[HN Gopher] Jimmy Lai Is a Martyr for Freedom
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       Jimmy Lai Is a Martyr for Freedom
        
       Author : mooreds
       Score  : 256 points
       Date   : 2025-12-22 16:56 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (reason.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (reason.com)
        
       | fibers wrote:
       | Headline seems overstated.
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | From the article:
         | 
         | "He may be sentenced to die in prison in connection with his
         | efforts promoting liberty in China."
         | 
         | Martyr doesn't sound like overstatement if that happens.
        
         | idiotsecant wrote:
         | This man will spend the rest of his (possibly short?) life in
         | prison for the crime of publishing ideas that the government
         | didn't like. He chose to stay in hong kong defending the
         | principles that mattered to him instead of abandoning his
         | principles and fleeing to the UK, which was on option entirely
         | open to him.
         | 
         | Explain why you think it's overstated.
        
         | bmelton wrote:
         | It seems accurate and unsensational here
         | 
         | I think perhaps we've lionized the term martyr to mean too many
         | things, but his actions seem in line with the dictionary
         | definition
        
         | ch4s3 wrote:
         | Jimmy Lai is more courageous and principled than anyone you've
         | probably ever met in your life. He'll die in prison for his
         | belief that speech should be free in Hong Kong.
        
           | fibers wrote:
           | Appeals to emotions won't get you anywhere. What else is
           | next, "We NEED to reelect Trump to restore Christendom in the
           | West!!!"?
        
             | ch4s3 wrote:
             | It isn't an appeal to emotion. Jimmy Lai stood up for free
             | speech in Hong Kong, factually and it paying with his life.
             | I'm simply pointing out that you have probably never seen
             | real courage or conviction in your life and aren't in a
             | good position to judge Jimmy Lai.
             | 
             | Your whole posting history is just inflammatory claims that
             | you rarely stand behind. I keep bumping into you doing
             | this, it's a bad look.
        
       | lenerdenator wrote:
       | If there was one critical miscalculation the West (particularly
       | the US) made in the last 40 years, it was thinking that
       | investment in China would equal liberalization and democratic
       | reforms. There was a mistaking of capitalism for human rights.
       | While it is a human right to own property and use it to
       | rationally pursue one's self-interests, that does not mean that
       | capitalism in its current form is conducive to that for the
       | greatest number of people, or to the evolution of other human
       | rights in the societies in which capitalism is practiced.
       | 
       | If investment was the key to liberalization, we would have seen
       | far greater investment behind the then-fallen Iron Curtain, where
       | countries had actively turned their backs on command economies.
       | The cynic in me thinks that capital didn't like just how that had
       | turned out. If a country's people could either violently
       | (Romania) or peacefully (almost everywhere else) remove such
       | totalitarian systems of politics and economics, they could also
       | reject methods of accumulating capital that might run afoul of
       | their values.
       | 
       | China, on the other hand, had not moved away from command
       | economics at the time. Instead, the result was state capitalism.
       | People were free to try new things that could create economic
       | expansion, but only in a way that served the needs of the state.
       | Anything else would be handled with the same totalitarian methods
       | that political dissidents and class enemies were once handled
       | with under Mao. While this has ebbed and flowed over the years,
       | it essentially remains the system in place.
       | 
       | Lai is a victim of this miscalculation.
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | > it was thinking that investment in China would equal
         | liberalization and democratic reforms...
         | 
         | That's a rewriting of history and a common misconception I've
         | seen repeated ad nauseam both on HN and (what I assume is it's
         | origin) Reddit.
         | 
         | The West (primarily the US and then-West Germany) began
         | investing in China in the 1970s to 1989 explicitly as a bulwark
         | against the USSR [0] due to the Sino-Soviet Split. The
         | "economic democratization" argument was a 1990s-era framing to
         | reduce opposition to the PRC joining GATT/WTO [1] along with to
         | reduce the sanctions enforced following the Tienanmen Square
         | massacre [2].
         | 
         | George HW Bush as well as Clinton's NSC Asia Director Kenneth
         | Lieberthal were both massive Chinaphiles, and played a major
         | role in cementing the position China is in today.
         | 
         | [0] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46264332
         | 
         | [1] - https://www.nytimes.com/1994/12/20/opinion/IHT-america-
         | needs...
         | 
         | [2] - https://www.nytimes.com/1993/07/14/opinion/forget-the-
         | tianan...
        
           | lenerdenator wrote:
           | I think that it's both a rewriting of history and a
           | rationalization of the investment on some people's parts.
           | 
           | Nixon's opening of relations with China was definitely a move
           | against the USSR, but that was nothing compared to the extent
           | of investment that was seen after the fall of Communism in
           | Europe. The fact that the CPC was still very much in charge
           | while all of this investing was occurring had to be
           | rationalized somehow in the minds of people who were less
           | cynical, and "it'll help liberalization" was probably one of
           | the rationalizations used. And in some ways, you can use
           | investment as a way to leverage social changes within
           | countries, and some people (though apparently not enough)
           | thought that was the intention with China, but there was only
           | a carrot, not a stick, and by the time there was a desire to
           | use a stick, there was too much dependency on China as a
           | market and producer for the West. That's where we're at now.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | > but that was nothing compared to the extent of investment
             | that was seen after the fall of Communism in Europe
             | 
             | Most of the capital investment and institution building
             | that led to China Shock in the 2000s only happened due to
             | the extreme degree of tech and capital transfer in the
             | 1970s-80s, along with the visiting student program. Heck,
             | Vietnam had a higher HDI [0] and GDP PPP per Capita [1]
             | than the PRC until the early 2000s. The only difference was
             | Vietnam was strictly in the Warsaw Bloc camp, and was
             | negatively impacted by the collapse of the USSR,
             | Czechoslovakia, and GDR while China was able to leverage
             | ties with the US during that period.
             | 
             | [0] - https://countryeconomy.com/hdi?year=2005
             | 
             | [1] - https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.C
             | D?end=2...
        
           | earlyreturns wrote:
           | Interesting point and pardon my naivete but I'm curious, by
           | "the west began investing" do you mean public sector
           | investments? Or are you including people like jim rodgers
           | long time China bull? I think private sector investment
           | wouldn't be done for anything other than profit. It seems
           | like trade liberalism is an ideological thing that people
           | seem to believe in above and beyond geopolitical concerns.
           | Those who believe in trade liberalization (globalization) are
           | sort of religious in their belief that it leads to liberalism
           | in all spheres, not just the economic. I'm thinking of
           | classic liberals, economists, Ayn Rand fanboys, etc.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | > public sector investments
             | 
             | Both public and private. Read my first citation - I don't
             | feel like relinking dozens of citations on 1970s-80s US-
             | China relationship.
             | 
             | Tl;dr - the Carter and Reagan administrations both heavily
             | invested in building the PRC's R&D, military, and
             | industrial capacity through a mix of public-private
             | investments primarily as a bulwark against the USSR along
             | with US Army boots on the ground in Xinjiang.
        
