[HN Gopher] Want to sway an election? Here's how much fake onlin...
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       Want to sway an election? Here's how much fake online accounts cost
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 86 points
       Date   : 2025-12-13 20:48 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | haunter wrote:
       | Next one to look out for: 2026 Hungary. Fidesz is basically a
       | russian backdoor in the EU and they will do everything to stay in
       | power.
       | 
       | https://telex.hu/english/2025/12/11/most-hungarians-fear-rus...
       | 
       | They are also doing everything to bypass the no-political-ads-on-
       | facebook ban https://telex.hu/english/2025/10/29/despite-the-ban-
       | fidesz-c...
        
         | spiderfarmer wrote:
         | Man. I logged in to Twitter the other day and it's now 100%
         | unfiltered racist fear mongering and nazi propaganda. Truly
         | frightening. And I can't believe people still consider it a
         | useful platform.
        
           | an0malous wrote:
           | Network effects are powerful, it's still the "town square" of
           | the world
        
             | flipgimble wrote:
             | It's more accurately the "truck stop bathroom wall" of the
             | world under new management.
        
             | reactordev wrote:
             | Dubious claim now
        
           | nathanaldensr wrote:
           | No, it's not 100% anything. The content _you 're_ looking at
           | is what you see.
        
             | amitav1 wrote:
             | I don't know why you're getting downvoted for this, but
             | it's the same thing for me. The For You tab is a cesspool,
             | but if you stick to the Following tab and unfollow anybody
             | who says pretty much anything political, it's actually a
             | pretty nice platform.
        
         | mettamage wrote:
         | I've met Hungarian people in the Netherlands and they're doing
         | everything they can to become Dutch. One Hungarian even speaks
         | fluent with no accent, and that is quite a feat.
         | 
         | I think it's quite unfortunate as it will mean that Hungary
         | will become less pro EU, simply because the really pro EU
         | people (that are also highly educated) seem to be going out of
         | the country according to my anecdata. It's n = 2 to be fair,
         | but I think it's enough for it to warrant some more research
         | since I am simply stumbling across this group of people, I'm
         | not actively seeking it out.
        
       | jsnell wrote:
       | The _Science_ paper linked is paywalled, is anyone aware of a
       | preprint?
       | 
       | I find it a bit curious that they've chosen to use SMS
       | verifications as a proxy for the difficulty of creating an
       | account, when there are similar marketplaces for selling the
       | actual end product of bulk-created accounts. Was there some issue
       | with that kind of data? SMS verification is just one part of the
       | anti-bulk account puzzle, for both the attacker and defender.
        
       | lysace wrote:
       | I have witnessed obvious and systematic synthetic upvotes of HN
       | posts. Over and over. I don't think the site has enough
       | protections in place.
       | 
       | Maybe have YC invest in some startups combatting this using
       | machine learning?
       | 
       | (Given the focus of HN it's typically some product being pushed,
       | though. Not a politician.)
        
         | Nasrudith wrote:
         | It is machine learning, not machine telepathy or machine
         | precognition. Without causality you just automate superstition.
        
       | alecco wrote:
       | Hacked voting machines are a problem... unless _our guys_ do it.
       | 
       | Fake online accounts are a problem... unless _our guys_ do it.
       | 
       | Totalitarian measures like persecuting people for social media
       | posts and forcing digital id are a problem... unless _our guys_
       | are in power.
       | 
       | It was a good run for democracy. What was it, 200 years? I wonder
       | comes is next. Techno-feudalism? Well, I'm sure it won't be a
       | problem as long as it's _our guys_.
        
         | the_gastropod wrote:
         | How is this little "both sides bad" rant related to the article
         | _at all_?
        
           | alecco wrote:
           | First off, let me be clear I believe Russian intelligence
           | does a lot of election interference in both EU and US and has
           | a lot of social media presence. And also, I personally think
           | Putin is an evil person worth of being a Bond villain.
           | 
           | That out of the way, if the post were about ballot stuffing
           | by the Democrats with irrefutable evidence like I've seen,
           | would _you_ feel exactly the same way? Rhetorical question. I
           | hope you can come out of the mind-spell and recognize evil
           | for being evil whoever does it. Not just thinking evil can
           | only be done by  "the other people".
           | 
           | Note: I'm not even American and dislike both political
           | parties. Same in EU, I deeply dislike the EU self-appointed
           | caste, but I also deeply dislike the new right parties. And
           | don't get me started with UK... So I think I'm reasonably un-
           | biased with regards to those false dichotomies.
        
             | the_gastropod wrote:
             | > if the post were about ballot stuffing by the Democrats
             | with irrefutable evidence like I've seen
             | 
             | That's incredible. You're not even American, and have seen
             | irrefutable evidence of "the Democrats" participating in
             | blatant electoral fraud? Why haven't you shared this?
             | There's no shortage of literal billionaires who'd reward
             | you handsomely for such proof!
             | 
             | Beyond this, why I constantly make fun of "both-sides!"
             | guys is because they tend to ignore _degree_. To a
             | vegetarian, eating hamburgers is wrong (some might even
             | call it evil). But you 'd be hard-pressed to find one who'd
             | consider hambuger-eaters and murderers basically the same.
             | You'd rightfully consider someone with such beliefs insane.
             | Between murderers and hamburger eaters, one is considerably
             | worse than the other.
        
         | makeitdouble wrote:
         | > What was it, 200 years?
         | 
         | Rant aside, I'm curious where you pin the start of this.
        
