[HN Gopher] Electric vehicle sales are booming in South America ...
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       Electric vehicle sales are booming in South America - without Tesla
        
       Author : breve
       Score  : 118 points
       Date   : 2025-11-29 19:12 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | juujian wrote:
       | Not just Tesla, all established brands we know are left behind. I
       | never understood Volkswagen's pivot from 'wait and See's to 'were
       | inversing billions' to 'we were too late, abort'. Largest brands
       | n terms of units, completely left behind in an emerging segment
       | that's already dominating it's largest market (China). So many
       | executives in the industry just didn't see the writing on the
       | wall. I don't what GM was thinking, trying a truck as their first
       | platform for EVs, but it's another indicator. This industry has
       | the worst executives. Just don't see the writing on the wall.
        
         | mtrovo wrote:
         | This is what makes the innovator's dilemma repeat itself so
         | many times in so many industries. It's not that the incumbent
         | companies don't see the new technology; it's that they're so
         | entrenched in what they know how to do that pivoting to the new
         | technology is basically a Hail Mary no matter how you do it. Do
         | it too early and your shareholders are going to think you're
         | crazy. Do it too late, and you're risking entering a new market
         | as the chaser with a bad hand of company, employees, and board
         | that don't have any idea of what they're doing.
        
           | darth_avocado wrote:
           | I think it's less "pivoting is hard" and more "we know what's
           | right and we're not going to pivot".
           | 
           | It's not hard to have smaller R&D teams work on these
           | problems to keep the innovation going, but most executives
           | are out there prioritizing cost cuttings so that the
           | shareholders get the quarterly dopamine boosts on the
           | earnings calls.
        
           | prmph wrote:
           | Exactly, usually the companies know what's coming up, like
           | you said. But, properly shifting gears to play a new game
           | requires that you act like a startup again. It likely
           | requires foregoing the fat margins you were used to. And it
           | likely requires going back to the drawing board and actually
           | learning from the market.
           | 
           | And this is what companies find it hard to do. To be fair, I
           | think that is not so bad a things. Companies should rise and
           | die naturally. A few companies monopolizing markets forever
           | does not seem good.
        
           | ruined wrote:
           | car manufacturers can afford to experiment - it's not like
           | they don't have room in the budget. and they _did_
           | experiment.
           | 
           | if you don't know GM's history with electric cars: they were
           | positioned to execute a successful transition about thirty
           | years ago, but they simply chose not to.
        
         | iamgopal wrote:
         | The small part in me understands that, they are banking on
         | three things 1) oil will be cheap because of EV boom and hence
         | EV dominance will be slow and could take couple of decades 2)
         | electric Energy cost will rise significantly because so much
         | charging and energy infrastructure required. 3) Battery will
         | reach at par with gasoline and matured standardised comodity,
         | that will be the perfect time to enter.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | I think #1 will probably play out to a certain extent.
           | Perhaps as an oscillation between low and high as each wave
           | knocks more gas stations out of business and refinery
           | capacity offline. But I have to say, even low prices on gas
           | won't make me go back -- I prefer my EVs in all regards to
           | the ICE equivalents, with the sole exception of marathon
           | (>450 miles per day) road trips, which is not my use case.
           | 
           | I hope #2 won't be the future. It's not as easy to just jack
           | up electric prices because EVs are charging, because they are
           | regulated, and electricity is used for way more than cars (if
           | my napkin math is right, on average people will use around
           | 30% more electricity if they go full electric).
           | 
           | I expect that as a practical matter #3 is here now, it just
           | hasn't filtered down to retail car sales in the US yet.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | > with the sole exception of marathon (>450 miles per day)
             | road trips
             | 
             | I've done 4 3000km road trips and intentionally took the EV
             | leaving the ICE vehicle at home. It's a better car, and we
             | need to stop to bathroom anyways, so charging isn't
             | inconvenient. Saving a few hundred dollars in fuel is nice,
             | too.
        
               | gmueckl wrote:
               | Long EV trips are possible amd convenient if there are
               | enough chargers along the route. Sadly, this isn't the
               | case on many routes in the US, at least. Europe is doing
               | much better. I have no experience in other places.
        
               | GiorgioG wrote:
               | Different people optimize for different things. I have a
               | 450 mile trip (each way) next weekend. I can do it in 1
               | full tank of gas, but realistically I'll stop once to
               | fill up halfway. I don't plan any other stops. If I had
               | an EV, I'd probably have to stop twice, for 30+ minutes
               | each, extending my already long trip by an hour each way.
        
           | impossiblefork wrote:
           | For a while maybe, but cheap EVs are being manufactured in
           | Europe as well, and while this could reduce petrol prices,
           | it's also going to reduce the need for petrol stations, and I
           | think makes petrol basically dead even in a cheap-petrol
           | scenario.
           | 
           | A Renault Twingo is going to cost something like 20,000
           | euros. That's twice the price of a Dacia Sandero, but a Dacia
           | Spring is 16,900. The difference is only 4000, which could
           | easily be a year's petrol.
        