               | earlyreturns wrote:
               | I've read the first 4 of those links and they don't point
               | to financial investment per se. They do cover
               | liberalization in the diplomatic sense, and sale (not
               | purchase) of US military tech, all of which is obvious
               | given their location and the time period (peak Cold War),
               | but I am curious about specifically financial investment
               | in China, which is what the parent was discussing. I mean
               | we weren't buying their planes or submarines or anything.
               | We were cozying up to them because that's what was
               | demanded by the defensive realities of the Cold War. That
               | seems like a different thing than investing in China in
               | the sense of financial investment during the post Cold
               | War period of the late 90s onward. Again, sorry if I'm
               | asking stupid questions but you seem to have a lot of
               | knowledge and I want to learn more myself.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _That 's a rewriting of history_
           | 
           | You both agree.
           | 
           | "The 'economic democratization' argument was a 1990s-era
           | framing to reduce opposition to the PRC joining GATT/WTO" is
           | what they're talking about. American security analysts
           | believed that making China richer would make it more like us.
           | 
           | Prior to that it was principally geostrategic. But prior to
           | that, the argument was never made.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | > American security analysts believed that making China
             | richer would make it more like us
             | 
             | The NSC in the first Clinton admin and the HW admin was
             | ambivalent-to-opposed to the "endogenous democratization"
             | approach, as was seen with Clinton 1's decisions during the
             | China Straits Crisis under Anthony Lake (who was canned in
             | 1997) along with Bush 1's retrenchment of sanctions in
             | response to the Tiananmen Square Massacre under Brent
             | Scowcroft. Much of the shift happened in Clinton 2 due to
             | personnel changes and a significant loss of political
             | capital due to then ongoing controversies.
             | 
             | > But prior to that, the argument was never made
             | 
             | Yep. The "endogenous democratization" argument only arose
             | in 1997 after Adam Przeworski and Fernando Limongi's paper
             | "Modernization: Theories and Facts" was published back in
             | 1997 [0].
             | 
             | [0] - https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Modernization%3
             | A-Theor...
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Much of the shift happened in Clinton 2_
               | 
               | That's when the relevant argument was made and, by my
               | reading, mistakes made per OP's comments.
               | 
               | Nobody is criticizing Nixon splitting China from the
               | USSR. The criticism is in trade liberalization and
               | technology transfer following the 1990s.
        
         | shevy-java wrote:
         | > Lai is a victim of this miscalculation.
         | 
         | I don't think it was a miscalculation. Greed always ran deep in
         | the West too.
         | 
         | > If a country's people could either violently (Romania) or
         | peacefully (almost everywhere else) remove such totalitarian
         | systems of politics
         | 
         | It's not always possible. It works in some countries but not in
         | others. For instance, it seems not possible in Russia.
         | 
         | > China, on the other hand, had not moved away from command
         | economics at the time. Instead, the result was state
         | capitalism. People were free to try new things that could
         | create economic expansion, but only in a way that served the
         | needs of the state.
         | 
         | I somewhat agree, as the sinomarxist theorem and strategem is
         | about that (and the sinomarxists also managed to bring out many
         | people out of poverty too), but your analysis is not entirely
         | correct either as China has many superrich now, which is a
         | perversion in the system. So Xi also lies here. Because how can
         | there be so many super-superrich? This is a master-slave
         | situation, just like in other capitalistic countries. So why
         | then the lie about sinomarxism? They just sell it like an
         | ideology now, not unlike the Juche crap in North Korea.
        
           | nine_k wrote:
           | > _seems not possible in Russia._
           | 
           | But Russia has never removed the Communists from power. It
           | removed the Communist party, that's true. But plenty of the
           | revolutionaries were themselves Communists; both Gorbachev
           | and Yeltsin were very high-ranking Communists. They liked the
           | idea of economic liberalization, but the political
           | liberalization was only allowed as long as they stayed in
           | power. I'm not sure Russia has seen even a single honest
           | presidential election. The current "president" of Russia is a
           | former KGB officer.
        
             | YC34987349872 wrote:
             | Calling Yeltsin a communist is bananas. He played a central
             | role in collapsing the Soviet Union by pulling Russia out
             | of the Union, without any democratic input from the people.
             | He then privatized everything, sold it all to the oligarchs
             | and outside American/European hedge funds, and gutted all
             | of Russia's remaining social safety programs from the SU.
             | Yeltsin would be considered the very definition of a
             | neoliberal, and was considered a friend and ally of the
             | United States, which is now something we try to whitewash.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | The key thing for me here is that Yeltsin apparently
               | falsified a lot of elections, including his own, to keep
               | the right people in power. Economic liberalization (which
               | had quite an effect) while holding the political reins
               | tightly is very much like the Chinese communists acted
               | during Deng Xiaoping's tenure. The Chinese managed to
               | bring somehow wiser people to top though, it seems.
               | 
               | Yeltsin may have used Communists as a scare during his
               | campaign. But today's Russia is in hands of a former
               | Communist dictator, much like today's China is in the
               | hands of a career-Communist dictator.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | > The key thing for me here is that Yeltsin apparently
               | falsified a lot of elections, including his own, to keep
               | the right people in power.
               | 
               | The US _helped_ with that.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > The key thing for me here is that Yeltsin apparently
               | falsified a lot of elections, including his own, to keep
               | the right people in power.
               | 
               | No, he didn't. The 1996 elections were honest, with maybe
               | slight irregularities in favor of his _opponent_. There
               | is statistical analysis by a professional mathematician:
               | https://www.electoral.graphics/en-
               | us/Home/Articles/sergei-sh...
               | 
               | It _is_ correct to say that Yeltsin fought a very dirty
               | campaign, using "dark cash" (the infamous "Xerox box")
               | and unfair agreements with the major media owners.
        
         | thenthenthen wrote:
         | Miscalculation on what level? I think you are right concerning
         | the methods as during the "last-stand" at hk poly technic,
         | tanks were assembling in Futian Shenzhen (sat images.. what was
         | this site again)
        
           | lenerdenator wrote:
           | I think that laypeople in the US were willing to see more
           | investments in China with the rationalization that it could
           | lead to more human rights. If you had polled random Americans
           | in 1995 with a question like, "Should the US government and
           | American companies invest in the People's Republic of China
           | in an effort to increase human rights and liberalization
           | there?", most people would have responded "yes".
           | 
           | The miscalculation comes from thinking that the investment
           | would actually have that effect. And I do think some people
           | at the top knew it wouldn't have that effect, but of course,
           | there was cheap labor to be had, and that was what they
           | wanted more than anything else.
        
         | slibhb wrote:
         | So far you're right but the tide can always turn. China has
         | massively overbuilt housing supply, which is the kind of
         | mistake that a freer economy couldn't make. China's failed
         | birth policies (1 child until 2015!) are another example.
         | 
         | My opinion is still that capitalism (Western style) will win.
         | Not because markets are never wrong but because the scope for
         | fucking up is so much less. Markets can't decide "families can
         | have only one child" or "we need to build 90 million units of
         | housing" (that now sits empty). An accumulation of fuck-ups in
         | this vein is inevitable when you have a small group of people
         | making these kinds of decisions. In the long run, it will be
         | fatal.
        
           | cogman10 wrote:
           | > Markets can't decide "families can have only one child"
           | 
           | Actually they can. It's part of the reason why a lot of
           | capitalist nations are seeing major problems with population
           | stagnation and possibly shrinkage.
           | 
           | The problem is markets don't care at all about society. If
           | they can require that every member of a household has to work
           | and extract all their money as efficiently as possible, then
           | they leave little room for society to have families.
           | 
           | Capitalism is geared towards minimizing workers' free time.
           | And, unfortunately, free time is how babies get made and kids
           | get raised.
           | 
           | That is where western capitalism is failing. Shouting louder
           | and young adults to pull on bootstraps harder isn't making
           | them have kids in their studio apartments.
           | 
           | South Korea and Japan are 2 examples of this train-wreck
           | that's coming for the US and other nations.
        
