[HN Gopher] Berlin Approves New Expansion of Police Surveillance...
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       Berlin Approves New Expansion of Police Surveillance Powers
        
       Author : robtherobber
       Score  : 136 points
       Date   : 2025-12-12 15:29 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (reclaimthenet.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (reclaimthenet.org)
        
       | LightBug1 wrote:
       | Spit balling now ... I just feel like the years have rolled on by
       | so quickly now, that we've aged out of all of the lessons we had
       | to learn before. And now we're going to have to learn them all
       | over again.
        
         | znort_ wrote:
         | we ought to stop these decadent crooks from plunging us into
         | fascism and war just to rescue their waning privilege (again),
         | but somehow i don't think we will. so, yeah, lessons to be
         | relearned ahead.
        
         | mothballed wrote:
         | Classical liberalism is a rare blip of an exception in the
         | history of civilization. As Milton Friedman says, and I
         | paraphrase, it's quite remarkable it happened in the first
         | place, but there's no real guarantee those conditions might
         | ever arise again and no real expectation that it's realistic to
         | think it will be recreated again in any particular desired
         | timespan.
        
           | mmooss wrote:
           | So is most technology, widespread literacy, health, freedom,
           | etc. In fact, everything since we were nomadic hunter-
           | gatherers is a blip - should we go back to that? The argument
           | makes no sense; what force is compelling us to go back to
           | hunting and gathering? It's absurd to raise this argument for
           | inevitability, rather than do something about it - which has
           | worked overwhelmingly for generations.
        
             | mothballed wrote:
             | I'm not arguing you shouldn't do something about it. I'm a
             | bit of a dreamer myself; I've basically carved out a life
             | in a super rural area with almost no government -- but at
             | the same time I like to be aware of the thoughts of great
             | philosophers like Friedman and the history of this sort of
             | liberalism and use it to my advantage. Knowing what I've
             | stated has allowed me to deal with a world where I can't
             | expect things to get better, even if I hope they will.
             | 
             | My personal take is you can use Friedman's thoughts to your
             | advantage. Be prepared that everything will get much worse.
             | And then maybe you can organize your life to minimize your
             | interaction with the state in case your efforts don't help.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | > dreamer
               | 
               | The idea that these are dreams is just part of the anti-
               | democratic, anti-freedom rhetoric. You might not mean it
               | that way, but look how it's been absorbed widely.
               | 
               | These are concrete realities that have swept across every
               | corner of the world, and brought, by orders of magnitude,
               | the greatest expansions of human freedom and prosperity
               | ever. All in reality, not a dream.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | This is what I come to HN for. To be called a peddler of
               | anti-freedom rhetoric for dreaming of freedom, as a reply
               | to single word quote. Because, you know, you're not
               | allowed to dream if those dreams have at some point been
               | "reality."
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | They are reality, not at some point but right now and for
               | generations (depending on where you live).
               | 
               | I'm not talking about you, but the rhetoric, the ideas.
               | But another part of the rhetoric is to shift the
               | conversation to being a victim, and away from the merits
               | of the ideas so one doesn't have to talk about them.
               | Heck, looking back, I even took trouble to say it wasn't
               | about you.
               | 
               | If you want to insist you embrace those idea, that's your
               | problem. Or you could be an independent thinker who
               | examines ideas on their merits. That would be the core of
               | HN.
        
             | bondarchuk wrote:
             | Is-ought distinction. Mothballed and Milton are describing
             | how things _are_ , not how they _should be_ , which latter
             | seems to be your interpretation.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | No, that's part of their nonsense.
               | 
               | I'm describing how things are. Liberalism, including the
               | Enlightenment _is_ , and has been overwhelmingly
               | successful in adoption (every corner of the globe, though
               | not 100% of the globe), and success. It really does rule
               | the world.
               | 
               | Mothballed and Milton are describing how they think
               | things ought to be, or inevitably will be (I believe for
               | many, the former is their goal, disguised as the latter).
               | But that's just theory with no basis (as I pointed out
               | earlier).
               | 
               | The idea that the latter is 'real' is laughable. Look at
               | the world. The people who built a liberal world order had
               | to contend with argument like this - there was little
               | precedent. They had to invent much of it in the face of
               | skepticism (like every innovator).
               | 
               | But it's absurd, now that it's built, institutionalized,
               | and successful and status quo - now that you were born in
               | it, fed on it, and live in it and breath it - now that
               | all you need to do is pick up the tools that your
               | predecessors did the hard work of creating, for you to
               | argue that it's somehow not real. Just pick up the tools
               | and march forward.
               | 
               | I mean, wow, that is some effective propaganda. It's like
               | saying at noon that there's no star in the sky, like
               | telling a fish in the ocean that there's no water.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | It's laughable to think Milton Friedman wasn't picking up
               | the tools to try and bring at least the form of freedom
               | he envisioned. Most likely, he's done more than you've
               | (or I) ever done or ever will do. I could bring out the
               | fact I literally fought in a civil war to help retain
               | liberalism for some populations, I've been shot at for
               | trying to bring liberalism, of course no one will believe
               | that and I have nothing to prove, so I'll just let
               | whoever wants to believe that is a lie believe that. A
               | lot of the people I met, well, they were just killed by
               | ISIS, maybe even some of their family trapped behind
               | lines of various jihadist militias and things get even
               | worse.
               | 
               | It is _because_ I 've "picked up the tools" and seen how
               | so often things turn out, that I came to find that
               | Milton's words were so accurate. It is a beautiful thing
               | when freedom works out. More often than not, it doesn't.
               | Sure, you should still try. And then be prepared for the
               | possibility things might get even worse.
               | 
               | Milton's assessment was that things have been getting
               | progressively less liberal in the USA since at least the
               | latter portion of his life. I believe especially so since
               | 9/11. The populace keeps _voting harder_ and things just
               | get worse. We recently passed a budget bill, which
               | magically banned hemp (something ~no one wanted) and
               | basically gave gobs of money to politicians for having
               | their cell phones monitored in ways the common populace
               | constantly has their monitored with no recourse. As time
               | goes on, I see the government is getting more leverage
               | and the people less and less, I hope it changes and I
               | hope people try to change it but I will be prepared for
               | the possibility it does not do much good.
               | 
               | I remain prepared for the possibility the initial
               | circumstances allowing classical liberalism to come
               | about, no longer exist (one of my theories is that in the
               | 19th and 18th century violent force was at its most
               | decentralized point in history-- the ~modern firearm was
               | the pinnacle of warfare and there was not a huge
               | difference in effectiveness between a peasent and a
               | government conscript which is a huge difference between
               | prior times of it taking years to train say an archer or
               | modern era where government has fighter jets and
               | ballistic missiles -- this meant the general populace had
               | as much or more leverage than the government) , and that
               | the technological and social landscape are not
               | particularly amenable to its recreation. There are a few
               | pockets of remarkable freedom in the world -- good on
               | them, I hope they keep it and I hope we see more of it.
        
