[HN Gopher] Italy Railways Sabotaged
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       Italy Railways Sabotaged
        
       Author : vedantnair
       Score  : 55 points
       Date   : 2026-02-07 21:43 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.co.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.co.uk)
        
       | thefounder wrote:
       | Why would someone do this?
        
         | polotics wrote:
         | hybrid warfare: inflict costs with deniability
        
         | varjag wrote:
         | If you do a somewhat bad thing with no pushback it becomes
         | possible to do a somewhat worse thing with no pushback.
         | Gradually you end up doing really bad things with total
         | impunity.
        
           | Nextgrid wrote:
           | Devil's advocate: you should still have a reason to do the
           | bad thing in the first place. I'm not a good enough
           | politician to understand how this benefits anyone's interests
           | (don't get me wrong, I do suspect Russia to be behind this,
           | but still don't get the objective - but then again I don't
           | get the objective of their special bullshit operation either)
        
             | toyg wrote:
             | Russia is desperate for leverage. Apart from China, they
             | are severely isolated from rich markets. Targeted violence
             | is an attempt at generating leverage, in the same way some
             | racketeers would hit shops that refuse to pay "protection"
             | money.
        
             | varjag wrote:
             | Indeed many people who subscribe to Rational Actor theory
             | of politics are stupefied by this. However the thing about
             | personalistic dictatorships is their foreign policy and
             | aggression are all subject to the whims of one person, even
             | though media still refers to them as if they are real
             | collective entities. And they indeed may be acting
             | rationally just not in the axiomatic framework any sane
             | person would even consider.
             | 
             | Say some dictator lived through a trauma that he projects
             | onto some group of people. Or that he considers himself a
             | spiritual successor (perhaps even the reincarnation) of
             | Ivan the Great, the Collector or Lands. Once you ease
             | yourself into this mindset you see the logic.
        
       | david-gpu wrote:
       | Russia has been involved in covert sabotage operations in Europe
       | for more than a decade [1][2]. You can learn more about this from
       | investigative journalist Christo Grozev [3].
       | 
       | What are the chances that the high-speed rail crash that occurred
       | in Spain a few weeks ago was also caused by them? [4]
       | 
       | [1] https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-shadow-war-against-
       | wes...
       | 
       | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155
       | 
       | [3] https://m.youtube.com/@thechristofiles/videos
       | 
       | [4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Adamuz_train_derailments
        
         | throw10920 wrote:
         | Russia is _a_ candidate, but it 's far from the _only_
         | candidate, and it 's not clear how this advances their
         | interests. Why not China, for instance? Or a random terrorist
         | group? Speculation is fun but it's important to actually make
         | statements grounded in reality.
        
           | colejhudson wrote:
           | No, Russia is the prime (if not only) candidate.
           | 
           | Why? They've been developing a system of "single-use agents"
           | to overwhelm European governments and keep them on their back
           | foot.
           | 
           | This is likely a test run.
           | 
           | A lovely article on this was recently published in The New
           | Yorker that you may enjoy:
           | https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/02/09/to-build-a-
           | fir....
        
             | Telemakhos wrote:
             | I'd suggest that radical left-wing elements indigenous to
             | Italy, such as those behind the Turin protests that left
             | 100 police officers wounded a few days ago, are a perfectly
             | plausible candidate; not every attack comes from without.
             | There was another protest against the Olympics in Milan
             | itself last night by left-wing elements who believe the
             | games are economically and socially unsustainable [0]
             | 
             | [0] https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/07/europe/italy-protests-
             | rail-da...
        
           | runjake wrote:
           | _> Why not China, for instance?_
           | 
           | A couple reasons:
           | 
           | 1. China's not particularly known to conduct this sort of
           | activity this far from their mainland.
           | 
           | 2. What would be their motive? China is actively trying to
           | fill that "superpower" void being left in Europe by President
           | Trump's irrational behavior.
           | 
           |  _> Or a random terrorist group?_
           | 
           | Plausible.
           | 
           |  _> Speculation is fun but it 's important to actually make
           | statements grounded in reality._
           | 
           | I look at it from the standpoint of motive and history. See
           | "GRU Unit 29155"[1]. Russia has both. Russia is on the brink
           | of war with Europe.
           | 
           | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155#Activities
        
             | throw10920 wrote:
             | Ok, this is actually substantial - much more so than GP's
             | speculation. I think you've convinced me.
        
           | alephnerd wrote:
           | In this specific case, becuase China has historically had
           | significant FDI _within_ Italy 's infrastructure sector.
           | 
           | China has significant issues with the EU and is aligned with
           | Russia, but it isn't in China's incentive to conduct violent
           | actions outside of the Chinese diaspora within Europe (which
           | is a separate sticking point).
        