             | fpoling wrote:
             | A modern small and medium-sized car in Europe consumes like
             | 4-6 liters/100 km. Even if one drives 15 thousands km/year
             | (way above average) that gives like 900 liters of gasoline
             | per year or like 1500-1700 euros with typical European
             | prices.
             | 
             | And electricity is not free especially when using fast
             | chargers. So at the end the savings is about 500-1000 euros
             | per year. Which still is a good deal, but explains why
             | people prefer to buy small gasoline cars. I think electric
             | car premium must be below 2 thousand euros plus
             | infrastructure must improve before gasoline car sales in
             | Europe start to collapse.
        
               | impossiblefork wrote:
               | Ah. I hadn't realised that modern petrol cars had gotten
               | that efficient.
               | 
               | When I had a petrol car it was like at least 12 L/100 km,
               | probably more. I remember 100 km drives (Stockholm-
               | Uppsala and back) costing hundreds of Swedish crowns in
               | petrol.
        
               | ErroneousBosh wrote:
               | > When I had a petrol car it was like at least 12 L/100
               | km, probably more
               | 
               | What was it? That's approximately what my late-90s Range
               | Rover does, although it's converted to run on LPG which
               | is much cheaper and much much much cleaner.
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | Although Ford's CEO now gets it, Ford's product line doesn't
         | reflect it yet. Farley has been bringing a few sample BYD cars
         | to the US, for Ford people to drive around and to take apart.
         | Farley dragged his executive team to China to see a BYD plant.
         | They came back scared. But what Ford actually sells is 1) an
         | F-150 converted to electric, 2) a Ford Mustang converted to
         | electric, and 3) a Ford Transit converted to electric. They're
         | all more expensive, and heavier, than their gasoline-powered
         | versions.
         | 
         | BYD shows that electric cars are cheaper if designed properly
         | from the ground up. The problem is that the US no longer makes
         | many cars. Mostly giant trucks and SUVs. Hauling all that mass
         | around requires a huge battery, resulting in 3-ton vehicles.
        
           | denimnerd42 wrote:
           | the mustang mach e is a purpose built EV. not a mustang with
           | a battery back stuck in.
        
           | bastawhiz wrote:
           | > a Ford Mustang converted to electric
           | 
           | I agree with your comment, but I'll be a little pedantic for
           | a minute:
           | 
           | As a Charger Daytona owner, I'd _love_ to call the Mach-E a
           | mustang, but it 's really just borrowing the brand. Ford has
           | said unequivocally that they'll never make an all-electric
           | muscle car, which is a real shame. The Mach-E is a great car
           | if you're turned off by a Model Y, but you wouldn't choose it
           | over a mustang GT or a charger Daytona or a Camaro.
        
             | lostlogin wrote:
             | > Ford has said unequivocally that they'll never make an
             | all-electric muscle car
             | 
             | What's the thinking here? Pandering to some market segment?
             | It sounds like they are organising the deck chairs in the
             | titanic.
             | 
             | Edit: I tried looking into the comment. It seems he was
             | referring to Mustangs specifically, which is weird as they
             | do make an electric one (assuming you agree it's a 'real'
             | mustang).
             | 
             | I'm confused.
        
               | grosswait wrote:
               | It's not though. Just borrowing the name as they said.
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | That's just it though. If the name doesn't make it a
               | Mustang, what does?
        
               | bastawhiz wrote:
               | The Mach-E isn't a muscle car. The comment was
               | specifically around the Mustang sedan, which they do not
               | have an electric version of.
               | 
               | Honestly, it's befuddling to me. There's a lot of folks
               | who could get talked into an electric muscle car, they
               | just have to know how to sell it. I own a Charger Daytona
               | and literally every car guy I show it to has interest; I
               | genuinely think Dodge just doesn't know how to market and
               | sell it. I'm 100% confident that the right marketing
               | agency could sell 100k of these, but the cohort of "it'll
               | never be a Mustang" is far louder than the "wow that
               | thing rips" crowd.
        
           | JKCalhoun wrote:
           | "Americans only want trucks and SUVs." (I hear people say.)
           | 
           | Cool. Then allow BYD non-trucks, non-SUVs into the U.S. then.
           | 
           | The Japanese back in the 70's showed U.S. automakers that
           | price and mileage (in that decade anyway) were important to
           | Americans. I suspect price is still important.
        
             | lifty wrote:
             | Why would they allow it? It would destroy the remaining car
             | industry in the US. Better to at least maintain a car
             | industry, even if it's inefficient.
        
               | newAccount2025 wrote:
               | Why is that better?
        
             | khannn wrote:
             | I wish I could get a BYD Dolphin hatch for ~10k USD.
             | Somehow my 12 year old Prius is worth 9k on KBB and that's
             | insane.
        
           | breve wrote:
           | > _a Ford Mustang converted to electric_
           | 
           | The Mustang Mach-e isn't like any other Mustang. It just has
           | the Mustang branding.
        