             | fn-mote wrote:
             | > If they can require that every member of a household has
             | to work and extract all their money as efficiently as
             | possible, then they leave little room for society to have
             | families.
             | 
             | This ascribes an agency to capitalism that doesn't exist.
             | 
             | The families themselves make the choices to have more or
             | fewer children.
             | 
             | Capitalism says nothing about free time. Make the
             | connection in your argument - people without enough money
             | work as much as they can, maybe... but I still don't see
             | the lower wage people I know working 16 hour days. In fact
             | it is the people who have a use for the extra money,
             | usually to buy free time later, as one would expect in a
             | capitalistic system.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | > This ascribes an agency to capitalism that doesn't
               | exist.
               | 
               | Oh no, it really doesn't.
               | 
               | Captialism is everyone working to maximize profit. It's
               | the lack of foresight on social problems and pressures in
               | capitalism that leads to exactly this problem.
               | 
               | > The families themselves make the choices to have more
               | or fewer children.
               | 
               | Right, because of the pressure of a capitalist society.
               | People can be priced out of having children if
               | necessities like food, housing, and clothing price them
               | out of being able to take care of a child.
               | 
               | > Capitalism says nothing about free time.
               | 
               | Capitalism is about maximizing profit. A direct path
               | towards that is paying employees the minimal amount and
               | having them work the most hours to extract the maximum
               | amount of value from them.
               | 
               | Before mass unionization, 60 or 80 hour workweeks were
               | pretty common in the US. Even today, we see companies
               | that use salaried employees as a way to make employees
               | work longer hours.
               | 
               | If overtime wasn't so expensive, you could bet that
               | McDonalds would have people working 12 hour shifts.
               | Hospitals already do that to nurses.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _capitalism is everyone working to maximize profit_
               | 
               | This is nonsense. Capitalism is about the private
               | ownership of productive stuff, _i.e._ capital. That's it.
               | Profit is a corollary, and one that is bounded by
               | preferences and tastes.
        
               | saubeidl wrote:
               | That completely ignores the coercive law of competition.
               | 
               | "Accumulate! Accumulate! That is Moses and the prophets."
               | 
               | - _Karl Marx, Capital: A Critique of Political Economy,
               | Volume 1_
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _completely ignores the coercive law of competition_
               | 
               | Not a forcing function unless you're levered. Competition
               | can't push your return on a productive asset below zero
               | (by definition), just lower by increasing the value of
               | said asset while reducing the cash flows from it.
        
               | tankenmate wrote:
               | `Not a forcing function unless you're levered`; but every
               | one is levered, you aren't born with all the housing,
               | food, and water you'll need for the rest of your life.
               | Everyone is born with a net negative of the necessities
               | of life, the difference though is that a very small
               | minority are bequeathed this by well heeled ancestors.
               | But for the overwhelming majority there is a life long
               | struggle to afford to live a suitable life.
        
           | YC34987349872 wrote:
           | The "ghost cities" narrative has been bunk for a while. Most
           | of those developments have been filled up and are now seen as
           | highly desirable ultra-modern cities, e.g. Pudong New Area in
           | Shanghai, but much cheaper for first time buyers than
           | anywhere in the North America or Europe.
        
             | sQL_inject wrote:
             | This take is bunk. I travel to China every year and in each
             | major city, for each filled skyscraper, there is another
             | that is half built and empty.
        
             | lowkey_ wrote:
             | 1) Years ago for work, I went deep investigating these;
             | some of the team actually flew to China to see it all
             | first-hand and verify the data. This is not a bunk
             | narrative.
             | 
             | 2) I've never made this accusation on HN before and
             | apologize if I'm wrong, but this is a new account with 3
             | comments, all on this post (one of the largest posts about
             | Hong Kong I've seen in a while here), and it looks a lot
             | like a paid actor for China. This makes me thankful for the
             | green-name feature on HN, if the random string of numbers
             | wasn't enough of a tell.
        
           | maxglute wrote:
           | They prebuild 10 years of housing runway but still have
           | another 10 years, aka 100m+ housing shortage for urbanization
           | goals. They realize they got overzealous and was venturing in
           | bubble and and intervened during boom vs after collapse. AKA
           | preplanning and prematurely fixing something, which is the
           | kind of intervention a freer economy can't do.
           | 
           | Family planning was also massive successful in preventing
           | frankly 100s of millions of useless mouths from being born
           | and concentrating resources to upskill 1-2 kids, hence their
           | massive catchup within a few generations. Now they make more
           | technical talent than OCED combined and will have the
           | greatest high skill demographic dividend to milk for at least
           | our life times, giving them 40+ years to sort out better
           | family planning.
           | 
           | BTW US overspending 5-10% of GDP aka 2.5 Trillion per year on
           | healthcare vs OECD baseline is basically more wasteful
           | misallocation than anything PRC has ever done, including RE
           | misallocation (3-5% waste). And at least they still have
           | housing units left to use (being converted into affordable
           | housing), instead of piles of paper work and personal debt.
           | Accumulation of fuckups that are not resolvable in western
           | style capitalism, it will be fatal medium term.
        
           | HDThoreaun wrote:
           | China is still moving millions of people from rural to urban
           | areas every year. The overbuilt housing is a complete non
           | issue that will naturally solve itself in under a decade.
           | Meanwhile in the west there is a massive housing
           | affordability crisis because the government lets special
           | interests make new housing illegal. I am not a fan of the
           | chinese government but their housing policy is one spot where
           | they are obviously better than western policy.
        
           | zelphirkalt wrote:
           | It depends though, whom you are asking about failed or
           | successful policies. For example I have seen a normal flat of
           | a friend in China in a capitol of a province, who lives alone
           | in this 4 room apartment. I asked how much rent they had to
           | pay and then asked them what they think, how much they would
           | have to pay for that in Berlin. When I told them they would
           | probably have to pay some 2k EUR rent, they thought for a
           | moment, then just said: "That's insane!". The rent they paid
           | was maybe 1/8 to 1/6 of that. And that apartment was not
           | somewhere far out. It is well within the city and has good
           | public transport connection. People can afford to rent.
           | People can move. Single people. Over here not so much. This
           | is also a result of the state having built houses and
           | apartments.
        
             | em-bee wrote:
             | i don't know much about the rental market in china, but
             | living there, always renting, i had the impression that
             | rents do not cover the cost of the apartment. it is as if
             | most people rent out their apartment because it would
             | otherwise stay empty. when we finally bought an apartment,
             | the mortgage payments were twice as high as what we would
             | have paid for the same apartment in rent. we had a 15 year
             | mortgage i think, so that means it takes 30 years in rent
             | to just cover the cost of the apartment. is that
             | profitable? i don't know. in germany rent has to be
             | profitable.
        
           | jen20 wrote:
           | > Markets can't decide "families can have only one child"
           | 
           | Sure they can. Just make it unaffordable to do anything else.
        
         | cogman10 wrote:
         | > While it is a human right to own property and use it to
         | rationally pursue one's self-interests, that does not mean that
         | capitalism in its current form is conducive to that for the
         | greatest number of people, or to the evolution of other human
         | rights in the societies in which capitalism is practiced.
         | 
         | I'd argue that communism is the only system of government that
         | guarantees property for all. That's somewhat a core tenant that
         | every member in a communist society collectively owns
         | everything.
         | 
         | Capitalism is optimized to reduce or eliminate property access.
         | For example, a free market capitalist has no problems with a
         | very rich individual buying a city and perpetually renting the
         | property to it's employees at rates above their salary, putting
         | them in perpetual debt to that individual. They own nothing and
         | can't escape their circumstances. Nor can their children.
         | 
         | Capitalism with minimal or no regulation naturally devolves
         | into feudalism.
        
           | psunavy03 wrote:
           | Communism as such has never existed and will never exist
           | because it ignores human nature. Private property rights are
           | a fundamental tenet of human psychology.
           | 
           | But hey, in defiance of 100+ years of failed attempts, if you
           | want to see Politburos putting people in gulags again for
           | being counterrevolutionaries . . . sure, give it another go.
           | 
           | Capitalism is the worst economic system that has ever been
           | tried . . . except for all the others.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | For the record, I'm not a communist. I'd probably say my
             | values are pretty close to socialist-capitalist. And that
             | is a form of government that many nations have adopted and
             | are successfully running.
             | 
             | What's been failing is neoliberalism. Every nation that's
             | been moving in that direction has serious problems as their
             | social safety nets have started to collapse.
        
