? I highly suspect that vast
             | majorities of the electorate would want to nationalize this
             | tech to benefit everyone rather than benefiting the few.
             | 
             | You're probably right -- except for the billions in massive
             | PR campaigns that will be spent to successfully convince
             | enough of them that it's in their best interest to let the
             | companies keep ownership.
             | 
             | This is in addition to the billions in PR already being
             | spent to make AI palatable in spite of the societal and
             | economic costs.
        
               | shimman wrote:
               | Their billions in PR isn't stopping people from rejecting
               | data centers being built in their communities.
               | 
               | What you have to understand about advocacy is that it's
               | the worst form of politics and it only goes so far. Paid
               | canvassers aren't convincing compared to actual humans
               | organizing with one another.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | > vast majorities of the electorate would want to
             | nationalize
             | 
             | Lol, then you've missed how propaganda in the US has worked
             | for the last 100 years. The wealthy have launched a
             | continuous attack against the idea of
             | nationalization/socialization to the point it creates a
             | irrational Pavlovian response in huge portions of the
             | population. Us the population have already lost a war we
             | had no idea we were fighting to an enemy that plays a far
             | longer game than most of us.
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | I never said AI companies are evil or that $20/mo access is
           | bad. You're arguing against a position I don't hold.
           | 
           | AI can be genuinely useful AND the people whose collective
           | output made it possible can deserve a share of the wealth it
           | generates. These aren't in conflict.
           | 
           | Alaskans benefit from oil too. It heats their homes, paves
           | their roads, funds their schools. That wasn't an argument
           | against the dividend. "You're already benefiting from the
           | resource" has never been a reason the people who generated it
           | shouldn't share in the profits.
           | 
           | The question was never "is AI good." It's "when something
           | built on collective human output generates trillions, does
           | the public have a claim to a share." Nothing you said here
           | addresses that.
        
           | vannevar wrote:
           | >The companies are giving average lay people access to a
           | personal PhD to help with whatever they are working on, for
           | $20/mo, and those companies are committing an evil cardinal
           | sin?
           | 
           | The social media companies gave their services for _free_ ,
           | and now it turns out they've committed quite a few sins. None
           | of the AI companies are doing this out of the goodness of
           | their hearts, nor will they be satisfied with subscription
           | revenue. If they see opportunities to make more money by
           | manipulating the population, rest assured they will take
           | those opportunities.
        
           | filoeleven wrote:
           | But AI is absolutely an incinerator of knowledge.
           | 
           | A helper tool that I can ask a question and which responds
           | with relevant information gleaned from the vast collection of
           | human-gathered knowledge and experience would be fantastic.
           | 
           | What we have instead is something that often gets things
           | mostly right, if you don't look too hard at it. And the
           | poisoned output of this thing seeps back into the knowledge
           | pool, reducing its accuracy and therefore usefulness.
           | 
           | The problem of LLMs is the dissolution of human knowledge
           | into a sea of slop.
        
           | jklinger410 wrote:
           | > This framing is hardly fair, since it treats AI as an
           | incinerator of knowledge rather than the democratizer of
           | knowledge that it is
           | 
           | Paying for access to information is not democracy
        
             | WarmWash wrote:
             | Plenty of free models you can run on your own hardware. I
             | don't think those are going away either
        
           | Imustaskforhelp wrote:
           | > In an alternate universe these same models are $100k/mo
           | with limited invite only access, occasionally the public gets
           | a single demo prompt with a short reply, and $20/mo access is
           | a utopian wet dream.
           | 
           | So your understanding of the present state is that we are
           | living in a utopian wet dream now that we have models who can
           | generate slop faster so much so that we have a term of it
           | called AI slop?
           | 
           | I or many people don't want this Utopian wet dream, so I want
           | to know, did I or other people have say it or not?
           | 
           | A few select people decide what's the definition of a Utopian
           | wet dream is and they then take the collective properties of
           | everybody else to fulfill that and even putting the
           | employment/livelihood of those same people into risks
           | 
           | Sir, does that sound familiar?
           | 
           | > I get the gatekeepers are pissed
           | 
           | No, humans are pissed, humans just like how you and your
           | family are humans too (well I sure hope so)
        
           | orphea wrote:
           | > a personal PhD
           | 
           | Come on, spare us OpenAI's PR bullshit.
        
         | baxtr wrote:
         | _> if you don 't assert collective ownership of the resource
         | before private companies capture all the value_
         | 
         | Isn't that how communism (should have) worked?
        
