[HN Gopher] Iran Protests Enter Third Straight Day as Students J...
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       Iran Protests Enter Third Straight Day as Students Join In
        
       Author : JumpCrisscross
       Score  : 56 points
       Date   : 2025-12-30 19:11 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | josefritzishere wrote:
       | The timing of this seems rather suspect.
        
         | lostlogin wrote:
         | Please could you explain this?
        
           | hashbig wrote:
           | Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran.
           | Historically (in Iran and other places), we saw political and
           | internal crises emerge/staged when the US is planning a
           | regime change in that country.
        
             | throw310822 wrote:
             | > Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran
             | 
             | Source?
        
             | throwaway894345 wrote:
             | Iran has protests all the time, as do lots of other
             | countries _including the US_ and France and others and they
             | don't herald US-led regime change. But if you have evidence
             | for your claim that the US and Israel are planning a war in
             | Iran, that would be major international news.
        
               | f33d5173 wrote:
               | It is. I heard about it on the radio.
        
             | crazydoggers wrote:
             | I'm sure it has nothing to do with the fact Iran is so
             | mismanaged and suffering from severe drought they are
             | talking about water rations or evacuations in Tehran.. or
             | the plummeting of their currency [1] .. or the fact that
             | the majority of the country doesn't even support the
             | current government [2] ... no must be a conspiracy.
             | </sarcasm>
             | 
             | 1. https://www.meforum.org/mef-observer/irans-currency-
             | collapse...
             | 
             | 2. https://www.iranintl.com/en/202302036145
        
               | shwaj wrote:
               | Why not both? No need to be so disparaging.
        
               | crazydoggers wrote:
               | We should be disparaging of fear mongering conspiracy
               | theories that have no facts to back them up. Just like if
               | you told me Democrats in the US are controlling
               | hurricanes, or that 5G caused covid.
        
               | shwaj wrote:
               | _Just_ like those? Those examples are _highly_
               | improbable, whereas the CIA is almost certainly active in
               | Iran right now (that's their job!), even if there isn't
               | evidence that they are behind these particular protests.
        
               | concinds wrote:
               | People are disparaging of dumb conspiracism. This notion
               | that any protest in a dictatorship is a CIA plot is
               | bullshit. The whole "CIA color revolution" concept is
               | bullshit meant to delegitimize and demoralize legitimate
               | grassroots movements against shitty dictatorships. Even
               | the Iranian leadership is publicly acknowledging their
               | legitimacy shortfall and the economic catastrophe, and
               | that's saying something.
               | 
               | If you don't believe in protests within dictatorships
               | then you don't believe in democracy. As simple as that.
        
               | krapp wrote:
               | "A CIA plot" goes too far, true. But to believe the CIA
               | isn't involved _at all_ in fomenting revolution in a
               | country whose current government is the result of the CIA
               | having done so in the past, and which the US considers
               | part of the  "Axis of Evil," and which is an ally to a
               | country the US is currently waging a war of aggression
               | and plunder against (Venezuela) seems naive.
        
             | sorokod wrote:
             | On the reason spectrum of :
             | 
             | - 50% inflation, tax hikes and currency devaluation [1]
             | 
             | - Manufactured crisis
             | 
             | - The presence of the 3i comet in our solar system
             | 
             | where would Occam's razor cut?
             | 
             | [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/26/irans-
             | government-b...
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Israel and the US are planning a new war on Iran_
             | 
             | Israel and America are sabre rattling with Iran. It's been
             | happening for about as long as Iran has been calling for
             | death to America and Israel.
        
       | Sleaker wrote:
       | WSJ wont open for me, but was able to find it via MSN:
       | https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-protests-enter-thi...
       | 
       | not sure where to pull that doesn't have tracking, not seeing it
       | on archive yet.
        