               | bpt3 wrote:
               | > socialist-capitalist
               | 
               | What is this? Are the existing examples you mentioned
               | considered examples of democratic socialism, or are you
               | referring to something else?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | No OP. But if it's similar to what I believe in, it's
               | free-market capitalism for business (with provisions for
               | market failure, _e.g._ antitrust and utility regulation),
               | redistribution of wealth for individuals, strong
               | individual investor and consumer rights, and the state
               | providing the bare basics through the market (housing
               | voucher, food voucher, public education or an education
               | voucher, electricity voucher, water voucher, internet
               | voucher, and public healthcare).
        
               | bpt3 wrote:
               | It doesn't sound all that similar on the surface to OP's
               | response based on my initial read of both.
               | 
               | It seems like you're proposing a regulated free market in
               | parallel with a highly regulated UBI?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _a regulated free market in parallel with a highly
               | regulated UBI?_
               | 
               | No UBI. Just basics for survival guaranteed. You should
               | not starve if you can't find work. That doesn't mean we
               | can support a non-working population at leisure. (Which,
               | in our current model, occurs at both ends of the income
               | spectrum.)
        
               | bpt3 wrote:
               | > No UBI. Just basics for survival guaranteed.
               | 
               | That's why I called it a "highly regulated UBI", which
               | might not have been clear. You're proposing that all
               | citizens receive the basics for survival in kind instead
               | of the cash equivalent (which is how a UBI would work).
               | 
               | I think I prefer this model over what the OP ended up
               | suggesting, but I'm not sure how feasible it would be in
               | practice in the US.
               | 
               | > That doesn't mean we can support a non-working
               | population at leisure.
               | 
               | Aren't the people who choose to live at a basic survival
               | level living a life at leisure in your system?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Aren 't the people who choose to live at a basic
               | survival level living a life at leisure in your system?_
               | 
               | I suppose so, given they're subsisting. It should not
               | luxurious, however, and would probably carry with it a
               | modicum of indignity. (Which is fine as long as they
               | aren't discriminated against.)
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | Basically this [1]
               | 
               | And for who's done it, basically every capitalist nation
               | at this point.
               | 
               | Simply put it's recognizing that capitalism has failings
               | but so does communism. It doesn't seek full state control
               | of everything, just over industries where it's needed. It
               | tries to strike a balance between public and private
               | ownership.
               | 
               | Everything from Vietnam to the US have aspects of market
               | socialism. I think that there are more industries where
               | the US should take ownership, particularly industries
               | that lend themselves to natural monopolies or
               | oligopolies.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_socialism
        
               | bpt3 wrote:
               | Thanks for the reply. I agree that regulating capitalism
               | is necessary, but I also think the "where it's needed"
               | portion of your thesis is a real sticking point.
               | 
               | I would be interested to know what industries you have in
               | mind where the US should take ownership, and in what
               | form.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | It'll obviously be industry dependent.
               | 
               | A few that I'd see the need.
               | 
               | - Railroads - The lines themselves and the operation
               | should be owned by the federal government. Private rail
               | companies should buy access which pays for line expansion
               | and maintenance. The US needs regulations on things like
               | train length and line speeds (none of these super massive
               | trains blocking roadways because they don't fit inside a
               | rail yard).
               | 
               | - Medicine - Medicare for all, but honestly I think
               | nationalizing major hospitals and pharmaceuticals would
               | probably be warranted. It's in the national interest to
               | fund a wide breadth of research and medicine production
               | even if that medicine doesn't ultimately turn a profit.
               | But even if we just did insurance, the US is already
               | covering the most expensive pool of individuals with
               | Medicare (old people) expanding it to all citizens
               | wouldn't be that expensive. Reform to medicare would help
               | (particularly removing Part C, that's just a slush fund
               | for insurance companies, but then also expanding and
               | simplifying the other parts).
               | 
               | Utilities ownership - Doesn't need to be nationalized,
               | but having municipal or state ran utilities would, IMO,
               | be preferable. The state utilities boards suck and
               | putting in checks for utility companies. They aren't
               | elected and are easy to corrupt. For example, my water
               | utility was recently purchased by a company. In order to
               | cover the loan they took out to purchase the previous
               | water company, they raised rates (fat chance those go
               | down). For telecommunications, I think a British telecom
               | style system would work well. The government owns the
               | lines while various telecommunication companies compete
               | for service. That'd make it easier for more than just 2
               | companies providing internet service to a given location.
               | Cellular networks practically already work like this, the
               | big 3 own everything and sub-carriers just lease access.
               | It'd be better if the government nationally owned cell
               | service deployment. Especially in terms of spectrum
               | usage.
               | 
               | - Food production - I don't really think government
               | ownership is needed here, I think anti-trust and breakups
               | are needed. These markets have consolidated to a huge
               | extent which is really bad for everyone. Having just ~5
               | different national grocers is a bad thing. Having just a
               | few mills (like general mills) is a bad thing.
               | 
               | - Chip fabrication - This should be owned by the
               | government much like TSMC. And like TSMC, the likes of
               | nvidia/intel/amd can buy a fab to do their runs. Fabs are
               | just too crazy expensive and losing the competitive edge
               | here is a security problem.
               | 
               | Basically, my view centers mostly around when an industry
               | gets too consolidated. Especially when I think it's
               | something that has critical importance to the general
               | public. I could be open to more of these sorts of
               | actions, it just depends on if an industry can be
               | naturally competitive or not. Like, for example, I think
               | a nationalized shoe manufacturing is a dumb idea as it's
               | already a highly competitive market that could be easily
               | broken up.
               | 
               | Hopefully that answers your question.
        
               | bpt3 wrote:
               | It does, thanks. I'm not sure how much I agree with your
               | premise, but I'll think about it.
        
             | Wilder7977 wrote:
             | Anthropologically speaking these statements about human
             | fundamentals (or "human nature") end up falling flat. There
             | have been plenty of societies organized in ways such that
             | private property was irrelevant when existing at all.
             | 
             | I suggest "Debt" from David Graeber for a great
             | dissertation of this topic (which is not the core topic,
             | but definitely touched).
             | 
             | All of this without considering that private property of
             | means of production is different from private property in
             | general.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | True communism has of course existed and likely still
             | exists, but it's limited to small self-selected
             | communities, like monastic retreats.
             | 
             | Communism indeed is highly unlikely to works as a political
             | state system, due to human nature.
        
