[HN Gopher] Good Judgment Open
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Good Judgment Open
Author : kaycebasques
Score : 11 points
Date : 2026-01-08 17:45 UTC (2 days ago)
(HTM) web link (www.gjopen.com)
(TXT) w3m dump (www.gjopen.com)
| derektank wrote:
| The Good Judgment Project is the OG competitive prediction
| website, yeah? Metaculus was released in 2015 and Manifold,
| Kalshi, and Polymarket were all part the crypto boom. I suppose
| there's Long Bets (2002?) but that always had a barrier to entry
| kaycebasques wrote:
| Good Judgment Project apparently started in 2011 as part of an
| IARPA tournament. I first learned about through The Economist,
| which frequently mentions the crowd consensus on forecasts
| related to Economist articles.
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(page generated 2026-01-10 23:01 UTC)