           | darth_avocado wrote:
           | Ford is a bad example because they've pretty much abandoned
           | all their non truck and transit van segments for years. Even
           | if EVs weren't a thing, they do not compete in any of the
           | segments and haven't for almost a decade. First it was
           | Japanese and German companies eating their lunch, now it's
           | the Chinese.
           | 
           | Also, F150 lightening is such a failure. There was a recent
           | video of it trying to haul very minimal load and it pretty
           | much drained the battery in less than 100 miles.
        
             | Marsymars wrote:
             | > Also, F150 lightening is such a failure. There was a
             | recent video of it trying to haul very minimal load and it
             | pretty much drained the battery in less than 100 miles.
             | 
             | Was that due to something specific with the Lightning, or
             | was it just due to the intrinsic energy requirements of
             | hauling loads? (Or in other words, does an EV even exist
             | that's notably better at hauling loads?)
        
               | darth_avocado wrote:
               | Probably both. It was a consumer review, so hard to say
               | from an engineering perspective.
        
               | jsight wrote:
               | TBH, those tests are mostly marketing failures. EV trucks
               | aren't really good at hauling trailers over large
               | distances, as the aerodynamics produce a massive impact
               | on range.
               | 
               | Multiple tests have shown this by showing 50% or more
               | range reduction from pulling lightweight, non-aerodynamic
               | loads.
               | 
               | The marketing failure is that the companies have allowed
               | consumers to incorrectly extrapolate from this to
               | thinking that heavy loads in the bed have the same issue.
               | They actually don't as weight is a minimal impact on
               | range.
               | 
               | Unfortunately, every thread about carrying sheetrock,
               | rocks, mulch, etc shows how misinformed the average
               | consumer has become in this space. It has to be a
               | significant impact on sales, given that in the US these
               | are the only heavy loads carried by >50% of the half ton
               | pickups sold here.
        
               | Kirby64 wrote:
               | It's an intrinsic issue with hauling loads, combined with
               | the relatively low range of F150L.
               | 
               | By comparison the the Chevy Silverado EV gets ~450mi of
               | range unloaded and testing seems to have it able to tow
               | ~250mi of range at 70mph, which seems plenty between
               | stops: https://www.hotcars.com/chevrolet-silverado-ev-
               | towing/
        
             | ErroneousBosh wrote:
             | > Ford is a bad example because they've pretty much
             | abandoned all their non truck and transit van segments for
             | years.
             | 
             | Perhaps in the US. Here in the UK you see a lot of Focuses
             | and Fiestas, especially the ST models, and the "ST Line"
             | models, which have ST trim but boring engines.
             | 
             | Quite often you see the latter on their side a surprisingly
             | long way from the tarmac, surrounded by bits of obliterated
             | cattle fence, with a very patient farmer rolling it back
             | onto its wheels with the Manitou to make the recovery guy's
             | day easier.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | I've got a Lightning and I think I like the 'converted to
           | electric' aspect. Everything that fits on a regular ICE F-150
           | fits on my truck. The interior is the same (okay, some trims
           | have a big screen, but not all do). It would be nice if it
           | had a bit more range, but when I look at the efficiency of an
           | R1T or a CT, I don't see that being purpose-built would
           | automatically be a win for Ford. Pickups are not ever going
           | to be competitive with sedans and CUVs for efficiency.
        
             | Marsymars wrote:
             | The problem with the Lightning is mostly that it's a money-
             | loser for Ford.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | I've never seen a good number on this. Is it money losing
               | per vehicle, or because of the amortized R&D included in
               | the cost? The problem from my perspective is that it
               | hasn't turned out as popular as they hoped -- truck
               | buyers are a hard to convert bunch of people. Which is
               | too bad, because my Lightning is my favorite of all the
               | pickups I've owned over the years. It's a fantastic
               | truck.
        
           | eptcyka wrote:
           | The lightning isn't selling, almost at all.
        
         | sofixa wrote:
         | > 'we were too late, abort'
         | 
         | What do you mean, the ID series for the main VW brand have 7
         | upcoming models over the next two years (4 for the Chinese
         | market, 3 for everywhere).
         | 
         | > all established brands we know are left behind
         | 
         | I wouldn't go that far. The Renault 5 is one of the best
         | selling EVs in Europe, and all the reviews are extremely
         | positive (it's a fun and good looking car overall, and
         | accessible). They have the 4 rolling out, and the small Twingo
         | coming next year. They've also managed to narrow down the time
         | from concept car to production at scale to less than 2 years
         | (which according to the article on the topic I read is very
         | fast).
        
         | constantcrying wrote:
         | >I never understood Volkswagen's pivot from 'wait and See's to
         | 'were inversing billions' to 'we were too late, abort'.
         | 
         | How is VW aborting in any way? They do not have a new ICE
         | Platform, they are totally all in on EVs. Whether that will
         | work out is of course another question, but it is bizarre to
         | bring up EV when there is also Stellantis, who do not even have
         | a dedicated EV Platform for their cars.
        