             | jodrellblank wrote:
             | Safety-nets for big companies so they can't fail, shared
             | ownership for rich shareholders. Dog-eat-dog market forces,
             | rugged individualism and bootstraps for the poor. Don't you
             | think it's weird that the things communist Americans want,
             | are the things Wealthy Capitalist Americans get, while
             | telling the poor "those things don't work"? Central
             | Planning sounds like a stupid idea, but why are all the big
             | companies planned from a central HQ if everyone agrees that
             | local planning is better?
             | 
             | > " _in defiance of 100+ years of failed attempts_ "
             | 
             | Just curious, there wasn't any interference from outside
             | during these 'failures' was there? Any trade embargoes? Any
             | military intervention? Any assassinations? Any deliberate
             | destabilizing? Any puppet governments?
             | 
             | > " _if you want to see Politburos putting people in gulags
             | again for being counterrevolutionaries_ "
             | 
             | There's 1.3 - 1.9 million people in American prisons now.
             | 4.9 million who have been in prison. 19 million with felony
             | convictions. Prisons are for-profit, and prisoners are used
             | for forced labour, either paid nothing or paid less than
             | minimum wage. The US ICE is disappearing people off the
             | streets. The US president is targeting people who criticize
             | him accusing them of treason (punishable by death)[1],
             | recently writing """Chuck Schumer said trip was 'a total
             | dud', even though he knows it was a spectacular success.
             | Words like that are almost treasonous!""".
             | 
             | Why is "Communism" the cause of gulags but "Capitalism"
             | isn't the cause of mass incarceration, forced labour, and
             | the government covering up how many people die while
             | imprisoned? Why does this American "communism can't work,
             | has never worked, and reminder Communism == mass graves"
             | style comment always feel like a loud pledge of allegiance
             | trying to make it clear to the powers that be that you
             | aren't criticizing them, begging them not to disappear you?
             | Are you not even allowed to entertain a different idea? To
             | consider that even if any given Communism actually can't
             | work and is crappy to live under, that what you're saying
             | is more like a religious recital than something sensible?
             | 
             | [1] https://time.com/7290536/miles-taylor-president-trump-
             | treaso...
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | > Private property rights are a fundamental tenet of human
             | psychology.
             | 
             | This is a weird religious belief. Property rights are an
             | entirely unnatural construction. Under normal
             | circumstances, you own exactly what you can defend, no
             | more, no less. Property rights are a communal imposition to
             | protect the weak from the strong, and are no more natural
             | than any other socialist endeavor.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _a core tenant that every member in a communist society
           | collectively owns everything_
           | 
           | Everyone owns the world oceans ("common heritage of
           | humanity"). How is that going for its fisheries and sea
           | bottoms.
        
             | krainboltgreene wrote:
             | Yeah man I don't think co-op fisheries are the problem
             | here.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _don 't think co-op fisheries are the problem here_
               | 
               | Co-op fisheries are owned by the co-op. They aren't a
               | problem and regulate access.
               | 
               | Common heritage fisheries are trawled unregulated because
               | when everyone owns something, nobody owns it.
               | 
               | For the communist model to work, the state has to own
               | everything. Which in practice means apparatchiks control
               | everything.
        
               | saubeidl wrote:
               | We could finally try finish the experiment Allende
               | started before the CIA couped away a democratically
               | elected president.
               | 
               | Do something like project Cybersyn [0], but give all
               | decision making to a digital planning engine.
               | 
               | No humans, no apparatchiks.
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Cybersyn
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That's so naive. Economic central planning is a fool's
               | errand. Regardless of how good the computers are, it can
               | never work because it's impossible to gather accurate
               | demand data. Only free market economics can ever work at
               | scale over the long term.
        
               | saubeidl wrote:
               | That is nothing but an ideological statement without any
               | evidence, one that is being disproven as we speak.
               | 
               | Free market economics haven't worked out great for the
               | vast majority of people.
        
               | mopsi wrote:
               | Go ahead, plan my Christmas Eve. What time I wake up,
               | what time I leave the house, which routes I take, what
               | things I buy. Assign the kWhs of electricity and liters
               | of water and fuel that I'll use up, plan ingredients for
               | my meals of the day.
               | 
               | The belief that a central "digital planning engine" could
               | plan the lives of an entire society is an incredibly
               | naive idea from early cybernetics. This doesn't work even
               | in small thought experiments because of information
               | limits. No central system can access all the local
               | knowledge and constantly changing circumstances.
        
           | mopsi wrote:
           | > I'd argue that communism is the only system of government
           | that guarantees property for all. That's somewhat a core
           | tenant that every member in a communist society collectively
           | owns everything.
           | 
           | This year, I knit a scarf for a friend as a Christmas gift.
           | He already owns several scarves, unlike some other people who
           | own none, but might need one more than he does. How is that
           | collective ownership supposed to work here? Are you going to
           | take that scarf away from me and "assign" it to someone you
           | deem more deserving? I'll resist and you'll have to take it
           | from me by force. And if you do, I'll stop knitting
           | altogether, because why bother if I never get the chance to
           | gift it to my friend. What are you going to do when you need
           | the next scarf, force me to work?
           | 
           | If the answer is "yes", you've just reinvented a communist
           | dictatorship. If it's a "no", then such society will run out
           | of food and goods, and something better will rise to replace
           | it.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | Communism doesn't entail owning nothing or being able to
             | produce nothing. It often even has a concept of money to
             | trade for goods and services.
             | 
             | So you could take your earnings, buy some yarn, knit your
             | friend a scarf, and there's no real change in societies.
             | 
             | The difference is that you'd get your money from a state
             | run industry. Your home would be guaranteed. And where you
             | ultimately end up working would be based on your
             | capabilities.
             | 
             | You are free to knit or whittle gifts for friends. What you
             | wouldn't be free to do is setup "mopsi's scarf business"
             | without working through the state. You wouldn't be allowed
             | to take the earning from "mopsi's scarf business" and use
             | them to become a landlord. You could gain social status and
             | benefits by running the scarf business, but those would be
             | limited (barring corruption).
             | 
             | When I say "a communist society collectively owns
             | everything" I'm talking mainly businesses, land, housing.
             | 
             | A mistake that people often make about communism is
             | thinking it means "Everything is free" or "nobody owns
             | anything". That's more of a collectivist approach.
             | Communism is mostly centered around providing minimum
             | guarantees through public ownership.
        
               | mopsi wrote:
               | > You are free to knit or whittle gifts for friends. What
               | you wouldn't be free to do is setup "mopsi's scarf
               | business" without working through the state. You wouldn't
               | be allowed to take the earning from "mopsi's scarf
               | business" and use them to become a landlord.
               | 
               | If my scarves become so popular that even strangers begin
               | offering money for them, I won't be interested in working
               | for the state for basic necessities while the state takes
               | the rest.
               | 
               | I'd rather barter with others for the useful things they
               | produce. My friend, for example, grows excellent
               | tomatoes.
               | 
               | Over time, if we have many friends, we will live
               | comfortable lives, while loners will wither away. Is this
               | an acceptable outcome for you as the dictator of the
               | Bestest Communist Paradise on Planet Earth (BCPPE), or
               | will you do something about it?
        
             | charlescearl wrote:
             | "Private property" in the socialist sense is property which
             | is used for production (note that socialist countries -
             | Laos, Vietnam, USSR before the destruction of socialism -
             | typically have 80%+ rates of home ownership). Collective
             | control of factories, land used for commodity & social
             | (i.e. feeding people) production.
             | 
             | There are many writings that address this misconception.
             | Communist Manifesto https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/w
             | orks/download/pdf/Man... provides a succinct response. You
             | might also search for what class owns most of the property
             | in the united states.
        
         | tankenmate wrote:
         | "Lai is a victim of this miscalculation."; I don't think Lai
         | miscalculated, he knew what was coming and fought it anyway.
         | 
         | "Authority comes from submission"; sure someone can threaten
         | you with physical coercion, but they can't make you want to
         | submit. I would strongly suspect that Jimmy knew what was
         | coming, but the point isn't "winning" in the "hollywood" sense,
         | but rather that he did the right thing even. I would suspect
         | not even in spite of the cost, but _because_ of the cost.
         | 
         | Are principles that don't cost you anything even principles?
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | China hasn't become a Western capitalist democracy, but it has
         | changed enormously for the better from the genocidal tyranny of
         | the Mao era, and my guess is that it will keep changing.
         | 
         | One "first principles" way to think about it is that money is
         | power, and as the Chinese middle class grows bigger and richer,
         | it will have more and more of the power. I expect it will want
         | similar things as the middle class in other countries.
         | 
         | This may take any number of decades, which unfortunately makes
         | this a hard theory to falsify.
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | > it was thinking that investment in China would equal
         | liberalization and democratic reforms
         | 
         | China now _is_ far more liberal than in the 80-s. But it's also
         | not even close to the Western democracies.
         | 
         | > China, on the other hand, had not moved away from command
         | economics at the time. Instead, the result was state
         | capitalism.
         | 
         | Not really. "State capitalism" really is misleading. China is
         | fiercely capitalistic, far more than any modern Western
         | country. The ruling party has an unspoken agreement with the
         | population: you stay out of politics, and they stay out of your
         | business.
         | 
         | But I don't think this is sustainable. Russia had a similar
         | social compact, and it had been broken after the Ukrainian
         | invasion. There was too much power concentrated in one person,
         | and it just never works.
        