               | bondarchuk wrote:
               | > _Mothballed and Milton are describing how they think
               | things ought to be, or inevitably will be_
               | 
               | There is again an enormous difference between describing
               | _how things ought to be_ and _how things inevitably will
               | be_.
               | 
               | > _for you to argue that it 's somehow not real_
               | 
               | Noone was saying that.
        
         | Muromec wrote:
         | There is an alternative explaination that you will not like.
         | 
         | Maybe we were _removing_ the proverbal fences all the time and
         | are about to learn the hard way to put them back.
        
           | bondarchuk wrote:
           | That explanation would only hold water if we were dealing
           | right now with all kinds of problems stemming from lack of
           | authoritarianism and too much freedom. I'm not really seeing
           | it but maybe you have something in mind.
        
             | Muromec wrote:
             | At least some people believe we do and vote for it. I'm not
             | among those people and I don't hold this position, but
             | somehow it gets more and more support lately.
        
               | bondarchuk wrote:
               | "about to learn the hard way to put them back" would seem
               | to imply you expect some real consequences from the lack
               | of "fences".
        
       | lysace wrote:
       | Fighting extremist terrorism requires tough measures. This one is
       | a bit extra though:
       | 
       | > If the software cannot be deployed remotely, the law authorizes
       | officers to secretly enter a person's home to gain access.
       | 
       | Clear _Das Leben der Anderen_ vibes.
       | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lives_of_Others)
       | 
       | However: As usual, the devil is in the details. How much
       | suspicion is required, what's the process, etc. (I assume that a
       | judge needs to sign off.)
        
         | danielbln wrote:
         | And as always, plenty of oil runs down that slope to make it
         | slippery. First it's terrorists, then heavy crime, then petty
         | crime, then small things, then it's whoever the powers that be
         | don't deem deserving of freedom. We've been down that road on
         | Germany, but history rhymes, as the saying goes.
        
           | lysace wrote:
           | The slippery slope argument always seemed... slippery, to me.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | Ironically, the same people who complain about "slippery
             | slopes" become the same people who bemoan the fact that
             | American, Chinese, Russian, and even Vietnamese [0][1]
             | intelligence operate with de facto impunity in Germany and
             | the EU.
             | 
             | Europeans can no longer afford to be the idealists that
             | they were in the 2000s. Every country is runnng influence
             | ops across Europe to a degree that hasn't been seen since
             | the Cold War.
             | 
             | That said, as an American, it's fine for me if Germans and
             | Europeans remain naive. An allied Europe is good, but a
             | naive but controlled Europe is equally as good. For every
             | Atlanticist, we have people who can push our interests in
             | an illiberal manner like Dominik Andrzejczuk.
             | 
             | [0] -
             | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/berlin-
             | ki...
             | 
             | [1] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-18/vi
             | etnam-p...
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | > Europeans can no longer afford to be the idealists that
               | they were in the 2000s.
               | 
               | Always the arguments of the enemies of freedom and
               | dignity - they are fanciful ideals, not necessities and
               | the whole point, and the foundations of the freeest, most
               | secure, most prosperous societies in history. Maybe the
               | rest of Europe wants to live more like Russia?
        