           | CamperBob2 wrote:
           | It was known to the Attic Greeks that democracy had a fatal
           | bug: a system that entrusts ultimate authority to the masses
           | will predictably privilege persuasion over knowledge, passion
           | over judgment, and populism over excellence.
           | 
           | It just couldn't be exploited effectively until now. Thanks,
           | Mark and Elon.
        
             | tbrownaw wrote:
             | No, mass media had been around much longer than just a
             | couple years.
             | 
             | But also, that bug is why our government was initially set
             | up with the structure it was. And why you'll occasionally
             | see complaints about parts of the structure being
             | "undemocratic".
        
               | techdmn wrote:
               | It was set up the way it was because the founders didn't
               | trust voters. Voters don't always make optimal choices.
               | Nobody said democracy was perfect. It's just a lot better
               | than every other system we've ever tried. Benevolent
               | dictatorship is good in theory, but quite rare in
               | practice.
        
             | alecco wrote:
             | > It just couldn't be exploited effectively until now.
             | 
             | Are you saying until Elon Musk bought Twitter in 2022 there
             | were no effective election interference problems?
        
               | the_gastropod wrote:
               | Politics isn't Newton's Third Law of Motion. Prior to
               | Musk's takeover, there absolutely and unequivocally was
               | no "equal but opposite" deliberately biased system in
               | place like there is now.
               | 
               | This is a classic playbook in U.S. politics. Conservative
               | media gins up a conspiracy theory (e.g., Hollywood is
               | biased, universities are biased, mainstream media is
               | biased, social media is biased, etc. etc.) and then they
               | use these imaginary foes as justification for _actual_
               | retribution. There was no purposeful and systematic bias
               | at Twitter under Jack Dorsey (himself, a pretty
               | conservative character, having backed Tulsi Gabbard and
               | RFK Jr in the past election, both of whom both now work
               | in the Trump administration).
        
           | alecco wrote:
           | * Athenian Democracy (c. 508-322 BCE)       * Roman Republic
           | (c. 509-27 BCE)       * Dutch Republic (c. 1500?)       *
           | French and American Revolutions and constitutional monarchies
           | (c. 1770-ish-present?)
        
         | perching_aix wrote:
         | I don't know man, I think people disappove of voting fraud and
         | sockpuppeting rather unilaterally.
         | 
         | > forcing digital id are a problem... unless our guys are in
         | power.
         | 
         | Digital government ID based mandatory auth, properly
         | implemented or not (read: anon via zk vs. tracking), does not
         | "properly remediate" [0] this issue. You'd limit identity
         | forgery to those who administrate identities in the first
         | place.
         | 
         | [0] if that is even possible, which I find questionable
        
         | mettamage wrote:
         | I'm from the Netherlands. That is slightly relevant given that
         | we have 20+ parties here, so I'm coming in with that mindset. I
         | understand that Americans have a 2 party political system which
         | makes things a lot more entrenched.
         | 
         | The political parties I've voted for (all across the board)
         | have never felt to me like "our guys". They simply felt like
         | the most sane option at the time.
         | 
         | Not everyone sinks into political tribalism.
         | 
         | I simply want a sane democratic voting process.
         | 
         | And I find first past the post voting to be insane. It seems
         | that a country is then doomed into having a 2 party system.
         | 
         | From a CS course called distributed systems, we know that if
         | you only have a single source of failure, that's a
         | vulnerability right there. A 2 party system can be a single
         | source of failure if one of the two political parties is
         | corrupted and gains too much power. To be fair, that could also
         | happen when there are 20+ parties, but it is less likely.
        
           | alecco wrote:
           | Yeah. It's complicated. See Veritasium's "Why Democracy is
           | Mathematically Impossible"
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qf7ws2DF-zk
           | 
           | And also Idiocracy. This one is becoming more relevant. In
           | all countries and all races.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Plenty of people were pointing out that voting machines had
         | poor security for about two decades. Even before that, there
         | was the mechanically disastrous Bush vs Gore Florida ballot.
         | 
         | America being what it is, with endless Voting Rights Act
         | lawsuits required to keep the southern states running vaguely
         | fair elections, it was impossible to get a bipartisan consensus
         | that elections should actually be fair. And so the system
         | deteriorates.
        
         | thfuran wrote:
         | >Hacked voting machines are a problem... unless our guys do it.
         | 
         | If they hack voting machines, they're not my guys, friend.
        
       | ivape wrote:
       | I am utterly terrified of elections finally. I didn't expect that
       | to be in my timeline. The masses are really crazy.
        
       | Nasrudith wrote:
       | The conclusion that an account being cheap is the problem as a
       | reason for regulation is a disturbingly wrong-headed on multiple
       | levels. It essentially says. "If only superpowers can use it
       | would be a-okay!". A monopoly on manipulation is a bad thing for
       | the same reasons allowing only incumbents to run political ads
       | would be.
        
       | sejje wrote:
       | Do we have solid evidence that these accounts actually change
       | votes?
        
         | fsflover wrote:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46223522
        
       | dehrmann wrote:
       | When Citizens United was a big deal, I was torn over the premise
       | of the concern for election integrity. Ideally, voters would make
       | rational, informed decisions. They'd see ads, but know they all
       | have an agenda, so they'd do their own research and come to a
       | conclusion. Worrying about biased or inaccurate noise influencing
       | elections means you think _people can 't be trusted to vote_.
       | Which might be true, and if it is, it's a bigger problem than
       | corporate speech and fake accounts.
        
         | jawon wrote:
         | This is "why are we going to space when we haven't cured
         | cancer" reasoning.
        
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       (page generated 2025-12-13 23:00 UTC)