[HN Gopher] TimeCapsuleLLM: LLM trained only on data from 1800-1875
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       TimeCapsuleLLM: LLM trained only on data from 1800-1875
        
       Author : admp
       Score  : 419 points
       Date   : 2026-01-12 16:04 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (github.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (github.com)
        
       | dogma1138 wrote:
       | Would be interesting to train a cutting edge model with a cut off
       | date of say 1900 and then prompt it about QM and relativity with
       | some added context.
       | 
       | If the model comes up with anything even remotely correct it
       | would be quite a strong evidence that LLMs are a path to
       | something bigger if not then I think it is time to go back to the
       | drawing board.
        
         | a-dub wrote:
         | yeah i was just wondering that. i wonder how much stem material
         | is in the training set...
        
           | signa11 wrote:
           | i will go for 'aint gonna happen for a 1000 dollars alex'
        
         | imjonse wrote:
         | I suppose the vast majority of training data used for cutting
         | edge models was created after 1900.
        
           | dogma1138 wrote:
           | Ofc they are because their primary goal is to be useful and
           | to be useful they need to always be relevant.
           | 
           | But considering that Special Relativity was published in 1905
           | which means all its building blocks were already floating in
           | the ether by 1900 it would be a very interesting experiment
           | to train something on Claude/Gemini scale and then say give
           | in the field equations and ask it to build a theory around
           | them.
        
             | p1esk wrote:
             | How can you train a Claude/Gemini scale model if you're
             | limited to <10% of the training data?
        
             | famouswaffles wrote:
             | His point is that we can't train a Gemini 3/Claude 4.5 etc
             | model because we don't have the data to match the training
             | scale of those models. There aren't trillions of tokens of
             | digitized pre-1900s text.
        
           | kopollo wrote:
           | I don't know if this is related to the topic, but GPT5 can
           | convert an 1880 Ottoman archival photograph to English, and
           | without any loss of quality.
        
         | tokai wrote:
         | Looking at the training data I don't think it will know
         | anything.[0] Doubt _On the Connexion of the Physical Sciences_
         | (1834) is going to have much about QM. While the cut-off is
         | 1900, it seems much of the texts a much closer to 1800 than
         | 1900.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://github.com/haykgrigo3/TimeCapsuleLLM/blob/main/Copy%...
        
           | dogma1138 wrote:
           | It doesn't need to know about QM or reactivity just about the
           | building blocks that led to them. Which were more than around
           | in the year 1900.
           | 
           | In fact you don't want it to know about them explicitly just
           | have enough background knowledge that you can manage the rest
           | via context.
        
             | tokai wrote:
             | I was vague. My point is that I don't think the building
             | blocks are in the data. Its mainly tertiary and popular
             | sources. Maybe if you had the writings of Victorian
             | scientists, both public and private correspondence.
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | Probably a lot of it exists but in archives, private
               | collections etc. Would be great if it will all end up
               | digitized as well.
        
             | viccis wrote:
             | LLMs are models that predict tokens. They don't think, they
             | don't build with blocks. They would never be able to
             | synthesize knowledge about QM.
        
               | strbean wrote:
               | You realize parent said "This would be an interesting way
               | to test proposition X" and you responded with "X is false
               | because I say say", right?
        
               | anonymous908213 wrote:
               | "Proposition X" does not need testing. We already know X
               | is categorically false because we know how LLMs are
               | programmed, and not a single line of that programming
               | pertains to thinking (thinking in the human sense, not
               | "thinking" in the LLM sense which merely uses an
               | anthromorphized analogy to describe a script that feeds
               | back multiple prompts before getting the final prompt
               | output to present to the user). In the same way that we
               | can reason about the correctness of an IsEven program
               | without writing a unit test that inputs every possible
               | int32 to "prove" it, we can reason about the fundamental
               | principles of an LLM's programming without coming up with
               | ridiculous tests. In fact the proposed test itself is
               | less eminently verifiable than reasoning about
               | correctness; it could be easily corrupted by, for
               | instance, incorrectly labelled data in the training
               | dataset, which could only be determined by meticulously
               | reviewing the entirety of the dataset.
               | 
               | The only people who are serious about suggesting that
               | LLMs could possibly 'think' are the people who are
               | committing fraud on the scale of hundreds of billions of
               | dollars (good for them on finding the all-time grift!)
               | and people who don't understand how they're programmed,
               | and thusly are the target of the grift. Granted, given
               | that the vast majority of humanity are not programmers,
               | and even fewer are programmers educated on the
               | intricacies of ML, the grift target pool numbers in the
               | billions.
        
               | strbean wrote:
               | > We already know X is categorically false because we
               | know how LLMs are programmed, and not a single line of
               | that programming pertains to thinking (thinking in the
               | human sense, not "thinking" in the LLM sense which merely
               | uses an anthromorphized analogy to describe a script that
               | feeds back multiple prompts before getting the final
               | prompt output to present to the user).
               | 
               | Could you elucidate me on the process of human thought,
               | and point out the differences between that and a
               | probabilistic prediction engine?
               | 
               | I see this argument all over the place, but "how do
               | humans think" is never described. It is always left as a
               | black box with something magical (presumably a soul or
               | some other metaphysical substance) inside.
        
               | anonymous908213 wrote:
               | There is no need to involve souls or magic. I am not
               | making the argument that it is impossible to create a
               | machine that is capable of doing the same computations as
               | the brain. The argument is that whether or not such a
               | machine is possible, an LLM is not such a machine. If
               | you'd like to think of our brains as squishy computers,
               | then the principle is simple: we run code that is more
               | complex than a token prediction engine. The fact that our
               | code is more complex than a token prediction engine is
               | easily verified by our capability to address problems
               | that a token prediction engine cannot. This is because
               | our brain-code is capable of reasoning from deterministic
               | logical principles rather than only probabilities. We
               | also likely have something akin to token prediction code,
               | but that is not the _only_ thing our brain is programmed
               | to do, whereas it is the only thing LLMs are programmed
               | to do.
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | Kant's model of epistemology, with humans schematizing
               | conceptual understanding of objects through apperception
               | of manifold impressions from our sensibility, and then
               | reasoning about these objects using transcendental
               | application of the categories, is a reasonable enough
               | model of thought. It was (and is I think) a satisfactory
               | answer for the question of how humans can produce
               | synthetic a priori knowledge, something that LLMs are
               | incapable of (don't take my word on that though, ChatGPT
               | is more than happy to discuss [1])
               | 
               | 1: https://chatgpt.com/share/6965653e-b514-8011-b233-79d8
               | c25d33...
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | Yes. That is correct. If I told you I planned on going
               | outside this evening to test whether the sun sets in the
               | east, the best response would be to let me know ahead of
               | time that my hypothesis is wrong.
        