               | alephnerd wrote:
               | The American framing of privacy and free speech
               | absolutism doesn't hold much credence in Europe. And it's
               | not like the US is much better in that regard.
               | 
               | We in the US are using free speech and privacy absolutism
               | as a hammer against the EU's Digital Services Act, which
               | they are using as a hammer against our dominance in the
               | tech industry and our trade barriers against European
               | exports.
               | 
               | For most European nations today, the degree of greyzone
               | warfare is startling, and multiple near accidents have
               | happened. And even with expanded police and intelligence
               | powers like those used in Europe in the 2000s, most
               | European nations would _remain_ significantly freer than
               | Russia ever was or is.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | > absolutism
               | 
               | That's a strawperson, not a serious argument. The idea
               | that the US is absolutist about privacy is laughable,
               | even more when compared to Europe. Free speech is falling
               | apart rapidly. Europe is the central advocate of human
               | rights currently.
        
               | alephnerd wrote:
               | > Europe is the central advocate of human rights
               | currently
               | 
               | The European definition of human rights doesn't include a
               | maximalist approach to privacy. The primacy of state
               | powers is a core bedrock in mainstream European thought,
               | as can be seen with EU Charter Article 8.
               | 
               | Hybrid warfare tactics such as those being used by Russia
               | within the EU [0] along with other sorts of offensive
               | intelligence operations would fall under the remit of an
               | expansion of state enforcement and coexist with the EU
               | Charter.
               | 
               | Furthermore, as I previously stated, this kind of
               | empowerment of law enforcement and intelligence agencies
               | was the norm across much of the EU (and still is in
               | Southern and Eastern European member states) until the
               | 2010s.
               | 
               | [0] - https://acleddata.com/report/testing-waters-
               | suspected-russia...
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | > The European definition of human rights doesn't include
               | a maximalist approach to privacy.
               | 
               | Who said it does? That's a strawperson.
        
         | nabnob wrote:
         | What are you calling "extremist terrorism"?
        
           | lysace wrote:
           | E.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Berlin_truck_attack
           | (13+1 deaths, 56 injured)
        
             | josefritzishere wrote:
             | That was almost 10 years ago. That does not an existential
             | threat make.
        
               | lysace wrote:
               | There have been a number of similar attacks in Germany
               | since. There are no signs of this stopping.
               | 
               | Noone claimed it was an existential threat.
        
               | josefritzishere wrote:
               | Fair statement but it is generally accepted that
               | extraordinary measures, like extraordinary claims require
               | extreme evidence. That's just not the case here. To
               | paraphrase Ben Frnaklin "Those who would give up liberty,
               | to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither
               | liberty nor safety." I think the corollary is that we
               | actually get neither liberty nor safety.
        
               | lysace wrote:
               | _but it is generally accepted that extraordinary
               | measures, like extraordinary claims require extreme
               | evidence_
               | 
               | I think you also don't know what kind of evidence this
               | new legislation requires.
        
               | sapientiae3 wrote:
               | The interesting thing is that the laws being created to
               | protect against such extreme attacks will be used against
               | the people when they are controlled by an extreme group.
        
               | add-sub-mul-div wrote:
               | And, to put it more explicitly, against the people who
               | were manipulated into fearing the "extremist" threat in
               | the first place.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | That's how radicalization works, a pretty well-defined
               | tactic as I understand it:
               | 
               | How do you get free, prosperous, safe people to give all
               | that up for what you offer? It sounds almost impossible.
               | You manufacture fear and division - look at terrorism, or
               | the uses of demonization in many places - and then they
               | may be willing to change.
               | 
               | Remember that Eisenhower said, 'the only thing we have to
               | fear is fear itself'. Eisenhower, who led the militaries
               | of West through arguably the greatest crisis in their
               | history, who was leading the West through the Cold War.
               | He knew crisis, and that is what he said. That's what
               | genuine leaders do.
               | 
               | Those who use spread fear and radicalization are not
               | after security and freedom, but after power.
        
               | brikym wrote:
               | Then why do they put Merkel's lego (concrete blocks) at
               | every winter market now?
        
               | breppp wrote:
               | https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgknpzrkyvno
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/01/germany-
               | summon...
               | 
               | https://www.euractiv.com/news/germany-arrests-syrian-
               | suspect...
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/05/suspected-
               | memb...
               | 
               | https://www.dw.com/en/germany-police-detain-man-in-anti-
               | terr...
        
         | mytailorisrich wrote:
         | Yes. Who decides? Can the police just decide at will? Do they
         | need a warrant?
         | 
         | Secret access to plant bugs is how the FBI beat the mafia in
         | the US in many cases in the 80s and 90s. But there were strict
         | rules.
        
           | alephnerd wrote:
           | Most likely under the same tests the the G10 Act has.
        
         | gwbas1c wrote:
         | The big shift is that law enforcement now has to do their job,
         | instead of trying to make tech companies do their job.
         | 
         | Even more important: The cost of surveillance this way is very
         | high. It's not practical to perform massive surveillance this
         | way, so it requires a reason for targeted surveillance.
        