         | reisse wrote:
         | I thought Toyota is doing quite well in emerging markets?
         | However they skipped a lot of EV craziness and just do cheap-
         | and-reliable ICE cars.
         | 
         | I also never understood why established brands lobbied for EVs,
         | and not against them. They clearly had no edge over Tesla and
         | Chinese brands, why compete on rival's field?
        
           | lostlogin wrote:
           | Toyota hasn't offered pure electric where I am, just hybrids.
           | And they have only just started offering plug in models I can
           | charge.
           | 
           | I'd love a Corolla or Camri EV - I'm not sure what 'the
           | Corolla of EVs' is considered to be.
        
         | jeltz wrote:
         | WV seems to do amazingly in Europe so not sure what you are
         | talking about. It is Tesla thaumt seems to be leaving the EV
         | market with no new exciting models and making the European
         | market hate the brand.
         | 
         | https://www.best-selling-cars.com/electric/2025-half-year-eu...
        
           | LunicLynx wrote:
           | Reuters disagrees
           | 
           | https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-
           | transportation/volksw...
        
       | epmatsw wrote:
       | Trivially substitutable goods, at a much lower price, with a now-
       | reduced ethical difference. Not hard to see why.
        
         | throw-the-towel wrote:
         | Ethical difference? This is South America we're talking about.
         | The ethical difference has been working _against_ the US this
         | whole time.
        
       | billy99k wrote:
       | This is a result of over regulation in the auto industry. I
       | always shake my head at the group of people that wants cheaper
       | prices on goods and services, but propose regulating large
       | companies to death.
       | 
       | China is winning because they don't have to work around pesky
       | labor or IP laws. Then we have people pointing to how much better
       | they are at business and also want all these protections.
        
         | happosai wrote:
         | You have no idea how regulated car business in China is... For
         | example china is regulating the "innovative" Tesla style door
         | handles..
         | 
         | https://carnewschina.com/2025/09/24/new-safety-requirements-...
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | Naw. US labor cost per car is about $880 to $1250, from various
         | sources.[1] China EV labor cost is around $550. That difference
         | is less than what heated seats add in price.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-
         | expertise/insights/2025/apr/...
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | Tesla was dead in the water when it became obvious that they
       | couldn't make a sub-$30K car happen. They will still probably do
       | well as a luxury brand, but China is going to fill in the demand
       | for affordable EVs in the rest of the world outside USA/EU.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | Tesla got far enough for Musk to have the power he wanted and
         | then gave up innovating and expanding. China will win the race,
         | they have a third of global manufacturing capacity and already
         | sell as many NEVs (battery electric and plug in hybrids)
         | domestically as are sold in the US every year, while continuing
         | to scale.
         | 
         | https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3334300...
         | 
         | https://insidechinaauto.com/2025/11/01/live-blog-china-octob...
         | 
         | https://www.byd.com/us/news-list/First-BYD-Electric-Vehicle-...
         | 
         | https://rhomotion.com/news/byd-announces-further-global-expa...
         | 
         | https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-where-tesla-and-byd-...
        
         | noosphr wrote:
         | I don't think we've seen the end game yet.
         | 
         | I have an electric cargo bike. During a kids party yesterday I
         | ran 5 different errands with it while someone with a car
         | managed to get stuck in traffic, not find a parking spot, and
         | miss the whole thing.
         | 
         | The only reason why cars are the size and shape they are is
         | because ICE engines couldn't be made smaller. Electric engines
         | on the other hand are small enough that I can have the chassis
         | of a fully functioning car be light enough to lift by one man.
         | 
         | I think we will see small, light weight and intrinsically
         | pedestrian safe cars made of tubes and canvas replace the heavy
         | monstrosities we have now.
        
           | mike50 wrote:
           | The Smart for Two existed with an internal combustion engine.
        
