[HN Gopher] GPTZero finds 100 new hallucinations in NeurIPS 2025...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       GPTZero finds 100 new hallucinations in NeurIPS 2025 accepted
       papers
        
       Author : segmenta
       Score  : 624 points
       Date   : 2026-01-22 15:20 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (gptzero.me)
 (TXT) w3m dump (gptzero.me)
        
       | cogman10 wrote:
       | Yuck, this is going to really harm scientific research.
       | 
       | There is already a problem with papers falsifying
       | data/samples/etc, LLMs being able to put out plausible papers is
       | just going to make it worse.
       | 
       | On the bright side, maybe this will get the scientific community
       | and science journalists to finally take reproducibility more
       | seriously. I'd love to see future reporting that instead of
       | saying "Research finds amazing chemical x which does y" you see
       | "Researcher reproduces amazing results for chemical x which does
       | y. First discovered by z".
        
         | godzillabrennus wrote:
         | Have they solved the issue where papers that cite research
         | already invalidated are still being cited?
        
           | cogman10 wrote:
           | AFAIK, no, but I could see there being cause to push
           | citations to also cite the validations. It'd be good if
           | standard practice turned into something like
           | 
           | Paper A, by bob, bill, brad. Validated by Paper B by carol,
           | clare, charlotte.
           | 
           | or
           | 
           | Paper A, by bob, bill, brad. Unvalidated.
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | Academics typically use citation count and popularity as a
             | rough proxy for validation. It's certainly not perfect, but
             | it is something that people think about. Semantic Scholar
             | in particular is doing great work in this area, making it
             | easy to see who cites who: https://www.semanticscholar.org/
             | 
             | Google Scholar's PDF reader extension turns every
             | hyperlinked citation into a popout card that shows citation
             | counts inline in the PDF:
             | https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/google-scholar-
             | pdf-...
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | That is a factor most people miss when thinking about the
               | replication crisis. For the harder physical sciences a
               | wrong paper will fairly quickly be found because as
               | people go to expand on the ideas/use that data and get
               | results that don't match the model informed by paper X
               | they're going to eventually figure out that X is wrong.
               | There might be issues with getting incentives to write
               | and publish that negative result but each paper where the
               | results of a previous paper are actually used in the new
               | paper is a form of replication.
        
           | reliabilityguy wrote:
           | Nope.
           | 
           | I am still reviewing papers that propose solutions based on a
           | technique X, conveniently ignoring research from two years
           | ago that shows that X cannot be used on its own. Both the
           | paper I reviewed and the research showing X cannot be used
           | are in the same venue!
        
             | b00ty4breakfast wrote:
             | does it seem to be legitimate ignorance or maybe folks
             | pushing ahead regardless of x being disproved?
        
               | freedomben wrote:
               | IMHO, It's mostly ignorance coming a push/drive to
               | "publish or perish." When the stakes are so high and
               | output is so valued, and when reproducability isn't
               | required, it disincentivizes thorough work. The system is
               | set up in a way that is making it fail.
               | 
               | There is also the reality that "one paper" or "one study"
               | can be found contradicted almost anything, so if you just
               | went with "some other paper/study debunks my premise"
               | then you'd end up producing nothing. Plus many inside
               | know that there's a lot of slop out there that gets
               | published, so they can (sometimes reasonably IMHO)
               | dismiss that "one paper" even when they do know about it.
               | 
               | It's (mostly) not fraud or malicious intent or ignorance,
               | it's (mostly) humans existing in the system in which they
               | must live.
        
               | reliabilityguy wrote:
               | Poor scholarship.
               | 
               | However, given the feedback by other reviewers, I was the
               | only one who knew that X doesn't work. I am not sure how
               | these people mark themselves as "experts" in the field if
               | they are not following the literature themselves.
        
         | f311a wrote:
         | For ML/AI/Comp sci articles, providing reproducible code is a
         | great option. Basically, PoC or GTFO.
        
           | StableAlkyne wrote:
           | The most annoying ones are those which discuss loosely the
           | methodology but then fail to publish the weights or any real
           | algorithms.
           | 
           | It's like buying a piece of furniture from IKEA, except you
           | just get an Allen key, a hint at what parts to buy, and
           | blurry instructions.
        
         | j45 wrote:
         | It will better expose the behaviour of false scientists.
        
         | StableAlkyne wrote:
         | > I'd love to see future reporting that instead of saying
         | "Research finds amazing chemical x which does y" you see
         | "Researcher reproduces amazing results for chemical x which
         | does y. First discovered by z".
         | 
         | Most people (that I talk to, at least) in science agree that
         | there's a reproducibility crisis. The challenge is there really
         | isn't a good way to incentivize that work.
         | 
         | Fundamentally (unless you're independent wealthy and funding
         | your own work), you have to measure productivity _somehow,_
         | whether you 're at a university, government lab, or the private
         | sector. That turns out to be very hard to do.
         | 
         | If you measure raw number of papers (more common in developing
         | countries and low-tier universities), you incentivize a flood
         | of junk. Some of it is good, but there is such a tidal wave of
         | shit that most people write off your work as a heuristic based
         | on the other people in your cohort.
         | 
         | So, instead it's more common to try to incorporate how "good" a
         | paper is, to reward people with a high quantity of "good"
         | papers. That's quantifying something subjective though, so you
         | might try to use something like citation count as a proxy: if a
         | work is impactful, usually it gets cited a lot. Eventually you
         | may arrive at something like the H-index, which is defined as
         | "The highest number H you can pick, where H is the number of
         | papers you have written with H citations." Now, the trouble
         | with this method is people won't want to "waste" their time on
         | incremental work.
         | 
         | And that's the struggle here; even if we funded and rewarded
         | people for reproducing results, they will always be bumping up
         | the citation count of the original discoverer. But it's worse
         | than that, because literally nobody is going to cite your work.
         | In 10 years, they just see the original paper, a few citing
         | works reproducing it, and to save time they'll just cite the
         | original paper only.
         | 
         | There's clearly a problem with how we incentivize scientific
         | work. And clearly we want to be in a world where people test
         | reproducibility. However, it's very very hard to get there when
         | one's prestige and livelihood is directly tied to discovery
         | rather than reproducibility.
        
           | warkdarrior wrote:
           | > If you measure raw number of papers (more common in
           | developing countries and low-tier universities), you
           | incentivize a flood of junk.
           | 
           | This is exactly what rewarding replication papers (that
           | reproduce and confirm an existing paper) will lead to.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | And yet if we can't reproduce an existing paper, it's very
             | possible that existing paper is junk itself.
             | 
             | Catch-22 is a fun game to get caught in.
        
           | maerF0x0 wrote:
           | > The challenge is there really isn't a good way to
           | incentivize that work.
           | 
           | What if we got Undergrads (with hope of graduate studies) to
           | do it? Could be a great way to train them on the skills
           | required for research without the pressure of it also being
           | novel?
        
             | StableAlkyne wrote:
             | Those undergrads still need to be advised and they use lab
             | resources.
             | 
             | If you're a tenure-track academic, your livelihood is much
             | safer from having them try new ideas (that you will be the
             | corresponding author on, increasing your prestige and
             | ability to procure funding) instead of incrementing.
             | 
             | And if you already have tenure, maybe you have the
             | undergrad do just that. But the tenure process heavily
             | filters for ambitious researchers, so it's unlikely this
             | would be a priority.
             | 
             | If instead you did it as coursework, you could get them to
             | maybe reproduce the work, but if you only have the students
             | for a semester, that's not enough time to write up the
             | paper and make it through peer review (which can take
             | months between iterations)
        
             | suddenlybananas wrote:
             | Unfortunately, that might just lead to a bunch of type II
             | errors instead, if an effect requires very precise
             | experimental conditions that undergrads lack the expertise
             | for.
        
               | retsibsi wrote:
               | Could it be useful as a first line of defence? A failed
               | initial reproduction would not be seen as disqualifying,
               | but it would bring the paper to the attention of more
               | senior people who could try to reproduce it themselves.
               | (Maybe they still wouldn't bother, but hopefully they'd
               | at least be more likely to.)
        
             | rtkwe wrote:
             | Most interesting results are not so simple to recreate that
             | would could reliably expect undergrads to do perform the
             | replication even if we ignore the cost of the equipment and
             | consumables that replication would need and the
             | time/supervision required to walk them through the process.
        
           | jimbokun wrote:
           | > The challenge is there really isn't a good way to
           | incentivize that work.
           | 
           | Ban publication of any research that hasn't been reproduced.
        
             | wpollock wrote:
             | > Ban publication of any research that hasn't been
             | reproduced.
             | 
             | Unless it is published, nobody will know about it and thus
             | nobody will try to reproduce it.
        
               | sroussey wrote:
               | Just have a new journal of only papers that have been
               | reproduced, and include the reproduction papers.
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | lol, how would the first paper carrying some new discovery
             | get published?
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | If we did that, CERN could not publish, because nobody else
             | has the capabilities they do. Do we really want to punish
             | CERN (which has a good track record of scientific
             | integrity) because their work can't be reproduced? I think
             | the model in many of these cases is that the lab publishing
             | has to allow some number of postdocs or competitor labs to
             | come to their lab and work on reproducing it in-house with
             | the same reagents (biological experiments are remarkably
             | fragile).
        
           | poulpy123 wrote:
           | > I'd love to see future reporting that instead of saying
           | "Research finds amazing chemical x which does y" you see
           | "Researcher reproduces amazing results for chemical x which
           | does y. First discovered by z".
           | 
           | But nobody want to pay for it
        
           | geokon wrote:
           | usually you reproduce previous research as a byproduct of
           | doing something novel "on top" of the previous result. I dont
           | really see the problem with the current setup.
           | 
           | sometimes you can just do something new and assume the
           | previous result, but thats more the exception. youre almost
           | always going to at least in part reproducr the previous one.
           | and if issues come up, its often evident.
           | 
           | thats why citations work as a good proxy. X number of people
           | have done work based around this finding and nobody has seen
           | a clear problem
           | 
           | theres a problem of people fabricating and fudging data and
           | not making their raw data available ("on request" or with not
           | enough meta data to be useful) which wastes everyones time
           | and almost never leads to negative consequences for the
           | authors
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | It's often quite common to see a citation say "BTW, we
             | weren't able to reproduce X's numbers, but we got fairly
             | close number Y, so Table 1 includes that one next to an
             | asterisk."
             | 
             | The difficult part is surfacing that information to readers
             | of the original paper. The semantic scholar people are
             | beginning to do some work in this area.
        
               | geokon wrote:
               | yeah thats a good point. the citation might actually be
               | pointing out a problem and not be a point in favor. its a
               | slog to figure out... but seems like the exact type of
               | problem an LLM could handle
               | 
               | give it a published paper and it runs through papers that
               | have cited it and give you an evaluation
        
           | gcr wrote:
           | I'd personally like to see top conferences grow a
           | "reproducibility" track. Each submission would be a short
           | tech report that chooses some other paper to re-implement.
           | Cap 'em at three pages, have a lightweight review process.
           | Maybe there could be artifacts (git repositories, etc) that
           | accompany each submission.
           | 
           | This would especially help newer grad students learn how to
           | begin to do this sort of research.
           | 
           | Maybe doing enough reproductions could unlock incentives.
           | Like if you do 5 reproductions than the AC would assign your
           | next paper double the reviewers. Or, more invasively, maybe
           | you can't submit to the conference until you complete some
           | reproduction.
        
             | azan_ wrote:
             | The problem is that reproducing something is really, really
             | hard! Even if something doesn't reproduce in one
             | experiment, it might be due to slight changes in some
             | variables we don't even think about. There are some ways to
             | circumvent it (e.g. team that's being reproduced
             | cooperating with reproducing team and agreeing on what
             | variables are important for the experiemnt and which are
             | not), but it's really hard. The solutions you propose will
             | unfortunately incentivize bad reproductions and we might
             | reject theories that are actually true because of that. I
             | think that one of the best way to fight the crisis is to
             | actually improve quality of science - articles where
             | authors reject to share their data should be automatically
             | rejected. We should also move towards requiring
             | preregistration with strict protocols for almost all
             | studies.
        
               | AnIrishDuck wrote:
               | Yeah, this feels like another reincarnation of the
               | ancient "who watches the watchmen?" problem [1]. Time and
               | time again we see that the incentives _really really_
               | matter when facing this problem; subtle changes can
               | produce entirely new problems.
               | 
               | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quis_custodiet_ipsos_cus
               | todes%...
        
               | gcr wrote:
               | That's fine! The tech report should talk about what the
               | researchers tried and what didn't work. I think
               | submissions to the reproducibility track shouldn't
               | necessarily have to be positive to be accepted, and
               | conversely, I don't think the presence of a negative
               | reproduction should necessarily impact an author's career
               | negatively.
        
               | gowld wrote:
               | Every time some easy "Reproducibility is hard / not worth
               | the effort" I hear "The original research wasn't
               | meaningful or valuable".
        
               | azan_ wrote:
               | And that's true! It doesn't make sense to spend a lot of
               | resources on reproducing things when there is low hanging
               | fruit of just requiring better research in the first
               | place.
        
             | dataflow wrote:
             | Is it time for some sort of alternate degree to a PhD
             | beyond a Master's? Showing, essentially, "this person can
             | learn, implement, validate, and analyze the state of the
             | art in this field"?
        
               | gogopromptless wrote:
               | Thats what we call a Staff level engineer. Proven ability
               | to learn, implement and validate is basically the "it
               | factor" businesses are looking for.
               | 
               | If you are thinking about this from an academic angle
               | then sure its sounds weird to say "Two Staff jobs in a
               | row from the University of LinkedIn" as a degree. But I
               | submit this as basically the certificate you desire.
        
               | dataflow wrote:
               | No, this is not at all being a staff engineer. One is
               | about delivering high-impact projects toward a business's
               | needs, with all the soft/political things that involves,
               | and the other is about implementing and validating
               | cutting-edge research, with all the deep academic and
               | technical knowledge and work that that involves. They're
               | incredibly different skillsets, and many people doing one
               | would easily fail in the other.
        
               | gcr wrote:
               | That sounds precisely like the function of a Ph.D. to me.
        
               | dataflow wrote:
               | A PhD is for making new contributions to a field, not
               | validating existing ones.
        
           | MetaWhirledPeas wrote:
           | > Eventually you may arrive at something like the H-index,
           | which is defined as "The highest number H you can pick, where
           | H is the number of papers you have written with H citations."
           | 
           | It's the Google search algorithm all over again. And it's the
           | certificate trust hierarchy all over again. We keep working
           | on the same problems.
           | 
           | Like the two cases I mentioned, this is a matter of making
           | adjustments until you have the desired result. Never perfect,
           | always improving (well, we hope). This means we need
           | liquidity with the rules and heuristics. How do we best get
           | that?
        
