[HN Gopher] A year of clean energy milestones
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       A year of clean energy milestones
        
       Author : speckx
       Score  : 31 points
       Date   : 2026-01-05 20:13 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (e360.yale.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (e360.yale.edu)
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | The figure should be dollars per megawatt-hour, not per megawatt.
        
         | halfdeadcat wrote:
         | That is incorrect. The article is referring to the cost of the
         | infrastructure, not the cost of the electricity that
         | infrastructure produces. Power plants are spec'ed by megawatt
         | (peak).
        
       | miduil wrote:
       | Reading through this makes me realize that I wonder what will
       | come after "energy wars"? Like if around ~2040-2050 almost 100%
       | of electricity demand is hopefully renewable, that means a
       | completely new area of power.
       | 
       | Till then, fossil energy has been the strongest dominator on
       | which establishment is holding power - once that's becoming the
       | past - what will happen on the world table?
       | 
       | Of course, mining etc. is part of the answer; but I feel like
       | there is much more flexibility around working around refined
       | material availability, than it is with access to energy to start
       | with. Also, contrary to Energy, almost anything that's mined will
       | stay in recyclable economy - so the dominance/control one country
       | can exercise is limited.
        
         | phtrivier wrote:
         | Unfortunately, some of the convertors for electrification
         | depend on minerals which, if not "rare", are unevenly
         | distributed.
         | 
         | That leave plenty of room for "battery wars", "motor wars",
         | Even "solar panel" wars if we need to.
         | 
         | I do not believe Putin and Trump are eying Dumbass and
         | Groenland only because of the scenery - and the general
         | historical lesson of the 2020s is that brute force _is_ worth
         | it.
         | 
         | China only is self sufficient, as far as I understand it.
         | 
         | Europe could use minerals from its soil, if we accepted mining.
         | But we don't want that either, any more. (And given what is
         | about to happen to Groenland, it may be a blessing in disguise
         | not to be too resource-rich. Again: pray the Emperor may ignore
         | you.)
        
           | Yizahi wrote:
           | Funnily enough, one of the big reasons for Ukraine invasion
           | was to block our gas extraction, it happened right after
           | Shell did a discovery research on the Donbass, and for many
           | years the occupation had been contained precisely to the two
           | regions where Ukraine had some deposits - Donbass and Black
           | Sea. It's only later mental decline caused him to expand the
           | attack.
           | 
           | And vice versa, while there are some rare earths in the
           | Donbass, they are not very convenient to extract. Trump's
           | mining deal was more like throwing a useless toy to a kid
           | throwing a tantrum. It's notable that no one even remembers
           | that "deal" lately.
        
       | kibwen wrote:
       | Energy is the next Space Race, and Trump has already conceded.
       | The US will run out of oil-rich countries to invade before China
       | runs out of sunlight.
        
       | bwestergard wrote:
       | This post says: "For the first time, wind and solar supplied more
       | power than coal worldwide, while plug-in vehicles accounted for
       | more than a quarter of new car sales."
       | 
       | This does not mean that wind and solar are replacing coal, oil,
       | or wood, all of which were produced and used in greater volumes
       | in 2025, so far as I can tell.
       | 
       | https://www.coalage.com/departments/closing-notes/global-coa...
       | 
       | All past price declines in energy commodities have lead to
       | increased consumption of other energy (and raw materials)
       | commodities. The production of whale oil declined, but only due
       | to environmental regulation. For more, see:
       | https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/464145/more-and-more-and-mor...
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | It means the replacement process is moving well along, though.
         | Coal is persisting mostly because of the installed base, but
         | new capacity is overwhelmingly renewables.
        
       | kachapopopow wrote:
       | I genuinely don't understand why there's no movement to just
       | shove solar panels onto every apartment building subsidizing the
       | initial cost in form of a loan that gets repaid as paying for
       | power bills - the cost wouldn't change or even be lower than
       | current power bills in a lot of european countries.
       | 
       | It really makes no sense to not use solar except in very few
       | exceptions where it's genuinely never sunny and doesn't have that
       | many sunny days, but hey estonia is making it work.
       | 
       | obviously there is some added maintenance like cleaning the
       | panels, but that also applies for general services that residents
       | of buildings already share.
        
         | raybb wrote:
         | In Germany they allow people to install solar panels on their
         | balconies.
         | 
         | https://cleantechnica.com/2024/12/21/germany-embraces-balkon...
         | 
         | Though last I looked this probably isn't feasible in the US due
         | to differences in our electrical systems or something like
         | that?
        
           | kachapopopow wrote:
           | in some states they're now allowing to just plug in panels
           | without any permits up to 1.5kw so actually, no. In US
           | specifically it's just lobbying or hurricane safety since
           | panels flying off and creating even more debris is obviously
           | not great.
        
         | Yizahi wrote:
         | That's Communism and we can't have that. Hell, can't even agree
         | that people would pay for the universal health insurance (via
         | tax), and you now propose that government subsidize
         | electricity? Funny joke :) .
         | 
         | By the way, energy generation is only 1/4 to 1/3 of all
         | emissions on average, so transitioning the fraction of that
         | fraction to a lesser amount of emissions (since there a ton of
         | emissions in manufacturing, transporting and installing solar
         | panels) is nice and cool, but not very efficient to combat
         | climate change.
        
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