           | sofixa wrote:
           | > The only reason why cars are the size and shape they are is
           | because ICE engines couldn't be made smaller. Electric
           | engines on the other hand are small enough that I can have
           | the chassis of a fully functioning car be light enough to
           | lift by one man.
           | 
           | Nope, the Smart existed for quite a while. Safety standards
           | made cars slightly bigger (e.g. the new Renault Twingo is
           | bigger than the original), but modern American "cars" are
           | massive because that's what marketing has convinced Americans
           | it's what they need. American vehicle manufacturers are
           | pretty terrible at everything, and efficiency standards nudge
           | them that way anyways, so making massive cars with high
           | margins is a good deal for them.
           | 
           | In Europe there are SUVs, but the average car is a VW Golf or
           | a Renault Clio sized. They are pretty decently sized, good
           | visibility, can fit a family of 4, etc. Yeah, you can't haul
           | a 50 ton campervan offroading up to Kilimanjaro, sure, but
           | that's not what 99% of car trips are for.
           | 
           | > I think we will see small, light weight and intrinsically
           | pedestrian safe cars made of tubes and canvas replace the
           | heavy monstrosities we have now.
           | 
           | Renault Twizy ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renault_Twizy )
           | exists, but doesn't sell all that well (compared to "normal"
           | cars).
           | 
           | The Citroen Ami (
           | https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citro%C3%ABn_Ami_(2020) ) is
           | pretty popular in certain places (saw a ton of them in
           | Amsterdam and semi-rural areas in France).
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | > that's what marketing has convinced Americans it's what
             | they need
             | 
             | Is there some kind of objective analysis which supports
             | this claim? It seems more likely that people vote with
             | their wallet, and bigger wins out a lot of the time. It's
             | hardly an American manufacturer thing, either, Japanese
             | cars have reliably gotten bigger year after year as well.
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | > Is there some kind of objective analysis which supports
               | this claim
               | 
               | It's a bit hard to have objective research on marketing
               | and public perceptions. But how else do you explain all
               | the marketing in that regard, and the fact that
               | Americans, on average, even urbanites, keep buying
               | massive pickup trucks, the majority of which are never
               | used for anything more than a commuter vehicle for 1,
               | maybe 2 occupants? Even in rich countries with very
               | outdoorsy people (Switzerland, Nordics, hell, the
               | Netherlands has camping as a national sport, and during
               | summertime they do mass migrations in towed campers and
               | campervans towards the south of France, Italy, Spain),
               | very few people buy trucks.
               | 
               | Marketing, an arms race, manufacturers not offering much
               | else because their marketing works, Americans being very
               | aspirational about what they'll do with their vehicles,
               | idk.
               | 
               | > It's hardly an American manufacturer thing, either,
               | Japanese cars have reliably gotten bigger year after year
               | as well.
               | 
               | Japanese vehicles in the US or everywhere? Cars in
               | general have been getting bigger because of safety
               | features, but American monstrosities with lower
               | visibility than literal tanks are an almost uniquely
               | American phenomenon (slowly invading the rest of the
               | world too).
        
             | jack_tripper wrote:
             | _> but the average car is a VW Golf or a Renault Clio
             | sized_
             | 
             | That hasn't been the case here in a long time. SUVs and
             | crossovers are outselling all other categories.
        
               | sofixa wrote:
               | Where is "here"?
               | 
               | Most cars on this list, and the ones I see while living
               | in one big European city, and regularly visiting lots of
               | others, are not SUVs. There are plenty of them, but even
               | then it's on the smaller side (e.g. a Renault Captur, not
               | a Escalade 8 wheeled 65ton)
               | 
               | https://bestsellingcarsblog.com/2025/11/europe-
               | october-2025-...
        
           | pmg101 wrote:
           | Your first three paragraphs are sound.
           | 
           | But surely the problem with the final paragraph is the
           | transition? Assuming the old style of vehicle remains on the
           | road, then my lightweight one is at risk of being crushed.
           | Only a niche minority would choose that (as a cargo bike
           | owner, I'm also one, but I recognise most are not, with good
           | reason.)
           | 
           | Unless we built a whole separate infrastructure.... We
           | already see a lot of electric scooters using cycle lanes.
        
           | bastawhiz wrote:
           | I own three electric motorcycles and respectfully disagree.
           | You can't make tube and canvas that let a passenger survive
           | getting t-boned by a Yukon Denali or an F-250. One high-
           | profile accident with a mother and her child getting peeled
           | off the road with a coal shovel are all it'll take to kill
           | such a form factor forever.
           | 
           | The problem isn't the form factor you're describing, it's
           | that you can't put those on the road with 1000+ horsepower
           | machines that are 50 times heavier. And on top of that, a lot
           | of people just don't want to give up their heated massage
           | seats and connected infotainment and removable third row or
           | whatever crap they pack in minivans these days.
        
           | slurrpurr wrote:
           | Of course ICEs can be tiny. Look at motorcycles, rollers and
           | motorbikes. The demand for small cars is just not there
           | anymore
        
           | kakacik wrote:
           | This is a bit out of touch with reality, presumably you don't
           | have a car and seemingly are against any normal sized cars or
           | bigger. A very narrow use case should change the world we all
           | live in?
           | 
           | Tiny cars can't do longer distances (aka higher speeds)
           | safely, physics of car collisions won't let you. They have
           | been around for quite some time and popularity is as it is.
           | If you are hit by 50kmh car as a cyclist (seems like
           | frustration/fear of yours thats behind your words), whether
           | car weights 600kg or 1300kg doesn't make much difference to
           | your resulting state. Personal cars have specced brakes
           | according to their weight so breaking distance is cca same
           | regardless of weight.
           | 
           | Where I live (also went through kids birthday party today
           | back & forth few times) - somebody with ebike would freeze
           | their ass in windchill of fast moving bicycle would be below
           | -10C (situation 5 months of a year), slip on partially frozen
           | road could be fatal, moving around on rather narrow roads
           | that have very little room for anybody but cars (Switzerland
           | here but no high altitude) would be literal playing russian
           | roulette with rest of traffic, triple that with wide cargo
           | ebike. Alas, all parents came to the party in forest hut just
           | above our village in their ICE or hybrid cars.
        