           | alephnerd wrote:
           | Law enforcement and intelligence agencies across Europe were
           | given de facto impunity due to Cold War era policies that
           | were then rolled back in the 2010s.
           | 
           | In 2025-26, the threat profile that most European countries
           | face is comparable in scale to what was the norm during the
           | Cold War, except now most Western European intelligence and
           | law enforcement agencies are not allowed to use the same
           | tools they used to use barely 15 years ago.
           | 
           | As an American, it's fine for me if Germans and Europeans
           | remain naive. An allied Europe is good, but a naive but
           | controlled Europe is equally as good. For every Atlanticist,
           | we have people who can push our interests in an illiberal
           | manner like Dominik Andrzejczuk.
           | 
           | For every Vance, we got a Nuland, and American views on
           | Europe began shifting all the way back in 2011 [0] (for all
           | you guys who will spew the "Politico is Axel Springer" crap,
           | this article is from 2011 - 13 years before the acquisition):
           | "Europeans should be particularly concerned that a strong
           | majority of Americans under the age of 45 now see Asia as
           | more important than Europe" in 2011.
           | 
           | > The cost of surveillance this way is very high. It's not
           | practical to perform massive surveillance this way, so it
           | requires a reason for targeted surveillance
           | 
           | Not really. Data warehousing with cold/hot storage along with
           | basic statistical analysis and inference has become cheap.
           | And even local police departments can afford a $50k-$100k
           | annual contract to work with red teams on bespoke exploit
           | development.
           | 
           | [0] - https://www.politico.eu/article/americans-turn-their-
           | backs-o...
        
           | lysace wrote:
           | The cost aspect and its consequences: That's a good insight.
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | The explanation is deceptively unclear, IMO. What's being
       | authorized is _court-ordered searches_ of a type that were
       | previously prohibited, even for courts to authorize, by strict
       | privacy laws. The US has always had the power to conduct these
       | searches [0]; the  "inviolability of the home" human dignity
       | concept doesn't exist in the US. (I'll defer to German people to
       | explain this concept).
       | 
       | As explained in heise.de[1] (in German) about a parallel law
       | being enacted in the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern,
       | 
       | > _" For the online search, the deputies now also grant the law
       | enforcement the right to secretly enter and search apartments_
       | with judicial permission."
       | 
       | [0] e.g. https://www.npr.org/2011/08/02/138916011/home-visits-
       | and-oth... ( _" Home Visits And Other 'Secrets Of The FBI'"_)
       | 
       | [1] https://www.heise.de/news/Mecklenburg-Vorpommern-
       | Durchsuchun...
        
         | mmooss wrote:
         | > the "inviolability of the home" human dignity concept doesn't
         | exist in the US.
         | 
         | Maybe not under that term, but for example, almost the only
         | place an American's 4th Amendment protections against search
         | and seizure apply is in their home. Law enforcement can search
         | their garbage at the curb, monitor their [edit: public]
         | movements via camera and license plate monitoring, etc., look
         | them up online, all without warrants [*]. They can't do that in
         | someone's home.
         | 
         | [*] I'm pretty sure no warrant is required to search curbside
         | trash or do most online research.
        
           | hrimfaxi wrote:
           | The trash search thing varies by state at least.
        
           | jandrewrogers wrote:
           | The boundaries of your "home" varies by State. For example,
           | in some States the interior of your car is part of your home
           | even when not at home, which occasionally has entertaining
           | implications.
        
             | stronglikedan wrote:
             | > the interior of your car is part of your home
             | 
             | Especially when you exclusively enter and exit the car
             | inside your garage! /s
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | This article is not about warrantless searches of homes,
           | though. In America, courts can and do order the police to
           | secretly enter a domicile and install surveillance devices.
        
           | elcritch wrote:
           | It also appears this Herman law allows "no knock" search
           | warrants, which in the US are generally considered more
           | serious and more restricted.
        
           | perihelions wrote:
           | The distinction here is whether police can _secretly_ enter a
           | home to plant bugs,  &c. In the US, this is routine; in
           | Germany, this is (was?) taboo.
           | 
           | (FYI, you can escape * as \\* to get it to display as *).
        
             | mmooss wrote:
             | Thanks for the tip!
        
             | andrepd wrote:
             | Is this even practical anymore? A non-technical person can
             | set up video surveillance on their home for a couple
             | hundred bucks. Why wouldn't a criminal do that? I think the
             | days of the FBI planting a microphone in a lamp on Tony
             | Soprano's basement are over.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | I read in the papers that the cheap cameras are over
               | wifi, so thieves are using wifi jammers to take them
               | offline during the heist.
        
               | marginalia_nu wrote:
               | It's hard to set up video surveillance in your home
               | without inadvertently providing much of the surveillance
               | data the law enforcement officers were after, especially
               | for non-technical people.
        
               | breppp wrote:
               | The FBI has an array of readymade zero day exploits, it
               | is probably able to handle Tony Sporano's Chinese
               | knockoff video survelliance
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | I think the "inviolability" thing is useful just to
           | understand what's actually happening here, but it's also
           | important to understand that the US and Germany have very
           | different criminal justice, search, and evidentiary systems.
           | Germany doesn't have an exclusionary rule for evidence, for
           | instance.
        