             | sroussey wrote:
             | Incentives.
             | 
             | First X people that reproduce Y get Z percent of patent
             | revenue.
             | 
             | Or something similar.
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | I'm delighted to inform you that I have reproduced every
               | patent-worthy finding of every major research group
               | active in my field in the past 10 years. You can check my
               | data, which is exactly as theory predicts (subject to
               | some noise consistent with experimental error). I accept
               | payment in cash.
        
               | jltsiren wrote:
               | Patent revenue is mostly irrelevant, as it's too
               | unpredictable and typically decades in the future.
               | Academics rarely do research that can be expected to
               | produce economic value in the next 10-20 years, because
               | the industry can easily outspend the academia in such
               | topics.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | Most papers generate zero patent revenue or even lead to
               | patents at all. For major drugs maybe that works but we
               | already have clinical trials before the drug goes to
               | market that validate the efficacy of the drugs.
        
           | graemep wrote:
           | > you have to measure productivity somehow,
           | 
           | No, you do not have to. You give people with the skills and
           | interest in doing research the money. You need to ensure its
           | spent correctly, that is all. People will be motivated by
           | wanting to build a reputation and the intrinsic reward of the
           | work
        
           | soiltype wrote:
           | That feels arbitrary as a measure of quality. Why isn't new
           | research simply devalued and replication valued higher?
           | 
           | "Dr Alice failed to reproduce 20 would-be headline-grabbing
           | papers, preventing them from sucking all the air out of the
           | room in cancer research" is something laudable, but we're not
           | lauding it.
        
         | agumonkey wrote:
         | I think, at least I hope, that a part of the LLM value will be
         | to create their retirement for specific needs. Instead of
         | asking it to solve any problem, restrict the space to a tool
         | that can help you then reach your goal faster without the
         | statistical nature of LLMs.
        
         | mike_hearn wrote:
         | Reproducibility is overrated and if you could wave a wand to
         | make all papers reproducible tomorrow, it wouldn't fix the
         | problem. It might even make it worse.
         | 
         | https://blog.plan99.net/replication-studies-cant-fix-science...
        
           | biophysboy wrote:
           | ? More samples reduces the variance of a statistic. Obviously
           | it cannot identify systematic bias in a model, or establish
           | causality, or make a "bad" question "good". Its not overrated
           | though -- it would strengthen or weaken the case for many
           | papers.
        
             | mike_hearn wrote:
             | If you have a strong grip on exactly what it means, sure,
             | but look at any HN thread on the topic of fraud in science.
             | People think replication = validity because it's been
             | described as the replication crisis for the last 15 years.
             | And that's the best case!
             | 
             | Funding replication studies in the current environment
             | would just lead to lots of invalid papers being promoted as
             | "fully replicated" and people would be fooled even harder
             | than they already are. There's got to be a fix for the
             | underlying quality issues before replication becomes the
             | next best thing to do.
        
               | doctorpangloss wrote:
               | while i agree that "reproducibility is overrated", i went
               | ahead and read your medium post. my feedback to you is,
               | my summary of that writing: "mike_hearn's take on policy-
               | adjacent writing conducted by public health officials and
               | published in journals that interacted with mike_hearn's
               | valid and common but nonetheless subjective political
               | dispute about COVID-19."
               | 
               | i don't know how any of that writing generalizes to other
               | parts of academic research. i mean, i know that you say
               | it does, but i don't think it does. what exactly do you
               | think most academic research institutions and the federal
               | government spend money on? for example, wet lab research.
               | you don't know anything about wet lab research. i think
               | if you took a look at a typical e.g. basic science in
               | immunology paper, built on top of mouse models, you would
               | literally lose track of any of its meaning after the
               | first paragraph, you would feed it into chatgpt, and you
               | would struggle to understand the topic well enough to
               | read another immunology paper, you would have an immense
               | challenge talking about it with a researcher in the
               | field. it would take weeks of reading. you have no
               | medicine background, so you wouldn't understand the long
               | horizon context of any of it. you wouldn't be able to
               | "chatbot" your way into it, it would be a real education.
               | so after all of that, would you still be able to write
               | the conclusion you wrote in the medium post? i don't
               | think so, because you would see that by many measures,
               | you _cannot_ generalize a froo-froo policy between
               | "subjective political dispute about COVID-19" writing and
               | wet lab research. you'd gain the wisdom to see that
               | they're different things, and you lack the background,
               | and you'd be much more narrow in what you'd say.
               | 
               | it doesn't even have to be in the particulars, it's just
               | about wisdom. that is my feedback. you are at once saying
               | that there is greater wisdom to be had in the
               | organization and conduct of research, and then, you go
               | and make the highly low wisdom move to generalize about
               | _all_ academic research. which you are obviously doing
               | not because it makes sense to, you 're a smart guy. but
               | because you have some unknown beef with "academics" that
               | stems from anger about valid, common but nonetheless
               | subjective political disputes about COVID-19.
        
               | mike_hearn wrote:
               | Thanks for reading it, or scan reading it maybe. Of the
               | 18 papers discussed in the essay here's what they're
               | about in order:
               | 
               | - Alzheimers
               | 
               | - Cancer
               | 
               | - Alzheimers
               | 
               | - Skin lesions (first paper discussed in the linked blog
               | post)
               | 
               | - Epidemiology (COVID)
               | 
               | - Epidemiology (COVID, foot and mouth disease, Zika)
               | 
               | - Misinformation/bot studies
               | 
               | - More misinformation/bot studies
               | 
               | - Archaeology/history
               | 
               | - PCR testing (in general, discussion opens with testing
               | of whooping cough)
               | 
               | - Psychology, twice (assuming you count "men would like
               | to be more muscular" as a psych claim)
               | 
               | - Misinformation studies
               | 
               | - COVID (the highlighted errors in the paper are
               | objective, not subjective)
               | 
               | - COVID (the highlighted errors are software bugs, i.e.
               | objective)
               | 
               | - COVID (a fake replication report that didn't
               | successfully replicate anything)
               | 
               | - Public health (from 2010)
               | 
               | - Social science
               | 
               | Your summary of this as being about a "valid and common
               | but subjective political dispute" I don't agree is
               | accurate. There's no politics involved in any of these
               | discussions or problems, just bad science.
               | 
               | Immunology has the same issues as most other medical
               | fields. Sure, there's _also_ fraud that requires
               | genuinely deep expertise to find, but there 's plenty
               | that doesn't. Here's a random immunology paper from a few
               | days ago identified as having image duplications,
               | Photoshopping of western blots, numerous irrelevant
               | citations and weird sentence breaks all suggestive that
               | the paper might have been entirely faked or at least
               | partly generated by AI: https://pubpeer.com/publications/
               | FE6C57F66429DE2A9B88FD245DD...
               | 
               | The authors reply, claiming the problems are just rank
               | incompetence, and each time someone finds yet another
               | problem with the paper leading to yet another apology and
               | proclamation of incompetence. It's just another day on
               | PubPeer, nothing special about this paper. I plucked it
               | off the front page. Zero wet lab experience is needed to
               | understand why the exact same image being presented as
               | two different things in two different papers is a
               | problem.
               | 
               | And as for other fields, they're often extremely shallow.
               | I actually am an expert in bot detection but that doesn't
               | help at all in detecting validity errors in social
               | science papers, because they do things like define a bot
               | as anyone who tweets five times after midnight from a
               | smartphone. A 10 year old could notice that this isn't
               | true.
        
               | doctorpangloss wrote:
               | it only takes one drop of talking about COVID to make it
               | about politics haha
        
               | biophysboy wrote:
               | > look at any HN thread on the topic of fraud in science.
               | 
               | HN is very tedious/lazy when it comes to science
               | criticism -- very much agree with you on this.
               | 
               | My only point is replication is necessary to establish
               | validity, _even if_ it is not sufficient. Whether it
               | gives a scientist a false sense of security doesn 't
               | change the math of sampling.
               | 
               | I also agree with you on quality issues. I think
               | alternative investment strategies (other than project
               | grants) would be a useful step for reducing perverse
               | incentives, for example. But there's a lot of things
               | science could do.
        
         | vld_chk wrote:
         | In my mental model, the fundamental problem of reproducibility
         | is that scientists have very hard time to find a penny to fund
         | such research. No one wants to grant "hey I need $1m and 2
         | years to validate the paper from last year which looks
         | suspicious".
         | 
         | Until we can change how we fund science on the fundamental
         | level; how we assign grants -- it will be indeed very hard
         | problem to deal with.
        
           | parpfish wrote:
           | In theory, asking grad students and early career folks to run
           | replications would be a great training tool.
           | 
           | But the problem isn't just funding, it's time. Successfully
           | running a replication doesn't get you a publication to help
           | your career.
        
             | iugtmkbdfil834 wrote:
             | Yeah, but doesn't publishing an easily falsifiable paper
             | end one?
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | Not in most fields, unless misconduct is evident. (And
               | what constitutes "misconduct" is cultural: if you have
               | enough influence in a community, you can exert that
               | influence on exactly where that definitional border
               | lies.) Being wrong is not, and _should not be_ , a
               | career-ending move.
        
               | iugtmkbdfil834 wrote:
               | If we are aiming for quality, then being wrong absolutely
               | should be. I would argue that is how it works in real
               | life anyway. What we quibble over is what is the
               | appropriate cutoff.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | There's a big gulf between being wrong because you or a
               | collaborator missed an uncontrolled confounding factor
               | and falsifying or altering results. Science accepts that
               | people sometimes make mistakes in their work because a)
               | they can also be expected to miss something eventually
               | and b) a lot of work is done by people in training in
               | labs you're not directly in control of (collaborators).
               | They already aim for quality and if you're consistently
               | shown to be sloppy or incorrect when people try to use
               | your work in their own.
               | 
               | The final bit is a thing I think most people miss when
               | they think about replication. A lot of papers don't get
               | replicated directly but their measurements do when other
               | researchers try to use that data to perform their own
               | experiments, at least in the more physical sciences this
               | gets tougher the more human centric the research is. You
               | can't fake or be wrong for long when you're writing
               | papers about the properties of compounds and molecules.
               | Someone is going to come try to base some new idea off
               | your data and find out you're wrong when their experiment
               | doesn't work. (or spend months trying to figure out
               | what's wrong and finally double check the original data).
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | In fields like psychology, though, you can be wrong for
               | _decades_. If your result is foundational enough, and
               | other people have  "replicated" it, then most researchers
               | will toss out contradictory evidence as "guess those
               | people were an unrepresentative sample". This can be
               | extremely harmful when, for instance, the prevailing view
               | is "this demographic are just perverts" or "most humans
               | are selfish thieves at heart, held back by perceived
               | social consensus" - both examples where researcher
               | misconduct elevated baseless speculation to the position
               | of "prevailing understanding", which led to bad policy,
               | which had devastating impacts on people's lives.
               | 
               | (People are better about this _in psychology_ , now:
               | schoolchildren are taught about some of the more
               | egregious cases, even before university, and individual
               | researchers are much more willing to take a sceptical
               | view of certain suspect classes of "prevailing
               | understanding". The fact that even I, a non-psychologist,
               | know about this, is good news. But what of the fields
               | whose practitioners _don 't_ know they have this
               | problem?)
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | Yeah like I said the soft validation by subsequent papers
               | is more true in more baseline physical sciences because
               | it involves fewer uncontrollable variables. That's why I
               | mentioned 'hard' sciences in my post, messy humans are
               | messy and make science waaay harder.
        
               | parpfish wrote:
               | But the thing is... nobody is doing the replication to
               | falsify it. And if the did, it wouldn't be published
               | because it's a null result
        
               | bnchrch wrote:
               | One, it doesnt damage your reputation as much as one
               | would think.
               | 
               | But two, and more importantly, no one is checking.
               | 
               | Tree falls in the forest, no one hears, yadi-yada.
        
               | iugtmkbdfil834 wrote:
               | << no one is checking.
               | 
               | I think this is the big part of it. There is no incentive
               | to do it even when the study can be reproduced.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | Here's a work from last year which was plagiarized. The
               | rare thing about this work is it was submitted to ICLR,
               | which opened reviews for both rejected and accepted
               | works.
               | 
               | You'll notice you can click on author names and you'll
               | get links to their various scholar pages but notably
               | DBLP, which makes it easy to see how frequently authors
               | publish with other specific authors.
               | 
               | Some of those authors have very high citation counts...
               | in the thousands, with 3 having over 5k each (one with
               | over 18k).
               | 
               | https://openreview.net/forum?id=cIKQp84vqN
        
               | Telaneo wrote:
               | Not really, since nobody (for values of) ends up actually
               | falsifying it, and if they do, it's years down the line.
        
               | m-schuetz wrote:
               | The vast majority of papers is so insignifcant, nobody
               | bothers to try and use and thereby replicate it.
        
             | goalieca wrote:
             | Grad students don't get to publish a thesis on
             | reproduction. Everyone from the undergraduate research
             | assistant to the tenured professor with research chairs are
             | hyper focused on "publishing" as much "positive result" on
             | "novel" work as possible
        
               | Kinrany wrote:
               | Publishing a replication could be a prerequisite to
               | getting the degree
               | 
               | The question is, how can universities coordinate to add
               | this requirement and gain status from it
        
               | ihaveajob wrote:
               | I think Arxiv and similar could contribute positively by
               | listing replications/falsifications, with credit to the
               | validating authors. That would be enough of an incentive
               | for aspiring researchers to start making a dent.
        
               | bonoboTP wrote:
               | Prerequisite required by who, and why is that entity
               | motivated to design such a requirement? Universities also
               | want more novel breakthrough papers to boast about and to
               | outshine other universities in the rankings. And if one
               | is honest, other researchers also get more excited about
               | new ideas than a failed replication that may for a
               | thousand different reasons and the original authors will
               | argue you did something wrong, or evaluated in an unfair
               | way, and generally publicly accusing other researchers of
               | doing bad work won't help your career much. It's a small
               | world, you'd be making enemies with people who will sit
               | on your funding evaluation committees, hiring committees
               | and it just generally leads to drama. Also papers are
               | superseded so fast that people don't even care that a no
               | longer state of the art paper may have been wrong. There
               | are 5 newer ones that perform better and nobody uses the
               | old one. I'm just stating how things actually are, I
               | don't say that this is good, but when you say something
               | "should" happen, think about who exactly is motivated to
               | drive such a change.
        
               | derektank wrote:
               | > Prerequisite required by who, and why is that entity
               | motivated to design such a requirement?
               | 
               | Grant awarding institutions like the NIH and NSF
               | presumably? The NSF has as one of its functions, "to
               | develop and encourage the pursuit of a national policy
               | for the promotion of basic research and education in the
               | sciences". Encouraging the replication of research as
               | part of graduate degree curricula seems to fall within
               | bounds. And the government's interest in science isn't
               | novelty per se, it's the creation and dissemination of
               | factually correct information that can be useful to its
               | constituents.
        