           | EliteGadget wrote:
           | > The only reason why cars are the size and shape they are is
           | because _ICE engines couldn 't be made smaller_. Electric
           | engines on the other hand are small enough that I can have
           | the chassis of a fully functioning car be light enough to
           | lift by one man.
           | 
           | You have seen a motorbikes/mopeds, scooters and micro-cars
           | surely?
           | 
           | An electric bike is essentially a moped which have existed
           | for like 70-80 years now? A small cars have been around since
           | the 1950s.
           | 
           | Cars are the shape they are because normally you want the
           | option of carrying 1-5 people. 5 people is 2 adults and 3
           | children. BTW cars in the past were much smaller. Compare the
           | size of any car from the 1930-40s in the UK to a modern
           | European car and you will notice it is much smaller they are.
        
         | nodesocket wrote:
         | What, has it been a decade of HN'ers calling for imminent
         | demise of Tesla. Meanwhile I've been laughing and buying all
         | the way to the bank. Keep on doubting.
        
           | jeltz wrote:
           | Tesla will report a very bad 2025 and my prediction is that
           | the stock will go up anyway. The valuation is totally
           | detached from the fundamentals. Tesla is a company which is
           | falling behind in technology and there is not much indication
           | that they will br able to fix that. But stock will likely
           | stay high for a long time anyway.
        
         | 1970-01-01 wrote:
         | Assuming they just manufactured vehicles, then this would be
         | the correct take.
        
       | SilverElfin wrote:
       | In Europe didn't basically all brands take a hit? It was framed
       | as Tesla falling behind but it's more that Chinese EVs are so
       | cheap, nothing can compete. Even within China the competition is
       | insane, with over 100 car companies fighting to survive and
       | giving out big discounts.
        
         | EliteGadget wrote:
         | It isn't just Chinese EVs there are Korean brands on the road
         | e.g. Jaewoo.
         | 
         | https://jaecoo.co.uk/
         | 
         | I'm in the UK and the only new Fords I see are these huge
         | F250/F350 which make my 4x4 (which is relatively small compared
         | to a modern 4x4) look tiny.
        
           | haunter wrote:
           | You managed to write the name wrong, Jaecoo not Jaewoo, and
           | it's chinese not korean. On top of that it's a throwaway
           | account.
        
             | EliteGadget wrote:
             | I mixed these brands up. Thanks for the correction.
             | 
             | They (Jaecoo) opened a dealership 20 minutes from where I
             | am.
        
             | jeltz wrote:
             | Pretty sure they confused Daewoo with Jaecoo. But as far as
             | I know Daewoo does not exist anymore.
        
               | EliteGadget wrote:
               | I confused Jae-woo (a Korean name) with Jaecoo. I think I
               | must have mis-spelled the name when googling them after
               | seeing the Dealership near me. However I do remember
               | Daewoo, I don't think there many left on UK roads.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jae-woo
        
         | lawn wrote:
         | Volkswagen is doing very well in Europe.
        
           | LunicLynx wrote:
           | Even reuters disagrees.
           | 
           | https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-
           | transportation/volksw...
        
         | jeltz wrote:
         | No. VW is up 78% and the market in general EV sales is up by
         | 22%. It is actually just mostly Tesla doing poorly.
         | 
         | https://www.best-selling-cars.com/electric/2025-half-year-eu...
        
           | LunicLynx wrote:
           | https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-
           | transportation/volksw...
        
       | Gualdrapo wrote:
       | It was announced a few days ago some models of Tesla are coming
       | to Colombia at cheaper prices than BYD and the like and people
       | here seems to be crazy about Tesla now. Time will tell how
       | reliable they are on our poor roads.
       | 
       | And that's one thing about EVs here in general - they are coming
       | with no spare tire but a flat tire repair kit, which it's fine
       | for small issues but may not be enough for the problems said
       | tough roads can give to your tires.
        
         | sofixa wrote:
         | > It was announced a few days ago some models of Tesla are
         | coming to Colombia at cheaper prices than BYD
         | 
         | How could that be?
         | 
         | At least Renault's low cost models (like the Dacia Spring, sold
         | as Kwid in Latin America) are sold for cheap in various
         | markets, and are competitive to BYD pricing in the EU and Latin
         | America (enough that they're seeing serious growth there).
         | Tesla doesn't have anything close, price wise, so how could
         | they be competing on price with BYD?
        
           | freddier wrote:
           | Colombians are asking that question too. My guess is that
           | Tesla is selling them at a loss to compete against BYD. They
           | may be sending unsold inventory from the US/Mexico market as
           | well.
        
             | analog31 wrote:
             | Does that mean there's an arbitrage to be made by re-
             | importing them?
        
               | frameset wrote:
               | Wouldn't import tax make that nonviable?
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | They're made in the USA.
        
