[HN Gopher] U.S. government has lost more than 10k STEM PhDs sin...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       U.S. government has lost more than 10k STEM PhDs since Trump took
       office
        
       Author : j_maffe
       Score  : 411 points
       Date   : 2026-01-27 18:35 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | stopbulying wrote:
       | > departures outnumbered new hires last year [2025] by a ratio of
       | 11 to one, resulting in a net loss of 4224 STEM Ph.D.s
        
       | mekdoonggi wrote:
       | There have been a huge amount of cuts to the Veteran's
       | Administration disguised. Hiring has been frozen, then people
       | leave and their positions can't be filled, then they cut that
       | position saying "it wasn't filled so wasn't needed".
        
       | BrenBarn wrote:
       | The scarier part is that a lot of people will see this as good
       | news.
        
         | TacoCommander wrote:
         | There's a good chance they'd have been put to use strengthening
         | the advertisement-dopamine-corporate control cycle that
         | humanity is currently suffering under.
        
         | zerof1l wrote:
         | Why? If they instead move to EU, that's a win for EU.
        
           | Sharlin wrote:
           | GP's point is that because being anti-science is on the rise.
        
           | hsuduebc2 wrote:
           | It is good for EU but I belive he was pointing to these hurr
           | durr emigrants bad people. Usually the same people which
           | conveniently always forget that they probalby come as much
           | poorer people than these ones.
        
           | SJC_Hacker wrote:
           | Scientists tell people things they don't want to hear
        
             | groundzeros2015 wrote:
             | That's an odd description
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | Depends if your career depends on some facts not being
               | true. Scientists can seem like a threat to you
               | specifically if for example you need Climate Change to
               | not be real. The last thing you would want is someone
               | bringing evidence and analysis to that reality.
        
               | groundzeros2015 wrote:
               | > for example you need Climate Change to not be real
               | 
               | Isn't this the consensus of the major world powers?
               | 
               | Is that what these lost PhD students were studying?
        
               | ryoshoe wrote:
               | Major world powers generally agree on the reality of
               | climate change, the disagreement is on how to address it
        
           | Braxton1980 wrote:
           | You know he means some US citizens who are anti- intellectual
           | due to a combination of insecurities and propaganda by the
           | Republican party
        
           | esalman wrote:
           | Because academia and University research is broken at best
           | and leftist breeding ground at worst /s
        
           | ActorNightly wrote:
           | EU unfortunately doesn't have the economic investment in
           | education like US for a lot to justify the move.
        
         | ixtli wrote:
         | I came here to see if the comments could explain to my why this
         | obviously bad thing is actually good. Its somewhat comforting
         | to see others worried about the implication. The fact is that
         | governments (aka public funding) is really what drives the
         | biggest most impactful sorts of scientific breakthroughs.
         | Think: NASA spinoffs, the internet, rocketry, MRNA, etc.
         | 
         | I know that the US has been failing to fund important things
         | like Fusion for more than 40 years now but its sad and scary to
         | see it halting.
        
           | ccheney wrote:
           | Is it not a good thing that these folks could do something
           | more productive in the private sector?
           | 
           | Just on your Fusion example alone:
           | https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/31/every-fusion-startup-
           | that-...
           | 
           | Wouldn't it be better if companies like these had a larger
           | pool of PhDs to pull from?
           | 
           | Private sector does some things better, see Rocket Lab, Blue
           | Origin, SpaceX, et al.
           | 
           | This _is_ a good thing.
        
             | ausbah wrote:
             | citing rocket companies feels funny when most of the
             | research and some non-trivial % of contracts comes (came?)
             | from gov't (mostly defense) spending
        
             | Sharlin wrote:
             | Incredible false dichotomy. I don't even know where to
             | start dissecting this "argument".
        
             | kaitai wrote:
             | Your phrasing "something more productive in the private
             | sector" is taken from the DOGE emails to federal employees.
             | Note that in this sense "productive" means "makes money for
             | corporations". If your utility function is different, these
             | jobs are no longer more productive.
             | 
             | For a very concrete illustration, I know a Veterans
             | Administration physician who got the DOGE emails. He's been
             | underpaid by $50k-100k per year compared to private market
             | rates, for the last twenty years. He is happy to take that
             | discount because the mission of caring for veterans is
             | something he cares about, and because he feels he can
             | practice better medicine if his goal is patient outcomes
             | rather than billable procedures. He also values the
             | education and research priorities of the VA.
             | 
             | It is _absolutely_ true that he would make a lot more money
             | for a private provider maximizing procedures and billing.
             | 
             | But is that what we _should_ be optimizing for as a
             | society? Is that what _you_ personally aim for from your
             | doctors?
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | I know a land lord that rents his apartment for $500/mo,
               | when it's worth $2000/mo because he cares about his
               | community.
               | 
               | Did I just solve the housing crisis?
        
             | throwaway173738 wrote:
             | Tell me have you thoroughly researched where all of the
             | NOAA or NIH products go? The private sector has given us
             | AccuWeather for the former and nothing for the latter.
             | 
             | I rely on NOAA forecasts to stay safe a lot and no private
             | company gives me the kind of volume of information about
             | the weather, hydrology, and sea conditions that they do.
             | Call me when the private sector maintains flood gauges on
             | all the rivers where I live or weather stations on peaks or
             | satellites overhead.
             | 
             | I'm just thoroughly sick of hearing people repeat Reagan
             | like he's some kind of prophet.
        
             | notahacker wrote:
             | I think your "every fusion startup that raised $100m" link
             | answers that question. Fusion startups haven't been
             | bottlenecked by being unable to afford to poach talent
             | previously administering grant programs or working in
             | government-funded plasma physics labs. Shutting the labs
             | and programs down on the other hand does slow down the
             | fundamental research that leads to those startups
        
             | JohnFen wrote:
             | This is not a good thing.
             | 
             | > Is it not a good thing that these folks could do
             | something more productive in the private sector?
             | 
             | That's assuming that they could do something more
             | productive in the private sector. I don't think that's true
             | in a whole lot of cases. The private sector is about
             | maximizing profit, but there's a whole universe of
             | productive and necessary things that don't lead directly to
             | profit. The private sector is terrible at doing those
             | things.
             | 
             | And, depending on what exactly we're talking about, it's
             | very often the case that the private sector is much less
             | efficient in terms of bang for the buck.
             | 
             | > Wouldn't it be better if companies like these had a
             | larger pool of PhDs to pull from?
             | 
             | The pool they're pulling from isn't getting larger. It's
             | getting smaller.
        
             | knowaveragejoe wrote:
             | I don't think this is necessarily a good thing. I'm in
             | favor of the private sector, but these public sector
             | research and scientific institutions also do very important
             | work.
             | 
             | Some of the most brightest and accomplished scientists out
             | of academia elect to forgo a higher paying private sector
             | job in order to go into the civil service and work on even
             | higher impact, lower paying jobs that don't necessarily
             | chase an obvious profit motive. Ask yourself why.
        
             | nathan_compton wrote:
             | Really think about this claim: "private sector does some
             | things better." What evidence is there of this _really_
             | that isn 't anecdotal? There are so many things tossed
             | around like this which sound plausible but for which I
             | can't think of a definitive, conclusive, account.
             | 
             | For example: the public sector literally send humans to the
             | moon with technology vastly inferior to that which we
             | currently have at our disposal. Heck, the _Soviet Union_
             | put a probe on the _surface of Venus_ and sent back images.
             | To me, it is not at all clear that  "private sector better"
             | is a foregone conclusion. At best you could make the strong
             | claim that contemporary economic theory _predicts_ that
             | private sector companies do better.
        
             | root_axis wrote:
             | > _Private sector does some things better, see Rocket Lab,
             | Blue Origin, SpaceX, et al._
             | 
             | The private sector is good at doing more efficiently what
             | the government already figured out how to do.
        
             | ActorNightly wrote:
             | >Private sector does some things better, see Rocket Lab,
             | Blue Origin, SpaceX, et al.
             | 
             | All of those companies exist on the backbone of work that
             | was done by government funded labs. You are just seeing the
             | investments pay off.
             | 
             | PHds aren't engineers. The whole point of a PHd is
             | basically spending a whole bunch of time working on
             | something, with a very slight chance that it may or may not
             | work - this is not something that is compatible with a
             | private sector in any means. The point is that as a
             | collective, you hope that someone has a brain blast moment
             | and discover something that engineers can then take and
             | make viable.
        
             | buellerbueller wrote:
             | Over the long run, the benefits of private sector mostly
             | accrue to the private sector.
             | 
             | Over the long run, the benefits of the public sector mostly
             | accrue to society.
        
           | mecsred wrote:
           | In the current social climate I would absolutely not trust
           | public media to understand general consensus. Ask specific
           | people you trust or seek out their opinions.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | In mainstream media, public consensus is bought by the
             | highest bidder, or the whims of the board of the company.
             | 
             | In social media, general consensus is owned by those that
             | control the best and most bots to direct the conversation.
             | 
             | Unfortunately most people are too lazy/busy to seek out
             | trusted information, and many if not most have no ability
             | to understand if the answer they get should be trusted or
             | not.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | > In social media, general consensus is owned by those
               | that control the best and most bots to direct the
               | conversation.
               | 
               | Isn't it owned by the owner of the social media platform?
               | Do you think Zuckerberg, Musk, etc are neutral? There is
               | an enormous amount of evidence otherwise.
               | 
               | If some bots proliferate, it's because the owners allow
               | those bots to do so.
        
               | pixl97 wrote:
               | >Do you think Zuckerberg, Musk, etc are neutral?
               | 
               | I mean, why wouldn't they have the most bots?
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Not everyone agress that those things are necessarily good. I
           | think the Apollo program for example was a massive waste of
           | money that didn't improve anything for the average person. It
           | was mostly just a dick-swinging contest with the USSR to see
           | who had the biggest rocket and could get people to the moon
           | first.
        
             | dijksterhuis wrote:
             | > I think the Apollo program for example was a massive
             | waste of money that didn't improve anything for the average
             | person
             | 
             | i mean, sure, that makes sense if you've never gotten on a
             | plane, eaten food, used a space blanket when camping or in
             | an emergency, been in an earthquake prone area or had
             | hearing aids (non-exhaustive list)
             | 
             | https://www.nasa.gov/technology/tech-transfer-
             | spinoffs/going...
             | 
             | > It was mostly just a dick-swinging contest with the USSR
             | to see who had the biggest rocket and could get people to
             | the moon first.
             | 
             | just because this was the primary political goal, and i'm
             | 100% in agreement with you there, it does not mean that
             | there were no other benefits to humanity. sometimes,
             | humanity can accidentally do a good thing for everyone
             | because we're trying to beat the other guy in a race. it
             | does happen, sometimes.
        
       | JuniperMesos wrote:
       | The implicit assumption that this is a bad thing is grounded in
       | the assumption that anyone who is a STEM PhD is automatically
       | someone the US government should want to employ, which I don't
       | think is true. Academia is a badly broken system, and many people
       | with formal credentials like PhDs have wasted huge amounts of
       | time and effort on producing what is ultimately low-quality
       | scientific work. This is a pretty uncontroversial statement among
       | people I know in academia - or who were in academia but left -
       | and this should absolutely affect the degree to which federal
       | government agencies are willing to hire people who have formal
       | credentials like a STEM PhD.
        
