[HN Gopher] Autonomous driving in five new cities
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       Autonomous driving in five new cities
        
       Author : ra7
       Score  : 24 points
       Date   : 2025-11-18 14:30 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (waymo.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (waymo.com)
        
       | tradertef wrote:
       | This is great. Especially for people with disabilities that
       | prevents them driving a car. Hopefully, coverage area will
       | increase exponentially over time..
        
         | kjkjadksj wrote:
         | Great if you can afford it. Terrible if you rely on bussing
         | that might see cuts in response to rideshare capturing
         | ridership.
        
           | michael1999 wrote:
           | I see the reverse.
           | 
           | Self-driving jitneys will be able to extend public transit
           | into the cul-de-sac subdivisions that are impervious to
           | useful bus service. Let little 8 seat shuttles bring people
           | out to the main line for trains or full-size busses to carry
           | away. It is terribly inefficient to run a 50 person bus with
           | 3 people in it, one of whom is a paid driver. See
           | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/autonomous-
           | driverless...
           | 
           | Same for small towns - they just don't have the population or
           | the density to run large busses with drivers on fixed routes
           | at a reasonable frequency. I've seen smaller city busses with
           | routes that only run every 90 minutes. But smaller self-
           | driving vehicles can collect a few people and run them
           | around. See https://www.chandleraz.gov/residents/transportati
           | on/transit/... or https://ridewithvia.com/news/waymo-and-via-
           | announce-strategi...
           | 
           | Or try this - Waymo giving a discount for pickups at station.
           | I used to use the Toronto subway this way - take the subway
           | as close as I could get, and then take a taxi the last couple
           | of kilometres. https://waymo.com/blog/2024/10/clean-rides-
           | clear-benefits-wa...
        
             | arjie wrote:
             | Strongly agree. The future is what we used to call "share
             | autos" in India. It's a small vehicle that can transport
             | some 6-8 people. Currently these aren't feasible for the
             | public because driver operational cost dominates, but once
             | driver operational cost is near zero, we can bring much
             | more public transit online. One of these vehicles is 4x-8x
             | as dense as a car, and with America's relative lack of
             | density, it's the only realistic way to have widespread
             | public transit.
             | 
             | Particularly useful with dynamic dispatch and dynamic
             | routing is that the vehicle's stopping can be much more
             | infrequent, leading to lower total trip time and greater
             | frequency. San Francisco is very dense but is also very
             | old, so large 40-60 person busses stop every block forcing
             | low throughput high latency rides. As a consequence, I
             | prefer an e-bike over a bus everywhere in SF.
        
           | seanmcdirmid wrote:
           | Taxi services make going carless more feasible, this isn't a
           | net negative to public transit, rather a positive: you mostly
           | use transit for your daily routine, and use a taxi/ride
           | share/autonomous car for those edge cases where transit or
           | biking makes little sense.
        
             | kjkjadksj wrote:
             | Except that isn't what really happens. We've been over this
             | with uber rollout. It legitimately captures ridership from
             | transit rather than supplementing it.
        
       | ninininino wrote:
       | None of which have common snow or ice issues.
        
         | kjkjadksj wrote:
         | Yeah it's not even covering all of LA despite the claim of
         | "being in LA". Just a mostly flat portion. It doesn't go into
         | the valley. It doesn't really go into south LA. It doesn't go
         | east of the 5. It still doesn't go to LAX either.
        
           | RivieraKid wrote:
           | Yes, it's an early stage technology and the logistics of
           | scaling is non-trivial. Yet, if you look at the numbers,
           | they've been scaling surprisingly fast, at a sustained rate
           | of 5x per year for 5 years in weekly paid rides.
        
           | minwcnt5 wrote:
           | Building out depot and charging infrastructure and working
           | with city officials are both slow processes, so I imagine
           | you'll see them prioritize spreading out to a lot of cities
           | first, in the most profitable areas (downtown), then expand
           | the service area in each of them over time as they get more
           | cars.
        
       | robot wrote:
       | I don't get this. I installed the tesla app and was approved to
       | book a drive in 1 week (last week). I've been in the Waymo
       | waiting list for at least 6 months, and still haven't gotten
       | approval and can still only book in SF. They do move slow.
        
         | RivieraKid wrote:
         | They've been scaling paid rides per week by about 5x every year
         | for the past 5 years, that is fast in my book.
        
       | seanmcdirmid wrote:
       | Still...no Seattle.
        
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