         | schmuckonwheels wrote:
         | > And that's one thing about EVs here in general - they are
         | coming with no spare tire but a flat tire repair kit
         | 
         | That seems to be the standard for all new cars, both ICE and
         | EV; sometimes a spare is available as a paid option.
         | 
         | Which seems insane. But it is what it is.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | Yep. My Lightning is the first vehicle I've had with a spare
           | in a number of years. Even donut spares are getting much less
           | common, not just on EVs.
        
       | weinzierl wrote:
       | When I grew up in Germany it always made me proud that 100% of
       | taxis were Mercedes Benz. If a car can withstand the rough
       | demands of taxi service, it has to be good. And even in South
       | America back then German cares were ubiquitous, especially
       | Volkswagen.
       | 
       | When I was in Brazil this spring[*] I rode a lot of Uber and they
       | were 100% BYD - 100%, no exception. It's not that my head hadn't
       | known that German auto was dead but seeing it playing out like
       | this hit hard.
       | 
       | [*] northern hemisphere
        
         | IshKebab wrote:
         | To be fair taxis have unique requirements. Taxis in the UK were
         | like 80% Prius for a long time because they drive very long
         | distances and hybrids are very cost effective for city driving
         | where you're doing a _lot_ of low speed driving and don 't have
         | convenient recharging opportunities. But most people aren't in
         | that situation.
         | 
         | Still, I think BYD are kind of killing it.
        
           | Tade0 wrote:
           | > But most people aren't in that situation.
           | 
           | Those who commute from the suburbs actually save even more as
           | hybrids achieve their lowest consumption going a steady
           | 50-70km/h.
           | 
           | Of course the same people could just get an EV and charge at
           | home, but in terms of cost-effectiveness hybrids still win in
           | this use case.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | BYD recently went live with a highly automated, large scale
         | manufacturing facility in Brazil. The BYD Dolphin Mini sells
         | for ~$22,500, and the manufacturer already has 200 showrooms
         | open across the country.
         | 
         | https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/11/22/cop-brazil...
         | 
         | https://www.byd.com/us/news-list/First-BYD-Electric-Vehicle-...
        
           | moffkalast wrote:
           | I'm surprised Mercedes was ever price competitive for taxis
           | even in Germany, I mean the average VW would do the job just
           | as well at half the cost.
           | 
           | These days they're both priced like they're selling Ferraris
           | anyway so yeah. The ID Buzz starting at 70k EUR is such a
           | joke.
        
             | forinti wrote:
             | I remember all taxis in Portugal being beige Mercedes in
             | the 80s,when Portugal wasn't well off. I guess their
             | durability is what made them worthwhile.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Mercedes taxis in Europe are not appointed like the cars
             | they sell in North America. They are just normal cars
             | there.
        
           | forinti wrote:
           | They are everywhere. The only limit to adoption is that many
           | people live in buildings where chargers can't easily be
           | installed.
        
         | MomsAVoxell wrote:
         | I've been riding a German electric motorbike for a couple of
         | years, and before that, German electric mopeds.
         | 
         | I think there is a lot of innovation in the German electric
         | vehicle industry. I am quite excited for BTM, my bikes
         | manufacturer, to design and release new versions of their
         | platform. This model is distinctly German.
        
         | nutjob2 wrote:
         | Sadly the German car industry has lost its way in the EV
         | transition and is now vainly trying to get the EU to rollback
         | the sun setting of ICE car sales in 3035.
         | 
         | Meanwhile the Chinese are eating their lunch.
        
         | rr808 wrote:
         | I think the issue is to create an ICE is a very complicated
         | process requiring lots of specialist knowledge, skills and
         | technologies. An EV is just much simpler, comes down to who has
         | the cheapest batteries. Europe and Japan are great at the
         | former, the latter no chance.
        
           | Ankaios wrote:
           | _Europe and Japan are great at the former, the latter no
           | chance._
           | 
           | Europe and Japan should be totally capable of producing super
           | inexpensive batteries. They just don't, at the moment.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | How? By building entirely automated factories, they way
             | they do for medicine production?
        
           | AngryData wrote:
           | Im sure some of it is personal bias from experience with them
           | but I don't think ICE are as complicated as some people
           | think. 90% of the extra shit on them are unnecessary for it
           | to work but what those things are and what they do and why it
           | broke or failed or how important they are is essentially
           | obfuscated from the general public so they seem like overly
           | complicated magic. The vast majority of cars I see do not
           | fail or get trashed due to engine failure from design flaws
           | or anything, most get trashed because people stop caring
           | about them and treat them like trash and don't replace that
           | $15 sensor, others think they can't afford the maintenance
           | because car manufacturers don't give a fuck about having to
           | take 3 hours disassembling other unnecessary shit to replace
           | a 30 cent sensor that they know will eventually need
           | replaced, but the only number the customer seems to look at
           | is the total cost of the mechanic quote. They think because
           | something is a $1,000+ repair that something seriously is
           | worn or old and that the car is on its last legs, instead of
           | the reality of that one part being a huge pain in the ass to
           | replace but it is otherwise a good reliable motor for another
           | 100,000+ miles. And of the cars that do get trashed because
           | they have actual major mechanical problems, the vast majority
           | of the problems have to do with the body work rusting out
           | and/or suspension components needing replaced after being
           | used for 3x their expected lifetime, which an EV is not going
           | to improve in any way.
           | 
           | Like ive seen people junkyard perfectly working and good cars
           | because it is over 150,000 miles and some service guy who is
           | looking for work/money told them they need to do scheduled
           | maintenance some time soon and they thought the car was too
           | old and was junk. And yet very few cars ive seen would not
           | make it over 300,000 miles if they spent even 1/10th the
           | money of their new car for maintenance on their old.
        