         | giraffe_lady wrote:
         | Do you think that's what is going on here?
        
           | sanskritical wrote:
           | In my experience legitimately talented people are staying,
           | and the guy whose impressive education credentials seem to
           | train him mostly how to write very wordy excuses for his
           | shortage of actual work product is going back home. Maybe you
           | have a different experience, but my experience is something
           | that seems to be echoed among a lot of people in my social
           | circle.
           | 
           | My experience is that people with talent are both driven and
           | valued. Someone who might disagree with the current
           | administration politically but is doing exactly what they
           | want to do with their life in a role that generates
           | measurable utility for the taxpayer is not packing up and
           | leaving, nor losing their job. But many pieces of gristle are
           | getting trimmed off the American government.
        
             | nialv7 wrote:
             | what you are saying is idiotic. people who are in demand
             | can find work anywhere, they are the kind of people who
             | will leave as soon as they feel their work environment has
             | become even remotely uncomfortable. people who stay are
             | more likely to be those who can't find job elsewhere.
        
               | sanskritical wrote:
               | I think people who will leave as soon as they feel their
               | work environment has become even remotely uncomfortable
               | are likely sitting in a comfortable sinecure, and it
               | isn't the role of the taxpayer to provide sinecures for
               | people with doctoral degrees.
               | 
               | Government workers are meant to serve the government, and
               | the government of the United States is By the People. The
               | People voted for the administration and if someone can't
               | work for the company because you dislike the guy running
               | it, well, it sounds infantile to me. Someone so fragile
               | as to not tolerate political disagreement and reasonable
               | scrutiny and auditing should not be receiving a salary
               | from public funds.
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | Yes, I'm sure it's "infantile" for people at the NIH to
               | resign because they believe their work is being censored
               | for conflict with the administration's preferred
               | pseudoscience.
               | 
               | Could you sound any more like a Lysenko propagandist in
               | the USSR if you tried?
        
               | toyg wrote:
               | Your guy has armed goons with "absolute immunity"
               | literally executing people in the streets, after
               | threatening to invade neighbours and allies, appointing
               | shockingly-unqualified loyalists at the very top of
               | national institutions, and generally gutting the rule of
               | law. It's a bit past "tolerating political disagreement",
               | man.
        
               | giardini wrote:
               | Well, that went south quickly!
               | 
               | Glad to hear a British viewpoint now and then, but of
               | course any problems stateside will be handled and voted
               | on by Americans rather than Brits. Unless possibly you
               | have dual citizenship (Brit & USA) perhaps?
               | 
               | FWIW Britain has plenty of history of what you term
               | 
               | "armed goons with "absolute immunity" literally executing
               | people in the streets, after threatening to invade
               | neighbours and allies, appointing shockingly-unqualified
               | loyalists at the very top of national institutions, and
               | generally gutting the rule of law."
               | 
               | You Brits almost have a monopoly on tyranny of various
               | forms, having gone through most of them in bloody civil
               | wars yourself. Hardly a model to follow, n'est-ce pa?
        
               | _DeadFred_ wrote:
               | This position is idiotic, more detrimental to the United
               | States than the government over employing people, and
               | frankly un-American according to how we understood what
               | serves America best pre-Trump.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_service_reform_in_the
               | _Un...
        
               | BigTTYGothGF wrote:
               | I'm a phd who used to be in civil service.
               | 
               | What you write here is certainly the goal, and I had a
               | lot of colleagues who agreed with you. I thought it was
               | bogus then, and I think it's bogus now.
               | 
               | Also people quit jobs all the time because of the boss.
               | Usually it's the direct one, but not always, and as
               | above, so below.
               | 
               | > reasonable scrutiny and auditing
               | 
               | It's been well over a decade since I left, and I'm sure
               | it's gotten worse for those who stayed, but: lol. lmao.
        
             | Braxton1980 wrote:
             | How can your limited experience make any claims about the
             | government workforce as a whole.
             | 
             | It requires a decent amount of time to understand if
             | someone is talented and that talent is being used to better
             | their job.
             | 
             | >but is doing exactly what they want to do with their life
             | in a role that generates measurable utility for the
             | taxpayer is not packing up and leaving
             | 
             | How would you know? Some people have very strong
             | convictions and as another comment stated if a person is
             | talented it increases the chances they could find another
             | job similar to their desired work
        
             | sdenton4 wrote:
             | This doesn't match my experience at all.
             | 
             | Mid last year I helped run a workshop on AI explicitly for
             | laid off federal science workers. The people involved were
             | clearly extremely intelligent and knowledgeable, passionate
             | about their research areas, and harboring an immense amount
             | of institutional knowledge. They showed great curiosity and
             | adaptability in the workshop. It was obvious that they were
             | a set of very bad fires.
        
         | dtdynasty wrote:
         | Why wouldn't stem PhDs follow some bell curve of quality? I'm
         | sure many PhDs that are leaving don't contribute but some of
         | them do. I personally don't see a reason for it to be skewed
         | for only PhDs which don't contribute to leave.
        
           | recursive wrote:
           | These things are not in conflict. It's possible that PhD
           | quality has a regular distribution, and that most of them
           | aren't contributing much.
        
             | dtdynasty wrote:
             | I agree with this. I guess you already believe they follow
             | a bell curve.Then from your former comment you also believe
             | it's worth it to lose many PhDs that don't contribute to
             | also lose the few that do.
             | 
             | I guess the conflict is my value judgement that it's good
             | to keep PhDs that don't contribute if it allows US to keep
             | the ones that do contribute. I believe so for 2 reasons.
             | 
             | - Distinguishing between contributors and non contributors
             | at scale is difficult.
             | 
             | - the value of research can be large from a few
             | contributors.
        
         | Retric wrote:
         | That's a straw man argument. Losing 10 people becomes a
         | question of their individual qualifications, losing 10,000
         | people and this is no longer about individuals.
         | 
         | Some of the people who left where underperforming but a
         | significant percentage where extremely underpaid while
         | providing extreme value to average Americans.
        
           | moduspol wrote:
           | The number seems arbitrary. Maybe we should be subsidizing
           | until we have 100,000 more.
           | 
           | I'm always skeptical when something is presumed to be a
           | universal good in a way that's unfalsifiable. What metrics
           | would you expect to see if we had too many STEM PhDs? What
           | metrics can we expect to improve if we had more of them?
        
             | ixtli wrote:
             | I think your comment is more a refutation of the top level
             | than the person you're responding to. I think people are
             | right to assume there is already a serious throughput issue
             | with scientific research, especially so-called "basic"
             | research in the US and seeing a mass exodus from the
             | government is troubling because public funding is what,
             | historically, generates the big breakthroughs.
             | 
             | What the person you're replying to was likely trying to say
             | is that once you get into this size of layoffs its no
             | longer about the individuals and their performances and a
             | claim that all 10k of them are on one side of a theoretical
             | "bell curve" (which btw i havent seen evidence can actually
             | be measured) is big and needs evidence.
        
               | tmp10423288442 wrote:
               | > public funding is what, historically, generates the big
               | breakthroughs
               | 
               | Without an opinion on the rest of this, public funding in
               | the US doesn't produce big breakthroughs from scientists
               | employed by the government, but rather by funding
               | university research.
               | 
               | It appears that, after the administration canceling a
               | significant proportion of grants in 2025, that science
               | funding has largely been maintained or increased from
               | pre-2025 levels for 2026, although how the 2026 funding
               | gets spent, and whether it is all spent, is an open
               | question.
        
             | quietsegfault wrote:
             | You're confusing two different questions. 'Should we have
             | more STEM PhDs in government?' is a reasonable policy
             | debate. 'Is losing 10,000 STEM PhDs in weeks a problem?'
             | has a clearer answer... yes, because institutional
             | knowledge doesn't rebuild quickly. Also, there's no
             | evidence this was performance-based attrition. Lastly,
             | recruitment becomes harder after mass departures signal
             | instability.
             | 
             | The burden isn't on critics to prove some theoretical
             | optimal number. The burden is on defenders of this exodus
             | to show it improved government technical capacity rather
             | than hurt it.
        
               | moduspol wrote:
               | I disagree--we're all paying for it, so it should be
               | justified regardless.
               | 
               | And I don't need an optimal number. But the common
               | refrain is essentially that more is always better, and
               | fewer means we're losing our standing in the world.
               | Always.
               | 
               | Maybe keeping a lot of them but shedding some percentage
               | is actually more optimal. But I'm open to being wrong.
               | That's why I'm asking for metrics.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | The US government operates with such a huge debt that we
               | aren't paying for these things. Instead we are paying for
               | the long term effects of such spending.
               | 
               | Cutting 10k scientists could therefore result in
               | increased taxes without anyone ever seeing any savings.
               | Or it could result in net gain from 1$ all the way up to
               | what their cost * interest in the debt.
               | 
               | Therefore there's no obvious side who takes the default
               | win here. Instead you need actual well supported
               | arguments.
        
               | quietsegfault wrote:
               | If this was intentional workforce reduction, then the
               | agencies affected should show improved efficiency or
               | output with fewer people. We should see faster regulatory
               | reviews, better grant decisions, stronger technical
               | evaluations, just with leaner teams.
               | 
               | Instead, what we're likely to see is degraded capacity,
               | slower timelines, and reduced technical oversight. If
               | that happens, will you acknowledge this was a mistake? Or
               | will any negative outcome just get blamed on the
               | remaining employees?
        
             | biophysboy wrote:
             | One metric you could use is how often publications are
             | mentioned by patents, and how often those patents lead to
             | economic value. By this metric, it is valuable.
             | 
             | The number of PhDs we have is currently too many given the
             | amount of money we have for project grants. But there is no
             | evidence that the money we allocate to research is too
             | large. If anything, you could argue the opposite.
             | 
             | I would be delighted if the private market funded basic
             | research - the seed ideas that lead to patents.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | It's a separate question not arbitrary. How many PHD's the
             | government should employ is debatable, but saying we should
             | have fewer such people says nothing about who was let go.
             | 
             | It's always tempting to say 'This was a good decision
             | therefore all the consequences are good' but in the real
             | world good and bad decisions will have both positive and
             | negative consequences. Understanding individual
             | consequences is therefore largely separated from the
             | overall question of should we do X. However in politics
             | nobody wants to admit any issues with what they did so they
             | try and smokescreen secondary effects as universally
             | beneficial/harmful.
        
           | bitshiftfaced wrote:
           | What's the correct level of STEM PhD employment in the
           | government? Maybe those levels were way too high. But on a
           | different note, we can't tell from the article what normal
           | fluctuations look like. It only shows 2024 as the baseline,
           | but ideally we'd look at a larger window than that as well as
           | look at the percentage rather than nominal figures.
        
