[HN Gopher] China's Data Center Boom: A View from Zhangjiakou (2...
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       China's Data Center Boom: A View from Zhangjiakou (2025)
        
       Author : fzliu
       Score  : 23 points
       Date   : 2026-02-10 19:19 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (sinocities.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (sinocities.substack.com)
        
       | CrzyLngPwd wrote:
       | They really should be building such things deep underground, at
       | least to offer some basic protection against the various
       | adversaries.
       | 
       | I assume we do too...we do right?
        
         | FpUser wrote:
         | Why? I think any attack on China, Russia, India by major power
         | will quickly escalate to nuclear. At this stage everyone will
         | have much bigger problem than worry about datacenters.
        
           | adventured wrote:
           | It would very slowly escalate toward nuclear, and then all at
           | once.
           | 
           | Nuclear rhetoric would escalate rapidly by the losing /
           | weaker side.
           | 
           | It's a common fallacy that conflict between two nuclear
           | powers would instantly jump to nuclear exchange. That isn't
           | how it would go at all, although the propaganda that it would
           | does likely help to prevent wars. Nobody is interested in
           | vaporizing all of their own people by starting a nuclear
           | exchange from the first bullets fired. There would be various
           | high-intensity inflection points, triggers, that would risk
           | nuclear escalation: when one side or the other starts losing
           | a lot of territory; when one side or the other loses a major
           | city; when one side or the other is at risk of operational
           | collapse (leading to more rapid losses in the field); when
           | one side or the other is at risk of losing their core
           | territory / capital; and so on. The key inflection points
           | would be prime candidates for nuclear threats, to try to get
           | the winning side to stop or back off immediately or else.
           | From there it'd be a complex equation as to when a side would
           | actually finally set off a nuke (would it be a warning nuke
           | first, etc).
        
           | dyauspitr wrote:
           | I doubt it. Maybe a full fledged invasion might get nuclear
           | but mutually assured destruction is a pretty solid deterrent.
        
           | dragonelite wrote:
           | Pretty much, they aren't going to trust each other that an
           | incoming missile is not armed with a nuclear payload.
        
         | yorwba wrote:
         | Mao tried picking industrial locations for survivability in
         | case of war: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Front_(China)
         | Turns out that places that are hard to reach for the enemy are
         | also hard to reach in peacetime, so the project was ultimately
         | abandoned.
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | MAD is far too intact with China to bomb random infrastructure
         | with reckless abandon.
        
       | jankeymeulen wrote:
       | From the article: 1.859 billion kWh. Divide by 1 year = 212
       | megawatt. Definitely not small. Not that gigantic either,
       | compared to current day (US) AI/hyperscalers.
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | It's about the delta. Similar kinds of buildouts weren't common
         | 3-5 years ago.
         | 
         | China as well as India are seeing a significant buildout of DC
         | capacity which is partially a result of subsidies but also a
         | result of increased demand for services domestically as well as
         | within APAC.
         | 
         | While local politicans in the US are using populist
         | misinformation such as water usage to push back against DC
         | buildouts, you're seeing both China [0] and India [1] offering
         | multi-decade subsidizes and tax shelters to build out DC
         | capacity, which leads to a snowball effect as supply chains and
         | ecosystems start shifting to those centers of gravity - this is
         | what happened to semiconductor fabrication (Upstate NY to
         | Taiwan/SK) and Cybersecurity (Bay Area/Boston to
         | Israel/CEE/India) 15 years ago.
         | 
         | Additionally, this is essentially HPC and best in breed
         | hardware doesn't neccesarily equate to outcompeting a large
         | amount of less performant but scaled out compute, which is the
         | path both China and India are adopting by pushing hyperscalers
         | to (in China's case) use domestic vendors or (in India's case)
         | transfer the entire IP chain to an Indian subsidiary. This is
         | why you see Amazon announce layoffs [2] while committing to
         | spend tens of billions of dollars in India's hyperscaler
         | buildout [3] or Marvell expanding in Vietnam [6] after a
         | similar sized layoff [7].
         | 
         | Barely 10 years ago, states like California, NC, etc used to
         | use similar strategies to compete with each other and build out
         | innovation hubs, but state and local level politicking has led
         | to public-private partnerships stagnating and incentivized
         | beancounters like me to seriously consider offshoring or
         | shutting down "innovation centers" in RTP/Boulder/ATX tier
         | hubs.
         | 
         | CHIPS and the IRA were on the right track, but even Dems [4]
         | and the EU [5] as well as the GOP tried to stymie it.
         | 
         | [0] - https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-offers-
         | tech...
         | 
         | [1] - https://techcrunch.com/2026/02/01/india-offers-zero-
         | taxes-th...
         | 
         | [2] - https://www.reuters.com/business/world-at-work/amazon-
         | plans-...
         | 
         | [3] - https://www.aboutamazon.in/news/economic-impact/amazon-
         | econo...
         | 
         | [4] -
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/10/us/politics/semiconductor...
         | 
         | [5] - https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/09/europe-shows-a-
         | united-fr...
         | 
         | [6] - https://www.marvell.com/company/newsroom/marvell-
         | accelerates...
         | 
         | [7] - https://www.crn.com/news/computing/semiconductor-firm-
         | marvel...
        
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