         | ErroneousBosh wrote:
         | In the UK, for a very long time they were Skoda Octavias.
         | 
         | I know of two ex-taxis that were scrapped at about five or six
         | years old - one was taken off the road because of a deep paint
         | scratch down to bare metal from about half way along the front
         | wing to the rear door, rendering it beyond economic repair -
         | with over half a million miles on the clock each.
         | 
         | Neither had been outside the Greater Glasgow area since they
         | were dropped off on the transporter.
        
         | dzonga wrote:
         | Tesla has no moat
         | 
         | 1. Batteries - BYD has them beat 2. Self Driving tech - other
         | players are better 3. Luxury brands already provide the luxury
         | aspect & even better built cars 4. in the US they're being
         | saved by US protectionism. in Europe etc - we already see the
         | chinese brands making inroads for EV sales
        
       | inthaiguy wrote:
       | I wonder how many clicks Reuters get on "Electric vehicle sales
       | are booming in South America - without Tesla" vs "Electric
       | vehicle sales are booming in South America"
        
         | surgical_fire wrote:
         | I actually think that the fact that Tesla is not a factor in
         | this growth newsworthy.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | Well, as Tesla fans like to remind people, the MY is or has
         | been the most popular model of EV.
         | 
         | So yeah, to see EVs in South America without Tesla is actually
         | newsworthy.
        
       | yosito wrote:
       | And in Europe and in Asia. Last time I was in the US, Tesla
       | looked like a scam.
        
       | tcdent wrote:
       | > Chinese brands
       | 
       | There is far more to the logistics and adoption of this outside
       | of "Tesla failed to capture the region" as the article's title
       | eludes to.
       | 
       | Bribery, government corruption, risky loans, undercutting. It is
       | well documented in the case of large infrastructure projects and
       | the same playbook will be revealed in time.
        
       | jasonsb wrote:
       | Tariffs might keep Chinese EVs out of the US, but they don't stop
       | US influence from fading everywhere else. South America is voting
       | with their wallets, and 'buy American' doesn't work when the
       | price is double and the tech is the same.
       | 
       | Unless the US intends to sanction every country that prioritizes
       | value over US geopolitics, this battle is already lost.
        
         | surgical_fire wrote:
         | In South America there's also no anxiety over China becoming a
         | superpower, which may be an argument against Chinese products
         | in the US.
         | 
         | In fact, China has pretty good relations with most South
         | American countries. Likely better than the US. I wouldn't be
         | surprised if many people view China more favorably.
        
           | jasonsb wrote:
           | The average person in the west isn't losing sleep over China
           | either. That anxiety is mostly manufactured by the media
           | pushing the narrative that they are an existential threat.
           | Maybe they are, I don't know. But what I do know is that
           | western companies love it when they can sell you overpriced
           | products made in China, but panic the moment chinese
           | companies sell the exact same product at a fair price.
        
       | LightBug1 wrote:
       | >> "Chinese brands gain legitimacy, challenging Western
       | carmakers"
       | 
       | Musk has been shaking around his political penis at just the same
       | moment as the Chinese manufacturers came of age and are on
       | course, now, to supplant Tesla completely.
       | 
       | And the Tesla shareholders / BoD waived through $1t pay package
       | as a reward.
       | 
       | Dysfunctional Leadership writ large.
        
       | ab_testing wrote:
       | I feel like a lot of readers are missing the main point. US and
       | European manufactures do not want to enter this low volume zero
       | margin market. The total sales in Latin America (that includes
       | Mexico and South America is around five million units - that is
       | less than half of what is sold in the US each year. And at a
       | price point of 20K it just does not make sense for American and
       | European manufacturers given that their R&as costs are higher
       | than Asian manufacturers and their North American models are too
       | large and expensive for South America markets.
       | 
       | In addition they know that the US is a captive market as the
       | government will not allow Chinese companies to sell their cars
       | here due to data and security concerns.
       | 
       | So it does not make sense to chase tiny profits.
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | Fake news? Seems like Tesla is doing just fine down there.
       | 
       | https://finance.yahoo.com/news/byd-blows-past-rivals-tesla-1...
        
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