               | bonoboTP wrote:
               | The commenter I was replying to wanted it to be a
               | prerequisite for a degree, not for a grant. Grant
               | awarding institutions also have to justify their spending
               | to other parts of government and/or parliament
               | (specifically, politicians). Both politicians and the
               | public want to see breakthrough results that have the
               | potential to cure cancer and whatnot. They want to boast
               | that their funding contributed to winning some big-name
               | prize and so on. You have to think with the mind of
               | specific people in specific positions and what makes them
               | look good, what gets them praise, promotions and friends.
               | 
               | > And the government's interest in science isn't novelty
               | per se, it's the creation and dissemination of factually
               | correct information that can be useful to its
               | constituents.
               | 
               | This sounds very naive.
        
               | soiltype wrote:
               | But that seems almost trivially solved. In software it's
               | common to value independent verification - e.g. code
               | review. Someone who is only focused on writing new code
               | instead of careful testing, refactoring, or peer review
               | is widely viewed as a shitty developer by their peers. Of
               | course there's management to consider and that's where
               | incentives are skewed, but we're talking about a
               | different structure. Why wouldn't the following work?
               | 
               | A single university or even department could make this
               | change - reproduction is the important work, reproduction
               | is what earns a PhD. Or require some split, 20-50% novel
               | work maybe is also expected. Now the incentives are
               | changed. Potentially, this university develops a
               | reputation for reliable research. Others may follow suit.
               | 
               | Presumably, there's a step in this process where money
               | incentivizes the opposite of my suggestion, and I'm not
               | familiar with the process to know which.
               | 
               | Is it the university itself which will be starved of
               | resources if it's not pumping out novel (yet
               | unreproducible) research?
        
               | worik wrote:
               | > In software it's common to value independent
               | verification - e.g. code review. Someone who is only
               | focused on writing new code instead of careful testing,
               | refactoring, or peer review is widely viewed as a shitty
               | developer by their peers.
               | 
               | That is good practice
               | 
               | It is rare, not common. Managers and funders pay for
               | features
               | 
               | Unreliable insecure software sells very well, so making
               | reliable secure software is a "waste of money", generally
        
               | DSMan195276 wrote:
               | > Presumably, there's a step in this process where money
               | incentivizes the opposite of my suggestion, and I'm not
               | familiar with the process to know which.
               | 
               | > Is it the university itself which will be starved of
               | resources if it's not pumping out novel (yet
               | unreproducible) research?
               | 
               | Researchers apply for grants to fund their research, the
               | university is generally not paying for it and instead
               | they receive a cut of the grant money if it is awarded
               | (IE. The grant covers the costs to the university for
               | providing the facilities to do the research). If a
               | researcher could get funding to reproduce a result then
               | they could absolutely do it, but that's not what funds
               | are usually being handed out for.
        
               | bonoboTP wrote:
               | Universities are not really motivated to slow down the
               | research careers of their employees, on the contrary.
               | They are very much interested in their employees making
               | novel, highly cited publications and bringing in grants
               | that those publications can lead to.
        
             | coryrc wrote:
             | Enough people will falsify the replication and pocket the
             | money, taking you back to where you were in the first place
             | and poorer for it. The loss of trust is an existential
             | problem for the USA.
        
             | eks-reigh wrote:
             | You may well know this, but I get the sense that it isn't
             | necessarily common knowledge, so I want to spell it out
             | anyway:
             | 
             | In a lot of cases, the salary for a grad student or tech is
             | small potatoes next to the cost of the consumables they use
             | in their work.
             | 
             | For example,I work for a lab that does a lot of sequencing,
             | and if we're busy one tech can use 10k worth of reagents in
             | a week.
        
               | bonoboTP wrote:
               | We are on the comment section about an AI conference and
               | up until the last few years material/hardware costs for
               | computer science research was very cheap compare to other
               | sciences like medicine, biology etc. where they use
               | bespoke instruments and materials. In CS, up until very
               | recently, all you needed was a good consumer PC for each
               | grad student that lasted for many years. Nowadays GPU
               | clusters are more needed but funding is generally not
               | keeping up with that, so even good university labs are
               | way underresourced on this front.
        
             | rtkwe wrote:
             | That.. still requires funding. Even if your lab happens to
             | have all the equipment required to replicate you're paying
             | the grad student for their time spent on replicating this
             | paper and you'll need to buy some supplies; chemicals,
             | animal subjects, pay for shared equipment time, etc.
        
             | bandrami wrote:
             | Grad students have this weird habit of eating food and
             | renting places to live, though, so that's also money
        
           | poszlem wrote:
           | I often think we should movefrom peer review as
           | "certification" to peer review as "triage", with replication
           | determining how much trust and downstream weight a result
           | earns over time.
        
             | pas wrote:
             | grants should come with money and requirement for
             | independent reproduction
             | 
             | academia is too fragmented and extremely inefficient
        
           | jghn wrote:
           | Partially. There's also the issue that some sciences, like
           | biology, are a lot messier & less predicatble than people
           | like to believe.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | Funding is definitely a problem, but frankly reproduction is
           | common. If you build off someone else's work (as is the norm)
           | you need to reproduce first.
           | 
           | But without repetition being impactful to your career and the
           | pressure to quickly and constantly push new work, a failure
           | to reproduce is generally considered a reason to move on and
           | tackle a different domain. It takes longer to trace the
           | failure and the bar is higher to counter an existing work.
           | It's much more likely you've made a subtle mistake. It's much
           | more likely the other work had a subtle success. It's much
           | more likely the other work simply wasn't written such that a
           | work could be sufficiently reproduced.
           | 
           | I speak from experience too. I still remember in grad school
           | I was failing to reproduce a work that was the main
           | competitor to the work I had done (I needed to create
           | comparisons). I emailed the author and got no response.
           | Luckily my advisor knew the author's advisor and we got a
           | meeting set up and I got the code. It didn't do what was
           | claimed in the paper and the code structure wasn't what was
           | described either. The result? My work didn't get published
           | and we moved on. The other work was from a top 10 school and
           | the choice was to burn a bridge and put a black mark on my
           | reputation (from someone with far more merit and prestige) or
           | move on.
           | 
           | That type of thing won't change in a reproduction system but
           | needs an open system and open reproduction system as well.
           | Mistakes are common and we shouldn't punish them. The only
           | way to solve these issues is openness
        
             | bandrami wrote:
             | > If you build off someone else's work (as is the norm) you
             | need to reproduce first.
             | 
             | Not if the result you're building off of is a model, you
             | can just assume it
        
           | pas wrote:
           | yes, this should be built-in to grants and publishing
           | 
           | of course the problem is that academia likes to assert its
           | autonomy (and grant orgs are staffed by academia largely)
        
         | benob wrote:
         | Maybe it will also change the whole publication as evaluation
         | of science.
        
         | lxgr wrote:
         | > LLMs being able to put out plausible papers is just going to
         | make it worse
         | 
         | If correct form (LaTeX two-column formatting, quoting the right
         | papers and authors of the year etc.) has been allowing
         | otherwise reject-worthy papers to slip through peer review,
         | academia arguably has bigger problems than LLMs.
        
           | LPisGood wrote:
           | Correct form and relevant citations have been, for
           | generations up to a couple of years ago, mighty strong
           | signals that a work is good and done by a serious and
           | reliable author. This is no longer the case and we are worse
           | off for it.
        
         | CamperBob2 wrote:
         | I'd need to see the same scrutiny applied to pre-AI papers. If
         | a field has a poor replication rate, meaning there's a good
         | chance that a given published paper is just so much junk
         | science, is that better or worse than letting AI hallucinate
         | the data in the first place?
        
         | Sparkyte wrote:
         | If there is one thing which scientific reports must require is
         | not using AI to produce the documentation. They can be of the
         | data but not of the source or anything else. AI is a tool, not
         | a replacement for actual work.
        
         | lallysingh wrote:
         | On the bright side, an LLM can really help set up a
         | reproduction environment.
         | 
         | Perhaps repro should become the basis of peer review?
        
           | mort96 wrote:
           | No, it can't. No LLM can purchase the equipment and chemicals
           | and machinery you need to reproduce experiments, nor should
           | you want it.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | Reading the article, this is about CITATIONS which are
         | trivially verifiable.
         | 
         | This is just article publishers not doing the most basic
         | verification failing to notice that the citations in the
         | article don't exist.
         | 
         | What this should trigger is a black mark for all of the authors
         | and their institutions, both of which should receive
         | significant reputational repercussions for publishing fake
         | information. If they fake the easiest to verify information
         | (does the cited work exist) what else are they faking?
        
         | godelski wrote:
         | > to finally take reproducibility more seriously
         | 
         | I've long argued for this, as reproduction is the cornerstone
         | of science. There's a lot of potential ways to do this but one
         | that I like is linking to the original work. Suppose you're
         | looking at the OpenReview page and they have a link for
         | "reproduction efforts" and with at minimum an annotation for
         | confirmation or failure.
         | 
         | This is incredibly helpful to the community as a whole.
         | Reproduction failures can be incredibly helpful even when the
         | original work has no fraud. In those cases a reprising failure
         | reveals important information about the necessary conditions
         | that the original work relies on.
         | 
         | But honestly, we'll never get this until we drop the entire
         | notion of "novel" or "impact" and "publish or perish". Novel is
         | in the eye of the reviewer and the lower the reviewer's
         | expertise the less novel a work seems (nothing is novel as a
         | high enough level). Impact can almost never be determined a
         | priori, and when it can you already have people chasing those
         | directions because why the fuck would they not? But publish or
         | perish is the biggest sin. It's one of those ideas that looks
         | nice on paper, like you are meaningfully determining who is
         | working hard and who is hardly working. But the truth is that
         | you can't tell without being in the weeds. The real result is
         | that this stifles creativity, novelty, and impact as it forces
         | researchers to chase lower hanging fruit. Things you're certain
         | will work and can get published. It creates a negative feedback
         | loop as we compete: "X publishes 5 papers a year, why can't
         | you?" I've heard these words even when X has far fewer
         | citations (each of my work had "more impact").
         | 
         | Frankly, I believe fraud would dramatically reduce were
         | researchers not risking job security. The fraud is incentivized
         | by the cutthroat system where you're constantly trying to
         | defend your job, your work, and your grants. They'll always be
         | some fraud but (with a few exceptions) researchers aren't
         | rockstar millionaires. It takes a lot of work to get to point
         | where fraud even works, so there's a natural filter.
         | 
         | I have the same advice as Mervin Kelly, former director of Bell
         | Labs:                 How do you manage genius?       You don't
        
         | andai wrote:
         | I heard that most papers in a given field are already not
         | adding any value. (Maybe it depends on the field though.)
         | 
         | There seems to be a rule in every field that "99% of everything
         | is crap." I guess AI adds a few more nines to the end of that.
         | 
         | The gems are lost in a sea of slop.
         | 
         | So I see useless output (e.g. crap on the app store) as having
         | negative value, because it takes up time and space and energy
         | that could have been spent on something good.
         | 
         | My point with all this is that it's not a new problem. It's
         | always been about curation. But curation doesn't scale. It
         | already didn't. I don't know what the answer to that looks
         | like.
        
       | qwertox wrote:
       | It would be great if those scientists who use AI without
       | disclosing it get fucked for life.
        
         | direwolf20 wrote:
         | "scientists" FYI. Making shit up isn't science.
        
         | yesitcan wrote:
         | One fuck seems appropriate.
        
         | oofbey wrote:
         | Harsh sentiment. Pretty soon every knowledge worker will use AI
         | every day. Should people disclose spellcheckers powered by AI?
         | Disclosing is not useful. Being careful in how you use it and
         | checking work is what matters.
        
           | ambicapter wrote:
           | > Should people disclose spellcheckers powered by AI?
           | 
           | Thank you for that perfect example of a strawman argument!
           | No, spellcheckers that use AI is not the main concern behind
           | disclosing the use of AI in generating scientific papers,
           | government reports, or any large block of nonfiction text
           | that you paid for that is supposed to make to sense.
        
           | fisf wrote:
           | People are accountable for the results they produce using AI.
           | So a scientist is responsible for made up sources in their
           | paper, which is plain fraud.
        
             | oofbey wrote:
             | I completely agree. But "disclosing the use of AI" doesn't
             | solve that one bit.
        
               | barbazoo wrote:
               | I don't disclose what keyboard I use to write my code or
               | if I applied spellcheck afterward. The result is 100%
               | theirs.
        
             | eichin wrote:
             | "responsible for made up sources" leads to the hilarious
             | idea that if you cite a paper that doesn't exist, you're
             | now obliged to _write that paper_ (getting it retroactively
             | published might be a challenge though)
        
           | Proziam wrote:
           | False equivalence. This isn't about "using AI" it's about
           | having an AI pretend to do your job.
           | 
           | What people are pissed about is the fact their tax dollars
           | fund fake research. It's just fraud, pure and simple. And
           | fraud should be punished brutally, especially in these cases,
           | because the long tail of negative effects produces enormous
           | damage.
        
             | freedomben wrote:
             | I was originally thinking you were being way too harsh with
             | your "punish criminally" take, but I must admit, you're
             | winning me over. I think we would need to be careful to
             | ensure we never (or realistically, very rarely) convict an
             | innocent person, but this is in many cases outright
             | theft/fraud when someone is making money or being
             | "compensated" for producing work that is fraudulent.
             | 
             | For people who think this is too harsh, just remember we
             | aren't talking about undergrads who cheat on a course paper
             | here. We're talking about people who were given money
             | (often from taxpayers) that committed fraud. This is
             | textbook white collar crime, not some kid being lazy. At a
             | _minimum_ we should be taking all that money back from them
             | and barring them from ever receiving grant money again. In
             | some cases I think fines exceeding the money they received
             | would be appropriate.
        
           | geremiiah wrote:
           | What they are doing is plain cheating the system to get their
           | 3 conference papers so they can get their $150k+ job at
           | FAANG. It's plain cheating with no value.
        
             | barbazoo wrote:
             | People that cheat with AI now probably found ways to cheat
             | before as well.
        
             | shermantanktop wrote:
             | Cheating by people in high status positions should get the
             | hammer. But it gets the hand-wringing what-have-we-come-to
             | treatment instead.
        
             | WarmWash wrote:
             | We are only looking at one side of the equation here, in
             | this whole thread.
             | 
             | This feels a bit like the "LED stoplights shouldn't be used
             | because they don't melt snow" argument.
        
               | mikkupikku wrote:
               | Confront the culprit and ask for their side; you'll just
               | get some sob story about how busy they are and how they
               | were only using the AI to check their grammar and they
               | just don't know how the whole thing ended up
               | fabricated... Waste of time. Just blacklist these people,
               | they're no better than any other scammer.
        