             | Braxton1980 wrote:
             | I think you're saying "how do we know this isn't the normal
             | amount of Phd people who leave every year/administration
             | 
             | While we don't have PhD numbers the Trump administration
             | fired a large amount of people so no matter some portion of
             | those had Phds therefore it must be higher than the
             | previous administration
        
               | bitshiftfaced wrote:
               | From the article:
               | 
               | "Science's analysis found that reductions in force, or
               | RIFs, accounted for relatively few departures in 2025.
               | Only at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
               | where 16% of the 519 STEM Ph.D.s who left last year got
               | pink RIF slips, did the percentage exceed 6%, and some
               | agencies reported no STEM Ph.D. RIFs in 2025."
        
           | notahacker wrote:
           | One would also have to consider the calibre of the
           | individuals hired to replace them, or not, and whether
           | functions such as the National Science Foundation add more or
           | less value to the government than functions the government
           | has chosen to increase its spending on...
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | > Add more or less value to the government than functions
             | the government has chosen
             | 
             | Talking about average government spending isn't a
             | reasonable argument because you can only spend money once.
             | If these people cost ~1B/year you aren't paying for 100B in
             | spending by cutting them. Instead you get to add exactly 1B
             | in government spending and thus the yardstick is the least
             | efficient billion your paying out vs keeping these people.
        
         | ixtli wrote:
         | It sounds like you're saying that this is a step in the
         | direction of "fixing" academia. I don't see any evidence of
         | that, all i see is fewer scientists receiving decreasing
         | funding in a state where weve already been slashing basic
         | research investment for generations. Also, there is no evidence
         | that the ones that are leaving are the least productive.
         | Intuitively it's likely the opposite: the ones who have the
         | most potential will find work elsewhere and will be the first
         | to leave.
         | 
         | EDIT: I would also like to say that i have never seen evidence
         | that we can measure the performance of 10k PhDs in a single
         | dimension at all. So a claim that this could be good for
         | scientific research and development seems unprovable at best.
        
           | sheikhnbake wrote:
           | It also flies in the face of China's currently accelerating
           | pace of research and breakthroughs by producing insane
           | numbers of STEM majors and PhDs
        
             | JuniperMesos wrote:
             | China is famous for low-quality research and bad papers,
             | which is exactly what you'd expect from a system that
             | grants an expanded number of formal credentials to people
             | who aren't actually doing good scientific research.
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | China was famous for low-quality products as well.
        
               | layer8 wrote:
               | While there have been substantial improvements, it still
               | deserves its fame.
        
               | bigyabai wrote:
               | Be that as it may, China also has persistent threat
               | actors outfoxing American cybersecurity in the form of
               | _Salt Typhoon_. The cards are on the table, and the US is
               | already undoubtedly losing several fronts of asymmetrical
               | warfare.
        
               | ixtli wrote:
               | I have a friend who, to explain it simply, worked medium
               | high up in the CIA for 8-12 years during Bush and Obama.
               | The only time he gets serious about talking about his
               | time there is on this topic. Chinas cyber security is,
               | according to him, light years ahead of the US to the
               | point where its embarrassing.
        
               | Zigurd wrote:
               | If I understand Salt Typhoon correctly it's a
               | masterpiece. The descriptions I've seen indicate that
               | they penetrated lawful intercept. Lawful intercept
               | operates outside network operators network management
               | systems because it was designed not to trust the network
               | operators. I am skeptical of claims that Salt Typhoon has
               | been eliminated from US networks. Any such implicitly
               | claim to detect lawful intercept traffic and ensure it
               | isn't nefarious, which traffic that system is designed to
               | hide.
        
             | ixtli wrote:
             | Yes.
             | 
             | I think well meaning people in the west are looking for a
             | silver lining and in the process overcomplicating a rather
             | simple issue: the US government is cutting spending
             | everywhere while its electorate demands even deeper cuts.
             | The money has dried up and people are leaving.
             | 
             | (One of my best friends was a nuclear medicine phd who left
             | his cancer research lab after covid to work at a VoiP
             | company, so i too have anecdotes)
        
               | sheikhnbake wrote:
               | Sigh.
               | 
               | The US is in a weird spot. The electorate does not
               | generally want education and research cut.
               | 
               | Republicans here have convinced their base that education
               | and the educated are bad, which has fed their desire to
               | cut academic funding and research at all levels.
               | 
               | That is to say, the federal government doesn't have a
               | popular mandate to do any of this. They simply hold all
               | levers of power through a slim majority of the voting
               | populace.
        
             | krona wrote:
             | Which breakthroughs, specifically? There are no Chinese
             | institutions pumping out nobel prizes. Zero.
        
               | triceratops wrote:
               | 10 years ago were no Chinese companies pumping out world-
               | class cars either. But here we are.
        
               | krona wrote:
               | I'm honestly not sure what you're referring to.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | Geely owns Volvo and IIRC a significant portion of Volvos
               | are Chinese made now.
               | 
               | There's a number of companies or brands that are now
               | Chinese owned. China knows that home grown brands (like
               | Geely) don't work on an international stage, so they buy
               | well known brands like Volvo.
               | 
               | It's a bit of a silent behind the scenes takeover but I'd
               | say that China is now seriously making competitive cars.
               | If you can follow the brands and notice.
        
               | kelipso wrote:
               | Lol, the fully homegrown BYD is destroying Tesla
               | everywhere outside the US where it's basically banned and
               | you're taking about Geely and Volvo and behind the
               | scenes. It's all out there on the stage.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | I don't really give a shit about Tesla though. Or BYD for
               | that matter.
               | 
               | By my eye, Volvo / Geely cars are the most impressive.
        
               | ForHackernews wrote:
               | https://www.nature.com/nature-index/news/nature-index-
               | resear...
               | 
               | -\\_(tsu)_/-
               | 
               | Edit: Oh, that's old. In 2024 Chinese institutions only
               | made up 7 of the top 10 most productive research centers
               | but in 2025 they are account for 8/10:
               | https://www.natureasia.com/en/info/press-
               | releases/detail/911...
        
               | krona wrote:
               | That's a volume based index, not impact, thus reinforcing
               | my point.
        
               | sheikhnbake wrote:
               | Idk man, i dont keep a list of China's breakthroughs
               | handy. You can find the same results on google that I
               | can.
               | 
               | And I wasn't aware that breakthroughs needed to be nobel
               | laureate worthy at a minimum to still be considered
               | breakthroughs.
        
           | JuniperMesos wrote:
           | I'm not claiming that this is a step in the direction of
           | fixing academia; I'm claiming that, because academia is
           | currently broken, we shouldn't assume that the ~10k people
           | who got PhDs under the current system are people doing
           | actually-valuable work for the federal government and
           | ultimately the American people.
        
             | rwyinuse wrote:
             | Knowing current administration anti-science approach to
             | things like climate and health, I wouldn't be all at
             | surprised if many of those who left academia were ones
             | producing quality work that just didn't align with Trump
             | admin's ideology.
        
               | michelsedgh wrote:
               | the unscientific stuff was actually past administrations
               | which told us cheetos is more healthy than eggs and meat
               | lol
        
               | clutchdude wrote:
               | Turns out, if we feed data in and query it in the right
               | way, we can come to charts that allow bad conclusions
               | just like any other.
               | 
               | https://www.snopes.com/news/2023/01/16/lucky-charms-
               | healthie...
        
               | yesb wrote:
               | If anyone is curious, as I was, where this misinformation
               | came from: it appears to be a criticism of the Food
               | Compass rating system from Tufts University. The
               | connection to "past administrations" seems to be added by
               | the person I'm replying to. They've also swapped Cheerios
               | with Cheetos.
               | 
               | >On social media, I have seen graphics showing certain
               | breakfast cereals scoring higher than eggs, cheese, or
               | meat. Did Tufts create these graphics?
               | 
               | >No. Food Compass works very well, on average, across
               | thousands of food and beverage products. But, when this
               | number and diversity of products are scored, there are
               | always some exceptions. These graphs were created by
               | others to show these exceptions, rather than to show the
               | overall performance of Food Compass and the many other
               | foods for which Food Compass works well. But, as
               | objective scientists, we accept constructive criticism
               | and are using this to further improve Food Compass. We
               | are working on an updated version now - see our versions
               | page for more information.
               | 
               | https://sites.tufts.edu/foodcompass/
               | https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-021-00381-y.epdf
        
               | fasbiner wrote:
               | I suspect you're right, but what we are and are not
               | surprised by is self-referential rather than evidentiary.
               | 
               | But are we supposed to be content with not being given
               | enough information to make a meaningful differentiation
               | between people with PhDs in human resources and
               | $IDENTITY-studies vs PhDs in organic chemistry and
               | climatology?
               | 
               | When there's hostility towards discernment, it makes me
               | feel like the two political strains are working together
               | to use a one-two punch of credentialism and anti-
               | intellectualism to erode empirical investigation into
               | reality.
        
             | throwaway2056 wrote:
             | > 'm not claiming that this is a step in the direction of
             | fixing academia; I'm claiming that, because academia is
             | currently broken, we shouldn't assume that the
             | 
             | Why?
             | 
             | If you go that far then
             | 
             | - senate
             | 
             | - scotus
             | 
             | - violence
             | 
             | - SV
             | 
             | - tech bros
             | 
             | - lies about AI
             | 
             | What is not broken.
             | 
             | The idea of academia is it is an investment. Look at
             | internet, DoE, Genome, vaccines - a lot from academia.
             | Companies barely do that.
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | Indeed. You're far more likely to get sensible policy
               | opinions from a STEM PhD who knows what science is than
               | from sleazy opportunist politicians, investors, and PR
               | people.
               | 
               | You might even say that the opportunists dislike STEM
               | because it gets in the way of their opportunism.
        
             | checker659 wrote:
             | Would you have said the same for folks doing NLP circa
             | 2015?
        
               | fsdfasdsfadfasd wrote:
               | these folks were already associated with FAANG. Most of
               | deep learning progress comes from industry funding, not
               | academia
        
           | ReptileMan wrote:
           | People start being inventive when tight on resources, so a
           | bit of evolutionary pressure is not a bad thing.
        
           | yobbo wrote:
           | You are assuming there is meaningful work for them in the
           | federal government. There might be more productive work for
           | them in industry. Their contribution to the workforce could
           | put pressure on inflated salaries, if that is the case.
           | 
           | If their credentials exceed their defacto responsibilities in
           | the government, they might be blocking someone else from
           | being promoted or otherwise "growing" or whatever.
        
         | yodsanklai wrote:
         | Academia may be broken, but a lot of bright students still
         | pursue PhDs and it's better to have them in your pool of
         | candidates rather than not.
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | Can we agree academia is the worst system, except for all the
         | others?
         | 
         | In the last century, the US led so many tech fields because of
         | both academic and corporate research and the people to do it.
         | Let's fix that system if needed and keep it well stocked.
         | 
         | The alternative is ignorance, leading to unskilled industries
         | and an easily misled electorate.
        
           | Braxton1980 wrote:
           | Wouldn't an easily misled electorate benefit the political
           | party that lies the most?
        
             | imglorp wrote:
             | That is kind of my point. That party has been attacking the
             | education system in all forms for decades (imo) for exactly
             | that reason. They have razed everything from school lunches
             | to loan programs. This affects everyone.
        
             | sizzzzlerz wrote:
             | We have definitive proof of that viz a vis, trump and his
             | idiot magats.
        