         | malvim wrote:
         | Did big businesses in the West really think "investing" in
         | China would lead to "freedom" and such? Isn't that framing a
         | bit naive?
         | 
         | They went to China because it was cheaper. They went there in
         | detriment of their countrymen that went without jobs, in
         | detriment of the environment (what with all the shipping boom
         | that followed), even in detriment of their own countries, since
         | this would stifle development and industrialization. And they
         | KNEW that technology transfer would follow, because China had
         | made it clear.
         | 
         | No one forced them to do it. They did it knowingly in the name
         | of short and medium-term profit. I'm not even judging if that
         | is bad (I do THINK it's bad overall, but I'm not arguing it
         | here). I'm just pointing out what happened.
         | 
         | So now the West must not be surprised. And they aren't! They
         | just need to craft narratives that will paint them in good
         | light.
        
           | drdec wrote:
           | > Did big businesses in the West really think "investing" in
           | China would lead to "freedom" and such? Isn't that framing a
           | bit naive?
           | 
           | I think the OP would frame this as the Western governments
           | allowing Western businesses to invest in China.
        
           | jrmg wrote:
           | _Did big businesses in the West really think "investing" in
           | China would lead to "freedom" and such?_
           | 
           | You're right in your assumption that profit-seeking was the
           | major part of it - like, it wouldn't have happened otherwise.
           | 
           | But the idea that the West trading and interacting with China
           | would mean the populous (and perhaps government) would come
           | to understand the benefits of a free society, and so China
           | would trend towards a Western political system - probably
           | gradually rather than violently - was a mainstream view from
           | the 80s to the early 2010s.
        
           | derektank wrote:
           | Perhaps it would be more accurate to say that US policymakers
           | deregulated capital flows with China in the hopes that it
           | would lead to political liberalization. Businesses always
           | just follow the money, but for a long time American policy
           | makers had made it difficult to invest in China, from
           | regulatory uncertainty to restrictions on dual use technology
           | exports to high tariffs.
           | 
           | It really was an intentional decision, largely on the part of
           | the Clinton administration, to make investing in the country
           | easier and improve the economic well being of Chinese
           | citizens in the hopes it would inevitably lead to
           | democratization. Clearly, those hopes were just that though
        
             | dan-robertson wrote:
             | I think China also made it difficult to invest in China.
        
           | dnautics wrote:
           | > Did big businesses in the West really think "investing" in
           | China would lead to "freedom" and such? Isn't that framing a
           | bit naive?
           | 
           | It worked in south korea and taiwan which were severe
           | military dictatorships before (maybe you could throw japan im
           | there too?) so the history of capitalism liberalizing
           | countries isn't all failures
        
           | varenc wrote:
           | > Did big businesses in the West really think "investing" in
           | China would lead to "freedom" and such? Isn't that framing a
           | bit naive?
           | 
           | Yes I think. At least a lot of Western policymakers did buy a
           | "change through trade/investment" story, and it wasn't pulled
           | from nowhere because it had worked in the past.
           | 
           | In postwar Japan and later South Korea, integration into the
           | West's economic system coincided with eventual
           | democratization, closer alignment of values, and alliance.
           | 
           | It was reasonable to think the same thing would work in
           | China, but that doesn't seem to be the case.
           | 
           | Also the US intentionally set China up for investment by
           | doing things like bringing them into the WTO. All that
           | investment wouldn't have happened without some level of
           | government support.
        
             | jzb wrote:
             | I think it's more accurate to say that Western policymakers
             | sold that story to the public on behalf of the companies
             | that bought, er, lobbied them.
        
           | phendrenad2 wrote:
           | In our current system, which is, without a doubt, a
           | corpocracy, it's easy to forget that before the 1970s,
           | corporations didn't have that much power at all, and they
           | were regularly overruled by other organizations - labor
           | unions, government social welfare programs, religious
           | institutions, grassroots movements, etc. Allowing
           | corporations to maintain access to the US market while
           | outsourcing jobs to countries with slave labor is the
           | exploit/loophole that allowed corporations to amass wealth
           | and MADE corporations as powerful as they are today.
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | The weird thing is China is absolutely jam packed with small
         | companies. Go to a trade show and you'll find dozens of
         | companies selling basically the same products with minor
         | variations. It's absolutely cutthroat.
         | 
         | In the US we tend to see small companies get gobbled up by huge
         | incumbents regularly, but in China the situation is much more
         | in flux and it's not always obvious who the winners are going
         | to be. It's the opposite of what you would expect from a
         | command economy, at least in the tech and consumer product
         | sectors.
        
           | overfeed wrote:
           | > It's absolutely cutthroat.
           | 
           | Meanwhile in the land of the free, it's consolidation galore
           | with very little competition.
        
         | dyauspitr wrote:
         | The West failed in its goals but the flip side is they
         | unintentionally made it possible to pull 750 million people out
         | of poverty. Probably the greatest western foreign policy
         | victory ever.
        
       | shevy-java wrote:
       | The sinomarxist mono-party is kind of doing their powerplay here.
       | 
       | The interesting thing is that the "two systems, one state" claim
       | was revealed to have been a lie. I can kind of understand the
       | position of China too, mind you - after all there was a war
       | against the UK empire and they forced ceding territory (e. g.
       | Hong Kong). But that still does not nullify the local's people
       | preferences, and Beijing simply bulldozered through by force
       | here. That's the total antithesis to freedom. Xi will focus on
       | Taiwan next - that is also clear. It is in the "DNA" of the
       | sinomarxistic philosophy (though one can wonder how much marxism
       | with chinese focus is still left; it's kind of capitalistic led
       | by a dictatorship. Oddly enough the USA is also transitioning to
       | this by the tech-bros oligarchs.)
       | 
       | We kind of see that freedoms are being eroded. I don't know if
       | that was always the case, or whether it just happens now more
       | rapidly so; or is reported more often, but in the late 1990s I
       | would say we had more freedoms, globally, than right now. Somehow
       | the trend is going towards less freedom. Putin invading Ukraine,
       | occupying land and killing people there is also highly similar to
       | the pretext of the second world war, with the invasion of the
       | Sudetenland by Germany, and then the Gleiwitz lie to sell the
       | invasion of Poland. I think the only real difference here is that
       | more countries have nukes. And smaller countries are kind of put
       | in a dilemma now, since they can not offset bigger countries
       | without nukes.
        
         | Barrin92 wrote:
         | >But that still does not nullify the local's people
         | preferences,
         | 
         | One reason why Lai's fate has only limited impact is because it
         | doesn't resonate that strongly with working people for whom
         | Hong Kong isn't an example of upward prosperity. His rags to
         | riches 'boomer optimism' appeals more to the Western audience
         | than to someone who has lived in the stagnation of Hong Kong of
         | the last few decades, where ambitious tech talent now migrates
         | to the mainland.
         | 
         | Likewise on the mainland the youth is significantly less
         | interested in emulating the West or old Hong Kong which to them
         | is not a symbol of dynamism.
        