             | Der_Einzige wrote:
             | Rookie numbers. After NeurIPS main conference, you're dumb
             | not to ask for 300K YOY. I watched IBM pay that amount
             | prorated to an intern with a single first author NeurIPS
             | publication.
        
           | vimda wrote:
           | "Pretty soon every knowledge worker will use AI every day" is
           | a wild statement considering the reporting that most
           | companies deploying AI solutions are seeing little to no
           | benefit, but also, there's a pretty obvious gap between spell
           | checkers and tools that generate large parts of the document
           | for you
        
           | PunchyHamster wrote:
           | nice job moving the goalpost from "hallucinated the
           | research/data" to "spellchecker error"
        
           | duskdozer wrote:
           | >Pretty soon every knowledge worker will use AI every day.
           | 
           | Maybe? There's certainly a push to force the perception of
           | inevitability.
        
           | Sharlin wrote:
           | In general we're pretty good at drawing a line between purely
           | editorial stuff like using a spellchecker, or even the
           | services a professional editor (no need to acknowledge), and
           | independent intellectual contribution (must be acknowledged).
           | There's no slippery slope.
        
         | bwfan123 wrote:
         | > It would be great if those scientists who use AI without
         | disclosing it get fucked for life.
         | 
         | There need to be dis-incentives for sloppy work. There is a
         | tension between quality and quantity in almost every product.
         | Unfortunately academia has become a numbers-game with paper-
         | mills.
        
         | pandemic_region wrote:
         | Instead of publishing their papers in the prestigious zines -
         | which is what they're after - we will publish them in "AI Slop
         | Weekly" with name and picture. Up the submission risk a bit.
        
       | jordanpg wrote:
       | If these are so easy to identify, why not just incorporate some
       | kind of screening into the early stages of peer review?
        
         | DetectDefect wrote:
         | Because real work takes time and effort, and there is no real
         | incentive for it here.
        
         | tossandthrow wrote:
         | What makes you believe that are easy to identify?
        
           | emil-lp wrote:
           | One could require DOIs for each reference. That's both
           | realistic to achieve and easy to verify.
           | 
           | Although then why not just cite existing papers for bogus
           | reasons?
        
           | jordanpg wrote:
           | Isn't that what GPTZero does?
        
       | direwolf20 wrote:
       | Wow! They're literally submitting references to papers by
       | Firstname Lastname, John Doe and Jane Smith and nobody is
       | noticing or punishing them.
        
         | emil-lp wrote:
         | They might (I hope) still be punished after discovery.
        
         | an0malous wrote:
         | It's the way of the future
        
       | CGMthrowaway wrote:
       | Which is worse:
       | 
       | a) p-hacking and suppressing null results
       | 
       | b) hallucinations
       | 
       | c) falsifying data
       | 
       | Would be cool to see an analysis of this
        
         | Proziam wrote:
         | All 3 of these should be categorized as fraud, and punished
         | criminally.
        
           | internetter wrote:
           | criminally feels excessive?
        
             | Proziam wrote:
             | If I steal hundreds of thousands of dollars (salary, plus
             | research grants and other funds) and produce fake output,
             | what do you think is appropriate?
             | 
             | To me, it's no different than stealing a car or tricking an
             | old lady into handing over her fidelity account. You are
             | stealing, and society says stealing is a criminal act.
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | We have a civil court system to handle stuff like this
               | already.
        
               | Proziam wrote:
               | Stealing more than a few thousand dollars is a felony,
               | and felonies are handled in criminal court, not civil.
               | 
               | EDIT - The threshold amount varies. Sometimes it's as low
               | as a few hundred dollars. However, the point stands on
               | its own, because there's no universe where the sum in
               | question is in misdemeanor territory.
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | It would fall under the domain of contract law, because
               | maybe the contract of the grant doesn't prohibit what the
               | researcher did. The way to determine that would be in
               | court - civil court.
               | 
               | Most institutions aren't very chill with grant money
               | being misused, so we already don't need to burden then
               | state with getting Johnny muncipal prosecutor to try and
               | figure out if gamma crystallization imaging sources were
               | incorrect.
        
               | Proziam wrote:
               | Fraud implies intent, either intent to deceive or
               | intentionally negligent.
               | 
               | If you're taking public funds (directly or otherwise)
               | with the intent to either:
               | 
               | A) Do little to no real work, and pass of the work of an
               | AI as being your own work, or
               | 
               | B) Knowingly publish falsified data
               | 
               | Then you are, without a single shred of doubt, in
               | criminal fraud territory. Further, the structural damage
               | you inflict when you do the above is orders of magnitude
               | greater than the initial fraud itself. That is a matter
               | for civil courts ("Our company based on development on X
               | fraudulent data, it cost us Y in damages").
               | 
               | Whether or not charges are pressed is going to happen
               | _way_ after all the internal reviews have demonstrated
               | the person being charged has gone beyond the  "honest
               | mistake" threshold. It's like Walmart not bothering to
               | call the cops until you're into felony territory, there's
               | no point in doing so.
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | We also have a criminal court system to handle stuff like
               | this.
        
               | WarmWash wrote:
               | No we don't. I've never seen a private contract dispute
               | go to criminal court, probably because it's a civil
               | matter.
               | 
               | If they actually committed theft, well then that already
               | is illegal too.
               | 
               | But right now, doing "shitty research" isn't illegal and
               | it's unlikely it ever will be.
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | The claim is that this would qualify as fraud, which is
               | also illegal.
               | 
               | If you do a search for "contractor imprisoned for fraud"
               | you'll find plenty of cases where a private contract
               | dispute resulted in criminal convictions for people who
               | took money and then didn't do the work.
               | 
               | I don't know if taking money and then merely pretending
               | to do the research would rise to the level of criminal
               | fraud, but it doesn't seem completely outlandish.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | You could make a good case for a white collar crime here,
             | fraud for instance.
        
           | Der_Einzige wrote:
           | Only when we can arrest people who say dumb stuff on the
           | internet too. Much like how trump and bubba (bill Clinton)
           | should share a jail cell, those who pontificate about what
           | they don't know about (I.e non academics critiquing academia)
           | can sit in the same jail cell as the supposed criminal
           | academics.
           | 
           | You gotta horse trade if you want to win. Take one for the
           | team or get out of the way.
        
         | amitav1 wrote:
         | I'm doing some research, and this is something I'm unsure of. I
         | see that "suppressing null results" is a bad thing, and I sort
         | of agree, but for me personally, a lot of the null results are
         | just the result of my own incompetence and don't contain any
         | novel insights.
        
       | fulafel wrote:
       | Is there a comparison to rate of reference errors in other
       | forums?
        
       | dtartarotti wrote:
       | It is very concerning that these hallucinations passed through
       | peer review. It's not like peer review is a fool-proof method or
       | anything, but the fact that reviewers did not check all
       | references and noticed clearly bogus ones is alarming and could
       | be a sign that the article authors weren't the only ones using
       | LLMs in the process...
        
         | amanaplanacanal wrote:
         | Is it common for peer reviewers to check references? Somehow I
         | thought they mostly focused on whether the experiment looked
         | reasonable and the conclusions followed.
        
           | emil-lp wrote:
           | In journal publications it is, but without DOIs it's
           | difficult.
           | 
           | In conference publications, it's less common.
           | 
           | Conference publications (like NEURips) is treated as
           | announcement of results, not verified.
        
             | empiko wrote:
             | Nobody in ML or AI is verifying all your references.
             | Reviewers will point out if you miss a super related work,
             | but that's it. This is especially true with the recent
             | (last two decades?) inflation in citation counts. You
             | regularly have papers with 50+ references for all kinds of
             | claims and random semirelated work. The citation culture is
             | really uninspiring.
        
       | smallpipe wrote:
       | Could you run a similar analysis for pre-2020 papers? It'd be
       | interesting to know how prevalent making up sources was before
       | LLMs.
        
         | tasuki wrote:
         | Also, it'd be interesting how many pre-2020 papers their "AI
         | detector" marks as AI-generated. I distrust LLMs somewhat, but
         | I distrust AI detectors even more.
        
         | theptip wrote:
         | Yeah, it's kind of meaningless to attribute this to AI without
         | measuring the base rate.
         | 
         | It's for sure plausible that it's increasing, but I'm certain
         | this kind of thing happened with humans too.
        
       | bonsai_spool wrote:
       | This suggests that nobody was screening this papers in the first
       | place--so is it actually significant that people are using LLMs
       | in a setting without meaningful oversight?
       | 
       | These clearly aren't being peer-reviewed, so there's no natural
       | check on LLM usage (which is different than what we see in work
       | published in journals).
        
         | emil-lp wrote:
         | As one who reviews 20+ papers per year, we don't have time to
         | verify each reference.
         | 
         | We verify: is the stuff correct, and is it worthy of
         | publication (in the given venue) given that it is correct.
         | 
         | There is still some trust in the authors to not submit made-up-
         | stuff, albeit it is diminishing.
        
           | paulmist wrote:
           | I'm surprised the conference doesn't provide tooling to
           | validate all references automatically.
        
             | Sharlin wrote:
             | How would you do that? Even in cases where there's a
             | standard format, a DOI on every reference, and some giant
             | online library of publication metadata, including
             | everything that only exists in dead tree format, that just
             | lets you check whether the cited work exists, not whether
             | it's actually a relevant thing to cite in the context.
        
           | its_ethan wrote:
           | Sorry, but if someone makes a claim and cites a reference,
           | how do you verify "is the stuff correct" without checking
           | that reference?
        
             | emil-lp wrote:
             | Those are typically things you are familiar with or can
             | easily check.
             | 
             | Fake references are more common in the introduction where
             | you list relevant material to strengthen your results. They
             | often don't change the validity of the claim, but the
             | potential impact or value.
        
         | gcr wrote:
         | Academic venues don't have enough reviewers. This problem isn't
         | new, and as publication volumes increase, it's getting sharply
         | worse.
         | 
         | Consider the unit economics. Suppose NeurIPS gets 20,000 papers
         | in one year. Suppose each author should expect three good
         | reviews, so area chairs assign five reviewers per paper. In
         | total, 100,000 reviews need to be written. It's a lot of work,
         | even before factoring emergency reviewers in.
         | 
         | NeurIPS is one venue alongside CVPR, [IE]CCV, COLM, ICML,
         | EMNLP, and so on. Not all of these conferences are as large as
         | NeurIPS, but the field is smaller than you'd expect. I'd guess
         | there are 300k-1m people in the world who are qualified to
         | review AI papers.
        
           | khuey wrote:
           | Seems like using tooling like this to identify papers with
           | fake citations and auto-rejecting them before they ever get
           | in front of a reviewer would kill two birds with one stone.
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | It's not always possible to distinguish between fake
             | citations and citations that are simply hard to find (e.g.
             | wonderful old books that aren't on the Internet).
             | 
             | Another problem is that conferences move slowly and it's
             | hard to adjust the publication workflow in such an invasive
             | way. CVPR only recently moved from Microsoft's CMT to
             | OpenReview to accept author submissions, for example.
             | 
             | There's a lot of opportunity for innovation in this space,
             | but it's hard when everyone involved would need to agree to
             | switch to a different workflow.
             | 
             | (Not shooting you down. It's just complicated because the
             | people who would benefit are far away from the people who
             | would need to do the work to support it...)
        
               | khuey wrote:
               | Sure, I agree that it's far from trivial to implement.
        
         | alain94040 wrote:
         | When I was reviewing such papers, I didn't bother checking that
         | 30+ citations were correctly indexed. I focused on the article
         | itself, and maybe 1 or 2 citations that are important. That's
         | it. For most citations, they are next to an argument that I
         | know is correct, so why would I bother checking. What else do
         | you expect? My job was to figure out if the article ideas are
         | novel and interesting, not if they got all their citations
         | right.
        
       | geremiiah wrote:
       | A lot of research in AI/ML seems to me to be "fake it and never
       | make it". Literally it's all about optics, posturing,
       | connections, publicity. Lots of bullshit and little substance.
       | This was true before AI slop, too. But the fact that AI slop can
       | make it pass the review really showcases how much a paper's
       | acceptance hinges on things, other than the substance and results
       | of the paper.
       | 
       | I even know PIs who got fame and funding based on some research
       | direction that supposedly is going to be revolutionary. Except
       | all they had were preliminary results that from one angle, if you
       | squint, you can envision some good result. But then the result
       | never comes. That's why I say, "fake it, and never make it".
        
       | gcr wrote:
       | I was getting completely AI-generated reviews for a WACV
       | publication back in 2024. The area chairs are so overworked that
       | authors don't have much recourse, which sucks but is also really
       | hard to handle unless more volunteers step up to the bat to help
       | organize the conference.
       | 
       | (If you're qualified to review papers, please email the program
       | chair of your favorite conference and let them know -- they
       | really need the help!)
       | 
       | As for my review, the review form has a textbox for a summary, a
       | textbox for strengths, a textbox for weaknesses, and a textbox
       | for overall thoughts. The review I received included one complete
       | set of summary/strengths/weaknesses/closing thoughts in the
       | summary text box, another distinct set of
       | summary/strengths/weaknesses/closing thoughts in the strengths,
       | another complete and distinct review in the weaknesses, and a
       | fourth complete review in the closing thoughts. Each of these
       | four reviews were slightly different and contradicted each other.
       | 
       | The reviewer put my paper down as a weak reject, but also said
       | "the pros greatly outweigh the cons."
       | 
       | They listed "innovative use of synthetic data" as a strength, and
       | "reliance on synthetic data" as a weakness.
        
         | cubefox wrote:
         | Wow...
        
       | Tom1380 wrote:
       | No ETH Zurich, let's go
        
       | gcr wrote:
       | NeurIPS leadership doesn't think hallucinated references are
       | necessarily disqualifying; see the full article from Fortune for
       | a statement from them: https://archive.ph/yizHN
       | 
       | > When reached for comment, the NeurIPS board shared the
       | following statement: "The usage of LLMs in papers at AI
       | conferences is rapidly evolving, and NeurIPS is actively
       | monitoring developments. In previous years, we piloted policies
       | regarding the use of LLMs, and in 2025, reviewers were instructed
       | to flag hallucinations. Regarding the findings of this specific
       | work, we emphasize that significantly more effort is required to
       | determine the implications. Even if 1.1% of the papers have one
       | or more incorrect references due to the use of LLMs, the content
       | of the papers themselves are not necessarily invalidated. For
       | example, authors may have given an LLM a partial description of a
       | citation and asked the LLM to produce bibtex (a formatted
       | reference). As always, NeurIPS is committed to evolving the
       | review and authorship process to best ensure scientific rigor and
       | to identify ways that LLMs can be used to enhance author and
       | reviewer capabilities."
        