           | drooby wrote:
           | Alaska and Norway aren't communist. They're capitalist
           | economies with thriving private sectors. Oil companies still
           | operate, still profit, still compete. The public just gets a
           | share of the value extracted from a collectively owned
           | resource.
           | 
           | The Alaska Permanent Fund has been running since 1982 inside
           | the most conservative state in America. Norway's sovereign
           | wealth fund is the largest on earth and their economy is
           | doing fine.
           | 
           | These models work.. work well... And they exist comfortably
           | within mixed market economies.
           | 
           | The question is whether the public gets a cut when private
           | companies build fortunes on a collectively generated
           | resource, or whether they don't. We already know the answer
           | can be yes without anything breaking.
           | 
           | Our entire white collar system might be a house of cards with
           | AI, what I am proposing is a safe hedge against a future with
           | potentially massive wealth inequality, and increased
           | unemployment. But this isn't just about protection from
           | injury... people should BENEFIT massively.
        
             | baxtr wrote:
             | ok, fair enough. I think I misread your first comment.
             | 
             | not sure if that would work in this case since all these
             | companies scraped (publicly) available data? So with the
             | right resources anyone could redo it?
        
               | drooby wrote:
               | Well, two things worth considering.
               | 
               | First, training isn't a one-time event. These companies
               | are continuously scraping new data, training new model
               | generations, ingesting new human output. Every new model
               | is a new extraction event. The fact that GPT-4 already
               | trained on your 2022 blog post doesn't mean the window is
               | closed. GPT-6 will train on your 2025 and 2026 output
               | too. There's always a live point at which to assert a
               | collective claim.
               | 
               | Likely - these models will always be training on us to
               | better understand us and continue to be of value to us
               | commercially.
               | 
               | Second, "anyone could redo it with the right resources"
               | is technically true but practically meaningless. Anyone
               | could theoretically drill for oil too. The barrier was
               | never access to the crude sitting in the ground. It was
               | the billions in infrastructure needed to extract and
               | refine it. Same here. The data is public, but the compute
               | required to turn it into a frontier model costs billions.
               | That concentration of capital is exactly why a public
               | claim on the value makes sense, just like it did with
               | oil.
        
         | bgnn wrote:
         | > Alaska and Norway understood something critical when oil was
         | discovered: if you don't assert collective ownership of the
         | resource before private companies capture all the value, you
         | never will. Alaska amended its constitution. Norway built the
         | largest sovereign wealth fund on earth. Both were acts of
         | people saying "this belongs to us, and we deserve a return on
         | its extraction."
         | 
         | This is also true for the first commercially exploited natural
         | gas fields in the world, in the Netherlands. This ruined the
         | Dutch manufacturing industry, and became a textbook example of
         | tge development of one sector harming others known as Dutch
         | disease [ _].
         | 
         | AI has a great potential like this too..
         | 
         | [_] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_disease
        
       | buellerbueller wrote:
       | Please Democrats don't fuck up the midterms.[1] Take the house
       | and start legislating in favor of the humans. [2]
       | 
       | [1] Narrator: they will [2] Narrator: they won't
        
         | trinsic2 wrote:
         | Our whole system is a binary carrot and stick. Im not sure we
         | are going to see much change when/if democrats return to power.
         | IMHO politics is manufactured to keep the people placated while
         | the people in power to continue business as usual. If you want
         | real change there has to be some kind of movement from
         | grassroots that ends citizens united and starts enforcing anti-
         | trust legislation independent of party politics.
         | 
         | I was looking at this one organization[0], they want to do a
         | constitutional amendment. At this point, I cant disagree with
         | them, but with this administration, I don't know what good its
         | going to do.
         | 
         | [0]: https://americanpromise.net/our-plan/
        
       | Aboutplants wrote:
       | Most of these Data centers will be powered by Natural Gas, which
       | flows from production through interstate pipelines, which already
       | are fully subscribed meaning there isn't any space left. As these
       | data centers come online they will suck supply from these
       | interstate pipelines, drastically increasing prices for all other
       | forms of Natural gas usage (including residential power
       | generation). This has a direct impact on prices for the end user
       | and there is nothing that can be done in time to facilitate this
       | from not occurring.
       | 
       | Building pipelines is a long and arduous process and one that
       | will not be done in time to reasonably accommodate the increase
       | in natural gas demand presented by these data centers.
        