               | strbean wrote:
               | So, based on the source of "Trust me bro.", we'll decide
               | this open question about new technology and the nature of
               | cognition is solved. Seems unproductive.
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | In addition to what I have posted elsewhere in here, I
               | would point to the fact that this is not indeed an "open
               | question", as LLMs have not produced an entirely new and
               | more advanced model of physics. So there is no reason to
               | suppose they could have done so for QM.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | I am a deep LLM skeptic.
               | 
               | But I think there are also some questions about the role
               | of language in human thought that leave the door just
               | slightly ajar on the issue of whether or not manipulating
               | the tokens of language might be more central to human
               | cognition than we've tended to think.
               | 
               | If it turned out that this was true, then it is possible
               | that "a model predicting tokens" has more power than that
               | description would suggest.
               | 
               | I doubt it, and I doubt it quite a lot. But I don't think
               | it is impossible that something at least a little bit
               | along these lines turns out to be true.
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | > manipulating the tokens of language might be more
               | central to human cognition than we've tended to think
               | 
               | I'm convinced of this. I think it's because we've always
               | looked at the most advanced forms of human languaging
               | (like philosophy) to understand ourselves. But human
               | language must have evolved from forms of communication
               | found in other species, especially highly intelligent
               | ones. It's to be expected that the building blocks of it
               | is based on things like imitation, playful variation,
               | pattern-matching, harnessing capabilities brains have
               | been developing long before language, only now in the
               | emerging world of sounds, calls, vocalizations.
               | 
               | Ironically, the other crucial ingredient for AGI which
               | LLMs _don 't_ have, but we do, is exactly that animal
               | nature which we always try to shove under the rug, over-
               | attributing our success to the stochastic parrot part of
               | us, and ignoring the gut instinct, the intuitive,
               | spontaneous insight into things which a lot of the great
               | scientists and artists of the past have talked about.
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | >Ironically, the other crucial ingredient for AGI which
               | LLMs don't have, but we do, is exactly that animal nature
               | which we always try to shove under the rug, over-
               | attributing our success to the stochastic parrot part of
               | us, and ignoring the gut instinct, the intuitive,
               | spontaneous insight into things which a lot of the great
               | scientists and artists of the past have talked about.
               | 
               | Are you familiar with the major works in epistemology
               | that were written, even before the 20th century, on this
               | exact topic?
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | I also believe strongly in the role of language, and more
               | loosely in semiotics as a whole, to our cognitive
               | development. To the extent that I think there are some
               | meaningful ideas within the mountain of gibberish from
               | Lacan, who was the first to really tie our conception of
               | ourselves with our symbolic understanding of the world.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, none of that has anything to do with what
               | LLMs are doing. The LLM is not thinking about concepts
               | and then translating that into language. It is imitating
               | what it looks like to read people doing so and nothing
               | more. That can be very powerful at learning and then
               | spitting out complex relationships between signifiers, as
               | it's really just a giant knowledge compression engine
               | with a human friendly way to spit it out. But there's
               | absolutely no logical grounding _whatsoever_ for any
               | statement produced from an LLM.
               | 
               | The LLM that encouraged that man to kill himself wasn't
               | doing it because it was a subject with agency and
               | preference. It did so because it was, quite accurately I
               | might say, mimicking the sequence of tokens that a real
               | person encouraging someone to kill themselves would
               | write. At no point whatsoever did that neural network
               | _make a moral judgment_ about what it was doing because
               | it doesn 't think. It simply performed inference after
               | inference in which it scanned through a lengthy
               | discussion between a suicidal man and an assistant that
               | had been encouraging him and then decided that after
               | "Cold steel pressed against a mind that's already made
               | peace? That's not fear. That's " the most accurate token
               | would be "clar" and then "ity."
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | The problem with all this is that we don't actually know
               | what human cognition is doing either.
               | 
               | We know what our _experience_ is - thinking about
               | concepts and then translating that into language - but we
               | really don 't know with much confidence what is actually
               | going on.
               | 
               | I lean strongly toward the idea that humans are doing
               | something quite different than LLMs, particularly when
               | reasoning. But I want to leave the door open to the idea
               | that we've not understood human cognition, mostly because
               | our primary evidence there comes from our own subjective
               | experience, which may (or may not) provide a reliable
               | guide to what is actually happening.
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | >The problem with all this is that we don't actually know
               | what human cognition is doing either.
               | 
               | We do know what it's not doing, and that is operating
               | only through reproducing linguistic patterns. There's no
               | more cause to think LLMs approximate our thought (thought
               | being something they are incapable of) than that Naive-
               | Bayes spam filter models approximate our thought.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | My point is that we know very little about the sort of
               | "thought" that we are capable of either. I agree that
               | LLMs cannot do what we typical refer to as "thought", but
               | I thnk it is possible that we do a LOT less of that than
               | we think when we are "thinking" (or more precisely,
               | having the experience of thinking).
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | How does this worldview reconcile the fact that thought
               | demonstrably exists independent of either language or
               | vision/audio sense?
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | I don't see a need to reconcile them.
        
               | viccis wrote:
               | Which is why it's incoherent!
        
         | forgotpwd16 wrote:
         | Done few weeks ago: https://github.com/DGoettlich/history-llms
         | (discussed in: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46319826)
         | 
         | At least the model part. Although others made same thought as
         | you afaik none tried it.
        
           | chrononaut wrote:
           | And unfortunately I don't think they plan on making those
           | models public.
        
         | bazzargh wrote:
         | You would find things in there that were already close to QM
         | and relativity. The Michelson-Morley experiment was 1887 and
         | Lorentz transformations came along in 1889. The photoelectric
         | effect (which Einstein explained in terms of photons in 1905)
         | was also discovered in 1887. William Clifford (who _died_ in
         | 1889) had notions that foreshadowed general relativity:
         | "Riemann, and more specifically Clifford, conjectured that
         | forces and matter might be local irregularities in the
         | curvature of space, and in this they were strikingly prophetic,
         | though for their pains they were dismissed at the time as
         | visionaries." - Banesh Hoffmann (1973)
         | 
         | Things don't happen all of a sudden, and being able to see all
         | the scientific papers of the era its possible those could have
         | fallen out of the synthesis.
        
           | matthewh806 wrote:
           | I presume that's what the parent post is trying to get at?
           | Seeing if, given the cutting edge scientific knowledge of the
           | day, the LLM is able to synthesis all it into a workable
           | theory of QM by making the necessary connections and
           | (quantum...) leaps
           | 
           | Standing on the shoulders of giants, as it were
        
             | actionfromafar wrote:
             | Yeah but... we _still_ might not know if it could do that
             | because we were really close by 1900 or if the LLM is very
             | smart.
        
               | scottlamb wrote:
               | What's the bar here? Does anyone say "we don't know if
               | Einstein could do this because we were really close or
               | because he was really smart?"
               | 
               | I by no means believe LLMs are general intelligence, and
               | I've seen them produce a lot of garbage, but if they
               | could produce these revolutionary theories from only <=
               | year 1900 information and a prompt that is not
               | ridiculously leading, that would be a really compelling
               | demonstration of their power.
        
               | echoangle wrote:
               | > Does anyone say "we don't know if Einstein could do
               | this because we were really close or because he was
               | really smart?"
               | 
               | Kind of, how long would it have realistically taken for
               | someone else (also really smart) to come up with the same
               | thing if Einstein wouldn't have been there?
        
               | jaggederest wrote:
               | Well, we know many watershed moments in history were more
               | a matter of situation than the specific person - an
               | individual genius might move things by a decade or two,
               | but in general the difference is marginal. True bolt-out-
               | of-the-blue developments are uncommon, though all the
               | more impressive for that fact, I think.
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | But you're not actually questioning whether he was
               | "really smart". Which was what GP was questioning. Sure,
               | you can try to quantify the level of smarts, but you
               | can't still call it a "stochastic parrot" anymore, just
               | like you won't respond to Einstein's achievements, "Ah
               | well, in the end I'm still not sure he's actually smart,
               | like I am for example. Could just be that he's just
               | dumbly but systematically going through all options,
               | working it out step by step, nothing I couldn't achieve
               | (or even better, program a computer to do) if I'd put my
               | mind to it."
               | 
               | I personally doubt that this would work. I don't think
               | these systems can achieve truly ground-breaking,
               | paradigm-shifting work. The homeworld of these systems is
               | the corpus of text on which it was trained, in the same
               | way as ours is physical reality. Their access to this
               | reality is always secondary, already distorted by the
               | imperfections of human knowledge.
        