         | Analemma_ wrote:
         | Kinda gives the whole game away, doesn't it? "It doesn't
         | actually matter if the citations are hallucinated."
         | 
         | In fairness, NeurIPS is just saying out loud what everyone
         | already knows. Most citations in published science are useless
         | junk: it's either mutual back-scratching to juice h-index, or
         | it's the embedded and pointless practice of overcitation, like
         | "Human beings need clean water to survive (Franz, 2002)".
         | 
         | Really, hallucinated citations are just forcing a reckoning
         | which has been overdue for a while now.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | There should be a way to drop any kind of circular citation
           | ring from the indexes.
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | It's tough because some great citations are hard to
             | find/procure still. I sometimes refer to papers that aren't
             | on the Internet (eg. old wonderful books / journals).
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | But that actually strengthens those citiations. The I
               | scratch your back you scratch mine ones are the ones I'm
               | getting at and that is quite hard to do with old and
               | wonderful stuff, the authors there are probably not in a
               | position to reciprocate by virtue of observing the grass
               | from the other side.
        
               | gcr wrote:
               | I think it's a hard problem. The semanticscholar folks
               | are doing the sort of work that would allow them to track
               | this; I wonder if they've thought about it.
               | 
               | A somewhat-related parable: I once worked in a larger lab
               | with several subteams submitting to the same conference.
               | Sometimes the work we did was related, so we both cited
               | each other's paper which was also under review at the
               | same venue. (These were flavor citations in the "related
               | work" section for completeness, not material to our
               | arguments.) In the review copy, the reference lists the
               | other paper as written by "anonymous (also under review
               | at XXXX2025)," also emphasized by a footnote to explain
               | the situation to reviewers. When it came time to submit
               | the camera-ready copy, we either removed the
               | anonymization or replaced it with an arxiv link if the
               | other team's paper got rejected. :-) I doubt this
               | practice improved either paper's chances of getting
               | accepted.
               | 
               | Are these the sorts of citation rings you're talking
               | about? If authors misrepresented the work as if it were
               | accepted, or pretended it was published last year or
               | something, I'd agree with you, but it's not too uncommon
               | in my area for well-connected authors to cite manuscripts
               | in process. I don't think it's a problem as long as they
               | don't lean on them.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | No, I'm talking about the ones where the citation itself
               | is almost or even completely irrelevant and used as a way
               | to inflate the citation count of the authors. You could
               | find those by checking whether or not the value as a
               | reference (ie: contributes to the understanding of the
               | paper you are reading) is exceeded by the value of the
               | linkage itself.
        
               | zipy124 wrote:
               | The flavour citations in related work is the best place
               | to launder citations.
        
           | fc417fc802 wrote:
           | > Most citations in published science are useless junk:
           | 
           | Can't say that matches my experience at all. Once I've found
           | a useful paper on a topic thereafter I primarily navigate the
           | literature by traveling up and down the citation graph. It's
           | extremely effective in practice and it's continued to get
           | easier to do as the digitization of metadata has improved
           | over the years.
        
         | empath75 wrote:
         | I think a _single_ instance of an LLM hallucination should be
         | enough to retract the whole paper and ban further submissions.
        
           | gcr wrote:
           | Going through a retraction and blacklisting process is also a
           | lot of work -- collecting evidence, giving authors a chance
           | to respond and mediate discussion, etc.
           | 
           | Labor is the bottleneck. There aren't enough academics who
           | volunteer to help organize conferences.
           | 
           | (If a reader of this comment is qualified to review papers
           | and wants to step up to the plate and help do some work in
           | this area, please email the program chairs of your favorite
           | conference and let them know. They'll eagerly put you to
           | work.)
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | That's exactly why the inclusion of a hallucinated
             | reference is actually a blessing. Instead going back and
             | forth with the fraudster, just tell them to find the paper.
             | If they can't, case closed. Massive amount of time and
             | money saved.
        
               | gcr wrote:
               | Isn't telling them to find the paper just "going back and
               | forth with a fraudster"?
               | 
               | One "simple" way of doing this would be to automate it.
               | Have authors step through a lint step when their camera-
               | ready paper is uploaded. Authors would be asked to
               | confirm each reference and link it to a google scholar
               | citation. Maybe the easy references could be auto-
               | populated. Non-public references could be resolved by
               | uploading a signed statement or something.
               | 
               | There's no current way of using this metadata, but it
               | could be nice for future systems.
               | 
               | Even the Scholar team within Google is woefully
               | understaffed.
               | 
               | My gut tells me that it's probably more efficient to just
               | drag authors who do this into some public execution or
               | twitter mob after-the-fact. CVPR does this every so often
               | for authors who submit the same paper to multiple venues.
               | You don't need a lot of samples for deterrence to take
               | effect. That's kind of what this article is doing, in a
               | sense.
        
           | wing-_-nuts wrote:
           | I dunno about _banning_ them, humans without LLMs make
           | mistakes all the time, but I would definitely place them
           | under much harder scrutiny in the future.
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | Hallucinations aren't mistakes, they're fabrications. The
             | two are probably referred to by the same word in some
             | languages.
             | 
             | Institutions can choose an arbitrary approach to mistakes;
             | maybe they don't mind a lot of them because they want to
             | take risks and be on the bleeding edge. But any flexible
             | attitude towards fabrications is simply corruption. The
             | connected in-crowd will get mercy and the outgroup will get
             | the hammer. Anybody criticizing the differential treatment
             | will be accused of supporting the outgroup fraudsters.
        
               | gcr wrote:
               | Fabrications carry intent to decieve. I don't think
               | hallucinations necessarily do. If anything, they're a
               | matter of negligence, not deception.
               | 
               | Think of it this way: if I wanted to commit pure academic
               | fraud maliciously, I wouldn't make up a fake reference.
               | Instead, I'd find an existing related paper and merely
               | misrepresent it to support my own claims. That way, the
               | deception is much harder to discover and I'd have
               | plausible deniability -- "oh I just misunderstood what
               | they were saying."
               | 
               | I think most academic fraud happens in the figures, not
               | the citations. Researchers are more likely to to be
               | successful at making up data points than making up
               | references because it's impossible to know without the
               | data files.
        
               | direwolf20 wrote:
               | Generating a paper with an LLM is already academic fraud.
               | You, the fraudster, are trying to optimize your fraud-to-
               | effort ratio which is why you don't bother to look for
               | existing papers to mis-cite.
        
           | andy99 wrote:
           | For example, authors may have given an LLM a partial
           | description of a citation and asked the LLM to produce bibtex
           | 
           | This is equivalent to a typo. I'd like to know which
           | "hallucinations" are completely made up, and which have a
           | corresponding paper but contain some error in how it's cited.
           | The latter I don't think matters.
        
             | burkaman wrote:
             | If you click on the article you can see a full list of the
             | hallucinations they found. They did put in the effort to
             | look for plausible partial matches, but most of them are
             | some variation of "No author or title match. Doesn't exist
             | in publication."
             | 
             | Here's a random one I picked as an example.
             | 
             | Paper: https://openreview.net/pdf?id=IiEtQPGVyV
             | 
             | Reference: Asma Issa, George Mohler, and John Johnson.
             | Paraphrase identification using deep contextual- ized
             | representations. In Proceedings of the 2018 Conference on
             | Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (EMNLP),
             | pp. 517-526, 2018.
             | 
             | Asma Issa and John Johnson don't appear to exist. George
             | Mohler does, but it doesn't look like he works in this area
             | (https://www.georgemohler.com/). No paper with that title
             | exists. There are some with sort of similar titles
             | (https://arxiv.org/html/2212.06933v2 for example), but none
             | that really make sense as a citation in this context. EMNLP
             | 2018 exists (https://aclanthology.org/D18-1.pdf), but that
             | page range is not a single paper. There are papers in there
             | that contain the phrases "paraphrase identification" and
             | "deep contextualized representations", so you can see how
             | an LLM might have come up with this title.
        
             | gold23 wrote:
             | It's not the equivalent of a typo. A typo would be
             | immediately apparent to the reader. This is a semantic
             | error that is much less likely to be caught by the reader.
        
         | jklinger410 wrote:
         | > the content of the papers themselves are not necessarily
         | invalidated. For example, authors may have given an LLM a
         | partial description of a citation and asked the LLM to produce
         | bibtex (a formatted reference)
         | 
         | Maybe I'm overreacting, but this feels like an insanely biased
         | response. They found the one potentially innocuous reason and
         | latched onto that as a way to hand-wave the entire problem
         | away.
         | 
         | Science already had a reproducibility problem, and it now has a
         | hallucination problem. Considering the massive influence the
         | private sector has on the both the work and the institutions
         | themselves, the future of open science is looking bleak.
        
           | paulmist wrote:
           | Isn't disqualifying X months of potentially great research
           | due to a misformed, but existing reference harsh? I don't
           | think they'd be okay with references that are actually made
           | up.
        
             | suddenlybananas wrote:
             | It's a sign of dishonesty, not a perfect one, but an
             | indicator.
        
             | jklinger410 wrote:
             | When your entire job is confirming that science is valid, I
             | expect a little more humility when it turns out you've
             | missed a critical aspect.
             | 
             | How did these 100 sources even get through the validation
             | process?
             | 
             | > Isn't disqualifying X months of potentially great
             | research due to a misformed, but existing reference harsh?
             | 
             | It will serve as a reminder not to cut any corners.
        
               | paulmist wrote:
               | > When your entire job is confirming that science is
               | valid, I expect a little more humility when it turns out
               | you've missed a critical aspect.
               | 
               | I wouldn't call a misformed reference a critical issue,
               | it happens. That's why we have peer reviews. I would
               | contend drawing superficially valid conclusions from
               | studies through use of AI is a much more burning problem
               | that speaks more to the integrity of the author.
               | 
               | > It will serve as a reminder not to cut any corners.
               | 
               | Or yet another reason to ditch academic work for
               | industry. I doubt the rise of scientific AI tools like
               | AlphaXiv [1], whether you consider them beneficial or
               | detrimental, can be avoided - calling for a level
               | pragmatism.
        
               | jklinger410 wrote:
               | > I wouldn't call a misformed reference a critical issue,
               | it happens. That's why we have peer reviews.
               | 
               | Crazy to say this in a discussion where peer review
               | missed hallucinated citations
        
               | pas wrote:
               | even the fact that citations are not automatically
               | verified by the journal is crazy, the whole academia and
               | publishing enterprise is an empire built on inefficiency,
               | hubris, and politics (but I'm repeating myself).
        
             | zipy124 wrote:
             | Science relies on trust.. a lot. So things which show
             | dishonesty are penalised greatly. If we were to remove
             | trust then peer reviewing a paper might take months of work
             | or even years.
        
               | paulmist wrote:
               | And that timeline only grows with the complexity of the
               | field in question. I think this is inherently a function
               | of the complexity of the study, and rather than harshly
               | penalizing such shortcomings we should develop tools that
               | address them and improve productivity. AI can speed up
               | the verification of requirements like proper citations,
               | both on the author's and reviewer's side.
        
               | loglog wrote:
               | Math does that. Peer review cycles are measured in years
               | there. This does not stop fashionable subfields from
               | publishing sloppy papers, and occasionally even
               | irrecoverably false ones.
        
           | orbital-decay wrote:
           | The wording is not hand-wavy. They said "not necessarily
           | invalidated", which could mean that innocuous reason and
           | nothing extra.
        
             | mikkupikku wrote:
             | Even if some of those innocuous mistakes happen, we'll all
             | be better off if we accept people making those mistakes as
             | acceptable casualties in an unforgiving campaign against
             | academic fraudsters.
             | 
             | It's like arguing against strict liability for drunk
             | driving because maybe somebody accidentally let their grape
             | juice sit to long and they didn't know it was fermented...
             | I can conceive of such a thing, but that doesn't mean we
             | should go easy on drunk driving.
        
             | jklinger410 wrote:
             | I really think it is. The primary function of these
             | publications is to validate science. When we find invalid
             | citations, it shows they're not doing their job. When they
             | get called on that, they cite the volume of work their
             | publication puts out and call out the only potential not-
             | disqualifying outcome.
             | 
             | Seems like CYA, seems like hand wave. Seems like excuses.
        
         | derf_ wrote:
         | This will continue to happen as long as it is effectively
         | unpunished. Even retracting the paper would do little good, as
         | odds are it would not have been written if the author could not
         | have used an LLM, so they are no worse off for having tried.
         | Scientific publications are mostly a numbers game at this
         | point. It is just one more example of a situation where
         | behaving badly is much cheaper than policing bad behavior, and
         | until incentives are changed to account for that, it will only
         | get worse.
        
         | Aurornis wrote:
         | > Even if 1.1% of the papers have one or more incorrect
         | references due to the use of LLMs, the content of the papers
         | themselves are not necessarily invalidated.
         | 
         | This statement isn't wrong, as the rest of the paper could
         | still be correct.
         | 
         | However, when I see a blatant falsification somewhere in a
         | paper I'm immediately suspicious of everything else. Authors
         | who take lazy shortcuts when convenient usually don't just do
         | it once, they do it wherever they think they can get away with
         | it. It's a slippery slope from letting an LLM handle citations
         | to letting the LLM write things for you to letting the LLM
         | interpret the data. The latter opens the door to hallucinated
         | results and statistics, as anyone who has experimented with
         | LLMs for data analysis will discover eventually.
        
         | mlmonkey wrote:
         | Why not run every submitted paper through GPTZero (before
         | sending to reviewers) and summarily reject any paper with a
         | hallucination?
        
           | gcr wrote:
           | That's how GPTZero wants to situate themselves.
           | 
           | Who would pay them? Conference organizers are already unpaid
           | and undestaffed, and most conferences aren't profitable.
           | 
           | I think rejections shouldn't be automatic. Sometimes there
           | are just typos. Sometimes authors don't understand BibTeX.
           | This needs to be done in a way that reduces the workload for
           | reviewers.
           | 
           | One way of doing this would be for GPTZero to annotate each
           | paper during the review step. If reviewers could review a
           | version of each paper with yellow-highlighted "likely-
           | hallucinated" references in the bibliography, then they'd
           | bring it up in their review and they'd know to be on their
           | guard for other probably LLM-isms. If there's only a couple
           | likely typos in the references, then reviewers could
           | understand that, and if they care about it, they'd bring it
           | up in their reviews and the author would have the usual
           | opportunity to rebut.
           | 
           | I don't know if GPTZero is willing to provide this service
           | "for free" to the academic community, but if they are, it's
           | probably worth bringing up at the next PAMI-TC meeting for
           | CVPR.
        
             | zipy124 wrote:
             | Most publication venues already pay for a plagiarism
             | detection service, it seems it would be trivial to add it
             | on as a cost. Especially given APCs for journals are
             | several thousand dollars, what's a few dollars more per
             | paper.
        