       | youknownothing wrote:
       | That still doesn't necessarily mean that prices won't be impacted
       | indirectly. Let's say Amazon (or any other AI behemoth) builds a
       | mini-nuclear plant to feed the electricity of their data center
       | (as has been touted). Let's say every one follows suit. That
       | implies an increase in the demand of uranium, which means an
       | increase in price, which means an increase in the costs of the
       | other nuclear plants, which is translated to higher electricity
       | costs.
       | 
       | One could say "use renewables", but even that has externalities:
       | that means an increase in demand for solar panels, or wind
       | turbines, or the labour to maintain them, which again leads to an
       | increase in prices.
        
       | specialist wrote:
       | Terrific if it happens. I may even ignore the AI (valuation)
       | bubble for the duration.
       | 
       | David Roberts (https://volts.wtf) has repeatedly noted that AI
       | companies need the power, need it now, and have the capital to
       | get it. So he (and others) advocate that Big Tech fund the grid
       | improvements and new power generation.
       | 
       | Point #1 Virtual Power Plants
       | 
       | Roberts advocates adopting virtual power plants (VPPs). Think
       | grid of grids, like the internet is a network of networks. Think
       | peer-to-peer energy sharing. VPPs unlock dynamic load shifting,
       | two-way energy sharing (think of all those roof top solar panels
       | and powerwalls), and therefore -- _most importantly_ -- reduces
       | peak demand on a grid which will allow greater utilitization.
       | 
       | IIRC: our grids currently operate at 30% capacity (to accommodate
       | rare peak demand events). Grid enhancement techs plus VPPs can
       | boost that to 80% or higher. Reducing the urgency for building
       | more transmission and distribution infra. (In the short term; we
       | still need to greatly embiggen our grid(s).)
       | 
       | It'd be kinda amazing if the urgency to build more data centers
       | mooted the incumbent's (utilities, regulators) opposition to
       | improving our grid(s), thereby benefiting everyone everywhere.
       | 
       | Tangent: there's a backlog of grid enhancing technologies
       | available, just waiting for funding and incentives to line up.
       | 
       | Tangent: VPPs also enable new financial products, which will
       | further accelerate electrification (of All The Things).
       | 
       | Point #2 Solar + Battery
       | 
       | Solar + battery is the fastest, cheapest way to get new power
       | generation. More so every year.
       | 
       | Yes, we still need to massively invest in All The Things to reach
       | Net Zero and beyond. Wind, geothermal, nuclear (fission and
       | fusion), hydro, every flavor of storage, de-carbonize industry
       | and agriculture, conservation, rewilding, and everything else.
       | 
       | But at this moment in time, today, we need gigawatts of new
       | generation and the grid that can support it. That means solar +
       | battery.
       | 
       | Aside, IIRC, data centers are projected to demand just 5% our
       | electricity supply. So society will be the net beneficiaries (on
       | this axis).
       | 
       | Were Big Tech to fund the generation and grid that we need, maybe
       | society will indulge some of Big Tech's less egregious offenses.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indulgence
       | 
       | Important Point: the rising costs of transmission, distribution,
       | and fuel costs account for electricity's higher prices. New
       | renewable power generation is now the cheapest option, and
       | getting cheaper. The challenge is delivering that cheap
       | electricity to customers.
        
       | thecarbonista wrote:
       | Microsoft is already doing it with nuclear. So is xAI/X/Tesla,
       | the cleanest and most carbon friendly company on the planet.
        
         | bakies wrote:
         | Laughable statement
         | 
         | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/13/elon-mus...
         | https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/15/elon-musk...
        
           | thecarbonista wrote:
           | Yeah that article is pretty laughable.
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | You can buy solar panels and mitigate your future costs today.
       | Start with plug-in solar if you're curious.
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Bare cost? They used energy for free before?
        
       | ChoGGi wrote:
       | Oooh, pledges; just what corporations excel at.
       | 
       | I'm sure we'll be hearing all about how much this benefits
       | households in the coming months and years.
        
       | overfeed wrote:
       | Mark Zuckerberg, also at the White House in 2025, as caught by a
       | hot mic: "Sorry, I wasn't ready... I wasn't sure what number you
       | wanted to go with."
       | 
       | The pledge is meaningless political theater meant to placate
       | voters in the mid-terms.
        
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       (page generated 2026-03-05 23:01 UTC)