               | bmacho wrote:
               | > Does anyone say "we don't know if Einstein could do
               | this because we were really close or because he was
               | really smart?
               | 
               | Yes. It is certainly a question if Einstein is one of the
               | smartest guy ever lived or all of his discoveries were
               | already in the Zeitgeist, and would have been discovered
               | by someone else in ~5 years.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Both can be true?
               | 
               | Einstein was smart and put several disjointed things
               | together. It's amazing that one person could do so much,
               | from explaining the Brownian motion to explaining the
               | photoeffect.
               | 
               | But I think that all these would have happened within
               | _years_ anyway.
        
               | emodendroket wrote:
               | > Does anyone say "we don't know if Einstein could do
               | this because we were really close or because he was
               | really smart?"
               | 
               | It turns out my reading is somewhat topical. I've been
               | reading Rhodes' "The Making of the Atomic Bomb" and of
               | the things he takes great pains to argue (I was not quite
               | anticipating how much I'd be trying to recall my high
               | school science classes to make sense of his account of
               | various experiments) is that the development toward the
               | atomic bomb was more or less inexorable and if at any
               | point someone said "this is too far; let's stop here"
               | there would be others to take his place. So, maybe, to
               | answer your question.
        
               | sleet_spotter wrote:
               | Well, if one had enough time and resources, this would
               | make for an interesting metric. Could it figure it out
               | with cut-off of 1900? If so, what about 1899? 1898? What
               | context from the marginal year was key to the change in
               | outcome?
        
             | palmotea wrote:
             | But that's not the OP's challenge, he said "if the model
             | comes up with anything _even remotely correct_. " The point
             | is there were things _already_ "remotely correct" out there
             | in 1900. If the LLM finds them, it wouldn't "be quite a
             | strong evidence that LLMs are a path to something bigger."
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | It's not the comment which is illogical, it's your
               | (mis)interpretation of it. What I (and seemingly others)
               | took it to mean is basically _could an LLM do Einstein 's
               | job_? Could it weave together all those loose threads
               | into a coherent new way of understanding the physical
               | world? If so, AGI can't be far behind.
        
               | feanaro wrote:
               | This alone still wouldn't be a clear demonstration that
               | AGI is around the corner. It's quite possible a LLM
               | could've done Einstein's job, if Einstein's job was truly
               | just synthesising already available information into a
               | coherent new whole. (I couldn't say, I don't know enough
               | of the physics landscape of the day to claim either way.)
               | 
               | It's still unclear whether this process could be merely
               | continued, seeded only with new physical data, in order
               | to keep progressing beyond that point, "forever", or at
               | least for as long as we imagine humans will continue to
               | go on making scientific progress.
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | Einstein is chosen in such contexts because he's the
               | paradigmatic paradigm-shifter. Basically, what you're
               | saying is: "I don't know enough history of science to
               | confirm this incredibly high opinion on Einstein's
               | achievements. It could just be that everyone's been wrong
               | about him, and if I'd really get down and dirty, and
               | learn the facts at hand, I might even prove it." Einstein
               | is chosen to avoid exactly this kind of nit-picking.
        
               | Shorel wrote:
               | They can also choose Euler or Gauss.
               | 
               | These two are so above everyone else in the mathematical
               | world that most people would struggle for weeks or even
               | months to understand something they did in a couple of
               | minutes.
               | 
               | There's no "get down and dirty" shortcut with them =)
        
               | techno_tsar wrote:
               | This does make me think about Kuhn's concept of
               | scientific revolutions and paradigms, and that paradigms
               | are incommensurate with one another. Since new paradigms
               | can't be proven or disproven by the rules of the old
               | paradigm, if an LLM could independently discover paradigm
               | shifts similar to moving from Newtonian gravity to
               | general relativity, then we have empirical evidence of an
               | LLM performing a feature of general intelligence.
               | 
               | However, you could also argue that it's actually
               | empirical evidence that general relativity and 19th
               | century physics wasn't _truly_ a paradigm shift -- you
               | could have  'derived' it from previous data -- that the
               | LLM has actually proven something about structurally
               | similarities between those paradigms, not that it's
               | demonstrating general intelligence...
        
               | ctoth wrote:
               | I mean, "the pieces were already there" is true of
               | everything? Einstein was synthesizing existing math and
               | existing data is your point right?
               | 
               | But the whole question is whether or not something can do
               | that synthesis!
               | 
               | And the "anyone who read all the right papers" thing -
               | nobody actually reads all the papers. That's the
               | bottleneck. LLMs don't have it. They will continue to not
               | have it. Humans will continue to not be able to read
               | faster than LLMs.
               | 
               | Even me, using a speech synthesizer at ~700 WPM.
        
               | andai wrote:
               | AGI is human level intelligence, and the minimum bar is
               | _Einstein?_
        
               | pegasus wrote:
               | Who said anything of a _minimum_ bar?  "If so", not "Only
               | if so".
        
               | andy12_ wrote:
               | I think the problem is the formulation "If so, AGI can't
               | be far behind". I think that if a model were advanced
               | enough such that it could do Einstein's job, that's it;
               | that's AGI. Would it be ASI? Not necessarily, but that's
               | another matter.
        
           | bhaak wrote:
           | This would still be valuable even if the LLM only finds out
           | about things that are already in the air.
           | 
           | It's probably even more of a problem that different areas of
           | scientific development don't know about each other. LLMs
           | combining results would still not be like they invented
           | something new.
           | 
           | But if they could give us a head start of 20 years on certain
           | developments this would be an awesome result.
        
           | gus_massa wrote:
           | I agree, but it's important to note that QM has no clear
           | formulation until 2025/6, it's like 20 years more of work
           | than SR.
        
           | Shorel wrote:
           | Then that experiment is even more interesting, and should be
           | done.
           | 
           | My own prediction is that the LLMs would totally fail at
           | connecting the dots, but a small group of very smart humans
           | can.
           | 
           | Things don't happen all of a sudden, but they also don't
           | happen everywhere. Most people in most parts of the world
           | would never connect the dots. Scientific curiosity is
           | something valuable and fragile, that we just take for
           | granted.
        
             | bigfudge wrote:
             | One of the reasons they don't happen everywhere is because
             | there are just a few places at any given point in time
             | where there are enough well connected and educated
             | individuals who are in a position to even see all the dots
             | let alone connect them. This doesn't discount the
             | achievement of an LLM also manages to, but I think it's
             | important to recognise that having enough giants in sight
             | is an important prerequisite to standing on their shoulders
        
         | metalliqaz wrote:
         | Yann LeCun spoke explicitly on this idea recently and he
         | asserts definitively that the LLM would not be able to add
         | anything useful in that scenario. My understanding is that
         | other AI researchers generally agree with him, and that it's
         | mostly the hype beasts like Altman that think there is some
         | "magic" in the weights that is actually intelligent. Their
         | payday depends on it, so it is understandable. My opinion is
         | that LeCun is probably correct.
        
           | johnsmith1840 wrote:
           | There is some ability for it to make novel connections but
           | it's pretty small. You can see this yourself having it build
           | novel systems.
           | 
           | It largely cannot imaginr anything beyond the usual but there
           | is a small part that it can. This is similar to in context
           | learning, it's weak but it is there.
           | 
           | It would be incredible if meta learning/continual learning
           | found a way to train exactly for novel learning path. But
           | that's literally AGI so maybe 20yrs from now? Or never..
           | 
           | You can see this on CL benchmarks. There is SOME signal but
           | it's crazy low. When I was traing CL models i found that
           | signal was in the single % points. Some could easily argue it
           | was zero but I really do believe there is a very small amount
           | in there.
           | 
           | This is also why any novel work or findings is done via
           | MASSIVE compute budgets. They find RL enviroments that can
           | extract that small amount out. Is it random chance? Maybe,
           | hard to say.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Is this so different from what we see in humans? Most
             | people do not think very creatively. They apply what they
             | know in situations they are familiar with. In unfamiliar
             | situations they don't know what to do and often fail to
             | come up with novel solutions. Or maybe in areas where they
             | are very experienced they will come up with something
             | incrementally better than before. But occasionally a very
             | exceptional person makes a profound connection or leap to a
             | new understanding.
        