         | PoignardAzur wrote:
         | It's so frustrating that every other comment in this thread is
         | people giving their pet opinion about the headline and what it
         | means about the state of the world / the inherent
         | authoritarianism of Germany / whatever, and nobody else is
         | commenting on the contents.
         | 
         | The controversial measures the article lists are things like:
         | 
         | > _Police may now install state-developed spyware, known as
         | trojans, on personal devices to intercept messages before or
         | after encryption. If the software cannot be deployed remotely,
         | the law authorizes officers to secretly enter a person's home
         | to gain access._
         | 
         | > _The revised law also changes how police use body cameras.
         | Paragraph 24c permits activation of bodycams inside private
         | homes when officers believe there is a risk to life or limb._
         | 
         | Those seem like... pretty reasonable things for the police to
         | do, presuming it has a warrant? And if the law authorizes doing
         | these things without warrants, maybe the article should have
         | lead with that?
         | 
         | Ctrl+F-ing "warrant" in the article doesn't give me any result,
         | which makes me feel this article isn't very serious.
        
           | mikkupikku wrote:
           | Sounds like horrible overreach to me, even if such activities
           | are legal in America (when did American police become the
           | gold standard that Europe needs to emulate???!!)
           | 
           | Seriously, searching your home with a warrant is one thing.
           | Doing it secretly without the homeowner knowing about it
           | afterwards is some Stasi shit. Are they going to steal your
           | dirty underwear too? And installing malware on the computers
           | of people merely suspected of a crime is even more insane.
        
             | try_the_bass wrote:
             | > And installing malware on the computers of people merely
             | suspected of a crime is even more insane.
             | 
             | But it's not "merely suspected"! It's "suspected with
             | enough evidence to convince a judge to issue the warrant".
             | These are completely different things, and to intentionally
             | confound the two is wildly disingenuous.
        
               | mikkupikku wrote:
               | I don't see how that's much better; a judge is just one
               | guy and he's only hearing the cops' side of the story
               | since you aren't allowed to know you've been accused, let
               | alone present your side of the story.
        
               | mbg721 wrote:
               | While that's true, if the cops are too egregious too
               | often, the judge starts to doubt their stories.
        
       | astro1138 wrote:
       | After decades of a liberal and left senate, Berliners reelected
       | CDU who bankrupted Berlin 25 years ago.
        
         | woodpanel wrote:
         | hehehe, this made me chuckle. 25 years of hard-core socialists
         | running the show, and all of a sudden its the conservatives
         | that ruined Berlin. that is rich. It's even funnier when
         | considering the Landerfinanzausgleich (Equalization payments
         | between federal states): Basically within those 25 years
         | Berlin, under those financially savvy and responsible leftists,
         | amassed 95 B EUR in payments from all other German Federal
         | States. [0]
         | 
         | [0] https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/L%C3%A4nderfinanzausgleich
        
         | mickelsen wrote:
         | The Berlin airport fiasco was absolutely on the left-wing
         | government.
        
       | ndr wrote:
       | Yet another step towards Turnkey Totalitarianism
       | 
       | https://creativetimereports.org/2013/06/25/surveillance-and-...
        
       | BizarroLand wrote:
       | I wonder why so many governments have such high anxiety right
       | now. They're all acting like the sky is falling. Don't they know
       | what happens to most of the chickens in Chicken Little?
        
         | mothballed wrote:
         | Can't imagine why they'd be anxious.
         | 
         | Life is a negotiation. What the populace brings to the table is
         | they will _vote harder next time_ or maybe a little bit of
         | protests, but mostly just do what they 're told and carry on
         | with their jobs and pray things get better. What the government
         | bring is fighter jets and guns and career civil servants who
         | have had a lifetime of training how to fuck you, the might and
         | wishes of the rich and powerful, and lording power by taxing
         | you then redistributing it back as benefits that then feel
         | depended upon.
         | 
         | If you enter the negotiating table with a sociopath and expect
         | them not to steamroll you when you openly show you have far
         | worse cards, then you're not thinking clearly. Insanity is
         | thinking you can keep bringing the same things to the
         | negotiation table and getting different results.
        
           | stronglikedan wrote:
           | > Can't imagine why they'd be anxious.
           | 
           | Me neither, especially since the adults are back in charge in
           | the US.
        
         | jerf wrote:
         | In a nutshell, the sovereign debt crisis. If you don't realize
         | there's a sovereign debt crisis (ongoing across years), or even
         | more accurately, a wide variety of sovereign debt crises, or
         | even more accurately, a wide variety of debt crises of both
         | sovereign and private entities, well, your governments and some
         | of the more government-adjacent private entities have bent a
         | lot of resources into make sure that's the case and convincing
         | that it's just peachy when they borrow money, if not outright a
         | boon, without regard to how much they borrow or how much
         | they've already borrowed. They may have convinced you that this
         | is true, but they know better.
         | 
         | Whatever happens and however it resolves, there aren't a lot of
         | options where they retain as much power as they have now for
         | very long. (Even if the top people maintain control they're
         | going to be cutting loose a lot of lower level elites because
         | they'll have to because they won't be able to maintain their
         | upkeep.) The wheel turns and we're in that phase where they're
         | still in power, but have begun to feel their decline. Human
         | psychology fears and feels loss much more keenly than gain and
         | they both fear and feel a lot of loss of power underneath the
         | veneer they maintain.
        
           | MomsAVoxell wrote:
           | My theory for your downvotes - even though you are _directly
           | over the target_ - is that folks in Europe would rather blame
           | Russia than address the very real dysfunction in their own
           | societies. In fact, I tend to think that the degree to which
           | an individual blames Russia is directly related to their
           | failure to take responsibility for the crimes and misdeeds of
           | their own state.
        