           | ixtli wrote:
           | 10k PhDs lost isn't a step in the direction of fixing
           | anything, though. There is little to no evidence that the
           | people leaving aren't the _top_ performers, let alone the
           | bottom.
        
             | bayarearefugee wrote:
             | > There is little to no evidence that the people leaving
             | aren't the top performers, let alone the bottom.
             | 
             | According to the article, the majority of the losses were
             | voluntary (people quitting or accepting buyout offers) and
             | not people who were directly laid-off.
             | 
             | While this isn't direct evidence of where these people sit
             | on the spectrum from top to bottom performers, my anecdotal
             | life experience suggests that when losses like this are
             | voluntary its far more likely they are top performers who
             | have plenty of options elsewhere (either in the private
             | sector, or in other governments).
             | 
             | Also (and also anecdotally) this brain-drain doesn't just
             | apply to direct government workers. I know of several
             | people who worked in (and in some cases headed up)
             | prestigious university research labs in the US who have
             | left in the last year after massive funding cuts. Most of
             | them were immigrants who went back to universities in their
             | country of origin, some after having been here for decades.
        
               | josephg wrote:
               | At least amongst my circles, that seems so obvious. I
               | don't know what things are actually like on the ground.
               | But from here in Australia, the subtext of all the ICE
               | news is that foreigners are no longer welcome in the US.
               | And that America is becoming an authoritarian, fascist
               | state.
               | 
               | Of course I don't want to visit the US. There's no way
               | I'd want to move there right now.
               | 
               | I know of multiple US run conferences which are taking
               | place in Europe this year. Too many attendees wouldn't
               | come if they were hosted in the US.
        
               | bayarearefugee wrote:
               | > At least amongst my circles, that seems so obvious
               | 
               | Blindingly obvious.
               | 
               | The long-term (very likely permanent in many cases)
               | damage being done to America by the Trump administration
               | through brain-drain, weakening of our own economy, and
               | causing the entire rest of the world to (rightfully)
               | distrust us as a reliable ally and/or trading partner is
               | incalculable.
               | 
               | And it is all pure unforced error driven by a malignant
               | narcissist bent on retribution who is also seemingly
               | being used by a few different actors with their own
               | individual axes to grind as he slips into dementia.
               | 
               | > But from here in Australia, the subtext of all the ICE
               | news is that foreigners are no longer welcome in the US.
               | And that America is becoming an authoritarian, fascist
               | state.
               | 
               | This is also how it feels in the US. (And it isn't only
               | foreigners -- the message is also that "the wrong kind"
               | of American citizens are also no longer welcome in the
               | US)
        
             | thinkcontext wrote:
             | There's reason to suspect that the one's leaving are more
             | likely to be top performers. First, top performers are the
             | most likely to be able to find another job easily so they
             | would take the voluntary buyout or just leave when things
             | get crazy. Also, some of the DOGE cuts targeted
             | probationary employees which include those that have
             | recently been promoted or recently hired, both are classes
             | of employee that the department explicitly wanted to keep.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | Academia critics usually think it was pretty great until the
           | last 3-5 decades.
        
         | Braxton1980 wrote:
         | Do you believe that 100% of the people who left were useless?
        
         | thrance wrote:
         | Usually, when a system is broken, the correct course of action
         | is to fix it. Not destroy it utterly.
        
         | quietsegfault wrote:
         | The problem with this framing is that it treats a mass exodus
         | as if it were selective pruning. Losing 10,000+ STEM PhDs in
         | weeks isn't a quality filter. We're hemorrhaging institutional
         | capacity. We lose researchers who understand decade-long
         | datasets, technical experts who can evaluate contractor claims,
         | and people who can actually critique scientific literature when
         | making policy decisions.
         | 
         | Where's the evidence these specific 10k were the low
         | performers? The more likely scenario is that better performers
         | left because they have options, while weaker performers stayed.
         | If the issue is quality, you'd want systematic performance
         | review, not mass departure driven by factors unrelated to
         | competence.
        
         | bryanrasmussen wrote:
         | hmm, I was thinking >The implicit assumption that this is a bad
         | thing is grounded in the assumption
         | 
         | that in a large enough set of something there should be
         | considered to be a normal distribution of high quality, medium
         | quality and lower quality members in the set, unless one can
         | show the distribution is biased in some way.
        
         | morelandjs wrote:
         | The tail of the distribution justifies the entire distribution.
         | I agree that a large percentage of PhD research is
         | inconsequential, but a small percentage is massively
         | consequential. It's ok to whiff on a thousand STEM PhDs if you
         | pick up one Andrej Karpathy (for example).
        
           | ixtli wrote:
           | People have really messed up views about hiring in general. I
           | wish more people understood what you are saying here.
        
           | cbb330 wrote:
           | The US doesn't have enough money to fund the entire
           | distribution
           | 
           | And as a tax payer I prefer discretionary spending for high
           | performers.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | > for high performers.
             | 
             | Like $40k bonuses for ICE agents. Incidentally, $40k is
             | about the stipend for a typical PhD student. I'll take a
             | smart student doing nothing but eating food and digesting
             | theorems over the absolute chaos that is being funded by
             | our tax dollars.
        
           | JuniperMesos wrote:
           | Maybe this is true for academic institutions granting the
           | PhDs (although even this I am skeptical of, training a PhD
           | costs a lot in terms of time, money, and human effort). But
           | that doesn't mean it implies that the federal government
           | needs to employ a thousand STEM PhDs just to get someone like
           | Karpathy - indeed, Andrej Karpathy does not work for the
           | federal government! He made his name working in the private
           | sector!
        
           | gopher_space wrote:
           | The number of people capable of identifying potentially
           | consequential research is smaller than the number of people
           | performing consequential research. And they're all busy with
           | their own projects.
        
           | OGEnthusiast wrote:
           | Maybe, let's see if AI overall is a net positive or net
           | negative to the US overall. If AI turns out to be a net
           | negative (which seems likely) maybe we don't want this type
           | of AI research being funded by taxpayers.
        
           | clutchdude wrote:
           | Picking only the tail ends of the distribution also tells me
           | you don't understand how the bulk of progress is made.
           | 
           | It isn't always Eureka moments but also a slow grinding away
           | at assumptions to confirmations.
        
         | iammjm wrote:
         | Ahh yes, clearly any government would greatly benefit by having
         | way fewer highly educated conscientious people working for them
         | /s
        
           | sdenton4 wrote:
           | We should round up and reeducate people with glasses. /s
        
           | giardini wrote:
           | Golgafrinchan Ark Fleet Ship B
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | I fail to see how any of that is relevant to what the article
         | is about, which is people who were already employed by the
         | government leaving.
        
         | malfist wrote:
         | You don't throw the baby out with the bathwater. Just because
         | some PhD students make "low quality science" doesn't mean we
         | end academia. After all, who is going to do the high quality
         | science if you get rid of all the scientists?
        
           | mike_hearn wrote:
           | Lots of scientists work in industry. Look at AI, rocketry,
           | semiconductors, drug design, robotics, anything related to
           | manufacturing. Academics are in the minority in these fields.
           | You could eliminate all such jobs and there'd be plenty of
           | science being done.
        
             | malfist wrote:
             | That's applied science. You don't have companies doing
             | basic research because it isn't immediately profitable. You
             | have to do both, basic research to learn things, and
             | applied science to utilize it and make it commercially
             | valuable.
        
         | BoredPositron wrote:
         | Peter Gregory reincarnated.
        
         | foxyv wrote:
         | You're kind of throwing the baby out with the bathwater here.
         | Sure, some PhDs are in underwater basket weaving and barely
         | warranting the title. However, most PhDs are extremely
         | valuable. They are pushing the boundaries of our knowledge to
         | improve society.
         | 
         | Some part of the hatred for the current academic system stems
         | from legitimate concerns about how it operates. However, I
         | think this hate is mostly driven by rampant anti-
         | intellectualism. Fueled in part by pseudo scientific scammers
         | trying to sell you supplements on TikTok and religious
         | demagogues.
        
           | giardini wrote:
           | foxyv says _" most PhDs are extremely valuable"_
           | 
           | Can you defend this statement?
        
         | jayd16 wrote:
         | Saying "oh these are just the bad STEM PhDs" seems like a
         | ridiculous exercise in sour graping.
        
         | airstrike wrote:
         | No, the implicit assumption is that losing these 10k PhDs is
         | worse than not losing them.
        
         | biophysboy wrote:
         | People have tabulated the value of the academic pipeline, from
         | grant to paper to patent to stock valuation. It is overall very
         | valuable, even if you grant the very real issues with our
         | hyper-competitive grant system.
         | 
         | This intellectual capital is valuable, despite whatever the
         | latest populist memes about professors claim.
        
         | atonse wrote:
         | You may be right in the general sentiment that not everyone
         | with a PhD is a desirable candidate, but even if half of them
         | were, that would be 5,000 fewer and that isn't insignificant,
         | especially in STEM fields.
        
         | paulpauper wrote:
         | 10k PhDs would mean 10k dissertations. I thought the popular
         | narrative is that finding new knowledge has become too hard or
         | much harder than in the past, so how are these grad students
         | finding stuff that is new? Are these dissertations extremely
         | incremental or just repackaging/regurgitating stuff?
        
         | cbsmith wrote:
         | I have yet to hear a criticism of academia where it sounds like
         | we're better disproportionately losing people with PhDs than
         | without them, particularly since most of those people got their
         | PhDs quite a while ago.
         | 
         | PhDs seem to be quite employable by private industry, where
         | competency is still valued.
        
         | gizzlon wrote:
         | > The implicit assumption that this is a bad thing is grounded
         | in the assumption that anyone who is a STEM PhD is
         | automatically someone the US government should want to employ
         | 
         | No, not really? That would be true if we were talking about
         | hiring anyone with a STEM PhD. Or 1 random person.
         | 
         | In this case we have people leaving, and it's a group. So it's
         | more like: _The assumption that 10k PhD 's, that we saw fit to
         | hire in the first place, as a collective, are worth the cost_.
         | 
         | Seems likely that they are: The cost is low, let's say $2
         | billion per year? For reference, Trumps Big Bill includes $300
         | billion in new defense spending and " _over a ten-year period
         | is estimated to add roughly $3 trillion to the national debt
         | and to cut approximately $4.46 trillion in tax revenue_ ".
         | 
         | Also, let's say there were too many, and you should get rid of
         | 10 000 of them. I doubt the guy who keeps rambling for 1 and a
         | half hour [1] and keeps getting "Greenland" and "Iceland" mixed
         | up, is going to do a good job with it.
         | 
         | 1: Seriously, I _dare_ you to try to watch it, I tried. At
         | least hes  "draining the swamp" /s
         | https://www.youtube.com/live/qo2-q4AFh_g?si=Hwu3MSXouOfEfJCa...
        
         | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
         | Most PhDs don't move the needle because the point of a PhD is
         | to learn how to do research, not to produce ground-breakingly
         | original work that reinvents the entire scientific order.
         | 
         | That's orthogonal to domain expertise and general ability.
         | 
         | If you can survive a PhD there's an adequate chance you know
         | more about your subject than an undergrad and are more capable
         | of focused independent work.
         | 
         | That's what employers are buying. Which is why STEM PhDs still
         | get more attention from the private sector than generic mass-
         | produced undergrads.
        