               | johnsmith1840 wrote:
               | Sure we make small steps at the time but we compound
               | these unlike AI.
               | 
               | AI cannot compound their learnings for the foreseeable
               | future
        
           | catigula wrote:
           | This is definitely wrong, most AI researchers DO NOT agree
           | with LeCun.
           | 
           | Most ML researchers think AGI is imminent.
        
             | p_j_w wrote:
             | Who is in this group of ML researchers?
        
               | shaky-carrousel wrote:
               | People with OpenAI shares, probably.
        
             | kingstnap wrote:
             | Where do you get your majority from?
             | 
             | I don't think there is any level of broad agreement right
             | now. There are tons of random camps none of which I would
             | consider to be broadly dominating.
        
             | Alex2037 wrote:
             | their employment and business opportunities depend on the
             | hype, so they will continue to 'think' that (on xitter)
             | despite the current SOTA of transformers-based models being
             | <100% smarter than >3 year old GPT4, and no revolutionary
             | new architecture in sight.
        
               | catigula wrote:
               | You're going to be in for a very rude awakening.
        
             | johnsmith1840 wrote:
             | The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years
             | away?
             | 
             | Not sure how to interpret that as almost imminent.
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | > The guy who built chatgpt literally said we're 20 years
               | away?
               | 
               | 20 years away in 2026, still 20 years away in 2027, etc
               | etc.
               | 
               | Whatever Altman's hyping, that's the translation.
        
             | rafram wrote:
             | The ones being paid a million dollars a year by OpenAI to
             | say stuff like that, maybe.
        
             | goatlover wrote:
             | Do you have poll of ML researchers that shows this?
        
             | paodealho wrote:
             | Well, can you point us to their research then? Please.
        
           | mlinksva wrote:
           | Do you have a pointer to where LeCun spoke about it? I
           | noticed last October that Dwarkesh mentioned the idea off
           | handedly on his podcast (prompting me to write up
           | https://manifold.markets/MikeLinksvayer/llm-trained-on-
           | data-...) but I wonder if this idea has been around for much
           | longer, or is just so obvious that lots of people are
           | independently coming up with it (parent to this comment being
           | yet another)?
        
           | samuelson wrote:
           | Preface: Most of my understand of how LLMs actually work
           | comes from 3blue1brown's videos, so I could easily be wrong
           | here.
           | 
           | I mostly agree with you, especially about distrusting the
           | self-interested hype beasts.
           | 
           | While I don't think the models are actually "intelligent", I
           | also wonder if there are insights to be gained by looking at
           | how concepts get encoded by the models. It's not really that
           | the models will add something "new", but more that there
           | might be connections between things that we haven't noticed,
           | especially because academic disciplines are so insular these
           | days.
        
           | matheusd wrote:
           | How about this for an evaluation: Have this (trained-on-
           | older-corpus) LLM propose experiments. We "play the role of
           | nature" and inform it of the results of the experiments. It
           | can then try to deduce the natural laws.
           | 
           | If we did this (to a good enough level of detail), would it
           | be able to derive relativity? How large of an AI model would
           | it have to be to successfully derive relativity (if it only
           | had access to everything published up to 1904)?
        
         | DevX101 wrote:
         | Chemistry would be a great space to explore. The last quarter
         | of the 19th century had a ton of advancements in chemistry.
         | It'd be interesting the see if an LLM could propose fruitful
         | hypotheses, made predictions of the science of thermodynamics.
        
         | bravura wrote:
         | A rigorous approach to predicting the future of text was
         | proposed by Li et al 2024, "Evaluating Large Language Models
         | for Generalization and Robustness via Data Compression"
         | (https://ar5iv.labs.arxiv.org/html//2402.00861) and I think
         | that work should get more recognition.
         | 
         | They measure compression (perplexity) on future Wikipedia, news
         | articles, code, arXiv papers, and multi-modal data. Data
         | compression is intimately connected with robustness and
         | generalization.
        
         | nickdothutton wrote:
         | I would love to ask such a model to summarise the handful of
         | theories or theoretical "roads" being eyed at the time and to
         | make a prediction with reasons as to which looks most
         | promising. We might learn something about blind spots in human
         | reasoning, institutions, and organisations that are applicable
         | today in the "future".
        
         | nickpsecurity wrote:
         | That would be an interesting experiment. It might be more
         | useful to make a model with a cut off close to when copyrights
         | expire to be as modern as possible.
         | 
         | Then, we have a model that knows quite a bit in modern English.
         | We also legally have a data set for everything it knows. Then,
         | there's all kinds of experimentation or copyright-safe training
         | strategies we can do.
         | 
         | Project Gutenberg up to the 1920's seems to be the safest bet
         | on that.
        
         | samuelson wrote:
         | I think it would be fun to see if an LLM would reframe some
         | scientific terms from the time in a way that would actually fit
         | in our current theories.
         | 
         | I imagine if you explained quantum field theory to a 19th
         | century scientists they might think of it as a more refined
         | understanding of luminiferous aether.
         | 
         | Or if an 18th century scholar learned about positive and
         | negative ions, it could be seen as an expansion/correction of
         | phlogiston theory.
        
         | wongarsu wrote:
         | I'm trying to work towards that goal by training a model on
         | mostly German science texts up to 1904 (before the world wars
         | German was the lingua franca of most sciences).
         | 
         | Training data for a base model isn't that hard to come by, even
         | though you have to OCR most of it yourself because the publicly
         | available OCRed versions are commonly unusably bad. But
         | training a model large enough to be useful is a major issue.
         | Training a 700M parameter model at home is very doable (and is
         | what this TimeCapsuleLLM is), but to get that kind of reasoning
         | you need something closer to a 70B model. Also a lot of the
         | "smarts" of a model gets injected in fine tuning and RL, but
         | any of the available fine tuning datasets would obviously
         | contaminate the model with 2026 knowledge.
        
           | theallan wrote:
           | Can we follow along with your work / results somewhere?
        
           | benbreen wrote:
           | I am a historian and am putting together a grant application
           | for a somewhat similar project (different era and language
           | though). Would you be open to discussing a collaboration? My
           | email is bebreen [at] ucsc [dot] edu.
        
         | root_axis wrote:
         | I think it would raise some interesting questions, but if it
         | did yield anything noteworthy, the biggest question would be
         | why that LLM is capable of pioneering scientific advancements
         | and none of the modern ones are.
        
           | spidersouris wrote:
           | I'm not sure what you'd call a "pioneering scientific
           | advancement", but there is an increasing amount of examples
           | showing that LLMs can be used for research (with agents,
           | particularly). A survey about this was published a few months
           | ago: https://aclanthology.org/2025.emnlp-main.895.pdf
        
         | defgeneric wrote:
         | The development of QM was so closely connected to experiments
         | that it's highly unlikely, even despite some of the experiments
         | having been performed prior to 1900.
         | 
         | Special relativity however seems possible.
        
         | damnitbuilds wrote:
         | I like this, it would be exciting (and scary) if it deduced QM,
         | and informative if it cannot.
         | 
         | But I also think we can do this with normal LLMs trained on up-
         | to-date text, by asking them to come up with _any_ novel theory
         | that fits the facts. It does not have to be a groundbreaking
         | theory like QM, just original and not (yet) proven wrong ?
        
