[HN Gopher] IBM Delivers New Quantum Package
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       IBM Delivers New Quantum Package
        
       Author : donutloop
       Score  : 47 points
       Date   : 2025-11-13 09:24 UTC (7 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (newsroom.ibm.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (newsroom.ibm.com)
        
       | pm90 wrote:
       | I've been bit by the mass marketing nonsense of "Watson" but IBM
       | Research does some pretty good work, and their progress on
       | Quantum Computing seems to be "real"; and certainly more reliable
       | than Microsoft (shocked!).
        
       | jimmar wrote:
       | > IBM anticipates that the first cases of verified quantum
       | advantage will be confirmed by the wider community by the end of
       | 2026.
       | 
       | In 2019, Google claimed quantum supremacy [1]. I'm truly confused
       | about what quantum computing can do today, or what it's likely to
       | be able to do in the next decade.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.nasa.gov/technology/computing/google-and-nasa-
       | ac...
        
         | StableAlkyne wrote:
         | There's legitimately interesting research in using it to
         | accelerate certain calculations. For example, usually you see a
         | few talks at chemistry conferences on how it's gotten
         | marginally faster at (very basic) electronic structure
         | calculations. Also some neat stuff in the optimization space.
         | Stuff you keep your eye on hoping it's useful in 10 years.
         | 
         | The most similar comparison is AI stuff, except even that has
         | found some practical applications. Unlike AI, there isn't
         | really much practicality for quantum computers right now beyond
         | bumping up your h-index
         | 
         | Well, maybe there is one. As a joke with some friends after a
         | particularly bad string of natural 1's in D&D, I used IBM's
         | free tier (IIRC it's 10 minutes per month) and wrote a dice
         | roller to achieve maximum randomness.
        
           | NickC25 wrote:
           | that was my understanding too - in the fields of chemistry,
           | materials science, pharmaceutical development, etc... quantum
           | tech is somewhat promising and might be pretty viable in
           | those specific niche fields within the decade.
        
         | Y_Y wrote:
         | The trouble with quantum supremacy results is they disappear as
         | soon as you observe them (carefully).
         | 
         | Sorry for that, but seriously, I'd treat this kind of claim
         | like any other putative breakthrough (room-temperature
         | superconductors spring to mind), until it's independently
         | verified it's worthless. The punishment for crying wolf is
         | minimal and by the time you're shown to be bullshitting the
         | headlines have moved on.
         | 
         | The other method, of course, is to just obsessively check Scott
         | Aaronson's blog.
        
         | mapmeld wrote:
         | IBM challenged that the 2019 case could be handled by a
         | supercomputer [1].
         | 
         | The main issue is that these algorithms where today's early
         | quantum computers have an advantage were specifically designed
         | to be demonstration problems. All of the tasks that people
         | previously wanted a quantum computer to do are still
         | impractical with today's hardware.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.quantamagazine.org/google-and-ibm-clash-over-
         | qua...
        
       | knowitnone3 wrote:
       | "Qiskit capabilities show 24 percent increase in accuracy" what
       | was it before? What good is a computer that is not 100% accurate?
       | Do I have to run a function 1000x to get some average 99% chance
       | the output is correct?
        
         | mushufasa wrote:
         | One of my colleagues read a paper about quantum computing
         | techniques to solve complex optimization problems (the domain
         | of complex mixed integer solvers) and tried it out for a
         | financial portfolio optimization, replicating the examples
         | provided by one of the quantum computing companies during a
         | trial period.
         | 
         | The computer *did not* produce the same results each time, and
         | often the results were wrong. The service provider's support
         | staff didn't help -- their response was effectively "oh
         | shucks."
         | 
         | We discontinued considering quantum computing after that. Not
         | suitable for our use-case.
         | 
         | Maybe quantum computing would be applicable if you were trying
         | to crack encryption, wherein getting the right result once is
         | helpful regardless of how many wrong answers you get in the
         | process.
        
         | a_vanderbilt wrote:
         | Essentially correct. With a quantum computer you do multiple
         | runs and average the result.
        
         | jfengel wrote:
         | (Right now "computers that aren't 100% accurate" are all the
         | rage, even without quantum computing. Though a lot of people
         | are wondering if that's any good, too.)
         | 
         | They're especially good for oracle-type problems, where you can
         | verify an answer much faster than you can find them. NP
         | problems are an especially prominent example of that. If it's
         | wrong, you try again.
         | 
         | In theory it might take a very long time to find the answer.
         | But even if you've only got 25% accuracy, the odds of you being
         | wrong 10 times in a row are only 6%. Being wrong 100 times in a
         | row is a number so small it requires scientific notation
         | (10^-13). It's worth it to be able to solve an otherwise
         | exponential problem.
         | 
         | Quantum computers have error bounds, and you can use that to
         | tune your error rate to being-hit-by-a-cosmic-ray level of
         | acceptability.
         | 
         | It's still far from clear that they can build general-purpose
         | quantum computers big enough to do anything useful. But the
         | built-in error factors are not, in themselves, a bar.
        
         | abdullahkhalids wrote:
         | Many classical information processing devices are less than
         | 100% reliable. Wifi (or old school dialup) will drop a non-
         | trivial number of packets. RAM chips have some non-zero amount
         | of unreliability, but in most cases we don't notice [1].
         | Computer processors in space will similarly fail due to cosmic
         | ray bombardment. In all cases, you mitigate such problems by
         | adding redundancy or error correction.
         | 
         | Quantum computer hardware is similarly very error-prone, and it
         | is unlikely that we will ever build quantum hardware which will
         | have ignorable levels of error. However, people have developed
         | many techniques, often much more sophisticated that in the
         | classical domain, for handling the fragility of quantum
         | hardware. I am not familiar with the details of recent
         | improvements in qiskit, but they are referring to improvements
         | in specific "error mitigation" techniques implemented within
         | qiskit. These techniques will be used in tandem with others
         | methods like error correction to create quantum computers that
         | give you answers with close to but less than 100% chance of
         | success.
         | 
         | As you say, in these cases, you will repeat your simulation a
         | few times and take a majority vote.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ECC_memory
        
       | boilerupnc wrote:
       | Related Qiskit Tutorial Video[0] "This tutorial covers advanced
       | techniques for implementing the Quantum Approximate Optimization
       | Algorithm (QAOA) at the utility scale using Qiskit. In this
       | video, we walk through how to build, optimize, and run QAOA for
       | real world optimization problems on real IBM Quantum hardware.
       | This series is designed for quantum computing practitioners who
       | are ready to move beyond basic examples and start running large
       | scale, hardware aware algorithms. We explore how to transition
       | from theory to practical execution, covering algorithm
       | development, circuit optimization, hybrid workflows, and best
       | practices for hardware performance. Whether you are expanding
       | your QAOA skills or preparing to run your own research
       | experiments, this tutorial will help you strengthen your
       | understanding of utility scale quantum computing with Qiskit."
       | 
       | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBfK-l-qSNk
        
       | mushufasa wrote:
       | I happen to know IBM made some great hires -- one of my
       | classmates who was excellent in the field, who had impressive
       | quantum computing nature publications before graduation, worked
       | at IBM for the past several years.
       | 
       | Though it looks like he recently switched to working at Google
       | AI...
       | 
       | https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=NaxMJzQAAAAJ&hl=en
        
       | IsTom wrote:
       | Sooo... are we factoring 21 without shortcuts yet?
        
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