       | Molitor5901 wrote:
       | AI might just extinguish the entire paradigm of publish or
       | perish. The sheer volume of papers makes it nearly impossible to
       | properly decide which papers have merit, which are non-replicate
       | and suspect, and which are just a desperate rush to publish. The
       | entire practice needs to end.
        
         | shermantanktop wrote:
         | But how could we possibly evaluate faculty and researcher
         | quality without counting widgets on an assembly line? /s
         | 
         | It's a problem. The previous regime prior to publishing-mania
         | was essentially a clubby game of reputation amongst peers based
         | on cocktail party socialization.
         | 
         | The publication metrics came out of the harder sciences, I
         | believe, and then spread to the softest of humanities. It was
         | always easy to game a bit if you wanted to try, but now it's
         | trivial to defeat.
        
         | SJC_Hacker wrote:
         | Its not publish or perish so much as get grant money or perish.
         | 
         | Publishing is just the way to get grants.
         | 
         | A PI explained it to me once, something like this
         | 
         | Idea(s) -> Grant -> Experiments -> Data -> Paper(s) ->
         | Publication(s) -> Idea(s) -> Grant(s)
         | 
         | Thats the current cycle ... remove any step and its a dead end
        
       | armcat wrote:
       | This is awful but hardly surprising. Someone mentioned
       | reproducible code with the papers - but there is a high
       | likelihood of the code being partially or fully AI generated as
       | well. I.e. AI generated hypothesis -> AI produces code to
       | implement and execute the hypothesis -> AI generates paper based
       | on the hypothesis and the code.
       | 
       | Also: there were 15 000 submissions that were rejected at
       | NeurIPS; it would be very interesting to see what % of those
       | rejected were partially or fully AI generated/hallucinated. Are
       | the ratios comperable?
        
         | blackbear_ wrote:
         | Whether the code is AI generated or not is not important, what
         | matters is that it really works.
         | 
         | Sharing code enables others to validate the method on a
         | different dataset.
         | 
         | Even before LLMs came around there were lots of methods that
         | looked good on paper but turned out not to work outside of
         | accepted benchmarks
        
       | depressionalt wrote:
       | This is nice and all, but what repercussion does GPTZero get when
       | their bullshit AI detection hallucinates a student using AI? And
       | when that student receives academic discipline because of it?
       | 
       | Many such cases of this. More than 100!
       | 
       | They claim to have custom detection for GPT-5, Gemini, and
       | Claude. They're making that up!
        
         | freedomben wrote:
         | Indeed. My son has been accused by bullshit AI detection as
         | having used AI, and it has devastated his work quality. After
         | being "disciplined" for using AI (when he didn't), he now
         | intentionally tries to "dumb down" his writing so that it
         | doesn't sound so much like AI. The result is he writes much
         | worse. What a shitty, shitty outcome. I've even found myself
         | leaving typos and things in (even on sites like HN) because if
         | you write _too_ well, inevitably some comment replier will call
         | you out as being an LLM even when you aren 't. I'm as annoyed
         | by the LLM posts as everybody else, but the answer surely is
         | not to dumb us down into Idiocracy.
        
           | Sharlin wrote:
           | It's almost as if this whole LLM stuff wasn't a net benefit
           | to the society after all.
        
           | Der_Einzige wrote:
           | Stop using em dashes, the fancy quotes that can't be easily
           | typed. Stop using overused words like certainly and delve.
           | Stop using LLM template slop like "it's not X, it's Y". Stop
           | always doing lists of 3s. We know you didn't use to use so
           | many emojis or bolded text. Also, AI really fking hates the
           | exclamation mark so that's a great proof of humanity!
           | 
           | Most people getting flagged are getting flagged because they
           | actually used AI and couldn't even be bothered to manually
           | deslop it.
           | 
           | People who are too lazy to put even a tiny bit of human
           | intentionality into their work deserve it.
        
       | theptip wrote:
       | This is mostly an ad for their product. But I bet you can get
       | pretty good results with a Claude Code agent using a couple
       | simple skills.
       | 
       | Should be extremely easy for AI to successfully detect
       | hallucinated references as they are semi-structured data with an
       | easily verifiable ground truth.
        
       | leggerss wrote:
       | I don't understand: why aren't there automated tools to verify
       | citations' existence? The data for a citation has a structured
       | styling (APA, MLA, Chicago) and paper metadata is available via
       | e.g. a web search, even if the paper contents are not
       | 
       | I guess GPTZero has such a tool. I'm confused why it isn't used
       | more widely by paper authors and reviewers
        
         | gh02t wrote:
         | Citations are too open ended and prone to variation, and
         | legitimate minor mistskes that wouldn't bother a human verifier
         | but would break automated tools to easily verify in their
         | current form. DOI was supposed to solve some of the literal
         | mechanical variation of the existence of a source, but journal
         | paywalls and limited adoption mean that is not a universal
         | solution. Plus DOI still doesn't easily verify the factual
         | accuracy of a citation, like "does the source say what the
         | citation says it does," which is the most important part.
         | 
         | In my experience you will see considerable variation in
         | citation formats, even in journals that strictly define it and
         | require using BibTex. And lots of journals leave their citation
         | format rules very vague. Its a problem that runs deep.
        
           | leggerss wrote:
           | Thanks for the thoughtful reply!
        
         | eichin wrote:
         | Looks like GPTZero Source Finder was only released a year ago -
         | if anything, I'm surprised slop-writers aren't using it
         | preemptively, since they're "ahead of the curve" relative to
         | reviewers on this sort of thing...
        
       | yepyeaisntityea wrote:
       | No surprises. Machine learning has, at least since 2012, been the
       | go-to field for scammers and grifters. Machine learning, and
       | technology in general, is basically a few real ideas, a small
       | number of honest hard workers, and then millions of fad chasers
       | and scammers.
        
       | mt_ wrote:
       | It would be ironic if the very detection of hallucinations
       | contained hallucinations of its own.
        
       | doug_durham wrote:
       | Getting papers published is now more about embellishing your CV
       | versus a sincere desire to present new research. I see this
       | everywhere at every level. Getting a paper published _anywhere_
       | is a checkbox in completing your resume. As an industry we need
       | to stop taking this into consideration when reviewing candidates
       | or deciding pay. In some sense it has become an anti-signal.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | I'd like to see a financial approach to deciding pay by giving
         | researchers a small and perhaps nonlinear or time bounded share
         | of any profits that arise from their research.
         | 
         | Then peoples CV's could say "My inventions have led to $1M in
         | licensing revenue" rather than "I presented a useless idea at a
         | decent conference because I managed to make it sound exciting
         | enough to get accepted".
        
           | direwolf20 wrote:
           | That's what patents do.
        
           | autoexec wrote:
           | A lot of good research isn't ever going to make anyone a
           | single dime, but that doesn't mean it doesn't matter.
        
         | autoexec wrote:
         | It'd be nice if there were a dedicated journal for papers
         | published just because you have to publish for your CV or to
         | get your degree. That way people can keep publishing for the
         | sake of publishing, but you could see at a glance what the deal
         | was.
        
         | biophysboy wrote:
         | I think its fairer to say that perverse incentives have added
         | more noise to the publishing signal. Publishing 0 times is not
         | better than 100 times, even if 90% of those are Nth author
         | formality/politeness citations.
        
       | nerdjon wrote:
       | The downstream effects of this are extremely concerning. We have
       | already seen the damage caused by human written research that was
       | later retracted like the "research" on vaccines causing autism.
       | 
       | As we get more and more papers that may be citing information
       | that was originally hallucinated in the first place we have a
       | major reliability issue here. What is worse is people that did
       | not use AI in the first place will be caught in the crosshairs
       | since they will be referencing incorrect information.
       | 
       | There needs to be a serious amount of education done on what
       | these tools can and cannot do and importantly where they fail.
       | Too many people see these tools as magic since that is what the
       | big companies are pushing them as.
       | 
       | Other than that we need to put in actual repercussions for
       | publishing work created by an LLM without validating it (or just
       | say you can't in the first place but I guess that ship has
       | sailed) or it will just keep happening. We can't just ignore it
       | and hope it won't be a problem.
       | 
       | And yes, humans can make mistakes too. The difference is
       | accountability and the ability to actually be unsure about
       | something so you question yourself to validate.
        
       | pandemic_region wrote:
       | What if they would only accept handwritten papers? Basically the
       | current system is beyond repair, so may as well go back to
       | receiving 20 decent papers instead of 20k hallucinated ones.
        
       | ctoth wrote:
       | How you know it's really real is that they clearly tell the FPR,
       | and compare against a pre-llm baseline.
       | 
       | But I saw it in Apple News, so MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!
        
       | yobbo wrote:
       | As long as these sorts of papers serve more important purposes
       | for the careers of the authors than anything related to science
       | or discovery of knowledge, then of course this happens and
       | continues.
       | 
       | The best possible outcome is that these two purposes are
       | disconflated, with follow-on consequences for the conferences and
       | journals.
        
       | poulpy123 wrote:
       | All papers proved to have used a LLM beyond writing improvement
       | should be automatically retracted
        
       | brador wrote:
       | The problem isn't scale.
       | 
       | The problem is consequences (lack of).
       | 
       | Doing this should get you barred from research. It won't.
        
       | CrzyLngPwd wrote:
       | This is not the AI future we dreamed of, or feared.
        
       | nospice wrote:
       | We've been talking about a "crisis of reproducibility" for years
       | and the incentive to crank out high volumes of low-quality
       | research. We now have a tool that brings down the cost of
       | producing plausibly-looking research down to zero. So of course
       | we're going to see that tool abused on a galactic scale.
       | 
       | But here's the thing: let's say you're an university or a
       | research institution that wants to curtail it. You catch someone
       | producing LLM slop, and you confirm it by analyzing their work
       | and conducting internal interviews. You fire them. The fired
       | researcher goes public saying that they were doing nothing of the
       | sort and that this is a witch hunt. Their blog post makes it to
       | the front page of HN, garnering tons of sympathy and prompting
       | many angry calls to their ex-employer. It gets picked up by some
       | mainstream outlets, too. It happened a bunch of times.
       | 
       | In contrast, there are basically no consequences to institutions
       | that let it slide. No one is angrily calling the employers of the
       | authors of these 100 NeurIPS papers, right? If anything, there's
       | the plausible deniability of "oh, I only asked ChatGPT to
       | reformat the citations, the rest of the paper is 100% legit, my
       | bad".
        
       | meindnoch wrote:
       | Jamie, bring up their nationalities.
        
       | neom wrote:
       | I wrote before about my embarrassing time with ChatGPT during a
       | period (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44767601) - I
       | decided to go back through those old 4o chats with 5.2 pro
       | extended thinking, the reply was pretty funny because it first
       | slightly ridiculed me, heh - but what it showed was: basically I
       | would say "what 5 research papers from any area of science talk
       | to these ideas" and it would find 1 and invent 4 if it didn't
       | know 4 others, and not tell me, and then I'd keep working with it
       | and it would invent what it thought might be in the papers long
       | the way, making up new papers in it's own work to cite to make
       | it's own work valid, lol. Anyway, I'm a moron, sure, and no real
       | harm came of it for _me_ , just still slightly shook I let that
       | happen to me.
        
         | Shocka1 wrote:
         | Just to clarify, you didn't actually look up the publications
         | it was citing? For example, you just stayed in ChatGPT web and
         | used the resources it provided there? Not ridiculing you of
         | course, but am just curious. The last paper I wrote a couple
         | months back I had GPT search out the publications for me, but I
         | would always open a new tab and retrieve the actual
         | publication.
        
           | neom wrote:
           | I didn't because I wasn't really doing anything serious to my
           | mind, I think? basically felt like watching an episode of pbs
           | spacetime, I think the difference is it's more like playing a
           | video game while thinking you're watching an episode of
           | spacetime, if that makes sense? I don't use chatgpt for me
           | real work that much, and I'm not a scientist, so it was for
           | me just mucking around, it pushed me slightly over a line
           | into "I was just playing but now this seems real", it didn't
           | occur to me to go back through and check all the papers, I
           | guess because quite a lot of chatting had happened since then
           | and, I dunno, I just didn't think to? Not sure that makes
           | much sense. This was also over a year ago, during the time
           | they had the gpt4o sycophancy mode that made the news, and it
           | wasn't backed by webserch, so I took for granted what was in
           | it's training data. No good excuse I'm afraid. tldr: poor
           | critical thinking skills on my part there! :)
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | And this is the tip of the iceberg, because these are the easy to
       | check/validate things.
       | 
       | I'm sure plenty of more nuanced facts are also entirely without
       | basis.
        
       | techIA wrote:
       | They will turn it into a party drug.
        
       | trash_cat wrote:
       | Clearly there is some demand for those papers, and research, to
       | exist. Good opportunity to fill the gaps.
        
       | captainbland wrote:
       | What's wild is so many of these are from prestigious
       | universities. MIT, Princeton, Oxford and Cambridge are all on
       | there. It must be a terrible time to be an academic who's getting
       | outcompeted by this slop because somebody from an institution
       | with a better name submitted it.
        
         | cflewis wrote:
         | I'm going to be charitable and say that the papers from
         | prestigious universities were honest mistakes rather than paper
         | mill university fabrications.
         | 
         | One thing that has bothered me for a very long time is that
         | computer science (and I assume other scientific fields) has
         | long since decided that English is the lingua franca, and if
         | you don't speak it you can't be part of it. Can you imagine if
         | being told that you could only do your research if you were
         | able to write technical papers in a language you didn't speak,
         | maybe even using glyphs you didn't know? It's crazy when you
         | think about it even a little bit, but we ask it of so many.
         | Let's not include the fact that 90% of the English-speaking
         | population couldn't crank out a paper to the required
         | vocabulary level anyway.
         | 
         | A very legitimate, not trying to cheat, use for LLMs is
         | translation. While it would be an extremely broad and dangerous
         | brush to paint with, I wonder if there is a correlation between
         | English-as-a-Second (or even third)-Language authors and the
         | hallucinations. That would indicate that they were trying to
         | use LLMs to help craft the paper to the expected writing level.
         | The only problem being that it sometimes mangles citations, and
         | if you've done good work and got 25+ citations, it's easy for
         | those errors to slip through.
        
       | teekert wrote:
       | We have the h score and such, can we have something similar that
       | goes down when you pull stunts like these? Preferably link it to
       | people's orcid ids.
        
       | dev_l1x_be wrote:
       | I am wondering if we are going to reach hallucination collapse
       | sooner than we reach AGI.
        