         | barrenko wrote:
         | European governments anxious yet refuse switch to wartime
         | production...
        
         | AngryData wrote:
         | Perhaps its because people are realizing a lot of economic and
         | financial activity is kind of useless for anything besides
         | pumping the numbers of stocks and valuations and a larger
         | fraction of money is going towards the already wealthy while
         | the majority are losing out. And when financial bubbles start
         | popping and economies fall flat on their faces there is going
         | to be a lot of angry people.
         | 
         | People saying eat the rich and posting guillotines and
         | supporting socialist redistribution ideas use to be kind of
         | edgy and fringe, but now it is gaining popular appeal again,
         | and it makes people with wealth or political power scared.
        
         | cess11 wrote:
         | Several reasons. For one we've broken the climate and poisoned
         | our habitat, this will for sure cause major problems for
         | existing power structures. We're not sure when, just that it
         | will, eventually. There will be massive amounts of refugees and
         | unemployment, as well as strongly argued and broadly supported
         | demands for accountability.
         | 
         | For another we've definitely decided to not put effort into
         | international law and instead run with a might-makes-right kind
         | of ethics in international relations. One sign that this was
         | the case was the US repeatedly perpetrating the crime of
         | aggression in the early 2000s, another was the ethnic cleansing
         | of Nagorno Karabakh/Artsakh in 2023, as well as ongoing
         | genocidal and similar campaigns in e.g. Sudan, DR Congo and
         | likely the Caribbean and/or South America in the future.
         | Ukraine is yet another example. Currently China is probably the
         | last major country to heavily prioritise money and trade over
         | atrocities and tribute.
         | 
         | Then there's the future of technology. Software has been
         | treading water since the seventies while at the same time
         | promising to deliver some utopian revolution anytime now.
         | Sometimes it's promised to war machines, like GOFAI often was,
         | sometimes it's promised to the general public, usually it
         | doesn't deliver outside of making either legal conflict (i.e.
         | commerce, political participation and the like) or illegal
         | conflict (i.e. mafia, non-parliamentary/autonomous political
         | participation, and the like) and the state response more
         | efficient and intense.
         | 
         | Some in power expect computers to replace labour on a massive
         | scale sometime soon, in part because that's a promise that has
         | been made. Some also expect computerised fake persons and
         | marketing-adjacent technologies to finally make democratic
         | ambitions impossible to realise. It's also expected that people
         | will have to be kept in their place for other, more mundane
         | reasons.
         | 
         | Climate protests, anti-genocide protests and so on show that
         | people are still willing to put themselves in harms way for
         | some ethical purpose and hope for a decent future. This is very
         | scary if you're a contemporary world leader, because there is
         | this harsh disconnect between the stories you tell yourself and
         | others in a similar position about what you do and how you're
         | perceived by your constituents. Basically they think they're
         | doing their best and that's admirable, and the rest of us think
         | they're shit and deserve to be harshly punished.
         | 
         | There's also the spectre of history. Once upon a time ordinary
         | people took a lot of power for themselves, and sometimes they
         | just murdered their leaders. Dragged them out on a town square
         | and chopped their heads off, or shot them or beat them with
         | bamboo until they died. When the conditions look like it might
         | be time for revolution and you're the one holding the levers of
         | power you get scared. The might-makes-right-states are also
         | scary, because those that haven't made the jump already don't
         | have a bloc that backs them up, unlike the socialist states and
         | the capitalist ones and the third world collective did way back
         | when.
         | 
         | So, we're in a hurry to figure out how to make sure local
         | populations cannot revolt, and next up is to figure out whether
         | there are actually any allies or whether this is a war of all
         | against all.
        
         | tick_tock_tick wrote:
         | The sky is falling for a lot of the EU/Europe. They have
         | massive social programs they can't afford and economies that
         | aren't growing anymore. There is another Eurozone crisis
         | approaching and there doesn't seem to be the political will or
         | the acceptance by the people on what needs to happen to stop
         | it.
         | 
         | Even small steps to delay it like in France lead to near open
         | revolt.
        
       | SoftTalker wrote:
       | What is it about German culture that makes authoritarianism so
       | popular?
        
         | __turbobrew__ wrote:
         | Germans love rules and hate those who don't (source: scolded by
         | several Germans while travelling there)
        
           | qwertox wrote:
           | Why don't you share what you did to get scolded by several
           | Germans and I will explain to you why.
        
             | __turbobrew__ wrote:
             | 1. While waiting to be seated at a bistro, I grabbed a menu
             | off a table to see what they had for food. Waiter who was
             | ignoring me saw that and instantly scolded me in front of
             | the entire restaurant saying that is their job.
             | 
             | 2. An alpine train was coming by and I was doing the fist
             | pump in the air to get them to honk the horn. A random
             | stranger said that my actions were unwelcome and that
             | trains are serious business.
             | 
             | 3. When on bikes I did a skid stop to make my wife laugh, a
             | random stranger said I shouldn't do that.
             | 
             | 4. At the airport, I had to pour out water before going
             | through the security checkpoint. There was no bin to pour
             | out water so I just poured it out in the garbage. A random
             | stranger got quite upset and said the water does not go in
             | the garbage.
             | 
             | Not to mention all of the very unfriendly interactions I
             | had with locals. Honestly will probably never go back,
             | people are so much more friendly and laid back elsewhere
             | which is more my style.
        