         | maxglute wrote:
         | 1Country2Systems is still in place, just the version that was
         | always meant to be, not the lie western propaganda sold.
         | 
         | HK failed their half of 2System by not implementing national
         | security law on their accord after 20 years of failures and it
         | became obvious they were never going to do it out of own
         | volition. Frankly if local preferences is to be under national
         | security umbrella and be free to commit treason their
         | preferences should be completely nullified because that's
         | unserious position. Hence PRC, after UNREASONABLE patience had
         | shove it down their throats under 1C mandate (1C supercedes 2S)
         | - HK only ever had "high" degree of autonomy, not full
         | autonomy. It was always in Beijing's prerogative to force HK to
         | eat their vegetables, it just took 20 years of HK incompetence
         | before Beijing ran of patience. AKA the 1C2S muh HK has full
         | autonomy under Sino British declaration tier of retarded
         | western propaganda fed to useful idiots was a lie and got
         | dispelled.
        
           | Refreeze5224 wrote:
           | That's a whole lots of words to say that the people of HK
           | don't get any say in how their lives are run, and that it's
           | justified to force them into a situation they don't want.
           | That's a crock of shit, and I suspect you know it.
        
           | corimaith wrote:
           | There is no or ever has been a national security issue in one
           | of the safest cities in the world. You could leave it in the
           | doldrums for 50 more years and it wouldn't make a difference.
           | 
           | On the other hand, has John Lee made any real progress
           | regarding the entwinement of the political economy and real
           | estate developers leading to the high housing prices or
           | overcompetition? Not really. So it's just full throated
           | authoritarianism with no benefit. Unlike the West, HK already
           | enjoys efficiency and infrastructure on par if not superior
           | to Tier 1 Chinese Cities, so any appeals to "order" are
           | farcical when the city is already far more orderly than the
           | mainland.
        
       | 10xDev wrote:
       | >The dissident was convicted in Hong Kong earlier this week of
       | two counts of conspiring to collude with foreign forces
       | 
       | >he also met with then-Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of
       | State Mike Pompeo; at trial, Lai testified that he had asked them
       | to voice their support for Hong Kong.
       | 
       | Yeah, I don't think that's going to help convince anyone buddy.
        
         | 10xDev wrote:
         | Imagine if Jensen Huang started meeting Xi Jinping.
        
           | axus wrote:
           | Nothing would happen to Mr. Huang, he's free to talk to
           | anyone.
        
             | repeekad wrote:
             | Too bad Mr. Lai was not
        
           | budududuroiu wrote:
           | He wouldn't be meeting Xi, as it's not a state visit, but he
           | did meet the Vice Premier, He Lifeng. Elon also met Li Qiang.
        
       | anon291 wrote:
       | Never give up speech.
        
       | QGQBGdeZREunxLe wrote:
       | Britain had the chance to liberalize Hong Kong before the
       | handover negotiations even began. You can thank Murray MacLehose
       | for the mess they're in now.
       | 
       | https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/lseih/2025/06/13/the-empires-last-ab...
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _Britain had the chance to liberalize Hong Kong before the
         | handover_
         | 
         | How would it have made a difference when the Chinese military
         | invaded?
        
         | nine_k wrote:
         | UK offered a rather simple pathway to immigrating to the UK for
         | most Hong Kong residents [1]. But the choice between the
         | stagnant UK and the booming mainland China was not obvious for
         | everyone in late the 1990s, when China seemed to be
         | democratizing more and more (despite the Tiananmen massacre),
         | and growing richer by the day.
         | 
         | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_National_(Overseas)
        
           | z2 wrote:
           | It was a far cry from the full Portuguese citizenship offered
           | for Macau, both in the latter's lack of conditions on
           | acquisition (beyond being over age 15 at the handover), and
           | in passing it on to descendants.
           | 
           | https://www.quora.com/Why-did-Portugal-give-full-
           | citizenship...
        
           | btilly wrote:
           | They had multiple pathways. The top three destinations were
           | Canada, the USA, and Australia. These locations offered a
           | major benefit over the UK - they were on trade routes along
           | which people from Hong Kong were already doing business.
           | 
           | Canada was particularly affected. It absorbed the most
           | immigrants, they were a larger share of the population, and
           | this was a major increase in ethnic diversity. The resulting
           | cultural clashes were sometimes an issue. Here is one that
           | literally doubled car insurance rates in British Columbia
           | around the time I left.
           | 
           | Three cars, 2 in front with the left-hand car being driven by
           | a Canadian, and the back car driven by a recent immigrant.
           | The immigrant sees the opportunity to pass, swings out into
           | oncoming traffic, and guns it. Leaving just a few inches of
           | room. Normal Hong Kong driving.
           | 
           | The Canadian has no idea that this is happening until OMG I'M
           | ABOUT TO BE HIT! The Canadian then swerves right to avoid the
           | emergency, and hits the car on the right.
           | 
           | The immigrant drives off. Presumably wondering about these
           | crazy Canadians who don't know how to drive.
           | 
           | Everyone involved behaved reasonably for how they were used
           | to driving. But the combination worked out very poorly...
        
             | phainopepla2 wrote:
             | I would argue that the immigrant behaving reasonably "for
             | how they were used to driving" is itself unreasonable. When
             | you move to foreign country you have to adjust some things
             | about your behavior. Driving behaviors and anything else
             | with such a strong public safety component should be the
             | most obvious thing to adjust for an adult, without needing
             | to be told.
        
             | bparsons wrote:
             | A rather bizarre digression...
        
         | maxglute wrote:
         | TBH UK never had the chance because PRC saw through their
         | games. TLDR UK wanted to maintain influence post handover for
         | their investments, but like most other colonies on the fading
         | empire they had no leverage, i.e. negotiate to turn HK into
         | self administered territory (like Singapore)... along with UN
         | decolonization rules meant engineering pathway for HK
         | independence. PRC keked and said fuck off and promptly removed
         | HK from UN list of non-self governing territories. There's a
         | reason UK/Patton had to jam in HK liberalisation efforts last
         | minute to increase UK influence post handover and not before...
         | because if they did it before, i.e. pre 90s there would be so
         | much anti colonial and pro CCP sympathies that political
         | freedom in HK could be contrary to British interests. HK was
         | just another Suez, symptom of UK weakness, not any one man.
        
         | cm2187 wrote:
         | I know that attributing to western countries the responsability
         | for any bad thing happening in this world is a common reflex,
         | but we are 30 years after the handover, 40 years after the
         | negotiation, so surely China bears some if not pretty much all
         | the responsibility here.
         | 
         | And it's not like the UK had much of a choice in the first
         | place. China threatened to invade and there is very little the
         | UK could have done to prevent a full control.
         | 
         | Worth also remembering that "one country, two systems" came
         | with an expiration date that is rapidly approaching anyway.
        
           | p_j_w wrote:
           | > I know that attributing to western countries the
           | responsability for any bad thing happening in this world is a
           | common reflex
           | 
           | You can't gloat that the sun never sets on your empire and
           | then absolve yourself from responsibility for events that you
           | had a heavy hand in influencing. Regardless, if you think the
           | article is wrong, your point would he better served by
           | providing examples of where it's wrong and stating why.
        