       | Nevermark wrote:
       | With regard to confabulating (hallucinating) sources, or anything
       | else, it is worth noting this is a first class training
       | requirement imposed on models. Not models simply picking up the
       | habit from humans.
       | 
       | When training a student, normally we expect a lack of knowledge
       | early, and reward self-awareness, self-evaluation and self-
       | disclosure of that.
       | 
       | But the very first epoch of a model training run, when the model
       | has all the ignorance of a dropped plate of spaghetti, we
       | optimize the network to respond to information, as anything from
       | a typical human to an expert, without any base of understanding.
       | 
       | So the training practice for models is inherently extreme
       | enforced "fake it until you make it", to a degree far beyond any
       | human context or culture.
       | 
       | (Regardless, humans need to verify, not to mention read, the
       | sources they site. But it will be nice when models can be trusted
       | to accurately access what they know/don't-know too.)
        
       | rabbitlord wrote:
       | You will find out that Top CS conference is never scientific, if
       | you really go to their GitHub and run their code.
        
       | ctoth wrote:
       | The innumeracy is load-bearing for the entire media ecosystem. If
       | readers could do basic proportional reasoning, half of health
       | journalism and most tech panic coverage would collapse overnight.
       | 
       | GPTZero of course knows this. "100 hallucinations across 53
       | papers at prestigious conference" hits different than "0.07% of
       | citations had issues, compared to unknown baseline, in papers
       | whose actual findings remain valid."
        
         | MeetingsBrowser wrote:
         | I'm not sure that's fair in this context.
         | 
         | In the past, a single paper with questionable or falsified
         | results at a top tier conference was big news.
         | 
         | Something that casts doubt on the validity of 53 papers at a
         | top AI conference is at least notable.
         | 
         | > whose actual findings remain valid
         | 
         | Remain valid according to who? The same group that missed
         | hundreds of hallucinated citations?
        
           | ctoth wrote:
           | Which of these papers had falsified _results_ and not bad
           | citations?
           | 
           | What is the base rate of bad citations pre-AI?
           | 
           | And finally yes. Peer review does not mean clicking every
           | link in the footnotes to make sure the original paper didn't
           | mislink, though I'm sure after this bruhaha this too will be
           | automated.
        
             | MeetingsBrowser wrote:
             | > Peer review does not mean clicking every link in the
             | footnotes
             | 
             | It wasn't just broken links, but citing authors like
             | "lastname, firstname" and made up titles.
             | 
             | I have done peer reviews for a (non-AI) CS conference and
             | did at least skim the citations. For papers related to my
             | domain, I was familiar with most of the citations already,
             | and looked into any that looked odd.
             | 
             | Being familiar with the state of the art is, in theory,
             | what qualifies you to do peer reviews.
        
       | rfrey wrote:
       | There's a lot of good arguments in this thread about incentives:
       | extremely convincing about why current incentives lead to exactly
       | this behaviour, and also why creating better incentives is a very
       | hard problem.
       | 
       | If we grant that good carrots are hard to grow, what's the
       | argument against leaning into the stick? Change university
       | policies and processes so that getting caught fabricating data or
       | submitting a paper with LLM hallucinations is a career ending
       | event. Tip the expected value of unethical behaviours in favour
       | of avoiding them. Maybe we can't change the odds of getting
       | caught but we certainly can change the impact.
       | 
       | This would not be easy, but maybe it's more tractable than
       | changing positive incentives.
        
         | currymj wrote:
         | the harsher the punishment, the more due process required.
         | 
         | i don't think there are any AI detection tools that are
         | sufficiently reliable that I would feel comfortable expelling a
         | student or ending someone's career based on their output.
         | 
         | for example, we can all see what's going on with these papers
         | (and it appears to be even worse among ICLR submissions). but
         | it is possible to make an honest mistake with your BibTeX. Or
         | to use AI for grammar editing, which is widely accepted, and
         | have it accidentally modify a data point or citation. There are
         | many innocent mistakes which also count as plausible excuses.
         | 
         | in some cases further investigation maybe can reveal a smoking
         | gun like fabricated data, which is academic misconduct whether
         | done by hand or because an AI generated the LaTeX tables.
         | punishments should be harsher for this than they are.
        
           | rfrey wrote:
           | Fabricated citations seem to be a popular and non ambiguous
           | way for AI to sabotage science.
        
       | godelski wrote:
       | Given that many of these detections are being made from
       | references, I don't understand why we're not using automatic
       | citation checkers.
       | 
       | Just ask authors to submit their bib file so we don't need to do
       | OCR on the PDF. Flag the unknown citations and ask reviewers to
       | verify their existence. Then contact authors and ban if they
       | can't produce the cited work.
       | 
       | This is low hanging fruit here!
       | 
       | Detecting slop where the authors vet citations is much harder.
       | The big problem with all the review rules is they have no teeth.
       | If it were up to me we'd review in the open, or at least like
       | ICLR. Publish the list of known bad actors and let is look at the
       | network. The current system is too protective of egregious errors
       | like plagiarism. Authors can get detected in one conference,
       | pull, and submit to another, rolling the dice. We can't allow
       | that to happen and we should discourage people from associating
       | with these conartists.
       | 
       | AI is certainly a problem in the world of science review, but
       | it's far from the only one and I'm not even convinced it's the
       | biggest. The biggest is just that reviewers are lazy and/or not
       | qualified to review the works they're assigned. It takes at least
       | an hour to properly review a paper in your niche, much more when
       | it's outside. We're over worked as is, with 5+ works to review,
       | not to mention all the time we got to spend reworking our own
       | works that were rejected due to the slot machine. We could do
       | much better if we dropped this notion of conference/journal
       | prestige and focused on the quality of the works and reviews.
       | 
       | Addressing those issues also addresses the AI issues because,
       | frankly, * _it doesn 't matter if the whole work was done by AI,
       | what matters is if the work is real.*_
        
       | pacbard wrote:
       | The ironic part about these hallucinations is that a research
       | paper includes a literature review because the goal of the
       | research is to be in dialogue with prior work, to show a gap in
       | the existing literature, and to further the knowledge that this
       | prior work has built.
       | 
       | By using an LLM to fabricate citations, authors are moving away
       | from this noble pursuit of knowledge built on the "shoulders of
       | giants" and show that behind the curtain output volume is what
       | really matters in modern US research communities.
        
         | andy_xor_andrew wrote:
         | I guess that makes this "standing on the shoulders of
         | fabrications"
        
           | stogot wrote:
           | Fabrication should be immediate academic ban for life
        
             | physPop wrote:
             | Paper mills existed long before LLMs
        
         | AlienRobot wrote:
         | That's going to be the philosophical question of our times: do
         | LLMs generate slop out of nowhere or does it simply amplify the
         | slop machinery that was already there?
        
       | abktowa wrote:
       | Implicitly this makes sense but the amount cited in this article
       | is still hard for me to grasp. Wow.
        
       | gtirloni wrote:
       | Why focus on hallucinations/LLMs and not on the authors? There
       | are rules for submitting papers.
       | 
       | If I drop a loaded gun and it fires, killing someone, we don't go
       | after the gun's manufacturer in most cases.
        
         | phyzome wrote:
         | This isn't directly to your point, but: A civil suit for such
         | an incident would generally name both the weapon owner (for
         | negligence, etc.) and the manufacturer (for dangerous design).
        
         | Der_Einzige wrote:
         | Actually, if you're the US navy, you DO go after the
         | manufacturer!
         | 
         | Go look up the P320 pistol and the tons of accidental
         | discharges that's it's caused.
         | 
         | https://stateline.org/2025/03/10/more-law-enforcement-agenci...
        
       | not2b wrote:
       | This is going to be a huge problem for conferences. While
       | journals have a longer time to get things right, as a conference
       | reviewer (for IEEE conferences) I was often asked to review 20+
       | papers in a short time to determine who gets a full paper, who
       | gets to present just a poster, etc. There was normally a second
       | round, but often these would just look at submissions near the
       | cutoff margin in the rankings. Obvious slop can be quickly
       | rejected, but it will be easier to sneak things in.
        
         | cyber_kinetist wrote:
         | AI conferences are _already_ fucked. Students who are doing
         | their Master 's degrees are reviewing those top-tier papers,
         | since there are just too many submissions for existing
         | reviewers.
        
       | currymj wrote:
       | Especially for your first NeurIPS paper as a PhD student, getting
       | one published is extremely lucrative.
       | 
       | Most big tech PhD intern job postings have NeurIPS/ICML/ICLR/etc.
       | first author paper as a de facto requirement to be considered.
       | It's like getting your SAG card.
       | 
       | If you get one of these internships, it effectively doubles or
       | triples your salary that year right away. You will make more in
       | that summer than your PhD stipend. Plus you can now apply in
       | future summers and the jobs will be easier to get. And it sets
       | your career on a good path.
       | 
       | A conservative estimate of the discounted cash value of a
       | student's first NeurIPS paper would certainly be five figures.
       | It's potentially much higher depending on how you think about it,
       | considering potential path dependent impacts on future career
       | opportunities.
       | 
       | We should not be surprised to see cheating. Nonetheless, it's
       | really bad for science that these attempts get through. I also
       | expect some people did make legitimate mistakes letting AI touch
       | their .bib.
        
         | Der_Einzige wrote:
         | This is 100% true, if anything you're massively undercounting
         | the value of publications.
         | 
         | Most industry AI jobs that aren't research based know that
         | NeurIPS publications are a huge deal. Many of the managers
         | don't even know what a workshop is (so you can pass off NeurIPS
         | workshop work as just "NeurIPS")
         | 
         | A single first author main conference work effectively allows a
         | non Ph.D holder to be treated like they have a Ph.d (be
         | qualified for professional researcher jobs). This means that a
         | decent engineer with 1 NeurIPS publication is easily worth
         | 300K+ YOY assuming US citizen. Even if all they have is a BS ;)
         | 
         | And if you are lucky to get a spotlight or an oral, that's
         | probably worth closer to 7 figures...
        
       | alcasa wrote:
       | Didn't know the L in Samuel L Jackson was for LeCun.
        
       | j2kun wrote:
       | I spot-checked one of the flagged papers (from Google, co-
       | authored by a colleague of mine)
       | 
       | The paper was https://openreview.net/forum?id=0ZnXGzLcOg and the
       | problem flagged was "Two authors are omitted and one (Kyle
       | Richardson) is added. This paper was published at ICLR 2024."
       | I.e., for one cited paper, the author list was off and the venue
       | was wrong. And this citation was mentioned in the background
       | section of the paper, and not fundamental to the validity of the
       | paper. So the citation was not fabricated, but it was incorrectly
       | attributed (perhaps via use of an AI autocomplete).
       | 
       | I think there are some egregious papers in their dataset, and
       | this error does make me pause to wonder how much of the rest of
       | the paper used AI assistance. That said, the "single error"
       | papers in the dataset seem similar to the one I checked:
       | relatively harmless and minor errors (which would be immediately
       | caught by a DOI checker), and so I have to assume some of these
       | were included in the dataset mainly to amplify the author's
       | product pitch. It succeeded.
        
         | davidguetta wrote:
         | Yeah even the entire "Jane Doe / Jame Smith" my first thought
         | is that it could have been a latex default value
         | 
         | There was dumb stuff like this before the GPT era, it's far
         | from convincing
        
           | nativeit wrote:
           | > Between 2020 and 2025, submissions to NeurIPS increased
           | more than 220% from 9,467 to 21,575. In response, organizers
           | have had to recruit ever greater numbers of reviewers,
           | resulting in issues of oversight, expertise alignment,
           | negligence, and even fraud.
           | 
           | I don't think the point being made is "errors didn't happen
           | pre-GPT", rather the tasks of detecting errors have become
           | increasingly difficult because of the associated effects of
           | GPT.
        
             | ctoth wrote:
             | > rather the tasks of detecting errors have become
             | increasingly difficult because of the associated effects of
             | GPT.
             | 
             | Did the increase to submissions to NeurIPS from 2020 to
             | 2025 happen because ChatGPT came out in November of 2022?
             | Or was AI getting hotter and hotter during this period,
             | thereby naturally increasing submissions to ... an AI
             | conference?
        
               | amitav1 wrote:
               | I guess the way one would verify that this is more
               | general trend in academia would be to run this on
               | accepted papers to a non-AI conference?
        
           | ls612 wrote:
           | There are people who just want to punish academics for the
           | sake of punishing academics. Look at all the people
           | downthread salivating over blacklisting or even criminally
           | charging people who make errors like this with felony fraud.
           | Its the perfect brew of anti AI and anti academia sentiment.
           | 
           | Also, in my field (economics), by far the biggest source of
           | finding old papers invalid (or less valid, most papers state
           | multiple results) is good old fashioned coding bugs. I'd like
           | to see the software engineers on this site say with a
           | straight face that writing bugs should lead to jail time.
        
             | worik wrote:
             | > I'd like to see the software engineers on this site say
             | with a straight face that writing bugs should lead to jail
             | time.
             | 
             | My hand is up.
             | 
             | I do not believe in gaol, but I do agree with the
             | sentiment.
        
               | ls612 wrote:
               | Let he who is without sin cast the first stone...
        
               | girvo wrote:
               | If there were real consequences, we wouldn't be forced to
               | churn out buggy nonsense by our employers. So we'd be
               | able to take the time to do the right thing. Bug free
               | software is possible, the world just says its not worth
               | it today.
        
               | ls612 wrote:
               | >Bug free software is possible, ...
               | 
               | Mr. Turing and his halting problem would like to politely
               | disagree with this assertion.
        
             | miki123211 wrote:
             | And research codebases (in AI and otherwise) are usually of
             | extremely bad quality. It's usually a bunch of extremely
             | poorly-written scripts, with no indication which order to
             | run them in, how inputs and outputs should flow between
             | them, and which specific files the scripts were run on to
             | calculate the statistics presented in the paper.
        
         | nativeit wrote:
         | I see your point, but I don't see where the author makes any
         | claims about the specifics of the hallucinations, or their
         | impact on the papers' broader validity. Indeed, I would have
         | found the removal of supposed "innocuous" examples to be _far_
         | more deceptive than simply calling a spade a spade, and
         | allowing the data to speak for itself.
        
           | gowld wrote:
           | The point is that they should focus on the meaningful errors,
           | not the automiation of meaningless errors.
        
             | reliabilityguy wrote:
             | Why these are meaningless? How do I know now that the whole
             | paper is not a slop?
        
           | j2kun wrote:
           | The author calls the mistakes "confirmed hallucinations"
           | without proof (just more or less evidence). The data never
           | "speak for itself." The author curates the data and crafts a
           | story about it. This story presented here is very suggestive
           | (even using the term "hallucination" is suggestive). But
           | calling it "100 suspected hallucinations", or "25 very likely
           | hallucinations" does less for the author's end goal: selling
           | their service.
        
         | m-schuetz wrote:
         | Bibtex are often also incorrectly generated. E.g., google
         | scholar sometimes puts the names of the editors instead of the
         | authors into the bibtex entry.
        