               | ffsm8 wrote:
               | As a German myself, that list is surprising. The only one
               | I could imagine is 4., because the bins generally aren't
               | watertight, so you're essentially spilling water on the
               | floor which will make a mess for everyone. And there are
               | always places to pour the water it's just usually at the
               | entrance of the terminal ... Which is obviously dumb, cuz
               | nobody is going to go back to them after they've already
               | queued to get in.
               | 
               | But 1-3? You must've really gotten unlucky...
               | 
               | 1 I could only imagine in expensive restaurants,
               | 
               | 2. I am seriously surprised by, because while the person
               | manning the train would almost always ignore you, so
               | would everyone else - no matter what kind of gesture you
               | do.
               | 
               | And 3... While I cannot fathom doing that on purpose
               | myself, I'm extremely surprised anyone would bother
               | interacting with anyone about that? Definitely doesn't
               | reflect my experience living here for roughly 40 yrs
        
               | mickelsen wrote:
               | Yup, they love their rules and procedures.
               | 
               | And it's funny, because the first thought they have if
               | you get fined (say you didn't include the impressum in
               | your personal website, or nosy neighbor found you mowing
               | the lawn on sunday), it's that you must have done
               | something wrong, not that the law is unfair.
               | 
               | It's a Rechtsstaat with hardcore legal-positivist brain.
               | Rules aren't guidelines, intent doesn't matter, context
               | doesn't matter, fun definitely doesn't matter.
        
         | Cpoll wrote:
         | Calling it "German authoritarianism" risks thinking it's a
         | localized phenomenon or special case. But it seems more like a
         | regression to the global mean. Most of these expansions are
         | things that have been on the front page of HN, but in reference
         | to the US: cell tower queries, facial recognition, license
         | plate harvesting, long detention periods without being charged,
         | etc.
        
           | jack_tripper wrote:
           | _> Calling it "German authoritarianism" risks thinking it's a
           | localized phenomenon or special case._
           | 
           | It very much is though. Plenty of other countries in EU like
           | France or Romania for example but probably many more, don't
           | have even remotely as many authoritarian and invasive BS laws
           | as Germany does.
           | 
           | But the worst part is that Germans have gaslit themselves to
           | think that their authoritarian laws are there "for their own
           | protection". They don't even realize they have a problem,
           | until they move and live abroad and learn you can run a
           | country without your government have so many surveillance and
           | speech control powers over what you can do or say in public
           | about their leaders.
        
             | bondarchuk wrote:
             | Just some data to give a little bit of context, however
             | flawed or reductive it may be..
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_freedom_indices#List_
             | o...
        
               | jack_tripper wrote:
               | I don't really care what some arbitrary number on
               | Wikipedia tells me about the freedom of a country I know
               | quite well, as long as I am unable to insult my political
               | leaders on the internet for their fuckups or say that _'
               | Israel is an apartheid state committing genocide'_,
               | without police later knocking on my door to arrest me for
               | "hate speech" or "far right extremism", I consider the
               | freedom score of that country to be ZERO. This is mostly
               | a UK, Germany and Austria exclusive issue in the EU-zone
               | and not an EU widespread issue quite yet, but boy they
               | sure are trying to get everyone at that same level.
               | 
               | Any scientist will tell you to not to look at the end
               | data, but to look at the formula used to calculate the
               | result and the way in which the data for the study was
               | gathered. That's what's most important.
               | 
               | Depending on what your formula and data is, you can get
               | to any arbitrary result you want, which is how scientists
               | also had studies in the 1950s saying that smoking was
               | good for your health.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | > Any scientist will tell you
               | 
               | The number of people, including scientists, who treat
               | algorithms as black boxes is incredibly concerning. The
               | math is meaningless without interpretation, and that
               | requires understanding what goes into the scores.
               | 
               | That said, why would anyone think such scores could be a
               | reasonably accurate representation? You are aggregating
               | such complex situations and with that you kill off
               | nuance. It doesn't mean the scores are useless, but need
               | to be used carefully. I mean even look at the chart and
               | you'll see weird things pop out. Ireland is ranked 5th by
               | the "Freedom in the World" Index and falls into the
               | highest binning for all 3 categories: economic freedom,
               | press freedom, democracy. Yet New Zealand is 3rd, falling
               | into the second bins for economic and press freedom.
               | Further down you see the US below Argentina yet the US's
               | scores are significantly higher than Argentina in each
               | other category and the US is tied with Mongolia (who has
               | a major problem with Press Freedom).
               | 
               | It should be quite clear that these scores are missing a
               | lot of important details. Like the US definitely has
               | problems with Freedom of Speech (and growing) but you can
               | call Trump and Clinton pedos on the internet all day and
               | nothing will happen to you[0]. Nuance is needed and
               | treating these indexes as black boxes is just harmful to
               | a conversation about freedom.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c04vqldn42go
        
               | tick_tock_tick wrote:
               | What a load of bullshit you can't even insult politicians
               | in Germany. Their score should 0 and that goes for a lot
               | of Europe especially the UK.
        