         | epistasis wrote:
         | > The implicit assumption that this is a bad thing is grounded
         | in the assumption that anyone who is a STEM PhD is
         | automatically someone the US government should want to employ,
         | 
         | No, you're making a completely illogical jump there, that is
         | absolutely not assumed in any way.
         | 
         | The assumption, if there is one, is that the position that the
         | work PhD was doing in the government served the public good,
         | more than they were being paid.
         | 
         | US Government science positions are _not_ academia, so your
         | second sentence does not even apply to this! Unless your
         | assumption is that if the person was trained with science that
         | did little then their training can not be applied to anything
         | that is worthwhile, which is an obviously false assumption.
         | 
         | Arguments with these sorts of gaping logical holes are the only
         | defenses I ever see of cutting these positions. I have searched
         | hard, but never found a defense that bothered to even base
         | itself in relevant facts, and connect through with a logically
         | sound argument.
         | 
         | Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, but it sure is
         | damning when in a democracy there's not even a fig leaf of an
         | intellectually sound argument backing a drastic and massive
         | change in policy.
        
         | ActorNightly wrote:
         | >Academia is a badly broken system,
         | 
         | Why do you feel like you can state this like its fact?
         | 
         | Just to save you energy, state that you are conservative first
         | before writing fan fiction fantasy like that, because it will
         | save people a lot of time assuming that you are speaking some
         | sort of facts.
        
       | retired wrote:
       | We are seeing the same in The Netherlands:
       | 
       | https://delta.tudelft.nl/en/article/fewer-phd-positions-and-...
       | 
       | https://www.sciencelink.net/features/its-not-just-about-mone...
        
         | ixtli wrote:
         | I believe the opposite is happening in China. I saw an article
         | the other day ( https://fortune.com/2026/01/14/china-
         | graduates-1-3-million-e... ) that showed how the amount of
         | engineers being produced there is orders of magnitude greater
         | than the US. Way above what you'd expect given the different
         | sizes of population. Now, i realize an engineer isn't the same
         | as a PhD but i think we're seeing a dramatic brain drain
         | happening in the west.
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | It is because China has a meritocratic system.
        
             | ixtli wrote:
             | Maybe. I would like to think that is true but i don't have
             | much evidence.
             | 
             | I think what we can see provably is that China is investing
             | in the development of STEM contributors at the primary
             | school level through advanced degrees and the central
             | government is directing the economy to spend huge amounts
             | on the work that they do.
        
             | weirdmantis69 wrote:
             | I'm very curious about this because even tho we need to
             | preserve democracy, some elements of meritocracy also seem
             | needed. Obviously as Xi's latest purges show, there is some
             | politics to it as well, but China does seem to do a fairly
             | good job of meritocracy in the bureaucracy.
        
           | retired wrote:
           | I'm not a PhD, just an engineer and I moved out of The
           | Netherlands. It was no longer economical feasible to live
           | there. I am very pessimistic about the future Western Europe.
           | Right now it offers the one of the best QoL in the world for
           | the average worker but who knows for how long. With the
           | current brain and wealth drain there will no longer be enough
           | people to support the social system.
        
             | ixtli wrote:
             | Sorry to hear you got priced out :( Unfortunately i am also
             | quite pessimistic about the future of europe and the us,
             | too.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | The Netherlands is taking action against the brain drain
               | by rapidly importing highly skilled migrants through
               | various tax lowering schemes in the first five years of
               | living here.
               | 
               | However plenty of those people leave after that period.
               | Especially with the upcoming 36% unrealized capital gains
               | tax on all your savings and investments.
               | 
               | Feels a bit like ISPs giving discounts to new customers
               | only.
        
               | andriesm wrote:
               | On _unrealized_ gains, wait, what??
        
               | retired wrote:
               | Yes.
               | 
               | Say you have EUR80k in investments. Markets go up, in one
               | year time your investments are worth EUR90k. You did not
               | sell.
               | 
               | That means you had EUR10k in unrealized capital gains.
               | Subtract the EUR1800 per person threshold. EUR8200, 36%
               | tax is EUR2952 tax to be paid at the start of the year.
               | 
               | Losses give you tax credits redeemable against future
               | capital gains (not against income tax from employment)
        
               | jay_kyburz wrote:
               | Assuming you're not going to somehow avoid paying your
               | tax when you do eventually liquidate, paying year to year
               | is not that crazy.
               | 
               | Paying tax on money you make because you already have
               | money is far better than playing tax on your time you
               | sold for salary.
        
               | kcb wrote:
               | How does that even work? What does it apply to? Say I own
               | a 100% share in a business, each year does the government
               | appraise it and pretty much require me to divest a
               | portion of it to pay the tax?
               | 
               | Unrealized capital gains taxes are crazy all in an effort
               | to own the rich or something. Meanwhile the people
               | they're perceived as targeting have all the resources to
               | avoid it.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | Yes, you are supposed to either sell part of the stocks
               | to cover the yearly tax or you need to dip into your
               | savings account to find money to cover the tax.
               | 
               | I don't know about non-publicly listed companies, I
               | assume you indeed need to appraise yearly.
               | 
               | The rich don't pay these taxes as the unrealised capital
               | gains tax is only for private individuals, not companies.
               | The rich have their assets in companies / shells.
        
               | prewett wrote:
               | A 36% tax?! Nobody's going to invest in that environment,
               | since the taxes will really sap your effective
               | compounding rate. That's a great way to push all your
               | finance people out of the country.
        
               | robotresearcher wrote:
               | Why is this shocking? Surely if you hadn't grown up with
               | the very technical idea of unrealized gains, this would
               | seem totally normal. The surprising thing is that we let
               | ourselves be convinced in the past that making money with
               | money should be tax advantaged compared to making money
               | with labor.
               | 
               | Unrealized gains are gains.
        
               | prewett wrote:
               | Do you have to pay tax on unrealized gains with realized
               | money? A classic problem with exercising employee stock
               | options and holding the stock is that you have a tax
               | event on the unrealized gain, but if the stock drops
               | substantially, you still owe the tax money on the
               | unrealized gain, but you cannot sell the stock for enough
               | to pay for it. This happened to a lot of people around
               | 2001.
               | 
               | Paying for unrealized gains with realized money is not a
               | situation anyone want to be in.
        
               | mjuarez wrote:
               | This is misleading. It's actually taxing 36% of _assumed
               | gains_ of say 5% on all assets. So if you have $1M in
               | savings, you'll end up paying 1.8% or $18K/annum,
               | regardless of the actual investment return. I can see it
               | would be painful during down years, but most of the time
               | it would be ok.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | That is the current system. In the new system it will be
               | 36% on all capital gains, no more assumed gains. And an
               | EUR1800 a year tax-free threshold.
               | 
               | Also it's a bit more, right now you are looking at 36% on
               | 6% or 2.16% per year with a EUR59k threshold. So a bit
               | over EUR20k a year on that EUR1M.
        
               | tasuki wrote:
               | Actually that makes more sense? If you lose money on your
               | investments, I suppose you can write it off next time?
        
               | retired wrote:
               | You can write it off against future capital gains, but
               | not against income tax from employment. So if the market
               | is down a few years, you gain a lot of tax credits and
               | you pray that the government doesn't get rid of those
               | credits in the mean time.
        
               | tasuki wrote:
               | No, that's not ok.
               | 
               | Many years ago, a friend of mine in the Netherlands had
               | the same job as another guy, earning the same money, my
               | friend being extremely thrifty, the other guy splurging.
               | When they both found themselves out of a job at the same
               | time, my friend got no support from the government as he
               | had savings, while the other guy started getting a very
               | generous allowance.
               | 
               | This goes directly against all that is reasonable. This
               | is directly discouraging financial responsibility. My
               | friend is thrifty just for the sake of it, he _knows_ it
               | 's not in his interest. But he gets the short end.
        
               | rjh29 wrote:
               | Same situation in the UK. Even a modest amount of savings
               | (a few months of your salary) is enough to disqualify you
               | from the majority of benefits, childcare etc.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | Correct. If you go over EUR38.478 in savings, you
               | immediately lose your renters benefit. No taper, just a
               | hard drop-off. You can lose up to EUR5.000 in renters
               | benefit a year.
               | 
               | A legal tax avoidance is to just buy a EUR1000 TV if you
               | are near the limit. Yes that is as crazy as it sounds but
               | people do it.
        
               | Izikiel43 wrote:
               | > 36% unrealized capital gains tax
               | 
               | This sounds like the Netherlands speed running their way
               | out of investments. If a country I was living in proposed
               | this, I would be leaving ASAP, or getting some heavy
               | financial engineering done.
        
               | johanyc wrote:
               | > brain drain
               | 
               | Where are they draining to?
        
             | copperx wrote:
             | But why did you left if you had a great QoL?
        
               | retired wrote:
               | Because I was able to get a better QoL elsewhere in the
               | EU.
               | 
               | The average worker in The Netherlands has one of the best
               | QoL compared to average workers in other countries. But
               | the Dutch income leveling and benefit system makes it so
               | a high earner doesn't have a significantly better QoL.
               | Someone earning EUR30k has roughly the same spending
               | power as someone earning EUR50k. (edit: net income after
               | tax and benefits is EUR42k versus EUR47k for those two
               | incomes but the person earning EUR30k has access to
               | cheaper government housing)
               | 
               | In other countries, earning more gives you a better QoL.
        
               | garte wrote:
               | It gives you more things to buy, doesn't it? That does
               | not necessarily translate to a better life.
        
             | surgical_fire wrote:
             | The Netherlands had effectively full employment until a few
             | years ago, last I checked.
             | 
             | Unless things got dramatically worse in the past 3 or so
             | years, I think you are massively overreacting.
             | 
             | I happen to have a few personal friends that live there,
             | for that matter.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | I left mainly because of housing prices, the difficulty
               | of being a freelancer, the 49.5% income tax after EUR78k,
               | the 36% unrealized capital gains tax and just everything
               | in life like supermarkets or public transport being so
               | much more expensive than other European countries.
               | 
               | I took a big pay cut moving to Southern Europe, but post-
               | tax I earn the same and everything is just so much
               | cheaper. I honestly have a significant better life here.
               | Good weather too.
        
               | lazyasciiart wrote:
               | So you're not retired? Confusing username to pick if so.
        
               | badpun wrote:
               | Did you get a local job, or are you taking advantage of
               | geoarbitrage via a foreign remote job?
        
               | retired wrote:
               | In the process of setting up a company to do consultancy
               | services for Dutch companies, but eventually want to
               | shift to local companies once I get to learn the
               | language, culture and business.
        
               | tasuki wrote:
               | > I left mainly because of housing prices
               | 
               | I understand you're not the landlord then. I agree this
               | is a problem: the same(ish) earning you mentioned in
               | another comment makes social mobility difficult. Some
               | people are born with a house, others without. That's
               | super unfair. I'd first tax _that_ rather than income.
        