           | dataviz1000 wrote:
           | After 6 weeks in Taiwan, one thing became very evident,
           | mainland China can take the island in 3 days without firing a
           | single shot. While I was there mainland China told the people
           | of Taiwan to shut their mouths and nobody said a word about
           | China after.
           | 
           | The reason mainland China hadn't taken Taiwan is because they
           | don't have to and more important they gain nothing.
           | 
           | I do not like the government of China, however, they are
           | building infrastructure around the world especially in
           | Africa, Asia, and South America. They are not destroying
           | things like Russia does every single day.
           | 
           | For the same reason, China isn't commit terrorist attacks on
           | other countries. However, Russia is committing terrorist
           | attacks on other countries so it easy to believe that they
           | are responsible for terrorist attacks.
        
         | aucisson_masque wrote:
         | France had the same kind of sabotages during the JO. It was
         | later confirmed to have been sponsored by Russia.
        
         | AmbroseBierce wrote:
         | Europe should stop tolerating these sabotages and go to war
         | with Russia and take advantage of their weakened military due
         | to their war with Ukraine
        
       | AJRF wrote:
       | So that is Poland, Spain, England and now Italy in the past few
       | months?
       | 
       | Have I missed any - very brazen!
        
         | BadBadJellyBean wrote:
         | Probably Germany
        
           | mseepgood wrote:
           | Our railways don't need sabotage - trains fail to run anyway.
        
             | tpm wrote:
             | Yeah but what about that electricity sabotage in Berlin,
             | drones over airports etc.
        
       | haunter wrote:
       | Article about Russia on HN > green letter brand new throwaway
       | accounts appear instantly in comments
        
         | syeare wrote:
         | At least on this Materialistic app available on F-Droid, all
         | those comments are flagged and unable to be seen
         | 
         | Its absolutely senseless to take on a position on something
         | when not knowing what's coming from both sides
         | 
         | I'd presume this place to be frequented by those who would also
         | find it similarly foolhardy to be taking a stance on an issue
         | when not all parties are privy to the same
         | objectivity/impartiality (in terms of information and the
         | different sides of the story)
        
       | paganel wrote:
       | Of course they were, and of course that the Russians are to
       | blame. Any mention of Mussolini and the fascists just yet? Seeing
       | as we're talking about trains in Italy.
       | 
       | Absolute cinema.
       | 
       | Later edit: And something constructive, for a change, and to
       | ignore the bs propaganda coming from the government-paid BBC
       | ghouls, just read the comments in there, made by actual Italians,
       | on the FB page of one of the most important newspapers in Italy.
       | Like I said, absolute clowns, but it's pretty interesting that
       | they're still trying to sell this bs, they must be thinking they
       | we're still back in early 2022.
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.facebook.com/corrieredellasera/posts/pfbid026M73...
        
       | runjake wrote:
       | I know nothing about railways, but is there any sort of Time
       | Domain Reflectometry (TDM) technology that railways use to detect
       | issues with the rails?
       | 
       | I suppose with the distances we're talking about and the
       | resistance of steel this isn't visible without a whole bunch of
       | signal generators?
       | 
       |  _Edit: Be sure to read jiggawatts ' reply below._
        
         | jiggawatts wrote:
         | They use "test" cars that have bright lights or xenon flashes
         | pointing down. They take thousands of pictures of the track
         | every night and store the images in a database that can match
         | them up precisely so you can see cracks growing over time like
         | a movie.
         | 
         | I also remember reading about an application of fibre optics
         | where a long strand is placed directly under each rail. Pulses
         | of light through the fibre are reflected at the points where
         | axles press down on the rail and compress the fibre. Similar
         | techniques can be used to detect accidents and (completely)
         | broken tracks.
        
           | runjake wrote:
           | Excellent! Thank you. Both these processes make more sense
           | than the TDR scheme I was referring to.
           | 
           | With the fiber scheme they are using optical TDR.
        
         | throwup238 wrote:
         | TDM won't work in practice for a few reasons.
         | 
         | The rails act like very noisy transmission lines where the
         | return path is partly the other rail, partly ground, and it
         | changes with ballast moisture and geometry. Every joint, weld,
         | switch, crossing, impedance bond, and termination creates
         | reflections. The bigger problem though is the gap often left
         | between tracks for thermal expansion.
         | 
         | There are ways to lay down other signal lines along the track
         | that can measure things but they tend to be expensive unless
         | they use a telecom line laid along the track.
        
       | flumpcakes wrote:
       | This fits the pattern of sabotage all across Europe. The obvious
       | candidate is Russia who are using hybrid warfare against
       | Europe/UK for a long time. Why does this post have so many...
       | strange comments, mostly from new accounts? More hybrid warfare?
        
       | MagicMoonlight wrote:
       | Russia is openly attacking Europe. This is the second time
       | railways have been bombed right at the start of the olympics!
       | 
       | Fuck me, what will it take before we do something?
        
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       (page generated 2026-02-07 23:00 UTC)