         | jack_tripper wrote:
         | German history and culture was always about following rules and
         | following a strong figure of authority, whether that be someone
         | with a toothbrush moustache or someone making diamond hands.
        
         | MomsAVoxell wrote:
         | In my opinion its: Village life. Germany is a state of small
         | villages/towns/cities/city-states, interconnected with fairly
         | productive lines of communication - but it is very easy to live
         | ones entire life in a German village and never leave.
         | 
         | At village scales, authoritarianism is given more credence by
         | the individual because ones life boundaries are reduced to the
         | immediate environment, which is not really sustainable without
         | structured hierarchy.
         | 
         | Incidentally, this is also a factor in why American's adopt
         | authoritarianism so rapidly as well - spending 3 hours of ones
         | life in a bubble, on the freeway, commuting, is extremely
         | damaging to ones psyche. Road-rage and neighbor hatred abound
         | in such circumstances.
         | 
         | The solution to authoritarianism is travel beyond ones bounds.
         | The roots of totalitarian-authoritarianism grow deeply in the
         | desire to be free of the 'filth of others' - once you expand
         | your horizons to embrace that 'filth of others', through travel
         | and cultural interaction, that 'filth of others' becomes 'the
         | flavor of others' instead.
         | 
         | This is easily demonstrated: talk to a German who has never
         | left their home town/talk to a German who regularly visits
         | vastly different parts of the world. You will see the
         | authoritarian in the former, but the libertarian in the latter.
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | This seems a bit incoherent, there must be a real reason for
           | them to start thinking the "filth of others" has some basis
           | in reality...
           | 
           | It couldn't have arisen just randomly or on a lark.
        
             | MomsAVoxell wrote:
             | The "filth of others" can be described in as many ways as a
             | human might use to justify their elevation of one tribe
             | over the degradation of another.
             | 
             | Look at it critically - whenever you encounter a
             | totalitarian-authoritarian personality bloviating about
             | "those people over there" (others), its usually based on
             | the totalitarian mechanism of 'avoiding affinity with
             | attributes considered unsavoury' (filth).
             | 
             | This concept has other applications. If you have two
             | villages, separated perhaps by a near-insurmountable
             | mountain or lake, or if one of those villages raises cows
             | while the other raises goats - this is usually the basis of
             | the formation of a new dialect, accent, or indeed entirely
             | new language. However, when civilization occurs and those
             | two villages merge into a broader community, that language
             | changes to become a unity.
             | 
             | This is observable at an individual level, too. Any
             | unacknowledged or under-recognized
             | similarities/identities/differences between two or more
             | entities will inevitably be used to justify segregation of
             | those entities. The solution, as always, is to identify
             | similarities/identities/differences in a cohesive manner -
             | this is anathema to the totalitarian-authoritarian
             | personality, who is usually pretty stubborn about
             | enforcing, in totality, those under-acknowledged facets.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | I don't see how this addresses the issue of there being
               | an underlying real reason?
               | 
               | Of course the reason then subsquently can be inflated,
               | conflated, mixed together strangely, contorted, etc...
               | I'm not doubting that.
        
               | MomsAVoxell wrote:
               | The underlying reason is a lack of cultural fluidity, or
               | in other words, an over-abundance of cultural rigidity,
               | which manifests as a desire to be free of other cultures.
               | 
               | The most effective antidote to totalitarian-
               | authoritarianism is a one-way ticket to somewhere
               | distant.
               | 
               | German villages, as comfortable as they are, don't really
               | promote this antidote.
        
           | brikym wrote:
           | Libertarian is not always better. A Goldilocks position is
           | the best. Change is okay but you must first understand why
           | boundaries and norms were created (Chesterton's fence).
           | Extremely tolerant people also allow authoritarian cultures
           | to settle, create enclaves and outnumber their own culture
           | which is a bit of an own goal.
        
         | mikkupikku wrote:
         | Have you ever noticed how often Germans online like to say _"
         | That's not how we do it in Germany..."_ _" We don't do that in
         | Germany..."_ _" In Germany we..."_ ?
         | 
         | Germans seem to have a cultural thing going on where they think
         | the way they do things is the most logical and correct way, and
         | think they're doing everybody else a favor by telling them how
         | things are meant to be done. In fairness, so do Americans. But,
         | for instance, I never hear this shit from the French.
        
       | submeta wrote:
       | Totalitarism slowly advancing in Europe. Recently I read an
       | article about leftist groups and orgs being debanked. One of them
       | is Huseyin Dogru, a Turkish/German journalist. German government
       | acknowledges it, but can't see any problem with it as they hold
       | the opinion that private banks can do whatever they want.
       | 
       | You are labelled ,,Putin versteher" (someone who sides with
       | Putin) or criticise Israel (in which case you are labelled
       | antisemitic), and once you are labelled that way, you have fallen
       | out of grace. And can be targeted or beaten on a demonstration
       | brutally by police forces, or, debanked.
        
         | submeta wrote:
         | The moment you mention Israel on this platform, you are
         | systematically downvoted. Not only on this platform. From corp
         | media to social networks. From BBC who dares not use the word
         | Genocide. To HN, where you are downvoted to oblivion the moment
         | you say Israel is a genocidal racist apartheid regime.
        
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