             | rwyinuse wrote:
             | Right now I'm not sure there is a country where young
             | people are generally satisfied and optimistic about their
             | future. America is a mess, Europe is generally a mess,
             | China is struggling with too many grads who aren't able to
             | find jobs matching their qualifications... From what I've
             | heard things aren't exactly great in India either.
             | 
             | Every country has its problems.
        
               | AnotherGoodName wrote:
               | Australians will complain a lot but honestly the future
               | is very bright. Higher exports than imports, government
               | debt isn't completely out of line and it's not going
               | exponential like some regions, it has European like
               | public services, a median wealth 2.5x that of the USA,
               | good employment figures.
               | 
               | It's not perfect but i still think it's pretty good.
        
               | lazyasciiart wrote:
               | Housing is a challenge
        
               | mandevil wrote:
               | But how much of the Australian economy is extraction for
               | the Chinese economy? My brief understanding of the Aussie
               | economy is that a large part of it is iron, hydrocarbons,
               | copper, etc. going abroad, largely going to feed the
               | Chinese economic machine. So economic performance is
               | heavily tied into Chinese performance.
               | 
               | And the median wealth number is another way of saying
               | "house prices are insane" right?
        
               | AnotherGoodName wrote:
               | For the median wealth somewhat house price driven
               | although there's also the reality that median and mean
               | wealth in Australia is remarkably close together. You
               | can't have median wealth driven by home equity if no one
               | has a house yet in australia the median and say top 25%
               | have remarkably similar houses.
               | 
               | So yes they are high but it's not like the disparity in
               | the USA where the median is well below Australia (lot's
               | of people in the USA lost wealth in 2008 and never
               | recovered) while the mean is well above (driven by the
               | few that are extremely wealthy living a lifestyle
               | unattainable to the commoners).
        
             | tasuki wrote:
             | Where did you move? I understand you're retired: that
             | changes the situation somewhat.
             | 
             | When I lived in Amsterdam, we were renting a flat. The
             | gentleman we were renting from told us our rent easily
             | covers all his expenses in South East Asia.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | Spain. And I have to apologise, I call myself retired but
               | in reality I'm just unemployed. It's more of a year long
               | sabbatical, but I jokingly call it retirement since I
               | moved to Spain and many Dutch people do so for
               | retirement. I'm planning on setting up a company here.
               | 
               | Spain isn't great for being employed or freelance
               | (autonomo) but if you set up a limited liability company
               | (SL) and work from there it is not that bad. Tax on
               | investments are averagely taxed compared to other
               | countries.
        
               | bluecalm wrote:
               | >>Tax on investments are averagely taxed compared to
               | other countries.
               | 
               | That is only if you haven't accumulated wealth yet. The
               | combination of quite high capital gain tax with sky high
               | wealth tax, pretty high income tax isn't very attractive
               | if your plan is to accumulate some wealth. If you just
               | want to make enough every year to live there I guess it's
               | reasonable though.
        
               | retired wrote:
               | I future-proofed myself by moving to a region with a
               | EUR3M exception. So that I have a long way to go before
               | paying wealth tax.
               | 
               | CGT is progressive and around 20%, compared to other
               | European countries that is fairly average. Some Eastern
               | European countries are at 15%, Belgian is going to 10%,
               | Switzerland differs per canton.
               | 
               | Also, no CGT for fresh immigrants if you are able to use
               | the Beckham law.
        
             | Izikiel43 wrote:
             | Yeah, I was chatting with a friend living in Spain once,
             | and ascending the ladder in responsibility didn't make
             | sense, as whatever salary increase he got would be heavily
             | taxed, and it didn't make sense to bear much more
             | responsibility for just a little bit of extra money a year.
             | 
             | As you say, avg workers are "fine" there, but for anyone
             | trying to standout or grow in their career, they will hit
             | an income ceiling very fast due to the high taxation, so it
             | doesn't make sense to keep on growing as you are not
             | properly rewarded for it.
        
           | logicchains wrote:
           | And since China cracked down on the tech industry there
           | aren't enough jobs for those new STEM graduates, so many are
           | stuck doing gig work: https://asiasociety.org/policy-
           | institute/19-percent-revisite... .
        
           | CharlieDigital wrote:
           | There was an interesting Freakonomics podcast a few months
           | back that pointed out an interesting divide in how the US and
           | China thinks about its leaders[0].                   > China
           | is a country that is run by engineers, while the U.S. is a
           | country run by lawyers. Engineers, he explains, are driven to
           | build while lawyers are driven to argue, and obstruct.
           | 
           | Even Trump:                   > And even though Donald Trump
           | is not a lawyer by any means, I think he is still a product
           | of the lawyerly society, because lawsuits have been
           | completely central to his business career. He has sued
           | absolutely everyone. He has sued business partners, he has
           | sued political opponents, he has sued his former lawyers as
           | well. And there is, I think, something still very lawyerly
           | about Donald Trump in which he is flinging accusations left
           | and right, he's trying to intimidate people, trying to
           | establish guilt in the court of public opinion
           | 
           | Very interesting take and I think insightful on why the US is
           | the way it is today and sidesteps the democracy vs autocracy
           | debate.
           | 
           | [0] https://freakonomics.com/podcast/china-is-run-by-
           | engineers-a...
        
             | Hikikomori wrote:
             | Not just lawyerly society, special kind of asshole lawyer,
             | as he was a protege of Roy Cohn.
        
               | jwhitlark wrote:
               | Supposedly Roy Cohn was startled by how easily he was
               | discarded when he wasn't useful anymore. Makes me wonder
               | who will be the next in line with the knife.
        
             | fdw wrote:
             | The episode was based on the book Breakneck: China's Quest
             | to Engineer the Future by Dan Wang (Amazon: China's Quest
             | to Engineer the Future)
             | 
             | Very interesting read, with a lot more depth and details to
             | this short (but accurate) summary.
        
       | pasquinelli wrote:
       | good thing i can talk myself in a circle to pretend everything
       | bad is good. yes, in years past i touted the fact that all the
       | best minds in the world want to come to america as a reason
       | america no. 1, but now thst that doesn't seem to be the case as
       | much, america still no. 1 somehow. see how i'm moving around
       | electons on the internet? i'm really thinking, aren't i?
        
       | jeron wrote:
       | anyone else think the infographic is absolutely awful? why put
       | number of employed instead of number of people hired?
       | 
       | seems like it was made to fit a specific narrative...
        
       | jleyank wrote:
       | STEM people in science (used to) populate places like NIH, NSF
       | and other granting agencies. Theh were project managers
       | responsible for funding decisions, or actual researchers.
       | Remember that people used think that pharma just did marketing
       | with all the new drug ideas coming from academia or government
       | labs? Well, these people were either the ones paying the academic
       | labs or actually generating what pharma marketed.
       | 
       | They also were the project managers and researchers in places
       | like NRL and ARL, the premier research labs in the Navy and Army.
       | Guiding weapon development along with the blue/green suits. They
       | staffed DOE labs doing funding and research for things that went
       | bump in the night, cleanup, energy development, etc.
       | 
       | PhD's are the psychologists on staff in the VA helping glue
       | veterans back together. They're also the -ologists (immune,
       | endocrine, ...) who work with the MD's to diagnose and treat
       | people. They also review new drug proposals to make sure they're
       | tested for safety and effectiveness.
       | 
       | There's probably some salted through the other departments doing
       | things like agronomy, geology, ... Things that help food and
       | energy production. There's more than you think in the various
       | security agencies - people were surprised why the government was
       | hiring for computational linguistics back in the 80's. They also
       | handle funding for things that turned into that Net/Web thingie
       | you're using to read this.
       | 
       | Is it useful to have these kind of people on the public purse?
       | Depends on whether you think funding research, regulating drugs,
       | weapon research and cleanup, treating patients, ... are
       | important. They're cheaper than the corresponding private
       | individuals would be if they were contractors or being paid
       | externally.
        
         | giraffe_lady wrote:
         | I think, for the VA specifically at least, this isn't accurate.
         | I'm sure they have some phd psychologists around for other
         | things but the bulk of the work you mentioned will be done by
         | counselors with masters degrees and some psychiatrists
         | overseeing them. Psychiatrists, as well as "the -ologists" you
         | mentioned, are specialized medical doctors. They all get the
         | same schooling and then specialize through the residency
         | system.
         | 
         | An MD is a doctorate-level degree and MD + residency is
         | generally considered enough education for even research within
         | a speciality, certainly patient care within it. MD/PhDs are
         | rare, usually doing policy/leadership or extremely specific
         | technical R&D. Almost never see them doing patient care, when
         | you do it's normally because they misunderstood their own
         | career interests in their 20s and now have to live with it.
         | 
         | This thing is real bad but psych treatment at the VA isn't why.
        
           | jleyank wrote:
           | the -ologists can be both, then. My academic experience in
           | ancient times had them as medicine related PhD's, but I guess
           | MD's can specialize in that area from a treatment rather than
           | a research area. MD/PhD's are rare but quite valuable for
           | research projects because they can see patient records
           | wearing their MD hat, but interact with the research teams
           | with their PhD hat. They tend to have mediocre bedside
           | manners cuz they rarely see a bed, and they're sorta burned
           | out coming of all that schooling.
        
         | dmoy wrote:
         | NRL et al do a lot more than just weapons research too.
        
       | lynndotpy wrote:
       | This is a tale as old as time. Anyone who's followed AI research
       | has seen this happen.
       | 
       | Take Geoffrey Hinton and his students, for one example. Moved
       | from the USA to Canada in the Regan era. Hinton (and Canada in
       | general) saw an influx of otherwise USA-bound students from 2016
       | on. And it's just happening again.
       | 
       | I was a PhD student in deep learning ("AI") in the US from 2018
       | through 2022. The "Muslim ban" at the time saw so many students
       | who had their eyes set on the United States look elsewhere.
       | During the 2020 election cycle, a fellow PhD student of mine (I
       | was the only English student in an all-Chinese lab) thought Trump
       | would win the election, and expressed that as, "I am so so so so
       | so sad". (Anyone who has tried expressing their feelings in a
       | language new to them will recognize this pattern of using
       | intensifiers like this.)
       | 
       | But the Project 2025 changes we saw were unique. In my
       | perspective as a former academic, I don't think people outside
       | academia generally appreciate the extent to which the reputation
       | the United States had for research has been damaged.
        
         | mmooss wrote:
         | > This is a tale as old as time.
         | 
         | > But the Project 2025 changes we saw were unique.
         | 
         | I'm not sure what you're saying. Until the last paragraph, you
         | seem to say that it's just the same thing continuing.
         | 
         | As an academic you know that such claims are irrelevant without
         | quantifying them. For example, the US has had inflation
         | continuously for decades; does that mean recent inflation is
         | not significant? How about 1980 compared with 1960? If my town
         | is washed away by a flood, I don't say, 'we've always had
         | rain'.
        