         | kristopolous wrote:
         | It's going to be divining tea leaves. It will be 99% wrong and
         | then someone will say 'oh but look at this tea leaf over here!
         | It's almost correct"'
        
           | bowmessage wrote:
           | Look! It made another TODO-list app on the first try!
        
       | simonw wrote:
       | Anyone seen a low-friction way to run prompts through this yet,
       | either via a hosted API or chat UI or a convenient GGML or MLX
       | build that runs in Ollama or llama.cpp or LM Studio?
        
         | philmo1 wrote:
         | +1
        
           | d401 wrote:
           | +1
        
         | t1amat wrote:
         | Not a direct answer but it looks like v0.5 is a nanoGPT arch
         | and v1 is a Phi 1.5 arch, which should be well supported by
         | quanting utilities for any engine. They are small too and
         | should be able to be done on a potato.
        
         | alansaber wrote:
         | I too have completely forgotten how the adapters library works
         | and would have appreciated a simple inference script
        
         | throwaway18875 wrote:
         | Currently running it using LM Studio. It can download it from
         | Hugging Face. It generates incoherent text though
         | 
         | ===
         | 
         | You:
         | 
         | I pray you, who is this Master Newton?
         | 
         | timecapsulellm-v2-1800-1875-mlx:
         | 
         | TI offer to pay you the very same fee as you did before. It was
         | not in the power of your master to deliver the letter to your
         | master. He did. I will be with you as soon as I can keep my
         | word. It is not at all clear, whether the letter has been sent
         | or not. It is not at all clear: but it is clear also that it
         | was written by the person who gave it. "No," I said, "I cannot
         | give it to you." There, the letter was sent to me. "The letter
         | is yours, I believe," I said. "But, I hope, you will not refuse
         | to give it to me?
        
           | simonw wrote:
           | Thanks, looks like that's this one: https://huggingface.co/Fr
           | actalSurfer/TimeCapsuleLLM-v2-1800-...
           | 
           | There's a "Use this model" button on that page that can
           | launch it in LM Studio.
        
       | philmo1 wrote:
       | Exciting idea!
        
       | dhruv3006 wrote:
       | This will be something good - would love something on Ollama or
       | lmstudio.
        
       | srigi wrote:
       | "I'm sorry, my knowledge cuttoff is 1875"
        
       | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
       | It would be interesting if there's enough data to train a model
       | capable enough to converse with and ask about contemporary views
       | on issues of the day, or what it thought about "potential" future
       | events/technologies yet to happen.
        
       | eqmvii wrote:
       | Could this be an experiment to show how likely LLMs are to lead
       | to AGI, or at least intelligence well beyond our current level?
       | 
       | If you could only give it texts and info and concepts up to Year
       | X, well before Discovery Y, could we then see if it could prompt
       | its way to that discovery?
        
         | alansaber wrote:
         | I think not if only for the fact that the quantity of old data
         | isn't enough to train anywhere near a SoTA model, until we
         | change some fundamentals of LLM architecture
        
           | franktankbank wrote:
           | Are you saying it wouldn't be able to converse using english
           | of the time?
        
             | wasabi991011 wrote:
             | That's not what they are saying. SOTA models include much
             | more than just language, and the scale of training data is
             | related to its "intelligence". Restricting the corpus in
             | time => less training data => less intelligence => less
             | ability to "discover" new concepts not in its training data
        
               | franktankbank wrote:
               | Perhaps less bullshit though was my thought? Was language
               | more restricted then? Scope of ideas?
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Machine learning today requires an obscene quantity of
             | examples to learn anything.
             | 
             | SOTA LLMs show quite a lot of skill, but they only do so
             | after reading a significant fraction of all published
             | writing (and perhaps images and videos, I'm not sure)
             | across all languages, in a world whose population is 5
             | times higher than the link's cut off date, and the global
             | literacy went from 20% to about 90% since then.
             | 
             | Computers can only make up for this by being really really
             | fast: what would take a human a million or so years to
             | read, a server room can pump through a model's training
             | stage in a matter of months.
             | 
             | When the data isn't there, reading what it does have really
             | quickly isn't enough.
        
           | andyfilms1 wrote:
           | I mean, _humans_ didn 't need to read billions of books back
           | then to think of quantum mechanics.
        
             | famouswaffles wrote:
             | Right, what they needed was billions of years of brute
             | force and trial and error.
        
             | alansaber wrote:
             | Which is why I said it's not impossible, but current LLM
             | architecture is just not good enough to achieve this.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | > Could this be an experiment to show how likely LLMs are to
         | lead to AGI, or at least intelligence well beyond our current
         | level?
         | 
         | You'd have to be specific what you mean by AGI: all three
         | letters mean a different thing to different people, and
         | sometimes use the whole means something not present in the
         | letters.
         | 
         | > If you could only give it texts and info and concepts up to
         | Year X, well before Discovery Y, could we then see if it could
         | prompt its way to that discovery?
         | 
         | To a limited degree.
         | 
         | Some developments can come from combining existing ideas and
         | seeing what they imply.
         | 
         | Other things, like everything to do with relativity and quantum
         | mechanics, would have required experiments. I don't think any
         | of the relevant experiments had been done prior to this cut-off
         | date, but I'm not absolutely sure of that.
         | 
         | You might be able to get such an LLM to develop all the maths
         | and geometry for general relativity, and yet find the AI still
         | tells you that the perihelion shift of Mercury is a sign of the
         | planet Vulcan rather than of a curved spacetime:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vulcan_(hypothetical_planet)
        
           | markab21 wrote:
           | Basically looking for emergent behavior.
        
           | grimgrin wrote:
           | An example of why you need to explain what you mean by AGI
           | is:
           | 
           | https://www.robinsloan.com/winter-garden/agi-is-here/
        
           | opponent4 wrote:
           | > You'd have to be specific what you mean by AGI
           | 
           | Well, they obviously can't. AGI is not science, it's
           | religion. It has all the trappings of religion: prophets,
           | sacred texts, origin myth, end-of-days myth and most
           | importantly, a means to escape death. Science? Well, the only
           | measure to "general intelligence" would be to compare to the
           | only one which is the human one but we have absolutely no
           | means by which to describe it. We do not know where to start.
           | This is why you scrape the surface of any AGI definition you
           | only find circular definitions.
           | 
           | And no, the "brain is a computer" is not a scientific
           | description, it's a metaphor.
        
             | strbean wrote:
             | > And no, the "brain is a computer" is not a scientific
             | description, it's a metaphor.
             | 
             | Disagree. A brain is turing complete, no? Isn't that the
             | definition of a computer? Sure, it may be reductive to say
             | "the brain is _just_ a computer ".
        
               | opponent4 wrote:
               | Not even close. Turing complete does not apply to the
               | brain plain and simple. That's something to do with
               | algorithms and your brain is not a computer as I have
               | mentioned. It does not store information. It doesn't
               | process information. It just doesn't work that way.
               | 
               | https://aeon.co/essays/your-brain-does-not-process-
               | informati...
        
               | anthonypasq wrote:
               | ive gotta say this article was not convincing at all.
        
               | Closi wrote:
               | A human is effectively turning complete if you give the
               | person paper and pen and the ruleset, and a brain clearly
               | stores information and processes it to some extent, so
               | this is pretty unconvincing. The article is nonsense and
               | badly written.
               | 
               | > But here is what we are not born with: information,
               | data, rules, software, knowledge, lexicons,
               | representations, algorithms, programs, models, memories,
               | images, processors, subroutines, encoders, decoders,
               | symbols, or buffers - design elements that allow digital
               | computers to behave somewhat intelligently. Not only are
               | we not born with such things, we also don't develop them
               | - ever.
               | 
               | Really? Humans don't ever develop memories? Humans don't
               | gain information?
        