           | worik wrote:
           | > Bibtex are often also incorrectly generated
           | 
           | ...and including the erroneous entry is squarely the author's
           | fault.
           | 
           | Papers should be carefully crafted, not churned out.
           | 
           | I guess that makes me sweetly naive
        
             | daveFNbuck wrote:
             | You want the content of the paper to be carefully crafted.
             | Bibtex entries are the sort of thing you want people to
             | copy and paste from a trusted source, as they can be
             | difficult to do consistently correctly.
        
             | tuckerman wrote:
             | I don't think the original comment was saying this isn't a
             | problem but that flagging it as a hallucination from an LLM
             | is a much more serious allegation. In this case, it also
             | seems like it was done to market a paid product which makes
             | the collateral damage less tolerable in my opinion.
             | 
             | > Papers should be carefully crafted, not churned out.
             | 
             | I think you can say the same thing for code and yet, even
             | with code review, bugs slip by. People aren't perfect and
             | problems happen. Trying to prevent 100% of problems is
             | usually a bad cost/benefit trade-off.
        
             | m-schuetz wrote:
             | That's not happening for a similar reason people do not
             | bug-check every single line of every single third-party
             | library in their code. It's a chore that costs valuable
             | time that you can instead spend on getting the actual stuff
             | done. What's really important is that the scientific
             | contribution is 100% correct and solid. For the references,
             | the "good enough" paradigm applies. They mustn't be
             | complete bogus, like the referenced work not existing at
             | all which would indicate that the authors didnt even look
             | at the reference. But minor issues like typos or rare
             | issues with wrong authors can happen.
        
               | bonzini wrote:
               | To be honest, validating bibliographies does not cost
               | valuable time. Every research group will have their own
               | bibtex file to which every paper the group ever cited is
               | added.
               | 
               | Typically when you add it you get the info from another
               | paper or copy the bibtex entry from Google scholar, but
               | it's really at most 10 minutes work, more likely 2-5.
               | Every paper might have 5-10 new entries in the
               | bibliography, so that's 1 hour or less of work?
        
             | miki123211 wrote:
             | What's the benefit to society of making sure that academics
             | waste even more of their valuable hours verifying that
             | Google Scholar did not include extraneous authors in some
             | citation which is barely even relevant to their work? With
             | search engines being as good as they are, it's not like we
             | can't easily find that paper anyway.
             | 
             | The entire idea of super-detailed citations is itself quite
             | outdated in my view. Sure, citing the work you rely on is
             | important, but that could be done just as well via
             | hyperlinks. It's not like anybody (exclusively) relies on
             | printed versions any more.
        
         | i_am_proteus wrote:
         | >this error does make me pause to wonder how much of the rest
         | of the paper used AI assistance
         | 
         | And this is what's operative here. The error spotted, the
         | entire _class_ of error spotted, is easily checked /verified by
         | a non-domain expert. These are the errors we can confirm
         | readily, with obvious and unmistakable signature of
         | hallucination.
         | 
         | If these are the only errors, we are not troubled. However: we
         | do not know if these are the only errors, they are merely a
         | signature that the paper was submitted without being thoroughly
         | checked for hallucinations. They are a signature that some LLM
         | was used to generate parts of the paper and the responsible
         | authors used this LLM without care.
         | 
         | Checking the rest of the paper requires domain expertise,
         | perhaps requires an attempt at reproducing the authors'
         | results. That the rest of the paper is now in doubt, and that
         | this problem is so widespread, threatens the validity of the
         | fundamental activity these papers represent: research.
        
           | ls612 wrote:
           | Google scholar and the vagaries of copy/paste errors has
           | mangled bibitex ever since it became a thing, a single
           | citation with these sorts of errors may not even be AI, just
           | "normal" mistakes.
        
           | fn-mote wrote:
           | This seems like finding spelling errors and using them to
           | cast the entire paper into doubt.
           | 
           | I am unconvinced that the particular error mentioned above is
           | a hallucination, and even less convinced that it is a sign of
           | some kind of rampant use of AI.
           | 
           | I hope to find better examples later in the comment section.
        
             | j2kun wrote:
             | I actually believe it was an AI hallucination, but I agree
             | with you that it seems the problem is far more concentrated
             | to a few select papers (e.g., one paper made up more than
             | 10% of the detected errors).
        
             | gold23 wrote:
             | Why don't you look at the actual article? There are several
             | more egregious examples, e.g., the authors being cited as
             | "John Smith and Jane Doe"
        
             | recursive wrote:
             | What's the big deal with one dead canary? This coal mine's
             | productivity is at record highs!
        
           | jvanderbot wrote:
           | The problem is, 10 years ago when I was still publishing even
           | I would let an incorrect citation go through b/c of an old
           | bibtex file or some such.
        
           | neilv wrote:
           | > _If these are the only errors, we are not troubled.
           | However: we do not know if these are the only errors, they
           | are merely a signature that the paper was submitted without
           | being thoroughly checked for hallucinations. They are a
           | signature that some LLM was used to generate parts of the
           | paper and the responsible authors used this LLM without
           | care._
           | 
           | I am troubled by people using an LLM at all to write academic
           | research papers.
           | 
           | It's a shoddy, irresponsible way to work. And also
           | plagiarism, when you claim authorship of it.
           | 
           | I'd see a failure of the 'author' to catch hallucinations, to
           | be more like a failure to hide evidence of misconduct.
           | 
           | If academic venues are saying that using an LLM to write your
           | papers is OK ("so long as you look it over for
           | hallucinations"?), then those academic venues deserve every
           | bit of operational pain and damaged reputation that will
           | result.
        
         | nearbuy wrote:
         | The rate here (about 1% of papers) just doesn't seem that bad,
         | especially if many of the errors are minor and don't affect the
         | validity of the results. In other fields, over half of high-
         | impact studies don't replicate.
        
         | currymj wrote:
         | the earlier list of ICLR papers had way more egregious
         | examples. Those were taken from the list of submissions not
         | accepted papers however.
        
         | nazgul17 wrote:
         | The thing is, when you copy paste a bibliography entry from the
         | publisher or from Google Scholar, the authors won't be wrong.
         | In this case, it is. If I were to write a paper with AI, I
         | would at least manage the bibliography by hand, conscious of
         | hallucinations. The fact that the hallucination is in the
         | bibliography is a pretty strong indicator that the paper was
         | written entirely with AI.
        
           | arjvik wrote:
           | I'm not sure I agree... while I don't ever see myself writing
           | papers with AI, I hate wrangling a bibtex bibliography.
           | 
           | I wouldn't trust today's GPT-5-with-web-search to do turn a
           | bullet point list of papers into proper citations without
           | checking myself, but maybe I will trust GPT-X-plus-agent to
           | do this.
        
           | jmmcd wrote:
           | Google Scholar provides imperfect citations - very often
           | wrong article type (eg article versus conference paper), but
           | up to and including missing authors, in my experience.
        
         | David_Osipov wrote:
         | Great job! I've tried to test their tool as well, but was
         | totally paywalled.
        
         | fmbb wrote:
         | > So the citation was not fabricated, but it was incorrectly
         | attributed (perhaps via use of an AI autocomplete).
         | 
         | Well the title says "hallucinations", not "fabrications". What
         | you describe sounds exactly like what AI builders call
         | hallucinations.
        
         | _alternator_ wrote:
         | The missing analysis is, of course, a comparison with pre-LLM
         | conferences, like 2022 or 2023 that would show a "false
         | positive" rate for the tool.
        
       | cyber_kinetist wrote:
       | It has been several years since the reviewing process for top AI
       | conferences have been broken as hell, due to having too many
       | submissions and only a few reviewers (up to the point that
       | Masters students are reviewing the papers). It was only a matter
       | of time before these conferences will be filled with AI-written
       | papers.
        
       | mat_b wrote:
       | > we discovered 100s of hallucinated citations missed by the 3+
       | reviewers who evaluated each paper.
       | 
       | This says just as much about the humans involved.
        
         | mkehrt wrote:
         | Well for one, it's definitely not the responsibility of the
         | reviewers to check that all the citations exist. That would be
         | insane.
        
       | Prof_Sigmund wrote:
       | The authors talk about "a model's ability to align with human
       | decisions" as a matter of the past. The omission in the paper is
       | RLHF (Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback). All these
       | companies are "teaching machines to predict the preferences of
       | people who click 'Accept All Cookies' without reading," by using
       | low-paid human evaluators -- "AI teachers."
       | 
       | If we go back to Google, before its transformation into an AI
       | powerhouse -- as it gutted its own SERPs, shoving traditional
       | blue links below AI-generated overlords that synthesize answers
       | from the web's underbelly, often leaving publishers starving for
       | clicks in a zero-click apocalypse -- what was happening?
       | 
       | The same kind of human "evaluators" were ranking pages. Pushing
       | garbage forward. The same thing is happening with AI. As much as
       | the human "evaluators" trained search engines to elevate
       | clickbait, the very same humans now train large language models
       | to mimic the judgment of those very same evaluators. A feedback
       | loop of mediocrity -- supervised by the... well, not the best
       | among us. The machines still, as Stephen Wolfram wrote, for any
       | given sequence, use the same probability method (e.g., "The cat
       | sat on the..."), in which the model doesn't just pick one word.
       | It calculates a probability score for every single word in its
       | vast vocabulary (e.g., "mat" = 40% chance, "floor" = 15%, "car" =
       | 0.01%), and voila! -- you have a "creative" text: one of a
       | gazillion mindlessly produced, soulless, garbage "vile bile"
       | sludge emissions that pollute our collective brains and render us
       | a bunch of idiots, ready to swallow any corporate poison sent our
       | way.
       | 
       | In my opinion, even worse: the corporates are pushing toward
       | "safety" (likely from lawsuits), and the AI systems are trained
       | to sell, soothe, and please -- not to think, or enhance our
       | collective experience.
        
       | Lerc wrote:
       | So the headline says
       | 
       | > _GPTZero finds 100 new hallucinations in NeurIPS 2025 accepted
       | papers_
       | 
       | And I'm left wondering if they mean 100 papers or 100
       | hallucinations
       | 
       | The subheading says
       | 
       | > _GPTZero 's analysis 4841 papers accepted by NeurIPS 2025 show
       | there are at least 100 with confirmed hallucinations _
       | 
       | Which accidentally a word, but seems to clarify that they do
       | legitimately mean 100 papers.
       | 
       | A later heading says
       | 
       | > _Table of 100 Hallucinated Citations in Published Across 53
       | NeurIPS Papers_
       | 
       | Which suggests either the opposite, or that they chose a subset
       | of their findings to point out a coincidentally similar number of
       | incidents.
       | 
       | How many papers did they find hallucinations in? I'm still not
       | certain. Is it 100, 53 or some other number altogether? Does
       | their quality of scrutiny match the quality of their
       | communication. If they did in-fact find 100 Hallucinations in 53
       | papers, would the inconsistency against their claim of "papers
       | accepted by NeurIPS 2025 show there are at least 100 with
       | confirmed hallucinations" meet their own bar for a hallucination?
        
       | OptionX wrote:
       | The old create the problem and sell the solution shtick.
        
       | gowld wrote:
       | Why does "Robust Label Proportions Learning" have a "Scan" link,
       | while all the others have a "Sources" link? Was this web page
       | generated by AI?
        
       | gowld wrote:
       | "100 Hallucinated Citations in Published Across 53 NeurIPS
       | Papers"
       | 
       | No one cares about citations. They are hallucinated because they
       | are required to be present for political reasons, even though
       | they have no relevance.
        
       | gowld wrote:
       | I searched Google for one of the hallucinations: [N. Flammarion.
       | Chen "sam generalizes"]
       | 
       | AI Overview: Based on the research, [Chen and N. Flammarion
       | (2022)](https://gptzero.me/news/neurips/) investigate why
       | Sharpness-Aware Minimization (SAM) generalizes better than SGD,
       | focusing on optimization perspectives
       | 
       | The link is a link to the OP web page calling the "research" a
       | hallucination.
        
       | djoldman wrote:
       | I would love to see this analysis run on pre-GPT era papers.
        
       | waldarbeiter wrote:
       | My website of choice whenever I have to deal with references is
       | dblp [1]. In my opinion more reliable than Google scholar in
       | creating correct BibTeX. Also when searching for a paper you
       | clearly see where it has been published or if it is only on
       | arxiv.
       | 
       | [1] https://dblp.org/
        
       | sdellis wrote:
       | This is an advertisement disguised as a "report".
        
         | gold23 wrote:
         | Nonetheless this investigation is important to anyone with a
         | stronger desire to preserve intellectual honesty than disdain
         | for a company trying to expand their offering.
        
       | SaaSasaurus wrote:
       | I'm surprised it's only 100, honestly. Also feels a little
       | sensationalized... Before AI I wonder how many "hallucinations"
       | were in human-written papers. Is there any data on this?
        
         | rovr138 wrote:
         | These are 100, already reviewed papers and accepted papers, by
         | researchers in their areas of expertise. Usually PhD's and
         | Professors.... They judge.
         | 
         | These are not all the submissions that they received. The
         | review process can be... brutal for some people (depending on
         | the quality of their submission)
        
       | abalone wrote:
       | At least in one case the authors claimed to use ChatGPT to
       | "generate the citations after giving it author-year in-text
       | citations, titles, or their paraphrases." They pasted the
       | hallucinations in without checking. They've since responded with
       | corrections to real papers that in most cases are very similar to
       | the hallucination, lending credibility to their claim.[1]
       | 
       | Not great, but to be clear this is different from fabricating the
       | whole paper or the authors inventing the citations. (In this case
       | at least.)
       | 
       | [1] https://openreview.net/forum?id=IiEtQPGVyV
        
       | lifetimerubyist wrote:
       | Surely this will help with the trust in our institutions that has
       | been completely eroded over the last 5 years.
        
       | thestructuralme wrote:
       | The most striking part of the report isn't just the 100
       | hallucinations--it's the "submission tsunami" (220% increase
       | since 2020) that made this possible. We're seeing a literal
       | manifestation of a system being exhausted by simulation.
       | 
       | When a reviewer is outgunned by the volume of generative slop,
       | the structure of peer review collapses because it was designed
       | for human-to-human accountability, not for verifying high-speed
       | statistical mimicry. In these papers, the hallucinations are a
       | dead giveaway of a total decoupling of intelligence from any
       | underlying "self" or presence. The machine calculates a
       | plausible-looking citation, and an exhausted reviewer fails to
       | notice the "Soul" of the research is missing.
       | 
       | It feels like we're entering a loop where the simulation is
       | validated by the system, which then becomes the training data for
       | the next generation of simulation. At that point, the human
       | element of research isn't just obscured--it's rendered
       | computationally irrelevant.
        
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