       | giardini wrote:
       | tl;dr summary:
       | 
       | - "a net loss of 4224 STEM Ph.D.s"
       | 
       | Far less than the headline "10k"
       | 
       | - "departing Ph.D.s took with them a wealth of subject matter
       | expertise and knowledge about how the agencies operate".
       | 
       | Whether such "expertise and knowledge" is worthwhile or exclusive
       | to these Ph.D.s, or even useful at all, remains to be seen.
       | 
       | Every time I've seen a PhD enter a private organization they've
       | gummed up the works and left only after bollixing things up.
       | While possibly excellent for hard science research, PhDs can have
       | a POV incompatible with solving problems quickly.
       | 
       | What this means is that even MORE than the usual STEM PhDs will
       | be entering the private sector, possibly _further_ gumming up the
       | works, as bosses try to fit PnDs (round pegs) into private jobs
       | (square holes).
        
       | goodluckchuck wrote:
       | If 14% of the PhDs employed by the U.S. Government was 10,109,
       | then there were about 72,207 total. That's about 3.2% of the
       | civilian government, compared to 2.1% in the public workforce
       | (and 1.3% of population).
       | 
       | So, the government tends to employ PhDs at a substantially higher
       | (~50%) rate than the public workforce.
       | 
       | Edit: Yeah, oops, people generally use public / private the other
       | way around.
        
         | cbsmith wrote:
         | ...and unfortunately it is letting them go at a substantially
         | higher rate than the public workforce.
        
       | titzer wrote:
       | It's harder to recruit PhD students and it's harder to fund them.
       | NSF budget was cut 55% in the first year. The administration is
       | doing everything possible to make it clear that no foreigners are
       | welcome here. America is stabbing itself directly in the brain.
        
         | guywithahat wrote:
         | > It's harder to recruit PhD students and it's harder to fund
         | them
         | 
         | If it's harder to fund them then it should be easier to recruit
         | them. I don't think both can be true at the same time, unless
         | you're saying it's harder to fund foreign PhD's with US tax
         | dollars in which case I think you'll find limited sympathy for
         | your cause.
        
           | BeetleB wrote:
           | > unless you're saying it's harder to fund foreign PhD's with
           | US tax dollars in which case I think you'll find limited
           | sympathy for your cause.
           | 
           | As your sibling pointed out, the end result is China
           | benefiting from that void.
        
           | jaredklewis wrote:
           | Maybe I'm missing something, but why can't it be true? If I'm
           | a PhD deciding what to do with the next few years of my life,
           | the fact that government jobs currently seem very unstable
           | might make PhDs hesitant to choose this path. There's
           | probably also at least some PhDs (given the overwhelmingly
           | left leaning politics of grad students) that don't want to be
           | involved with this administration. So maybe more PhDs are
           | going into the private sector.
           | 
           | On the other side, budget cuts might mean that you have less
           | money to spend on the PhDs that are interested.
           | 
           | So it doesn't seem inherently contradictory to me.
        
           | bauldursdev wrote:
           | It's not a fixed size of PhD candidates competing. A future
           | PhD candidate may choose to not become a future PhD candidate
           | because of changes. For example, a high school or
           | undergraduate student might read all these articles and
           | statistics about how funding is getting pulled and research
           | is becoming more difficult and choose to take another path.
           | They are no longer a competitor to be a PhD candidate, they
           | do not bid down the prices.
        
           | UncleMeat wrote:
           | The NSF _buys research_. PhD funding is not a gift, it is
           | payment for a job. Buying research from citizens or
           | noncitizens is not meaningfully different.
        
         | adev_ wrote:
         | European researcher here.
         | 
         | There is an other thing that should make America worry.
         | 
         | Research grants have been cut everywhere in the US. That cuts
         | deep and terminated many scientific collaborations between USA
         | and the EU Horizons projects in many STEMs research fields.
         | 
         | That created a void.... and sciences is like nature: it hates
         | void (and the lack of money...)
         | 
         | My perception in the domain is that the resulting void is been
         | fulfilled _everywhere_ by new collaborations with China.
         | Because China has the money, the infrastructures, the will to
         | progress and _a shit ton_ of smart engineers /PhDs.
         | 
         | There is today 10x more conferences in China... more exchange
         | with China... more common projects with China than 10y ago.
         | 
         | So congratulations to the Trump team: your anti-intellectualism
         | is actually directly fueling new technologies and research
         | breakthroughs to the country you consider 'your enemy'.
        
           | kevinsync wrote:
           | You being an outside observer of my country, what do you
           | think the mid-term (next ~decade) looks like if the US is
           | somehow able to flush the toilet and do a complete 180 from a
           | policy and administration perspective? I imagine even if
           | people we need are welcomed back with open arms, they're not
           | going to want to come. I sure wouldn't want to go back to a
           | bar where the bouncer kicked the shit out of me!
           | 
           | Just curious, it's hard to see things clearly from inside the
           | carnival.
        
             | detritus wrote:
             | As an outsider not in academia, your system has poisoned
             | your well.
             | 
             | We trusted in you to do the Right Thing _, yet a
             | significant sub-system of your culture has entirely
             | successfully undermined your 'Checks and Balances' - a sub-
             | system which has clearly been in action since at least the
             | eighties.
             | 
             | I don't know how you get rid of that. It's You.
             | 
             | .
             | 
             | _ I get that America/the West is far from perfect.
        
               | GuestFAUniverse wrote:
               | Are you kidding?
               | 
               | Currently I wouldn't dare to enter the US, while I'm sure
               | I would be relatively safe in China. And: even before
               | Trump the TSA had elements of despotism. All the while I
               | never heard of Europeans being treated like shit in China
               | -- simply the better hosts!
        
               | Insanity wrote:
               | 100% this.
               | 
               | I keep mentioning that to people when they bring up a
               | quite anti-China narrative (or paranoia). Most people in
               | the western hemisphere are way more likely to be
               | negatively impacted by the US than China.
               | 
               | Europeans, Canadians etc are less likely to travel to
               | China so of course Chinese media spying would be less
               | immediately detrimental than the spying of US companies.
               | But even when traveling to China, it's less likely you'll
               | be treated poorly than when traveling to the US.
        
               | sheikhnbake wrote:
               | We in the US have been so propagandized against China
               | that even relatively progressive people that are
               | completely against the Trump admin think China is an
               | authoritarian hellscape. And while China is obviously not
               | a utopia, I'd be hard pressed to find a metric there that
               | hasn't surpassed our own.
        
               | actionfromafar wrote:
               | China has no free speech and will start flexing its
               | imperial muscle more now that the US is climbing down
               | from the world stage.
               | 
               | China is alright if you keep your head down and you're
               | not of the wrong ethnicity, locked up in a work camp and
               | not allowed to have kids, or too openly gay or trans and
               | so on.
        
               | Insanity wrote:
               | US is regressing on trans rights, abortion, etc. Free
               | speech is under threat with the president "attacking"
               | media institutions. You have daylight murder by federal
               | agents followed by propaganda campaigns to blame the
               | victims themselves or on the Democratic Party to create
               | more political friction.
               | 
               | No one is saying China is perfect in these threads, we're
               | just saying the US isn't necessarily better. Two
               | countries can be shitty simultaneously.
        
               | 9dev wrote:
               | Ah, so you do have free speech, I take it? Unless you
               | criticise a certain assassinated far right activist, of
               | course.
               | 
               | And don't even get me started on _flexing an imperial
               | muscle._ South America and the EU would like a word.
        
               | adev_ wrote:
               | > I never heard of Europeans being treated like shit in
               | China -- simply the better hosts!
               | 
               | Yeah. Also lets not forget:
               | 
               | - Citizen from many EU countries can now enter China visa
               | free. No ESTA and no other administrative crap. Generally
               | no problem to enter and leave the country as long as you
               | respect the law there.
               | 
               | - The Chinese authority are _very_ cooperative when it is
               | about granting some visting Visa to researchers. Most
               | Chinese research centers and Universities have a some
               | kind of direct link to an office that can bypass some of
               | the procedures.
               | 
               | The situation is _way_ easier than it was 10y ago.
        
             | Insanity wrote:
             | As an outsider as well, I think the damage done will be
             | hard to reverse in just a decade. You lost trust of your
             | closest allies. Even after the current presidential term,
             | why would we (Europeans, Canadians, ..) invest in ties with
             | the US, when the _next next_ president can be an entire
             | shitshow again?
             | 
             | The American people have shown that they are okay voting
             | for the same nationalistic rhetoric twice. If it was just
             | once, maybe it's a fluke. Now it seems more like a pattern
             | hinting at the mindset of ~50% of Americans.
             | 
             | Also, if I want to be really pessimistic, I'd look at
             | history, at some point Roman turned on Roman (Caesar
             | crossing the Rubicon) after years/decades of political
             | turmoil. The things happening today in Minnesota etc could
             | be preludes a similar Rubicon crossing moment that will
             | shatter the republic..
        
             | adev_ wrote:
             | > what do you think the mid-term (next ~decade) looks like
             | if the US is somehow able to flush the toilet and do a
             | complete 180 from a policy and administration perspective?
             | 
             | I honestly do not know.
             | 
             | Academia works with networking between peers and moves
             | where the money is.
             | 
             | In Academia, the relation between researchers and the
             | 'names' in the domain matters a lot. But the money stream
             | matters even more.
             | 
             | When relations are created, I do not see them 'ending' just
             | because US decided to play the good guys again and open the
             | money stream again.
             | 
             | It will help to restore some links yes, but will probably
             | not cut any ties created with other countries.
        
           | Intralexical wrote:
           | > So congratulations to the Trump team: your stupidity and
           | your hate for intellectualism is directly fueling new
           | technologies to the country you consider 'your enemy'.
           | 
           | Do we have any evidence that they actually consider China (or
           | Russia) to be "the enemy"? They are fellow authoritarians,
           | with a shared goal of normalizing domestic political
           | suppression.
        
             | drdaeman wrote:
             | It's both.
             | 
             | Every authoritarian country thrives on "we're surrounded by
             | enemies, enemies everywhere" trope.
             | 
             | But, of course, all those glorious leaders happily shake
             | hands and dine with each other, patting their backs and
             | sharing ideas on how to keep peasants in check and
             | themselves in power.
        
               | briantakita wrote:
               | Kayfaybe...Donald Trump worked with WWE for a reason...
        
           | somethingsome wrote:
           | Hi, I looked into joint collaborations between many countries
           | and EU, but honestly I didn't really find anything EU-China
           | that was interesting, most funding agencies do not fund
           | collaborative projects EU-China, or maybe I'm missing
           | something, in any cases it didn't strike me. If you have some
           | examples I would be curious.
           | 
           | There are way more opportunities with other countries that
           | I'm aware of, mostly EU-EU.
        
             | bnjms wrote:
             | I'm unfamiliar with academia but doesn't this only measure
             | formal funding? It doesn't measure collaboration with
             | separate EU funding.
        