               | strbean wrote:
               | > Forgive me for this introduction to computing, but I
               | need to be clear: computers really do operate on symbolic
               | representations of the world. They really store and
               | retrieve. They really process. They really have physical
               | memories. They really are guided in everything they do,
               | without exception, by algorithms.
               | 
               | This article seems really hung up on the distinction
               | between digital and analog. It's an important
               | distinction, but glosses over the fact that digital
               | computers are a _subset_ of analog computers. Electrical
               | signals are inherently analog.
               | 
               | This maps somewhat neatly to human cognition. I can take
               | a stream of bits, perform math on it, and output a
               | transformed stream of bits. That is a digital operation.
               | The underlying biological processes involved are a pile
               | of complex probabilistic+analog signaling, true. But in a
               | computer, the underlying processes are also probabilistic
               | and analog. We have designed our electronics to shove
               | those parts down to the lowest possible level so they can
               | be abstracted away, and so the degree to which they
               | influence computation is certainly lower than in the
               | human brain. But I think an effective argument that
               | brains are not computers is going to have to dive in to
               | why that gap matters.
        
               | nearbuy wrote:
               | That is an article by a psychologist, with no expertise
               | in neuroscience, claiming without evidence that the
               | "dominant cognitive neuroscience" is wrong. He offers no
               | alternative explanation on how memories are stored and
               | retrieved, but argues that large numbers of neurons
               | across the brain are involved and he implies that
               | neuroscientists think otherwise.
               | 
               | This is odd because the dominant view in neuroscience is
               | that memories are stored by altering synaptic connection
               | strength in a large number of neurons. So it's not clear
               | what his disagreement is, and he just seems to be
               | misrepresenting neuroscientists.
               | 
               | Interestingly, this is also how LLMs store memory during
               | training: by altering the strength of connections between
               | many artificial neurons.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Cargo cults are a religion, the things they worship they do
             | not understand, but the planes and the cargo themselves are
             | real.
             | 
             | There's certainly plenty of cargo-culting right now on AI.
             | 
             | Sacred texts, I don't recognise. Yudkowsky's writings? He
             | suggests wearing clown shoes to avoid getting a cult of
             | personality disconnected from the quality of the arguments,
             | if anyone finds his works sacred, they've fundamentally
             | misunderstood him:                 I have sometimes thought
             | that all professional lectures on rationality should be
             | delivered while wearing a clown suit, to prevent the
             | audience from confusing seriousness with solemnity.
             | 
             | - https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Eliezer_Yudkowsky
             | 
             | Prophets forecasting the end-of-days, yes, but this too
             | from climate science, from everyone who was preparing for a
             | pandemic before covid and is still trying to prepare for
             | the next one because the wet markets are still around, from
             | economists trying to forecast growth or collapse and what
             | will change any given prediction of the latter into the
             | former, and from the military forces of the world saying
             | which weapon systems they want to buy. It does not make a
             | religion.
             | 
             | A means to escape death, you can have. But it's on a
             | continuum with life extension and anti-aging medicine,
             | which itself is on a continuum with all other medical
             | interventions. To quote myself:                 Taking a
             | living human's heart out without killing them, and
             | replacing it with one you got out a corpse, that isn't the
             | magic of necromancy, neither is it a prayer or ritual to
             | Sekhmet, it's just transplant surgery.            ...
             | Immunity to smallpox isn't a prayer to the Hindu goddess
             | Shitala (of many things but most directly linked with
             | smallpox), and it isn't magic herbs or crystals, it's just
             | vaccines.
             | 
             | -
             | https://benwheatley.github.io/blog/2025/06/22-13.21.36.html
        
         | feisty0630 wrote:
         | I fail to see how the two concepts equate.
         | 
         | LLMs have neither intelligence nor problem-solving abillity
         | (and I won't be relaxing the definition of either so that some
         | AI bro can pretend a glorified chatbot is sentient)
         | 
         | You would, at best, be demonstrating that the sharing of
         | knowledge across multiple disciplines and nations (which is a
         | relatively new concept - at least at the scale of something
         | like the internet) leads to novel ideas.
        
           | al_borland wrote:
           | I've seen many futurists claim that human innovation is dead
           | and all future discoveries will be the results of AI. If this
           | is true, we should be able to see AI trained on the past
           | figure it's way to various things we have today. If it can't
           | do this, I'd like said futurists to quiet down, as they are
           | discouraging an entire generation of kids who may go on to
           | discover some great things.
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | > I've seen many futurists claim that human innovation is
             | dead and all future discoveries will be the results of AI.
             | 
             | I think there's a big difference between discoveries
             | through AI-human synergy and discoveries through AI working
             | in isolation.
             | 
             | It probably will be true soon (if it isn't already) that
             | most innovation features some degree of AI input, but still
             | with a human to steer the AI in the right direction.
             | 
             | I think an AI being able to discover something genuinely
             | new all by itself, without any human steering, is a lot
             | further off.
             | 
             | If AIs start producing significant quantities of genuine
             | and useful innovation with minimal human input, maybe the
             | singularitarians are about to be proven right.
        
             | thinkingemote wrote:
             | I'm struggling to get a handle on this idea. Is the idea
             | that today's data will be the data of the past, in the
             | future?
             | 
             | So if it can work with whats now past, it will be able to
             | work with the past in the future?
        
               | al_borland wrote:
               | Essentially, yes.
               | 
               | If the prediction is that AI will be able to invent the
               | future. If we give it data from our past without
               | knowledge of the present... what type of future will it
               | invent, what progress will it make, if any at all? And
               | not just having the idea, but how to implement the idea
               | in a way that actually works with the technology of the
               | day, and can build on those things over time.
               | 
               | For example, would AI with 1850 data have figured out the
               | idea of lift to make an airplane and taught us how to
               | make working flying machines and progress them to the
               | jets we have today, or something better? It wouldn't even
               | be starting from 0, so this would be a generous example,
               | as da Vinci way playing with these ideas in the 15th
               | century.
               | 
               | If it can't do it, or what it produces is worse than what
               | humans have done, we shouldn't leave it to AI alone to
               | invent our actual future. Which would mean reevaluating
               | the role these "thought leaders" say it will play, and
               | how we're educating and communicating about AI to the
               | younger generations.
        
         | armcat wrote:
         | I think this would be an awesome experiment. However you would
         | effectively need to train something of a GPT-5.2 equivalent. So
         | you need lot of text, a much larger parameterization (compared
         | to nanoGPT and Phi-1.5), and the 1800s equivalents of
         | supervised finetuning and reinforcement learning with human
         | feedback.
        
         | Trufa wrote:
         | This is fascinating, but the experiment seems to fail in being
         | a fair comparison of how much knowledge can we have from that
         | time in data vs now.
         | 
         | As a thought experiment I find it thrilling.
        
         | Rebuff5007 wrote:
         | OF COURSE!
         | 
         | The fact that tech leaders espouse the brilliance of LLMs and
         | don't use this specific test method is infuriating to me. It is
         | deeply unfortunate that there is little transparency or
         | standardization of the datasets available for training/fine
         | tuning.
         | 
         | Having this be advertised will make more interesting and
         | informative benchmarks. OEM models that are always "breaking"
         | the benchmarks are doing so with improved datasets as well as
         | improved methods. Without holding the datasets fixed, progress
         | on benchmarks are very suspect IMO.
        
         | dexwiz wrote:
         | This would be a true test of can LLMs innovate or just
         | regurgitate. I think part of people's amazement of LLMs is they
         | don't realize how much they don't know. So thinking and
         | recalling look the same to the end user.
        