       | FridayoLeary wrote:
       | It will probably be crushed like all the other protests,
       | unfortunately. But iran is in a worse state then it's ever been.
       | The catalyst for this round is a currency collapse and a looming
       | water crisis. Sadly, the Revolutionary corps seem well funded
       | from oil money.
       | 
       | At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help
       | from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more
       | proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of
       | hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They
       | are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential
       | blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered
       | ambitions and ego.
       | 
       | Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign
       | policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i
       | don't know how they are doing.
        
         | keeganpoppen wrote:
         | i hope only the best for the people of iran because they seem
         | to be completely fantastic people and iran is an absolutely
         | majestically beautiful place. and, selfishly, i would love to
         | be able to visit one day. ugh, the whole situation is just so
         | sad.
        
         | yupyupyups wrote:
         | >They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3
         | residential blocks next time
         | 
         | Are they planning to bomb more buildings in Gaza?
        
           | FridayoLeary wrote:
           | I don't know. It's possible that one of their hundreds of
           | indiscriminately fired missiles might land there. Iirc the
           | sole casualty of one of their major attacks was a gazan in
           | the West Bank.
        
             | therobots927 wrote:
             | How many hospitals has Israel blown up? Last I checked, it
             | was every single one in Gaza.
        
               | abacadaba wrote:
               | none, but there may have been one or two military bases
               | disguised as hospitals that sustained some damage
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _Iran is rebuilding it 's rocket stockpile with help from
         | china_
         | 
         | Has this been confirmed?
         | 
         | > _From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then
         | ever. Security wise i don 't know how they are doing_
         | 
         | Iran's borders encompass a bit of a shitshow. Its dominant
         | ethnicity is less than three fifths the population [1]. Its
         | next three-largest ethnicities, Azeris (14%), Kurds (9%) and
         | Gilaki (5%) meanwhile, have bordering extant or aspiring
         | nation-states.
         | 
         | (To the extent there is a hilarious if bastardly alliance in
         | the region, it would be between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel
         | provides firepower. Azerbaijan gains the Azeri (and maybe
         | Gilaki) majority north of Iran, cutting off Armenia's southern
         | border and giving it a land border with Turkey for more
         | pipelines.)
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran
        
           | mamonster wrote:
           | >helping the latter seize Iran's northern and Azeri/Gilaki-
           | majority territories
           | 
           | Wont't ever happen because Aliev is the OG of
           | multipolarity/mnogovektornost and this would prevent him from
           | scamming all of his neighbors at the same time.
        
           | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
           | https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/29/middleeast/iran-rebuilding-
           | ba...
           | 
           | > European intelligence sources say several shipments of
           | sodium perchlorate, the main precursor in the production of
           | the solid propellant that powers Iran's mid-range
           | conventional missiles, have arrived from China to the Iranian
           | port of Bandar Abbas
        
         | therobots927 wrote:
         | You're right. IRAN is the security threat in the area. Not the
         | one committing a genocide and bombing Lebanon and Qatar (a US
         | ally nonetheless) in addition to a continued illegal expansion
         | in the West Bank.
        
           | FridayoLeary wrote:
           | Yes.
           | 
           | Iran inflicted hezbolla on Lebanon, Assad on syria,
           | persecutes their own ethnic minorities and has attacked saudi
           | arabia, qatar and Israel. If they haven't outright stolen
           | land that's only because they are 70 times the size of
           | Israel.
           | 
           | All that off the top of my head.
        
       | mamonster wrote:
       | For those getting excited about regime change:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_protests
       | 
       | Not to be insensitive to the Iranian people, but it's like France
       | in a lot of ways, they riot/protest so much that the information
       | content of any given riot/protest movement is minimal.
        
         | sapphicsnail wrote:
         | Most protests don't lead to regime change.
        
           | andrewinardeer wrote:
           | Until they do.
        
             | sapphicsnail wrote:
             | I was responding to someone giving a list of protests. My
             | point was that a bunch of failed protests doesn't prove
             | that Iran is particularly resistant to regime change. I was
             | actually trying to say that this current one should be
             | taken more seriously.
        
           | kylehotchkiss wrote:
           | _nepal has entered the chat_
        
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       (page generated 2025-12-30 23:01 UTC)