             | adev_ wrote:
             | You are not going to find much because China is not _yet_
             | part officially of Horizons (South Korea and Japan are but
             | not China).
             | 
             | Most of these collaborations happens under the hood and are
             | peer-to-peer and project based.
             | 
             | I can speak for the fields that I am close to:
             | 
             | - For Astrophysics, China already provide both hardware and
             | computing resources to some projects. Conferences in China
             | are in common and exchange are frequents. Rumors of
             | collaborations on Space and scientific satellites are also
             | on the way.
             | 
             | - For nuclear physics, China is actively participating in
             | several software stack used for nuclear fusion. There is
             | also mutual collaborations on some nuclear fusion reactors
             | and they regularly host conferences where EU researchers
             | are invited. They progressed tremendously compared to 10y
             | ago.
             | 
             | - For particle physics, China was historically playing
             | alone and was planning to create and operate their own
             | particle collider similar to the LHC in size. This is not
             | on the table anymore. There is a deeper collaborations with
             | several EU institutes including CERN, they also voiced
             | their interest in the FCC project.
             | 
             | - For Neurosciences, their labs has permissions to execute
             | wet experiments on animals that are forbidden on most EU
             | territories and that I will not describe. A lot of data are
             | shared both way between China and several EU labs. Many
             | neurosciences related conferences have emerged in China,
             | exchanges are much more common that they were.
             | 
             | - For HPC and A.I, this is by far the most active and
             | pushed research domain actually. Alibaba, Tencent and
             | others are even proposing computing resources _for free_ on
             | some projects in exchange of conference attendance in China
             | and collaborations. There is not much collaboration on
             | hardware (due to embargos and NDAs) but _a lot_ of
             | collaborations on software.
        
           | WinstonSmith84 wrote:
           | I certainly believe you, but you're missing the point of the
           | current administration goals. Trump wont be around in 10
           | years when the consequences of their actions become clear. In
           | fact, he is gone in 3 years, and the admin is only concerned
           | within that timeframe. Their strategy is quite clear: please
           | their base while simultaneously positioning the family for
           | influence on a global scale.
        
           | TacoCommander wrote:
           | I'm waking up to all the damage that huge tech companies
           | cause. They destroy communities by creating huge inequalities
           | among people.
           | 
           | As long as we have Citizens United here in the USA, big money
           | (no matter who it belongs to) will continue to threaten
           | democracy.
           | 
           | So for the sake of my country, take your tech industry
           | somewhere else.
        
         | john_moscow wrote:
         | Unpopular opinion: there has been a steady decline of standards
         | in the research community in the past decade or two. First
         | reproducibility crisis. Then, some topics becoming political
         | taboo where the unorthodox opinion would get you fired and
         | canceled. The credibility of the science in the West has been
         | falling, and the recent change of administration is predictably
         | axing something that has a perceived strong bias in the
         | opposite direction.
         | 
         | An optimist in me hopes that we can get back to unbiased
         | science, where it doesn't have to agree with the current side,
         | but both sides perceive it as fair and agree to leave it alone
         | for common good. A realist thinks that it will happen in China,
         | and the West has just run out of steam.
        
           | munificent wrote:
           | _> back to unbiased science_
           | 
           | Science has _always_ struggled with biases. There was no
           | perfect time in the past that you are imagining where that
           | wasn 't an issue.
           | 
           | If it seems worse today, it's largely because the systemic
           | biases that were _already_ there are becoming more visible,
           | which is a sign of progress.
        
             | briantakita wrote:
             | When Science replaced Religion...Science took the place of
             | Religion...
        
           | adev_ wrote:
           | > Then, some topics becoming political taboo where the
           | unorthodox opinion would get you fired and canceled
           | 
           | This is garbage.
           | 
           | What you describe might be the case in some social-sciences
           | circles but never has been the case in most STEMs fields.
           | 
           | If you have a (sensical) unorthodox idea that displease a
           | research director, 10 other research directors will be very
           | happy to dig up this exact idea in a slightly different
           | context.
           | 
           | This is how sciences progress.
        
         | Hammershaft wrote:
         | The %55 budget cut is proposed, it fortunately hasn't happened
         | yet and it might not survive congress.
        
           | huxley wrote:
           | You're not wrong that it hasn't been passed by congress but
           | just the proposal has already led to a massive decrease in
           | grants. I am not as optimistic that Congress would go against
           | admin policy
        
           | ModernMech wrote:
           | They can cut budgets without Congress by reappropriating
           | money now, it's one of the powers they've managed to usurp.
           | But they don't have to cut anything, they manage to curb
           | spending by throwing a wrench in the whole machine and
           | watching awards crawl to a halt. They cancel grants, fire or
           | drive out reviewers to increase review times, or delay
           | follow-up funding. Maybe the funding comes through eventually
           | but students need to be funded continually; the government
           | will pull their visas if they don't have funding to enroll.
           | 
           | They're also straight up harassing and arresting foreign
           | students for no reason, so they don't even have to muck with
           | the budget at all to materially ruin things.
        
         | emeril wrote:
         | pretty sure it would tough to Trump and his cronies to find any
         | brain to stab in their heads which wasn't already gobbled up by
         | brain worms
        
       | dmix wrote:
       | > Science's analysis found that reductions in force, or RIFs,
       | accounted for relatively few departures in 2025. Only at the
       | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, where 16% of the 519
       | STEM Ph.D.s who left last year got pink RIF slips, did the
       | percentage exceed 6%, and some agencies reported no STEM Ph.D.
       | RIFs in 2025.
       | 
       | > At most agencies, the most common reasons for departures were
       | retirements and quitting. Although OPM classifies many of these
       | as voluntary, outside forces including the fear of being fired,
       | the lure of buyout offers, or a profound disagreement with Trump
       | policies, likely influenced many decisions to leave.
       | 
       | So similar to most of the other federal agency reductions, around
       | 5-10% were formally let go but the majority left voluntarily.
        
       | alecco wrote:
       | US Academia will struggle to keep their current PhDs in
       | administrative positions. If it quacks like a Ponzi...
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Higher_education_bubble_in_the...
       | 
       | https://students.bowdoin.edu/bowdoin-review/features/death-b...
       | 
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/highereducation/comments/13rno6w/wh...
        
       | b00ty4breakfast wrote:
       | Competency holds less regard than sycophancy and loyalty. Who can
       | kiss ass the best? who is least likely to question the
       | Fuhrerprinzip?
       | 
       | It is no coincidence that these kinds of personality-based
       | dictatorships often devolve into dysfunction as time goes on.
        
       | shevy-java wrote:
       | Well - I would not want to work under the orange king either. The
       | guy kind of tries to have some revival of the 1930s era with the
       | hipster TechBros. I think they need to compensate everyone else
       | with their wealth - just redistribute their wealth at once,
       | equally. Many people will be happy. Few superrich oligarchs will
       | not be happy. That's the way to go. Everything else just a weak
       | distraction.
        
       | thegreatpeter wrote:
       | That exodus was only 3% of the 335,192 federal workers who exited
       | last year but represents 14% of the total number of Ph.D.s in
       | science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) or health
       | fields employed at the end of 2024 as then-President Joe Biden
       | prepared to leave office.
       | 
       | Would be interesting to see the age of these STEM or health
       | fields employees. What if they were all over the age of 70? Would
       | that still bother everyone?
       | 
       | Do you think this article was framed to cause outrage and
       | frustration?
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | Unless a comparable number of younger PhDs were hired to
         | compensate, it's a reduction of PhD-level federal workers in
         | either case.
        
         | mekdoonggi wrote:
         | > What if they were all over the age of 70? Would that still
         | bother everyone?
         | 
         | Why should anyone consider this hypothetical? Are you
         | advocating for an age limit of 70 for working for the
         | government?
         | 
         | > Do you think this article was framed to cause outrage and
         | frustration?
         | 
         | No.
        
       | periodjet wrote:
       | My heavens!
       | 
       | Because we don't need to focus on getting people into government
       | who we can trust to represent our interests as their prime duty.
       | No, what we really want to focus on is finding MORE PEOPLE WITH
       | DOCTORATES. Yes.
        
         | mekdoonggi wrote:
         | Would you say that the number of people you can trust to
         | represent our interests as their prime duty has gone up
         | recently?
        
       | Herring wrote:
       | The problem with these threads is everyone wants to complain
       | about Trump, but support drops drastically when you talk about
       | policies that actually help buffer against the far-right. Eg
       | implementing robust safety nets and low inequality, to reduce
       | status anxiety and grievance. How many of you software engineers
       | want to sign up for high taxes? It's basically tragedy of the
       | commons.
       | 
       | Economics on its own is probably not sufficient either. You
       | probably also need widespread unionization, a _Cordon Sanitaire_
       | , and probably German-style intelligence surveillance of the far-
       | right too.
        
         | yodon wrote:
         | This isn't a taxes issue. The assault on higher education and
         | the sciences by this administration is inseparable from the
         | assault on minorities and free speech. This is the
         | authoritarian playbook 101. Mao went as far as locking up all
         | the PhD's and sending them to work camps.
         | 
         | Not taxes. Authoritarianism.
        
           | Herring wrote:
           | Yes it's a taxes issue, because that's how you pay for
           | European-style safety nets. And again that's probably not
           | enough either, cause Denmark/Netherlands are having issues
           | with housing causing the far-right to surge. So you probably
           | need Vienna-style public housing too. The US is so far from
           | the correct solutions you're not even on the same planet.
        
             | munificent wrote:
             | This has nothing to do with funding.
             | 
             | The US is spending $892.6 billion on the military, $11.3B
             | on ICE, and planning to spend $400 million building a
             | _fucking ballroom_.
             | 
             | It's about authoritarianism.
        
               | Herring wrote:
               | I want you to go to your favorite frontier LLM and ask
               | how much it would cost the US to implement Vienna-style
               | public housing. Figure in paying off current homeowners
               | to get their support. Restrict it to major cities where
               | housing is the worst, just to make it easier. I bet you
               | it's well over $10T long-term. Iraq was $2-3T long term. 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_
               | War
        
               | RealityVoid wrote:
               | You know what? I'll bite. I just went to Gemini and asked
               | this and the answer was between 2.5 and 5 trillion. So
               | less than 2 Iraq wars. Deff a tractable problem if so.
        
               | karmakurtisaani wrote:
               | A word of warning: the US government will read this and
               | figure out the solution is another Iraq war.
        
         | relaxing wrote:
         | You're right to be thinking of second- and third-order
         | solutions to these problems, which unfortunately the commenters
         | in these threads aren't prepared to engage with.
         | 
         | But the "economic anxiety" angle is well debunked at this
         | point. Grievance, stoked by the right wing takeover of the
         | media, is the answer. And we'll need to go a lot further along
         | the vector of solutions you've started down to fix that.
        
       | tehjoker wrote:
       | These are the wages of nationalism. A stupid but powerfully
       | attractive idea.
        
       | aw124 wrote:
       | And this is only the beginning. Once the U.S. fully transforms
       | into a China-like totalitarian state, complete with a social
       | rating system and cameras for automatic payments everywhere, we
       | will witness the collapse of educational institutions, the
       | downfall of innovative companies, and an inability to address
       | external multi-trillion dollar debt.
        
         | mekdoonggi wrote:
         | China-like is too complimentary to the intelligence of US
         | leadership at the moment.
        
       | awacs wrote:
       | Are we great yet?
        
       | tsoukase wrote:
       | Scientists of >=PhD level sacrifice their lifetime to a low-
       | profit goal. They could very well be occupied in the industry and
       | earn millions (granted not all of them) with their talent.
       | Instead they demand and enjoy social respect and at the moment
       | Europe respects them more than the USA.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2026-01-27 23:01 UTC)