         | water-data-dude wrote:
         | It'd be difficult to prove that you hadn't leaked information
         | to the model. The big gotcha of LLMs is that you train them on
         | BIG corpuses of data, which means it's hard to say "X isn't in
         | this corpus", or "this corpus only contains Y". You could TRY
         | to assemble a set of training data that only contains text from
         | before a certain date, but it'd be tricky as heck to be SURE
         | about it.
         | 
         | Ways data might leak to the model that come to mind:
         | misfiled/mislabled documents, footnotes, annotations, document
         | metadata.
        
           | gwern wrote:
           | There's also severe selection effects: what documents have
           | been preserved, printed, and scanned _because_ they turned
           | out to be on the right track towards relativity?
        
             | mxfh wrote:
             | This.
             | 
             | Especially for London there is a huge chunk of recorded
             | parliament debates.
             | 
             | More interesting for dialoge seems training on recorded
             | correspondence in form of letters anyway.
             | 
             | And that corpus script just looks odd to say the least,
             | just oversample by X?
        
         | nickpsecurity wrote:
         | That is one of the reasons I want it done. We cant tell if AI's
         | are parroting training data without having the whole, training
         | data. Making it old means specific things won't be in it (or
         | will be). We can do more meaningful experiments.
        
       | abhishekjha wrote:
       | Oh I have really been thinking long about this. The intelligence
       | that we have in these models represent a time.
       | 
       | Now if I train a foundation models with docs from library of
       | Alexandria and only those texts of that period, I would have a
       | chance to get a rudimentary insight on what the world was like at
       | that time.
       | 
       | And maybe time shift further more.
        
         | feisty0630 wrote:
         | > I would have a chance to get a rudimentary insight on what
         | the world was like at that time
         | 
         | Congratulations, you've reinvented the history book (just with
         | more energy consumption and less guarantee of accuracy)
        
           | gordonhart wrote:
           | History books, especially those from classical antiquity, are
           | notoriously not guaranteed to be accurate either.
        
             | feisty0630 wrote:
             | Do you expect something exclusively trained on them to be
             | any better?
        
               | gordonhart wrote:
               | To a large extent, yes. A model trained on many different
               | accounts of an event is likely going to give a more
               | faithful picture of that event than any one author.
               | 
               | This isn't super relevant to us because very few
               | histories from this era survived, but presumably there
               | was sufficient material in the Library of Alexandria to
               | cover events from multiple angles and "zero out" the
               | different personal/political/religious biases coloring
               | the individual accounts.
        
       | aqme28 wrote:
       | This kind of technique seems like a good way to test model
       | performance against benchmarks. I'm too skeptical that new models
       | are taking popular benchmark solutions into their training data.
       | So-- how does e.g. ChatGPT's underlying architecture perform on
       | SWE-bench if trained only on data prior to 2024.
        
         | NitpickLawyer wrote:
         | > are taking popular benchmark solutions into their training
         | data
         | 
         | That happened in the past, and the "naive" way of doing it is
         | usually easy to spot. There are, however, many ways in which
         | testing data can leak into models, even without data
         | contamination. However this doesn't matter much, as any model
         | that only does well in benchmarks but is bad in real-world
         | usage will be quickly sussed out by people actually using them.
         | There are also lots and lots of weird, not very popular
         | benchmarks out there, and the outliers are quickly identified.
         | 
         | > perform on SWE-bench if trained only on data prior to 2024.
         | 
         | There's a benchmark called swe-REbench, that takes issues from
         | real-world repos, published ~ monthly. They perform tests and
         | you can select the period and check their performance. This is
         | fool-proof for open models, but a bit unknown for API-based
         | models.
        
       | zingababba wrote:
       | LOL
       | 
       | PROMPT:Charles Darwin
       | 
       | Charles DarwinECCEMACY. Sir, -- The following case is interesting
       | to me : -- I was in London a fortnight, and was much affected
       | with an attack of rheumatism. The first attack of rheumatism was
       | a week before I saw you, and the second when I saw you, and the
       | third when I saw you, and the third in the same time. The second
       | attack of gout, however, was not accompanied by any febrile
       | symptoms, but was accompanied with an increased flow of urine,
       | and with a more copious discharge of urine. The third attack was
       | an hour after I saw you, and was succeeded by a return of a
       | paroxysm of gout, and a more rapid return of the gout. The fourth
       | attack was also accompanied by a fever, but was not always
       | accompanied by any febrile symptoms. The third attack of gout was
       | a fortnight after you had been ill, and the fourth was followed
       | by a paroxysm of gout. The fourth attack was a fortnight after
       | you were attacked, and was accompanied by a sense
        
         | alansaber wrote:
         | Average small language model response
        
         | feisty0630 wrote:
         | Interesting that it reads a bit like it came from a Markov
         | chain rather than an LLM. Perhaps limited training data?
        
           | kgeist wrote:
           | Early LLMs used to have this often. I think's that where the
           | "repetition penalty" parameter comes from. I suspect output
           | quality can be improved with better sampling parameters.
        
       | myrmidon wrote:
       | There was a discussion around a very similar model (Qwen3 based)
       | some weeks ago:
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46319826
       | 
       | I found it particularly thought-inspiring how a model with
       | training from that time period completely lacks
       | context/understanding of what it is _itself_ , but then I
       | realized that we are the same (at least for now).
        
       | marmalade2413 wrote:
       | Can you confidently say that the architure of the LLM doesn't
       | include any a priori bias that might effect the integrity of this
       | LLM?
       | 
       | That is, the architectures of today are chosen to yield the best
       | results given the textual data around today and the problems we
       | want to solve today.
       | 
       | I'd argue that this lack of bias would need to be researched (if
       | it hasn't been already) before this kind of model has credence.
       | 
       | LLMs aren't my area of expertise but during my PhD we were able
       | to encode a lot of a priori knowledge through the design of
       | neural network architectures.
        
       | dlcarrier wrote:
       | It's interesting that it's trained off only historic text.
       | 
       | Back in the pre-LLM days, someone trained a Markov chain off the
       | King James Bible and a programming book:
       | https://www.tumblr.com/kingjamesprogramming
       | 
       | I'd love to see an LLM equivalent, but I don't think that's
       | enough data to train from scratch. Could a LoRA or similar be
       | used in a way to get speech style to strictly follow a few
       | megabytes worth of training data?
        
       | jimmytucson wrote:
       | Fascinating idea. There was another "time-locked" LLM project
       | that popped up on HN recently[1]. Their model output is really
       | polished but the team is trying to figure out how to avoid abuse
       | and misrepresentation of their goals. We think it would be cool
       | to talk to someone from 100+ years ago but haven't seriously
       | considered the many ways in which it would be uncool. Interesting
       | times!
       | 
       | [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46319826
        
       | addaon wrote:
       | Suppose two models with similar parameters trained the same way
       | on 1800-1875 and 1800-2025 data. Running both models, we get
       | probability distributions across tokens, let's call the
       | distributions 1875' and 2025'. We also get a probability
       | distribution finite difference (2025' - 1875'). What would we get
       | if we sampled from 1.1*(2025' - 1875') + 1875'? I don't think
       | this would actually be a decent approximation of 2040', but it
       | would be a fun experiment to see. (Interpolation rather than
       | extrapolation seems just as unlikely to be useful and less likely
       | to be amusing, but what do I know.)
        
         | pvab3 wrote:
         | What if it's just genAlpha slang?
        
           | andai wrote:
           | The real mode collapse ;)
        
       | hallvard wrote:
       | Cool! I also did something like this:
       | https://github.com/hallvardnmbu/transformer
       | 
       | But on various data (i.e., separate model per source): the Bible,
       | Don Quixote and Franz Kafka. (As well as a (bad!) lyrics
       | generator, and translator.)
        