           | QGQBGdeZREunxLe wrote:
           | > I know that attributing to western countries the
           | responsability [sic] for any bad thing happening in this
           | world is a common reflex
           | 
           | I don't think I'm being superficial here. There are a few
           | distinct events during the 20th century which can be
           | attributed to the British. The handover of Hong Kong, Suez
           | Crisis and the Balfour Declaration stand out the most.
           | 
           | > And it's not like the UK had much of a choice in the first
           | place. China threatened to invade and there is very little
           | the UK could have done to prevent a full control.
           | 
           | The leased territories are Chinese territory. Full stop. Hong
           | Kong island and the ceded land could not survive alone. All
           | of the water processing happens in the New Territories. It
           | would have been impossible to either break up HK or defend
           | it.
           | 
           | https://i.redd.it/zghghoib1k1a1.png
           | 
           | China has not rolled back any reforms that happened before
           | negotiations began [0]. They did rollback the last-ditch
           | efforts of Chris Patten [1] because at that point it was seen
           | a malicious attempt to undermine the handover.
           | 
           | The mechanisms for China to take control were largely left in
           | place by the British so they bare some responsibility, but it
           | is the PRC asserting this control and there's an argument to
           | be made that most of HK supports the PRC and it's their right
           | to do what they wish with their own territory.
           | 
           | > Worth also remembering that "one country, two systems" came
           | with an expiration date that is rapidly approaching anyway.
           | 
           | It'll be interesting to see what is kept. China's
           | experimenting already in Hainan. They could structure Hong
           | Kong in a similar fashion.
           | 
           | [0] - The PRC did introduce PR with the idea that it would
           | reduce the risk of majorities forming but the system is
           | arguably more democratic than FPTP.
           | 
           | [1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Hong_Kong_electoral_
           | refor...
        
       | maxglute wrote:
       | >he also met with then-Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of
       | State Mike Pompeo;
       | 
       | To sanctions HK politicians btw aka, comprador traitor gets the
       | traitor treatment. Man should be in extraterritorial laogai in
       | 247 stress positions but get kids treatment because CCP too
       | lenient, and well they don't have those.
        
         | YC34987349872 wrote:
         | Reminds me of the recent Nobel "Peace" Prize winner, Corina
         | Machado, who begged America and Israel to bomb her own country
         | (Venezuela). If these people are supposed to be our heroes then
         | I'll go with the villians.
        
         | paganel wrote:
         | It's a good thing that the anti-comprador discourse has find
         | its way on this forum, too, out here in Eastern Europe they
         | (the compradors, that is) occupy almost all positions of power,
         | it's really tiring.
         | 
         | Back to the article, it only took me one click to find this
         | info about its author [1]:
         | 
         | > Prior to his career in journalism, Binion worked as a
         | contractor at NATO,
         | 
         | They're not even trying to hide it anymore, like in the good
         | old days of the Paris Review.
         | 
         | [1] https://reason.com/people/billy-binion/
        
       | lbrito wrote:
       | Doesn't martyrdom imply, um, death?
       | 
       | I don't care about the specific politics, and I don't know his
       | biography. You can love this man and hate China with the power of
       | every cell in your body. But calling anyone a martyr, even with
       | poetic license, has very specific connotations which don't seem
       | to apply here.
        
         | Snild wrote:
         | Not necessarily:
         | 
         | https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/martyr
         | 
         | > a person who suffers very much or is killed because of their
         | religious or political beliefs, and is often admired because of
         | it
         | 
         | https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/martyr
         | 
         | > 2: a person who sacrifices something of great value and
         | especially life itself for the sake of principle
        
         | everdrive wrote:
         | Would you be you happier with "soon-to-be-martyr" or "martyr-
         | in-the-making" ?
        
           | lbrito wrote:
           | Snarkiness is not appreciated here. Well, at least
           | officially.
           | 
           | No, that wouldn't make me happy. A world without suffering
           | and oppression would make me happy, but failing that, lets at
           | least try to use words appropriately.
        
             | zdragnar wrote:
             | He will likely die in prison, either from old age, poor
             | conditions or shenanigans. He could have fled, but chose
             | not to. Calling him a martyr isn't too much of a stretch.
        
       | pessimizer wrote:
       | Leave it to Reason to pick out a billionaire as a martyr.
       | Normally when I hear about free speech heroes, they've said
       | something. Apparently, what Jimmy Lai stands against is the
       | extension of China's "illiberalism" to Hong Kong.
       | 
       | What exactly is that supposed to be describing, and what is he
       | against? If all he's against is the financial setup that allowed
       | him to become as rich as he did, and the fact that he would have
       | to deal with new masters as Hong Kong's colonial period was
       | ended, why the hell should I care? What does Jimmy Lai stand for
       | that China stands against that I should care about?
       | 
       | "Illiberalism."
       | 
       | Meanwhile, the EU just unpersoned a Swiss citizen, a writer,
       | Jacques Baud*, for not taking the European side in the US-Russia
       | conflict. Not for lying about it, but simply for not taking the
       | European side. Not that Reason would support that, either, but
       | China doesn't have any monopoly on "illiberalism," and
       | illiberalism in the control of speech is far more important to me
       | than the oppression of billionaires.
       | 
       | Lai's just getting Khodorkovsky'd: some of the rich think they're
       | beyond government, when they operate purely through the blessing
       | of and coddling by governments. You would think you would know
       | that when all you do is accumulate and trade _government
       | promises_ in the form of currency, but the amount of praise you
       | get as a disturbingly rich person must destroy brain function to
       | some extent. There has got to be some atrophy in your sense of
       | cause and effect and a distortion of your place in the world when
       | you 're on top in every room.
       | 
       | -----
       | 
       | * https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=OJ:...
       | 
       | > Jacques Baud, a former Swiss army colonel and strategic
       | analyst, is a regular guest on pro-Russian television and radio
       | programmes. He acts as a mouthpiece for pro-Russian propaganda
       | and makes conspiracy theories, for example accusing Ukraine of
       | orchestrating its own invasion in order to join NATO.
       | 
       | > Therefore, Jacques Baud is responsible for, implementing or
       | supporting actions or policies attributable to the Government of
       | the Russian Federation which undermine or threaten stability or
       | security in a third country (Ukraine) by engaging in the use of
       | information manipulation and interference.
        
         | mopsi wrote:
         | > Meanwhile, the EU just unpersoned a Swiss citizen, a writer,
         | Jacques Baud*, for not taking the European side in the US-
         | Russia conflict. Not for lying about it, but simply for not
         | taking the European side.
         | 
         | He was not "unpersoned", whatever that means, but sanctioned
         | for being a professional Kremlin troll and for spreading lies
         | such as claiming that the Bucha massacre was committed by
         | British and Ukrainian secret services, that the war actually
         | started a week earlier with a Ukrainian offensive that the
         | entire world has suppressed, and so on. This is not even a
         | matter of viewpoint, but a malicious flood of obvious lies.[1]
         | Such superspreaders of lies are exactly the kind of people who
         | should be sanctioned.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Firehose_of_falsehood
        
       | GuinansEyebrows wrote:
       | a capitalist is a martyr for capitalism when they knowingly break
       | laws in the country they live in? i'm no fan of authoritarianism
       | but come on. this article is such typical Reason dreck.
        
         | zdragnar wrote:
         | He's not being imprisoned for being a capitalist, engaging in
         | capitalism, or anything of the like. This is a pretty lame
         | take.
        
       | nickdothutton wrote:
       | When the UK handed back HK, the Chinese who are nothing if not
       | wiley, understood that they needed to maintain intelligence,
       | surveillance, and some kind of institutional knowledge of the
       | various organised crime groups, certain individuals with
       | borderline business interests, that sort of thing. They offered
       | the British police officers houses, stipends, and other
       | incentives to stick around and clue-in the incoming crop of
       | officials, domestic intelligence officers, and cutouts/go-
       | betweens. Something of an untold story. Would make a great
       | streaming series.
        
         | cedws wrote:
         | I'm interested in how the takeover happened on the inside. How
         | do you take control of a country with minimal drama when even
         | small corporate takeovers get so messy? I assume there's been a
         | lot of work to root out internal dissent, install aligned
         | individuals, take control of computer systems. Even though the
         | UK handed HK to China, there's got to have been people with
         | strong feelings that created roadblocks along the way.
        
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