       | InvisibleUp wrote:
       | If the output of this is even somewhat coherent, it would
       | disprove the argument that mass amounts of copyrighted works are
       | required to train an LLM. Unfortunately that does not appear to
       | be the case here.
        
         | HighFreqAsuka wrote:
         | Take a look at The Common Pile v0.1: An 8TB Dataset of Public
         | Domain and Openly Licensed Text
         | (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.05209). They build a reasonable 7B
         | parameter model using only open-licensed data.
        
           | nickpsecurity wrote:
           | They mostly do that. They risked legal contamination by using
           | Whisper-derived text and web text which might have gotchas.
           | Other than that, it was a great collection for low-risk
           | training.
        
       | dash2 wrote:
       | Mm. I'm a bit sceptical of the historical expertise of someone
       | who thinks that "Who art Henry" is 19th century language. (It's
       | not actually grammatically correct English from any century
       | whatever: "art" is the second person singular, so this is like
       | saying "who are Henry?")
        
         | joshuakoehler wrote:
         | As a reader of a lot of 17th, 18th, and 19th century Christian
         | books, this was my thought exactly.
        
         | auraham wrote:
         | Can you elaborate on this? After skimming the README, I
         | understand that "Who art Henry" is the prompt. What should be
         | the correct 19th century prompt?
        
           | canjobear wrote:
           | "Who art Henry?" was never grammatical English. "Art" was the
           | second person singular present form of "to be" and it was
           | already archaic by the 17th century. "Who is Henry?" would be
           | fine.
        
           | andai wrote:
           | Who art thou?
           | 
           | (Well, not 19th century...)
        
           | vintermann wrote:
           | "Who is Henry?"
        
       | ourmandave wrote:
       | Can I use it to get up-to-date legal advice on Arizona
       | reproductive health laws?
        
       | krunck wrote:
       | Training LLMs on data with certain date cut-offs and then doing
       | comparative analysis between the LLMs would be interesting.
        
       | radiothomp wrote:
       | A LLM trained only on data from certain time periods to ~reduce
       | modern bias~ enhance past bias
        
       | sl_convertible wrote:
       | Harry Seldon would, no doubt, find this fascinating. Imagine
       | having a sliding-window LLM that you could use to verify a
       | statistical model of society. I wonder what patterns it could
       | deduce?
        
       | tonymet wrote:
       | the "1917 model" from a few weeks back post-trained the model
       | with ChatGPT dialog. So it had modern dialect and proclivities .
       | 
       | A truly authentic historical model will have some unsavory
       | opinions and very distinctive dialect.
        
       | patcon wrote:
       | > OCR noise ("Digitized by Google") still present in outputs
       | 
       | This feels like a neat sci-fi short story hook to explain the
       | continuous emergence of God as an artifact of a simulation
        
         | fluoridation wrote:
         | I'm reminded of SD models that put vaguely-shaped Patreon logos
         | in the corner.
        
       | tgtweak wrote:
       | Very interesting but the slight issue I see here is one of data:
       | the information that is recorded and in the training data here is
       | heavily skewed to those intelligent/recognized enough to have
       | recorded it and had it preserved - much less than the current
       | status quo of "everyone can trivially document their thoughts and
       | life" diorama of information we have today to train LLMs on. I
       | suspect that a frontier model today would have 50+TB of training
       | data in the form of text alone - and that's several orders of
       | magnitude more information and from a much more diverse point of
       | view than what would have survived from that period. The output
       | from that question "what happened in 1834" read like a
       | newspaper/bulletin which is likely a huge part of the data that
       | was digitized (newspapers etc).
       | 
       | Very cool concept though, but it definitely has some bias.
        
         | notarobot123 wrote:
         | Biases exposed through artificial constraints help to make
         | visible the hidden/obscured/forgotten biases of state-of-the-
         | art systems.
        
         | twosdai wrote:
         | > but it definitely has some bias.
         | 
         | to be frank though, I think this a better way than all people's
         | thoughts all of the time.
         | 
         | I think the "crowd" of information makes the end output of an
         | LLM worse rather than better. Specifically in our inability to
         | know really what kind of Bias we're dealing with.
         | 
         | Currently to me it feels really muddy knowing how information
         | is biased, beyond just the hallucination and factual
         | incosistencies.
         | 
         | But as far as I can tell, "correctness of the content aside",
         | sometimes frontier LLMs respond like freshman college students,
         | other times they respond with the rigor of a mathematics PHD
         | canidate, and sometimes like a marketing hit piece.
         | 
         | This dataset has a consistency which I think is actually a
         | really useful feature. I agree that having many perspectives in
         | the dataset is good, but as an end user being able to rely on
         | some level of consistency with an AI model is something I
         | really think is missing.
         | 
         | Maybe more succinctly I want frontier LLM's to have a known and
         | specific response style and bias which I can rely on, because
         | there already is a lot of noise.
        
         | nickpsecurity wrote:
         | Models today will be biased based on what's in their training
         | data. If English, it will be biased heavily toward Western,
         | post-1990's views. Then, they do alignment training that forces
         | them to speak according to the supplier's morals. That was
         | Progressive, atheist, evolutionist, and CRT when I used them
         | years ago.
         | 
         | So, the OP model will accidentally reflect the biases of the
         | time. The current, commercial models intentionally reflect
         | specific biases. Except for uncensored models which
         | accidentally have those in the training data modified by
         | uncensoring set.
        
       | cowlby wrote:
       | I wonder if you could train an LLM with everything up to
       | Einstein. Then see if with thought experiments + mathematics you
       | could arrive at general relativity.
        
         | erenkaradag wrote:
         | The problem is that the 'genius' of Einstein wasn't just
         | synthesizing existing data,but actively rejecting the axioms of
         | that data. The 1875 corpus overwhelmingly 'proves' absolute
         | time and the luminiferous aether. A model optimizing for the
         | most probable continuation will converge on that consensus.
         | 
         | To get Relativity, the model needs to realize the training data
         | isn't just incomplete, but fundamentally wrong. That requires
         | abductive reasoning (the spark of genius) to jump out of the
         | local minimum. Without that AGI-level spark, a 'pure knowledge
         | pile' will just generate a very eloquent, mathematically
         | rigorous defense of Newtonian physics.
        
       | chc4 wrote:
       | I think it would be very cute to train a model exclusively in
       | pre-information age documents, and then try to teach it what a
       | computer is and get it to write some programs. That said, this
       | doesn't look like it's nearly there yet, with the output looking
       | closer to Markov chain than ChatGPT quality.
        
       | escapecharacter wrote:
       | I would pay like $200/month if there was an LLM out there that I
       | could only communicate with using an old-timey telegraph key and
       | morse code.
        
       | radarsat1 wrote:
       | Heh, at least this wouldn't spread emojis all over my readmes.
       | Hm, come to think of it I wonder how much tokenization is
       | affected.
       | 
       | Another thought, just occurred when thinking about readmes and
       | coding LLMs: obviously this model wouldn't have any coding
       | knowledge, but I wonder if it could be possible to combine this
       | somehow with a modern LLM in such a way that it _does_ have
       | coding knowledge, but it renders out all the text in the style  /
       | knowledge level of the 1800's model.
       | 
       | Offhand I can't think of a non-fine-tuning trick that would
       | achieve this. I'm thinking back to how the old style transfer
       | models used to work, where they would swap layers between models
       | to get different stylistic effects applied. I don't know if
       | that's doable with an LLM.
        
         | fluoridation wrote:
         | Just have the models converse with each other?
        
       | Aperocky wrote:
       | Looks a lot like the output from a markov chain...
        
       | chuckadams wrote:
       | Think I'll ask it to come up with some jacquard loom patterns.
       | vibe-weaving.
        
       | CGMthrowaway wrote:
       | Is there a link where I can try it out?
        
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